eur/usd

Eur/usd

EUR USD D1 time frame ka analysis euro / you s d pear ke yomiya time frame par, hum dekhte hain ke qeemat kuch arsay se red 20 moving average se neechay trade kar rahi hai. is ka matlab hai ke reechh market ke control mein hain aur jo bhi izafah hum dekhte hain woh sirf aik islaah hai. is liye, 1. 0741 ki satah mere liye ahem hai, kyunkay yeh muzahmat ki satah ki numaindagi karta hai jo mujhe nahi lagta ke qeemat toot jaye gi. is liye, meri soyng trade ke liye, mein is muzahmati satah tak pounchanay ya 20 moving average ke zariye qeemat ke mustard honay ka intzaar karoon ga. yeh qeemat ko is waqt tak neechay ka rujhan jari rakhnay ki ijazat day ga jab tak ke yeh support level se neechay aik naya nichala hissa nah bana le. 1. 0442. yaqeenan, mein ghalat ho sakta hon aur qeemat 1. 0742 par muzahmat se oopar toot sakti hai. agar aisa hota hai to, qeemat mein kami gayab ho jati hai aur hamein is muzahmati satah se oopar kharidne ki position talaash karni chahiye . EUR USD H4 time frame ka analysis h4 doraniye ka chart. yeh taqreeban gbp / usd ki aaina daar tasweer hai aur aap dekh satke hain ke macd isharay se taraqqi ka ishara kaisay kaam kar raha hai, is mein taizi ka farq hai aur yeh durust hai. qeemat bohat barh gayi, long baichnay ki koshish kiye baghair, lekin woh phir bhi jeet gaye. lehar ka dhancha oopar ki taraf tarteeb day raha hai aur macd isharay ab oopri khareed zone mein hai aur apni signal line se oopar barh raha hai. qeemat mein izafah jari rakhnay ke liye, usay 1. 0612 par ufuqi muzahmat ke oopar toot jana chahiye. phir, jab qeemat oopar ki himayat ke tor par is satah par wapas aajay gi, to yeh satah oopar ki taraf entry point ban jaye gi, aur ziyada se ziyada hadaf 1. 0737 ufuqi ilaqa hoga, kam az kam mere khayaal mein yahi hai. qeemat ko kam karne ke liye, 1. 0550 par ufuqi support ko dabanay ki zaroorat hai, jo neechay se is ufuqi support par wapas anay par neechay ki taraf daakhil honay walay nuqta aur muzahmat ke tor par kaam kere ga. yahan, ziyada se ziyada kami ka hadaf pichlle tijarti haftay ka kam hoga, jo ke 1. 0454 area hai. fi al haal, qeemat samajh boojh se 1. 0612 aur 1. 0550 ki sthon ke darmiyan trade kar rahi hai. qeematon mein kami ke sath, yahan kuch karne ki zaroorat nahi hai EUR USD H4 time frame ka analysis h4 doraniye ka chart. yeh taqreeban gbp / usd ki aaina daar tasweer hai aur aap dekh satke hain ke macd isharay se taraqqi ka ishara kaisay kaam kar raha hai, is mein taizi ka farq hai aur yeh durust hai. qeemat bohat barh gayi, long baichnay ki koshish kiye baghair, lekin woh phir bhi jeet gaye. lehar ka dhancha oopar ki taraf tarteeb day raha hai aur macd isharay ab oopri khareed zone mein hai aur apni signal line se oopar barh raha hai. qeemat mein izafah jari rakhnay ke liye, usay 1. 0612 par ufuqi muzahmat ke oopar toot jana chahiye. phir, jab qeemat oopar ki himayat ke tor par is satah par wapas aajay gi, to yeh satah oopar ki taraf entry point ban jaye gi, aur ziyada se ziyada hadaf 1. 0737 ufuqi ilaqa hoga, kam az kam mere khayaal mein yahi hai. qeemat ko kam karne ke liye, 1. 0550 par ufuqi support ko dabanay ki zaroorat hai, jo neechay se is ufuqi support par wapas anay par neechay ki taraf daakhil honay walay nuqta aur muzahmat ke tor par kaam kere ga. yahan, ziyada se ziyada kami ka hadaf pichlle tijarti haftay ka kam hoga, jo ke 1. 0454 area hai. fi al haal, qeemat samajh boojh se 1. 0612 aur 1. 0550 ki sthon ke darmiyan trade kar rahi hai. qeematon mein kami ke sath, yahan kuch karne ki zaroorat nahi hai

