Gbp/usd

GBP/USD
British Pound (GBP) ko Tuesday ko significant losses ka samna karna para jab traders mid-week economic data releases ke liye prepare kar rahe the. Yeh decline un crucial local economic data releases ke pehle aya jo UK aur US dono se expected hain, aur jo investor sentiment aur currency valuation par considerable impact daal sakti hain. Ek major event calendar par hai S&P Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) activity figures ka release. UK Wednesday ko apne PMI results announce karega, jahan analysts services sector mein slight recovery ki anticipation kar rahe hain. UK ka services PMI June mein saat mahine ke low 52.1 par drop hua tha, lekin market ab modest improvement forecast kar rahi hai jo 52.5 tak ho sakta hai.

Atlantic ke us paar, US bhi apne July services PMI data release karega. Yahan, ek slight decline anticipated hai, June ke 55.3 se girkar July mein 54.4 tak. Yeh potential slowdown US economic growth ke concerns ko badha raha hai aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke possibility ko, jo September mein ho sakta hai. Global markets is rate reduction ka besabri se intezar kar rahi hain, jahan traders lagbhag guarantee quarter-point cut ko price kar rahe hain jo Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting mein September 18 ko decide ho sakta hai. Yeh expectation further US economy indicators ko monitor karne par based hai.

Data ka silsila week ke dauran jari rahega, jab US Thursday ko apna highly anticipated second-quarter GDP update release karega. Economists predict kar rahe hain ke annual GDP growth mein slight increase hoga, jo 1.9% tak pohanch sakta hai, compared to last quarter ke figure 1.4%. Week ka conclusion US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index ke release ke sath hoga, jo ek key inflation gauge hai. Analysts expect kar rahe hain ke core PCE inflation mein further drop dekha jaayega, jo June ke 2.6% se girkar 2.5% tak aa sakti hai.

GBP/USD pair ab downward pressure mein hai, jahan traders closely support levels ko monitor kar rahe hain jo 1.2860-1.2890 ke aas paas hain. Agar yeh zone break hota hai, to steep decline initiate ho sakti hai, jo shayad 50-day simple moving average 1.2760 aur ek uptrending line ke aas paas 1.2740 tak pohanch sakti hai. Ulta, agar 1.2890 price point ke aas paas rebound hota hai, to potential upswing indicate ho sakta hai, jo pair ko previous highs 1.3045 ke aas paas retest karne ka mauka de sakta hai. Agar positive momentum maintained rehta hai, to yeh July 2023 ke peak 1.3140 ko bhi challenge kar sakta hai.

In conclusion, aane wale din high-impact economic data releases se bhare honge jo GBP/USD exchange rate ko significantly influence karenge. Attention PMI figures, GDP growth, aur inflation data par hogi, jo investor sentiment ko impact kar sakti hain aur currency movements ko drive kar sakti hain.

GBP/USD pair technical analysis:

US dollar ki qeemat us waqt kam hui jab aik weekly survey ne dikhaya ke US unemployment benefits maangne walon ki tadaad barh gayi, magar selling ka rujhan us waqt peak par tha jab ISM survey ne services sector mein unexpected tez girawat dikhai. Iska nateeja yeh nikla ke British pound ki qeemat US dollar ke muqable mein 1.2777 resistance level par ponch gayi, jo ke do hafton se ziada ka buland tareen level tha, aur phir Thursday ke aghaz mein 1.2740 level ke qareeb settle ho gayi, ek American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ke intezar ke darmiyan.

Economic calendar ke nateejon ke mutabiq... US ISM Services PMI June mein 48.8% tak ponch gaya, jo ke activity mein contraction ka ishara hai, May ke 53.8% se neeche. Yeh girawat expectations ke muqable mein significant thi kyunke consensus ne 52.5% ka andaza lagaya tha. Kul mila kar, service companies American economy ka sab se bara sector hai. Markets is loss ke peemane par react kar rahe hain aur yeh bet lagaya ja raha hai ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates cut karne ke liye khud ko confident mehsoos karega. Jawab mein, US bond yields gir gayi, dollar ki qeemat kam hui, aur stock prices barh gayi.

ISM report ne dikhaya ke US companies jo naye orders ke barhne ki umeed kar rahe the, woh 47.3% tak gir gayi, jo ke Great Financial Crisis ke baad sab se kam level tha aur 2001 ki mandi se bhi neeche tha. Price index ne June mein 56.3% record kiya, jo ke May ke 58.1% se 1.8 percentage points kam tha. Ispar tajziya karte hue, ING Bank ke analysts ne kaha: "Yeh zaroor September mein Fed ke liye rate cut karne ka mauqa mazboot banata hai kyunke yeh weak growth, slowing inflation, aur deteriorating jobs market ke saare boxes tick karta hai." "Fed ek mandi paida karna nahi chahta agar usse bacha ja sakta hai."

