Aud jpy

AUDJPY Technical Outlook:

Australian Dollar aik ahem currency hai aur duniya bhar mein sab se zyada trade hone wali currencies mein se aik hai. Australia ke paas qeemti asbaab, jaise ke lohe ka ore, coal, aur sone shamil hain jo ke uske exports ka ahem hissa hain. India aur, mazeed zyada, China ke qareeb hone ki wajah se Australia ke maal o asbaab ka bara hissa bade importers hain. Is ke ilawa, Australia in mumalik mein bane hui bhari machinery aur maal o asbaab ka bhi import karta hai. Is natije mein, jab bade Australian maal o asbaab ke importers ki mukhtalif doron mein arz e hali se mila, toh Australian exporters par asar hota hai, supply chain ko nuksan pohanchta hai aur Australian dollar ko kamzor karta hai. JPY ko safe haven qarar diya gaya hai aur investors arzi economic risk ke doron mein is currency mein invest karna pasand karte hain. Is ke ilawa, JPY doosri mumalik mein invest karte hue aik qeemti fund source hai, is ke low interest rates ki wajah se. Isi tarah, maali ehsasat ke imtiaz se investors ko high-yield assets mein apni positions ko kholna aur JPY ko barhana chahiye.

Magar, jab yeh cheezein, JPY ko safe-haven asset ke tor par dekha jata hai, peechle dino mein sachi sabit nahi hui, jab yen doosri major currencies ke khilaaf gir gayi. Aik tezi se barhta hua dollar aur Japani economy ke baray mein pareshaniyaat, aur central bank ke action ka faqat ke action ke kareeb girte hue mosam mein soaring inflation ka samna karna safe haven yen ko girne ka shikaar kar raha hai. Jabke technical analysis ek ahem tool hai trades mein shamil hone, nikalne aur pinpoint karne ke liye, lekin directional bias aam tor par macroeconomic factors ke asar mein hota hai jo zyada markets aur individual economies par asar daal sakta hai. Maslan, Ukraine-Russia conflict, inflation, soaring energy prices, aur mazeed iss saal ke market drivers rahe hain. Isi ke ilawa, interest rates, employment, inflation data, GDP aur zyada kisi bhi mumalik ki currency ke movement ko asar daalega. Isi liye, jabke technicals ka istemal karke market mein dakhil aur bahar (stop-losses, take profits, waghera) karna zaroori hai, toh maali/geopolitical data aur activity ke mutabiq tar rahna barabar eham hai.

Moujooda chhote douran ka bearish trend jaldi se neutral ya bearish trend ko dobara set karne ki tawaqqo hai. Chhote douran ke khilaaf jana se bachne ke liye, ho sakta hai ke AUD/JPY ke liye farokht ke leye short positions (farokht ke liye) ko favoure kiya jaye jab tak keemat 99.64 JPY ke neeche acchi tarah se bani rahe. Bechnay walon ke liye agla bearish maqsad 98.95 JPY par tay kiya gaya hai. Is support ke bearish break se bearish momentum dobara zindah ho sakta hai. Bechnay walon ko phir 98.58 JPY par mojood support ki taraf nishana bana sakte hain. Crossing ke surat mein, agla maqsad 98.28 JPY par mojood support hoga. Basic trend wazeh tor par dikhaya nahi gaya hai, tou 98.95 JPY par mojood support ki qeemat ke jawab mein keemat ka jawab dekhne ka tawajjo diya jaye ga. Is support ke saath, trend ke khilaf traders jo apni trading strategy se buy signal par AUD/JPY ko khareedna chahte hain, ko kisi ghabrana nahi chahiye. Keemat ke overall context mein ek narrowing formation ko dekha gaya hai jisme trendline resistance level (Red line) 98.00 ke ooper hai, resistance line ke ooper se guzarne aur band karne se price action ka raasta khul sakta hai, lekin agar price action resistance ke ooper na jaaye, toh price action narrowing formation ke andar se chalu ho sakta hai.

