Gold

Lagta hai ki GOLD par haftawaray options ki tarah sab kuch kafi wazeh tha, jab sath hi 2311-2324 ke sath resistance aur 2292-2275 ke sath support ko paar nahi kar sake. Shayad May ke option hai, situation America mein behtar nahi ho rahi aur agar mahangi ko izafa hone ka koi ishara milta hai, toh keemat phir se barhna shuru hogi. Is liye, is maloomati darje aur din ke graph XAUUSD ke volumes aur oscillators ke nishanon ke mutabiq, abhi bhi bechnay walon ke liye mauqa hai ke price ko qareebi mazboot support 2266 tak daba den, lekin hosakta hai ke sirf 2288 tak mehdood ho. Ab naye highs ki baat par guftagu ko taal deta hun.s у is scenario ko barqarar rakhne mein madad ki,





jo haftay ke shuru mein amal mein aaya. Is contract par trading range options 2300 (2290 forex) strike ke teht tay hoti hai, jo ke premium ke zariye 2261-2327 tak hoti hai. Shayad hum is range mein agle haftay ke shuru mein bhi trading jaari rakhein. 2309 ka ek aur resistance aur 2281 ka ek support level bhi note kiya ja sakta hai, yani shayad Monday ko range 2309-2281 ke qareeb ho sakti hai, aur phir yeh range 2261-2327 tak phail sakti hai. Aur jab tak 2309-2327 ke neeche rehte hain, to dabav 2290 par qaim rahega aur agar 2290 ke neeche rehte hain to 2261 ki taraf tajurba hone ke muntazir rahen, ya shayad 2240-2190 tak. Sirf agar 2327 ke upar bahar nikalte hain aur qaim rehte hain, tabhi 2340-2390 ki taraf uthne ki umeed hai. 2000 aur 3000 ke strikes bohot dilchasp nazar aate hain, woh qaim hain.

GOLD

Meray pyare doston, aap sab ka khush amdeed. Aaj hum sonay ke market ke bare mein baat karenge kyunki sonay ka market achi munafa deta hai aur hum sab is se munafa kamate hain aur apne accounts ko bhar lete hain. To sonay ke market mein, mein fundamental trading karta hoon aur is se kaafi acha munafa kamata hoon, to sab se pehle hum market ka jayeza lete hain, is par kya asar pad raha hai aur duniyavi asrat kya hain aur is par kya bunyadi asrat hain. To sab se pehle hum fundamental asrat dekhte hain, ab market upar ja raha hai. Aur agar ab market ka trend upar ja raha hai. To hum munafa hasil kar sakte hain aur agar hum munafa hasil karte hain to yeh acha hai ke hum munafa hasil karte hain. To 1822 mein market upar gaya aur agar hum ab baat karein, to market ne 1940 tak chhooa aur 1960 tak upar gaya. 1960 upar ja sakta hai aur market ka trend upar ja raha hai aur humein kharidne wale trades honi chahiye. Kyunki agar hum is se entry point dekhte hain, to market upar ja raha hai aur munafa upar hoga, isliye ise kharidna chahiye. Kyunki kharidkar munafa hasil kiya ja sakta hai, jaldi se sonay ke market par kharidna chahiye aur moving average dekhte hue munafa hasil karne ki koshish karni chahiye.

Din bhar ke sonay ka chart dekhte hue, hum dekhte hain ke peechle saal ke shuru se ek mazboot neeche ki taraf ki trend thi jab tak is saal ke darmiyan mein record kam 1575-80 tak na pohanch gaya aur phir double bottom ban gaya aur upar ki taraf ki trend mein laut gaya, apni peak par 1911.00 tak pohanch gaya. Mojooda qeemat ka andaza diya gaya hai ke 1915-50 tak ka aham reference level hai. Sonay ka daam mutasir hota hai ke 1920 level tak wapas aa jayega phir shayad resistance level ko toor de, sonay ke market mein trading ke mauqe khul jaayenge. Aane wale haftay ke liye, do mumkin mosam hain. Pehla, agar sona 1920 support level tak wapas chala jata hai, jo pehle resistance ke tor par kaam aata tha, is ishaaraat se is level par inkaar ya jamawar ki taraf ishaaraat ki ja sakti hai, to long position ko mad e nazar rakhte hue munafa ka target 1910.00, September 2023 ki unchi, aur stop loss 1925.00 ke neeche set kiya jaye, jo is trade ke liye support level hai. Sonay ka daam nihayat barh gaya hai, daam 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke qareeb band hua hai. Mojooda daam ne mazeed izafa nahi kiya hai aur 200-day SMA ke qareeb jamawar ke sath dekha gaya hai. Ek imkan hai ke daam mazeed barhne ke liye utha hai apne bullish momentum ke saath. Magar agar daam ko uncha swing high sthaapit karne mein kami hoti hai aur tezi se girne ka samna karta hai, to manfi trend barqarar rahega.

