eur usd

EUR/USD pair

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Hamari apni tajziya EUR/USD pair ke baare mein aaj ke 31st March ko ek ghante ka time frame chart ke saath:

Pair ab head and shoulders pattern bana raha hai jahan pattern ka head price 1.0769 par tha aur left shoulder price 1.0727 par tha aur ab pair right shoulder banata ja raha hai aur jab yeh right shoulder mukammal ho jaye ga to trend ko reverse kare ga aur humara pehla target 200 moving average simple hai main samajhta hoon ke yeh 200 moving price 1.0825 par milay ga magar agar pair wapas head of pattern par laut aaye aur ise tor de aur 1.0230 ke neeche stable ho jaye to yeh trend ke saath aur neeche girne ka ishara hai.

Hamari EUR/USD pair ke liye takneeki tajziya aaj ki tarikh 31st March 2024 ko char ghante ka time chart frame ke saath:

Haal hi mein pair ne pehli resistance ko cross kar ke char ghante ka candle price 1.0799 par band karne mein kamyabi haasil ki jab wo bolinger stop indicator line support ke upar stable hua to hum ab up trend ke saath jate hain lekin agar pair wapas laut kar bolinger support ke neeche band ho jaaye to yeh neeche gir kar naye bottom ko register karne ka ishara hai.

EUR/USD H1
EUR/USD pair ki harkat ka tajziya, khaaskar Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke sath sath Kumo cloud ke lehaz se, potential market trends ka pehchaan karne ke liye ahem hai. Haal hi mein, EUR/USD pair mein aik noticeable izafa dekha gaya hai. Magar, is upward trend ke bawajood, Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines abhi tak intersect nahi hui hain. Is crossover ki mojoodgi ka faqat na hona ye ishara deta hai ke pair ke liye mazeed khami ka imkan hai. Tenkan Sen, jo ke conversion line ke tor par jana jata hai, aur Kijun Sen, jo baseline ke tor par jana jata hai, Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke do ahem hisso hain. Jab Tenkan Sen Kijun Sen se ooper se guzarti hai, to ye aik bullish signal samjha jata hai, jo ke potential upward trend ka ishara hai. Mukhtalif tor par, jab Tenkan Sen Kijun Sen se neeche se guzarti hai, to ye aik bearish signal hai, jo ke potential downward trend ka ishara karta hai. Kyunke dono lines abhi tak intersect nahi hui hain, iska matlab hai ke mojooda uptrend shayad qaim nahi hai aur mukhtalif ho sakta hai. Mazeed, Kumo cloud, jo ke mustaqbil ki qeemat ki harkat ko darust karta hai aur support ya resistance ka kaam karta hai, ab white mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Kumo cloud mein surkhi se safed rang mein tabdeeli hone ka matlab hai ke bearish se neutral stance ki taraf raftar ka tabadla ho gaya hai. Is transition ke bawajood, ye ke Kumo mojooda qeemat se ooper hai is baat ko ahmiyat di jati hai ke nazdeeki mustaqbil mein girawat ka imkan hai. Karobarion aur investors ko in technical indicators ko maddi faislon ke baray mein soch samajh kar unki trading strategies ka faisla karna mein madad milti hai. Is moamlay mein, Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke darmiyan crossover ki mojoodgi ka na hona, sath hi white Kumo cloud, ehtiyaat se kaam lena ki soorat hai. Halankeh EUR/USD pair mein haal hi mein izafa acha nazar aa raha hai, lekin jald hi muddat-e-am tak market ki raay tabdeel ho sakti hai. Jaise ke peer ke qareeb aata hai, market ke hissedar EUR/USD pair ko dekhte rahenge kisi bhi tabdeeliyon ke liye jo girawat ke mustaqbil ki sambhavna ko tasdeeq ya radd kar sakti hai. Market dynamics ka mukammal samajh hasil karne aur achi tarah sochi samjhi trading faislon ka faisla karne ke liye fundamental analysis aur geopolitical events ke sath sath technical indicators ko bhi mad-e-nazar rakhna ahem hai.