Kal, US Labor Department ne report kiya ke nayi unemployment benefits maangne walon ki tadaad pichhle hafte 4,000 se barh kar 238,000 tak ponch gayi. Consensus forecast 235 hazaar ke level ka andaza lagaya gaya tha. Apni taraf se, US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne Tuesday ko kaha ke agar labor market kharab hota hai to interest rates kam karne ka ek mauqa hai. Yeh ek signal tha ke Fed inflation ko 2.0% target par moderate karne se pehle interest rates cut karne par khula hoga.

Iska matlab yeh hai ke jobs market par bohot zyada bojh hai ke woh interest rate cuts paida kare jo bohot se US households, businesses, aur investors chah rahe hain.

GBP/USD forecast aaj ke liye:

Jaisa ke pehle kaha gaya, GBP/USD price ka 1.2775 resistance ke upar stabilize hona bulls ko mazeed upar ki taraf movement karne mein madad dega. Mazeed bullish control ke liye agla stop 1.2830 hoga, aur phir baat chalegi ke 1.3000 psychological resistance area par wapas jaa sakein. Yeh tab mumkin hoga jab US job numbers kamzor hon aur British parliamentary elections ke nateejon se sterling par yaqeen wapas aaye. Doosri taraf, isi dauran daily chart par, 1.2600 ka support level bears ke control ke liye sab se aham rahega.

GBP/USD Pair Analysis

Aakhri Rate Harkatain

GBP/USD currency pair ne pichle char hafton se lagatar dabao ka samna kiya hai, jiski wajah se yeh six-week low tak gir gaya hai, jo ke 1.2600 ke aas paas hai. Is girawat ki wajah kuch aham factors hain, jinmein UK general elections jo 4 July ko hain aur US Nonfarm Payrolls data release jo 5 July ko hoga, shamil hain. Yeh events currency pair ke liye naye direction cues provide kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD ko Asar Dene Wale Ahm Factors

Siyasi Adam Itminan:
- UK General Elections: Anay wale UK general elections ne market mein ghamasan aur volatility ko barhawa diya hai. Siyasi events aksar market speculation ka sabab bante hain, aur election ka nateeja pound ki taqat par aham asar dal sakta hai, new hukoomat ki istiqlal aur iqtisadi policies ke mutabiq.

Iqtisadi Indicators:
- US Nonfarm Payrolls: US Nonfarm Payrolls data ka release 5 July ko ek aham iqtisadi event hai traders ke liye. Yeh data US labor market ke bare mein insights faraham karta hai aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke faisalon ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Aik mazboot Nonfarm Payrolls report aam tor par US dollar ko barhawa deti hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair par mazeed dabao daal sakti hai.

Technical Analysis

Support aur Resistance Levels:
- Foran Support: GBP/USD pair ke liye foran support level 1.2600 ke aas paas hai. Agar pair is level se neeche girta hai, to yeh mazeed bearish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai aur mazeed girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai.
- Aham Resistance: Upar ki taraf, pair ko 1.2750 ke aas paas resistance ka samna hai. Is resistance level ke upar break hona recent downtrend ka reversal indicate kar sakta hai aur bullish traders ke liye targets faraham kar sakta hai.

Moving Averages:
- Short-Term MAs: Filhal, pair apne short-term moving averages se neeche trade kar raha hai hourly aur daily charts par, jo bearish momentum ka ishara de raha hai. Yeh moving averages dynamic resistance levels ka kaam kar sakte hain.
- Long-Term MAs: Long-term moving averages bhi downward trend ko zahir karte hain, jo ke overall bearish outlook ko mazid reinforce karte hain.

Fundamental Analysis

Market Sentiment:
- Bearish Sentiment: Filhal GBP/USD pair ke liye overall market sentiment bearish hai, jo ke UK mein siyasi adam itminan aur US se strong iqtisadi data ki umeedon se driven hai.
- Central Bank Policies: Bank of England (BoE) aur Federal Reserve ke darmiyan ikhtilafiyat bhi pair ko mutasir karte hain. Fed strong iqtisadi data ki wajah se tightening ka ishara de sakti hai, jabke BoE siyasi aur iqtisadi adam itminan ko madde nazar rakhte hue ziyada ehtiyat se kaam le sakti hai.

