Aud usd

AUD/USD

Australian dollar (AUD) Jumma ko shuruati faiday ke baad bechne ka dabao ka samna kar raha hai, abhi 0.6530 ke qareeb mojood hai. Ye iske bawajood aya hai ke kuch musbat taraqqiyan hain, jese ke Chinese Prime Minister ki Australia ki ziyarat ka mansooba, jo AUD ko mazeed mazboot kar sakta hai. Magar, aam taur par tasavur US dollar (USD) ke liye hota hai kyun ke Federal Reserve ka hawkish nazriya hai. Monday ko US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ke dawra jari data ke mutabiq, core Consumer Price Index (CPI) ne mustaqil tor par 0.4% aur 3.8% ke sath barhavat darj ki, ye dikhata hai ke ab rate cuts ki zarurat nahi hai. CPI energy aur khana peena jese jazbat farokht ke keemat ko bahar rehne diya hai. Consumer inflation expectations mein izafay ke wajah se ab kam umeed hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rates ko pehle se zyada kam karega. Aane wale 12 maheenon ke inflation ke liye umeedain pehle ke 4.3% se 4.6% tak barh gayi hain, Melbourne Institute ke mutabiq.

Technically, AUD/USD bearish chart pattern se bahar nikalne mein nakam raha, jis ne bechne ka intezar barha diya. Currency 0.6477 ke qareeb support levels ke qareeb hai aur apne 20 dinon ke average ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo kam demand ko dikhata hai. Momentum indicators bhi nazdeek mein qabil-e-bardasht ooperi mumkinat ki taraf ishara karte hain. Agar AUD mazeed kamzor hota hai aur 0.6485 ke neeche gir jata hai, traders chhote dour ke kharidar darwazon ko khol sakte hain, jo 0.6440 ya 0.6400 ke qareeb munafa hasil karne ke liye hain. Magar, 0.6635 ke upar nikal jaane par trend ka ulta ishara de sakta hai, jo jodi ko 0.6667 ya mazeed 0.6700 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Takneeki isharaat dekhte hue, MACD kamzor momentum ka ishara deta hai, jabke RSI kuch ishaare ek mumkin ooperi harkat ke ki taraf dikhata hai. Agar musbat momentum barhta hai to jodi 0.6666 ke qareeb muzir ko pohanch sakti hai. Aam tor par, AUD/USD China-Australia ta'alluqat mein izafa aur mazboot US dollar ke darmiyan tug-of-war mein phansa hai. Jodi ka rukh aane wale dinon mein kaunsa quwwat zyada taasir daari sabit karta hai, is par munhasir ho sakta hai.

AUDUSD ko dekhte hue, yeh sahi hai ke ispar bechne ka dabao hai, lekin iski kuch positive taraqqiyan bhi hain jo isko stabilise kar sakti hain. Yeh wakt aur tajziye ke liye samajhdaar intezar ka wakt ho sakta hai. Pehle, hum dekhte hain ke kyun AUDUSD par bechne ka dabao hai. Ek wajah yeh ho sakti hai ke global economic conditions mein uncertainty hai, jiski wajah se investors safe haven currencies ki taraf jyada rujhan kar rahe hain. Iske alawa, geopolitical tensions aur trade tensions bhi ispar pressure daal sakte hain. Lekin, iske bawajood, kuch musbat taraqqiyan bhi mojood hain jo AUDUSD ko support kar rahe hain. Ek wajah yeh ho sakti hai ke Australia ki economy mein taraqqi ho rahi hai aur iske fundamentals strong hain. Iske alawa, commodity prices bhi stable hain, jo Australia ke liye acha hai kyunke yeh ek major commodity exporter hai. Iske alawa, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke monetary policies bhi AUDUSD ko influence kar sakti hain. Agar RBA ne supportive monetary policies adopt ki hain ya phir future mein adopt karne ki sambhavna hai, toh yeh AUDUSD ko support kar sakti hai. Ab, traders ko ek samajhdaar tajziya ki zarurat hai ke kya future mein AUDUSD ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Iske liye, economic indicators aur geopolitical developments ka dhyan rakhna zaruri hai. Economic indicators jaise ke GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation figures AUDUSD ki movement ko influence kar sakte hain. Geopolitical tensions bhi ek important factor hain jo AUDUSD par impact daal sakte hain. Kisi bhi tension ya conflict ke samay, investors safe haven currencies jaise ke USD ki taraf bhagte hain, jo AUDUSD ko pressure mein daal sakta hai. Saath hi, global economic conditions bhi AUDUSD ke liye important hain. Agar global economic conditions improve hote hain, toh risk-on sentiment badhta hai, jismein investors riskier assets jaise ke AUD ko prefer karte hain, jo AUDUSD ko support karta hai. In sab factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko apni strategies ko adapt karna chahiye aur samajhdaar tajziye ke saath chalna chahiye. Short term fluctuations ko ignore karke, long term trends aur fundamentals ko dhyan mein rakhte hue investments karna zaruri hai. Overall, AUDUSD par bechne ka dabao hai, lekin kuch musbat taraqqiyan bhi mojood hain jo isko support kar rahe hain. Samajhdaar tajziya aur sahi strategies ke saath, traders future ki movement ko samajh sakte hain aur sahi samay par apne decisions ko adjust kar sakte hain.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ke daam lagataar teen sessions se barh rahe hain. Yeh mazbooti zyadatar is umeed par mabni hai ke Australian Reserve Bank (RBA) ka rukh US Federal Reserve ke mukablay mein zyada hawkish ho sakta hai. Reuters ke ek poll ke mutabiq, economists ka andaza hai ke RBA apni agle meeting mein jo ke mangal ko hai, sood ki mojooda shirh 4.35% par barqarar rakhega, shayad September tak is mein tabdeeli na ho. Yeh sakht rukh US Federal Reserve ke is faislay ke mukablay mein hai ke wo budh ko sood ki shirh ko tabdeel nahi karega. Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke ehtiyat se bhare bayanat, jin mein mazeed sood ki shirh barhane ki imkanat ko kam kaha gaya, ne US dollar ko kamzor kar diya. Haal hi mein Australia mein inflation ke aankde mutawaqqa se zyada aaye hain, jo ke qayas lagaye ja rahe hain ke RBA is saal baad mein hone wale kisi bhi mumkin sood ki katein ko taakhir de sakta hai. Dono markazi banks ke darmiyan monetary policy ki tawqoat mein ikhtilaf AUD ki qadar ko barha raha hai. US dollar index (DXY), jo ke greenback ki karkardagi ko chah bade currencies ke saath napta hai, dabaav mein hai. US dollar ki kamzori AUD ko mazbooti de rahi hai. Jumma ko AUD/USD ka exchange rate lag bhag 0.6570 ke gird tha.



