Usd/cad

USD/CAD currency pair aaj phir se barh raha hai, lekin pehle ki tarah taqat se nahi. Halankeh ye trend chalu hai, lekin daam naye unchaiyon ko todne ki koshish nahi kar raha. Ye harkat jald rukne ki sambhavna hai, aur mujhe jaldi ulatne aur ghatne ki umeed hai. Pichle hafte, daam ne kai rukawat ke darwaze tezi se paar kiye, ek bohot ahm darwaze bhi. Khareedaar ne USD/CAD ko upar le jaya, lekin inka jazba ab kam hota nazar aa raha hai. Maine aaj ke uchai par bechnay ka faisla kiya hai, kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke humne choti tak pohanch gaya hai aur daam dheere dheere neeche ki taraf badhega. Aise mazboot aur bullish trend mein aksar pullback hota hai, jo mujhe jaldi nazar aane ki umeed hai. Is ulatne ki muddat uncertain hai, lekin daam ki harkat ko nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai.


4 ghante ki chart par, daam filhal ek upar ki taraf jaane wale channel mein hai, lekin ab ye neeche ki taraf mod raha hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke ye is channel ke neeche ke had tak, lagbhag 1.3781 ke star tak girega. Daam phir se upar ki taraf 1.3781 ke star tak wapas ja sakta hai. Is marhale par kharidne ka mashwara nahi doonga, lekin agar neeche ki harkat dheemi hoti hai aur daam 1.3615 ke kareeb aata hai, to main ek kharid trade mein ghusne ka soch sakta hoon, stop loss 91 points door aur target profit 271 points rakhte hue. Jinhein zyada risk uthana hai, unke liye 1.3893-1.3958 ke rukawat zone ko todne par upar ki taraf chalne ki sambhavna hai. Lekin, main zyada sambhal kar chalne ka rukh rakh raha hoon, isliye us risk ko uthane ka irada nahi hai.

USD/CAD Price Forecast
Ek report ne yeh bataya hai ke Israel Iran ke oil aur nuclear facilities par hamla nahi karega. Is ke ilawa, China ke oil imports pichle paanch mahine se gir rahe hain, jo duniya ke sabse bade importer ki kamzor demand ka dar hai. Is par OPEC ne apne 2024 aur 2025 ke liye global oil demand ke andaazay bhi ghataye hain. Yeh sab kuch crude oil ki prices ko aur gira raha hai, jo Loonie ko kamzor kar raha hai aur USD/CAD pair ko mazeed support de raha hai.

USD/CAD pair ko 1.3870 ke level par upar ki taraf jaane wale channel ke had ke ird gird rukawat ka samna karna pad sakta hai. 14-day RSI overbought condition dikhata hai, jo yeh batata hai ke aage choti si correction ho sakti hai.

Support ka pehla level 1.3770 ke kareeb hai, jo is ascending channel ke neeche ke had par hai. USD/CAD apne upward momentum ko jaari rakhta hai, jo 2 October se shuru hui thi, aur Tuesday ko European hours ke dauran 1.3810 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Daily chart par, pair upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jo bullish outlook ko mazid mazboot karta hai.



Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 se upar hai, jo overbought conditions ka darshak hai aur nazdeek mein downward correction ki sambhavna dikhata hai.

Upar ki taraf, USD/CAD 1.3870 ke aas paas channel ke upper boundary ko test kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level todta hai, to bullish sentiment aur badh sakta hai, jo pair ko 1.3946 ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo October 2022 ke baad ka sabse uncha level hai.

Neeche ki taraf, USD/CAD ko pehla support 1.3770 ke kareeb milega. Agar yeh level todta hai, to bullish sentiment kam ho sakta hai, aur pair ko 1.3706 par apne nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Mazeed support 1.3620 par milta hai, jo pehle pullback ki rukawat thi aur ab throwback support ka kaam kar rahi hai, uske baad psychological threshold 1.3600 hai.

