gbp usd

GBP/USD Ke Keemat Ka Amli Tanqeed
Hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke qeemat ka tajziya karne ke ird gird ghumti hai abwaqt ke market manzar mein. Aik faal khareeddaar abhi GBPUSD jori par trading ke faaliyat par asar daal raha hai. British pound ka mojooda qeemat Ameriki dollar ke muqablay mein 1.2526 hai. Yani aik British pound 1.2526 Ameriki dollars ke barabar hai. Mazeed, GBPUSD jori ka aik support level 1.2519 hai, jo aik mazboot demand ka nukaat hai jahan currency pair ke liye, aur qeemat is level se wapas chadhne ke imkaan par hoti hai. 1.2519 ke upar ek grid of growth orders banana mumkin hai jab tak 1.2572 ka resistance level mukhtasir ho. Ye tajruba aapko market ki halaat ka faida uthane aur maali maqasid haasil karne mein madad kar sakta hai. Abwaqt ki qeemat par bechnay ka koi raag nahi hai, lekin 1.2572 ke upar ek chhota bechnay ka order ghor se liya ja sakta hai, aam tor par chhotay arsey ke islaahi harkat ke doran.

Aik ghatte hue expand hone wale channel ko dekh kar, GBPUSD daily time frame par ek barhne wala equidistant channel bana sakta hai, jo keh upar ki hadd tootne par trend ka tabadla darust karta hai. Halaanki, haal hi mein neeche ki taraf jhatakne wale impulsive karwaiyan jo 1.2455 ke support se bahar aa rahe hain, woh ek barhne wale minimum ko zahir karte hain, jo keh mazeed izafa ya kami ka darust hai. 1.2577 ke upar nikalna trend aur channel ka tabadla tasdeeq karayga, pehle 1.2696 aur phir 1.2819 ka target banega. Chaar ghante ke chart par 1.2535 ke mirror level ke neeche trading ki faaliyat jaari hai, rozana aur haftawarana scale par bullish stochastics aur neeche ki taraf jaane wale trend line ke qareeb hone ke saath, ek mogheeq todhne ka ishaara deta hai. Jaise ke saaf trading is level ke neeche aam tor par achanak girawat ke aage na aati hai, isliye abhi tak kisi girawat ki umeed nahi hai. Ameriki dollar ya toh mazid majooda high inflation ke douran US Federal Reserve ke interest rates par reaccion ke mutabiq mazboot ho sakta hai ya kamzor.

GBP/USD pair apni izaafi tehqeeq barqarar rakhte hue hai, ab Asian trading session mein 1.2530 darja tak rukawat deta hai. Yeh mustaqil charhao usi waqt ke saath hai jab pair apne darmiyaney channel mein mazid mazbooti hasil kar raha hai jo rozana chart par darust kiya gaya hai, jo ke 14 din ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) bearish stance se juda hua hai jab ke woh aham 50-level ko guzar gaya hai.

The Fed ki Mustaqil Baat Chowar aur Inflation ki Taweel

Federal Reserve ne apni key interest rate ko 20 saalon se ooncha tareen darjay par mohtaaj rakhte hue barqarar rakha, jab ke reference range ghabraati reh gayi hai jo ke July ke pehle saal se 5.25% aur 5.5% ke darmiyan hai. Yeh faisla aik wusat mein aaya hai jahan aeham bhoojo ke ishtiraakat barh rahi hain, jab ke central bank ne ek kharab hoti hui inflation ki taweel tol par tasleem ki hai. Yeh izafah keemaati dabao mein izafa darshata hai, ek aham development jo Federal Reserve ke dar kamzor honay ka sabq de sakti hai, jo pehle September ki meeting ke doran imtiaz karwayi gayi thi.

GBP/USD ke Liye Takneeki Numayan

GBP/USD pair tehniyat ke lehaz se zaroori darajon ka samna karta hai donon dishaon mein. Ibtidaai support 1.2444 nisbatan intehai dar aur goya darja das din ka Exponential Moving Average (EMA) hai jo 1.2519 darja par mansub hai. Agar neechay ki manfi safari barh jati hai, to tawajjo ka markaz 1.2500 ke andar waqai shaur hota hai jese agla support zone, ek breakthrough kisi tarah ka rasta banane ke liye barah e raast ho sakta hai jo ke six-month low record mein shamil hai jo 1.2300 darja hai.

Dusri tarf, rukawat kadray aage posheeda hai, esay upper boundary of the descending channel ki hawale se asani se baraabar 1.2577 darja hai. Yeh rukawat ko paar karne ke liye ek breakthrough aur bhi bhaag dastak paa sakta hai, jahan 50% retracement level 1.2595 darja ek aham manzil hai, jisne 1.2893 aur 1.2300 ke darmiyan range mein aata hai.