Technical indicators bhi AUD/USD jore ke liye bullish outlook ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se ooper hai, jo market mein musbat raftaar ko zahir karta hai. Is ke sath, AUD/USD ek ascending triangle pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke aane wale waqt mein 0.6600 ki nafsiyati level ka test hone ki tawqoat ko barha raha hai. Agar yeh level ke ooper decisively break ho jata hai, to yeh jore 0.6630 ki taraf ja sakta hai, aur shayad March ke highs 0.6667 tak pohanch sakta hai. Taa-hum, neeche ki taraf ke khatraat ko tasleem karna zaroori hai. Agar AUD/USD apne mojooda level se neeche aata hai, to pehli support 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo ke 0.6528 hai, par mil sakti hai. Mazeed giravat isay triangle pattern ki lower boundary jo ke 0.6500 ki nafsiyati level ke qareeb hai, tak le ja sakti hai. Agar yeh support tor di jati hai, to 0.6480 ke bounce point tak test ho sakta hai. Kul mila ke, Australian dollar filhal RBA aur Federal Reserve ke darmiyan interest rate policies mein muntazar ikhtilafat ki wajah se saazgar hawaein le raha hai. Technical tasveer bhi qareebi mustaqbil mein upper ki taraf move hone ki sambhavnayon ko mazboot karta hai. Taa-hum, currency market ko effectively navigate karne ke liye mumkinah support levels par chaukanna rehna zaroori hai.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ke daam lagataar teen sessions se barh rahe hain. Yeh mazbooti zyadatar is umeed par mabni hai ke Australian Reserve Bank (RBA) ka rukh US Federal Reserve ke mukablay mein zyada hawkish ho sakta hai. Reuters ke ek poll ke mutabiq, economists ka andaza hai ke RBA apni agle meeting mein jo ke mangal ko hai, sood ki mojooda shirh 4.35% par barqarar rakhega, shayad September tak is mein tabdeeli na ho. Yeh sakht rukh US Federal Reserve ke is faislay ke mukablay mein hai ke wo budh ko sood ki shirh ko tabdeel nahi karega. Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke ehtiyat se bhare bayanat, jin mein mazeed sood ki shirh barhane ki imkanat ko kam kaha gaya, ne US dollar ko kamzor kar diya. Haal hi mein Australia mein inflation ke aankde mutawaqqa se zyada aaye hain, jo ke qayas lagaye ja rahe hain ke RBA is saal baad mein hone wale kisi bhi mumkin sood ki katein ko taakhir de sakta hai. Dono markazi banks ke darmiyan monetary policy ki tawqoat mein ikhtilaf AUD ki qadar ko barha raha hai. US dollar index (DXY), jo ke greenback ki karkardagi ko chah bade currencies ke saath napta hai, dabaav mein hai. US dollar ki kamzori AUD ko mazbooti de rahi hai. Jumma ko AUD/USD ka exchange rate lag bhag 0.6570 ke gird tha.