EUR USD D1 time frame ka analysis

In the euro/you s d pear time frame, hum dekhte hain ke qeemat kuch arsay se red 20 moving average se neechay trade kar rahi hai. Is ka matlab hai ke reechh market ke control mein hain, aur jo izafah hum dekhte hain, woh sirf aik islaah hai. 1. 0741 ki satah mere liye ahem hai, kyunkay yeh muzahmat ki satah ki doarndagi karta hai, mujhe nahi lagta ke qeemat toot jaye gi. is liye, mein is muzahmati satah tak pounchanay ya 20 moving average ke zariye qeemat ke mustard honay ka intzaar karoon ga. yeh qeemat ko is waqt tak neechay ka rujhan jari rakhnay ki ijazat day ga aik naya nichala hissa nah bana le. 1. 0442. yaqeenan, mein ghalat ho sakta hon aur qeemat 1. 0742 se oopar toot sakti hai. If this is the case, qeemat mein kami gayab ho jati hai, and hamein is muzahmati satah se oopar kharidne ki position talaash.


EUR USD H4 time frame ka analysis

Doraniye ka chart h4. taqreeban, yes Aap dekh satke hain ke macd isharay se taraqqi ka ishara kaisay kaam kar raha hai, is mein taizi ka farq hai aur yeh durust hai. Long baichnay ki koshish kiye baghair, lekin woh phir bhi jeet gaye. Macd isharay ab oopri khareed zone mein hai aur apni signal line se oopar barh raha hai lehar ka dhancha oopar ki taraf tarteeb day raha hai. Usay 1. 0612 par ufuqi muzahmat ke oopar toot jana chahiye, qeemat mein izafah jari rakhnay ke liye. phir, yeh satah oopar ki taraf entry point ban jaye gi, aur ziyada se ziyada hadaf 1. 0737 ufuqi ilaqa hoga, kam az kam mere khayaal mein yahi hai. 1. 0550 par ufuqi support ki zaroorat hai, jo neechay se is ufuqi support par wapas anay par neechay ki taraf daakhil honay walay nuqta aur muzahmat ke tor par kaam kere ga. yahan, ke 1. 0454 area hai, ziyada se ziyada kami ka hadaf pichlle tijarti haftay ka kam hoga. qeemat samajh boojh se 1. 0612 aur 1. 0550 ki sthon ke darmiyan trade kar rahi hai fi al haal. yahan kuch karne ki zaroorat nahi hai h4 doraniye ka chart, qeematon mein kami ke sath. yeh taqreeban gbp / usd ki aaina daar tasweer hai ke macd isharay se taraqqi ka ishara kaisay kaam kar raha hai, is mein taizi ka farq hai aur yeh durust hai. Long baichnay ki koshish kiye baghair, lekin woh phir bhi jeet gaye. Macd isharay ab oopri khareed zone mein hai aur apni signal line se oopar barh raha hai lehar ka dhancha oopar ki taraf tarteeb day raha hai. Usay 1. 0612 par ufuqi muzahmat ke oopar toot jana chahiye, qeemat mein izafah jari rakhnay ke liye. phir, yeh satah oopar ki taraf entry point ban jaye gi, aur ziyada se ziyada hadaf 1. 0737 ufuqi ilaqa hoga, kam az kam mere khayaal mein yahi hai. 1. 0550 par ufuqi support ki zaroorat hai, jo neechay se is ufuqi support par wapas anay par neechay ki taraf daakhil honay walay nuqta aur muzahmat ke tor par kaam kere ga. yahan, ke 1. 0454 area hai, ziyada se ziyada kami ka hadaf pichlle tijarti haftay ka kam hoga. qeemat samajh boojh se 1. 0612 aur 1. 0550 ki sthon ke darmiyan trade kar rahi hai fi al haal. yahan kuch karne ki zaroorat nahi hai, qeematon mein kami ke sath