Trading Strategy

Halaat aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, traders ko in strategies ko madde nazar rakhna chahiye:
- Aham Events Par Nazar Rakhen: UK general elections aur US Nonfarm Payrolls data par nazar rakhen, kyunki yeh events GBP/USD pair ke liye significant volatility aur directional cues faraham kar sakte hain.
- Aham Levels Par Tawajjo: 1.2600 ke foran support level aur 1.2750 ke resistance level par tawajjo den. Support ke neeche break further girawat ka signal ho sakta hai, jabke resistance ke upar break reversal indicate kar sakti hai.
- Risk Management: Risk ko manage karne ke liye tight stop-loss orders lagayen. Short positions ke liye, stop-loss orders 1.2750 resistance level ke upar rakhain. Long positions ke liye, stop-loss orders 1.2600 support level ke neeche set karen.
- Fundamentals Se Updated Rahen: Iqtisadi data releases aur siyasi developments se updated rahna zaroori hai, kyunki yeh pair ki movement ko mutasir kar sakte hain.

Nateejah

GBP/USD pair filhal siyasi adam itminan aur US se strong iqtisadi data ki umeedon ki wajah se dabao mein hai. Aham support aur resistance levels, aur anay wale events, pair ke agle move ko tay karne mein ahm role ada karenge. Traders ko in factors par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye aur possible volatility ko handle karne ke liye effective risk management strategies ko apnana chahiye.

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**Trading ke liye News**

Aaj high-impact news hai jo mukhtalif currencies se related hai. Saath hi kuch low aur medium-impact news bhi hai. Is area aur kisi bhi currency pair jo in currencies se related hai, mein zyada volatility honay ki umeed hai. Traders ko is baat ka khayal rakhna chahiye aur trading ke doran achi money management skills ka istemal karna chahiye. Forex market mein trading ke liye ehtiyaat se kaam lena zaroori hai. Aaj ki available news ke baare mein zyada maloomat ke liye niche diye gaye tasveer ko dekhen.

**GBPUSD Analysis**

Kal GBPUSD pair ne high levels par trade kiya aur din ke akhir mein 1.2855 ke aas-paas band hua. Aaj, yeh 1.2860 ke price level ki taraf upward move kar raha hai. Hourly chart ko dekhen to yeh nazar aata hai ke GBPUSD moving average line MA (200) H1 ke neeche trade kar raha hai jo 1.2890 par hai. Chaar ghante ke chart par bhi GBPUSD moving average line MA (200) H4 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Is surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, traders ko correction ke baad achi sell entry point dhoondhne ki salahiyat di ja rahi hai. Picture aur chart niche zyada behtar maloomat dete hain.

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**Trading ke liye News**

Aaj high-impact news hai jo mukhtalif currencies se related hai. Saath hi kuch low aur medium-impact news bhi hai. Is area aur kisi bhi currency pair jo in currencies se related hai, mein zyada volatility honay ki umeed hai. Traders ko is baat ka khayal rakhna chahiye aur trading ke doran achi money management skills ka istemal karna chahiye. Forex market mein trading ke liye ehtiyaat se kaam lena zaroori hai. Aaj ki available news ke baare mein zyada maloomat ke liye niche diye gaye tasveer ko dekhen.

**GBPUSD Analysis**

Kal GBPUSD pair ne high levels par trade kiya aur din ke akhir mein 1.2855 ke aas-paas band hua. Aaj, yeh 1.2860 ke price level ki taraf upward move kar raha hai. Hourly chart ko dekhen to yeh nazar aata hai ke GBPUSD moving average line MA (200) H1 ke neeche trade kar raha hai jo 1.2890 par hai. Chaar ghante ke chart par bhi GBPUSD moving average line MA (200) H4 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Is surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, traders ko correction ke baad achi sell entry point dhoondhne ki salahiyat di ja rahi hai. Picture aur chart niche zyada behtar maloomat dete hain.