Keemat apne EMA9 aur monthly pivot 95.95 ke ooper trade karta hai, saalana pivot point aur monthly S1 calculation ke nazdeek 93.80 ke ilaqay mein mojood support ka ek milawat nazar aata hai. Price action aur tick volume ke darmiyan ek negative divergence chart par pehchaana gaya hai, aur doosra negative divergence bhi maujood hai price action aur RSI ke darmiyan, jahan price action higher highs bana rahi hai jabke indicators lower highs bana rahe hain. Aik ulta complex Head aur Shoulder formation ko chhotay time frames (4 ghante) par dekha ja sakta hai jab traders FOMC interest rate cuts par tawajjo dete hain, nazariyat ke mutabiq, USD par kam darajat ki dar se chandgi ko zyada asar dikhana chahiye, lekin iska kitna hissa qeemat mein pehle se hi discounted hai, yeh sawal hai. Price action ko neckline par nazdeek se dekha ja sakta hai jab Non-Farm Payroll release ka waqt qareeb aata hai, aik jhoota breakout aur aik pattern failure bhi aik mumkinat hai, khaaskar hafta ke chart aur is ke trendline resistance level (Red line) ke negative divergences ke sath.

AUD/JPY Takneeki Jaiza:

Australian Dollar aik ahem currency hai aur yeh duniya bhar mein sab se zyada trade ki jati hai. Australia ke paas kafi zyada natural resources hain, jaise ke loha, coal, aur sona, jo ke uske exports ka aham hissa hain. Australia ke qareeb India aur China jaise countries Australian maal aur ashyay ko import karte hain. Iske ilawa, Australia is mulkon mein tayar kiye gaye bhari machinery aur maal ko bhi import karta hai. Is natije mein, jab bade importers of Australian goods countries economic instability ke dor se guzarte hain, to yeh Australian exporters par asar dalta hai, supply chain ko nuqsan pohanchata hai aur Australian dollar ko kamzor karta hai. JPY ko aik safe haven maana jata hai aur investors economic risk ke doran is currency mein invest karna pasand karte hain. Mazeed, JPY aik ahem funding source hai doosri nations mein investments ke liye, iski low-interest rates ki wajah se. Is liye, financial risks ke baare mein investors ko unke positions ko high-yield assets mein khol kar JPY ko boost karne ki taraf le ja sakte hain.

Magar, jab tak JPY ko safe-haven asset ke tor par dekha gaya hai, yeh kahna sahi nahi raha, is saal tak, jahan yen bohot se dosri bari currencies ke muqable mein gir gaya hai. Aik tezi se barhti hui dollar aur Japan ki maeeshat ke baare mein pareshaniyon aur central bank ki soaring inflation ko rokne ke liye koi karwai nahi hone ki wajah se, safe haven yen mein girawat nazar aai hai. Jab takneeki analysis ko dakhil hone, nikalne aur trades ko nishandeh karna aik ahem tool hai, directional bias aam tor par macroeconomic factors par depend karta hai jo ke broader markets aur individual economies par asar dalte hain. Masalan, Ukraine-Russia conflict, inflation, soaring energy prices, aur zyada tar is saal ke market drivers hain. Iske ilawa, interest rates, employment, inflation data, GDP aur zyada factors ek country ki currency ke movement par asar dalenge. Is liye, market mein dakhil aur nikalne ke liye technicals ka istemal (stop-losses, take profits, etc.) lazmi hai, lekin economic/geopolitical data aur activity ko barqarar rehna bhi utna hi ahem hai.

Hale hi mein aayi hui chhoti-aurad trend ko jaldi neutral ya bearish trend se dobara set karne ki umeed hai. Chhoti term ko mukhalif karne ke liye, AUD/JPY ke liye short positions (for sale) ko pasand karna mumkin hai jab tak ke price 99.64 JPY ke neeche achhi tarah se rehta hai. Agley bearish objective ke liye sellers ne 98.95 JPY tay kiya hai. Is support ka bearish break bearish momentum ko dobara zinda kar sakta hai. Sellers phir is support ko target kar sakte hain jo ke 98.58 JPY par hai. Crossing ki surat mein, agla maqsad 98.28 JPY par support ka hoga. Kyunki bunyadi trend saaf dikhaya nahi gaya hai, isiliye tawajo ko 98.95 JPY par maujood support ke response par di jani chahiye. Is support ke saath, trend ke mutarif traders jo apni trading strategy se AUD/JPY ko buy signal par khareedna chahte hain, unhe amal mein aana chahiye. Keemat amal ka overall context ek narrowing formation ko dikhata hai jisme trendline resistance level (Red line) 98.00 ke oopar hai, resistance line ka break aur close price action ka raasta khul sakta hai, magar agar price action resistance ke oopar na nikle to price action narrow formation ke andar dobara ja sakti hai.

