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  • #241 Collapse

    EUR/USD ne Thursday ko neeche ki taraf apni chal shuru ki, jiska hum bohot arsay se intezar kar rahe the. Magar ye koi guarantee nahi hai ke ye neeche ki taraf hi jaari rahega, kyun ke investors ko dollar kharidne ke liye bohot mauqay mojood thay, jo unho ne faida nahi uthaya. Is liye bullish bias jaari hai. Lekin, trend line ke neeche consolidation aur Thursday ko significant giravat humein umeed dilate hain. Kal ke macro data mein se, hum US ke reports on retail sales aur producer prices ko highlight kar sakte hain. Pehla report ek musbat izafa dikhaya, haalaanki thora kam forecast se. Dusra report forecasts ko paar kar gaya (0.6% versus 0.3%). Producer Price Index dollar ki izaafat ko trigger kar sakta hai, kyun ke producer prices ke barhne seinflation aane waale maheenon mein dobara tezi se barh sakti hai. In reports ko mila kar, ye zahir hota hai ke Federal Reserve current level par rate ko mazeed lamba waqt tak barqarar rakh sakta hai. 5-minute timeframe par ek bohot lamba lekin mukammal sell signal bana. Jaisa ke hum ne pehle bhi zikar kiya hai, market mein volatility hone par achay signals milte hain. Keemat poore European session ke doran qaim rahi, lekin US session ke shuru hone par, ye aakhirkaar 1.0940 ke level se bounce kiya aur 1.0888-1.0896 ke range ke neeche gir gaya. Is liye, shuruaati traders ko is signal se lagbhag 50 pips ke munafa mil sakta tha. Aur is waqt, behtar hai ke short positions ke saath bane rahen (ya naye positions kholen).

    Trading tips Friday ke liye:Hourly chart par, EUR/USD ne neeche ki taraf chalna shuru kiya hai, aur hum sab kuch yahi umeed kar sakte hain ke is baar dollar buland ho. Hum ab bhi ummeed rakhte hain ke euro apni giravat ko dobara shuru karega, jo humari rai mein kafi arsay tak jaari rahegi. Hum samajhte hain ke bullish correction, jo ek maheena se zyada ka samay le raha tha, aakhirkaar khatam ho gaya hai. Agar aisa hai, to ek naya neeche ki taraf ka trend banega. Yaad rakhen ke euro abhi tak aise significant factors se mehroom hai jo uski growth ko support kar sakte hain.

    5M chart par key levels hain 1.0568, 1.0611-1.0618, 1.0668, 1.0725, 1.0785-1.0797, 1.0855, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971-1.0981, 1.1011, 1.1043, 1.1091. Thursday ko, Eurozone ka calendar khali hai. US docket mein University of Michigan se consumer sentiment aur industrial production ke reports hain. Ye crucial reports nahi hain, lekin ye zaroori hai ke ye disappointing values na dikhayein taake dollar ki growth ko rukawat na aaye, jo abhi tareekh shuru ki hai.Click image for larger version

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    • #242 Collapse

      Adaab aur Shab-e-Khair dosto!

      Aaj ham ne US Prelim Inflation Expectations aur Consumer confidence se khaas koi asar nahi dekha. Aur, EUR/USD ke market abhi 1.0886 ke aas paas chal raha hai. Aakhir kar, traders ke liye ek mehtav aur tehzeeb se kam karna zaroori hai. Meticulous risk management ka istemal karna behad zaroori hai, jismein stop-loss orders ka istemal potential nuqsan ko kam karne mein ek ahem tool hai. Is hamesha badalte huye manzar mein, jahan market sentiments jhat-pat badal sakte hain, stop-loss levels ki discipline se palayan karke traders ko sudden aur anjaan price movements ke nuqsan se bachaya ja sakta hai. Umeed hai ke buyers baad mein ye nuqsan aasani se cover kar lenge.

      Aam taur par, EUR/USD ke market abhi bhi 1.0886 ke resistance area par hai. Isliye, buyers apna 20-30 pips ka nuqsan agle trading week mein aasani se cover kar sakte hain. Mazeed, munasib paisay ka tawazun har kaamyab trading strategy ke liye zaroori hai. Jab traders currency pairs aur economic indicators ke chakkar mein chalte hain, toh capital ka tawazun aur leverage ka dhang se istemal bohot ahem hota hai. Position sizing, har trade ke liye khatra, aur mukhtalif positions ka exposure tay karna traders ko overleveraging aur zyada khatra uthane ke nuqsan se bacha sakta hai. Iske saath hi, ek disciplined approach se paisay ka tawazun rakhna traders ko sirf apne capital ko surakshit rakhta hai balki unhe forex trading ke volatile duniya mein lambe arse tak kamiyabi hasil karne ke liye bhi taiyar rakhta hai. Main agli hafte ke liye ek bullish market scenario ka intezar kar raha hoon. Kyunki buyers aaj bhi apni jagah banane mein lagae hue hain. Isliye, hum agli hafte ke liye ek kharidne ki mauqa ka soch sakte hain. Magar, humein EUR/USD ke aaney wale khabron se mutalliq bhi khayal rakhna hoga.
         