EUR/USD

As-salamu alaykum, saathiyo. Ek mahtama hafta EUR/USD ke saath aik zareen daur ke sath khatam hua, jabke pair ne 1.0660 ke qareeb se thora sa kam trading ki. Pair bar bar 1.0700 darja ko dobara hasil karne mein nakam raha, kyun ke is level ke ooper tez harekaton ne jald hi bechne walon ko khinch lia, lekin US dollar ke liye talaash poori haftay bhar mehfooz rahi. Market participants yakeen rakhte hain ke central banks ke ziyadatar darwazon par uthane ka kaam ho chuka hai, jise kehne ke bawajood ke policymakers ne dhamkian di hain ke rate hikes ab bhi mawafiq hain. Jumeraat ko bolte hue, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne kaha ke agar maali shiraa'it isy darkhwast karti hai to officials rate hikes se guraiz nahi karenge. Dusri taraf, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde ne bhi bar bar is tarah ke comments diye hain, ishara karte hue ke jab tak ke keemat ke dabao ko central bank ke maqsood tak nahi pohanch jaata, tab tak interest rate hikes majmoo hain.

D-1 time frame


EUR/USD ke daily chart mein pair 20-day moving average ke ooper tashkeel paa raha hai, jo 1.0620 par tawonati support faraham kar raha hai, jab ke lambi moving averages hali hi ke levels ke thora neeche ja rahe hain, jo ke 1.0800 ke as paas ekhtalaf kar rahe hain. 1.0660 level ko resistance ke taur par kaam karta hai, jahan pair ko kamzor nahi honay diya jata. 1.07082 ke ooper breakout aur iske baad wazehat mein jam ho jaane se ek upper move ka raasta khulta hai jo 1.07558 tak pohanchta hai, aur phir raasta 1.08 ke liye khulta hai. 1.0660 ke neeche jam ho jaane se pehla target sellers ke liye 1.0620 par khulta hai.

Trading Plan

EUR/USD pair ne Jumma ko raaste ka pata lagane mein mushkil se bharas gaya aur seedha 1.0700 ke neeche tight band mein trade kiya. November mein US consumer confidence ki tawajju se kam hui, jo October mein 63.8 se 60.4 ho gayi. Wall Street Thursday ke girne ke baad upar trading kar rahi hai, jo US dollar ke liye darkhwast mein dabaav dal rahi hai. 1/2 zone 1.06718-1.06634 mazboot support ka kaam karta hai, jo single European currency ko mashriqi rukh mein jaari rakhne nahi deta. Main ne Monday se European session ke khulne ka ghor kiya hai, aur agar session 1.070 ke ooper khulta hai, to humein umeed hai ke aagey ki harekaton ka jari rukh dekhein ge 1.07926-1.0801 ke aglay target tak. European session 1/2 zone 1.06718-1.06634 ke neeche khulta hai to ye ishara hai ke neeche ki taraf aaghaz ho raha hai aur sales ke liye target hai haftay ka control zone 1.05878-1.0571.

EUR/USD jodi ne itmenan se ek tang trade band ke andar ghooma hua tha jumma ke US session mein. Is fine performance ne jodi ki haali harkaton mein sudhar ko mukammal karte hue use 1.0655 se haftay ke pehle ke low tak ghoomte huye dikhaya. Hawa mein jo tawun tha, woh mehsoos hota tha jab spotlight sirf 1.0700 ke neeche sthit spot prices par tha.

EUR/USD ke bunyadi tajaweez:

Saanjha currency thori si khatraat mein thi, jo Eurozone mein buland maheeney inflation ka mumkin khatma ki isharaat ko kamzor bana rahi thi. Europe ki arthvyavastha ke mazboot engine, Jermany, ne kamzori ke nishaan dikhaya. Ye ban rahe manazir ne ECB (European Central Bank) ke mazeed darje ke izafay ki mumkin raahon par saaye daal diye. Market mein afsoos tha ke ECB ka agla kadam shayad izafa darjaat ki taraf nahi balki izafa darjaat ka mullayam ghor ki taraf hosakta hai.

US Department of Labor ne ek tasalli bakhshi tasweer paish ki. September 30 ko khatam hone wale haftay ke liye Initial Jobless Claims ne sudhar dikhaya, jo ke 210K ke muntaziranein se ooper ja kar 207K par pahuncha, peechle reading 205K se. Is statistics ne bataya ke US ke mazboot career market mein tawun bana hua hai. Iske alawa, US Balance of Trade ke khata ka muqami figure $58.3 billion tha, jise $62.3 billion ke muntazir the aur jo July mein record kiya gaya $64.7 billion se khaas kam tha.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

EUR/USD jodi ne pehle 1.0770 kshetra tak tajawuz kiya, lekin jumma ko isne tawun ko 1.0690 mohalla par majmo kardia. Yahaan ek dilchasp muqabla hua, jismein jodi ne 1.0781 ke qawi 200-day SMA ke aas-paas nazr rakhne ka dhyan apne par liya. Euro ke bullish teen dinon ke dawrane US Dollar ke khilaf, jodi ne khud ko mazbooti se ghera hua paya. Daily candlesticks ne barabar 1.0700 ke kareeb trade karte rahe, jo foran bullish imkaanon par sawaali nazar dal raha tha.

EUR/USD

Pichle haftay, maashiyati fa'alat mai kamzori thi, jabkay awal darjy ki berozgari ke liye aye darkhwastat mein izafah huwa aur 217,000 tak pahunch gaya, jo pichle haftay ke 218,000 ke muqable mein tha. Halaankay, asal tawajju Federal Reserve ke nawaazil par thi. Jerome Powell ki mukammil das ahem afraad mein se aik hokar dollar ke sath mel jol ka izhar kiya aur mustaqbil mein bharay jany waly maamlat ka muzammat kiya. December mein dar mein izafay ki mumkinat 9% hai, jo January mein 21% tak pohanch jati hai, halaankay yeh ihtimalat kam qadar ki jati hain.

Haali mein berozgari ke data ka report darasal dar mein izafay ki tasveer ko mutasir kiya. Powell ne is par zor diya ke mojooda maqami darajah muqablay inflation ke khilaf kafi nahi hai, jise future mein izafay ka ishara karte hain. Teesray mausam mein 4.9% tak pohanch jane ke bawajood, Powell ne ittila diya ke inflashan ke khilaf taraqqi ko barqarar rakhna ahem hai, aur Agar zarurat pesh aai to Federal Reserve maali siyasat ko tanazul karega.

EUR/USD jodi ki rozana ke chart ki tafseelat ko tajzia karne par, jodi ne pehle 1.10272 ki sahoolat ko torne ke baad 1.12449 ke resistance se dobara safar ki shuruaat ki. Mutawaqif amreeki inflation ke bunyad par mukhalif, jodi ne 1.05239 ke support tak girna tajaweez ke khilaf jhalak dia. European Central Bank ka faisla maali siyasat mein izafay ko rokne ka jodne ka asar dala. 1.03107 ke support par jane ki tawakul ke bawajood, jodi ne ek islahi daur mein dakhil ho gaya, jo stop losses ko mutasir karne ka natija tha aur maqsood mansoob ke rukh se deviate ho gaya. Is bhatakne ka pata 1.05239 ke support ko torne mein hai.

Yeh bharosha ke stops trend ladder se saaf ho gaye hain, is par mabni hai jodi ke pehle 1.07702 support ko torne mein. Is manzar ke teht, ab tawakul hai ke jodi apne girne ko jari rakhegi aur aglay support level 1.03107 par pohanchegi.

EUR / USD H4 Chart:




Salam dusto! EUR / USD pair kal raat se thoda rise dikha raha hai. Kion kay strong bullish movement dikhai ha. 1. 0887 level par peak tak pahuncha jisme sirf 3 points target area 1. 0890 se kam Thay. Par maine decide kiya hai ki main bulls ke saath nahi trade nahi karon ga aur 1.0890 level se rebound par sell entry nahi karunga. Main abhi non-marketable rahunga. Agar hourly candle 1.0855 level se niche close hoti hai, toh rollback hone ka indication hoga. Jab hum 1.0855 level ke upar hote hain, tab ek continued rise ka risk hai. Par 1. 0940 t, already battered bears tension ke neeche honge. Lekin 1. 0855 se neeche move hone se EURUSD pair kam se kam 1. 0792 level tak girega. Aur yahi spread 1.0855 se 1 .0792 tak hai, jise main try karunga agar current price 1. 0876 se downward move karta hai. Chalo, let's see kya hota hai.

EUR / USD D1 Chart:



US ke consumer price index ke data ke baad, euro market greenback ki taraf move kar raha hai. Daily chart par bullish trend hai. Computer analysis ke anusar, buying signals hain. MACD oscillator histogram negative zone se bahar nikla hai aur positive zone mein enter hua hai, aur envelope lines north ki taraf hain. Sab achhe se chalega, aur mujhe umeed hai ki price rise hoga ya phir 1.0950 level ka false breakout hoga. Jab price halfway point cross kare aur open long position profitable ho jaye, tab stop loss ko breakeven par move karna faydemand hai.

EUR/USD

Aam tor par, main aapki tajaweez ke mutabiq eurusd pair ke price movement se ittefaq karta hoon. Raat ko jo price strengthening hui, jahan ek naya, zyada uncha area bana gaya hai, is se lagta hai ke price ab bhi mazeed barh sakti hai aglay mazboot resistance level tak jo level 1.0985 hai. Haqeeqatan mein, agar yeh resistance level paar ho sakta hai, toh mumkin hai ke price aglay mazboot resistance level tak ja sake. Magar, jab tak ke price apne pichle bullish trend ko dobara shuru nahi karta, subah ke Asian market session mein lagta hai ke price movement pehle giray gi ek correction ke liye qareebi support area tak, ek naye unche low area banate hue. Jab tak ke qareebi support level paar nahi hota, main ummeed rakhta hoon ke eurusd pair ki price movement ka potential bullish trend jo raat ko shuru hua tha, woh abhi bhi jari rahega. Toh amm tor par, mojooda market conditions ko dekhte hue jahan buyers abhi bhi market par raaj karte hain aur trend kafi taqatwar bullish hai, main samajhta hoon ke buy option abhi bhi bohot ahem hai.

H4 chart par, EUR/USD movement mein tezi ka signal domina karta hai, aur stochastic oscillator signal ne nichay nahi cross kiya hua hai aur abhi bhi overbought mode mein hai. Phir, tamam Moving Average indicators ke liye position price ke neeche hai, isliye jab price SBR area ki taraf correct hota hai, toh MA 10 aur MA 50 indicator areas neeche ki taraf movement ko rokengay aur aik reversal candlestick banaengay. Aur upward signal kafi taqatwar hoga kyunki price RBS area mein hai aur ek saath MA indicator ke oopar hai, isliye jab price is indicator ko test karta hai aur ek upward candlestick banata hai, toh EUR/USD uptrend ek naye resistance ko 1.0920 ke upar banaega.




Nateeja:

1.0740 ke price par ek buy limit position kholen, agar buyer reject karta hai toh price 1.0920 tak barhega, phir hum TP us ilaake mein set karenge.

EUR / USD D1 Chart:



Salam dusto! Kal se sellers ne pura din ke liye daam ko adjust kar rahe hain. Daam ka potential hai ki vah mirror support level par 1.07563 tak wapas ja sake. Is movement ke sath northern signal bhi mil sakta hai, haalanki yah support level ke aaspaas ke rally ki pratiksha mein hai. 1.09454 par resistance level par dhyan rakhein. Kharidne ke vikalpon ko vichar karne se pahle trading signals ka intezaar karein. Is resistance level ke aaspaas do sanket ho sakte hain. Agar yeh plan kamyab ho jata hai aur price is level se aage badhti hai toh main ummeed karta hoon ki price 1.10649 tak resistance ki taraf badhegi. Jab yeh resistance level tak pahunchega, toh ek trade setup banne ka intezar rahega, jo age ki trade direction tay karne mein madad karega. Haan, ek aur option hai ki jab price 1.09454 ke resistance level ke paas pahunchega toh reversal candle banakar south ki taraf phir se badhne ka plan shuru ho sakta hai. Agar yeh plan safal ho jata hai, toh main next price pullback ko support 1.07563 ya support 1.06561 tak ka intezaar karunga. Main in support levels ke paas bullish signals ki talash karta rahunga aur ummeed karta hoon ki price phir se badhegi. Aaj overall kuch khas nahi dikhta, lekin agar price najdiki support dhundhta hai, toh main wahan ek northern signal ki talash karunga aur uptrend ka intezaar karunga.

EUR / USD H4 Chart:



H4 ke chart par technical indicators ishara dete hain ki neeche ki movement jari reh sakti hai. Overbought levels se RSI south ki taraf ja raha hai aur Momentum bhi gir raha hai. Dollar ki badhti hui halat ke bawajood, positive tasveer abhi bhi barkarar hai. Nazdiki support 1.0830 aur 1.0780 par payi jaati hai. Uptrend level 1.0720, ek mukhya dynamic support ka kaam karta hai. Haalaanki sankhyaanik tathaar mein dikhaaya gaya ki sanyukt raajya America mein mahangai kamzor ho rahi hai, lekin mahangai riport ke parinaamswarup dollar mein izafa hua, jise US bond yield ke badhne ne sahayog diya. Apni ghatna ke bawajood, dollar ab bhi kamzor najar aa raha hai. Aaj ke US arthik sanket mein Philadelphia Fed riport, audyogik utpaadan aur saptahik jobless claims shamil hain.