Keemat apni EMA9 aur mahine ke pivot 95.95 ke oopar trade karna jaari hai, saalana pivot point aur mahine ke S1 calculation ke nazdeek 93.80 ke level par ek support ka majmooa hai. Chart par price action aur tick volume ke darmiyan aik negative divergence pehchana gaya hai, aur doosra negative divergence bhi maujood hai price action aur RSI ke darmiyan, jahan price action higher highs banata hai jab ke indicators lower highs banate hain, aik inverted complex Head and Shoulder formation chhote time frames (4 hours) mein nazar aata hai jab traders FOMC interest rate cuts par afsos karte hain, nazriyatan, USD par kam rates ka asar AUDJPY par mumkin hai, magar yeh ki iski keemat mein se kitna tayyar hai, yeh sawal hai. Neckline par price action ko qareeb se monitor kiya ja sakta hai jab hum Non-Farm Payroll release time ke qareeb pohchte hain, aik false breakout aur a pattern failure bhi mumkin hain, khaaskar hafta war chart aur uske trendline resistance level par negative divergences dekhne ke baad. (Red line).

AUDJPY

Technical summary market ke maahol ki jhalak faraham karta hai. Ye parameters market ka halat aur raasta maloom karne ke liye hote hain. Traders ko sahi trade ka pata lagane ke liye mukammal tajziya ki zarurat hoti hai. Currency correlation ek aise pehlu hai jis mein ek pair doosray pair se taluq rakhta hai. Currency correlation ek adad pe mabni hai jo -1 se +1 tak ka hai, bilkul waise hi jaise correlation coefficient. Is currency correlation mein shamil adad ke values rishtay ki satah ko dikhate hain. Australian Dollar Japanese Yen (AUD/JPY) ne hal hi mein ek shandar uparward rukh dikhaya hai, haal hi mein symmetric triangle pattern se nikal kar, jo chart par neela rang se darust kiya gaya hai. Ye breakout sirf ek technical kamiyabi nahi hai; balki yeh ek mazboot bullish momentum ko bhi darust karta hai jo is pair mein ban raha hai. Is uparward movement ke saath hi ek ahem horizontal resistance ka tor bhi hua hai, jo chart par hara rang se darust kiya gaya hai, jo mojooda trend ki taqat ko mazeed mustaqil karta hai. AUD/JPY mein hal hilal mein izafa dilchasp hai. Magar, forex trading ki duniya mein, aise tezi se oonchayeein aksar bearish corrections ke mumkinat ko buland karte hain. Ek pullback, shayad aisa keh pair ko haal hi mein par karne wale haray huye haray resistance ke neeche bhi lay jaaye, nahi rula ja sakta. Aise corrections lambe arse ke trends ko barqarar rakhne mein fitri aur sehatmand hotay hain.


Ye traders ke liye mauqa faraham karte hain jo shuru ki wave of the uptrend ko miss kar chuke hain aur mojooda bullish narrative mein shamil hone ka mouqa faraham karte hain. Australian dollar ko ek commodity currency ke tor par jana jata hai Australia ka global sone ki production aur export mein kirdar ke bais. Aussie lambay arse ke mutaliq gold ki qeemat ke saath ek mustaqil musbat taluq rakhta hai. Jabke, Canadian dollar bhi ek commodity currency ke tor par darj kiya jata hai, aur yeh energy products crude oil aur natural gas ke sath taluq rakhta hai. Kyunki Australian dollar pehli currency (base currency) hai aur Canadian dollar doosri currency (quote currency) hai, is pair ko ek cross currency pair kaha jata hai. AUD/JPY zyada popular currency pairs mein se ek hai trading ke liye, magar yeh zaroori nahi hai ke ye har kisi ke liye behtareen ho. AUD/JPY currency pair volatility ke lehaz se jaani jati hai aur isliye zyada tajurba kar traders ke liye munasib ho sakti hai jo taizi se daamadon ke tabdeel hotay huye faida utha sakte hain. Yeh currency pair un logon ke liye bhi munasib ho sakta hai jo zyada volatility wale markets mein trading pasand karte hain, sath hi lambe arse ke investors ke liye bhi jo yakeen rakhte hain ke waqt ke saath Australian dollar ki qeemat mein izafa hoga Japanese yen ke muqablay mein. Jesa ke kisi bhi trading ke mamlay mein hota hai, AUD/JPY pairing mein shiraynayi se pahle tamam factors ka mukammal taqreeban karne ka bohot zaroori hai aur yeh bhi yaqeeni banane ka ke aap ko is khaas pairing ko kis tarah ke market forces asar andaz karte hain ka mazboot ilm hai. Primary buy signal mazboot hai aur jab tak AUD/JPY triangle pattern ke hadood ke oopar bana rahega, yeh barqarar rahega. Is pattern ke oopar jaana ek bullish misaal hai, aur sirf agar triangle ke hadood mein wapas jaaya jaye to yeh nazar-e-bad ko daba dega. Triangle mein wapas aana sirf bullish momentum ki kamee aur ek jhootay breakout scenario ke daira ko ghata dega.