      • #243 Collapse

        Bearish Outlook: Selling Opportunity

        Trading mein, sab se mufeed mauqe ko pakarna zaroori hai. Ek jodi mein be-maqsad izafa ka khatma pehchaanna aham mor hai. Jaise ke EUR/USD charts dikhate hain, ek neeche ki raftar ubhar rahi hai, jo pair ko farokht karne aur munafa hasil karne ka waqt darust karti hai.
        EUR/USD instrument ke chaar ghanton ke chart par ghumavdar rekhaen dikhayi deti hain, jo tajarbay ke tahat tajaweez par hamla saabit hoti hain aur munfarid trajectory mein guftagu mein tabdeel hoti hain. Teen musalsal waves ki tamam hone par, jin mein se neeche ki lehar pehle se shuru ho chuki hai, neeche ki raftar ki tehqiqat ko mazid mustaqil karti hai. Halankay mubadala nisbatan 1.0879 ko chhu gaya, jo ke 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke mawafiq hai, lekin iski satah ka tootna muntazir hai aur mazeed girawat ka rasta ban sakta hai.
        EUR/USD ke tajziye ke mawafiq, sirf bechne par ghareeb nazar rakhni chahiye jo ke 1.0462 ke mawafiq ta'ayun hone wale level par hain, jo ke 127.2% Fibonacci retracement ke mawafiq hain. Isliye, ab waqt par pair ko farokht karne ka ek wazeh mauqa paish kiya jata hai, lekin jokhim ko kam karne ke liye stop-loss ka intezam karte hue.

        Market Ka Jaiza aur Paisay Ka Iste'mal

        Kamyabi ke liye mo'assar paisay ka intezam laazim hai. Karobarion ko sahi taur par paisay ka hisaab lagana aur leverage ka mustaqbil par ahtiyaat se istemal karna zaroori hai taake khatraat ko kam kiya ja sake. Jaise ke agle haftay ke liye mehsool hone wale suda traders ki ameed hai, lekin mustaqil mizaj ke tajurbaat ke mutabiq apni strategies ko tabdeel karna zaroori hai. Muashiyati dakhilay, khaas tor par EUR/USD jodi se mutaliq aham data releases, market ke tajurbaat par gehra asar daal sakte hain. Isliye, market ke volatile mahol mein paisay ka laazim approach na sirf apni capital ko mehfooz rakhta hai balki forex trading ke mushtarka duniya mein lambi satah ki kamyabi ke liye apne aap ko muqarrar karta hai.

        Click image for larger version

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        Impact of US Economic Data

        Agley muqarar US statistics ke izhar ke upar tawajjo deni chahiye, khaaskar Consumer Sentiment Index aur Inflation Expectations Index, jo ke market ke jazbat par gehra asar daal sakte hain. Ye dalail ma'ashiyati sehat ka unwaan hote hain aur market ki jazbat par asar daal sakte hain, khaas tor par Amreki mehsoos ke izhaarat ke bais. Traders ko in data releases ke market ke jhalakne wale amal par tawajjo deni chahiye, jinhe ke EUR/USD jodi mein qeemti yaadain banane wale bunyadi nuqta hai. Hoshiyar taur par amal aur khaas tor par ahem sathul irshad ke aghaz ke intezar mein, khatrat ko kam karne ke liye muntazam karte hue tajziye ka waqt.
         
        • #244 Collapse



          EUR/USD ki takhliqati tajziya:

          Zahir hai ke hum din ko band hone wale daam par kholenge aur daam 1.0888 par band hoga, ek khoobsurat raqam, is natije mein din ka shumaar honay ka imkaan hai ke aksar se chhota hota hai aur agar yeh 50 points ka hai toh yeh acha hai, mein is par tawajjo dungi, isliye agar din ka shumaar 50 points hai aur kholne ka daam 1.0888 hai, to hum peer ko shumali daam 1.0938 par hasil karte hain, jo ke pair ko channel ke uchcha had tak pohanchne ke liye kafi nahi hai 1.0980, aur agar hum channel 1.0897 mein dakhil hote hain, to jodi ab bhi 10980 ki taraf barhna jaari rahegi, lekin peer ko 1.0938 par rokna parega 1.0897 tak aur phir naye din ka daam 1.0938 ke saath try karega 1.0980 tak pohanchne ka. Agar hum dakshin par raazi ho jate hain, aur achanak woh hamein channel mein nahi lete aur humein jumeraat ke low ko update karne dete hain, to phir humare paas dakshin hai, aur din ka shumaar dakshin mein 1.0838 par khatam hota hai, jo ke channel ki had 1.0822 tak pohanchne ke liye kafi nahi hai, lekin 15 points humein kuch extra de sakte hain, Sach hai, aise ek din ka shumaar kaafi hota hai, lekin kisi bhi surat mein hum peer ko 1.0822 channel mein nahi milenge, jiska matlab hai ke hum dakshin mein shumaar le lenge aur 1.0897 tak wapas lautenge aur phir humein channel mein dakhil hone ke liye kaha jayega, aur phir plan ke mutabiq Tuesday ko pehle nahi.

          Daam, chaar ghante ke chart par, Gann line tak pohanch gaya, jaisa ke meri screenshot mein dikhaya gaya hai. Takniqati tajziya dikhata hai ke daam moving average MA 46 ke neeche trading ho raha hai, Bollinger bands neeche mur rahi hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes kam ho rahe hain, aur relative strength index 50 ke neeche ja raha hai. Mazeed giravat ke liye imkaan mojood hai. Agar daam Gann line ke neeche se guzar jata hai aur kamiyabi se mazboot hota hai, to naye farokht par ghor dena munasib hoga. Is surat mein, neeche ka qareebi maqsad ek neeche ki taraf harkat ke liye 1.0800 ka support level hai. Agar bhalu is nishaan ko paar kar sakte hain, to shayad hum dekhenge ke daam 1.0747 tak gir raha hai. Farokht is surat mein pehle hai jab tak ke daam moving average MA 46 ke neeche trading kar raha hai. Is had tak wapas aana farokht ki ahmiyat ko kam kar dega.





             
          • #245 Collapse



            EURUSD Jodi Ka Takniki Tahlil

            Rozana Ka Chart


            Jodi ke keemat is maheene ke shuru mein do channels ke andar trading shuru hui, jinme se ek neela hai jo ke peechle do mahino ke dauraan keemat ki taraf ka rukh darshata hai, aur doosra laal ooper ki taraf ka channel hai, jo sirf peechle mahine ke keemat ka rukh darshata hai, jo ke ek correctional wave tha. Keemat ko maheene ke shuru hone se sahara mila, jab neela channel tor diya gaya aur keemat laal channel ki ooper wali rekha ki taraf ja rahi thi, jo keemat ke liye mazboot ek qeemat ka sath darj karti thi, kyun ke ek keemat ka chote bhaal ban gaya tha aur keemat girne lagti hai, jaise hi keemat ka mahina pivot level tak pohanch jata hai, jo ke tora gaya channel ki dobara se parikshan level bhi hai, aur is tarah keemat ko phir se ooper uthne ka sahara diya ja sakta hai.

            Muntazir Keemat Ki Harkat

            Neeche girawat ka imkaan sab se zyada mutawaqqa hai, jab woh laal channel rekha ke neeche jaati hai aur mahine ke pivot level tak pohanchti hai. Keemat ko 1.0902 level ke neeche band karna bhi mazeed girawat ka ek nishan hai. Upar ki sambhavna ko hara green line darust karta hai jo laal channel ke ooper tak phailti hai aur mahine ke resistance level 1.1104 tak pohanchti hai aur is par bharosa kiya ja sakta hai keemat ne laal channel ko tor diya hai aur din ke band hone ke baad us par ek din band karna hai.

            EURUSD jodi par trading ke liye

            Qareebi muddat mein, agar keemat 1.0902 ke darajay ke neeche stable hoti hai, to bechne mein dakhil ho sakte hain aur maheene ke pivot level ke ooper target level set kiya ja sakta hai.