Sone ka outlook takneekati jaaiza char ghantay ka time frame par:

Mojooda sharaait waqtan-fa-waqt khaas tor par aam se oopar hain, aur is imkaan ke hawale se chaukana rahne ka sabab mojood hai. Ye badi had tak candlestick patterns ke zor daar kharidari ke signals ke bais hain, chahe wo din ya haftay ke time frames par hon. Ye hal humein mukammal imkaan faraham karta hai, halankeh qeemat mein short term mein, H4 time frame ke andar mukhtalif imkaanat ka faida uthana mumkin hai. Hamara sarayi fokas 5 se 10 kam moving average bands ke andar kisi bhi durusti harkat par tayyar honay par hai, jo qeemat ke 1920.61 se 1902.66 ke qeemat range mein waqe hain. Hamara maqsad nateejay ko ziyada se ziyada bana kar apne ibtedai tawaqoat ko pura karna hai. Ye wazeh hai ke market ka taraqqi kar raha hai, aur hum mazeed dominant qeemat ke harkaat ka intizaar karte hue chaukanna rehte hain.





Hamara qeemti dhaat XAUUSD ab ek aur chhupi hui manzil dikhane lagayi hai, jo ke haqeeqat mein hamare higher timeframes par hai, wazehi aur tasavvur ke liye maine ise "Picasso" ki tarah draw kiya (aik mazak), mein is par tafseel se comments karne ki koshish karunga, sabse pehle, ek asal trader ka "dhoka" "darwaze ke neeche hua, jahan se raat ke trading ke khulne ke waqt se aik qeemat ka farq chhoda gaya, ye kafi ahem hai, isliye mujhe lagta hai ke bohot se traders is par paisa kamane ke liye farokht mein daur pade, lekin tasveer bilkul ulta nikli, mazeed maamooli musafiron ko laane ke baad, hum ne impulsive ki, aur qeemat ko pehle ke high tak buland le gaye, foran, is ke ilawa, humne aik bullish do-fractal candle par zor diya, jo ke indicator ne abhi blue rang mein dikhaya, is ke baad hum ne averaging ke surat mein kam se kam kiya - tawajjo den, mein literal arrows ke saath dikhata hoon ke ye sab kaise hua, aur ab mujhe lagta hai ke waqt aagaya hai asal cheez ko pura karna, Fibonacci grid control mein hai, kyunke ab ek saikron ko toorna aur us par qadam jama karne ki koshish ho rahi hai, agar aise aik dhaancha tayar hai, to hamara agla maqsad 138.2 aur 161.8 hoga, aur yeh kam az kam 2032 se kuch kam nahi hai, aap khud bohot achi tarah samajh rahe hain ke humare liye sone mein kya potenshiyal hai; ye bilkul bhi bekaar nahi hai ke Chini apni American securities ko farokht kar rahe hain aur apni sari wusaa'at ko is dhaat mein daal rahe hain.

Gold Haftawar

Sone ke bazaar ki dynamics hamesha se investors aur traders dono ke liye dilchasp rahi hain. Sone ki qeemat ko control karne wale pechiday patterns aur indicators, faislay bazi ke liye intihai ahem hain. Is tafseel se bharpoor tajziye mein, hum ne halia arsay mein sone ki qeemat ke harkaat ko dekha hai, ahem indicators aur chart patterns ka jaiza le kar mustaqbil ke rujhanat ka andaza lagaya hai. Sone ki qeemat ne numayaan harkaat dikhayi hain, khaas taur par ahem support aur resistance levels ke hawale se. Khaas tor par, sone ki qeemat ek muqarrar ki gayi channel ki upper boundary tak pohanch gayi hai, jo ke 2050 ke level tak hai. Upper boundary ke is tor ne ahem upward momentum ko ishara diya hai, jo ke market mein bullish jazbaat ko zahir karta hai. Technical indicators mazeed market dynamics par basirat faraham karte hain. RSI aur moving average indicators qeemat ki movements ki strength aur direction ko assess karne ke liye qeemati tools hain. Mojooda scenario mein, dono indicators bullish momentum ko highlight karte hain, jo sone ki qeemat ke upward trajectory ko tasdeeq karte hain. Price chart ka qareebi jaiza mutaliqa patterns aur trends ko zahir karta hai. Chart par candles ka rang red mein tabdeel ho gaya hai, jo ke market sentiment mein bearish drivers ki taraf shift ko indicate karta hai. Is ke bawajood, mojooda upward momentum ne qeemat ko downward channel ki upper boundary tak dhakel diya hai, jo ke 2120 ke level tak pohanch gayi hai. Upper boundary ke tor par, sone ki qeemat ne 2100 ke level par ek reversal ka tajurba kiya. Yeh reversal qeemat ke moment mein aik nihayat ahem mod tha, jo bullish se bearish momentum ki taraf shift ko signal karta hai. Natijatan, qeemat ne neeche ki taraf harkat shuru ki, jo ke market mein supply aur demand ke badalte hue dynamics ko zahir karta hai. Haal ke harkaat sone ki qeemat mein mukhtalif asbaat ke darmiyan pechiday taaluqaat ko ujagar karte hain. Jab ke ahem resistance levels ka tor bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai, baad ka reversal market ki fitri volatility ko highlight karta hai.