GBP/USD karansi pair ka price behavior analysis ke mutabiq, yeh pair jald hi upar move kar sakta hai, jo ke USD ke weakening ke technical reasons ki wajah se hai. Market weak USD ko pasand karta hai, magar yeh temporarily strengthen ho raha hai. Agar upcoming American session is pair ko bullish channel mein push karta hai, toh hum ek solid upward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke bearish range 1.3041 se cover karega. Iss scenario mein ek critical resistance level 1.2963 hoga, jab ke hum stable increase dekhainge kuch dinon tak. Agar buying trend follow karne ka koi reason nahi hai aur chart niche move karta hai, toh hum 1.2838 par support expect karte hain, jo ke fall ki taraf correction ho sakta hai. Yeh poora reversal lead kar sakta hai, jahan market anticipated growth ke bajaye direction change karega. Four-hour chart par, indicators bearish hain, jo selling ko higher priority option banate hain. Magar, pair phir se average Bollinger band ke niche se kareeb aaya hai, is liye short positions kholne se pehle confirmation ka intezar karna acha hoga.
Agar bulls price ko resistance levels, khaaskar 1.2879 se upar push karte hain, toh yeh bullish trend confirm karega aur strong upward movement indicate karega. Yeh naye highs ki taraf le ja sakta hai aur profitable opportunities provide kar sakta hai un traders ko jo buy side par positioned hain. Ulta, agar price resistance ko break karne mein fail hoti hai aur instead support levels ki taraf girti hai, toh yeh potential reversal ya consolidation phase indicate kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD ka market currently bullish hai, jahan pair ek pivotal point ke kareeb hai. Support levels 1.2835, 1.28173, aur 1.2852 buying interest offer karte hain, jab ke resistance levels 1.2879, 1.2862, aur 1.2852 ko overcome karna hoga bullish trend ke continue karne ke liye. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur market movements ke mutabiq adapt karna chahiye, taake profitable trading aim kar sakein.

GBP/USD H-4

Kal GBPUSD pair ke mutaliq meine likha tha ke support level 1.2860 se neeche girne ke bawajood, 1.2750 ka test karne ke chances zyada nahi hain, pehle din se bhi kam. Aur pair ne neeche jhukhne ki koshish nahi ki, woh 1.2800 se neeche nahi ja saka, phir Fed rate pe rebound hua, meine positions average karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki aur kuch dollars ka minimum profit le kar decide kiya ke abhi pair ko dekhte rahoonga. Rate ke upar growth bhi nahi hui, shaayad aaj targets kaam kar lein, aur target 1.2970 ke rollback ke liye ab bhi zaroori hai, isliye pair ka aaj growth hona mumkin hai, aur kal ke liye set kiye hue targets ka kaam karna bhi.

GBPUSD pair growth ko return karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur resistance 1.2860 ko todne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke itni kamiyabi se nahi ho raha. Shayad aaj ek aur koshish hogi south 1.2750 jane ki, magar aaj pehle do dinon ke muqablay ye probability hai. Aur agar woh week ka minimum update kar sakain, to mein yeh tasavvur karoonga ke pair 1.2750 tak pohanch jayega. Mein breakout ki umeed nahi karta aur zyadah mumkin hai ke 1.2750 se reversal ho kar growth 1.2970 tak ho jaye, magar is hafte ka target north ki taraf nahi pohanchayega. Agar pair resistance 1.2860 ko tod kar kuch ghanton ke liye consolidate kar sakta hai, to ECB rate asaani se upward impulse 1.2970 tak set kar sakta hai, magar yeh target ek din ke liye door hai, isliye mujhe lagta hai ke hum target ko kal ya raat 24:00 ke baad test karenge.

**GBP/USD H-1 Analysis**
Currently, GBP/USD is trading flat at 1.28524. According to the Instaforex indicator, there is an even distribution between bulls and bears, with bulls at 50.11%. The indicator also suggests a northward trend. Important news includes the Bank of England interest rate decision, a speech by Governor Bailey, and final data on the Manufacturing Business Activity Index from the UK. From the US, initial jobless claims and the manufacturing business activity index will be significant. Technically, the pair may initially adjust south to the 1.2785 level before heading north to 1.2990.

**GBP/USD H-4 Analysis**

During the Asian session, GBP/USD remained relatively unchanged and is trading within a tight range due to low volatility, awaiting the Bank of England's interest rate decision. Investors expect a softening in monetary policy. The release of the manufacturing business activity index is scheduled for 11:30 Moscow time. The focus will also be on US market openings and data. Limited movement is expected in the first half of the day with a downside sentiment prevailing. A reversal point is anticipated at 1.2895, with potential sell targets at 1.2785 and 1.2735. If the pair rises above 1.2895 and consolidates, it could open the way to 1.2935 and 1.2945, where another selling opportunity may arise.

**Translation in Roman Urdu:**

**GBP/USD H-1 Analysis**

Is waqt GBP/USD 1.28524 par flat trade kar raha hai. Instaforex indicator ke mutabiq, bulls aur bears ka even distribution hai, bulls 50.11% hain. Indicator ne northward trend bhi show kiya hai. Ahem khabron mein Bank of England ka interest rate decision, Governor Bailey ka speech, aur UK ke manufacturing business activity index ka final data shamil hai. US se, initial jobless claims aur manufacturing business activity index bhi significant honge. Technically, pair shayad initially south ko adjust kare 1.2785 level tak phir north ko jaye 1.2990 tak.