               
            • #246 Collapse

              EUR/USD
              Haftawar Chart Tahlil Ke Mutabiq, jis gap ka band honay ke baad EUR/USD ka daurah wajah e kamaal uthaya, iska nateeja ban gya ek bearish candle jo haftay ka range mukammal honay ke baad banaya, jis ne sthanik support level 1.08883 ke neeche jam gaya. Mazeed junubi harkat ka intezar karte hue, main 1.07965 mark karay gaye support level ko dekh raha hoon. Is level ke qareeb, do manazir samne aa sakte hain. Pehla manzar ek mukhtalif candlestick pattern banane ke zariye aik mukhif ke qaim hone ki umeed hai, jo up-trend ke dobara chalay jaane ka dikhata hai, jo resistance levels 1.08883 ya 1.09022 ki taraf rawana ho. Agar keemat in resistance levels ke ooper mil jaye, to mazeed shumali harkat 1.09812 ki taraf mutawaqqa hai, jis ke liye mustaqbil ke rukh ka tayyun karne ke liye aik trading setup ka intezar hai. Lekin, mazeed door ke shumali maqasid ka khayal nahi kiya ja raha, haasil hone wale fauri tajawuz ke wajah se. Agar keemat 1.07965 ke support level ke neeche jaati hai, to junubi harkat jaari rehne ka izafa hota hai. Is manzar mein, main support levels 1.06949 ya 1.06561 ki taraf junubi harkat ki taraf dekhta rahunga, in levels ke qareeb bullish signals ki talaash ki ja rahi hai, in levels par ek mumkin uptrend ke dobara shuru hone ka imkaan hai. Mukhtasir mein, main agli haftay mein mawjooda junubi dabav ka intezar hai, jahan bullish signals support levels ke qareeb dobara utaar paida hone ki umeed hai mukhtalif trend ke andar dobara urooj ke liye.

              Is se pehle haftay mein, haftawar chart ne keemat mein kami dekhai, lekin puri trend ek charhne wale channel mein qayam rahi, jo ke barhne wale harkat ki taraf ishara karta hai. Economic calendar ke mutabiq peer ko koi ahem American khabrein darust nahi hain, is liye keemat mein izafa mumkin nahi lagta. Halankeh din k chart ne keemat mein kami dekhai, lekin bullish volumes sirf ek minimal kami ka samna kar rahe hain. Is liye, samjha ja sakta hai ke keemat agle haftay ke shuru mein izafa kar sakti hai, jo ke 4 ghante k chart par dikhayi gayi bullish volumes ki tezi ke sath dhaara ho sakti hai. Jodi ek charhne wale channel ke neeche ki darja bandi par maujood hai, jo ke trend ka rukh somwar ko tay kiya jayega. Jumeraat ko, America ke interest rates ka izafa darust kiya gaya hai, jis se ye tajjub hota hai ke jodi teesri leher mein peak levels aur Fibonacci line tak rawana ho. Keemat mein bada izafa mumkin hai, halankeh technical analysis aur haftawar chart ne shumali rukh ko pasand kiya hai. Ye qareebi hai ke up-trend ka izafa jari rahega jab tak jumeraat na ho. Is liye, 1.0900 ke ooper chadhav ek khareed par mabni hota hai, jiska nishana 1.08980 par rakha gaya hai, jab ke is se pare nikaalne par nishana 1.1000 - 1.1100 tak phail jaega.
                 
              • #247 Collapse

                Haal hi mein koshish ki gayi mukhya resistance level ko paar karne ka prayaas nakam sabit hua hai, jisse vyapaariyon ko vishwaasghatit kiya gaya. Baavjud EUR/USD din-prati 15-minute ka samay chakra chart ke 1.08868 ke star ke upar bahar nikalne se shuruaati umeed thi, ye ek galat sanket saabit hua, jo utsuk kharidaron ko apne paas khinch laya. Haalaanki, kal euro mein drastik giraavat ne bearon ke bazaar mein taaqat ka prakat kara, jo momentum mein ek mahatvapoorn parivartan darshata hai. Ye parivartan ek naye samarthan star ka gathan kiya hai, jo aane waale samay mein ek nee dhali ko darshaata hai. Vartamaan mein, vyapaar is star ke upar hote hain, lekin kisi bhi paar karne ka kaaran aage ki giravat ke liye ek sanket ban sakta hai.
                Aur iske saath hi, aaj Jumma ko, bazaar ke hissedar uncertainty ke kinare par hain, saptaahant ke aas-paas apne sthitiyon aur yojnaon ka moolyaankan kar rahe hain. Vyapaar ki gatividhi aaj zinda nahi hai, jo prakriti aur josh ki kami mein ek sushikshit hai, jo forex bazaar ki karya-dhara ko vishesh rup se vyakt karta hai. Mukhya resistance star ko paar karne ki asafalta bhaarat ke vyapariyon ke saamne ankit karte hain, jo bazaar ke dynamics ki ghane jaal ko paar karne mein vyapariyon ke samne aane wale sankat ko darshate hain. Yeh bhaarat 1.08868 ke star ke upar ka bahar nikalne se shuruaati umeed kharidaron ke beech aaye, jisse unhe bailish momentum ki aashaa ke saath bazaar mein kheench liya gaya. Haalaanki, unka utsaah chand lambe samay tak nahi bana, kyonki rally chalti rahi, jismein bearon ne turant niyantran praapt kiya aur keemat ko neeche le gaye.