GBPUSD D1

Pichle Jumme ko British Pound (GBP) ne US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf aik rollercoaster safar guzara. Asia ke early trading mein GBP/USD jodi lagbhag 1.2525 ke qareeb pahunchi, jo ke 1.2445 ke paanch mahinay ke low se ubhar gayi. Ye chadhao Bank of England (BoE) ke policy meeting mein ek dovish stance ke sath aya, jo ke market ko hairan kar diya. BoE ne interest rates ko 5.25% par qaim rakha, jo ke unki chhatein consecutive hold ko darust kiya. Magar, unhon ne ishara diya ke agle mahine rate cuts ki mumkinat hai, agar mahangi ke silsile mein nichle jaari rahein. Market volatility mein izafa America ki kamzor market data ki wajah se hua. Kal ke volatility ki wajah se, symbols ek baar phir surkhiya hadd se neeche nahi giren, aur rebound ke baad, char ghante ke chart par trading range ke darmiyan ka darmiyan kiya. 1.2525 resistance level ke jhooti breach aur bullon ke liye yellow moving average ke upar chalne ki na-kami ke daramiyan, phir se dakshin ki taraf ek aur girawat ka imkan hai, jis se wohi red moving average area 1.2460 par pohunch sake. Agar European session ke opening mein bull phir se 1.2525 ke upar uth sakein, toh ek aur raasta ka jaye ga, jis mein potential trajectory shamil hai.


Bailey sahib ne June mein rate cut ka imkan tasleem kiya lekin mehngai, ma'ashi fa'alat aur mazdoori ke bazaar par data dependence par zor diya. BoE ka ye dovish shift, jab ke pehle GBP ko taqat di, future pressure laa sakta hai. UK mein kam interest rates ka tasawwur Pound ko USD ke muqablay kamzor karta hai, jis se GBP/USD jodi ki fa'alti hadoud ko mehdood kar sakta hai. Complexity mein izafa, San Francisco Fed P Bank of England ke dovish stance aur Federal Reserve ke sath policy ikhtilaf ke imkanat ki tajawiz se pound ke liye rukawat paida karta hai. Dosri taraf, technical indicators mukhtalif key resistance levels ko paar karne ki mumkinat ko dikhate hain. GBP/USD ki qareebi manzil is haftay ke ijtimaaon par mabni hogi. Khulasa mein, jab ke jodi mukhtalif buniyadi aur technical factors se muqabla kar rahi hai, agar kuch rukawaton ko paar kiya ja sake, toh upri harkat ki potential bachi hai. Traders ko bazaar ko qareeb se monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke 1.2444 level se neeche koi breach is short-term bullish outlook ko mansookh kar dega. Jo log bullish stance ko ghor se samajh rahe hain, unke liye haqeeqat mein mukhtalif targets tay karna zaroori hai. Is upri harkat ke liye mansoobah target taqreeban 1.2555 level hai. Lekin, prudent risk management tajwez hai. Isliye, nafa ko mazboot karna aur potential ke exposure ko kam karne ke liye mansoobah ka adha hissa 1.2591 level par band karna mashoor hai.

GBP/USD tajziya, markazi bank signals ka nazar andaaz karte rahein

UK markets ke liye ek busy hafta shuruat se aakhri tak guzra jismein GDP data release hua. Yeh dikhata hai ke UK ne pichle saal ke ant mein dekhe gaye kamzori se mukar gaya hai aur vridhi ki taraf mud gaya hai. Pratham charan ka preliminary figure 0.6% prabhavshali hai jise pehle ki technology mandi mein dikhayi gayi thi. Chautha charan ka number chintajanak tha -0.3%. Is natije ke roop mein, GBP/USD badalti hui upranivedan 1.2500 ke mansik samarthan star par sthir ho gayi hai.

Aur aam baat hai. UK ki prabhavshali GDP figures ko leading indices jaise ki Purchasing Managers’ Index dwara bhi samarthan milta hai jo pehle se ukhaad ke vridhi ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Is majbut momentum ko doosre charan mein bhi jari rakhna chahiye kyun ki kai sakaratmak drivers hain. Pehle, asal vetan vridhi arthshastra ko majboot kar sakti hai. Yeh tab hota hai jab vetan aksar mudra ki antariksha se tezi se badhte hain, jo doosre charan mein honi chahiye aur aage badhne par bhi jab mudra ki antariksha lagbhag 6% badhne ki ummeed hai jabki mahatvahiya vetan vridhi lagbhag 2% ke kareeb hoti hai.

Ek hi pairo ki kami yeh hai ki adhik vetan vridhi Bank of England ki neeti ko dabaa sakti hai, khaaskar agar mahangai phir se badhe, jaisa ke Governor Bailey ne pichhle Guruvar ko chetavni di thi. UK arthvyavastha ke liye doosri sakaratmak hawa ka aana baki hai, woh hai kiraya samasya ka hal. Yeh vyay karne yogy aay ko badha sakti hai.

Datanumai ke aadhar par prateekshik ganana data. Jab UK taatvik mandi mein giriya tha tab USA ne majbut pradarshan kiya tha. Ab jab UK pun:VRidhi ka marg par hai, tab USA ki arthik data badal gaya hai. Beshak, baat abhi ab tak kamzori ki door hai, lekin avashaak signs udhar se badh rahe hain. Jobless claims ne 231,000 tak pahuncha Gurubar ko, jo pichhle August se sabse adhik saptahik sankhya thi. Ek majboot US rozgar riport aur kam purchasing managers' index (PMI) aur gross domestic product (GDP) ki apekshayein is nakaratmak parivartan mein ek aur lahar daal gayi.

