Gbp usd

GBP/ USD Price Action Forecast
GBP/USD ka currency pair ka haalat ko nazar andaz karte hain aur iska tajziati mutala karte hain. Aap ki trend analysis ke mutabiq, zyadatar logon ne aik darmiyani muddat mein 1.2638 ki taraf aik upri rukh ki tawaqqu mehsoos ki, jo ke chand lamhon ke liye 1.25 mein kuch dair ke liye ho gayi, phir tezi se wapas chali gayi, shayad farokht karne wale faaliyat ya tajziati trading ki wajah se. Halankeh, mein darmiyani muddat mein aik qeemat girawat ka imkan dekh raha hoon, lekin agar farokht karne wale dabao kum ho jaye, to aik phir tezi aa sakti hai, halaanki yeh tajziati hai. Magar, 1.25 ke neeche girna nihayat ahem hai kyunke yeh 1.2464 tak mazeed qeemat girawat ko khol sakta hai, phir 1.2385-1.2428 tak, shayad 1.23 tak pohanch jaye, Bank of England ki ek tajziati rukh par munsalik, wala kisi halat mein bhi, yeh mushtamil hai. Umeedon ke liye koi bunyadi wajah nahi hai; paund ka barhna aur dollar ka girna dur lagta hai. Lehar ki nishaan dahi 1.24 ki taraf mumkinah giraawat ki taraf ishara karti hai, kam az kam 1.25 ke neeche rahne ki zaroorat hoti hai.

Mutasireen ke mawafiq, GBP/USD joda char ghante ke chart par ek uptrend se downtrend mein tabdeel ho gaya hai, jis mein 1.2637 ki support ke darje ki teen lahron ka pattern paaya gaya hai, jo aane wale bearish trend ki taraf ishara karta hai. 1.2469 ke darje ko tordne par aik qeemat girawat mumkin hai. Aaj ke liye ooper ki tawaqquon ke bawajood, joda ulat gaya, Amreeki session ke doran 1.2535 ko tor kar 1.2503 par qaim ho gaya, jahan daily candle ne aik naye low ko darust kiya. Pound ya Amreeki dollar ke iqtisadi calendar ki khabron mein mehdoodi thi, jis se 1.2405 ki taraf mumkinah qeemat girawat ki taraf ishara mila, haalaanki Wednesday ki khabron tak ooper ki qeemat girne ki mumkinah wusat hai. Ek girawat se pehle tezi pasandeeda hogi.

GBP/USD PRICE OVERVIEW.
Kal GBP/USD bechnay walon ke liye thori raahat laya, jab market mein halki behtarri nazar aayi. Magar, yeh sakoon mukhtasir muddat ke liye ho sakta hai kyunke Bank of England (BOE) ki monetary policy aur Bank Statement announcements ke dauran rukhbari mein izafa mutawaqqa hai. Aane wale dino mein, tezi bechnay walon ka faida ho sakta hai, jo mukhtalif mozon 1.2522 zone ko paar karne mein unki madad kar sakta hai. Ye umeed un tahqiqat se wabasta hai jo is haftay baad mein UK GDP aur Preliminary GDP rate ka izhar kiye jayenge. Ye ma'ashi indicators market mein mazeed harkat ke liye catalyst ka kaam kar sakte hain.
Is natije mein, GBP/USD ke maamlaat ke aas paas faida khaiz rehne ke liye bechnay walon ke liye maqamiyat hai.
Magar, tijarat ke liye hushyaarana taur par qareebi se mutawajjah hona zaroori hai, khaaskar US trading session ke doran. Amreeki markets mein izafa ghair mutawaqqa ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ke rukh ko badal sakta hai. Traders ko hoshyaar rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko mutabiq karne ke liye apnaar rehna chahiye taake in halat se guzarna asaan ho. Ummeed hai ke UK ki khabron ka izafa traders ko peechli nuqsaanat ko kheirat se mukammal karne mein madad karega. Iske ilawa, jab bechnay walay kisi bhi neeche ki harkat ka faida uthane ki koshish karte hain, tab kharidarain potenti upar ki rahon ka faida uthane ki tawajjuh mein hain.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS.