**GBP/USD H-4 Analysis**

Asian session ke dauran, GBP/USD lagbhag unchanged raha aur tight range mein trade kar raha hai low volatility ki wajah se, Bank of England ke interest rate decision ka intizaar hai. Investors monetary policy mein softening ki umeed kar rahe hain. Manufacturing business activity index ka release 11:30 Moscow time par schedule hai. Focus US market openings aur data par bhi rahega. Pehle half mein limited movement expect hai with downside sentiment prevailing. Reversal point 1.2895 par anticipate kiya ja raha hai, potential sell targets 1.2785 aur 1.2735 hain. Agar pair 1.2895 se upar jata hai aur consolidate karta hai, to 1.2935 aur 1.2945 ka rasta khul sakta hai, jahan se dusri selling opportunity ho sakti hai.

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GBPUSD market ab ek resistance aur support level ke darmiyan hai. Ye level 1.2852 hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke GBPUSD aaj bullish trend ko follow karega. Ye 1.2875 level ko break kar sakta hai. Isliye, yahan buy order place karna aur apne target ko daily high ke upar set karna chahiye. UK session ke doran market ka movement dekhna zaroori hai, lekin bullish sentiment clear hai jo indicate karta hai ke market ooncha ja sakta hai aur 1.2875 level ko break kar sakta hai.

General taur par, ye ek significant resistance aur support level ke beech mein hai. Ye midpoint 1.2852 crucial hai kyunki ye sellers aur buyers dono ko apni positions majboot karne ki ijaazat deta hai. Aaj ke indicators bullish trend ko suggest karte hain. Meri analysis kehti hai ke GBPUSD market rise karne ke liye tayar hai aur shayad 1.2875 level ko break karega. Is upward movement ka expectation market ke current momentum aur bullish sentiment se hai.

Isliye, bullish outlook ko madde nazar rakhtay hue buy order place karna aur targets ko daily high ke upar set karna ahem hai. Ye strategy isliye hai ke market ka clear bullish sentiment hai. Targets ko daily high ke upar set karne se traders ko expected upward movement se faida uthana aur apne gains maximize karne ka mauqa milega. UK session ke movements ko monitor karna zaroori hoga, kyunki ye market ke direction ki further confirmation provide karega. Clear bullish trend indicate karta hai ke GBPUSD market ooncha ja sakta hai aur 1.2875 level ko break kar sakta hai.
apni positions majboot karne ki ijaazat deta hai. Aaj ke indicators bullish trend ko suggest karte hain. Meri analysis kehti hai ke GBPUSD market rise karne ke liye tayar hai aur shayad 1.2875 level ko break karega. Is upward movement ka expectation market ke current momentum aur bullish sentiment se hai.

Isliye, bullish outlook ko madde
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GBP:USD:M15:
Sab ko achi din ki dua! M15 chart. Linear regression channel downward state mein hai, jo sellers ki strength ko darshata hai. Faida southern direction mein hai, jo channel ke lower edge 1.28132 ki taraf ja raha hai. Main 1.28841 ke level se sales par ghoor kar raha hoon, jo bulls ko rokna chahiye, warna movement ke deeper correction ki chance badh jaayegi, jo 1.28725 tak jaa sakti hai. Target tak pahunchnay ke baad sales se ruk jana chahiye, kyunki M15 ki movement ki volatility khatam ho jaayegi, jo ek reverse upward movement ka sabab banega. Iss surat mein niche rehna sahi hai, villages. Zyada behtar hai ke rollback ke liye upper border of the channel ka intezaar karein, jisse market entry ki cost kam ho jayegi aur channel se signal milne ki chances bhi kam ho jayenge.

GBP/USD market trading mein, buy order ke sath profit target 20-30 pips ka hona ek strategic approach hai. Lekin, news events par nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo market dynamics ko affect kar sakte hain. US news events high volatility ke liye jaane jaate hain aur GBP/USD market ko kuch minutes mein significant influence kar sakte hain. In developments par updated reh kar, traders apne strategies ko quickly adjust kar sakte hain taake risks ko minimize kar sakein aur opportunities ka faida utha sakein. Price baad mein 1.2884 ke resistance zone ko cross kar sakti hai. Daily ya weekly time charts ka istemal bhi ongoing practice honi chahiye. Market conditions jaldi badal sakti hain, aur charts aur patterns ko continuously monitor karna zaroori hai taake potential trading opportunities ko identify kiya ja sake.

