آسٹریلوی ڈالر/امریکی ڈالر (AUD/USD)

Australian Dollar / US Dollar Currency Pair ka Mojooda Market ka Jaiza. 4-Ghantay ka Waqt Frame.

Aaiye tajziya karte hain ke is jori ki movement ke imkaanat kis had tak munafa bakhsh hain, jab hum Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD indicators ke readings ko madde nazar rakhte huye ek market mein dakhil hone ke imkaanat ko jaancheinge aur acha munafa kamane ki koshish karte hain. In teeno indicators ke signals ka bilkul milna zaroori hai, jo ke sahi trading decision lene mein madadgar sabit hoga aur isay high degree of probability ke sath anjam diya ja sakta hai. Market position se behtareen nikalne ka point jaldi se ta'ayun karna bhi utna hi ahem hai, jo ke trading ke liye chune gaye timeframe ke current extreme points par kheenchi gayi Fibonacci correction levels se madadgaar sabit ho sakta hai.

Pesh ki gayi chart par aap foran dekh sakte hain ke pehle darje ki regression line (sonayi dotted line), jo ke chune gaye waqt frame (time-frame H4) mein asbab aur mojooda rujhan ki direction ko zahir karti hai, neeche ki taraf 30% se zyada ke angle par hai, jo ke south side mein ghalba rakhta trend movement ko zahir karti hai. Isi waqt, nonlinear regression channel (convex lines), jo ke qareeb mustaqbil ki peshgoi ke liye istemal hota hai, ne sonayi channel line ko oopar se neeche ki taraf cross kiya hai aur neeche ki taraf ka rukh zahir karta hai.



Qeemat ne linear regression channel ke 2nd LevelSupLine ke blue support line ko cross kiya magar quotes ka minimum value (LOW) 0.63598 tak pohancha, us ke baad is ne apni girawat ko rok diya aur dheere dheere barhna shuru kar diya. Is waqt, yeh asbaab 0.65004 ke price level par trade kar raha hai. Upar di gayi tamaam maloomat ke base par, main tawaqo rakhta hoon ke market price quotes wapas aayenge aur 2-nd LevelSupLine (0.65498) channel line ke 50% FIBO level ke oopar mazbooti se consolidate honge aur mazeed oopar ki taraf golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.65722 ki taraf, jo Fibo level 61.8% ke sath milti hai, move karenge. Dhyaan dein ke madadgar indicators RSI (14) aur MACD oversold area mein hain aur yeh bhi zahir karte hain ke asbaab ki price mein izafa ka zyada imkaan hai.

AUS/USD Currency Pair Ka Tajziya:

Aaj ka tajziya yeh darust karta hai ke AUD/USD mein haal hi mein jo uptrend dekha gaya hai, uska silsila jald hi neeche ki taraf jane ka imkaan hai. Ye peshgoi kuch asbaab ki bina par ki gayi hai, jin mein SBR (Support turned Resistance) area ka qareeb hona aur demand area jo ke 0.6340 ki qeemat par hai, uski koi ahem touchpoints ka na hona shamil hai. Is liye, main apne doston ko mashwara deta hoon ke wo sell positions kholne ka sochein, kyunki overall trend abhi bhi bearish lag raha hai. SBR area, jahan support levels ab resistance levels mein tabdeel ho gaye hain, market sentiment ko samajhne mein ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Jab AUD/USD is area ke qareeb pohanchega, to yeh bechne ka dabao pesh kar sakta hai, jo iski upward momentum ko rok sakta hai ya ulta kar sakta hai. SBR area ke chhune ka thoda hi hissa baqi hai, jo ke market direction mein aik mumkinah turning point ko zahir karta hai.

Is ke ilawa, demand area jo ke 0.6340 ki qeemat par hai, ab tak untouched hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke abhi tak kafi selling pressure baqi hai jo ke absorb hona zaroori hai. Jab koi demand area touch nahi hota, to yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke khareedari ne ab tak qeemat ko zyada ooncha nahi chadhaya hai, jo market mein bearish sentiment ko mazboot karta hai.

In observations ko dekhte hue, traders ke liye sell positions kholna samajhdari bhara faisla ho sakta hai. Mojudah bearish trend ke saath align ho kar, traders AUD/USD mein mumkinah neeche ki taraf ki movements se faida utha sakte hain. Sell order lagana traders ko price declines se profit kamane ki ijazat deta hai, is tarah se bearish market environment mein apne returns ko maximize karte hain.