In do forces ke darmiyan ki barabari short-term rukh ke zariye darust karegi. Anay wale BOE announcements market ki rukhbari ko shakal dene mein ahem kirdar adaa karenge. Kisi bhi ishara ya signal ke baare mein monetary policy ke aitrazat ke dauran traders ki taraf se ahem rad-e-amal ki taraf ishara ho sakta hai. Usi tarah, UK GDP data maqrooz ki sehat par insights faraham karenge, jo paond mein investor itminan par asar dalta hai. Aakhir mein, jese ke siyasi rujhaanat ya bade moazzam muashiyat mein maqrooz rujhaanat, ye bhi GBP/USD harkat par asar andaz ho sakte hain. Traders ko is saharey ke mulk se bahar ki harkatun par qareeb rehna chahiye taake wo mufeed faislay kar sakein. Aam tor par, jabke kal ne GBP/USD bechnay walon ke liye aram ka mauqa diya, aane wale BOE announcements aur maqrooz data releases ka izafa mutawaqqa hai ke volatiliy phir se shuru ho jayega. Kharidar mazeed faida uthane ke liye tayyar hain, jiska zariye asal mukhtalif darajat ko paar karne ka izafa ho sakta hai. Magar, hushyaar risk management aur mehfooz tijarati strategies zaroori hain, khaaskar US trading session ke doran, jahan market ki dynamics jaldi badal sakti hain. Traders ko maaloomat hasil rakhni chahiye, tabdeeli pasand rehna chahiye, aur hoshyaarana amal karke GBP/USD market ke hamesha mutaghayir manzar se guzarna chahiye. Chaliye dekhte hain UK trading session mein kya hoga.

FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK.

ap news chart mein main dekh sakty hain aj 5 qism ki news hain pound ki sab sy pehli news BOE monetry policy report hai aur oss ky bad dosri news monetray policy ki summary release hone ki hai aur phir uss ky bad Official bank rate hain aur bank rates ky vote ki bhi hai aur last main ju news hai wo news GOVENER Bailey ki speaks hain jiss say aj market kafi ziada taizi aa sakti hai iss lie aj ap ko bohut hi ehtiyat ky sath kam karna ho ga aur apne account main proper stop loss ky sath kam karna ho ga agar ap ko news ky bary main itna pata nahi hai tu ap ko trading karne say avoid karna ho ga phir hi ap apne capital ko save rakh sakty hain.

GBP/USD PRICE OVERVIEW.
Kal GBP/USD bechnay walon ke liye thori raahat laya, jab market mein halki behtarri nazar aayi. Magar, yeh sakoon mukhtasir muddat ke liye ho sakta hai kyunke Bank of England (BOE) ki monetary policy aur Bank Statement announcements ke dauran rukhbari mein izafa mutawaqqa hai. Aane wale dino mein, tezi bechnay walon ka faida ho sakta hai, jo mukhtalif mozon 1.2522 zone ko paar karne mein unki madad kar sakta hai. Ye umeed un tahqiqat se wabasta hai jo is haftay baad mein UK GDP aur Preliminary GDP rate ka izhar kiye jayenge. Ye ma'ashi indicators market mein mazeed harkat ke liye catalyst ka kaam kar sakte hain.
Is natije mein, GBP/USD ke maamlaat ke aas paas faida khaiz rehne ke liye bechnay walon ke liye maqamiyat hai.
Magar, tijarat ke liye hushyaarana taur par qareebi se mutawajjah hona zaroori hai, khaaskar US trading session ke doran. Amreeki markets mein izafa ghair mutawaqqa ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ke rukh ko badal sakta hai. Traders ko hoshyaar rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko mutabiq karne ke liye apnaar rehna chahiye taake in halat se guzarna asaan ho. Ummeed hai ke UK ki khabron ka izafa traders ko peechli nuqsaanat ko kheirat se mukammal karne mein madad karega. Iske ilawa, jab bechnay walay kisi bhi neeche ki harkat ka faida uthane ki koshish karte hain, tab kharidarain potenti upar ki rahon ka faida uthane ki tawajjuh mein hain.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Assalam o Alaikum. Is haftay ke tamam douran, market ke lehaz se mera jazba muqamal rehguzar hai, khas tor par mojooda kam volatality ki wajah se. Khaaskar, pound ka rawaya kisi khas umeed se kafi alag nahi raha, jab ke mabaini targets GBP/USD daily M30 timeframe chart ke 1.2490 zone se neeche guzar gaye hain, jis se halat aaj bhi 27 figure ke neeche trade kar rahe hain, mark par consolidate hotay hue. Magar, dil torne wala pehlu yeh hai ke is manzar mein bechnay ki mauqe ko cash karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai. Be shak, dollar ki manzil ka tanaza bohot ahem hai, khaaskar aaj pivotal data ka aham release hone wala hai. Is ke ilawa, anay wali Bank of England meeting bhi equation mein ek unpredictability ka juzba shamil kar sakti hai, jo market ki volatality ko barha sakti hai. In sab factors ke bawajood, mera outlook ab bhi bearish taraf mein hai. Therefore, agar koi bull trend nazar aaye. Halat ki roshni mein aakhri 180 points ki market ka bugz is ne mujhe aik sarmaqadah susti se chorr diya hai, is par ghaur o fikar karna zaroori hai. Shuru mein main kisi aise shadid harkat ka intezar nahi kar raha tha, lekin yeh effectively south ki taraf jany se mutaliq hawale ko khatam kar diya hai. Magar, iss surge ki sustainability ke baray main baqi sawal hain ke yeh pabandi ke sath rahegi ya is ke baad koi rollback hone wala hai. Jabke yeh uncertainties mamool se choti lagti hain, lekin trading strategies par asar karti hain. Halat ki current bullish trend ke bawajood, is market plateau ke dairay mein rozmarra ki zindagi par dhabay par rahe hain. Blaighar, north ki tajurbaat ki kami aik tajurba-rana scenario ko samne laati hai, jo aik caution ke saath. Iss tarah, halat ki mojooda bullish trend par darust main jata hai, lekin yeh ek cautious approach par roshni dalta hai.