EUR-USD Pair Ka Jaiza:

Hafte ke shuru mein market ka aghaaz EURUSD jore ki taraf aik chaunka denay wala spike ke sath hua. Magar jab main isay kuch doosre brokers ke sath muqabla karta hoon, to nazar aata hai ke 1.1000 ki satah se ooper tak koi numayan rally movement nahi hui hai. Agar aisa hota hai to yeh retail traders ke liye jo SELL positions rakh rahe hain, bohot nuqsan deh ya na insafi bhara hoga. Technically, mere tajziye ke mutabiq, EURUSD pair abhi bhi bearish trend mein hai kyun ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ab tak kisi death cross signal ko zaahir nahi karte. Peshgoi ki gayi qeemat ki movement ab bhi 1.0700 ki satah se neeche ki sambhaavna rakhti hai.

Agar aap Stochastic indicator ke parameters par nazar daalen, jo ke lagbhag oversold zone tak pohanch chuke hain, to neeche ki taraf ki rally khatam hone wali hai aur ooper ki taraf movement hone wali hai. Yeh Moving Average indicator ke dikhaye gaye trend direction ke haalat ke khilaaf hai. SBR 1.0731 area ab bhi resistance hai jo ke ooper ki taraf ki correction ko jaari rakhne ke liye paar karna zaroori hai. Misal ke taur par, agar qeemat ooper ki taraf ki correction ko jaari rakhne mein nakaam rehti hai kyun ke SBR area ke aas paas rejection ka samna karna parta hai, to qeemat 1.0675 ke qareeb tareen kam qeematon ko test kar sakti hai aur phir decline ko 1.0615 ki support tak jaanchne ke liye jaari rakh sakti hai.



Meray liye, trading setup ab bhi behtar hai agar trend following strategy ka istemaal kiya jaye to bas SELL moment ka intezar karna chahiye. Position entry point SBR 1.0731 area ke aas paas hai jis ka qareeb tareen target kam qeematon 1.0675 hai aur stop loss SMA 200 par hai. Tasdeeq ke liye, aap intezar kar sakte hain jab tak ke Stochastic indicator ke parameters overbought zone ko cross karein ya kam az kam level 50 tak pohanch jayein.

EUR/USD Currency Pair ka Tajzia: 4 Ghantay ka Waqt Frame

Hum is waqt ke frame par EUR/USD currency pair ki harkat ka tajzia karengay aur Extended Regression StopAndReverse linear regression indicator ke mojooda ishaaray ki musbat tajweez ko RSI aur MACD oscillator indicators ke sath tasdeeq kar ke ek mufassal trading plan tayyar karengay. Hum market mein daakhil hone ke liye behtareen points talash karengay aur munafa hasil karne ke baad, hum Fibonacci grid ke qareebi correctional levels ko ghaur se dekhein ge, jo trading timeframe ke extremes tak phaila hua hai, taake hum position ko band karne ke liye sab se faidamand point ka sahi intikhab kar saken.

Jo chart hum study kar rahe hain (H4 timeframe), us par hum dekh sakte hain ke, is waqt, pehle darje ki regression line (sonayi dotted line) jo alaat ki simt aur mojooda trend ki halat dikhata hai, neechay ki taraf tezi se ja rahi hai, jo ke janubi simt mein ek mazboot trend movement ko zahir karta hai. Nonlinear regression channel (ghumavdar ya mukhtalif rangon ke lines) seedha ho gaya hai aur sonayi uptrend line ko oopar se neeche ki taraf cross kar chuka hai aur is waqt neechay ki janubi movement dikhata hai.



Qeemat ne linear regression channel ke neelay support line 2-nd LevelSupLine ko cross kiya lekin quotes ki minimum value (LOW) 1.05971 tak pohanchi, jis ke baad is ne apni decline ko rok diya aur dheere dheere barhna shuru kar diya. Is waqt, yeh alaat 1.07052 ki price level par trade kar rahi hai. Sab kuch dekhte hue, main tawaqo karta hoon ke market price quotes 2-nd LevelSupLine channel line (1.07915) ke FIBO level of 50% ke oopar wapas aakar consolidate ho jayen aur mazeed oopar ki taraf golden average line LR of the linear channel 1.08320 ki taraf move karein, jo Fibo level of 61.8 % ke saath milta hai. Note karein ke auxiliary indicators RSI (14) aur MACD oversold area mein hain aur yeh bhi zahir karte hain ke instrument ki qeemat mein izafa hone ka zyada imkaan hai.