Jo log sell positions par ghaur kar rahe hain, unke liye wazeh entry, target, aur stop-loss levels qaim karna zaroori hai. Target ko sab se qareebi support level par set kiya ja sakta hai, jo is surat mein 0.6353 ki qeemat par hai. Ye level profit-taking ke liye aik maqool target hai, kyunki yeh price reversal ya consolidation ka mumkinah area hai. Mazeed, sab se qareebi resistance level par, jo ke 0.6503 ki qeemat par hai, stop-loss order lagana mumkinah nuqsanat ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Sakht risk management usoolon ko apna kar, traders apni capital ko mehfooz kar sakte hain aur na-mosar market conditions ka asar kam kar sakte hain.



Ikhtitam par, halanki AUD/USD ne haal hi mein uptrend ka tajurba kiya hai, lekin overall market sentiment abhi bhi bearish hai. SBR area ke mukammal hone aur demand area ka ab tak untouched rehne ke sabab, neeche ki taraf ke trend ke silsile ko jaari rehne ki mazboot wajohat hain. Is liye, main apne doston ko mashwara deta hoon ke wo sell positions kholne par ghaur karein, jiska target 0.6353 aur stop-loss 0.6503 par set karein, taake market mein mumkinah profit ke moqe se faida utha saken.

AUD/USD Technical and Fundamental Analysis
Kal, humne market ko 0.6600 ke aaspaas phir se dekha. Yeh dikhata hai ke khareedne wale apni qeemat ko kamyabi se barha rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, khareedne walay lagta hai ke fluctuating sharaat mein apni mustaqil hone ki jaanib mutawajjih hain. Qeemat ka unke mawaqif ke sath hamla saabit karta hai ke jald hi rukawaton ka mukabla karne ki mehnat ke liye ek muzahimat shirkat hai. Yeh trend kuch khaas jodiyon par kharidari ke hukumate ibdaai ko shuru karne ke liye manfi aur ghairat maqsood umer maidaan mein zaroorat hai takay moqami fawaid se faida uthaya ja sake. Haalaanki, aaj ke trading peyzama ke andar samundari harkat ki fitrat ko tasleem karke, ahtiyaat zaroori hai, jo ke bazaar ki harkat ko pehchaanati hai. AUD/USD ke maamle mein, mein agle qadam ko 0.6646 ke qareeb chhoti maqsood samjhta hoon. Is ke ilawa, aane wale US trading session mein chalne wale naye moqay ke darwaze kholne ka imkaan hai chatur traders ke liye. Is maqam mein, naye trading plans ko qubool karna aur taraqqi pazeer technical tajziya ke tareeqon ka faida uthana traders ko bazaar ke peshangoyi marahil mein ek strategyati faida faraham kar sakta hai. Mojudah market ka mizaj khaas tor par buyers ke liye muntaqil nazar aata hai, na sirf mojooda trading din ke liye balkay aane wale session mein bhi. AUD/USD ke maamle mein, mojooda market mizaj ke khilaf na jaayein. Is ke ilawa, khareedne walay aaj bhi mustaqil reh sakte hain. Jaise ke qeemat ne unka sath diya, woh rukawat ko jald hi ya der se maat dene ka iraada rakhte hain. Is liye, mein is pair par chhoti maqsood ke saath ek khareedari ka order pasand karta hoon. Yeh bhi, humein aaj ehtiyaat ke sath trade karna chahiye kyun ke market aam tor par aaj harkat karti hai. Is ke ilawa, US trading session zyada moqay traders ke liye leke aata hai. Is liye, naye trading plans aur technical tajziya ke saath trade karna behtar hai. Kul mila kar, market aaj aur kal khareedne walon ke liye rahega. Aur, agar hum kuch naye trading techniques ka istemal karenge, toh hum apni munafa dar ko fayeda utha sakte hain. Chaliye dekhte hain Sydney trading session ke dauran kya hota hai.
Allah Hafiz, muskuratay rahiye!

The AUD/USD market pair on the Daily timeframe
AudUsd market pair jo kal budh ko trade ki gayi thi, woh ab bhi bechne walon ki dabav mein qaboo main tha, khaaskar kharidne walon ne jo ke ab tak bechne walon ki rukawat ko toorna nahi tha jo ke keemat 0.6600-0.6595 par thi, jo ke keemat ko dobara bechne walon ki qaboo main le gaya. jo ke phir se itna mazboot farokht dabao dalti hai ke qeemat dobara neeche chali jaati hai.