USD/CAD Market Analysis Tuesday, October 15, 2024

Daily Timeframe
Jis tarah maine USDCAD currency pair ke chart par daily timeframe ka jaiza liya, aakhri kuch dinon mein candlestick ki harkat bullish trend ki taraf jati nazar aayi. Yeh dekha gaya ke aakhri raat daam 1.3756 se shuru hote hue 1.3779 tak barh gaya, aur subah daam 1.3798 ke aas paas bullish movement karta raha.

Aakhri raat ka bullish rally itna bada nahi tha, lekin isne yeh darshaya ke market mein ab bhi bullish hone ki sambhavna maujood hai. Lekin yeh sirf peechle market movements aur trends par mabni ek andaaza hai. Relative Strength Index (14) par, Lime Line ab bhi 70 par chal rahi hai, jo market mein bullish signal ko darshata hai. MACD indicator par, histogram bar dheere dheere zero level se door ja raha hai, aur yellow dotted signal line bhi dheere dheere upar ki taraf mod rahi hai. Aaj ka daam Simple Moving Average Indicator 150 aur 60 se aur door ja raha hai.



Conclusion:
Aaj ke analysis ke liye meri aakhri raaye yeh hai ke kai indicators bullish trend ke jaari rehne ki sambhavna dikhate hain, isliye meri raaye hai ke USDCAD currency pair ab bhi upar ki taraf ja sakta hai kyunki zyada tar indicators buyer-dominated market ko darshate hain. Ek acha mauka hai ke hum upar ki taraf jaane wale trend ke hisaab se trade karein.

Transaction ke liye ek ideal area yeh hoga ke hum daam ka 1.3810 tak phir se barhne ka intezar karein, kyunki us waqt daam mein izafa hone ka signal mazboot nazar aayega. Agar khareedaar daam ko 1.3855 tak push karne mein kamiyab hote hain, to daam ke aur unche area tak pohanchne ki sambhavna badh jayegi.

USD/CAD Market Analysis
Good Morning to all visitors!

Jumeraat ko, USD/CAD ka market 1.3761 zone tak pahuncha. Magar, US ke news events khareedaaron ki madad nahi kar paye. Is hafte, kai news data buyers ki madad kar sakte hain, aur is hafte ka ek ahm data Philly Fed Manufacturing Index hai, jo manufacturing sector ki health ka regional measure hai. Yeh index Philadelphia Federal Reserve district ke manufacturers ki survey par mabni hai aur sector ki current conditions aur future outlook ka andaza deta hai. Agar Philly Fed Manufacturing Index ka reading umeed se zyada aata hai, to yeh manufacturing sector ke barhne ka darshan de sakta hai, jo aam tor par US dollar par achha asar dalta hai, kyunki yeh mazboot economy ka darshak hai. Agar reading kamzor hoti hai, to yeh economic slowdown ki chinta ko janm de sakta hai, jo currency ki value ko negatively impact karega. Philly Fed Index ko aksar leading indicator mana jata hai, kyunki manufacturing consumer demand aur global trade conditions mein changes par tezi se react karta hai.

USD/CAD mein trading ke liye, main 1.3732 tak choti target ke saath sell position ko pasand karta hoon. Is hafte ka ek aur ahm report Building Permits hai, jo housing market ki taqat ka andaza dega. Building permits ek forward-looking indicator hain, kyunki yeh naye residential construction projects ki ginti dikhate hain jo jald shuru hone wale hain. Building permits ka izafa aam tor par economic growth ke liye optimism darshata hai, kyunki zyada construction housing ki demand ko mazboot karta hai, jo economic activity ka key driver hai. Agar yeh ghatte hain, to yeh housing sector mein kamzori ka darshak ho sakta hai, jo overall economic growth par asar daal sakta hai. Kyunki housing US economy mein ek ahm role play karta hai, strong building permits report US dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur future economic growth ke liye positive sentiment ko barhata hai.

Umeed hai ke aaj USD/CAD ka market sellers ko apne peechle nuqsan ko cover karne mein madad karega.

Stay Blessed and Keep Calm!