Euro (EUR) ne US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf lagataar chaar din tak mazbooti haasil ki, jisay Amerika ki mayoosi bhari ma'eeshat data ne ta'ayed di. Budh ke roz, Europi tijarat ke aghaz mein, EUR/USD jori 1.0705 ke qareeb pohanch gayi. Ye izafa kamzor US April Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ke sabab aya jo Ameriki manufacturing sector mein susti ko zahir karta hai aur dollar par asar andaaz hua. Din ke baqi hissay mein, Atlantic ke dono kinaron se aane wale ahem data currency markets par asar andaz honge. Germany ka Ifo Business Climate Index, jo karobari jazbaat ka paimana hai, budh ke roz jari hone ki tawaqo hai. Ye data, March ke Ameriki durable goods orders ke sath, mutalqa ma'economies ki sehat ke baray mein mazeed surag faraham karega. Halankay haal hi mein EUR/USD mein izafa hua hai, technical indicators 4-ghantay ke chart par musalsal downtrend ke imkanat ko zahir karte hain. Jori abhi bhi ahem 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se neeche hai, jo ke bearish dabao ko zahir karta hai. Magar, is level ke oopar tootna ek trend reversal aur uptrend ki taraf wapsi ka ishara ho sakta hai.



Mazeed barh ke, EUR/USD ke liye Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhal 66 ke qareeb hai, jo bullish territory ko zahir karta hai. Is ka matlub hai ke Euro ko Dollar ke khilaf mazeed qadar mein izafa karne ki gunjaish hai. Dollar ki haal hi mein kami budh ke roz jari hone wale US inflation report ki barah-e-raast nateeja hai. Ye data Federal Reserve ke foran interest rate mein kami ki umeedon ko tor diya, kyun ke is ne inflationary pressures ko mazid mazboot bata diya. Ye surat-e-haal European Central Bank (ECB) ke ishare ke bilkul mukhalif hai, jo ke June mein interest rates mein kami ka irada zahir kar chuki hai. US aur Europe ke monetary policy moqif mein ye ikhtilaf currency markets par bara asar andaaz ho raha hai. Agar EUR/USD jori decisively dono upper Bollinger Band aur 100-period EMA (1.0710-1.0715 ke area) se oopar toot jati hai, to April 11 ke high 1.0756 ki taraf aik surge mumkin hai. Mazeed oopar resistance March 22 ke low aur psychological level 1.0800 ke intersection par hai. Is ke ilawa, April 4 ke high 1.0875 aik ahem upar ki barrier ho sakti hai. Nechay ki taraf, EUR/USD jori ke liye pehli support level April 23 ke low 1.0638 hai. Is level se neeche girne par lower Bollinger Band ko 1.0625 tak gira sakti hai. Agar jori is point se neeche gir jati hai, to November 2 ka low 1.0565 agla hadaf ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD:
Aaj, chalo EUR/USD currency pair par nazar daalo. Kuch US Economic data kuch ghanton pehle release hua (FOMC); Government Open Market Committee aur Central Bank Governor Christopher Waller; Expected se zyada hawkish stance currency ke liye behtar hai. Aakhir mein, Central Bank FOMC members vote karte hain ke mulk ke key interest rates kahaan set karein, aur unki public statements aksar future monetary policy ke hints dene ke liye istemaal hoti hain. EUR/USD ka price abhi kareeban 1.0836-1.07835 ke darmiyan hai, aur likhne ke waqt USD index 105.150 par hai. Humne ek minor shift experience kiya hai aur ab bhi growth potential dekha ja sakta hai. 1.0836 ke local high ko paar karke aur uske upar consolidate hone mein ek favorable buying opportunity hai. 1.07837 level par, ek strong signal emerge hota hai, potential growth ko dikhate hue. Jabki 1.0853 range ke aas paas thoda sa correction ho sakta hai, lekin continued growth ki umeed hai. Haal hi market correction ko madde nazar rakhte hue, humari buying activity ko barhaana mashwara hai. 1.0827 ke local top ke upar breakout aur uske upar consolidate hone par further purchases ko encourage kiya jaayega. Usi tarah, 1.0774 ke local high ko paar karna ek strong buying opportunity ko signal karega. Growth ki umeed hai ek minor correction ke baad southward. 1.0800 ke upar break hone par continued strength ki umeed hai. EUR/USD H4 timeframe mein, ek downward impulse jo 1.0784 ke upar break karta hai, ek achha buying opportunity ko signal kar sakta hai, haalaanki aaj ko koi badi giravat ka intezaar nahi hai.