                Ant mein, EUR/USD jodi mein haal hi ke vikaas market dynamics ko rupantarit karne waale karanon ke jaal ka complex samay dikhata hai. Vyapaariyon ko satark aur laayaksh hai rehna chahiye, tayyar hokar forex bazaar ke hamesha badalte pehluon ko kushal aur niyantrit karne ke liye.
                   
                • #248 Collapse

                  EUR/USD Takneeki Tahlil:

                  EUR/USD jodi mein, hum kimat ki sanjhaakaran jaari rakhne ka pratishat aur char-ghante ka chart dekh kar aage bhaart avastha Murray indicator ke palat star par 1.0925 par, jahan ab 14 dinon ka aayatan chal raha hai. Takneekee tasveer yah sujhaav detee hai ki dhaancha trend aur bhee aage badh sakata hai, aur abhi abhi, EUR/USD jodi ke ankon punah 1.0925 ke samarthan kshetr par gir rahe hain, jahan ek chhote se neeche se gujara sambhav hai, jaise pichhale prayason mein tha, jo hamen char ghante tak girane vaale sthocastik banane ki anumati deta hai. Uske baad, kimat ko badhote hue prati 1.0956 Murray indicator ke palat star ke kshetr mein vaapas aane ka intezaar karna hoga, yadi is idyl mein US ke data hastakshar karate hain, jo Moskow samay mein 15:30 baje prakashit hoga aur jinamen se ham turant chaar mahatvapoorn samacharon ko ujagar kar sakate hain: mool bikri ki dar, aj ke mool mein mahatvapoorn samachar, utkrisht berojagaari labh ke liye shuruaati dawaon ki sankhya, utpadak mool bikri ki dar, samarthan ka star aur bikri ke aakde. Yeh data, ek saath liya gaya, EUR/USD jodi ko sanjhaakaran avastha se baahar le a sakate hain, lekin yah abhee tak spasht nahi hai ki kaun si disha mein, kyonki yah ameriki mudra ke liye sakaratmak ho ya nahi, is par nirbhar karega. Main sakaratmakata aur ameriki dollar ke majboot hone ki asha kar raha hoon, lekin yah mera vyaktigat raay hai, isalie main kisi ko bhee kuch karane ki protsaahit nahi karata hoon, aur na hi main vartamaan mein maujood staron ko adhik se adhik khole jaane ki salaah deta hoon.

                  Main maanata hoon ki bazaar ka vishleshn aur uchch-gunavatta vaale poorvaankaari avashyak hai saaphal vyapaar ke liye. Aur is paristhiti mein EUR/USD mein jodi ko bechane ke liye vyapaar safal lag raha hai. Europan Central Bank ke mudra neeti ka lambe samay se intejaar kiya gaya punarikshan bazaar ko na hila saka. Bazaar ke asar samaan rah gaye. EUR/USD jodi 1.0950 ke neeche vyapaar kar rahi hai, jo saandaron ke beech kamajori ko darshaata hai. Prati-star uchchata kshetr upar hai aur yah asambhav hai ki kharidadaaron usse gujar paayenge. Isliye, hamen jodi ko 1.0925 star ke neeche girne ka anumaan hai, jo bailish bhavana ko majboot kar dega aur jodi ko neeche bhejega. Heiken Ashi indicator, ek neeche palat ke baad, jodi ke ankon mein giravat ki suchana dete hain.
                   
                  • #249 Collapse

                    level aur 1.0779 ke resistance level ke darmiyan tezabiyat ki.
                    Is horizontal ilaqa se bahar jaane ka raasta zyadatar currency pair mein agla maqsood tahqiq karega.
                    Shakhsan, mujhe yeh lagta hai ke daam 1.0779 ke resistance level ko tor kar 1.1010 ke level tak pohanchega.
                    Yeh resistance level pehle bhi currency pair ko neeche daba chuka hai, 280 points ke tabadlay ke saath.
                    Agar daam agle kuch ghanton mein is resistance level ko torne lage, to maine socha hai ke mein ek buy position is waqt ke 1.0732 ke current support level ke neeche daalun ga.
                    Meri maqsood munafa tab hasil hogi jab daam 1.1010 ke resistance level tak pohanchega
                    Main bohot khush hoonga agar daam thori samajhdar shumali harkat dikhaye, tajaweezi surat mein.
                    Main aam taur par bechulki mein aasani se nahi ja sakta.
                    Kal daam ne shumali raaste mein trading shuru kiya, lekin apne raaste mein ek neeche ki taraf rukh line se mulaqat ki aur ise nakam kar diya.
                    Sach to yeh hai ke daam ne minimum ko update nahi kiya, lekin 1.0740 tak gir gaya.
                    Sirf yeh cheez khushi deti hai ke ek martaba phir se neeche ki taraf rukh line ke qareeb aa gaya hai.
                    Daam isay abhi bhi tor sakta hai aur shumali tajaweez paida kar sakta hai.
                    Mujhe 1.0850 tak barhne mein kaafi khushi hogi.
                    M30 pe kharidari ke maqsood tay ho gaye hain.
                    Pehla maqsood level 161.8 hai Fibonacci grid par, jo ke 1.0800 par waqif hai.
                    Dusra maqsood level 261.8 Fibonacci grid par 1.0839 ke qeemat par aata hai.
                    Ek aur teesra maqsood bhi hai - Fibonacci grid ke level 423.6.
                    Yeh maqsood 1.0899 par hai.
                    Rukh ki figure ke baad, mein kuch EUR/USD ko bechne ka irada kar raha hoon, jiske maqsood minimum ko 1.0720 aur mazeed 1.0650 tak update karna hai Click image for larger version