Analysis of the USDCAD Pair in the M-30 Time Frame
USD/CAD currency pair mein haal hi mein kaafi volatility dekhi gayi hai, jo US aur Canada ke darmiyan chal rahe economic interactions ko darshata hai. Jab pair 1.3724 tak gira, to usne tezi se rebound kiya aur 1.3741 tak barh gaya, aur phir 1.3754 ka higher low bana. Yeh price action market dynamics mein potential shift ko darshata hai, kyunki higher lows aam tor par bullish momentum ki taraf ishara karte hain.

Magar, market sentiment ab bhi cautious hai aur external influences par nazar rakhta hai, khaaskar crude oil prices ki udaan jo Canadian dollar par bohot asar dalti hai, kyunki Canada ek major oil exporter hai. Rising oil prices aam tor par loonie ko mazboot karte hain, jo USD/CAD pair par neeche ki taraf pressure dalta hai. Is beech, US ISM Manufacturing PMI September ke liye stability dikhata hai, jo economic resilience ko darshata hai.



Lekin, significant upward movement ki kami yeh darshati hai ke US dollar apni bullish momentum ko banaye rakhne mein mushkil mehsoos kar sakta hai. Yeh complex interaction ek narm balance banata hai, jahan higher oil prices loonie ko mazboot kar sakte hain aur USD/CAD ki upside potential ko limit kar sakte hain, isliye traders ko in volatile market conditions mein ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Halankeh USD/CAD ne haal hi mein recovery ki hai, lekin 1.3724 ke low ka test hone ki sambhavna ab bhi mojood hai, khaaskar agar selling pressure phir se ubhar aata hai.

Is point par ek breakout market mein bearish sentiment ko mazid barha sakta hai. Technical indicators, jisme upper moving average 1.3572, middle moving average 1.3558, aur lower moving average 1.3547 shamil hain, potential price action ka jaiza lene mein ahmiyat rakhte hain. Agar middle moving average ke neeche sustained decline hota hai, to lower Bollinger Band ki taraf 1.3504 ka move ho sakta hai, jo bearish pressure ko aur barha sakta hai.

Dussri taraf, agar buyers apna momentum banaye rakhte hain aur pair ko 1.3754 ke upar le jaate hain, to yeh zyada pronounced bullish trend ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai, jo higher resistance levels ka potential retest kar sakta hai. Aane wale economic data releases par nazar rakhna bohot zaroori hai, kyunki US economic indicators mein shifts ya Canadian economic performance ke developments US dollar ko mazboot ya loonie ko aur mazboot kar sakte hain. Volatile USD/CAD trading environment mein, technical analysis aur economic fundamentals ki gehri samajh ka hona kaamiyabi ke liye zaroori hai.

USD/CAD Analysis
Hamari guftagu ab USD/CAD currency pair ke price behavior par hai. Aaj maine USD/CAD ka tafsili jaiza nahi liya. Aaj subah, maine hourly bars ki positioning dekhi aur ghatne ki umeed ki, lekin yeh nahi hua; is ke bajaye, pair mein halka sa izafa dekha gaya. Thodi der ke liye naya local high banane ke baad, USD/CAD ne reversal dikhaya lekin sirf halka sa gira. Filhal ke harkat ke mutabiq, is mein koi khaas significant activity nahi hai, khaaskar doosri currency pairs ke muqable mein, jo aaj zyada volatility dikhate hain.

Technically, yeh sambhav hai ke USD/CAD 200-period moving average ko reversal point ke tor par test kare. Agar aisa hota hai, to daam is average ko test karega aur phir ghatne lagega, bearish trend ko jaari rakhte hue. Agar breakout hota hai, to is ke baad growth dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Wahan se, yeh neeche ki taraf bounce bhi kar sakta hai.



Meri raye yeh hai ke yahan events ke development ka intezar karna behtar hoga, halankeh mujhe higher growth potential nazar aa raha hai. Hum shayad aaj kuch khaas news tak intezar karein. 15:30 par USA ke non-agricultural sector mein employed logon ki ginti, average hourly wages, aur unemployment rate mein tabdeeli aayegi. Aisa package, jab release hoga, current resistance ko tod sakta hai, aur tab tak yahan ek accumulation zone ban sakta hai, jahan zyada log resistance dekh kar sale karne ke liye tayar ho jayenge.