Yeh rahi EUR/USD ki rozana timeframe ki jaaeza. Kal se lagta hai keh bikri walay din raat bhar daam ko regulate kar rahe hain, aur shayad yeh abhi khatam nahin hua. Aam tor par, daam ke maadri support tak wapis jane ka imkaan hai, jo keh mera marker 1.07563 par hai. Is doran, mujhe lagta hai yeh harkat ek taza rally ki tawajjuh mein ek shumali signal faraham kar sakti hai. Aaj bhi meri yehi tadbeer hai. Main aaj bhi 1.09454 par resistance level par tawajjuh jari rakhoonga, lekin beshak, humein trading signals ka intezar karna hoga taake hum buying options ko ghoorna sakte hain.

Agar daam is resistance level tak pohanchta hai, to is qareebi resistance level ke qareeb do manazir hosakte hain. Pehla manzar yeh hai keh daam iss level ke upar mel kar aur mazeed shumal ki taraf rawana ho. Agar yeh mansoobah kamyaab ho gaya, to main ummeed karta hoon keh daam 1.10649 ke resistance level ki taraf rawana hoga. Iss resistance level tak pohanchne ke baad, mujhe aik trade setup ka intezar rahega, jo ke mazeed trading ki taraf rehnumai karega. Beshak, aik mazeed shumali target ka andaza lagana bhi mumkin hai, jo ke mera marker 1.12757 par hai, lekin yahan aapko situation par nazar rakhni hogi, sab kuch khabron ke background aur daam ki tabdeeliyon par munhasar hai.

Daam ka aik aur tareeqa jab 1.09454 ke qareeb pohanchta hai, woh yeh hai keh aik reversal candle ban sakta hai aur dakhal aur phir janib rawana hone ka mansoobah ho sakta hai. Agar yeh mansoobah kamyaab hota hai, to main agli daam ki pullback ka intezar karonga support (1.07563) ya support (1.06561) tak. Main inn support levels ke qareeb shumali signals talash karonga aur daam ki umeed phir se barhne ki umeed karta hoon. Overall, aaj main koi dilchasp cheez nahi dekh raha, lekin agar daam qareebi support talash karta hai, to main wahan shumali signal talash karonga aur uptrend ka intezar karonga keh woh dobara shuru ho jaye.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis Aaj Ke Liye:

EURUSD ke darmiyanedar masaraf ki umeed karte hue, mujhe daam mein aik mogheera giravat ka imkaan nazar aata hai. Yeh maqsadmand harkat mumkin hai ke saath-saath daam mein buland volume ki ijaadat ho, jo ke daam ko 10-11 figure range tak le ja sakti hai—yeh ek manzar hai jo is waqt tanqeed nahi kiya ja sakta. Lekin, yeh imkaan bhi hai ke hali hawala mein daam ki momentum mojood rahay aur 1.0900-30 ke qareeb pohanchne tak aik rukawat ho. Market ke dynamics mein shumooliyat ahmiyat rakhti hain keh 1.0770-1.0805 ke qareeb support zone tak wapas jaye ya nahi. Agar hum market ke hissedaron ko mazeed izafay ki taraf manana safal ho jaye, toh yeh khareedari ki harkat ko paida karay ga, jo humari kamyabi ki taraf ishara karega aur market mein taza jazbaat daalay ga. Is natije mein, daam ki giravat jaari rahegi.




Jab hum is market analysis ke jatanib nazar andaz karte hain, toh saaf ho jata hai ke anay wali harkatien mukhtalif factors ki nazuk milaap par munhasar hongi. Volume aur stratigic levels jese ke 1.0900-30 aur support zone 1.0770-1.0805 ko le kar izafi tafteesh humari soch mein gehraai deti hai. Is framework mein umeed hai ke daam mein buland rawana hoga 10-11 figure range tak, haan magar hum ahtiyaat se 1.0900-30 tak wapas hone ka intezar karenge. Humari market ki tasweer ki kamyabi us par munhasar hoti hai keh hum umeedon ko shakal de sakein, jis se khareedari ke faislay par asar dalein. Is natije mein, daam ki giravat ke darmiyanedar rawana jaari rahegi, jisme darmiyanedar dakhilay ko daam ke medium-term maamlat ko badalne ki salahiyat bhi hai.