AUDJPY pair ki mukhya trend ab bhi mazboot bullish hai pichle saal se. Saath hi, keemat ke pattern ka dhancha mustaqil hai, jo zyada bulandi - zyada niche banata hai. Halan ke ab keemat 98.73 ke resistance ko test kar rahi hai takay bulandi ka mazid chalne ka silsila jari rahe. Keemat bar bar zyada niche pattern mein sudhar hoti hai lekin ek darust zyada bulandi abhi tak bana nahi hai. Agar daily candle ka band umeed par rehta hai to ye yaqeeni hai ke keemat ka silsila jari rahega. Agar band keemat resistance ke neeche hai, to ye ishara hai ke keemat ko zyada niche sudharaya gaya hai.

Neeche keemat 96.84 zyada bulandi ka dhancha ke qareebi naa-qabel-e-inkar level hain jo ab mojood hai. Maslan, agar keemat resistance 98.73 par inkar ka samna kare, to neeche keemat ka imtehaan liya jayega taake dhancha ko ek zyada niche badal dia jaye. Iske ilawa, keemat ke harkatayn resistance ke aas paas overbought zone mein Stochastic indicator ke parameters ke saath milte hain. Ye darust karta hai ke upar ki keemat ka chalne wala silsila jald hi apni had tak pohanch jayega aur parameter crossing ke baad ek neeche ki sudharayi darust hoti hai.

Rozana time frame par mabni trading tajwezat ko kal ke keemat ke tajurbaat ka intezar behtar hai. BUY positions 98.73 ke resistance ke upar band keemat par rakh sakte hain aur isi tarah SELL positions ko bhi resistance ke neeche band keemat par rakha ja sakta hai. Maqasid ke liye 1:1 Risk: Reward ratio ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai kyun ke resistance ke aas paas keemat ke harkatayn darust tasdeeq nahi deti hain.

Kal ke trading mein AUDJPY market ki haalat phir se kharidaron ke control mein aayi, kharidaron ne AUDJPY keemat ko buland karna mein zyada taqat dikhayi, is se tasdeeq milti hai ke AUDJPY market ki trendi soorat phir se bullish trend mein chal rahi hai, jise main samajhta hoon ke AUDJPY market ki halat mein jab kharidar dabao hota hai jo ke qareebi resistance area mein dhakel sakta hai, iska moqa hai ke zyada aur mustaqil kharidar taqat ko le kar aane ka dabaav ban sakta hai taake AUDJPY keemat ko bulandi ke resistance area ki taraf jari rakha jaye.