Technical indicators bhi AUD/USD jore ke liye bullish outlook ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se ooper hai, jo market mein musbat raftaar ko zahir karta hai. Is ke sath, AUD/USD ek ascending triangle pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke aane wale waqt mein 0.6600 ki nafsiyati level ka test hone ki tawqoat ko barha raha hai. Agar yeh level ke ooper decisively break ho jata hai, to yeh jore 0.6630 ki taraf ja sakta hai, aur shayad March ke highs 0.6667 tak pohanch sakta hai. Taa-hum, neeche ki taraf ke khatraat ko tasleem karna zaroori hai. Agar AUD/USD apne mojooda level se neeche aata hai, to pehli support 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo ke 0.6528 hai, par mil sakti hai. Mazeed giravat isay triangle pattern ki lower boundary jo ke 0.6500 ki nafsiyati level ke qareeb hai, tak le ja sakti hai. Agar yeh support tor di jati hai, to 0.6480 ke bounce point tak test ho sakta hai. Kul mila ke, Australian dollar filhal RBA aur Federal Reserve ke darmiyan interest rate policies mein muntazar ikhtilafat ki wajah se saazgar hawaein le raha hai. Technical tasveer bhi qareebi mustaqbil mein upper ki taraf move hone ki sambhavnayon ko mazboot karta hai. Taa-hum, currency market ko effectively navigate karne ke liye mumkinah support levels par chaukanna rehna zaroori hai.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ke daam lagataar teen sessions se barh rahe hain. Yeh mazbooti zyadatar is umeed par mabni hai ke Australian Reserve Bank (RBA) ka rukh US Federal Reserve ke mukablay mein zyada hawkish ho sakta hai. Reuters ke ek poll ke mutabiq, economists ka andaza hai ke RBA apni agle meeting mein jo ke mangal ko hai, sood ki mojooda shirh 4.35% par barqarar rakhega, shayad September tak is mein tabdeeli na ho. Yeh sakht rukh US Federal Reserve ke is faislay ke mukablay mein hai ke wo budh ko sood ki shirh ko tabdeel nahi karega. Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke ehtiyat se bhare bayanat, jin mein mazeed sood ki shirh barhane ki imkanat ko kam kaha gaya, ne US dollar ko kamzor kar diya. Haal hi mein Australia mein inflation ke aankde mutawaqqa se zyada aaye hain, jo ke qayas lagaye ja rahe hain ke RBA is saal baad mein hone wale kisi bhi mumkin sood ki katein ko taakhir de sakta hai. Dono markazi banks ke darmiyan monetary policy ki tawqoat mein ikhtilaf AUD ki qadar ko barha raha hai. US dollar index (DXY), jo ke greenback ki karkardagi ko chah bade currencies ke saath napta hai, dabaav mein hai. US dollar ki kamzori AUD ko mazbooti de rahi hai. Jumma ko AUD/USD ka exchange rate lag bhag 0.6570 ke gird tha.



Technical indicators bhi AUD/USD jore ke liye bullish outlook ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se ooper hai, jo market mein musbat raftaar ko zahir karta hai. Is ke sath, AUD/USD ek ascending triangle pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke aane wale waqt mein 0.6600 ki nafsiyati level ka test hone ki tawqoat ko barha raha hai. Agar yeh level ke ooper decisively break ho jata hai, to yeh jore 0.6630 ki taraf ja sakta hai, aur shayad March ke highs 0.6667 tak pohanch sakta hai. Taa-hum, neeche ki taraf ke khatraat ko tasleem karna zaroori hai. Agar AUD/USD apne mojooda level se neeche aata hai, to pehli support 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo ke 0.6528 hai, par mil sakti hai. Mazeed giravat isay triangle pattern ki lower boundary jo ke 0.6500 ki nafsiyati level ke qareeb hai, tak le ja sakti hai. Agar yeh support tor di jati hai, to 0.6480 ke bounce point tak test ho sakta hai. Kul mila ke, Australian dollar filhal RBA aur Federal Reserve ke darmiyan interest rate policies mein muntazar ikhtilafat ki wajah se saazgar hawaein le raha hai. Technical tasveer bhi qareebi mustaqbil mein upper ki taraf move hone ki sambhavnayon ko mazboot karta hai. Taa-hum, currency market ko effectively navigate karne ke liye mumkinah support levels par chaukanna rehna zaroori hai.

Australian Dollar Ne Khuwahishat Ko Mazboot Kar Diya

Australia Bureau of Statistics se aye mozuai maalumat ke mutabiq, jo ke tajwez ke mukhalif the, Australian dollar Thursday ko mazboot hota nazar aya. Trade balance aur building approval figures dono analyst ke tajwez se kam nikle, lekin AUD/USD jodi phir bhi bulandaiyo ko chhoo leti hai. Iska do khas sababon se talluq hai: global market sentiment aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka hawkish posture. Sab se pehle, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne budh ko bayanat di, jo ke amm taur par market ke umeedwaron ko hosla afzai ki. Powell ne ishara diya ke Fed ko interest rates ko mazeed barhane ka ittefaq nahi hai, jo ke US dollar (USD) ko kamzor kar diya. Yeh riskier currencies jaise ke AUD ke liye ek madadgar mahol paida karta hai, jo ke investors hosla afzai mehsoos karte hain. Dusra, AUD RBA ka hawkish posture se tawajjuh ka markaz hai. Australia mein hali mein umeed se zyada inflation data ne shak paida kiya hai ke RBA shayad saal ke baad mutarif shuda interest rate cuts ko taakhir de. Australia mein mustaqil interest rate hikes ke yeh imkan investors ke liye dilchaspi ka markaz hai, jo ke unhe AUD kharidne pe mubtala karta hai. US dollar index (DXY), jo ke USD ki taqat ko aham markaz samajha jata hai, abhi bhi Powell ke dovish posture ka asar mehsoos kar raha hai. Fed ka May ke ihtimam mein mojooda interest rate range ko 5.25% se 5.50% rakhte hue, market ke tawajjuhat ke sath mutabiq tha, lekin Powell ke comments ne further hikes ke khilaf USD ko kamzor kiya.