Pair 1.3580 ke upar major resistance ki taraf barh raha hai. Yeh level May aur July mein kayi martaba test kiya gaya hai, jab ke 100-day moving average (MA) filhal 1.3648 par hai. Technical momentum intraday aur daily charts par bearish nazar aa raha hai, jabke weekly oscillators neutral hain lekin bearish crossover ki taraf barh rahe hain, jo aane wale sessions mein downward shift ki sambhavna darshata hai.

USD/CAD Technical Analysis
Aaj hum USD/CAD currency pair ke maujooda price behavior ka jaiza lenge. Hafte ke aakhir tak, US dollar aur Canadian dollar ke darmiyan surat-e-haal abhi tak wazeh nahi hai. Haal hi mein, daam ne descending channel se breakout kiya hai aur pichle do hafton se upward trend par hai. Is waqt, mujhe buying ki taraf rujhan hai, khaaskar jab 1.3417 par strong bullish signal dekhne ko mila hai. Agar yeh upward momentum jaari raha, to hum 161st Fibonacci retracement level, jo ke takreeban 1.3753 hai, ko target kar sakte hain. Lekin agar USD/CAD is level se neeche gira, to selling ki taraf shift hone ka imkaan hai, kyunki broader trend abhi bhi downward hai.

Aaj pair ne thodi si izafa dekhi, ek key target tak pahuncha, aur phir reverse ho gaya. Chart par dekha jaye to yeh 1.3549 par resistance ko test karta hai aur ab 1.3510 ke ird gird trade kar raha hai. RSI indicator apne range ke beech mein hai aur upar ki taraf point kar raha hai, jabke RSI sell signal de raha hai. Pair kal ke trading range ke andar hi hai, aur signals mazid izafe ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain.



Mujhe umeed hai ke daam phir se 1.3549 par resistance ko test karega. Price action abhi bhi descending channel ke andar hai, lekin lower boundary se bounce dekha gaya hai. Pair ab bhi upward momentum mein hai, jisme long lower tails hain, jo buying pressure ko darshata hai. Channel indicators ke sath surat-e-haal thodi aur wazeh ho sakti hai; daam chhote channel ke midpoint se upar hai, lekin bara channel ka midpoint encounter kar raha hai. Chart ke mutabiq, ek expanding formation develop hoti nazar aa rahi hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke daam upar ki taraf barhta rahega jab tak yeh highs ke sath upward trend line tak nahi pahuncha.

Yeh sab kuch dekh kar lagta hai ke USD/CAD ke liye aane wale waqt mein interesting movements dekhne ko mil sakte hain.

Winning Traders with USD/CAD
Main abhi USD/CAD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka jaiza le raha hoon. USD/CAD currency pair ab ek flat position mein hai, jab ke is ne volatile downward wave dekhi hai. Daam 1.361 tak barh sakta hai, phir is flat trend ki lower boundary ki taraf ghat sakta hai. De Marker oscillator chaar ghante ke chart par overbought condition dikhata hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke naye highs jald nahi aane ke imkaan hain. 1.357 ka level ahm hai kyunki yeh monthly bearish absorption ka darshak hai; mujhe umeed hai ke daam is mark ko cross nahi karega, kyunki aisa karne se bearish trend ka puri tarah reversal hoga.

Overall, yeh instrument ek kamzor uptrend mein hai, jo minimal high updates se pehchana jata hai, aur iski continuation par uncertainty hai. EMA (8/5) aur MACD indicators bhi buy signals dete hain. Isliye, consolidation ke baad, mujhe umeed hai ke bullish movement jald dekhne ko milega.



Pichle dafa, daam is channel ki upper boundary se reverse hua aur ghatne laga, jab ke neeche ki boundary tak pahunchnay ka potential tha. Lekin, yeh decline nahi hua, aur is hafte daam phir se reverse hua aur chadhne laga. Aaj se, daam apni upward movement continue karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, jiska target upper limit hai descending channel ka, takreeban 1.3815.

