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  • #16 Collapse

    Forex ke USD/JPY Prices ko Samajhna

    Main USD/JPY currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko real-time mein examine kar raha tha. Main dollar-yen pair ko four-hour chart par analyze kar raha hoon. Yeh pair uske second profit-taking ke baad increase hui hai, buyer jo actively grow hota hua profit le raha hai. Lekin, previous correction highs ko update karne ke baad koi significant profit-taking nahi hui. Instead, yeh pair restraint ke baghair grow hui, aur week ke end par ek zyada substantial pullback dekha gaya. Pair ne support level 160.756 ko touch kiya, jo suggest karta hai ke yeh support se rise karke resistance 164.318 tak ja sakta hai. Maine Friday ko accurately bearish pullback predict kiya tha resistance line of ascending channel se breakdown area around 160.115 tak. Lekin, short position open karne se pehle, maine "bullish doji" ka intezar kiya channel ke resistance line ki taraf, ek possible puncture ke baad pullback anticipate karte hue.



    Mujhe ek theory encounter hui suggesting ke latecomers jo long positions open kar rahe hain market mein, unke recruitment se trend ke sath further long positions ban jati hain. Is market perspective ke base par aur channel resistance zone mein ek bearish divergence ke darmiyan, maine apni sell limit ko chhupaya aur trading setup ka intezar kiya. Unfortunately, expected movement materialize nahi hui, aur market channel resistance strength ko test kiye baghair pullback ke liye reverse hui. Maine hastily market enter karne se bachne ki koshish ki aur cautious raha. Consequently, jab maine Friday ko bearish pullback ko correctly identify kiya, maine usse trade nahi kiya, aur pura decline market ke bahar observe kiya. Mujhe price ko 160.06 level ke neeche secure na karne ka afsos hai. Lekin, main acknowledge karta hoon ke shayad maine zyada intezar kiya, aur sab kuch itni jaldi unfold nahi hota. Thus, main apni outlook on the downward movement ko maintain karta hoon, yeh mante hue ke ab humein growth cycle ke correction movement par focus karna chahiye from 154.57 to 161.97. Agar yeh reasoning hold karti hai, toh humein 38.2 level (159.14) ka test dekhne ko milna chahiye.
     
    • <a href="https://www.instaforex.org/ru/?x=ruforum">InstaForex</a>
    • #17 Collapse

      **T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S**
      **U S D / J P Y**

      Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko! Technical analysis ke liye maine USD/JPY ko choose kiya hai. Chaliye seedha chart par chalte hain aur market movement ke current condition ka jaiza lete hain. Writing ke waqt USD/JPY 146.52 par trade kar raha hai. Pichle Wednesday ko USD/JPY prices mein ek significant move dekha gaya. Price movement ek bearish trend mein hai jo sellers ka confidence boost karta hai. Market mein bearish flow ke sath chalna behtar hai. USD/JPY pair mein downward movement ka mauqa abhi bhi kaafi bara hai kyun ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator abhi bhi 20 level se neeche reading show kar raha hai, jo ke market conditions ke bearish hone ka matlab hai. Sath hi, hum isse moving average convergence divergence (MACD) sell signal se confirm kar sakte hain; filhal indicator zero line se neeche hai, toh jab MACD negative momentum show karta hai, hum sell trades add karte hain. Neeche diye gaye chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke USD/JPY moving average line MA (50) se neeche trade kar raha hai.

      **Chart Analysis:**
      [USDJPYDaily.png](USDJPYDaily.png)


      Upside par, 148.88 temporary resistance banata hai jo 154.73 se pehle hai. Uske baad, price agle resistance level 161.91 tak pahunch jata hai jo 3rd level of resistance hai. Dusri taraf, downside par, 141.86 temporary support banata hai jo 137.24 se pehle hai jo 2nd level of support hai. Bearish trend tab tak continue karta hai jab tak support level validly break nahi hota. Uske baad, agar market price mazeed decrease karta hai, toh yeh 133.69 support barrier ko touch karega jo 3rd level of support hai. In tamam maloomat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko correction ke baad ek solid buy entry point ya sell entry point dhoondne ki encouragement di jati hai. Neeche diya gaya graph is investigation ke mazeed tafseelat provide karta hai.