Mein kal ke missed opportunity ke baare mein thak gaya hoon GBP/USD daily M15 timeframe chart main sales position enter karne ke liye 1.2482 par. Jab kuch log keh sakte hain ke meri ghalati thi ke main ne target set kiya tha sales zone ke lower limit par, main aik zyada dependable price point talash kar raha tha. Naakam taur par, jese aksar hota hai, main aik deal bina shart ke reh gaya. Aaj, situation lag rahi hai ke dohraei hone wali hai. Qareebi reference point, pehle he test ho chuka hai, lekin is ki itminanjan dadgi shub hai. Is liye, main ek deal shuru karne ya deferred deal set karne se bachta hoon. Agar main kharidna chahun, to ye sirf doosre reference point se hoga, jo ke ab hamil hai.

GBP/USD daily M15 timeframe chart

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Intehai shauq se intezar ka aghaz ghata hua rasta ab tak haqeeqat mein aya hai, jise market mein dakhil honay ka irada rakhte hue currency pair ko bechnay ke liye ek moqa paida hua hai. Aise nichlay pheroun ka aghaz aksar keemat ke achanak badalne ki fitrat ki wajah se kafi munafa la sakti hai, kyunke price ki tabdiliyon ki tawajju paida karti hai. Khaas tor par, pair ke peechlay buland rukh mein logic ke asal bunyadi asaar dikhayi nahi diye, jo isay sudhaar ki taraf mutassir banata hai. Magar, abhi bhi maujooda keemat ko mazeed upar ki taraf janib le jane ki sambhavna hai. 1.2590 range ke oopar faisla karne ke baad, aur uske baad muddat se muddat ke doran consolidation, yeh ek wazeh signal hoga ek bullish trend ke liye. Halankeh, abhi maine GBP/USD ke 1.2625 range ke andar ek trade shuru kiya hai, jiske irade upar zikar ki gayi seviyat ko todne ki hain. 1.2555 par ek nichli keemat ka daura tab suru hoga jab market dynamics se saath milayega. Jab hasil hoga, toh yeh aage ki taraf janib uthne ka ek safarishi pad ban sakta hai.

Ek sudharati murna pehle se hi anjam diya gaya hai, jiske baad trading range ke dauran 1.2540 ke aaspass manzoori milti hai. Yeh consolidation mudda price discovery aur market ki tajziyaat ka ek dor darust karta hai, jo traders ko future ki mumkin raftaroon ke bare mein qeemti insights faraham karta hai.

Ikhtisasi tor par, tabdeel honay wale market shuruaat mein mojood hawaalay ek strategy ki taraf ishara dete hain jo mojooda keemat ke movement ko faida uthane ke liye hai. Jabke maujooda focus nichli raftar ko istemal karne par hai, hoshyari aur samajhdari ke saath market mein koi mohlik palat ke ishara ka pata lagana zaroori hai. In tahreerat ko behtareen taur par chalana ke zariye, traders apne aap ko currency market ke dynamic manzar mein faida mand mouqayon ko qaboo mein la sakte hain.

Britsh Pound is week ke qareeb apne kamzor tareen point par mojood hai jis ke aas paas $1.2500 hai, jabkeh investors intehai ehtiyaat se Bank of England ki interest rate faisla intezar kar rahe hain. Bank ko wasee taur par mojooda dar 5.25% barqarar rakhne ka intizaar hai, lekin investors ko rate cuts kab shuru honge ke bare mein clues se zyada dilchaspi hai. Kuch policymakers, jaise ke Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, ka khayal hai ke mahine ke agle teen saal mein inflations 2% tak wapas aayegi aur wo rate cut ke liye dabao daal sakte hain. Unhone ek haal hi mein Bank of England survey par ishaara kiya jisme aane wale saalon mein inflations ki umeedon mein kami darj ki gayi hai, sath hi umeed ki gayi mizaaj mein bhi kami darj ki gayi hai. Magar, in musbat alaamat ke bawajood, Bank abhi tak apni hawkish stance mein tabdeeli ka ishaara nahi karne wali hai. Umeed hai ke Pound apni mojooda trading range ke andar rahay gi, aur kisi bhi ahem harkat ka koi faisla ahem takneeki level ko toornay par munhasir hoga.