Pichle hafte, Canadian dollar ka hourly chart daam ko 1.3548 ke resistance level ke ird gird trade karte dikhata hai. Aisa hi range Tuesday ko tha, lekin us ke baad daam gira. Budhwar ko, daam 1.3459 ke support level ke paas tha, aur Thursday ko rebound hua jis ne 1.3548 ke resistance ko tod diya. Resistance 1.3628 par pahunchnay se pehle ek buy signal mila. Yeh buy signal aaj bhi valid hai aur aaj tak chalne ki sambhavna hai.

USD/CAD Price Outlook
Hamari guftagu ka mawad USD/CAD currency pair ke maujooda pricing behavior ka jaiza lena hai. Thursday ko, Canadian dollar ka daily chart steady growth dikhata hai. Daam din bhar barhta raha, aur 1.37521 par resistance level ko test kiya. Is resistance ko hit karne ke baad, daam thoda pull back hua aur is mark se thoda neeche band hua. Is wajah se, maine Friday ke liye pehle ghatne ki umeed ki, support 1.36988 ke ird gird rakha. Lekin din waise nahi guzra jaisa maine socha tha. Candle bullish nikli, daam poore din barhta raha aur 1.37521 ke upar band hua, resistance ko todte hue. Is development ke mad-e-nazar, mera forecast Monday ke liye growth ki taraf shift hota hai, jahan resistance level 1.38097 ki taraf move hone ki sambhavna hai. Ghatav sirf tab ho sakta hai jab daam in levels ko dobara test kare, pull back kare, aur 1.37521 ke neeche band ho.



Filhal, USD/CAD currency pair ek notable pattern dikhata hai. Sellers order book par bohat bhaari hain. Iske bawajood, is pair mein upward movement ka strong potential hai, jo 1.3749 ke aas paas sellers ki accumulation se supported hai. Trading strategy ke tor par, mujhe is level ke paas USD/CAD kharidne ka mauqa nazar aa raha hai, profit-taking target 1.3799 par rakha hai aur stop-loss 1.3711 par. Agar daam 1.3711 ke neeche gira, to doosre scenarios ko dekhna padega.

Technical outlook four-hour chart par USD/CAD ke liye bullish hai. Daam Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke upar trade kar raha hai aur Ichimoku Cloud ke upar hai. Chikou-span line price chart ke upar hai, aur golden cross active hai. Agar daam 1.3785 ke upar breakout aur consolidation karta hai, to agla target 1.3898 level hoga, jo mazeed growth ka potential darshata hai.

Meri raye yeh hai ke yahan events ke development ka intezar karna behtar hoga, halankeh mujhe higher growth potential nazar aa raha hai. Hum shayad aaj kuch khaas news tak intezar karein. 15:30 par USA ke non-agricultural sector mein employed logon ki ginti, average hourly wages, aur unemployment rate mein tabdeeli aayegi. Aisa package, jab release hoga, current resistance ko tod sakta hai, aur tab tak yahan ek accumulation zone ban sakta hai, jahan zyada log resistance dekh kar sale karne ke liye tayar ho jayenge.

Pair 1.3580 ke upar major resistance ki taraf barh raha hai. Yeh level May aur July mein kayi martaba test kiya gaya hai, jab ke 100-day moving average (MA) filhal 1.3648 par hai. Technical momentum intraday aur daily charts par bearish nazar aa raha hai, jabke weekly oscillators neutral hain lekin bearish crossover ki taraf barh rahe hain, jo aane wale sessions mein downward shift ki sambhavna darshata hai.

Meri raye yeh hai ke yahan events ke development ka intezar karna behtar hoga, halankeh mujhe higher growth potential nazar aa raha hai. Hum shayad aaj kuch khaas news tak intezar karein. 15:30 par USA ke non-agricultural sector mein employed logon ki ginti, average hourly wages, aur unemployment rate mein tabdeeli aayegi. Aisa package, jab release hoga, current resistance ko tod sakta hai, aur tab tak yahan ek accumulation zone ban sakta hai, jahan zyada log resistance dekh kar sale karne ke liye tayar ho jayenge.