Aaj ka GBP/USD purvaganan:

Jaise maine pehle kaha tha, GBP/USD ke daam 1.2500 samarthan ke paas ya usse nichhe sthiti sthir rakhne wale hain, yeh sheron ke liye pracharak banna banayega aur agar baaghak aage nahi badhate to rukaavat tutne ki asli sambhavana nahi hogi. Is disha mein, jodi ko 1.2775 aur 1.2830 par pratirodh mil sakta hai. Sterling ke daamon kaafi pasine mein sthir rehne ki sambhavna hai ek ghisatne wale drishya ke saath US mahangai data ke liye is week ke aage badhte samay.

Pattern aur challenges ke saath aik acha aur mushkil ka masla hai. Halhi ki kharidari ne qeemat mein taza rawnak shamil ki hai, khaaskar unchi waqat ke shemaat par dekha ja sakta hai. Khareedari ki ye bharakati peechlay neeche ki taraf se bhaari trend ka mukhtalif honay ka izhar kar sakti hai ya aik ahem mukhalif chalne ko. Khareedari ki rawnak ke bawajood, jab jodi buland hoti hai, to peechlay bechne walay upar uth kar buland hone wale mansubay mein rukawat bane ati hai. Mustaqil urooj ke liye, farokht dabaav ko kam hona chahiye, jo paond ko iske charhane ki izazat deta hai. Ummed hai ke buland honay wale channel mein izafa ki alamat hain, jo aik ghantay ke shemaat par ziada chhote buland nishanat ke zariye ishare kar raha hai, aik mumkin muzaish satah ke andar prices ke fluctuation ke sath. GBP/USD ke liye mojooda farokht ke marhala ko 1.2440 aur 1.2590 ke darjat se mufassil kiya gaya hai, jo jodi ke nazdeek ki shakhsiat ke tajziya ke liye ahem hain. Hafta ke akhri din ko aik bikri ki jagah bhi mazid rukawat ke bawajood kar rahi thi kyun ke market mein koi nazar e madah halchal nahi thi.






Traders ne aik lamha fikar aurat ko aik kam munafa ka moqa diya gaya jabke aage ka girawat ka intezar kiya ja raha tha. Lekin qeemat din bhar mukhtalif reh gayi, jo ek entry point ke aas paas mandarjja ke aas paas aabaad reh gayi, jis ne aik tajawuz ke liye aazmaish mein ya range-bound market mein nuqsaan kata hai ya munafa kata. 1.2440 tak girna aik bearish nazar ko tasdeeq kar dega. Halankay musbat GDP data ne pehle pound ko barhawa diya, lekin ye rawnak chand dino mein phata nahi, shayad mojooda farokht ke intrest ke bina. Farokht dabaav ko kam karne ke liye kisi bhi nazar e madah tajawuz ki mumkinat darust nahi hai. Takneeki dalail nazr mein rawnak faraham karti hain, jahan farokht ko chalti hui rawnak ke mansubay ke mukhalif amal ka imkaan hai, jisme ek dishawar nabz ke imkaan hain.

As Salam O Alaikum dosto. Ummed hai aap sab achay hain, tamam forum administrators, moderators, aur instaforex broker admins ke liye. Aaj main GBP/USD market ki guftagu karon ga. Meri trading GBP/USD analysis tamam forum dost aur instaforex traders ke liye madadgar hai. English pound main ne din ke pehle hissay mein dikhaye gaye levels ko test nahi kiya. Pound ka izafa acha Gross Domestic Product aur UK se industrial production ke achay data ke baad jaldi khatam ho gaya, shuru hi nahi hua. Isi liye maine pehle Bank of England ki meeting ke baad bane vertical trend ki barqarar hone ki umeed nahi dekhi. Din ke aakhir mein, hum University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index aur University of Michigan se inflation expectations par kuch dilchasp figures ka intezar karte hain. Zyada tar, dollar is data ke jawab mein izafa karega, jo pound ke liye aaj pasandida nahi hai. Main mandi par amal karonga jo ke intahai mozu hai. Aaj, main mozu ke barqarar entry points ke sath gora karoonga. Aaj, main pound ko kharidna chahta hoon jab entry point kareeb 1.2537 par ho (diagram par moti hari line). 1.2565 ke kareeb, main kharidi chhod doonga aur opposite rukh mein farokht kholoonga (30-35 places ka izafa mukhtalif rukh se nishana). Aaj, dollar ke kamzor statistics ke baad pound ka izafa mumkin hai. Ehm! Kharidne se pehle, yaqeeni banain ke MACD indicator zero mark ke oopar hai aur oopar uth raha hai. Main aaj pound ko kharidna ka irada bhi rakhta hoon agar do musalsal koshishain ki jayein jahan daam 1.2522 par ho jab MACD indicator oversold domain mein ho. Yeh pair ka neeche ki taraf ka potential rokay ga aur market mein aik vertical u-turn laayega. Nishana barqarar entry points 1.2537 aur 1.2565 ki taraf tareeqa ka izafa. Aaj, main pound ko bechne ka irada rakhta hoon jab 1.2522 ke level ko taza karte hain jo pair ki foran kami ka nishana hai. Farokht karne walon ka ehm maqsad 1.2500 ke level par hoga. Main farokht ko chhod doonga aur foran mukhtalif rukh mein kharidi farokht khooloonga (20-25 places ka izafa mukhtalif rukh se nishana). Farokht karne walon ka farogh agar din ke high ke qareeb activity ki kami ke saath hota hai. Ehm! Farokht karne se pehle, yaqeeni banain ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur bas abhi is ki giraft mein shuru hui hai. Main aaj pound ko farokht karne ka irada bhi rakhta hoon agar do musalsal koshishain ki jayein 1.2537 par jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ka vertical potential rokay ga aur market mein aik niche business ka u-turn laayega. Kami ki taraf tareeqa ka izafa 1.2522 aur 1.2500 ke levels ki taraf umeed hai.