Hello, Vasily! Aap ki meharbani ke liye shukriya! Sada khush rahein, aur aise tareefon ka hamain hamesha intezar rehta hai. Aap ki ungliyon ko kharash se bachane ke liye, main soap khareedne ki tavsiyah doonga. Sona ab hamare liye dastaras mein hai. Tarikh ke urooj tak pohanchne ke bawajood, iska koi intishaar hone ka koi ishara nahi hai.

Rozana chart ka tajziya karte hue wave technique ka istemal karte hue, ham ye dekh sakte hain:

- MA100 haftay ke liye mazeed 20 darja par uparward trend mein hai, jo sada bullish jazbaat ko zahir karta hai.

- MA18 mazeed bullish hai, 45 darja ke tez uthao ke saath, jo mazboot uparward trend ki taraf ishara karta hai. Qeemat sab moving averages aur local Ichimoku Cloud ke oopar hai. Kul milakar, hamare paas ek bahut hi bullish market hai.

Halanki Ichimoku cloud ab bechnay wale rangon mein hai, lekin yeh bearishly behave nahi karta. Pehle, yeh ek moghtaba kami ko zahir karne ka izhar karta hai, lekin phir yeh uparward harkat ko pasand karta hai, aakhir mein apna rang bullish ke liye badal deta hai.

Halka MASD aur stochastic indicators dono hi shadeed overbought hain, lekin abhi tak koi bechnay ka signal nahi hai.

Mazboot stochastic dilchasp hai, kyunke yeh bullish lehar mein apni jismani wazan ko khasi izafa nahi deta, jo ek bearish divergence ko zahir karta hai. Magar, yeh divergence ab tak haqeeqat mein nahi badla. Kai RCA moving averages ne overbought zone ko test kiya hai, lekin ab tak koi bechnay ka signal nahi hai.

Is liye, main foran trading ke liye koi mauqa nahi dekh raha. Itni unchi darjaat par khareedna mashwara nahi hai, aur main bechne ka bhi irada nahi rakhta.

MARKET CHART D-1

1. Sona aksar aik safe-haven asset samjha jata hai, jiska matlab hai ke ye ma'asharti be-cheeni ya siyasi be-sukooni ke doran qeemat mein izafa karne ki tend krta hai. Ye investors ke liye aik mashhoor intikhab hai jo apne portfolios ko mukhtalif banane aur bazaar ki jhalkiyan se mehfooz rakhne ke liye talaash karte hain.
2. Sona doosri asset classes ke saath kam taluqat rakhta hai, jese ke shares aur bonds, is liye ye amli tor par overall portfolio ka khatra kam karne ka asar daalta hai. Is taluqat ki kami ka matlab hai ke sonay ke daam doosre mali bazaaron ke baghair chalte hain, jis se tafarraqi ka faida hota hai.
3. Sona ka taqatwar tareekhi track record hai ke ye apni qeemat ko lambi muddat tak barqarar rakhta hai. Ye uski fitri qillat aur mehdood faraham, sath hi is ki qabiliyat ke wajood ki buniyad par hai jo ke ek mukhtalif qism ka currency aur qeemat ka store hai.
4. Sona ke daam ko mukhtalif factors par asar hota hai, jese ke sood dar, mahangai, currency ki harkaat, aur siyasi waqiyat. Iska matlab hai ke sona aik mutasir aur ghair mustaqil market ho sakta hai, jahan ke daam aksar global ma'ashi aur siyasi manzar mein tabdeeliyon ke tezi se jawaab dete hain.
5. Takneekii tajziya ko sonay ke bazaar mein trends, patterns, aur mojooda aur bahar nikalne ke maqamat ko pehchaanne ke liye traders dwara wasee tor par istemal kiya jata hai. Sonay ke trading mein aam takneekii indicators mein shaamil hain moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracements.
6. Sona global spot market mein around-the-clock trade hota hai, jahan ke sab se active trading ghante aksar Asian aur European sessions ke doran hotay hain. Ye 24 ghanton ka bazaar traders ko din ya raat ke kisi bhi waqt daam ke harkaat se faida uthane ki ijaazat deta hai.
7. Sona ko mukhtalif maali aalaat ke zariye trade kiya ja sakta hai, jese ke futures contracts, options, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), aur over-the-counter (OTC) contracts. Ye traders ko sonay ke bazaar mein exposure hasil karne aur daam ke harkaat se munafa uthane ke liye mukhtalif tareeqon se mawadah deta hai.