Pound ke qeemat ko qabool karne ke liye, isay yaqeeni tor par $1.2545 ke oopar chadha hoga, jo ke 200-day moving average hai. Agar ye level paar kar leti hai aur umeedon ke mutabiq barhti rahegi, to ye 2024 ki unchi $1.2893 tak ya phir saikolojikal level $1.3000 tak pohanch sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar Pound momentum kho deta hai, to ye apni mojooda kamzor se wapis ja sakta hai jo ke $1.2299 hai. Is level ke neeche aur girawat aik numaya tor par peechay ki taraf ja sakti hai aur shayad October 2023 ki kamzor $1.2037 tak gir sakti hai. Agar bearish pressure jari rahe to qeemat 1.2405 April support level tak gir sakti hai. Phir 1.2298 ke paanch mahiney ke low wakti girawat ki inteha ho sakti hai. Agar qeemat us zone ke neeche gir jati hai, to shayad November 2023 ke support level 1.2186 ka samna ho. Mukhtalif, April-May resistance zone 1.2564 buyers ka dobara zahir hona aur qeemat ko girte hue trendline ke oopar laa sakti hai. Kul mila kar, Pound ke qareebi rukh Bank of England ke policy faislay par aur us ke asar par investor ki nazar par mabni hai. Jabke rate cut aaj mumkin nahi lag raha, lekin inflations aur wage growth mein kami ke ishaarat lambay arsay tak Pound ko kuch support faraham kar sakti hain.

Britsh Pound is week ke qareeb apne kamzor tareen point par mojood hai jis ke aas paas $1.2500 hai, jabkeh investors intehai ehtiyaat se Bank of England ki interest rate faisla intezar kar rahe hain. Bank ko wasee taur par mojooda dar 5.25% barqarar rakhne ka intizaar hai, lekin investors ko rate cuts kab shuru honge ke bare mein clues se zyada dilchaspi hai. Kuch policymakers, jaise ke Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, ka khayal hai ke mahine ke agle teen saal mein inflations 2% tak wapas aayegi aur wo rate cut ke liye dabao daal sakte hain. Unhone ek haal hi mein Bank of England survey par ishaara kiya jisme aane wale saalon mein inflations ki umeedon mein kami darj ki gayi hai, sath hi umeed ki gayi mizaaj mein bhi kami darj ki gayi hai. Magar, in musbat alaamat ke bawajood, Bank abhi tak apni hawkish stance mein tabdeeli ka ishaara nahi karne wali hai. Umeed hai ke Pound apni mojooda trading range ke andar rahay gi, aur kisi bhi ahem harkat ka koi faisla ahem takneeki level ko toornay par munhasir hoga.






Pound ke qeemat ko qabool karne ke liye, isay yaqeeni tor par $1.2545 ke oopar chadha hoga, jo ke 200-day moving average hai. Agar ye level paar kar leti hai aur umeedon ke mutabiq barhti rahegi, to ye 2024 ki unchi $1.2893 tak ya phir saikolojikal level $1.3000 tak pohanch sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar Pound momentum kho deta hai, to ye apni mojooda kamzor se wapis ja sakta hai jo ke $1.2299 hai. Is level ke neeche aur girawat aik numaya tor par peechay ki taraf ja sakti hai aur shayad October 2023 ki kamzor $1.2037 tak gir sakti hai. Agar bearish pressure jari rahe to qeemat 1.2405 April support level tak gir sakti hai. Phir 1.2298 ke paanch mahiney ke low wakti girawat ki inteha ho sakti hai. Agar qeemat us zone ke neeche gir jati hai, to shayad November 2023 ke support level 1.2186 ka samna ho. Mukhtalif, April-May resistance zone 1.2564 buyers ka dobara zahir hona aur qeemat ko girte hue trendline ke oopar laa sakti hai. Kul mila kar, Pound ke qareebi rukh Bank of England ke policy faislay par aur us ke asar par investor ki nazar par mabni hai. Jabke rate cut aaj mumkin nahi lag raha, lekin inflations aur wage growth mein kami ke ishaarat lambay arsay tak Pound ko kuch support faraham kar sakti hain.

Assalam-o-Alaikum, Mehboob members, kaise hain aap? Aaj, main GBPUSD ka tajziya share karne ja raha hoon. Mere liye, haal mein aik neeche ki taraf ki trend ke liye halat jo liquidity mein uljhan ki wajah se aik ulta chakkar bana, jo aik price gap (be-tawazun) ko zahir karta hai pehle range mein 1.2579–1.2648, bilkul waise hi samne aya jaisa ke tajziyat mein expect tha, jab price nedar 1.2448 ke liquidity level ko newly test kar rahi hai. Yeh level pehle hi mere peechle posts mein highlight kia gaya tha tanzan mein target ke tor par jab GBPUSD currency pair mein decrease hota hai. Agla marhala ich rakhta hai ek upward correction ko lekin uska manzariyat baqi hai. Aik mumkin tasweer shamil ha kisi nai darust area ki taraf liquidity gap (price gap) mein chaar ghantay ke doran, 1.2516 se lekar 1.2530 tak. Yahan se, neeche ki taraf ke trend ka continuation ka manzar hota hai primary objective ko update krne ka mahall jismein 1.2299 hai. Dosri taraf, ek breach 1.2530 se upar bhi aik rally ka signal de sakta hai jo andar ke peak 1.2633 tak ho sakti hai.