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GBP/USD currency pair nedir ne barqi mizaji dikhayi hai, jab is ne 1.2570 ke ahem darja par mazboot support daryaft kiya, jo ke ek urooj ke rukh ki ibtida ko darust karta hai. Wala'at ka pehla josh hone ke bawajood, kharidaroon ke darmiyan josh ka izhaar kam hua jab ke qeemat ne haftay ke ikhtitam tak 1.2680 ke qareeb raqbat pesh ki. Magar, is nuqta nigah mein, market ke yeh mufassil harkat par umeedain jari hain jab ke pair ne apne peechay rehne wale girtay channel ko kamyabi se tor diya hai. GBP/USD currency pair ki safar ko ek silsila-e-aadbi harkat ne mark kiya hai, jahan har kadam ne is ke rukh ko forex market mein murattab kiya hai. 1.2570 par mazboot support ka qaim ho jana, pair ke liye ek baqa ka markaz sabit hua, jo usay urooj ki taraf tarseel se oopar uthane ka zor-o-shor diya. Yeh urooj ke josh, jise 1.2680 ke qareeb raqbat ne roka, pond sterling ko American dollar ke muqablay mein istiqamat ki tasdeeq karta hai.

Halankay baazuo ko qareeb raqbat ke zone tak pohanchte waqt un ke jazbay mein thori rukawat mehsoos hui, lekin un ke asal omda josh mein koi kami nahi hai. Haftay ke ikhtitam tak 1.2680 ke nedir ne peak ko paar nahi karne se market ke ehsasat ko khasi khaami ka samna nahi karna pada, jab ke investors GBP/USD exchange rate ke badalte dainamic ko nazar andaz kar rahe hain. Khaas tor par ahmiyat ka nishaan hai jise GBP/USD pair ne haasil kiya hai, jab ke is ne apne peechay rehne wale girtay channel ko tor diya—ek technical maqam jo agle qeemat ke harkat par asar andaz hai. Yeh breakthrough market ke ehsasat mein ek mazi ki taraf ka shift dikhata hai, jahan pair naye bullish momentum ka faida uthane ke liye tayar hai.

Aakhir mein, halankeh GBP/USD currency pair ko apne nedir ne peak ko paar karne mein mushkilat ka samna hua, lekin apne peechay rehne wale channel ko torne ki iski salahiyat agle urooj ke josh ke liye imkaanat faraham karti hai. Jab market mein umeedain baqi hain, to investors pair ko iske mustaqbil ke rukh ke baray mein nishaanoo ke liye qareebi tor par nazar andaz kar rahe

GBP/USD D1



Lag raha hai ke mojooda sorat haal ke mutabiq market agle hafte se Uptrend rukh par jari rahegi jab ke peechle hafte ke ibteda mein market 1.2445 ilaqa mein tezi se tajweezat karna shuru kiya tha. Izafa ke liye mumkin aur moqaat ko faida uthaya ja sakta hai taa ke rukh ko mutarif kya ja sake aur faida kamaaya ja sake. Pichle hafte ke trading dauran, lag raha tha ke market ab bhi neeche ki correction zone mein chal raha hai. Trading ke daam thore se bearish rukhte hain. Chand rozon se candlestick ko upar jaane ka rujhan hai aur keemat ka moqam ab bhi peechle hafte ke ibtedai moqam ke muqablay mein buland hai. Lagta hai ke kharidaron ka asar hai, jo ke keemat ko dobara barha raha hai. Agar main haftawar aur maheenay ke time frame mein keemat ka gardish dekhoon, to lagta hai ke Uptrend mahol hai. Meri raay mein, mumkin hai ke mahine ke darmiyan market mein ab bhi bullish moqaat hain. Candlestick ka tahmin hai ke wo khareedne wale ki qabzay mein mazboot rahegi aur 1.2576 keemat ki ilaqa ko imtehaan ke liye barhne ka moqa hai kyun ke technical tor par keemat ka safar Uptrend rukh par jaari rah sakta hai. Kuch arse se, keemat ka tahmin hai ke bullish shiraa'it jari rahegi jo ke khareedne wale ka qabzay ka bunyadi asool hai. Ek aise satha ka mawazan jo is tehwar mein ek position kholne ka waqt ka faisla karne ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai, maujooda moqaat par mawjud maujooda surat e haal ke mutabiq. Izafa ke liye mumkin mohtaajat kaafi kholi hain kyun ke candlestick upar ja rahi hai aur 100 muddat sada aasaan moving average line zone se guzar sakti hai. Umeed hai ke izafa, dono trend line aur 50 EMA line ko guzar jaye, jo main ne maujooda naqsha mein note kiya hai. Ye ishaara karta hai ke keemat . rozana ke time frame chart par ek ahem marhale par hai. Haan ke . ne kal is time frame par mazboot bullish candle paida kiya tha