GOLD H1 Timeframe Analysis
Agar rate 2177 range tak barh jata hai, toh yeh aham hoga, aur hum wahan ek mustahkam position hasil kar sakte hain. Growth thodi si kam ho gi magar phir bhi rahegi. Agar 2176 range se break out hota hai aur iske upar merge karta hai, toh yeh buying ko jaari rakhne ka acha sabab hoga. Aise surat-e-haal mein, behtareen hai ke mazboot corrective pullback ke doran behtareen prices par buy karna.

US session ke doran thodi si kami ke bawajood, US economy ko 2162 ke upar grow karna chahiye. Agar 2155 ka local low breach aur consolidate hota hai, toh yeh mazeed rate declines ka nateeja ho sakta hai. Local top range 2158 mein breakout hoga, aur hum iske upar ek mustahkam position hasil karenge, jo ke buying ko jaari rakhne ka aik behtareen sabab hoga. Agar 2152 levels par local maximum breakdown hota hai, toh yeh buying ka acha sabab hoga. Agar 2158 range ka false breakout hota hai, toh uptrend barqarar reh sakta hai. Hum US session ke doran gold mein southward correction dekh sakte hain, jo ke mustaqil gains ke sath hoga.

2163 mein local top range ka breakout mazeed buying ko prompt karega. Filhal, yeh background hai, magar hum 2142 range se break out kar sakte hain aur iske neeche merge kar sakte hain.

GOLD H-4 Timeframe Analysis
H4 time frame mein ek bearish inside bar pattern bana tha jo all-time high aur aakhri teen swing highs ke darmiyan tha. Iska nateeja yeh nikla ke resistance zone jo 2177 ke aas paas tha, apni structural condition se break down ho gaya. Apni mojooda price se neeche do naye demand zones hain, ek thoda upar weekly support 2180 ke. Ek fresh order block zone monthly support 2165 ke upar bana hai. Mojooda price ke upar ek fresh order block zone bhi bana hai jo break of structure ke pehle 2160.00 ki range mein tha.

Jese ke abhi mujhe pata chala, ke price ne is time frame mein phir se ek inside bar pattern banaya hai (2160.67 se 2170.00 tak), toh mein pehle intezar karunga. Intezaar karunga ke price inside bar pattern se bahar aaye, phir ek setup talash karunga ke buy ya sell karne ka, jab price kam az kam ek dafa mother bar candle ke length se upar ya neeche move kar le.

Gold Outlook Technical Analysis:
Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, aane wale waqt mein sone ki keemat badhne ke imkaanat hain aur yeh 2400 ke aas paas pahunch sakti hai agar hum candlestick ko dekhein. Iska sabab yeh hai ke daily time frame par sone ki harkat ne ek bullish engulfing candle banayi hai jo ke kharidari ke liye kaafi mazboot signal hai aur sone ki keemat 2400 tak pahunch sakti hai.

Lekin humein yeh bhi zaroori hai ke hum sone mein hone wale downward correction se hoshiyar rahein kyun ke RSI 14 indicator ke visualization se yeh saabit hota hai ke jab sone ki keemat 2385 thi toh yeh overbought ya had se zyada khareedi gayi thi. Is wajah se yeh bahut mumkin hai ke aaj sone ki keemat mein ek kaafi gehra downward correction dekhne ko mile aur yeh 2360 tak ja sakti hai.

Aaj ka SELL GOLD signal bhi kaafi bara hai kyun ke yeh SNR aur Fibonacci methods se support hota hai. Jab sone ki keemat 2385 thi toh yeh Support Become Resistance (SBR) area mein thi, isliye yeh bara imkaan hai ke aaj SELLER is gold pair mein enter hoga jisse keemat kaafi gehri girawat dekhegi aur yeh 2350 tak ja sakti hai.

Meri technical analysis ke natije mein, maine faisla kiya ke sone ko 2350 tak SELL karoon, lekin yeh imkaan bhi hai ke sone ki keemat phir se barh kar 2400 tak pahunch jaye.

Lines par 2,175.80 aur 2,270.80 par dekhi ja sakti hain. Iska matlab yeh hai ke na kharidne wale (buyers) aur na bechne wale (sellers) market par poori tarah se qaboo kar pa rahe hain.

