Gbp /chf

GBPCHF

GBP/CHF H4 Analysis

#GBP/CHF H4 British Pound - Swiss Franc. Heiken Ashi candlesticks ke readings aur TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ke signals ko milate hue, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke market ka current situation bullish structure ko indicate karta hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator, jo market mein current balance of power dikhata hai, chart par noise ko smooth karne mein madad karta hai aur technical analysis ko asaan banata hai, jisse trading decisions lene ki accuracy bhi badhti hai. TMA Channel indicator (laal, neela aur peela lines) support aur resistance lines banata hai jo do baar smooth kiye gaye moving averages par adharit hain aur market ke follow karte hue instrument ke current boundaries dikhate hain. RSI Basement indicator ko ek auxiliary oscillator ke taur par istemal karna faidemand ho sakta hai.

Attached chart dikhata hai ke Heiken Ashi candlesticks ne blue color le liya hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai. Price ne channel ke upper border (neeli dotted line) ko cross kiya aur maximum point se bounce karte hue, dobara apni middle line (peeli dotted line) ki taraf move kiya. RSI oscillator bhi buy signal ko confirm karta hai, kyunki iska curve upar ki taraf hai aur overbought level ke kareeb nahi hai. Isse hum yeh nateeja nikal sakte hain ke ek profitable long buy transaction karne ke achhe chances hain jo channel ke lower border (laal dotted line) par price mark 1.16085 ko target karega.

GBP-CHF Pair Analysis

Aaj main GBP/CHF pair ke baare mein phir se baat karunga. Pichle Thursday ko, price ne kaafi gehri girawat dekhi. Phir, shaam tak, price kisi bhi tareeke se significant bullish move nahi kar paayi, kyunke yeh sirf limited bullish manner mein hi move kar saki, jo mere khayal mein limited correction ki ek soorat hai. Kya GBP/CHF pair aaj phir se niche move karegi? Agar technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh of course price ke girne ki potential ab bhi hai. Aur, H1 time frame mein stochastic oscillator indicator dikha raha hai ke yeh overbought area mein enter kar chuka hai. Halanke, Bollinger Band indicator yeh dikha raha hai ke price Bollinger Band TF H1 ki middle line ko niche se upar breakout karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Lekin mujhe shak hai ke agar yeh breakout realize hota hai, toh yeh buyers ko price reversal push karne ke liye confident banayega.

Kyunke agar hum fundamental analysis ko dekhen, toh main asal mein thoda hairan hoon ke GBP/CHF kaafi bearish hai. Kyunke UK ya Switzerland se koi important economic news release nahi hui. Magar shayad market ne UK's CPI Industrial Order Expectation data aur United States ke Advance GDP ke release ka response diya, jisne GBP ko significantly weaken kar diya. Dusri taraf, main yeh bhi sochta hoon ke bade traders abhi aur aane wale kuch dinon tak GBP ke liye SELL positions ko target kar rahe hain. Kyunke UK ki inflation rate already 2.0% ko touch kar chuki hai, yeh BOE ke liye interest rates cut karne ka decision avoid karna mushkil banayega. Toh interest rates ke cut hone ke saath, capital UK ko chhod ke doosre countries mein jaana pasand karega jo zyada behtar maane jaate hain. Isliye GBP exchange rate lagbhag yaqeenan weaken karega, CHF ke against bhi, toh mujhe shak hai ke GBP/CHF pair dobara girawat dekhegi.

Mujhe kaise yakin hai ke BOE kareeb mein interest rates cut karegi? Kyunke maine Canadian central bank, Bank of Canada ke decision se seekha, jisne pichle hafte interest rates cut kiye the jabke Canadian inflation rate abhi tak 2.0% year-on-year touch nahi kar saki thi.

GBP/CHF

Pair ka daily timeframe par lower peaks aur valleys bna raha hai, jo ke ek bearish trend ko dikhata hai. Kal market 1.1392 level par khuli. Trading session ke doran, yeh 1.1405 ke high aur 1.1323 ke low tak gaya. Kal ka trading range takriban 82 pips ka tha, aur market sentiment bearish hai. Market daily pivot level se niche trade kar raha hai, isliye yeh bearish move ko agay barqarar rakh sakta hai. Kal market ne 1.1400 ka weekly resistance level hit kiya. Weekly resistance level par market overbought hai, jese ke RSI se zahir hota hai. Ab market 50 level se niche hai. 1.1400 level par ek engulfing candlestick dikhayi di. Is engulfing candlestick ke baad bearish candlesticks aayi, jo ke market ki bearish strength ko confirm karti hain aur din ko bearish sentiment ke sath close karti hain. Pair EMA 50 se niche move kar raha hai.