Kal ke liye GBP/USD main, chhoti si janubi pullback ke baad, qeemat ne palat kar shumali simt mein tezi se dhakelna shuru kiya, jis ka nateejah ek wazeh palatne wala candle mein nazar aaya, jo peechli daily range ke andar mojood tha. Aam tor par, filhaal main apne mansoobon ko tabdeel nahi kar raha hoon aur qareebi mukhalifat ki satah par kaam hone ka intezar kar raha hoon, jo mere nishanat ke mutabiq 1.25694 par hai. Jaisa ke main pehle bhi kai baar keh chuka hoon, is mukhalifat ki satah ke nazdeek do mumkinah manazir hain. Pehla manzar qeemat ka is satah ke ooper mustahkam ho kar mazid shumali simt mein harkat se wabasta hai. Agar yeh mansoobah amal mein aata hai, to main qeemat ko agle mukhalifat ki satah tak pohanchne ka intezar karunga, jo 1.27094 par hai. Is mukhalifat ki satah ke qareeb, main trading setup ban'ne ka intezar karunga, jo trading ki aage ki simt ko tay karne mein madadgar hoga. Yaqeenan, zyada door shumali hadafon par kaam karne ka ikhtiyar bhi hai, jin mein se ek mere nishanat ke mutabiq 1.28032 par hai, magar yahan par halat ka jaaiza lena zaroori hai aur sab kuch us khabar ki pasmandgi par mabni hoga jo qeemat ke sath juregi aur yeh bhi ke qeemat door shumali hadafon ka kis tarah jawab deti hai. Mukhalifat ki satah 1.25694 ka test karte waqt qeemat ki harkat ka ek mutabadil ikhtiyar ek palatne wala candle ban'na aur qeemat ki harkat ka neeche ki taraf dobarah shuru hona ho sakta hai. Agar yeh mansoobah amal mein aata hai, to main



qeemat ko support ki satah tak wapas aane ka intezar karunga, jo 1.24661 par hai. Is support ki satah ke qareeb, main aik trading setup ban'ne ka intezar karunga, jo aage ki trading ki simt ko tay karne mein madadgar hoga. Door janubi hadaf par kaam karne ka bhi ek ikhtiyar hai, jo mere nishanat ke mutabiq 1.22992 par hai, magar yahan bhi halat ka jaaiza lena zaroori hai. Mukhtasir tor par, aaj main poori tarah tasleem karta hoon ke qeemat qareebi mukhalifat ki satah par kaam kar sakti hai, aur phir main bazar ki soorat-e-Aik bar qayam pazeeri ka kamyab doran shayad qareebi support trend line ko dobara test kiya jaye.GBP/USD jodi ke short-term outlook par ghoor karte hue, dikh raha hai ke iski daily chart ki harkat pichle do dinon se neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai, aur mojooda tijarat ki disha bhi neeche ki taraf hai. Is jodi ke baqi trading muddat ke liye, neeche ki taraf ki harkat ko pesh karna munasib hai, taake agar mojooda neeche ki disha barqarar rahegi ya koi aur nateejay muntazir hain, to us par tayyar rahein. Technical tajziya ke mutabiq, technical indicators, moving averages, aur nateejay, sab kuch ek mazboot farokht ko ishara kar rahe hain. Iska matlab hai ke ye jodi neechay ki taraf ki taraf safar ke liye tayyar hai. Iske ilawa, United Kingdom se aik ahem khushkhabri ka ailaan hua hai, jo ke is jodi ke neeche ki disha ko mazeed taqwiyat de sakta hai

Market analysis aur trading ke liye sahi faislay karne ke liye, traders ko mukhtalif technical indicators ka istemal karna chahiye jo unhe market ke trends aur movements ke bare mein maloomat faraham karte hain. Extended Regression Stop And Reverse linear regression indicator, RSI (14), aur MACD oscillators, in indicators mein se kuch hain jo traders ki madad karte hain market ki samajh mein aur trading ke faislay mein. Extended Regression Stop And Reverse (XRSR) linear regression indicator ek trend-following indicator hai jo market ke current trend ko identify karne mein madad deta hai. Yeh indicator market ke trend ke mukhtalif phases ko darust taur par detect karne mein kaam aata hai. Agar XRSR indicator ke signals, jaise ke trend reversal ya continuation, doosre indicators ke signals ke saath miltay hain, to yeh ek strong trading signal ban sakta hai. RSI (14) ya Relative Strength Index, market ke overbought ya oversold conditions ko darust karne mein madad deta hai. Yeh oscillator momentum ko measure karta hai aur traders ko ye batata hai ke kya market overbought ya oversold hai, jo trading opportunities ko identify karne mein madadgar hota hai. Agar RSI ke signals doosre indicators ke saath match karte hain, to yeh ek confirmatory signal ho sakta hai trading ke liye.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) oscillator bhi ek popular technical indicator hai jo trend aur momentum ko measure karta hai. MACD ke signals market ke trend changes aur momentum shifts ko darust karne mein madadgar hote hain. Agar MACD ke signals doosre indicators ke signals ke saath milte hain, to ye ek aur confirmatory signal provide karta hai. Trading position kholne ka faisla lenay mein, traders ko tamam teen indicators ke signals ko mila kar dekhna chahiye. Agar tamam indicators ek dosre ke saath milte hain aur ek hi direction mein point karte hain, to yeh ek strong trading signal hai. Lekin agar kisi bhi indicator ka signal doosre indicators se mukhtalif hai, to yeh deal mein uncertainty ka bais ban sakta hai. Is tarah, traders ko market ko analyze karne aur trading ke faislay karne mein Extended Regression Stop And Reverse linear regression indicator, RSI (14), aur MACD oscillators ke confirmatory readings ka istemal karna chahiye. Yeh indicators unhe sahi aur durust faislay karne mein madadgar ho sakte hain aur uncertainty ko kam karne mein madad faraham kar sakte hain.