Volatility: Iss range ke andar abhi bhi kuch volatility hai, jahan price swings kabhi kabhi $50 se zyada bhi ho jati hain. Yeh mukhtalif factors ki wajah se ho sakti hai, jaise ke economic data releases, central bank policy announcements, ya geopolitical events. Yeh baat bhi zaroori hai ke yeh short time frame hai aur zaroori nahi ke yeh long-term trend ko depict kare.

Yahan kuch additional cheezein hain jo zehan mein rakhni chahiyein:
- Technical indicators: Aap technical indicators ka istimaal kar sakte hain price charts ke ilawa, potential trends aur trading signals ko identify karne ke liye. Magar, technical indicators foolproof nahi hain aur inhe doosri forms of analysis ke saath milakar istimaal karna chahiye.

GOLD
Meray pyare doston, aap sab ka khush amdeed. Aaj hum sonay ke market ke bare mein baat karenge kyunki sonay ka market achi munafa deta hai aur hum sab is se munafa kamate hain aur apne accounts ko bhar lete hain. To sonay ke market mein, mein fundamental trading karta hoon aur is se kaafi acha munafa kamata hoon, to sab se pehle hum market ka jayeza lete hain, is par kya asar pad raha hai aur duniyavi asrat kya hain aur is par kya bunyadi asrat hain. To sab se pehle hum fundamental asrat dekhte hain, ab market upar ja raha hai. Aur agar ab market ka trend upar ja raha hai. To hum munafa hasil kar sakte hain aur agar hum munafa hasil karte hain to yeh acha hai ke hum munafa hasil karte hain. To 1822 mein market upar gaya aur agar hum ab baat karein, to market ne 1940 tak chhooa aur 1960 tak upar gaya. 1960 upar ja sakta hai aur market ka trend upar ja raha hai aur humein kharidne wale trades honi chahiye. Kyunki agar hum is se entry point dekhte hain, to market upar ja raha hai aur munafa upar hoga, isliye ise kharidna chahiye. Kyunki kharidkar munafa hasil kiya ja sakta hai, jaldi se sonay ke market par kharidna chahiye aur moving average dekhte hue munafa hasil karne ki koshish karni chahiye.

Din bhar ke sonay ka chart dekhte hue, hum dekhte hain ke peechle saal ke shuru se ek mazboot neeche ki taraf ki trend thi jab tak is saal ke darmiyan mein record kam 1575-80 tak na pohanch gaya aur phir double bottom ban gaya aur upar ki taraf ki trend mein laut gaya, apni peak par 1911.00 tak pohanch gaya. Mojooda qeemat ka andaza diya gaya hai ke 1915-50 tak ka aham reference level hai. Sonay ka daam mutasir hota hai ke 1920 level tak wapas aa jayega phir shayad resistance level ko toor de, sonay ke market mein trading ke mauqe khul jaayenge. Aane wale haftay ke liye, do mumkin mosam hain. Pehla, agar sona 1920 support level tak wapas chala jata hai, jo pehle resistance ke tor par kaam aata tha, is ishaaraat se is level par inkaar ya jamawar ki taraf ishaaraat ki ja sakti hai, to long position ko mad e nazar rakhte hue munafa ka target 1910.00, September 2023 ki unchi, aur stop loss 1925.00 ke neeche set kiya jaye, jo is trade ke liye support level hai. Sonay ka daam nihayat barh gaya hai, daam 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke qareeb band hua hai. Mojooda daam ne mazeed izafa nahi kiya hai aur 200-day SMA ke qareeb jamawar ke sath dekha gaya hai. Ek imkan hai ke daam mazeed barhne ke liye utha hai apne bullish momentum ke saath. Magar agar daam ko uncha swing high sthaapit karne mein kami hoti hai aur tezi se girne ka samna karta hai, to manfi trend barqarar rahega.

Gold Outlook Technical Analysis:

Haalan, sone ki qeemat $2,270.80 par hai, jo aik aise muqaam par hai jahan na to kharidar aur na bechnay walay zyada galib hain. Is mawaznat ke bawajood, is daira mein qeemat mein uthal puthal barqarar rahi hai, aur kabhi kabhi $50 se zyada ki tabdeeli dekhne ko mili hai. Yeh ghair yaqiniyat mukhtalif asbaab ki wajah se hai, jaise ke ma'ashi data ka izhar, central bank ki policy ke elan, ya geosiyasi tabdiliyan. Yad rahe ke yeh tabdeeliyaan aik choti muddat mein hoti hain aur market ke longo waqt ke rukh ko zaroori nahi ke darshati hain.

Ma'ashi Halat:

Ma'ashi data ka izhar market ke rukh par khasa asar dalta hai. Ahm ma'ashi asnaad jaise ke rozgaar ke figures, GDP ka barhna, ya inflation ke rate, market ke shiraka ko mustaqbil ke ma'ashi halat ke hawalay se khayalat banane mein madadgar hote hain, aur is ke nateeje mein qeemat mein tabdeeli hoti hai.