Tuesday ko Asian market session mein sellers ne apni current bearish momentum ko maintain karne ke liye koshish ki aur buyers ke bullish efforts ko rokne ke liye dynamic resistance area ko mazboot kiya jo 1.2864-1.2865 ke price par tha. Bearish seller ka target GBPUSD pair price ko niche ki taraf push karna hai, jo buyer support area 1.2815-1.2810 ko penetrate karke further bearish opportunity open karega, agla target buyer demand support area 1.2770-1.2765 ki taraf hoga.

GBP/USD technical analysis

Pichle mahine ke trading ke high ke nazdeek positive close ne pichle hafte ke trading mein mazeed buying ka ishara diya. GBP/USD ne is mahine aik bullish pattern develop kiya, jo pivot level 1.2770 se upar aur price channels ke lower line par trade kar raha hai. Pichle do mahine se price channels mein upward trend raha hai. Jaise hi price ne apne aap ko base kiya aur ascending blue channel line se support mila, hum ne mahine ke pehle dinon mein monthly pivot level ke ird gird sideways movement dekha, jo aik ascent ke sath khatam hui jab price resistance level 1.2790 tak pohanch gayi, jo pichle hafte successfully break hui aur upar close hui. Agle hafte ke liye, hamara gold ke liye naya target monthly resistance level 1.2850 hai. Price movements agle hafte mein do tareeqon se mumkin hain.



Pehla tareeqa yeh hai ke current level se seedha rise ho, jahan price 1.2870 level tak rise kar sakti hai, red channel ko upar break karke, phir broken channel ko retest karte hue wapas 1.2820 level tak upar ja sakti hai. Dusra imkaniyat yeh hai ke agle hafte ke shuruwat mein price blue channel line ke qareeb 1.2750 level tak correction karegi, phir wapas upar jaane ke liye red channel ko break karke 1.2865 level tak continue karegi. Jo traders pair ko agle kuch ghanton mein sell karne mein dilchaspi rakhte hain, sirf tabhi kar sakte hain jab price 1.2825 se neeche gir jaye, jahan daily chart sell signal dikhata hai, jabke 1-hour chart support ke break hone ko dikhata hai.

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis: Key Level And Market Trend

GBP/USD currency pair ne haali mein mixed performance dikhayi hai, jahan dollar non-farm payroll data ke release ke baad tezi se kamzor hua. Is shuruati kami ke bawajood, buyers price ko upar le jaane mein mushkilat ka samna kar rahe hain, jaise ke aaj subah kuch khas movement nahi dikhayi de rahi. Agar buyers ko momentum milna hai aur price ko upar le jaana hai, to unhein 1.28394 ke upar break karke is level ko barqarar rakhna hoga. Is level ko successful break karne ke baad agla key target 1.28637 hoga.

Agar price 1.28637 ke upar break karke stable hoti hai, to yeh downward trend ke shift hone ka signal dega, jo ke pair ke aage badhne ka ishara hai. Is ke muqabil, sellers ko 1.27772 ke neeche girna aur is par stable rehna zaroori hai taake bearish trend barqarar rahe. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to agla target 1.27063 ke decline ka hoga.

4-hour chart (GBP/USD H4) par pair abhi Bollinger Bands ke central area mein hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke market consolidation phase mein hai. Is position se movement kisi bhi direction mein ho sakti hai, price ke bands se break hone par. Clear direction ke liye traders ko upper ya lower band se definitive exit ka intezaar karna chahiye, aur dekhna chahiye ke bands expand hoti hain ya contract hoti hain.

Fractal analysis ke mutabiq, ek nayi upward fractal formation hui hai. Agar is fractal ke upar breakout aur consolidation hoti hai, to price pichle fractal ki taraf ja sakti hai jo 31 July ko tha aur 1.28637 par tha. Is ke muqabil, agar price recent downward fractal se neeche girti hai, to agla significant fractal target 3 July ka hoga, jo 1.26772 par hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator filhaal negative zone mein hai lekin fading ke signs dikhata hai. Agar AO zero ke through transition karta hai aur positive zone mein increase hota hai, to yeh GBP/USD pair ke liye bullish outlook ko reinforce karega. Is ke muqabil, agar AO negative area mein move karta raha, to yeh potential further declines ka ishara hoga.

Summary yeh hai ke key levels aur indicator signals ki monitoring GBP/USD pair ke future price movements ko anticipate karne ke liye zaroori hai. Traders ko in critical levels ke upar ya neeche breakouts dekhne chahiye aur AO indicator mein changes ko track karke market sentiment aur potential price trends ko gauge karna chahiye.