Yeh bearish move aaj bhi jari reh sakti hai kyunki pair rising trendline ko downside ki taraf breakout kar chuka hai. Yeh EMA 30 se niche move kar raha hai. Yeh daily pivot level se niche khuli. Hourly, H4, aur daily technical outlooks ke mutabiq, pair downward move karega. Aap 1.1390 aur 1.1365 ke levels ke darmiyan sell trade open kar sakte hain. Agar price 1.1410 level ko upside par break karti hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar degi. Is short-term bearish outlook ka projected target takriban 1.1200 level ke aas-paas hai. Safe trading ke liye aap apni trading position 1.1288 level par close kar sakte hain. Mere paas forex trading ka dus saal ka tajurba hai. Aap apni feedback PM mein de sakte hain. Yeh meri trading career ko improve karne mein madad karegi. Aapka shukriya aur ek shandar weekend guzariye.

Here's the article rewritten in Roman Urdu:

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GBP/CHF ka Tehlil: Kia Aaj bhi Girawat Jari Rahegi?

Aaj hum GBP/CHF karansee jor ka tajziya kar rahe hain, jo hal he mein khaas utar-chadhao ka shikar raha hai. Guzishta Jumeraat, ye jor ek numaya girawat dekh raha tha aur uske baad se bulish momentum hasil karne mein nakam raha hai. Ye sawal utha raha hai: kia GBP/CHF ka yeh girawat aaj bhi jari rahegi?

Tehniqi Tehlil

Tehniqi tor par, GBP/CHF mazeed girawat ke liye tayar nazar aata hai. H1 chart pe, stochastic oscillator overbought conditions ko dikhata hai, jo ke neeche ki taraf dabbav ka ishara hai. Iske ilawa, Bollinger Bands H1 chart pe middle line ke upar breakout ka ishara kar rahi hain. Lekin, ab tak yeh buyer confidence ko barhane ke liye kafi nahi lagta.

Bunyadi Tehlil

Bunyadi tor par, GBP/CHF ka bearish trend khaas tor par qabil-e-gour hai, chunanchah UK ya Switzerland se kisi bara iqtisadi khabar ki kami ke bawajood. Hal hi mein UK ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) Industrial Order Expectations aur US Advance GDP report ka asar shayad GBP ko kamzor karne mein madadgar raha hai. Market ka rujaan is waqt GBP ke liye SELL positions ki taraf hai, jo traders mein badhta hua ehtiyat darshata hai.

UK ka mehengai dar hal hi mein 2.0% ko chho gaya hai, jo ke Bank of England (BOE) par sood ki qataat par ghor karne ka dabbav dal raha hai. Agar sood mein kami ki gayi to UK se raas-ul-mal ka nikal jana mumkin hai, jo ke GBP ki CHF ke muqablay mein qeemat ko mazeed girne par majboor karega. Ye manzar Bank of Canada ki hal hi mein ki gayi sood ki kami se milta-julta hai, jo ke 2.0% mehengai dar tak na pohonchne ke bawajood ki gayi thi.

Maujooda Market Ka Rujhaan

Aam tor par bearish nazariya ke bawajood, aaj ke trading se ye maaloom hota hai ke sellers ne ab tak Lower Bollinger Bands ke sath aligned key support area ko toora nahi hai. Ye support buyers ko ek mumkin platform faraham kar sakti hai jahan se prices ko upar ki taraf push kiya ja sakta hai sellers ki resistance area ki taraf, jo ke bulish movement ko janam de sakti hai.

Nateejah

Khulasa ye hai ke tehniqi indicators aur bunyadi asaraton se GBP/CHF ka bearish trend jari rehne ki umeed hai, lekin mojooda support levels ek mumkin reversal ka moqa faraham kar sakte hain. Traders ko in levels par qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye taake kisi bhi market sentiment ke tabadlay ka ishara mil sake, jo ke chalte hue trend mein tabdili ki nishani ho sakti hai.

GBP/USD

Euro ne haal hi mein $1.0815 ke support par settle kiya, jo ke apne chaar mahine ke high $1.094 (jo 17 July ko pohcha tha) se thoda neeche hai. Yeh stabilization naye economic data ke baad hui jo traders ki expectations ko nahi badal saka ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein rate cut karega. Yaqinan, eurozone economy ne doosray quarter mein expected se tez growth dikhayi, aur preliminary figures 0.3% growth rate indicate kar rahi hain. Yeh growth France, Italy, aur Spain ki positive performances ki wajah se hui, jab ke Germany, jo EU ki sabse badi economy hai, unexpected contraction face kar raha hai, jo ongoing economic challenges ko highlight karta hai.