Ab market ke shirkat daar umeedwaron ki tawajjuh mutarif US data releases ki taraf muddi hai, jo haftai jobless claims, non-farm productivity, aur factory orders ko shamil karta hai. Ye reports US ki maeeshat ki sehat ke mutaliq taaza idaray faraham karenge aur shayad AUD/USD exchange rate par asar andaz ho sakte hain. Thursday ke doran, AUD/USD jodi 0.6530 ke qareeb tha. Dilchaspi ki baat hai ke technical indicators aik mumkin upri harkat ka ishara dete hain. AUD/USD phir se ek symmetrical triangle chart pattern ke andar qaid nazar aata hai. Mazeed isay, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se oopar hai, jo ke ek bullish bias ki taraf ishara karta hai. Ye technical factors batate hain ke AUD/USD shayad 0.6580 ke qareeb resistance level ko todne ki koshish kare, aur hosakta hai ke yeh psychological level 0.6600 tak pohanch jaye. Is point ke ek khatarnak harkat jodi ko pur March ke high tak 0.6667 tak le ja sakti hai. Neeche ki taraf, agar AUD/USD momentum khota hai, to woh symmetrical triangle ke lower trendline ki taraf retreat kar sakta hai, jo ke filhaal 0.6509 ke qareeb hai, jo ke sath sath nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) bhi hai. Is support level ko todna aur girawat ko barhawa dena, hosakta hai ke pehle se wajood mein mazeed support zone ko 0.6480 par jaanchne ka karan bane.

AUDUSD

AUDUSD abhi bhi ek up-trend shartein mein hai, jo ek LH (higher high) aur LL (lower low) pattern ke saath darj hai. Iske alawa, qeemat abhi bhi 50 Moving Average ke upar hai jo ke aur ooper chalne ka tend karti hai. Hum dekh sakte hain ke pichle hafte ka zyada bharak uthana kaafi hai jo ke dikhata hai ke khareedne ka dabav abhi bhi bohot mazboot hai. Magar, main dekhta hoon ke nishana thoda lamba hai, yaani RBS area jo ke 0.6541 mein hai. Toh mera agla mansooba hai ke intezaar karo ke qeemat uss area mein dakhil ho aur khareedne ki koi tasdeeq ka intezaar karo. Yaad rakho ke humein khareedne ke liye sahi tasdeeq ki zaroorat hai. Tasdeeq ka ek misaal yeh hai ke qeemat ek HH aur LH pattern banati hai.

Doosri aur maddi madadgar data ke mutabiq, Relative Strength Index indicator ki line ka position dekhte hue jo ke level 50 ke upar pohanch gaya hai yeh ishara hai ke market ek bullish trend mein hai. Pichle trading dino mein, qeemat bhi up-trend ki taraf ja rahi thi. Jumme ke din ko sellers ki koshish thi ke wo abhi bhi qeemat ko neeche le jaen, lekin meri raay mein, yeh sirf side mein tha kyunke movement zyada taqatwar nahi thi, khareedne wale market ko abhi bhi asar daal sakte hain aur qeemat ko ek bullish raaste mein up le ja sakte hain, isliye agle trading session mein main ne up trend conditions ke mutabiq BUY Entry area dhundhne ki koshish ki.

Agle, maine chhote time frame par ghumne ka maqsad dekha, is maamle mein H1 chart ka istemal karke. Lagta hai ke trend ka rukh phir se kamzor ho raha hai kyunke qeemat H4 chart par pichle higher low se bahar nahi nikal saki, isliye H1 time frame par up-trend se down-trend mein tabdeel ho jayega. Main is waqt par tawajjo deta hoon, sirf 1 RBS area hai jo ke qeemat ko tham raha hai, yaani 0.6541 area, jo agar yeh area toot jata hai toh qeemat ke neeche taqat mehsoos ho sakti hai 0.6451 ke area tak, jab ke pehla SSR area jo ke 0.6562 par hai woh ek candle ke jism ke saath tor diya gaya hai isliye ho sakti hai ke qeemat phir se mazboot hone se pehle ek correction kare, isliye RBS area naya demand ban jayega jo ke re-buy entry ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai.

Trading Plan Conclusion: Khareedne ke liye later buy entry kiya ja sakta hai jo ke 0.6545 ke qeemat par ek pending buy limit order rakh kar sath hi stop loss 0.6500 aur nafa 0.6638 ke qeemat par rakha ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, mujhe abhi koi mazboot plan nahi hai sell entry ke liye, isliye main abhi bhi qeemat ke harkaton ka intezar kar raha hoon.