GBP/USD D1 Time Frame Chart


Hum phir se north vector mein hain, jo achha impression bana raha hai. Channel ke andar resistance par increase ho raha hai, ab sirf do resistance levels bache hain - 1.3060 aur 1.3120. Yeh sambhav hai ke rebound in range mein ho. Lekin mujhe upar resistance ke bahar ek proper function dekhna hai, tabhi channel ke saath koi doubt nahi rahega. GBP/USD price ka upar jana mujhe clear nazar aa raha hai, jo pehle ke moves se zahir hai. Ek specific period ke baad, market phase shuru ho gaya hai, jiska outlook bullish trend ko continue karne ki taraf hai.

Main yeh bhi note karna chahta hoon ke kai baar ek significant time frame set ho chuka hai iske liye. Main hamesha sochta tha ke buyers vector ke time parameters ko predict nahi kar paunga, lekin is baar mujhe success mili. Agar 1.2763 ke girne par ek exit milti hai, to kharidne ka mauka hai, jismein deal ko lamba chalaya ja sakta hai, kyunki entry asaan hogi. Agar resistance 1.2827 break hota hai, jo ek reversal possibility bhi hai, to further corrective reversals ki ummeed nahi karni chahiye.



GBP/USD H4 TIME FRAME CHART

Is mein dono uthal-puthal aur girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Agar sab kuch pehle jaisa raha, to Monday ko Friday ki randomness ka continuation dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jisse kamzori dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Iske bawajood, dollar ke sath, quotes 1.2900 ke aas-paas upar ja sakti hain aur 1.2810 level ke upar price breakout aur consolidation ko confirm kar sakti hain.

Agar prices 1.2810 level ke neeche majboot hoti hain, to 1.2770 level ke aas-paas ek naye bearish trend ka shuru hone ka imkaan hai. Fir dekhenge ki British pound is level par kaise react karta hai. Agar price wapas neeche aati hai, to naye trend ka shuru hona mumkin hai. Lekin main expect karta hoon ki pound aur majboot hoga aur dollar aur kamzor hoga agle trading week mein.

**GBP/USD Price Analysis

Main GBP/USD currency pair ki pricing movements ka live analysis kar raha hoon. Pound-dollar currency pair ne Friday ko significant upward surge kiya, 1.2829 tak pahunch gaya. Magar trading day ke end tak, yeh thoda dip kar gaya aur 1.2799 par close hua. Yeh shift isliye hui kyun ke dollar significantly weaken ho gaya tha. Jaise ke aam tor par hota hai, aise strong moves ke baad ek quick reversal hota hai, aur dollar kabhi ziada dair downtrend mein nahi rehta. Triangle ka upper limit test kiya gaya magar breach nahi hua. Is failure ka matlab yeh hai ke market descending wave ke liye primed ho sakta hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke pound-dollar pair approximately 1.2699 tak drop karega. Aaj, main price channel indicator use karunga, jo moving average analysis par depend karta hai, pair ke price movement ko forecast karne ke liye.



Abhi, channel upward point kar raha hai, jo indicate karta hai ke buyers sellers se zyada strong hain. Halankeh minor bearish pullbacks hain, bulls strong lagte hain aur bears ko control relinquish karne ka irada nahi rakhte. Zigzag line ka direction suggest karta hai ke long positions open karna advisable hai. MACD aur RSI indicators, jo CCI signals ko filter karne mein madad karte hain, long buy zone mein hain. Main apna open order close karne ka plan karta hoon jab price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 1.29416 tak pahunchega. Last week fundamental factors ki base par US dollar ke liye challenging raha. Dekhte hain ke Monday ko market kaise open hoti hai. Abhi, GBP/USD 1.2819 se 1.2774 ke range mein trade kar raha hai. Sell zone, jo EMA50 1.2839 aur EMA200 1.2819 ke darmiyan form hui thi, pair ko Friday ko restrain kar rahi thi, aur week ascending channel ke border ke neeche close hui. Yeh setup ek potential rebound aur subsequent decline ka mauka pesh karta hai.