Kam az kam baray maal ko lagta hai ke aane wale waqt mein darjat kam ho sakte hain, aur shayad sab se be-sabr pehle se Dollar se nikalne ka sochna shuru kar diya hai. Lekin shayad hi Fed khud bhi jaanta ho keh darjat asal mein kab kam honge, kyun keh mahangai, walaaghairah jo keh kam ho rahi hai, lekin abhi bhi 2% se bohot door hai, aur Powell darjat kam kar ke apni poori koshishon ko khatrey mein daalne ka imkaan nahi chahenge. Kahin par maine parha tha keh mahiron ka intezar hai keh darjat sirf 2025 tak noticeable tor par kam honge. Yahan Powell ko press conference rakhni chahiye aur logo ko aik raahat ki shakal dene ke liye kuch frameworks wazeh karna chahiye.

EURUSD pair D1:






Kal bikriyon ne khareedaron ke hamle ko rokna safar kar diya, lekin aaj bhi daam ko neeche le jaari hain, aik correction banate hue, dekhte hain kitna gehra aasman gir sakte hain. Agar hum bands ke mutabiq halaat ko tashreef laate hain, toh daam bands ke central area ki taraf rawana ho gaya hai, aur daam ko mazeed barhne ke liye naya signal haasil karne ke liye, band ko dobara chhune ka intezar karne ka qaabil hai, phir dekhte hain keh kya dono bands dobara outward ho jaate hain ya nahi. Agar hum fractals ke zariye halaat ko tashreef laate hain, toh aik naya upward fractal ban gaya hai; iska tor phor aur jamayi daam ko izazat dega keh daam 30 August ke fractal ki taraf barhe. Daam ki giravat ki taraf kuch asar talash karna ho toh behtar hai keh aik naya downward fractal ka mojood hona dekha jaye.

AO Indicator Analysis Ke Mutabiq:

AO indicator musbat area mein izafa jamane ka silsila jaari hai, abhi tak yeh saaf nahi hai keh pehla peak kab banega, aur yeh ishara karta hai keh Euro ki growth jaari reh sakti hai.

Euro ka 4-hour chart central area of the bands par lauta hai, aur taaki hamain quotes ke barhne ka naya signal mile, hamein aglay price ke qareeb jane ka intezaar karna chahiye aur phir dekhein ke bands baahar kholte hain ya koi reaction nahi hota. Agar ham situation ko fractals ke zariye tashreef lete hain, to naye fractals up aur down mein ban gaye hain, qareeb ke fractal ka breakdown neeche, toh price ko November 13 ke fractal ki taraf move karne ki ijaazat dega jo ke 1.06646 ke aas-paas hai, jabke qareeb ke fractal ka breakout up, toh price ko August 31 ke fractal ki taraf le jaayega jo ke 1.09387 ke aas-paas hai. Grid ko correction mein le jaane ka maqsad ek gehra pullback ki tawajjuh ke mutabiq bilkul behtareen hai. Toh 1.08645+-, lekin 1.08720 se zyada nahi, yeh key hai, main short mein dakhil hone ka soch raha hoon 75th margin ki taraf aur grid ke 261-285 zone par, aur main key zone 1.0710 mein take daalunga.


AO Indicator Analysis ke mutabiq, AO indicator positive area mein attenuate ho raha hai; agar ham dekhein ke zero ki taraf mazeed tawajjuh hai, toh hamain price girne ke liye taqatwar signal milega. AO mein mazeed izafa positive zone mein naya ubhar Euro mein upar ki taraf chalne ke liye signal dega. Lekin hourly chart par yahan tamaam indicators abhi bhi buyers ke faor mein hain. Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke aaj uttar phir shuru hoga. Kal, American economy par aayi khabron mein mukhtalif raaste par aayi, lekin maqbulat Tuesday ke mukable behtar thi. Yeh iska matlub hai ke dollar mazeed majbooti ikhtiyaar kar sakta hai. Main samajhta hoon ke aaj bears price ko 1.0800 tak le jane ki koshish karenge.