Khaaskar, Spanish inflation anticipate se zyada gir kar 2.8% par aayi, jab ke German inflation unexpectedly barh kar 2.3% ho gayi. Yeh mixed signals eurozone ke mukhtalif economic conditions ko reflect karte hain, jo ECB ke policy decisions ko complex banate hain. In varying economic indicators ke bawajood, market consensus yeh hai ke ECB September mein borrowing costs ko 25 basis points aur reduce karega. Yeh expectation ECB ke July mein interest rates ko steady rakhne ke faisle ke baad hai.

Traders aur investors Federal Reserve ke upcoming statement ko bhi closely watch kar rahe hain taake monetary policy ke future direction ke hawale se insights mil sakein. Fed ka stance global currency markets ko influence karta hai, jisme EUR/USD pair bhi shamil hai. Euro ki recent performance aur ECB ke anticipated policy actions ko Fed ke decisions ke backdrop ke against dekha ja raha hai, jo ke depending on their dovish ya hawkish tone, euro ko bolster ya undermine kar sakta hai.

Fed ke statement ke hawale se anticipation US ke series of economic indicators se fueled hai, jo resilience aur recovery dikhate hain. Positive US economic data, jisme robust job growth aur stable inflation shamil hain, suggest karte hain ke Fed apne current interest rate levels ko maintain kar sakta hai ya rate hike consider kar sakta hai. Aisa move US dollar ko euro ke against strengthen kar sakta hai, aur EUR/USD pair par aur pressure dal sakta hai.

Lekin, agar Fed se koi indication milti hai potential rate cut ya zyada accommodative monetary policy stance ki, to iska ulta asar ho sakta hai, dollar ko weaken karke euro ko kuch support provide kar sakta hai. Aisi surat mein, EUR/USD pair upward movement dekh sakta hai, resistance levels ko test karte hue aur recent highs ko phir se visit kar sakta hai.

Natija ye hai ke EUR/USD pair ki movement aane wale hafton mein heavily ECB ke monetary policy decisions aur Fed ke upcoming statement par depend karegi. Eurozone se mixed economic signals aur Fed ke policy direction traders ke liye ek dynamic environment create karte hain. Economic data aur central bank communications ko closely monitor karna crucial hoga taake EUR/USD exchange rate mein potential volatility ko navigate kiya ja sake.

Sellers ka Ghalba

Kal ke dabao se iss pair ke daamon ne phir se neeche ki taraf rukh kar liya aur H1 time frame mein apne downtrend ko qaim rakha. Shuruaat mein, Asian session ke dauraan qeemat Tuesday ke daily open 1.1392 ke aas-paas consolidate karti rahi. Koi bhi buyer ka ghalba nahi tha jo price ko aage barhne mein support kar sake taa ke Monday ke trading conditions ko qaim rakha ja sake. European session ke aakhir mein, sellers ke harkatain nazar aana shuru ho gayi thi jahan qeemat dheere dheere 1.1405 se neeche girne lagi. Ye negative harkat is haftay ke weekly open 1.1358 tak pahunch gayi aur qeemat ne isse bhi paar kar diya. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ke neeche ki taraf cross hone se ek dominant bearish trend ki tasdeeq ho gayi, aur ye dono chhoti EMAs EMA 200 H1 ke neeche hain. Weekly open se, qeemat neeche ki taraf chaltay hue 1.1324 tak aa gayi aur wahan se qeemat ruk gayi aur mehdood tor par hilne lagi. Wednesday ke trading mein, market ne 1.1324 par khula. Harqat ab bhi daily open aur kareebi support 1.1303 ke beech mehdood hai. Kareebi resistance 1.1345 par hai. Ab seller koshish kar rahe hain ke support 1.1303 ko torain. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ab bhi neeche ki taraf barh rahe hain, jo bearish trend ko zahiir kar rahe hain.

GBPCHF H1 Trading Plan

Upar diye gaye halaat ke madde nazar, H1 time frame ke tor par ek trading plan yeh hai:

- Agar support 1.1302 theek se toot jaye, to sell plan hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 neeche ki taraf honge, take profit 1.1268 – 1.1212.
- Plan B ke tor par sell tab plan karein jab EMA 200 H1 area mein pullback ho, bearish potential 1.1380 – 1.1358 tak wapas ja sakta hai.
- Agar qeemat breakout resistance 1.1346 ko paar kare to buy ka plan banayein, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upar ki taraf cross banayein, take profit 1.1380 – 1.1413 tak.
- Ek aur buy option tayar hai agar qeemat negative move kare aur 1.1185 area se reject ho, bullish target real-time EMA 36 H1 position pe calculate kiya jaye.

Stoploss 15 – 20 pips order area se.