GBP/USD pair technical analysis: US dollar ki qeemat us waqt kam hui jab aik weekly survey ne dikhaya ke US unemployment benefits maangne walon ki tadaad barh gayi, magar selling ka rujhan us waqt peak par tha jab ISM survey ne services sector mein unexpected tez girawat dikhai. Iska nateeja yeh nikla ke British pound ki qeemat US dollar ke muqable mein 1.2777 resistance level par ponch gayi, jo ke do hafton se ziada ka buland tareen level tha, aur phir Thursday ke aghaz mein 1.2740 level ke qareeb settle ho gayi, ek American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ke intezar ke darmiyan. Economic calendar ke nateejon ke mutabiq... US ISM Services PMI June mein 48.8% tak ponch gaya, jo ke activity mein contraction ka ishara hai, May ke 53.8% se neeche. Yeh girawat expectations ke muqable mein significant thi kyunke consensus ne 52.5% ka andaza lagaya tha. Kul mila kar, service companies American economy ka sab se bara sector hai. Markets is loss ke peemane par react kar rahe hain aur yeh bet lagaya ja raha hai ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates cut karne ke liye khud ko confident mehsoos karega. Jawab mein, US bond yields gir gayi, dollar ki qeemat kam hui, aur stock prices barh gayi. ISM report ne dikhaya ke US companies jo naye orders ke barhne ki umeed kar rahe the, woh 47.3% tak gir gayi, jo ke Great Financial Crisis ke baad sab se kam level tha aur 2001 ki mandi se bhi neeche tha. Price index ne June mein 56.3% record kiya, jo ke May ke 58.1% se 1.8 percentage points kam tha. Ispar tajziya karte hue, ING Bank ke analysts ne kaha: "Yeh zaroor September mein Fed ke liye rate cut karne ka mauqa mazboot banata hai kyunke yeh weak growth, slowing inflation, aur deteriorating jobs market ke saare boxes tick karta hai." "Fed ek mandi paida karna nahi chahta agar usse bacha ja sakta hai." Kal, US Labor Department ne report kiya ke nayi unemployment benefits maangne walon ki tadaad pichhle hafte 4,000 se barh kar 238,000 tak ponch gayi. Consensus forecast 235 hazaar ke level ka andaza lagaya gaya tha. Apni taraf se, US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne Tuesday ko kaha ke agar labor market kharab hota hai to interest rates kam karne ka ek mauqa hai. Yeh ek signal tha ke Fed inflation ko 2.0% target par moderate karne se pehle interest rates cut karne par khula hoga. Iska matlab yeh hai ke jobs market par bohot zyada bojh hai ke woh interest rate cuts paida kare jo bohot se US households, businesses, aur investors chah rahe hain. GBP/USD forecast aaj ke liye: Jaisa ke pehle kaha gaya, GBP/USD price ka 1.2775 resistance ke upar stabilize hona bulls ko mazeed upar ki taraf movement karne mein madad dega. Mazeed bullish control ke liye agla stop 1.2830 hoga, aur phir baat chalegi ke 1.3000 psychological resistance area par wapas jaa sakein. Yeh tab mumkin hoga jab US job numbers kamzor hon aur British parliamentary elections ke nateejon se sterling par yaqeen wapas aaye. Doosri taraf, isi dauran daily chart par, 1.2600 ka support level bears ke control ke liye sab se aham rahega. Зарабатывать, не выходя из дома, просто. Откройте счет в ИнстаФор

Jab option contracts fail hone lagte hain, to main hamesha waves ki taraf turn karta hoon; wahan targets clear hote hain, khaaskar senior ones. Last time GBPUSD pe daily chart pe humne wave "c" ka minimum target 1.2828 fulfill kiya aur usse exactly do figures neeche rollback diya, waise yeh sab major currencies pe bahut common practice hai. Kabhi kabhi waves aise targets pe end hoti hain aur wave "a" se upar nahi jaati. Yeh ek tarah ki correct correction hai.

Toh, wave "c" ka yeh target 1.2828 growth aur decline pe break ho gaya tha, aur ab clearly usse retest karne ja rahe hain. Agar woh 1.2828 ke upar consolidate karte hain, toh growth clearly continue hogi, aur pehla target hoga ek figure higher target se, yani resistance area of the pivot of the month R2-1.2951+-.

Agar woh 1.2828 ke upar consolidate karne mein fail ho jaate hain aur resistance of the pivot R1-1.2796 ke neeche chale jaate hain, toh humein reversal south ki taraf milega pivot of the month 1.2704 tak, aur phir most likely decline ka continuation hoga support of the pivot 1.2549 tak, shayad isse bhi neeche.

General mein, sabse important level ab 1.2828 hai; ispe khaas dhyan dein. Waise bhi, weekend pe British Prime Minister change hue. Aur isse pound pe kya asar padega, abhi tak unclear hai; shayad yeh pound ko kuch strength de, bhale hi temporarily. Neeche wali tasveer mein koi immediate goals nahi hain, lekin ek long initiative zaroor hai, halan ke ek acha rollback abhi tak mature nahi hua. Aur kal dollar khud seriously gir gaya tha after the growth of unemployment.