GBP US dollar ke mukable 1.2500 ke level ke upar qaim hai Jumma ke London session mein. GBP/USD pair ki taqat zahir hai jab haal hi mein shorat darjaat se sabit hui ke UK ki ma'ashiyat mein behtar hone ka imkaan hai, lekin Bank of England ne buland interest rates ko barqarar rakha hai.S&P Global/CIPS ki aik pehli PMI report April ke liye, jo ke Tuesday ko shaya hui, ne dikhaya ke khidmati sektar mein karkardagi buland hai, jo puri karkardagi mein izafa ke lehaaz se aham hai, manufacturing PMI ko chhorte hue. Data ne ye bhi zahir kiya ke khidmati sektar mein naye karobar ka inflow mazid mazboot hai.Kuch Bank of England policymakers mutadid mahino mein inflation mein shadid girawat ka tasawwur rakhte hain lekin abhi tak interest rate cuts ka waqt tay nahi kar rahe hain. Wahi, investors apni tawajju ko March ke liye ahem Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index data par muntaqil kar rahe hain, jo 12:30 GMT par shaya hoga.H4 chart par, 100-period moving average jo 1.2508 par hai woh support ka kaam kar raha hai, aur bears ko is level ke neeche aane ke liye 4-hour candle close chahiye taake woh 20-period moving average ki taraf le ja sakein jo 1.2465 par hai. Warna, 1.25248 ke upar close bull ke raaste ko khol deta hai 1.25771-1.2591 zone ki taraf, jahan 200-period moving average pair ke liye mazboot resistance faraham karega.Mukhtalif US dollar ki ghair aasaniyon ke bawajood, mukhya pair par dabaav hai, walaqin US GDP growth figures kamzor aai hain. Nazaar andaz rahay ke mutawaqqa pehli taqreeb US GDP growth ki doran aane wale figures ne US dollar par dabaav daala hai. Tawajju Jumma ko US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index data par hogi.Hourly chart par trend oopar ka raha hai, aur khareedne ke mauqay hafte ke control zone ke liye relevant hain 1.26023-1.26327, lekin yeh mukhtalif haftay ke liye shayad nishan hai. Main ek mazeed islah ko 1.2500-1.2465 maang zone ki taraf dekh raha hoon aur ek pattern ki shakal mein, 1.2550 tak khareedne ki soch raha hoon.

Jab hum trading session ki taraf rawana hotay hain, to GBPUSD currency pair ki haftay ki chart ka thorough jaaiza lena zaroori hai. Ek symmetrical triangle nami pattern, jo ke price ko tang hadood ke andar fluctuate karta hai, ka zikr qabil-e-zikar hai. Pehle, price ne ascending support line se rebound kiya jo triangle ka base tha, aur pichle haftay, price ne 1.2585 ke horizontal resistance level ko test kiya, jo closing prices se liya gaya tha. Yeh resistance level aam tor par aasani se paar nahi hota, aur aksar ek subsequent retest of the ascending support line ke taraf le jaata hai. Isliye, neeche ki taraf movement mumkin hai, khaaskar aise levels ki tabadla ke maqool hone ke nateeje ko dekhte hue. Chhotay timeframes par, jab mawafiq formations hoti hain, to neeche ki taraf movement par tawajjo dena zyada munasib hai. Iske ilawa, haftay ke close ko mark karne wala characteristic candlestick pattern – inverted hammer – ka zikr bhi ahem hai, jo support par mojood hai. Yeh bechnay ke liye ek mazid kaamyabi ka mouqa darust karta hai, jab tak kharidne ki soch temporarily side par rakhi jaye. Isi tarah, daily chart ne bhi Jumma ko ek neeche ki taraf facing inverted hammer ke saath band hua, jo bechnay ka ek mauqa darust karta hai. Iske ilawa, CCI indicator ne overbought zone mein dakhil hua, jo bechnay ki bias ko mazid barhava deta hai. Yeh analysis multi-timeframe approach ko apnaane ki ahmiyat ko samajhata hai, kyun ke yeh market dynamics par perfect nazar ko faraham karta hai. Mukhtalif timeframes par key patterns aur indicators ko pehchaan kar, traders behtareen entry aur exit strategies bana sakte hain, jisse overall trading performance aur risk management mein izafa hota hai.