Ghraayoun ki chart pe, price ne din bhar nichay ki taraf ki direction mein chalna jari rakha. Is channel ka neeche hissa pohnch ke 1.2462 pe, pair ne aik u-turn liya, aik upward movement ko shuru kiya. Jab yeh upar chawe, price ne downward channel ka upper boundary 1.2499 par breach kia, mumkin hota hai aik upward trajectory ka continuation 1.2592 level tak. Ulta, aik u-turn ka bhi mumkinat hai jahan price neechay jaane ki koshish kare aur downward channel mein re-entry karne pe, woh lower boundary of the channel tak 1.2462 level tak chakra sakti hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis.

GBP/USD ke daam 1.2573 ke darjay tak pohanchte hain, agla ghoor karne ka imkaan hai ke 1.2546 ke paar phir se dabao aaye. Ghoor ek temporary reversal ko ishaara karta hai qeemat ke rukh ke baad jab kisi khaas darjay par rukh ya support milti hai. Is lehaz se, 1.2546 ke paar ghoor aik mumkin pullback ko dikhata hai haal hi ki unchaiyon se, phir dobara shuruaat ke business ke izafa ke saath. Ye scenario karobarion ke jo ke neeche ke darajay par lambi positions mein dakhil hue hain ke faida uthaane ya market ke asasiyat ko dobara tajziyah karne ke zariye hosakta hai. Karobarion ko ahem technical indicators aur market ke jazbat ko nigrani mein rakhtay hue ghoor ki taqat aur muddat ka andaza lagane ke liye, mukhtalif trading strategies ke mutabiq kar sakte hain. GBP/USD ke overall downtrend jari hai aur yeh jari rahega jab tak ke qeemat 1.2500 ke qareeb aur neeche stable rahegi. Daily chart par dikhaye gaye psy chological support level 1.2300 ke upar takti hui tootne ki mumkinat mojoodah darja par mukhtasir hai kyun ke US dollar ki demand ek safe-haven asset ke tor par mazboot hai aur Fed abhi is support level se door hai, jis se US dollar ki taqat barqarar rehti hai. Interest rate cuts ka raftar Bank of England se mukhtalif hai. Doosri taraf, agar bull pair ko 1.2720 ke resistance ke upar na le jaye, to mojoodah downtrend toot nahi payega.



Uttar ki taraf aur Chaar-Ghante ke chart par wapas neelee moving average ke upar aaye, aur 1.2525 ke darja ke upar aaye jo ke ek umeedwar rukh ko dikhata hai. Lambi muddat ke liye umeedwar rukh mein chalne ki mumkinat...uttar ki taraf resistance level dhoondne ke liye. Agar hum char-ghante ke chart par sitara detaye se ghoor karte hain, to hum ek yaqeeni chamak ko dekh sakte hain jo wave ke upar ban rahi hai, aik u-turn tasdeeq hua hai, to abhi ke liye, main ise sab se zyada mumkin scenario qarar deta hoon. Fractals ke zariye haalat, aik naya upward fractal bana hai, jo ke ab daam ke izafa ka maqsood hai; iske tor phor aur mustawar hone se quotes ko fractal 1.27089 ki taraf chalne ki ijaazat hogi. Qareebi downward fractal thoda door hai, aur agar aik naye, qareebi fractal ka intezar karna hoga ta ke qeemat ke girne ke rukh par aitemaad kiya ja sake.

GBP/USD Outlook Analysis:

Pichlay kuch hafton ke market movements ko analyze karte hue, yeh saaf hai ke upward trajectory ka significant potential baqi hai. Khas tor par, GBP/USD currency pair ne is haftay ke trading sessions ke doran notable activity dikhayi hai. Hafte ke trading session ke aghaz se, market mein ek sustained bullish momentum hai. Anay walay trading sessions ko dekhte hue, mera outlook optimistic hai, aur main opportune areas ko identify karta rehta hoon taake BUY trading orders initiate kar sakoon, jo ke market upsurges ke sizable potential se buoyed hain. Yeh yaqeen khudgi buyers ke maharat mein hai jo prices ko critical level 1.2510 se door le jaate hain.

Agle jaanein, Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator pe escalating Lime Line jo 70 mark ke qareeb hai, vividly buyers ki robust dominance ko market mein underscore karti hai. Technical evaluation mein market conditions ko dekhte hue, yeh discernible hai ke price escalation ke liye plausible likelihood mojood hai, jis se BUY option highly attractive banti hai. Yeh sirf ek valid setup ki confirmation ka intezar karna hai taake market entry initiate ki ja sake, aur target price escalation jo ke 1.2635 ke approximately level tak envisioned hai.