      **Graph Analysis:**
      [USDJPYDaily.png](USDJPYDaily.png)
      • <a href="https://www.instaforex.org/ru/?x=ruforum">InstaForex</a>
      • #18 Collapse

        USD/JPY Currency Pair ka Halat


        USD/JPY currency pair abhi 146.52 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek bearish trend ko zahir karta hai. Yeh trend traders aur analysts dono ke liye tawajju ka markaz bana hua hai. Market ki slow pace ke bawajood, kuch aise factors hain jo is baat ki nishandahi karte hain ke aane wale dinon mein significant movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Is analysis mein un economic indicators, market sentiment, aur geopolitical asraat ka jaiza liya gaya hai jo aglay kuch dino mein anticipated volatility ko drive kar sakte hain.

        Economic Indicators

        1. U.S. Economic Data: U.S. economy ka USD/JPY exchange rate par kafi asar hota hai. GDP growth, non-farm payrolls, aur inflation rates jaise key indicators ko market participants closely dekhte hain. Haal hi mein U.S. se aane wale mixed economic data ne USD par bearish pressure dala hai. Agar aane wale reports mein economic weakness, khaaskar job growth ya consumer spending mein kamzori ka ishara milta hai, to ye USD par aur bhi bojh dal sakta hai aur USD/JPY pair ko mazid neeche le ja sakta hai.

        2. Japan ki Economic Outlook: Japan ki economic outlook bhi is pair ko mutasir karti hai. Japanese yen ko global uncertainty ke doran safe-haven flows ka faida hota hai. Japan ki economic growth modest rahi hai, lekin agar kisi taraqqi, jaise ke industrial production ya inflation mein behtari ka ishara milta hai, to ye yen ko dollar ke mukablay mein mazid mazboot kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Bank of Japan ki monetary policy stance bhi aik critical factor hai. Agar policy mein tightening ya kam accommodative stance ki taraf shift hoti hai, to ye yen ke liye mazid support faraham kar sakti hai, jo USD/JPY mein bearish trend ko mazid mazboot karegi.

        Market Sentiment

        1. Risk Aversion: Market sentiment abhi risk aversion ki taraf hai, jo ke yen ko safe-haven status ki wajah se support faraham karta hai. Global economic uncertainties, jaise ke major economies mein slowing growth aur persistent inflationary pressures, ne investors ko safer assets ki taraf rujoo karne par majboor kiya hai. Is sentiment shift ne USD/JPY pair par downward pressure dala hai, kyun ke yen ki demand dollar ke mukablay mein barh rahi hai.

        2. Technical Analysis: Technical perspective se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair abhi key moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Pair ka resistance levels ke upar break na karna, aur lower highs aur lower lows ka banana, yeh suggest karta hai ke downward trend mazeed barqarar reh sakta hai. Traders is technical indicators par nazar rakhen ge, taake weakness ya potential reversal ke signs ko identify kar sakein.

        Geopolitical Factors

        1. U.S.-China Relations:Geopolitical tensions, khaaskar U.S. aur China ke darmiyan, USD/JPY pair par kafi asar daal sakti hain. Agar trade disputes ya diplomatic conflicts mein izafa hota hai, to yeh market volatility ko barha sakta hai, jo ke yen ki demand ko safe-haven asset ke tor par mazid barha dega. Geopolitical landscape ko closely dekhna zaroori hai.

        2. Global Energy Prices:Global energy prices, khaaskar oil ki fluctuations, USD/JPY exchange rate ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Japan, jo ke oil ka bara importer hai, energy costs ke changes se kafi mutasir hota hai. Agar oil prices barhte hain, to yeh yen par bojh dal sakte hain, jabke girawat is ko support kar sakti hai, magar ye sab broader market context par mabni hoga.

        Conclusion

        USD/JPY currency pair jo ke abhi 146.52 par trade kar raha hai, bearish pressure mein hai, jo ke economic indicators, market sentiment, aur geopolitical factors ke mix se influence ho raha hai. Market ki slow movement ke bawajood, yeh underlying elements is baat ki nishandahi karte hain ke aane wale waqt mein significant volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Traders ko upcoming economic data, market sentiment mein shifts, aur geopolitical developments par gahri nazar rakhni chahiye taake potential trading opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein. Effective risk management aur technical aur fundamental analysis par mazid tawajju dena bohot zaroori hoga taake anticipated market movements ko navigate kar sakein.


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