Saptahiki chart par pound-dollar pair ko dekhne se ek ahem raah nazar aati hai. 1.07380 se shuru hokar, yeh jodi UK sarkar mein khatarnaak tabdeeliyon ke baad qayam hui. In tabdeeliyon mein karkunon ki poori tabdeeli aur siyasati tadbeerat shamil hain, jo shuru mein pound ko kamzor kar diya, phir se zyada tax pe lautne se currency ko mustaqil kar diya. Baad mein, UK ne ek series ke interest rate hikes ka amal kiya, jo jodi ko 1.32145 ke resistance tak pahuncha diya. Ek upar jaane wala trend channel ubhara, jo euro-dollar jodi mein ek mushaba pattern ko dekhata tha. Magar yeh channel tor diya gaya, jis se jodi 1.21917 tak gir gayi, jisse shayad European Central Bank ke monetary tightening se mutasir hui. Jodi 1.26780 tak pahunchi jab Federal Reserve ne monetary policy mein rukawat ka ishara diya aur mumkinah easing measures ki ishaara kiya. Euro-dollar jodi ke mukable mein, growing inflation data ke bawajood, pound-dollar jodi range-bound rahi, shayad UK se monetary policy adjustments ke baare mein wazeh signals ke ghair maujoodgi ki wajah se. Magar jab UK ne interest rate cuts ke mumkinah ishaare diye, to jodi 1.24379 ke support level ke neeche chali gayi. Halan ke Bank of England ke pound ko manfi tor par support karne ki afwahen mojood hain, lekin iske ilawa musalsal girawat ki koi wazeh daleel nahi hai. Isliye, jodi apne nedekhe trading range ke upper boundaries ko dobara dekhegi aur jab tak naye inflation data nazar aaye, yeh jodi jaari rahegi, jo jodi ke liye ek wazeh raasta darust karegi.
Is kamzor US data ke bawajood, GBP/USD jodi apne fayde ko nahi sambhal saki. Pound ab panch mahine ke low se bahar aa rahi hai lekin 1.2495-1.2520 zone ke aas paas rukawat ka samna kar rahi hai. Yeh kamzori ek bade downtrend ka aks hai jo jab pair haal hi mein 1.2892 tak pahuncha tha. Technical indicators yeh ishara dete hain ke GBP/USD price mein ek temporary bounce ho sakta hai. MACD indicator trigger line ke oopar cross karne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur Stochastic indicator oversold territory mein ghusne ke baad uth raha hai. Agar khareedari jaari rahe, to jodi 1.2520 ke qareeb resistance zone tak pahunch sakti hai, jahan se 20-day moving average se aur mushkilat ka saamna ho sakta hai. Chhote se upar jaane ka bhi mukabla 1.2555 ke 200-day moving average aur 1.2585 ke downtrend line se ho sakta hai. Ikhtetaam mein, GBP/USD jodi mukhalif taqatoo ke darmiyan phansi hui hai. Kamzor US data ne shuru mein pound ko farogh diya, lekin inflation aur Fed ki monetary policy ke maamlaat ke baare mein pareshaniyaan fayde ko rok rahi hain. Yeh jodi qareebi doran mein muntashir rahegi jab tak investors in mukhalif factors ka toul dete hain.
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