GBP/USD

Mukhtalif khiyali idaray, British Pound (GBP) ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf 1.2560 mark ke qareeb mazbooti se barkarar rakhne ki nazar aati hai, jis ka asar haal hi mein taizi se barhte hue GBP par para hai, jise US Dollar ki kamzori aur karobar ke liye investors ki dilchaspi mein izafa ne badhaya hai. Lekin, GBP ki mustaqbil ki raah par abhi bhi saaya hai, jis mein mazeed events ka intezar hai. Haal hil mein GBP ke izafa ka buniyadi aghaz USD ke broad girawat mein hai. Is girawat ka asar mukhtalif Federal Reserve afraad ke khitabat par hai, khaaskar Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson ke, jo mawjooda interest rates ko jab tak inflation mein wazeh kami nazar nahi aati tab tak barqarar rakhne ki zaroorat ko daba rahe hain. Aise ehsasat ne US mein agressive interest rate hikes ki umeedon ko kam kar diya hai, jis se USD ko un investors ke liye kam zyada khushkharid maqamiyat nazar aati hai jo zyada yield ki talash mein hain. Dosri taraf, yeh shauq ho raha hai ke Bank of England (BoE) mukhtalif stand le aur iss saal ke baad interest rates ko kam karne ka aghaz kare. Market ke hissedar August mein 25 basis points ke ikhtisar ke, aur sal ke ikhtitami doran mein mazeed 50 basis points ke kami ke ihtimal par tawajjo de rahe hain. Yeh ehsas UK ki maeeshat ke perfomance ke barhte hue lehalat ke liye tarahum ko jari rakhta hai.
Investors wabasta tor par UK ke April mahine ke rozgar ke data ka intezar kar rahe hain, ummeed hai ke is se maeeshat ka manzar aur Bank of England ki mumkin future monetary policy decisions par insights milenge. Agar rozgar report mutawaqqa se behtar nikle to ye GBP ko short-term mein izafa de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi Bank of England ko inflation ke khilaf larai ke liye interest rates ko barhane ke liye daba sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ke liye lambi doran ke challenges paida kar sakta hai.

Technical indicators ko janchte hue, GBP/USD pair ne 50-day moving average ko torne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya hai, jo overall trend ka aham nishan hai. Yeh ishara deta hai ke short-term downside risks ke mumkinat hain, jahan nazdeek ka support level 1.2298 par hai, jo ek paanch mahine ka kamzor point hai. Is se neeche ki taraf se giraftari is jodon ko mazeed bechnay ki dabawat mein dal sakta hai, jo November 2023 mein dekhe gaye support levels ko phir se zahir kar sakta hai, 1.2186 ke qareeb.

Phir bhi, upside potential ka bhi imkan hai. Agar buyers dobara market mein shamil hokar prices ko downtrend line ke upar le jaate hain, to GBP/USD initial resistance ka samna kar sakta hai, jo April-May ke highs ke qareeb 1.2564 par hain. Is level ko taraqqi se tor kar, GBP/USD ke 1.2632 resistance zone ka imtehan ho sakta hai, aur shayad April ke peak ko phir se test karne ka mauqa bhi mil sakta hai, 1.2708 ke qareeb.

Mukhtasir tor par, GBP/USD pair apne aap ko ek mohlik hawalay mein paya hai. Jabke USD ki kamzori ne kuch waqt ki ta'ayunfarahi faraham ki hai, lekin aanay wale UK data releases aur Fed aur BoE ke darmiyan potential policy divergence ne currency pair ki raftar ko aane wale hafton mein kuch had tak mutasir kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD Price Action Analysis
Humari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke qeemat ke bartariyon ke mutaliq hai jo mojooda market ke mahol mein qisam hai. Aik faa'al kharidar mojood hai jo GBPUSD pair par trading ke fa'aliyat ko mutasir kar raha hai. British pound ka mojooda qeemat US dollar ke muqablay mein 1.2526 hai. Iska matlab hai ke aik British pound 1.2526 US dollars ke barabar hai. Mazeed, GBPUSD pair ka aik support level bhi hai jo 1.2519 hai, yeh woh qeemat hai jahan currency pair ke liye mazid tajawuz ka mazaaj hota hai aur qeemat ko is level se wapas buland hone ki tawajjo hai. 1.2519 ke upar ek grid of growth orders sthapit karna mumkin hai jab 1.2572 ki mukhtalif mojooda hoti hai. Yeh tajawuz darust hone par market ke haalaat ka faida uthane aur maali maqasid hasil karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Mojudah qeemat par bechnay ka koi raag nahi hai, lekin aik chhota bechnay ka hukm 1.2572 resistance ke bahar ke mukhtalif doran ke andar ghoor kiya ja sakta hai.