Meri tajziya mein, EUR/USD nazar mein istiqamat se manfi nazar aata hai, jo ek neeche ki taraf trend ko darust karta hai. Is chart par MACD indicator aur moving average lines bhi is manfi trend ko tasdeeq karte hain. MACD positive zone mein hai. Haal hi market ke EUR/USD price action bhi 100 Simple Moving Average ke upar hai, jo ke bas thoda oopar 100 Simple Moving Average par trade kar raha hai. Mazeed, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator manfi trend ko dikhata hai kyunki signal line zero line ke neeche hai. Tamam indicators taqatwar manfi momentum ki taraf ishaarat karte hain.

EUR/USD ke liye ibtidaai resistance level 1.0800 hai. Agar pair bullish direction mein is level ko paar karta hai, to agla target 1.0750 hoga. Uske baad, pair 1.0839 resistance level ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo teesra resistance level hai. Mukhalif, EUR/USD ke liye bunyadi support level 1.0773 hai. Agar pair is support level ko neeche todta hai, to neeche ki taraf trend jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Uske baad, pair 1.0836 support level ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo teesra support level hai. Shukriya.

Technical Analysis of EUR/USD
Pichlay trading haftay mein, euro ne 1.0763 ke maqami buland tareen maqam ko ubor kiya aur mazid mazboot honay ki koshish jari rakhi. Qeemat foran is satah se neeche gir gayi lekin bahaal ho kar apni asal position par wapas aa gayi aur istehqam jari rakha. Halaanki, ye hadaf ke ilaqay tak nahi pohanch saki, pichlay manzarname ki tawakoaat ke baraks, ye manzar nama ab bhi jari hai. Daryan, qeemat ka chart sabz supertrend zone mein hai, jo kharidari ki sergarmi ka ishaara deta hai.

America ke consumer aur producer price levels par afraat-e-zar ka data bhi expected hai kyun ke sarmaaya kaar aise ishaarat talash kar rahe hain jo yeh tasdeeq karen ke Federal Reserve shara-e-sud mein kami se pehle zyada intezar karega. Is ke ilawa, mutawaqqa data se yeh bhi zahir honay ka imkaan hai ke afraat-e-zar mustahkam honay laga hai aur tezi se barhne ka imkaan nahi. Nai trading haftay ke pehle din mein American Treasury yields mein kami hui. 10 saal ki American Treasury note ki yield pichlay roz ke band hone se 4.502 percent se kam ho kar 4.478 percent ho gayi.

Is waqt, jori mukhtalif simton mein trading kar rahi hai aur hafta-war buniyad par neutral hai. Ahem support areas ka ab tak ihsaas aur barqarar rehna baaqi hai, jo pasandeeda upward vector ki relevance zahir karta hai. Qeemat ko mojooda price zone mein mustahkam hona chahiye aur 1.0763 ke level ke qareeb khud ko mehdood karna chahiye, jo ke ahem support area ki sarhad hai. Agar aik correction hoti hai, to humein is area ka dubara test karne ki tawako karni chahiye jis mein mazeed gehraai aur is ke baad bounce hoga, jo 1.0926 aur 1.1033 ke darmiyan ke area ko hadaf banayega taake aik aur upward momentum faraham kiya ja sake. Yeh aik mouqa faraham karega.

Agar support toot jati hai aur 1.0694 ke pivot level se neeche girti hai, to mojooda manzarnama ulat jayega. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhein: