chf/jpy

CHF/JPY ka pair apni upward movement ko sustain karne mein nakam raha aur resistance level 172.69 tak pohanch nahi saka. Iske bajaye, price ne ek tez decline ka samna kiya aur 170.92 ke resistance level ko tor diya. Dono moving average lines ek dusre ke qareeb thein, jo ek possible bearish signal ki nishandahi kar rahe the. Iske ilawa, Friday ko koi significant economic data release nahi hui jo Japanese Yen ko strengthen kar sake. Agar yeh trend jaari rehti hai, toh price mazeed decline kar sakti hai, aur 168.04 ke pivot point tak pohanch sakti hai. Price pattern abhi bhi lower low aur lower high ki condition mein hai. Agar upward rally continue hoti hai aur price 172.69 ke resistance level ko surpass kar leti hai, toh 172.68 ke high price par ek structural break hone ka imkaan hai, jo current trend ko invalidate kar sakta hai. Ek wide bearish engulfing candlestick pattern ka formation ek potential reversal signal ko indicate karta hai, jo price mein downward movement ka likely imkaan hai.

Current price movement abhi sirf lower high pattern bana raha hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne bhi bearish divergence ka signal diya hai. Yeh isliye hai kyun ke histogram ka volume, jo uptrend momentum ko indicate karta hai, ab CHF/JPY pair ke price increase ke volume ke sath aligned nahi hai. Agar histogram negative area mein cross karta hai ya level 0 ke neechay girta hai, toh downtrend momentum clearly price decline ko support karega. Lekin, Stochastic indicator ke parameters 20-10 ke oversold zone mein enter ho rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke price wapas rise karne ka imkaan hai. Price ek upward correction ka samna kar sakti hai isse pehle ke dubara neeche jaaye.

Trade setup ke liye, focus karna chahiye bearish engulfing candlestick pattern ke formation par, jab high volume ho aur bearish market condition mein ho. Entry point tab ho sakta hai jab price EMA 50 ya SMA 200 ke aas paas correction kar raha ho. Confirmation tab milti hai jab Stochastic indicator ke parameters level 50 par cross karte hain. Iska maqsad ek medium-term profit target set karna hai 166.27 ke support level par, aur stop-loss ko 170.92 ke resistance level par rakhna hai, jo ek declining trend ko suggest karta hai.

Is waqt CHF/JPY ka market scenario downtrend ka zyada imkaan dikha raha hai, kyun ke multiple technical indicators ek bearish momentum ko signal kar rahe hain. Moving averages ke qareeb hone se bearish cross ka signal milta hai, jo price decline ka pehla indication hota hai. Awesome Oscillator ki bearish divergence bhi yeh dikhati hai ke uptrend momentum kamzor ho raha hai. Stochastic indicator ka oversold zone mein enter hona yeh possibility deta hai ke short-term correction ho sakti hai, lekin overall downtrend ka imkaan zyada strong hai.

Agar price 170.92 ke resistance ko tor kar wapas neeche aati hai, toh yeh downtrend ka continuation confirm karega. Price ke 166.27 ke support tak jaane ka imkaan hai agar bearish engulfing candlestick ka formation hota hai aur volume ke sath bearish momentum ko support milta hai. Lekin, agar price wapas 172.69 ke resistance ko cross kar leti hai aur 172.68 ke structural break tak pohanchti hai, toh yeh downtrend ko invalidate kar dega aur ek new bullish rally ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Traders ko apni strategy mein in sab technical levels aur indicators ka dhyan rakhna hoga aur cautiously trade karna hoga, jab tak ek clear breakout ya confirmation mil jaye.

**CHF/JPY**

pair ka mukhtasir naam Swiss franc aur Japanese yen ke liye istemal hota hai. Is pair ka koi nickname nahi hai. Aayiye pehle ye samajhte hain ke CHF/JPY rate ka kya matlab hai. Exchange rate aapko yeh batata hai ke ek Swiss franc (base currency) kharidne ke liye kitne Japanese yen (quote currency) chahiye. Masalan, agar yeh pair 108.84 par trade kar raha hai, to iska matlab hai ke 1 Swiss franc kharidne ke liye 108.84 Japanese yen chahiye.

**"CHF/JPY" ko samajhna**

Swiss franc ek reserve currency hai. Is liye, iska value un waqton mein barh jata hai jab uncertainty hoti hai, jab investors safe-haven options talash karte hain. Swiss franc ka exchange rate economic factors jaise interest rates, trade balance, aur inflation se bhi mutasir hota hai, lekin sona, tel, aur koila ke prices bhi ahmiyat rakhte hain. Jabke Japanese Yen ko safe-haven currency ke tor par classify kiya gaya hai. 2008 ki financial crisis se pehle, kai investors ne Bank of Japan se ultra-low interest rates ka faida uthate hue yen mein bohot zyada udhaar liya aur paise ko abroad invest kiya. Magar, BOE aur Japan ke central banks ke darmiyan interest rate differential kaafi kam ho gaya hai, jo global economic downturn ko darshata hai, aur iski wajah se yen ki value barh gayi hai, carry trade ka unwinding hota dekhne ko mila.

**EUR/CHF Exchange Rate ko kya tay karta hai?**

Swiss National Bank (SNB) ka main maqsad Switzerland ki monetary policy tay karna hai aur yeh ek independent central bank hai. Yeh mulk mein price stability ko barqarar rakhne aur economic growth aur development ke liye ek conducive environment banane ki koshish karta hai. Iske ilawa, yeh Swiss francs issue karne ka bhi zimma uthata hai. Yeh dhyan rakhne wali baat hai ke investors aksar Swiss francs ko safe-haven asset samajhte hain aur economic turmoil se apne paise ko bachane ke liye inhein kharidte hain. Bank of Japan (BOJ) ka headquarter Tokyo ke Nihonbashi business district mein hai.

**Major Economic Events:**

1. **Gross Domestic Product (GDP)** – GDP region mein economic growth ka central measure hai.
2. **Employment Change** – Dono currencies employment ke changes ke liye sensitive hain, kyunke labor market mein slack hone par inflation rates girne lagti hain.
3. **Consumer Price Index (CPI)** – Kyunki SNB aur BOJ ka ek maqsad price stability ko barqarar rakhna hai, yeh inflation indicators jaise CPI par nazar rakhte hain. Agar annual CPI central bank ke target se hat jata hai, to central banks apni monetary policy tools ka istemal kar sakte hain taake inflation ko control mein rakhein.
4. **Political Announcements & Natural Disasters** – Scheduled economic events ke ilawa, political elections, naye systems, jangain, terror incidents, natural calamities, etc. sab CHF/JPY mein severe variations ka sabab ban sakte hain.
5. **Trade Balance** – Japanese economy kaafi zyada export dependent hai.

CHF/JPY

CHF/JPY pair ne Monday ke trading mein decline dekha, aur prices ek narrow range mein fluctuate karti rahi. Yeh pair Monday ke daily open aur iss haftay ke weekly open ke qareeb 173.76 par consolidate karte hue shuruat mein stability mein tha, magar European session ke aaghaz par sellers ka pressure shuru ho gaya. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1, jo pehle upward point kar rahe the, market ke price behavior ke badalne ke baad flatten hone lage. Iske bawajood ke price movement limited thi, downward trend ne EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ko negative crossover banane par majboor kiya. Lekin sellers ka pressure zyada dair tak barqarar nahi raha, aur prices dobara consolidate hui jab 173.33 area mein pohanchi, aur Monday ka market closing 173.47 par hua jab American session khatam hua. Din ka price range limited tha, high aur low 173.93 aur 173.29 par record kiya gaya.
Daily chart par dekha jaye to, is hafte ke aghaz par price weekly open se upar nahi ja saki, aur yeh area pichle hafte ke bullish price trend ke liye ek resistance ban gaya. Agar price pichle din ke low se neeche chali jati hai, to daily target mazeed weakening ke liye 172.43 se 171.26 tak ke support levels ho sakte hain.

CHF/JPY currency pair H1 timeframe mein uptrend mein trade kar rahi hai, jahan price 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar move kar rahi hai. Tuesday subah ka market 173.45 par open hua, aur ab daily open price ke qareeb consolidate kar raha hai. Sell trades tab recommended hain jab EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 chart par negatively hang kar rahe hon, aur price support level 172.94 ke neeche break kare. Take-profit targets 172.47 aur 172.12 par set kiye gaye hain. Iss scenario mein traders ko real-time mein 200-period H1 EMA ka position monitor karna chahiye.

Dosri taraf, agar positive movement continue karti hai, aur price 174.94 level se reject hoti hai, to bearish potential ke saath sell pullback trade ko bhi consider kiya ja sakta hai, jo 174.00 tak ja sakti hai. Buy trades ke liye shartein yeh hain ke price H1 timeframe par uptrend mein ho, resistance level 173.96 ke upar break kare, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 chart par upward cross banayein. Take-profit targets 174.79 aur 175.02 par set hain.

Iske ilawa, buy pullback trade ko tab consider kiya ja sakta hai jab price 200-period H1 EMA se reject ho, jahan bullish opportunity 173.29 aur 173.18 tak ho sakti hai. Ek aur buy pullback opportunity tab mil sakti hai jab price 633-period H1 EMA se reject ho, jisme potential correction 171.81 tak ho sakta hai.