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                    • #250 Collapse

                      Pyare colleagues, Jumeraat ko buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan ek maqami jang thi jo ke kuch ziada buyers ki halki fatah ke sath khatam hui. Rozana ka chart dekhne par nazar ata hai ke pair haal hi mein aik janib bardasht ke darja mein move kar raha hai, jis mein support level 1.0870 aur resistance level 1.0965 tak hain. Dekhte hain ke pair agay kis tarah se rawana hota hai, kya yeh janib ya phir kisi or janib nikalne ki umeed hai. Is ke liye, pair ka monday ke liye technical analysis dekhte hain aur kya tajweezat hongi. Moving averages - kharidna, technical indicators - kharidna, nateeja - kharidna. Toh, technical analysis kharidne ki taraf ishara karti hai, lekin zyadatar range ke andar. Chalo dekhte hain monday ko pair par ahem khabron ke bare mein. US se koi ahem khabrein nahi anay wali. Eurozone se, ahem khabrein anay wali hain, jin ki abhi tak kaafi manfi tajweez hai. Main samajhtahoon ke monday ko kharidari ka intezar karna chahiye, jo ke zyada tar shayad resistance level 1.0920 ya thori door tak 1.0930 level tak pohanchegi. Main support level 1.0870 tak yaani range ke southern boundary tak bechnay ka intezar karta hoon, aur shayad mazeed 1.0850 level tak. Mere khayal mein, agay ki taraf rawana harkat aur range ka silsila jaari rahne ka zyada imkan hai, lekin main bechna ko bhi nahi manta. Ye monday ke liye aik khaka trading plan hai. Sab ko kamyabi ki duaen.Click image for larger version

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                      • #251 Collapse

                        EUR/USD ke currency pair ki qeemat ka rawayya parhne ki guftagu chal rahi hai. Iske baad, zyada tar mawaqay par oopri taraf ka uthaal chuki hai, jo chhotay arse ke frame mein challenging ulte paal ke liye rehne wala hai. Phir bhi, oopri raftar ke liye support honi chahiye, lekin momentum oopri qeemat ke charon taraf uthne ki taraf mazboot nazar aa rahi hai, jise takreeban 1.0935 ke aaspaas nishana banaya gaya hai. Oopri raftar ka tajziya karte hue, main ek ulte trend ka intizaar karta hoon zyada unchi satahon par. Kharidari ke orders ke zyada volume ne mujhe itmenan diya hai, jise bechnay ke orders ke badalne ka peecha karta hai. Main potential izafa par umeedwar hoon aur market par faida uthane ke liye kharidari ke orders ko barqarar rakhta hoon. Ye tawaqo jald hi trading ke haftay mein mumkin hai,jiska pura hona ummed hai. Is surat mein daakhilay ko sahi waqt par karna intehai ahem hai.
                        1.0973 ke aspaas options bechne ka tajruba karein. Ye strategy lamba mudda qaim karne ki ijaazat deti hai, jo ke bulandi se ziada munafa hasil kar sakti hai. Magar, fikar hai ke moqaat ka waqt guz chuka hai peechle haftay mein. Meri intuitions ke mutabiq aane wale haftay mein 1.0866 tak giravat ka andaza hai, 1.0970 ka rukh aur anay wale niche ki raftar ke wajood se. Lahrayi patterns ke mutabiq, market ki raftar aane wale waqt mein 1.0670 ki taraf girne ki mumkinat ko ishaara deti hai, halan ke ek nukta abhi tak zahir nahi hai. Giravat ka raasta 1.0772 ke aas paas Budh ke ikhtitam tak pohonchna chahiye. 1.0866 par koi rukawat na hona Click image for larger version

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ID:	12867539 giravat ki raftar ko 1.0772 ki taraf tezi se le jati, jiska aakhri nishana 1.0670 hai. Mangal ke ahem waqiaat ke bawajood, juma ko sab se ahem din saamne aaya. Taweel chalte huye, juma ke asraat market dynamics par kal ghayab the. Tawajjo abhi bhi juma ke andar ka intaday level par bani hai, khaaskar 1.0875 par, bearish harkat ko tasdiq karne aur 1.0900 ko oopri trend ko tasdeeq karne ke liye. Halat mein bullish momentum ki kami hai aur janubi raftar ke signals qayam hain.
                           