Agar buyers is haftay ek martaba phir se prices ko upar le jaane mein kamiyab ho jate hain above the aforementioned target level, yeh aglay market trend ka zyada wazeh insight furnish karega, jo anticipated hai ke further upward trajectory ki taraf lean karega.

Weekly timeframe pe, reversal to the upside ka koi signal nahi hai abhi, magar agar daily timeframe pe price is month ke high - 1.2634 ko surpass karne mein nakam hoti hai, yeh indication ho sakti hai ke bullish momentum weakening hai aur ek potential reversal to the downside ho sakta hai. Weekly timeframe pe is candle pe reversal ka koi signal nahi hai.

Hello everyone,
Aaj Budh hai aur kal humein EUR/USD aur GBP/USD pairs ke saath sone mein bhi high volatility movement dekhne ko mili. Kal USA dollar index mein weakness dikhai di. Aaj main GBP/USD par mazeed analysis karne ja raha hoon. Budh ko UK mein koi major events schedule nahi hain. Sabse bara event US Consumer Price Index hoga jo April ka hoga. Inflation 0.1-0.2% tak slow ho sakti hai, jo ke US dollar par pressure dal sakta hai, lekin aise values ka yeh matlab nahi ke Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko ease karne ke qareeb hai. Isliye, inflation mein minor slowdown dollar ke fundamental background ko nahi badal sakta.

Kal ka example lein. Humne US Producer Price Index (PPI) ka analysis kiya tha EUR/USD article mein aur yeh nateeja nikala tha ke is report ne currency pairs ko girana chahiye tha, nahi ke uthane chahiye tha. Magar is report ke ilawa, UK ne bhi apna data release kiya tha. Unemployment rate 4.3% tak barh gayi, unemployment benefit claims ki tadaad 8,900 se barh gayi, aur average wage growth rate 5.7% tak barh gayi. Doosri aur teesri reports pound ke liye waqai positive dekhi ja sakti hain, lekin unemployment rate ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. British pound ne is data par girawat se react kiya, jo dikhata hai ke traders ne pehle unemployment rate par zyada tawajju di. Magar, jese ke US PPI ke saath hua, sellers phir retreat kar gaye.

1H chart par, GBP/USD bullish correction se guzarta nazar aa raha hai, jo kisi bhi cheez mein tabdeel ho sakti hai. Kyun ke price area 1.2605-1.2620 ko overcome nahi kar sakti, medium-term mein downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Magar, pound ab ek naye sideways channel mein over a week se trade kar raha hai. Yeh tasavvur karna mushkil hai ke yeh kitna aur waqt next flat mein guzarega.

GBP/USD Asia mein utha hua tawanai ke saath trading kar raha hai, lekin raat ke swing ki unchaai ya mid-1.2600 ke neeche reh raha hai, jaise ke kisi milti julti khareedari ka koi asar nahi hai. Ek taraf, bunyadi pichida mandi ke haalat nakaaraatam kareedaron ko pasand hai, jo 1.2475 kshetra se ya pichle Jumme ko paanch hafton ki kamzor unchaai se agey barhne se pehle hoshiyaar rehna hoga. Sterling mein taizi se rate kaatne ki wagerah par lagaye gaye shor unchaion ko rok rahe hain. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey ne pichle haftay kaha tha ke is saal rate kaatne ki umeedein ghair-mumkin nahi hain. Ye iske baad aata hai ke do Bank of England policymakers jo pehle interest rates ko barhane ka faisla karne wale the, unhon ne apni rai badal di aur borriyat ke costs ko 5.25% par qaim rakha, jo ke sterling (GBP) ko mazeed kamzor karne ka sabab hai.

Doosri taraf, U.S. dollar (USD) ne mahiney ki unchaai ke qareeb se peechley din ka moaziya dauraan rook gaya, jabke U.S. ki maeeshat ke husooli andaz ko le kar ummid bhari nazar hai. Ye GBP/USD jori ke liye mazeed unchaai ko mehdood karta hai.

It is expected ke Federal Reserve 2024 mein teen martaba interest rates kaatne ki tawaqqa rakhe. U.S. dollar index hifazati andaz mein hai. Kuch Federal Reserve afser ne sticky infaltion aur mazid se maeeshat ke daleel bhar macro data ke baray mein fikar izhar ki. Haqeeqat mein, Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic U.S. ki maeeshat aur infaltion ko dheere dheere kam hone ka intezar karte hain aur is saal sirf ek rate kaat ka imkan rakhte hain. Alehda, Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke U.S. markazi bank ko infaltion mein taraqqi dekhni chahiye aur apni dool tafreeqat ke darmiyan ek balance qaim karna chahiye. Intahai, Federal Reserve ne pichle haftay ishara diya ke is saal woh phir bhi 75 basis points ke hisaab se interest rates kaategi, jo ke U.S. Treasury yields ke liye ek aaiini mushkil tha. Ye, sath sath jildi mein stock markets mein bunyadi tone ki wajah se, mujooda toor par tradeers ko safe-haven US dollar ke ird gird jure aggressive bullish wagerah bandhne se rok sakta hai aur GBP/USD jorri ko kuch support faraham kar sakta hai. Market participants ab U.S. maeeshati data ki taraf nazar daal rahe hain - jaise ke dairin maal ki hukoomat, Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index aur Richmond Manufacturing Index - for fresh impetus.