Australian dollar/US dollar Ki Takniki Tahlil

Pichle haftay, Australian dollar ne apni girawat ko barhana chaha, 0.6433 level ko dobara test karne ki koshish ki aur phir dobara ek downtrend mein dakhil hua, kamiyabi se 0.6368 level ko chhoo kar wahan mazboot sahara dhoondha. Is level tak pohanchne ke baad foran hi kharidne wale is level tak pohanch gaye, keemat tezi se chadh gayi aur 0.6506 level ki taraf barhna shuru hui, peechle nuqsaan ka zyadah tar hissa wapas lete hue, jo dikhata hai ke kharidne wale ne qabza kar liya hai.

Takniki tahlil ke lehaz se, rozana bearish price curve ko H-4 time frame par bearish takniki pattern ke musalsal asar ke saath aaj bhi support mil raha hai, saath hi negative pressure ke saath simple moving averages ka musalsal ban-na jaari hai. Is tarah, aaj ka intraday downtrend sab se zyada 0.6460 par pehla target ke saath mumkin hai, 0.6480 par official dekhnay ki station hai, aur baad mein 0.6500 ke kareebi target bhi hai. 0.6600 ke upar stable ulta trade bearish manazir ko rok sakta hai aur jodi ki tahaffuz kar sakta hai ek ibtidaai target ke saath 0.6640 ke aas paas, jise ek mumkin chadhao ke saath jaari hone ki umeed hai 0.6650 tak.



Jodi ab haftay ke uchchaiyon par trade kar rahi hai aur tezi se barh rahi hai. Ahem resistance area dobara test kiya ja raha hai, lekin ab tak, yeh keemat ko tootne se rokne mein kamiyab raha hai, nichle vector ko bharpai mein chor deta hai. Isko update karne ke liye, quotes ko turant 0.6506 level (asal resistance zone ki had) ke neeche lautna zaroori hai. Is area se dobara test aur uske baad ka rebound doosre neeche movement ko ijazat dega jise 0.6368 aur 0.6326 ke darmiyan ki area mein target kiya ja sakta hai.

Agar resistance toot jata hai aur keemat 0.6573 ke turning level ke upar chadh jata hai, to is mojooda halaat ko radd karne ka signal mil jayega. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhen:

AUD/USD



Kal hum ne market ko dobara 0.6600 ke aas-paas dekha. Ye dikhata hai ke khareednay walay apni qeemat ko barha rahe hain kamiyabi se. Mazeed, ye dikh raha hai ke khareednay walay mukhtalif shara'it mein apni istehkam ko barqarar rakhne ke liye tayyar hain. Keemat ka unki mawaafiqi se hamahangi rakhna ek mustaqil koshish ka nateeja hai ke wo jald az jald muqablay ke darjat ko paar karne mein koshish kar rahe hain. Ye trend mawaid ko darust karta hai ke kuch pairs par khareedari ke orders shuru karne ka potential hai, jahan par mufeed faida hasil karne ke liye muddati maqasid tay kiye ja sakte hain. Magar aaj ke trading manzar mein savdhani ka istemal zaroori hai, jo market ki harkat ko jhok sakta hai jo shayad ghareeb logon ko pata nahi hota. AUD/USD ke liye, mujhe aik chhota maqasid 0.6646 par pasand hai. Behtar hoga ke ap ke pass ko is tarah ki trading ka hunar ho ke aapko mazeed faiday ki umeedain hon. Aane wali US trading session naye mauqe ke liye doorwaze khol sakta hai. Is markaz se, naye trading plans ko istemal karna aur advanced technical analysis ki salahiyaton ka faida uthana aaj ke market ke uljhanat mein apne liye aik tataqqi ka dastawaiz faraham kar sakta hai. Mojooda market ka jazba aik numainda taur par khareednay walon ke liye chhap se hai, na sirf aaj ke trading din ke liye balke agle session tak. AUD/USD ke maamle mein, mojooda market ke jazba ke khilaf na jayen. Behtar hai ke aaj khareedari walon par amal karen. Mazeed, khareednay walay aaj mustaqil rah sakte hain. Jab keemat un ke favur mein thi, unho ne jald hi jald rukawat ko kuchalne ka irada kiya. Is liye, main is pair par aik khareedari order pasand karta hoon mukhtasir maqasid ke sath. Humen aaj bhi savdhani se trade karni chahiye jaise ke aam tor par market aaj zyada volatility ke sath move hoti hai. Behtar hoga ke hum naye trading techniques ke sath kaam karen. Aam tor par, market aaj aur kal bhi khareednay walon ke liye rahega. Agar hum kuch naye trading techniques istemal karenge, to hamen apna nafa mufeed taur par hasil ho sakta hai. Chalte hain, dekhte hain ke Sydney trading session mein kya hota hai.

AUD/USD Daily Timeframe

AudUsd market pair jo peechle Budh ko trade ki gayi thi, ab bhi bearish dabaav ke zor se muntaqil tha jo khaas tor par khareedne walon ne ab tak naqamiyati se guzara aur keemaat 0.6600-0.6595 ki seller resistance wale ilaqe ko torne mein kamiyabi nahi hasil ki, jo keemaat ko dobara se bechne walon ke hawale kar diya. jo phir mazid bechnay walon ke zor se kaafi mazboot bechnay ke dabaav dala, jisse keemaat dobara niche ki taraf chali gayi.