EUR/USD Ki Bunyadiyat Aur Takneeki Nazar:

EUR/USD ne 1.0900 ke neeche do mah ke uchayi ko chhoo liya phir wapas gir gaya, jahan intraday mein faasle ne 1.0850 tak kam hokar ruk gaya. EUR/USD ab bhi aik chhoti muddat ki barhish ke baad mehsoos ho raha hai, lekin phir se bulandi nahi hasil kar sak raha. Dollar kamzor hua jabke US Treasury yields kam hue. Thursday ko jaari hone wale US economic data umeed se kam nikle. Naye unemployment benefits ke liye aamil hone wale Americans ki tadad pehle mahinon mein sab se buri thi, jo kamzor hone wale labor market ki isharaat deti hai. October ki industrial production report bhi market ki ummeedon se kam thi, 0.6% kam hui. Data jaari hone ke baad EUR/USD tezi se barh gaya, lekin dollar jaldi se jaldi qadmon ko wapas le liya. 10-year U.S. Treasury yield 4.50% se wapas gir kar 4.44% ke ek haftay ka low se thora oopar aa gaya hai. Agar U.S. Treasury yields barqarar rehte hain, toh short term mein U.S. dollar dabao ke neeche reh sakta hai. Lekin US ki economy Eurozone se taqatwar hai.





Eurostat October ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) ki final value announce karega, aur kisi bhi herat angez baat ki ummeed nahi hai. ECB President Christine Lagarde European Banking Conference mein Frankfurt mein aik taqreer karne wali hain, lekin unki taqreer ka bara asar hona mumkin nahi hai kyun ke market ECB ko apni anay wali meeting mein interest rates ko barkarar rakhne ki umeed rakhta hai. U.S. housing starts aur building permits release karega. Daily chart dikhata hai ke EUR/USD 1.0830 aur 1.0890 ke darmiyan side mein trade kar raha hai, halqayi simple moving average ke upar baith kar haal ki baarish ko barqarar rakhta hai. EUR/USD aage ki taraf jhuk kar bana hua hai, lekin mazeed barhne ke liye wazeh tor par 1.0900 ke upar qadam uthana zaroori hai. 1.0790 ke neeche girna muddat ki jari rahne ki isharaat dega. EUR/USD Asian trading session ki shuruwat se pehle bulish bias mein hai, EUR/USD 20 simple moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai jo 1.0820 pe hai. Agar yeh level toot jaye toh target 1.0800 hoga EUR/USD ka. Upar ki taraf, agar 1.0900 ko paar kar de, toh agla resistance level 1.0930 hoga. Takneeki indicators ab bearish mod mein muntashir ho rahe hain.

Daily Timeframe Outlook:




Rozana ka chart dikhata hai ke euro/USD ka daam 1.0840 aur 1.0887 ke darmiyan hai, aur yeh qareebi wapas aur ooper key simple moving average ko qaim rakhta hai. Agar aagey barhna hai, toh humein 1.0887 ka bara nataij chahiye, haan lekin 1.0840 ke neechay jaana yeh dikhata hai keh tasleehi amal pohanchengay pehle maqsad 1.08 tak. Federal Reserve mein buland interest daray aaj bhi America ki maishat ke data ko asar andaz kar rahe hain. America ke Labour Department ke mutabiq be-rozgaron ki claim mein izafa hua hai aur industrial production kam hui hai. America mein daakhil aur khaarij ke daamon mein girawat dikhata hai ke China ki Central Bank inflation ki jang mein ab bhi jeet rahi hai. Euro zone ki taraf se, European Central Bank ki President Christine Lagarde ne sarhad paar ki, lekin monitory policy par koi tajziya nahi kiya. Mein euro ke izafay ko America ke dollar ki overall kamzori aur risk appetite mein behtar hone ke zariye samajh sakta hoon.

H1 Timeframe Outlook:





Dollor ke muqablay mein, euro ke daam ne uttar ki manzil mein 200 points hasil kiye hain, jo kehair-surat nahi hai. Mojudah daam 1.0827 hai aur resistance level 1.0886 hai. Jab tak daam is range mein trade ho raha hai, main apni position kholunga. Main umeed karta hoon ke uttar mein bari hogi, jo keh daam ko barqarar rakhe ga aur maqsad daam ko 1.1024 tak pohanchayega. Lekin agar daam mein kisi rukawat ki soorat ho, toh yeh resistance level ko barhne se rok sakti hai. Yahan, daam rukh badal sakta hai aur neechay ja sakta hai. Agar yeh hota hai, toh main transaction band kar doonga aur tamam munafa lock kar loonga. Main samajhta hoon ke daam is hafte tak tabdeel hota rahega. Uttar ya Dakkhin mein, aglay izafa ho sakta hai.