Central Bank Policies:

Central banks ke elan aur qadam market ke jazbat par bara asar dalte hain. Munafa ki sharah ke baray mein faislay, quantitative easing ke iqdamat, ya future ke hawalay se rahnumai investors ke jazbat ko mutasir karte hain, jo ke qeemat mein nummayan tabdeeli ka sabab ban sakti hain.

Geosiyasi Waqiat:

Geosiyasi tabdiliyan, jese ke tensions, trade disputes, ya naye alliances, market mein ghair yaqiniyat barha sakti hain. Aise waqiat jese ke jang, diplomatic negotiations, ya leadership mein tabdeeli investors ke aitmaad ko mutasir karte hain aur asar dalte hain asset prices par.

Market Sentiment:

Market ke shiraka ka jazba aur rukh qeemat ke rukh ka taayun karne mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Sentiment indicators, jese ke investor confidence ke surveys ya fear and greed measures, prevailing market sentiment ke hawalay se insights faraham karte hain aur asset prices par iska mumkin asar.



Nateeja tan, sone ki qeemat par in mukhtalif asbaab ka aksar asar hota hai, jo ke is ke rukh ko mushkil bana sakta hai. Traders aur investors ko yeh saari factors nazar mein rakhni chahiye jab wo apni strategies banate hain.

Gold Outlook Technical Analysis

Aane wale waqt mein sone ki qeemat kis taraf ja sakti hai, iska andaza lagate hue meri technical analysis yeh darshati hai ke qeemat 2400 tak barh sakti hai agar hum candlestick chart ko dekhein. Iski wajah yeh hai ke daily time frame par sone ka movement aik bullish engulfing candle banaya hai jo ke sone ko khareedne ka aik mazboot signal hai, 2400 tak ki qeemat tak.

Overbought Conditions:

Haan, humein yeh bhi dhyan rakhna hoga ke gold mein niche ki taraf correction bhi ho sakti hai, kyunke RSI 14 indicator ke hisaab se 2385 ki qeemat par gold overbought yaani bohot zyada khareed liya gaya hai. Isliye yeh bohot mumkin hai ke aaj gold mein ek gehri downward correction ho aur qeemat 2360 tak aa jaye.

SELL Signal:

Aaj ka SELL GOLD signal bhi kaafi mazboot hai kyunke yeh SNR (Support Become Resistance) aur Fibonacci methods se support karta hai. Jab gold ki qeemat 2385 par thi, toh yeh SBR area mein thi, jahan se bohot zyada mumkin hai ke aaj ke din SELLERS market mein aayen aur qeemat ko 2350 tak le jayein.

Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq sone ke movement ke liye, maine faisla kiya hai ke sone ko bechne ka waqt hai aur qeemat 2350 tak ja sakti hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke gold dobara barh ke 2400 tak bhi ja sakta hai.

Market Equilibrium:

Aaj kal gold ki qeemat 2,175.80 aur 2,270.80 ke darmiyan chal rahi hai. Yeh darshata hai ke na to kharidaar aur na bechne wale market par kabza kar sakte hain. Volatility ab bhi hai aur qeemat kabhi kabhi $50 se zyada upar neeche hoti rehti hai. Yeh mukhtalif asbaab ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke ma'ashi data ka izhar, central bank policy ke elan, ya geosiyasi waqiat.

Technical Indicators:

Aap technical indicators ka istemal bhi kar sakte hain price charts ke ilawa, taake mumkin trends aur trading signals pehchani ja sakein. Lekin technical indicators hamesha durust nahi hote aur inhe doosri analysis ke sath milakar istemal karna chahiye.



Mujhe umeed hai yeh analysis aapke trading decisions mein madadgar sabit hogi.

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

Assalam-o-Alaikum, aaj hum GOLD ki qeemat ke harkaath ke baare mein guftagu karenge. Dekhte hain ke market ne GOLD ki qeemat mein tabdeeliyon par kaise re-da-amal diya hai. Yeh waqt likhte hue GOLD ki qeemat 2355.67 hai.

Technical Analysis:

Qeemat Ki Kami:

Technically dekha jaye to mujhe thodi qeemat mein kami ka intezar hai kyunke chart par sabse aakhri candle ne qeemat mein kami aur downward momentum dikhaya hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 14 aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) 12, 26, 9 oscillators thode positive hain, magar RSI positive range mein hai jabke MACD sell signal de raha hai. Isliye yeh behtar hoga ke GOLD ko bech diya jaye.