                        • #252 Collapse

                          EUR/USD Salam sabko! Jab market band hota hai, to aap kuch soch sakte hain.
                          Agar hum dukh bhari flat mein jaate hain (narangi), to usse uttar se mazeed girne mein kam se kam ek hafta lagega. Koun isko bardasht kar sakta hai? Aur humare paas FED ki meeting se pehle lagbhag teen kaam karne wale din hain. Iska matlab hai ke aapko is tedhi medhi flat ko uttar ki taraf kuch tezi ke saath ghoomna chahiye, phir raftar kisi tarah se ek sath aa jayegi. Magar yahan chhoti si tanazurain hain, jaise ke ab tak koi uttarwala nahi hai aur murgay abhi tak dakka nahi kha chuke hain dakshin ki taraf. Aur Monday ko chalane ke liye koi khaas khabar nahi hai, sirf helpless Eurozone ke consumer price index hai, jo euro ko kamzor hone ka andaza bhi hai. Aur FED khud ko koi rate barhane ka irada nahi rakhta. Aur teesra option hai surkha, ke FED tak woh saare din niche khinchte rahenge umeedon se bhare FED aur Powell ke taqreer se, aur phir asal mein dolar kamzor hone ke wajah se unchai tak pahunch jayenge. Ab agar Monday ko uttar ke koshishen nazar aati hain, kahin nazdeek American session tak, to aap safed option ka andaza laga sakte hain, aur agar uttar ka koi ishara nahi hai, to shayad surkha option kaam kare. Yeh aksar hota tha ke FED ke pehle, abhi tak samajh nahi aaya faisla, woh ziddi taur par niche kheencha gaya tha. Aur murgay abhi ke liye dakshin ki taraf hain.
                          Bilashuba, opening se hum asal mein dekh lenge ke kahan ja rahe hain, magar abhi to yeh sirf loud thinking hai. Sabko mazaydaar haftaend!


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                          Stay focused, stay humble, and never stop learning
                          • #253 Collapse

                            #EUR/USD takneeki tajziya
                            H4 waqt frame ke qeemat ka khaka



                            EUR/USD currency pair ne haftay ko 1.0872 ki liquidity zone aur 1.0900–1.0937 ke bearish imbalance zone ke darmiyan khatam kiya. Peer ko US interest rates jari kiye jayenge, is liye mein samjhunga ke is din jodi teenwi lehar mein uchayi tak pohanchne ki koshish karegi, zyada qeemati ashray aur Fibonacci line 1.1110 ki manzil tak. Warna, jodi mein ahem giravat ho sakti hai, lekin technical tor par, mahinay aur haftay ke charts shumali raah dikha rahe hain. Yahan hum dekhte hain ke mazboot shumali channel pehle tor diya gaya tha jab 1.0950 par uske niche ke hudood tor diye gaye. Jab EUR/USD jodi ne urte hue qeemat ka channel chhoda, tab rukh taiz hue aur phir aik janoobi channel banaya gaya, jahan euro/dollar jodi hala hil gai hai. Jumma ke trading 1.0888 ke darje par mukammal ki gayi, lagbhag channel ke darmiyan mein, aur mojooda qeemat ke darajat se, hum zyadatar shumali rukh ki taraf muntaqil hone ke imkan par jayein ge, jahan milawat ki rekha hai, jiska milaap lagbhag 1.0910 ke darje par ya 1.0900 ke darje par hoga. Pichle haftay, haftay ke chart par qeemat kam ho rahi thi, lekin trend shumali channel ke andar reh raha tha, is liye shumali rukh ab bhi priority hai. Ma'ashi calendar ke mutabiq, peer ko American news nahi hai, jiska matlab hai ke urooj ke liye koi imkaan nahi hai. Agle haftay ke shuruaat mein, dekhna dilchasp hoga ke qeemat kahan jati hai. Sab se zyada mutwaqqa option liquidity zone ko tor kar minimum ki update ke sath aur baad mein upri urdu, yaani, aik jhoota tor aur upri harkat hai. Magar ek aur option bhi hai: imbalance zone mein dakhil ho kar aur neeche ki taraf tareef karein