Pair 1.3580 ke upar major resistance ki taraf barh raha hai. Yeh level May aur July mein kayi martaba test kiya gaya hai, jab ke 100-day moving average (MA) filhal 1.3648 par hai. Technical momentum intraday aur daily charts par bearish nazar aa raha hai, jabke weekly oscillators neutral hain lekin bearish crossover ki taraf barh rahe hain, jo aane wale sessions mein downward shift ki sambhavna darshata hai.

USD / CAD Technical Analysis:

D1 chart dekhte hain usdcad currency pair ka. Yahan wave structure abhi bhi apni order ko upar banane mein laga hua hai macd indicator ne pehle se hi apne signal line ke neeche girne ka aghaz kar diya hai. October poori tarah se tezi se guzra, jaise hi mahine ka aghaz hua, tezi se barhna shuru ho gaya, aur yeh barhav abhi tak ruka nahi hai. Ek naya November mahina shuru hua hai, badi players ke liye unke kharidne ke positions ko fix karna acha hoga. Natija yeh hoga ke kareeb bhavishya mein ek achha neeche ka rollback ho sakta hai, jo ki haqeeqat mein kafi arse se tayar tha.

USD / CAD D1 Chart:



D1 chart par istemal kiye gaye CCI indicator par ek bearish divergence nazar aa raha hai jo ek palatne ki peshingoi hai. Pichle hafte giravat ko phir se vikasit karne mein kamiyabi haasil nahi hui lekin aane wale dino mein bhav giravat ki ummeed hai. Aam taur par, agar pichla mahina bada aur ek dishavak tha toh naye mahine ke aghaz mein bhav purane mein gehra jaata hai. Yehi haal hai ek correction bas maang raha hai. Kharidne wale abhi tak bhav ko is saal ke maximum ke peeche phekne mein kamiyab rahe, jo pehle July mein banaya gaya tha, aur yeh jagah ek potenshial bechne ki zone hai. Bhav ne jo chaha woh kar diya, chahe kitni bhi koshish ki gayi ho usse barhne se rokne ki, phir bhi usne dabke aage badha aur is top ko naye kar diya. Mool currency pairs zyada tar US dollar ke mazboot ho jane ke baad correction karne ki zyada rujhan mein nazar aati hain. Mere khayal se, wazeh hai ke bhav abhi kamzor ho chuka hai aur apni neeche ki correction karega. Mera andaza hai ke hum kam se kam 1.3793 ke horizontal support level tak gir sakte hain, phir dekhte hain. Giravat shuru ho chuki hai, haqeeqat mein, haalaanki American elections aage hain aur ek tezi se uthan aur top ko naye karne ke surpirse bhi ho sakta hai, aur phir ek giravat.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

USDCAD Boost Hone Wala hai

USD/CAD ki price Tuesday ke European session mein key psychological level 1.3900 ke neeche tight range mein consolidate kar rahi hai. US Dollar (USD) ki kamzori ke bawajood, yeh price bhi underperform kar rahi hai, jo ke pair ko sideways movement mein phansaye hue hai. Yeh behavior is baat ka ishara deta hai ke CAD ko USD ki softness ka faida nahi mil raha, jo Canadian currency mein kuch underlying weakness ki taraf ishara karta hai.
Is waqt pair ka immediate resistance 1.3900 level par hai, jo ke halia sessions mein paar karna mushkil sabit hua hai. Downside mein, 1.3840 ka support USD ke liye short term mein crucial hai. Agar yeh level hold nahi hota, tou pair mein further girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, aur 1.3800 ka region next significant support zone ban sakta hai. Traders in levels ko closely monitor karenge, kyunke kisi bhi direction mein break market sentiment mein shift ka ishara ho sakta hai.

US CPI Data aur USD par uska Asar:

Taza tareen US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ne market ke liye mixed signals diye hain. Jabke overall consumer price index mein slow down ki taraf ishara hai, jo ke inflation ke ease hone ka potential darshaata hai, lekin core CPI figures mein persistent inflationary pressures hain. Yeh darshaata hai ke underlying inflation ab bhi sticky hai, jis se Federal Reserve (Fed) ke aane wale meeting mein 50 basis points (bps) ke rate cut ke chances kam ho jate hain. Fed ka cautious rehna aur rate cuts mein jaldi na karne ka stance US Treasury bond yields mein izafa kar raha hai, jo USD ko support de raha hai aur usay monthly highs ke qareeb la raha hai.