AUD/JPY

Bunyadi Asar (GDP) Ka Tareekhi Asar 'Asal' Se Ziada Ahmiyat Rakhta Hai 'Guman' Taakay Paisay Ke Liye Behtar Hai; Maheena War 'Genuine' Takreeban 60 Din Baad Pesh Kiya Jata Hai, Maheena Khatam Hone Ke Lagbag 60 Din Baad; Ye Iqtisadi Faaliyat Ka Sab Se Broad Toul Hai Aur Muashiyat Ki Sehat Ka Sabaq Numa Meter Hai; Aur Berozgar Cases, Ibtidai Cases Hello, Forex Subscribers Aur Dosto, Umeed Hai Aap Sab Theek Honge. Aaj Main Ne AUD/JPY Pair Ki Tashreeh Tayyar Ki Hai. Is Muddat Ko Dekh Kar, Aaj Main Khas Tadrees Kar Raha Hoon. AUD/JPY Ke Model Ke Mutabiq, Mumkin Hai Ke AUD/JPY Qeemat Mein Kami Ho. Oversold Level Ke Qareeb, General Strength Index (RSI-14) Indicator 62.8824 Par Mazboot Hai. General Strength Index (RSI-14) Jab 44 Level Ko Cross Karta Hai, To Yeh Bechnay Ka Ishara Deta Hai. Is Tarah, Jab Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Oscillator Market Mein Kami Ho, To Market Ki Qeemat Gir Jayegi. Is Baat Ko Is Chart Par Zyada Halat Mein Dekha Ja Sakta Hai Jab AUD/JPY Qeemat 44-Day Moving Average Line Se Neeche Gir Jaati Hai Aur Iske Qareeb Chhoti Roshni Ho Jaati Hai. Market Ka Uperward Movement 99.18 Ke Darjaat Ko Zahir Karta Hai, Jabke Agla Maqam 100.77 Ke Tor Par Dikhta Hai. Iske Baad, Market Ki Qeemat 101.79 Ke Darjaat Par Pohanchegi Jo Ke Maujooda Rokawat Ka Muntakil Jaiza Hai. Dusri Taraf, AUD/JPY Ke Liye Nazdeeki Support Level 97.84 Hai. Sath Hi, Sellers Ka Agla Maqsad Mazboot Support 96.51 Ke Darjaat Mein Dakhil Hona Hai. Agar Market Value Is Support Level Ko Todti Hai, To Market Cost Ko Support Ka Muntakil Jaiza Ho Sakta Hai. Hamesha Yeh Yaad Rakhen Ke Behtareen Paisay Ke Management Ka Istemal Zaroori Hai Taake Trading Mehfooz Aur Asaan Rahe.

AUD/JPY

AUDJPY daily time frame par ek mazboot bullish structure dikhata hai. Price movements ne 98,727 key resistance level ko penetrate kiya aur mazeed mazbooti hasil ki jab tak ke ek naya high 100,140 mein bana. EMA 50 ka position EMA 100 ke upar hai, jo ke buying power ko darust karta hai aur market mein abhi bhi dominance hai. Is waqt, hum highest level tak pohanchne ke baad ek downward correction dekh rahe hain. Yeh correction ek natural response hai market ka jab ek significant strengthening ke baad hota hai. Ek mumkinah scenario yeh hai ke price ek support point dhoondhega pehle se upar ki uptrend ko resume karne se pehle. Price movement pattern ko dekhte hue jo ke ab retest resistance level ke aas paas hai, wahan ek mumkinah hai ke resistance level jo ke tod diya gaya tha, woh new support ban jaye. Magar yeh bhi possible hai ke price demand zone mein wapas gir sakta hai jo ke 97,390 - 97,924 ke range mein hai, pehle se upar ki bullish trend ko continue karne se pehle.




AUDJPY H1 ANALYSIS

H1 time frame par AUD/JPY currency pair ek interesting price movement pattern dikhata hai. Dekha gaya hai ke price ne 98,474 ke base ke aas paas ek kaafi mazboot support level banaya. Yeh level sellers ke correction ko rokne mein kamiyab raha, jo ke darust karta hai ke prices ko is level ke upar rakhne ke liye kafi buying power hai. Waise ke support level ko touch karne ke baad rebound hua hai, mujhe lagta hai ke resistance 99,207 ke aas paas todne mein mushkil ho rahi hai. EMA 50 aur EMA 100 abhi bhi price ke saath mil rahe hain, jo ke trend ki direction abhi tak clear nahi hai. Yeh market consolidation ya uncertainty ki aik nishani ho sakti hai jahan buyers aur sellers ke forces balance mein hain.

Mera trading plan yeh hai ke main support level ka retest ka wait karunga. Agar is level se neeche ki taraf break hoti hai, toh yeh sell position ke liye ek signal ho sakta hai jo ke 97,651 - 97,842 ke base demand price ki taraf girne ka potential rakhta hai. Dusri taraf, agar 98,474 ke support level ko abhi bhi hold kar sakta hai aur bullish rejection candlestick pattern ki confirmation ho, toh yeh ek buy position ke liye ek mauka ho sakta hai. Yeh confirmation ek candlestick pattern ke roop mein ho sakti hai jaise ke hammer ya bullish engulfing jo ke price ke girne ko na manne ka dikhata hai aur ek potential reversal ko bullish direction mein dikhata hai.