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                            • #254 Collapse

                              Pichli update mein maine zikar kiya tha ke EUR/USD ki keemat ab ek neechay ki taraf channel mein band hai, jo ke is channel ke ooper ki satha ki taraf aik izafa ko nishaan deta hai. Is ke ilawa, ghanta chart par ek triangle pattern ka banne ka bhi zahir hai. Agar jodi agle Haftay ko ooper ki taraf chalay, toh ye price ko is triangle ka ooperi had tak le ja sakta hai, lagbhag 1.0946 ke darje ke qareeb, jo ke neechay ke channel ke ooperi sehl se milta hai. Baad mein, agar keemat is triangle pattern ko ooper ki taraf tode, toh ye mazeed ooper ki taraf ki manzil ko tay karsakti hai.
                              Lekin, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke keemat triangle ka ooperi sehl se mukhalif raasta ikhtiyar karay aur neechay ki taraf chalna shuru karay. Is surat mein, hum is triangle ke neechayi had tak giravat ka tasawwur kar sakte hain, takreeban 1.0877 ke darje ke barabar. Ye darja triangle pattern ka neechayi sehl se mutabiq hai aur agar keemat triangle ke ooperi had se lautti hai, toh yeh aik mumkin support level ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai.

                              Market ki raftar ko qareeb se nazar rakna bohot zaroori hai, khaaskar upar diye gaye ahem darjo ke aas paas, taake market ke rukh ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Triangle ka ooperi sehl ko toorna aik bullish jari rahne ka nishaan hosakta hai, jabke is sehl se ulta chalne ka barpaari kaarwaan hosakta hai. Traders ko bhi dosre technical indicators aur market ke factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue potential trading opportunities ko tasdeeq karna aur khatre ko moatabar taur par manage karna chahiye.

                              Aam tor par, EUR/USD jodi ka price movement H1 time frame par ek ahem nukta par hai, jahan triangle pattern ke banne se traders ko potential price movements ke liye qeemti insights mil rahe hain. Jab naya trading week shuru hota hai, toh dekhte hain ke keemat in ahem darjo ke aas paas kaise react karti hai aur kya ye upar diye gaye umeedi bullish ya bearish scenarios ko tasdeeq karta hai.


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                              • <a href="https://www.instaforex.org/ru/?x=ruforum">InstaForex</a>
                              • #255 Collapse

                                EUR/USD H4 Time Frame Tafseeli Jaiza:
                                Jumma ko EUR/USD ki qeemat mein ghayra yaqeeni raftar ki wajah se pooray din tashwish ka mahaul tha, jis ki natija mein aik choti bullish candle banai gayi, jo ke aik maqami resistance level ke qareeb band hui, jo ke meri marking ke mutabiq 1.08883 par waqai hai.

                                Main poori tor par qubool karta hoon ke jari jamaat agle impulse output ke saath khatam hogi, aur is surat mein main poori tor par qubool karta hoon ke impulse janoobi rukh par jaega. Aam tor par, jaise ke maine bohot bar kaha hai, main support level par nazar rakhon ga, jo 1.07965 par waqai hai.

                                Is support level ke qareeb maqam ke ikhtiyarat mein do mansoobay ho sakte hain. Pehla ahmiyat ka scenario muraqbah wali candle banane aur barhne ka dobara aghaaz hai. Agar yeh mansooba kamyaab hua, to main umeed karta hoon ke keemat resistance level par wapas lautay gi, jo 1.08883 ya resistance level par hai, jo 1.09022 par hai.

                                Agar keemat in resistance levels ko fix karti hai, to main mazeed northward movement ka intezar karonga, takreeban resistance level par, jo 1.09812 par hai.

                                Dorah tak nazar daasht karne ka matlab hai ke market ka har pehlu samajhna, aur tajziya karne ke liye technical tools aur indicators ka istemal karna zaroori hai. Is ke ilawa, EUR/USD ki dhaar ki bunyadi asbaab aur asraat ko samajhna bhi zaroori hai, jo ke tajwezat banane aur faislay karne mein madadgar sabit hoti hai.


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                                Akhri kalam, EUR/USD ki H4 time frame tafseeli jaiza ke mutalliq, traders ko tahqeeq aur samajhna aur sath hi market ki rawaniyon aur ahmiyat ke daromadar pe nazar rakhte hue trading faislay karne chahiye. Yaham trading strategies aur risk management ka istemal zaroori hai taake traders apne maqsadat ko haasil kar sakein aur nuqsan se bach sakein.
                                   

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