Takneeki chart dikhata hai ke GBP/USD ke daam ne mazboot support ko 1.2580 ke darje tak pohancha hai, jisse kuch bullish rujhan ka zahir hota hai. Daam chart par dikhayi dene wale double top pattern ko dobara test karne ke liye aik tootnay ki reekh ke qareeb aa raha hai. EMA50 daam par manfi dabaav daalta hai, daam ke bearish trend correction ka barhne ka imkan deta hai. Is bearish trend ka maqsad pehle level ko paar karne ke baad 1.2480 tak barhna hota hai. Bearish lehar ka jari rehna daam ki qaim maeeshat par mabni hai. $1.2700 ke darje ko paar karne se ooper ki taraf chalay jaane ka ishaara ho sakta hai, jisse 1.2800 se ooper ki taraf rukh karne ka maqsad hota hai.

GBP/USD Daily Analysis in Roman Urdu
Assalam-o-Alaikum dosto! Har cheez plan ke mutabiq chal rahi hai: hum EUR/USD me izafa ka intezar kar rahe the, aur hume izafa mil gaya. Ab hum inclined channel ki upper limit ko touch kar chuke hain. Aur ab hum us area me hain jahan hum sales opportunities dekh sakte hain. Ab, chaliye dekhte hain indicators se kya maloom hota hai:

Moving Averages:

- MA100 halka sa five degrees ka angle le kar neeche ja raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke is hafte me ab bhi thodi bearishness hai.
- MA18 north ki taraf forty degrees ke bullish angle se ja raha hai. Yeh ek specific signal hai ke yeh MA100 ko neeche se upar cross karne ke liye tayar hai, jo ke hume ek buy signal dega - golden cross.
- Humare candles MA100 aur MA18 ke darmiyan space me hain, hum do moving averages ke pattern par kaam kar rahe hain - ek tarah ka corridor, jo ke asoolan, complete ho chuka hai.

Support and Resistance Levels:

- Humne lower boundary - MA18 ko work out kiya hai, jo ke ab support de raha hai level 1.0745 par, aur yeh resistance - MA100 tak pull up kar chuka hai, yeh level hai 1.0840.
- Nichimoku cloud current selling colors me colored hai. Forecasted future me, yeh aur bhi zyada bearish ho gaya hai. Ab yahan strong bulls ke liye koi jaga nahi hai.

Stochastic and MASD Indicators:

- Light Stochastic overbought territory me enter ho gaya hai. Iska matlab hai ke yeh tayar hai ke yeh turn around kare aur neeche jaye.
- Lightweight MASD zero level ke upar zone me enter ho gaya hai. Isne ek nayi bullish wave form ki hai.
- Strong oscillator kaam kar raha hai, yahan bearish wave hai, lekin halka buy signal bhi hai. Ek group of moving RCAs, jo oversold zone ke kaam karne ke baad, ek buy signal de rahe hain. Ab yeh north move karna chahiye - upper channel band ka test karne ke liye - 1.0840.





Conclusion:

Yeh sab kuch mil kar hume yeh batata hai ke abhi market me thoda bullish sentiment hai, lekin strong bearish indicators bhi hain jo ke suggest karte hain ke market ne neeche move karna hai. Humari strategy yeh honi chahiye ke hum current level se bears ko grab karen aur neeche ki taraf jana shuru karein.

Humari technical analysis ke mutabiq, agar hum 1.0840 ke upper channel band ko test karte hain, to yeh ek zaruri level hoga jahan se market bearish turn le sakti hai. Market ke is analysis ko dekhte hue, yeh waqt hai ke hum cautiously approach karen aur apne sales opportunities ko carefully monitor karein.

Agar market is level se neeche jati hai, to humare pass niche move ke liye clear path hoga. Isliye, yeh zaruri hai ke hum apne indicators ko closely monitor karein aur market ke movements ke mutabiq apne trades plan karein.

GBP/USD Asia mein utha hua tawanai ke saath trading kar raha hai, lekin raat ke swing ki unchaai ya mid-1.2600 ke neeche reh raha hai, jaise ke kisi milti julti khareedari ka koi asar nahi hai. Ek taraf, bunyadi pichida mandi ke haalat nakaaraatam kareedaron ko pasand hai, jo 1.2475 kshetra se ya pichle Jumme ko paanch hafton ki kamzor unchaai se agey barhne se pehle hoshiyaar rehna hoga. Sterling mein taizi se rate kaatne ki wagerah par lagaye gaye shor unchaion ko rok rahe hain. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey ne pichle haftay kaha tha ke is saal rate kaatne ki umeedein ghair-mumkin nahi hain. Ye iske baad aata hai ke do Bank of England policymakers jo pehle interest rates ko barhane ka faisla karne wale the, unhon ne apni rai badal di aur borriyat ke costs ko 5.25% par qaim rakha, jo ke sterling (GBP) ko mazeed kamzor karne ka sabab hai.