GBPUSD daily time frame pe ek ghatein wali expanding channel dekhnay ke baad, ek ascending equidistant channel bhi shakl le sakta hai, jo ke upper boundary ko tor kar trend ka tabadla darust karta hai. Haal ki neechay ki taraf ki impulses jo 1.2455 support se bounce kar rahi hain, woh ek barhne wale minimum ko darust karte hain, jo ke mazeed izafa ya girawat ka imkan deta hai. 1.2577 resistance ko tor kar trend aur channel ka tabadla tasdiq karega, shuru mein 1.2696 aur phir 1.2819 ki taraf nishana banay ga. Char ghantay ki chart par 1.2535 ke mirror level ke neeche saaf trading jaari hai, daily aur weekly scales par bullish stochastics ke sath aur descending trend line ke qareeb hone ke sath, jise breakout ki alamat samjha jata hai. Saaf trading ke neeche girawat ka achanak girne se pehle koi tawaqo nahi ki ja sakti, is liye abhi tak koi girawat ka intezar nahi hai. US dollar ya to mazid mustahkam ho sakta hai ya kamzor, jismain US Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke hawalay se market ke rad-e-amal par munhasir hai.

gbp/usd price overview.
GBPUSD currency pair pichle hafte tak bearish correction mein thi, lekin week ke end tak trading session mein ek shift dekha gaya. Aanay wale trading sessions mein, main ab bhi is baat par optimistic hoon ke ideal area dhoondhne ka aur ek aur BUY trading order place karne ka potential hai, kyunki mere khayal se market mein increase ka potential kaafi bara hai. Is yaqeen ka buniyad yeh hai ke buyer army ne price ko upar push karke 1.2310 level se door move karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki hai. Saath hi, MACD Indicator par histogram bar zero level ke kareeb charhna shuru ho gaya hai.

Agli estimate yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ke technical market conditions ka kya hoga. Mera yeh manna hai ke price ke higher move hone ka chance abhi bhi hai, isliye main samajhta hoon ke BUY option ab bhi consider karne ke layak hai, sirf ek valid setup ki confirmation ka intezar hai taake market mein enter kar sakein aur agle increase target ke liye 1.2575 price range ko aim kar sakein. Agar buyers ki army price ko phir se 1.2585 level ke upar le jane mein kamiyab hoti hai, to is hafte ke market trend mein ziada clear dekha jayega ke price higher move hone ka possibility hai.

Pichle hafte dekha gaya ke prices ko bullish trend ki taraf move karne ki koshish ho rahi thi. Isliye, market mein trading options ke liye, mere khayal se aapko ziada tar BUY trading entry area ko dhoondhne par concentrate karna chahiye. Yeh aaj ke analysis hai.
Pound ka rate lagta hai ke current maximum ko update karega 1.2632 ke aas paas aur yeh 1.23 se jo triple complete ho raha hai, apne aakhri hisse mein, jo khud double zigzag ke form mein hai aur ek possible horizontal triangle ka hissa hai, jo ab GBPUSD currency pair ke liye yahan ban raha hai. Yeh kaafi bara hai aur yeh indicate karta hai ke British dollar ab bhi global bear market mein hai apne bilkul ooper se, jahan ek wedge ban raha hai aur yeh uska aakhri three hai. Kam az kam yeh consolidation yeh hi indicate karti hai, aur euro ke saath correlation ke hisaab se bhi yeh hi baat saamne aati hai. Ek aur possible scenario yeh hai ke north ka continuation ho, foran higher positions ko reach kare, aur phir pound ka girna kaafi pehle hi khatam ho gaya tha, aur yeh saara complex north ab ek naya upward trend hai. Lekin dono scenarios mein, abhi ke liye aapko long hi rehna hoga. Yeh sach zyada der tak nahi chalega, kyun ke 1.2630 ke peak se aage nikalne ke baad poore north flow ki ek correction hogi jo 1.2295 se hai. Aur phir yeh phir se badega aur phir se maximum 1.29 ko update karega aur further north ko confirm karega, ya phir sideways consolidate karega triangle mein aur sirf iski formation complete hone ke baad ek long bullish passage hoga jo 1.3130 aur uske aage nikal jayega.

Dekhte hain, bilkul, ke GBP/USD kaunsa option kaam karega. Aapke chart par daily time period hai, aur aaj ka din doosre scenario ke kaam hone ka aghaz nahi mana jaa sakta. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke GBP/USD 1.2560 se rebound kare aur din ka close 1.2540 ke neeche kare, aur yeh ek signal de sakta hai ke decline cycle shuru ho rahi hai jo GiP formation ke border ki taraf hai, jo 1.2470 par hai. Continued growth ka option tab nazar aayega agar din ka close 1.2560 ke upar hota hai, aur uske baad 1.2625 tak rise ho sakta hai. Expansion toh maujood hai, magar main ab bhi HyP formation ki taraf dekh raha hoon, halanke ab pair 1.2560 ke upar consolidate karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar aap order book dekhein, toh 1.2570 par bade peaks hain volumes mein jo ek rebound de sakte hain, aur main sell volumes 1.26 par maujood hain. Market maker aasani se price ko is level tak drive kar sakta hai taake volumes ko absorb kar sake. Jo cheez interesting hai woh yeh ke in kuch ghanton mein GBP/USD ka growth overbought ko write off kar chuka hai, aur sentiment ab 50/50 hai.