Bearish Trend:

Qeemat ki bearish activity ko nafrat nahi ki ja sakti kyunke yeh moving average lines se neeche hai is waqt ke chart par aur indicator bearish trend ke support ko dikha raha hai. Yeh behtar hoga ke qeemat 2356.94 ke aas paas rahe. Pehle hum 2360.94 ke range ko azma sakte hain.

Resistance Levels:

Mumkin hai ke horizontal resistance level 2360.94 ko tod kar qeemat 2367.74 tak pohanch jaye, lekin iske baad bhi achi targets hain. Agar 2360.94 ke resistance ko tod diya jaye aur phir 2367.74 ke baad, toh GOLD mazid barh kar 2374.63 tak ja sakta hai jo ke teesra resistance level hai.

Support Levels:

Dusri taraf, agar GOLD ki qeemat kam hoti hai aur 2347.05 ke level ko tod deti hai jo pehla support level hai, toh yeh support zone ka breakout aur mazid qeemat girne ka ishara hai jo ke 2328.24 ka doosra support level hai. Agar yeh hota hai, toh is surat mein GOLD mazid gir kar 2324.80 tak ja sakta hai. Chart ke mutabiq, GOLD mazeed kamzor bhi ho sakta hai agle waqt ke doran.



Conclusion:

Isliye, mujhe yakin hai ke GOLD ko bechna behtar hoga.

Gold Price Analysis in Roman Urdu

Gold ki qeemat Thursday ke session mein naye tamam waqt ke bulandi par pahunchne ke liye set hai.

Market Movement:

Gold ki qeemat 2,225 tak pahunch gayi, jabke Depository yields aur mazboot US Dollar ko bhi bardasht kar rahi hai. Federal Reserve ke Governor Waller ke hawkish remarks aur mazboot US data ne Gold aur US Dollar ki qeemat ko farham nahi kiya. Market mein Federal Reserve ke Core PCE index ke release ka intezar hai.

Recent Performance:

Thursday ke North American session mein Gold ki qeemat mein izafa hua aur yeh 2,225 tak pahunch gayi. Keemti dhatu ki qeemat barh rahi hai, halan ke US Depository yields bhi barh rahi hain, jo ke Greenback ko support kar rahi hain. Federal Reserve ke ek policymaker ke hawkish remarks aur mazboot ma'ashi data ne US Dollar aur Gold ki qeemat ko mustahkam rakha hai. XAU/USD 2,221 par trade kar raha hai aur 1.20% se zyada ka izafa dikha raha hai.

Federal Reserve & US Economic Data:

Federal Reserve ke Governor Christopher Waller ne kaha ke US central bank jaldi mein nahi hai ke rates kam kare, halan ke wo easing cycle ke shuru hone ki umeed karte hain. Magar, unko kuch mahino tak dekhne ki zaroorat hai ke inflation Federal Reserve ke 2% target ke taraf kam ho rahi hai. Ma'ashi data wise, US economy umeed se zyada tezi se barhi. Initial Jobless Claims (IJC) report ke mutabiq, jobs market tight hai. Aur consumer sentiment bhi behtar hui, University of Michigan ke survey ke mutabiq, jabke Pending Home Sales February mein January ke muqablay mein zyada hui.

Upcoming Data:

Gold traders ab Federal Reserve ke pasandeeda inflation measure, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index ke February ke period ke release ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Daily Digest: Market Movers

Gold ki qeemat barh rahi hai US ke February inflation report ke speculation ki wajah se. Core PCE ka expected hai ke 0.4% se 0.3% mother tak slow ho jayegi, jabke headline PCE ka expected hai ke 0.3% se 0.4% mother tak barh jaye.

US GDP 3.4% barha, jo ke pehle ke reading 3.2% se zyada hai, jo ek mazboot economy ki nishani hai. Q4 2023 ke Core PCE ne Federal Reserve ka 2% QoQ target hit kiya.



Technical Analysis:

Gold ka upswing ab bhi intact hai, halan ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought ho raha hai jab XAU/USD ne March 21 ka high 2,223 cross kiya. Jab koi asset significant upswing experience karta hai, uska RSI aam tor par 70 mark cross kar leta hai, jo ke bullish momentum ka indication hota hai. Agar RSI 80 se zyada ho jaye, to yeh overbought condition ko indicate karta hai. Agar buyers ne gold spot price ko is level par maintain rakha, to 2,300 test karne ke chances barh jate hain. Dusri taraf, agar XAU/USD 2,200 ke niche gir gaya, to 2,146 ka December 4 high support banega, aur agar yeh bhi break hua, to qeemat 2,100 tak gir sakti hai. Next support December 28 high 2,088 ho sakti hai.

Sab ko shaam mubarak. Gold market par ab bhi tawajjo di hui hai, is saal August ke doran ek wazeh fitrat thi ke foro'on ka zor daalne ka silsila gold market ki kamzoriyon ko dabane mein jari rahay. Mojooda shraeton ke tehat, yeh kehna mumkin hai ke sona ek neeche ki taraf ja raha hai.