Doosri taraf, U.S. dollar (USD) ne mahiney ki unchaai ke qareeb se peechley din ka moaziya dauraan rook gaya, jabke U.S. ki maeeshat ke husooli andaz ko le kar ummid bhari nazar hai. Ye GBP/USD jori ke liye mazeed unchaai ko mehdood karta hai.

It is expected ke Federal Reserve 2024 mein teen martaba interest rates kaatne ki tawaqqa rakhe. U.S. dollar index hifazati andaz mein hai. Kuch Federal Reserve afser ne sticky infaltion aur mazid se maeeshat ke daleel bhar macro data ke baray mein fikar izhar ki. Haqeeqat mein, Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic U.S. ki maeeshat aur infaltion ko dheere dheere kam hone ka intezar karte hain aur is saal sirf ek rate kaat ka imkan rakhte hain. Alehda, Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke U.S. markazi bank ko infaltion mein taraqqi dekhni chahiye aur apni dool tafreeqat ke darmiyan ek balance qaim karna chahiye. Intahai, Federal Reserve ne pichle haftay ishara diya ke is saal woh phir bhi 75 basis points ke hisaab se interest rates kaategi, jo ke U.S. Treasury yields ke liye ek aaiini mushkil tha. Ye, sath sath jildi mein stock markets mein bunyadi tone ki wajah se, mujooda toor par tradeers ko safe-haven US dollar ke ird gird jure aggressive bullish wagerah bandhne se rok sakta hai aur GBP/USD jorri ko kuch support faraham kar sakta hai. Market participants ab U.S. maeeshati data ki taraf nazar daal rahe hain - jaise ke dairin maal ki hukoomat, Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index aur Richmond Manufacturing Index - for fresh impetus.

Takneeki chart dikhata hai ke GBP/USD ke daam ne mazboot support ko 1.2580 ke darje tak pohancha hai, jisse kuch bullish rujhan ka zahir hota hai. Daam chart par dikhayi dene wale double top pattern ko dobara test karne ke liye aik tootnay ki reekh ke qareeb aa raha hai. EMA50 daam par manfi dabaav daalta hai, daam ke bearish trend correction ka barhne ka imkan deta hai. Is bearish trend ka maqsad pehle level ko paar karne ke baad 1.2480 tak barhna hota hai. Bearish lehar ka jari rehna daam ki qaim maeeshat par mabni hai. $1.2700 ke darje ko paar karne se ooper ki taraf chalay jaane ka ishaara ho sakta hai, jisse 1.2800 se ooper ki taraf rukh karne ka maqsad hota hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD pair, khaaskar lower boundary of the channel ke ird gird, jo ke qareeban 1.2730 par hai. Yeh level ek strategic entry point present karta hai buy positions initiate karne ke liye, jiska target qareeban 1.2780 par set hai potential upward movement ke liye. Agar target 1.2750 achieve hota hai, to yeh pair ki strong upward momentum ka indicator hoga, market me bullish sentiment ko affirm karta hai.

Traders ko is level par price actions ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke yeh upward trend ke continuation ya potential reversal ka signal de sakta hai. Yeh maan'na zaruri hai ke 1.2800 mark se ek correction ka possibility hai, given the significance of this resistance level. Bullish scenario me, bulls shayad upward movement ko sustain karne ki koshish karen, jabke koi bhi retracement market cycle ka ek natural part samjha jana chahiye.

Agar entry point 1.2820 se neeche breach hota hai, to yeh market sentiment me shift ko towards bearish interests signal karega. Traders ko aise scenarios me ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur risk management strategies ko implement karna chahiye taake potential
losses ko mitigate kiya ja sake.





A correction ka potential hai jab pair 1.2850 tak pohonchta hai, given its significance as a resistance level. Aise scenario me, bullish traders upward movement ko maintain karne ki koshish kar sakte hain, jabke koi bhi pullback ek healthy market cycle ka part samjha jana chahiye. Agar entry point 1.2880 se neeche breach hota hai, to yeh market sentiment me shift towards bearish tendencies indicate karega. Traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur risk management strategies ko implement karna chahiye in response to such developments taake potential losses ko mitigate kiya ja sake.

Overall, jab ke GBP/USD pair me buying opportunities hain, traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur market dynamics me changes ke liye adaptable hona chahiye. Key levels aur indicators ko closely monitor karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain taake potential opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein aur risks ko effectively manage kar sakein.