Bollinger Bands indicator ko Daily timeframe par monitor karte hue, dekha ja sakta hai ke keemaat ko phir se bechne walon ne Upper Bollinger Bands ke ilaqe ke neeche rehne ke liye qaim rakha hai jo keemaat ko AudUsd market pair par hukoomat karne ka sabab banata hai. Iske ilawa, bechne walon ne kal ke trading ko dobara mazboot bearish candlestick banakar band kiya, jisse AudUsd market pair ko dobara niche bearishly jaane ka mauqa milta hai jo keemaat ko Middle Bollinger Bands ke ilaqe tak le ja sakta hai, keemaat 0.6515-0.6510 ke daron ka nishana hai jo bechne walon ka agla bearish target ilaqa hai.

European market session mein Thursday ko hone wali trading mein khareedne walon ko naqamiyat se nijat mil rahi thi, jo keemaat ko 0.6565-0.6560 ke support ilaqe ke neeche ghusa kar utha liya gaya tha taake keemaat bullish ho gayi. Khareedne walay keemaat ko ooncha uthane ki koshish karte hain taake seller resistance ilaqa ko test karein jo keemaat 0.6600-0.6605 par hai aur agar kaamyaab rahen to AudUsd pair keemaat ko aur bhi ooncha le jaayega jiski nishanaakam hai seller supply resistance ilaqa jo keemaat 0.6625-0.6630 par hai.

RSI indicator bhi dikhata hai ke pehle keemaat level 60 ke ilaqa mein thi aur ab level 55 ke ilaqa mein chali gayi hai, jisse keh diya gaya hai ke bechne walon ke dabaav ko ab bhi bazar se sahara mil raha hai jo aaj ke trading mein level 50 RSI ilaqa tak jaane ki mumkinat rakhta hai.

Ikhtitam:

Sell dakhilay karne ke liye agar bechne walon ko 0.6565-0.6560 ke support ilaqa ko guzar jaane mein kamiyabi milti hai to TP ilaqa 0.6535-0.6530 par hai.

Buy dakhilay karne ke liye agar khareedne walon ko resistance ilaqa ko torne mein kaamyaabi milti hai to aik pending buy stop order daal kar 0.6600-0.6605 keemaat par hai aur TP nishana 0.6630-0.6635 keemaat par hai.

Pichle kuch hafton mein, AUD/USD market ne ek urooj ke trend ka samna kiya hai, jo 100-period simple moving average zone se mufeedar taur par bulandaiyon mein barh raha hai. Ye bullish rukh ye bhi sujhaata hai ke qeemat qareebi mustaqbil mein 0.6651 ilaqa tak pahunch sakti hai. Lekin, jab naya hafta shuru hua, nishanaat aaye jo dikhane lage ke bullish rukh shayad kamzor hota ja raha hai, jab keemat mein ek neeche ki correction ki alaamat nazar aai.
Market graph ka qareebi mutaala se wazeh hota hai ke overall jazbat ab bhi bullish hain. Pichle haftay mein chand der tak neeche ki correction ki wajah se, jo farokht dabaav se aai, market jald hi tezi se wapas aaya, magar upar ki lehron ko barqarar nahi rakha gaya, balkay bearish taqatay ka ghalba hua, jo keemat ko peeche kheench kar 0.6468 ke qareeb qayam karne ki taraf le gaya.

AUD/USD market mein pichhle waqt ke fluctuationen bullish aur bearish jazbat ke darmiyan ek jang ka aks dikhate hain. Jab ke uptrend zyadatar hawi raha, lekin mukhtalif ahem resistance darjat ko barqarar rakhne mein kami ka ishara hai ke bullish case mein gharriyat ki kami hai. Is ke ilawa, neeche ki corrections ki maujoodgi ye dikhata hai ke farokht karne walay market par dabaav daal rahe hain, jo keemat ko barqarar taur par upar ki rukh ko barqarar rakhne se rok rahe hain.

Aage dekhte hue, traders keemat ki karwai aur ahem support aur resistance darjat ko munsalik karenge taake market ka agla qadam jaanein. Agar bullish rukh dobara shuru ho, to traders ko lambi positions mein dakhilay karne ke moqa dhundhne chahiye, 0.6651 ilaqa ko aik mukhtalif oopar ka nishana samjha jaye. Lekin, agar resistance darjat ko toorna na mumkin ho, to yeh nishaan ho sakta hai ke mazeed neeche dabaav ka ishara hai, jo keemat ko phir se 0.6468 ilaqa ki taraf daba sakta hai.

Ikhtitam mein, AUD/USD market ne pichhle hafton mein bullish aur bearish tendencies ka mishran dikhaya hai. Jab ke overall trend oopar ki taraf hai, lekin kamzori aur neeche ki corrections ki alaamat market mein mukhtalifat ki bunyadi baton par roshni daal rahi hain. Traders ko hoshyar rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko mutabiq tajziya karna chahiye taake AUD/USD trading landscape ke muasharti dor ko samajh saken.