Mojooda qeemat pehlay do mahinay ki sab se kam qeemat par hai, jahan 2146.38 ki qeemat pichlay June ke candle ki kam qeemat hai. Kharidaron ke liye khauf hai agar H4 candle dwara kam se kam qeemat ka kamiyaab taur par toor di jati hai. Is liye, sonay ki tajziya monthly benchmarks par mabni hai jo H4 ki tasdeeq se saabit hote hain.

H4 ke nazarie se, abhi qeemat ab bhi consolidate ho rahi hai, bohot zyada mumkin hai ke foron ki trading khatam ho chuki hai kyunki abhi tak hawalaat ke mutabiq abhi bhi is qeemat par farokht jari rakhna ghair mantooqi qaraar diya jata hai. Is liye keh diya jata hai ke bohot zyada saturated hai. Yeh keh diya jata hai ke bohot zyada saturated hai kyunki yeh halaat hain jahan qeemat ab bechne wale trend ke tor pe rational nahi rah chuki hain. Yeh wahim saabit hota hai agar market dwara tasdeeq ho jaye, agar qeemat (2175) ke oopar hai toh aise mein supply ko test karne ka khatra hota hai aur yeh supply monthly trend ko tay karne wala key level ban jata hai aglay buyer ya seller response ke liye.

Monthly nazarie ka zikar pehlay guftagu ke shuru mein kiya gaya tha. Mojooda qeemat mojooda sab se kam qeemati darja teste kar rahi hai jo selleron ke liye mazeed kamzori ke liye dabane ke liye kafi kamzor hai. Selleron ki psychological concerns bilkul behooda hain agar woh apna sell position barqarar rakhain kyunki monthly se sirf itihas ke darmiyan buyeron aur selleron ke darmiyan (shadow candle) nazar aata hai. Shayad agar qeemat H4 ke zariye tasdeeq se saabit ho jaye bina kisi toot't ke 2170 par, mujhe lagta hai ke H4 par supply ki taraf islah ki khaahish hai. Toh, gold market ke rukh ka nateeja haqeeqat mein 1890 ki tajziya ke tasdeeq par munhasir hota hai, agar yeh toot na jaaye toh 2160.24 se 2185.88 ke zone mein bullish istiqamat ka potential ban sakta hai. Swing buy qayam ho ga agar supply barhne wale buyeron ke dwara toot't gayi ho agar manzar jaisa tha.

Vasily, hello! Aur kaun nahi chahta sona se kaam karna, dekho koi aadmi mujhe dikhao. Agar tum usey milte ho, toh phir shayad))) Ab lagta hai ke kamii ab tak ka halqa mumkin hai. Ab sar se lag rahi hai ke girne ki pehli lehar kaam kar rahi hai. Usne isay dabaya - aur yeh aisa lag raha hai jese ek flat improvisation hai. Ziyada taur par, hum is se baahar nikalenge aur phir ek aur bearish lehar banayenge. Indicators ab usually kya dikhate hain:
- Pichle saal ka rate ab tak ek rise karne wala channel par kaam kar raha hai jo abhi tak tayar hai. March mein, aik hamari flight uske border ke bahar gayi thi. Bilku eagle ki tarah - kahin ucha, buland pahaadon mein. Ab yahi cheez mujhe ummeed hai - kam se kam - aik kami ke taraf jaa rahi hai channel ke upper band ki taraf. Yeh level 2115 hai.
- MA100 tezi se mouj mein hai. Yeh moam aur uttar ja raha hai ek das degree ke tanav ke angle mein. MA18 bhi nafka kar raha hai uttar mein kafi serious trend angle ke chaalees degree ke angle mein. Aur haalanki correction sidewall ab aakhri lamhe tak shamil nahi ho raha, lekin yeh ab tak apne chadhne ke angle ko kam nahi kar raha.
- Achimoku cloud ab bearish side par hai, halanki iske jism par zyada wazan nahi hai. Tashkeel ke mutalliq, yeh bulls ki taraf ja rahi hai. Iske ilawa, bilkul aakhir mein, tezi se barh rahi hai - jaise ke ribbons jo isko banate hain, woh phela kar alag alag raahon mein bikhar jate hain.
- Dono neeche ke bunch of indicators kafi tez biki huye hain. Lekin naram MASD ne ab pehli signal tape ko histogram ke jism ke range se bahar la diya hai, iska matlab hai ke hum second se second tak final sell signal ko receive karenge.
Toh... lagta hai ke cheezon ki girawat jaari rahegi. Takneeki ke mutabiq, support level 2115 par nazar aata hai.