Bank of Canada (BoC) ki Policy Outlook par Market ka Focus:

Jaise jaise dollar mazboot ho raha hai, investors ka focus upcoming Bank of Canada (BoC) ke Governor Tiff Macklem ki speech par shift ho raha hai, jisme expected hai ke central bank ki monetary policy outlook ke hawalay se insight milegi jo ke saal ke baqi hisson mein follow ki jayegi. June se BoC ne pehle hi interest rates mein 75 basis points ki kami ki hai, jis ne benchmark rate ko 4.25% tak gira diya hai. Ongoing economic challenges ke madde nazar, ye speculation barh rahi hai ke BoC ko economic growth ko support karne aur slowdown ke risk ko kam karne ke liye additional rate cuts ki zaroorat par sakti hai.

USD/CAD ki Technical Analysis:

Pair abhi bhi 1.3900 level se neeche hai, aur is waqt 1.3850 range ke lower boundary ko test kar raha hai, jo ke halia sessions mein support raha hai. Traders is level ko potential breaks ke liye closely monitor kar rahe hain. Global economic challenges ke bawajood, Canadian Dollar ko kuch marginal support mila hai stronger risk appetite aur rising crude oil prices ke sabab se, jisne market sentiment ko uski taraf thora favor mein badal diya hai. Natija ye hai ke USD/CAD ka fair value ab niche gir ke 1.3841 par aa gaya hai.



Chart par dekha jaye tou price mein kuch resilience ke asaar hain, lekin short-term charts par US Dollar (USD) ko 1.3840 level par solid support milta hai. Trend indicators intraday timeframes par ab bhi bullish hain, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggest karta hai ke USD abhi tak apni recent gains se peeche hattne ke liye tayar nahi hai. CAD ke liye significant ground gain karne ke liye zaroori hai ke woh 1.3800 support level ko break kare. Agar successful breach ho jata hai tou ye deeper pullback trigger kar sakta hai 1.3788 region ki taraf, jahan additional technical support pair ke liye floor provide kar sakta hai.

Is haftay ki trading period ke doran UsdCad market mein jo mujhe position nazar aa rahi hai wo abhi bhi seller ke control mein hai ya phir downward correction ka samna kar raha hai jo ke pehle weeks ke market situation se mukhtalif hai. Weekly time frame ke hawalay se pichle haftay bullish candlestick ka formation huwa hai jo mere khayal mein yeh signal de raha hai ke price ab bhi upward trend par hai. Iss haftay ka market period position 0.9686 se shuru huwa, aur ab tak price thora bohot rally karke position 1.3899 tak pohanch gayi hai.

Agar hum 4-hour time frame chart par market ke development ko dekhein, tou mujhe lagta hai ke agle kuch dinon mein market bullish side par chalne ka mauqa rakhta hai, kam az kam UsdCad pair ke liye mazeed izafa ke chances hain. Mera tajziya ye hai ke price mazeed upar jaana chahegi aur significant impact ko trigger karne mein kamiyab hogi taa ke candlestick 100-period simple moving average zone se door higher ja sake.

Choti time frame se dekha jaye, yaani 4 hours, toh market abhi consolidate kar rahi hai jo ke lagta hai ke strong momentum ka intezar kar rahi hai taa ke apni journey ko uptrend side ke sath continue kar sake. Kuch upar diye gaye explanations ko dekhte hue, hum yeh conclusion nikaal sakte hain ke trading ke liye aane wale waqt mein aisa lagta hai ke UsdChf pair ki price ko mazeed bullish journey ka mauqa milega aur target around 1.3946 zone par set kiya ja sakta hai. Agar yeh target zone penetrate ho gaya, tou buyer ke liye expect hai ke wo price ko 1.4000 zone par test karna chahega.