Hum is aala ke liye sab se kamyab trading plan tayyar karenge, jo linear regression indicator Extended Regression StopAndReverse ke ishtirak mein pramukh technical analysis indicators RSI aur MACD ke sath istemal karta hai, jo ke market mein daakhil hone aur milay hue signal ko kamyabi ke saath work out karne ka aik makhsoos mauqa faraham karte hain. Tadbeer ko amal mein laane ke baad, hum mozu ke sab se kamyab bahar ka point muqarrar karenge taake muamla ko sab se zyada kifayati andaz mein khatam kiya ja sake. Is ke liye, hum Fibonacci grid ko chart par mojood extreme points par stretch karenge aur nazdeeki Fibonacci correction levels par tawajjo denge.

Dikhaye gaye chart par, aap foran note kar sakte hain ke pehle darje ka regression line (golden dotted line), jo aik aala ke hawaale se raasta aur muntakhib waqt frame (time-frame H4) mein hali ke trend ka halat dikhata hai, zyada se zyada 30% ke ungli se neeche ki taraf muntaqil hai, jo dakhal trend ke hukoomati harkat ko zyada zor deta hai. Ghair linear regression channel, jaise ke chart par dekha ja sakta hai, aik murk liya hai, golden line ko bottom se top tak seh gaya hai, aur ab oopar ki taraf safar kar raha hai.






Keemat ne linear regression channel 2-nd LevelSupLine ka neela support line paar kiya lekin 0.63598 ke hadd (LOW) par pohanch gayi, is ke baad is ne apni girawat ko roka aur dhire dhire barhna shuru kiya. Is nukat par, aala moazi qeemat 0.66071 ke qeemat daraj kar rahi hai. Upar diye gaye sab ke sab, mujhe yeh umeed hai ke market ke qeemat ke nashay ko lauta kar 2-nd LevelSupLine (0.66449) channel line of the FIBO 100% level ke oopar aur yeh wahan mazbooti se jam jayegi aur iske baad oopar ki taraf chalang lagayegi golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.67122 tak, jo Fibo level 123.6% ke sath mutaabiq hai. Ek mazeed bahas ka doosra jawaz karobar mein shamil hone ke liye yeh hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ka bhi darust hona, unhonein entry mein ghalat sabit hone ka tasdeeq diya hai, kyunki woh oversold zone mein mojood hain.

Aage dekhte hue, traders keemat ki karwai aur ahem support aur resistance levels ko munsalik karenge taake market ka agla qadam jaanein. Agar bullish momentum dobara shuru ho, to traders ko lambi positions mein dakhilay karne ke moqa dhundhne chahiye, 0.6651 ilaqa ko aik mukhtalif oopar ka nishana samjha jaye. Lekin, agar resistance levels ko toorna na mumkin ho, to yeh nishaan ho sakta hai ke mazeed neeche dabaav ka ishara hai, jo keemat ko phir se 0.6468 ilaqa ki taraf daba sakta hai.

Hum is aala ke liye sab se kamyab trading plan tayyar karenge, jo linear regression indicator Extended Regression StopAndReverse ke ishtirak mein pramukh technical analysis indicators RSI aur MACD ke sath istemal karta hai, jo ke market mein daakhil hone aur milay hue signal ko kamyabi ke saath work out karne ka aik makhsoos mauqa faraham karte hain. Tadbeer ko amal mein laane ke baad, hum mozu ke sab se kamyab bahar ka point muqarrar karenge taake muamla ko sab se zyada kifayati andaz mein khatam kiya ja sake. Is ke liye, hum Fibonacci grid ko chart par mojood extreme points par stretch karenge aur nazdeeki Fibonacci correction levels par tawajjo denge.
Dikhaye gaye chart par, aap foran note kar sakte hain ke pehle darje ka regression line (golden dotted line), jo aik aala ke hawaale se raasta aur muntakhib waqt frame (time-frame H4) mein hali ke trend ka halat dikhata hai, zyada se zyada 30% ke ungli se neeche ki taraf muntaqil hai, jo dakhal trend ke hukoomati harkat ko zyada zor deta hai. Ghair linear regression channel, jaise ke chart par dekha ja sakta hai, aik murk liya hai, golden line ko bottom se top tak seh gaya hai, aur ab oopar ki taraf safar kar raha hai.



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Keemat ne linear regression channel 2-nd LevelSupLine ka neela support line paar kiya lekin 0.63598 ke hadd (LOW) par pohanch gayi, is ke baad is ne apni girawat ko roka aur dhire dhire barhna shuru kiya. Is nukat par, aala moazi qeemat 0.66071 ke qeemat daraj kar rahi hai. Upar diye gaye sab ke sab, mujhe yeh umeed hai ke market ke qeemat ke nashay ko lauta kar 2-nd LevelSupLine (0.66449) channel line of the FIBO 100% level ke oopar aur yeh wahan mazbooti se jam jayegi aur iske baad oopar ki taraf chalang lagayegi golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.67122 tak, jo Fibo level 123.6% ke sath mutaabiq hai. Ek mazeed bahas ka doosra jawaz karobar mein shamil hone ke liye yeh hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ka bhi darust hona, unhonein entry mein ghalat sabit hone ka tasdeeq diya hai, kyunki woh oversold zone mein mojood hain.