Din k dauran Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal karte hue Daily timeframe par nazar aata hai ke keemat ko phir se bechne wale ne Upper Bollinger Bands area par rakhne k liye keemat ko 0.6640-0.6630 ki keemat par barqarar rakha hai, jo ke AudUsd market pair ko bechnay walon ka dabav zahir karta hai. Is ke ilawa, bechne wale ne kal k trading ko ek mazboot bearish candlestick banakar khatam kiya, jisse maloom hota hai ke AudUsd market pair ko neeche murjhane ka mauqa phir se hai aur ye 0.6515-0.6510 ki keemat par Middle Bollinger Bands area ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ke bechne wale ka agla bearish target area hai.

Jumeraat ko European market session mein trading mein kharidne walon ko safalta mili ke bechnay walon ko neeche ghusane mein mushkil hoti thi jo ke keemat ko bullish bana diya. Kharidne walon ne keemat ko bechnay walon ka resistance area test karne k liye upar laya jo ke 0.6600-0.6605 ki keemat par hai aur agar ye kamiyab hote hain, to AudUsd pair ki keemat aur bhi buland umeed ki ja sakti hai jiski nishandahi 0.6625-0.6630 ki keemat par hai.

RSI indicator bhi dikhata hai ke keemat jo pehle level 60 area mein thi ab level 55 area ki taraf ja chuki hai, jo ke bechnay walon dawam karte hue support hasil kar rahi hai jo ke aaj k trading mein level 50 RSI area tak ja sakta hai.

Nateeja:

Agar bechne wale ko 0.6565-0.6560 ki keemat par support area mein ghusne mein kamiyabi milti hai to farokht dakhil ki ja sakti hai, TP area 0.6535-0.6530 ki keemat par.

Agar kharidne wale ko resistance area ko paar karne mein kamiyabi milti hai to ek pending buy stop order ko 0.6600-0.6605 ki keemat par dakhil kiya ja sakta hai, TP target 0.6630-0.6635 ki keemat par.

The time frame of an hour, famous as the H1 timeframe, is a crucial tool for critically analyzing the movements of the AUDUSD pair. This timeframe provides a close-up view that highlights short-term trends and helps identify potential trading opportunities. During the recent trading session, a detailed display of bearish sentiments towards the AUDUSD pair was observed, accompanied by a distinct bearish candlestick pattern. Such patterns serve as key indicators for market participants, often indicating selling pressure and influencing price movements.
The formation of this bearish candlestick pattern signals a desire among market participants to push sentiments towards lower price movements. Based on the understanding of candlestick patterns' intricacies, this formation represents selling pressure that closely monitors market dynamics. The bearish candle, with its distinct downward path, suggests a shift towards bearish sentiment among traders regarding the AUDUSD pair. It signifies a narrative where sellers have gained control, lowering prices to capitalize on market movements.



Particularly, the bearish candle presented in the question has formed a notable upper wick, extending beyond the body of the candle. The presence of this long upper wick implies rejection at higher prices. Its presence could be attributed to various factors that substantiate this rejection. These could include traders capitalizing on profit-taking opportunities, encountering resistance levels, or aligning with prevailing market sentiments favoring lower prices. Without a specified catalyst, the significance of the long upper wick serves as strong evidence of the current bearish sentiment surrounding the AUDUSD pair.



In the matter at hand, I consider the next step to be around 0.6646. Furthermore, there is a possibility of opening doors to new opportunities in the upcoming US trading session for savvy traders. At this juncture, embracing new trading plans and leveraging progressive technical analysis methods can provide traders with a strategic advantage in navigating market uncertainties. The current market sentiment appears particularly favorable for buyers, not only for the present trading day but also for the upcoming session. In the case of AUD/USD, one should not go against the current market sentiment. Additionally, buyers may remain cautious today. As price supports them, they intend to overcome obstacles either soon or later. Therefore, I prefer placing a buy order on this pair with a modest target. Moreover, we should trade cautiously today because the market typically exhibits volatility. Furthermore, the US trading session brings more opportunities for traders. Hence, it's advisable to adopt new trading plans and technical strategies with caution.