Aage dekhte hue, traders keemat ki karwai aur ahem support aur resistance levels ko munsalik karenge taake market ka agla qadam jaanein. Agar bullish momentum dobara shuru ho, to traders ko lambi positions mein dakhilay karne ke moqa dhundhne chahiye, 0.6651 ilaqa ko aik mukhtalif oopar ka nishana samjha jaye. Lekin, agar resistance levels ko toorna na mumkin ho, to yeh nishaan ho sakta hai ke mazeed neeche dabaav ka ishara hai, jo keemat ko phir se 0.6468 ilaqa ki taraf daba sakta hai.

AUD/USD

Australian dollar (AUD) Jumma ko shuruati faiday ke baad bechne ka dabao ka samna kar raha hai, abhi 0.6530 ke qareeb mojood hai. Ye iske bawajood aya hai ke kuch musbat taraqqiyan hain, jese ke Chinese Prime Minister ki Australia ki ziyarat ka mansooba, jo AUD ko mazeed mazboot kar sakta hai. Magar, aam taur par tasavur US dollar (USD) ke liye hota hai kyun ke Federal Reserve ka hawkish nazriya hai. Monday ko US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ke dawra jari data ke mutabiq, core Consumer Price Index (CPI) ne mustaqil tor par 0.4% aur 3.8% ke sath barhavat darj ki, ye dikhata hai ke ab rate cuts ki zarurat nahi hai. CPI energy aur khana peena jese jazbat farokht ke keemat ko bahar rehne diya hai. Consumer inflation expectations mein izafay ke wajah se ab kam umeed hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rates ko pehle se zyada kam karega. Aane wale 12 maheenon ke inflation ke liye umeedain pehle ke 4.3% se 4.6% tak barh gayi hain, Melbourne Institute ke mutabiq.

Technically, AUD/USD bearish chart pattern se bahar nikalne mein nakam raha, jis ne bechne ka intezar barha diya. Currency 0.6477 ke qareeb support levels ke qareeb hai aur apne 20 dinon ke average ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo kam demand ko dikhata hai. Momentum indicators bhi nazdeek mein qabil-e-bardasht ooperi mumkinat ki taraf ishara karte hain. Agar AUD mazeed kamzor hota hai aur 0.6485 ke neeche gir jata hai, traders chhote dour ke kharidar darwazon ko khol sakte hain, jo 0.6440 ya 0.6400 ke qareeb munafa hasil karne ke liye hain. Magar, 0.6635 ke upar nikal jaane par trend ka ulta ishara de sakta hai, jo jodi ko 0.6667 ya mazeed 0.6700 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Takneeki isharaat dekhte hue, MACD kamzor momentum ka ishara deta hai, jabke RSI kuch ishaare ek mumkin ooperi harkat ke ki taraf dikhata hai. Agar musbat momentum barhta hai to jodi 0.6666 ke qareeb muzir ko pohanch sakti hai. Aam tor par, AUD/USD China-Australia ta'alluqat mein izafa aur mazboot US dollar ke darmiyan tug-of-war mein phansa hai. Jodi ka rukh aane wale dinon mein kaunsa quwwat zyada taasir daari sabit karta hai, is par munhasir ho sakta hai.

Agli analysis ek choti timeframe, yani H4 par
hai. Yeh bohot wazeh hai ke hafte ke mor ke trading session se, candlestick ne Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke neeche girne mein kamiyabi hasil ki hai. Iss hafte ke trading session mein enter hone ke baad se market ne subah tak bearish trend ki taraf mutasirah harkat ka samna kiya.

AUDUSD currency pair ke halat ko Relative Strength Index indicator (14) ke madad se monitor karne ke natayij Lime Line signal ko level 30 tak girte hue dikhate hain, jo ke is hafte ke market mein ek tez bearish trend ka tasvir hai. MACD indicator (12,26,29) par broken Yellow Line consistent neeche ki taraf point kar rahi hai aur long histogram bar zero level ke neeche gir gayi hai, jo ke girawat ka indication hai.

Natija:

Daily aur H4 timeframe charts ke analysis se aur kuch indicators ke istemal se haasil hone wale mukhtalif technical data ko dekhte hue, yeh maloom hota hai ke AUDUSD currency pair abhi tak seller ki control mein hai. Subah tak jo girawat hoti rahi hai, wo yeh dikhata hai ke market zyada tar apne bearish movement ko barqarar rakhegi.

Agle hafte ke market halat ke liye prediction hai ke prices ke neeche girne ki zyada probability rahegi, isliye agle hafte ke ibtedai dinon mein market developments ko dekhna zaroori hai pehle ke SELL trading decision lein. Halaanke agle hafte ka bearish trend abhi bhi bohot potential rakhta hai, humein ziada sabar aur discipline se intezar karna hoga ideal moment ke liye trade karne ke liye, kyunke pehle ek upward correction ka potential bhi hai.