Sellers wapas aa gaye hain. Kal ke pressure ne is pair ke price ko phir se girane par majboor kar diya aur H1 time frame mein apne downtrend mein rahi. Shuru mein, price ne Asian session ke dauraan Tuesday ke daily open 1.1392 ke aas-paas consolidate kiya. Buyers ka koi ahem role nahi tha jisse price positive move karti aur Monday ke trading conditions ko continue karti. European session ke aakhir mein, sellers ka action dekhne ko mila jahan price dheere dheere 1.1405 se neeche aayi. Is negative movement ne is haftay ke weekly open 1.1358 tak pahunchne mein safalta haasil ki, aur price ne ise bhi tod diya. Dominant bearish current ko EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne confirm kiya, jo downward cross banaate hain; ye dono chhoti EMAs EMA 200 H1 ke neeche hain. Weekly open se, price neeche ki taraf badhi aur 1.1324 ko touch kiya, jahan se price ko rukawat mili aur ye limited range mein move karne lagi. Wednesday ko trading ke dauraan, market 1.1324 par open hui. Movement daily open aur iske qareebi support 1.1303 ke beech mein limited rahi. Qareebi resistance 1.1345 par banta hai. Ab seller koshish kar rahe hain ke price ko support 1.1303 todne par majboor kar dein. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ab bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahe hain jo ek bearish current ka signal de rahe hain, jo ke current price movement ka direction hai.

GBPCHF H1 Trading Plan

Upar di gayi conditions ke mutabiq, yeh ek trading plan hai jo H1 time frame par banaya gaya hai:

- Sell Plan: Agar support 1.1302 bilkul tod diya jaye, to sell position lene ki planning hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 neeche ki taraf ja rahe hon, take profit 1.1268 – 1.1212.
- Plan B ke mutabiq sell ka ek aur option hai ke EMA 200 H1 area mein pullback ka intizaar karein, jahan se bearish potential wapas 1.1380 – 1.1358 ho sakta hai.

- Buy Plan: Agar price resistance 1.1346 tod de, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upward cross banate hain, to buy position lene ki planning hai, take profit 1.1380 – 1.1413 tak.
- Ek aur buy option is condition ke sath hai ke price negatively move ho aur 1.1185 area se reject ho, bullish target real-time EMA 36 H1 position pe calculate kiya jayega.

Stoploss: Order area se 15 – 20 pips ka.

GBP-CHF

Kal ki weakening ne achha impact dala, jisne temporarily buyers ke efforts ko rok diya tha taake prices ko upar push kiya ja sake. BP-CHF mein dominant sellers ne Tuesday ke trading mein daily chart par ek bearish candle banayi jisme highs aur lows 1.1405 aur 1.1323 par banaye gaye. Pehle ki weakening ke baad do din ke bullish price trials ke baad sellers ne prices ko EMA 200 line tak le aaya, jahan pullback hua aur buyers ko positive price movements push karne ka space mila. Isne prices ko EMA 200 line tak wapas girne ka sabab bana, jahan unhone ise test kiya. Sellers jo aaj bhi Asian session se European session tak temporary time limit ke andar hain, EMA ko penetrate karne ki koshish kar rahe hain jo daily support 1.1300 ke aas-paas cross kar raha hai. Filhal, daily trend abhi bhi biased hai jahan prices EMA 200 daily ke upar hain.

Is waqt, correction phase jo chal raha hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily se confirm hota hai jo downward cross banate hain EMA 200 ke saath, jo ke do chhote EMAs ke neeche aur EMA 633 ke upar hai. Agar EMA 200 successfully break hota hai, to trend bullish se bearish mein change ho jayega aur further decline ke chances khulenge, jahan 1.1206 area sabse nazdeek target hoga. Agar fail hota hai, to price wahan se daily resistance area 1.1357 ko test karne ke liye nikal sakti hai, jo pehla defense hai jo buyers ko break karna hoga taake woh upar ki taraf increase kar saken. Iske ilawa, daily stochastic ne oversold level tak pahuncha aur upar curved, lekin kal se milne wali pressure ke bawajood yeh indicator line dobara level 30 se niche curved ho gayi hai.

GBP/CHF currency pair ke aaj ke movement ke liye, meri analysis ke mutabiq, technically yeh abhi bhi upar ki taraf jane ki tendency rakhta hai aur price 1.3215 tak pahuncha sakta hai. M30 time frame mein GBP/CHF currency pair ne bullish engulfing candle banayi hai jo BUY GBPCHF ke liye ek strong signal hai aaj price 1.3215 tak.

GBP-CHF

Pichlay hafte Bank of England (BoE) ki taraf se 25 bps ka interest rate cut hone ka asar Pound Sterling currency ki outlook par kaafi manfi andaz mein pada hai. Agar hum GBPCHF pair ki price movement ko dekhain, toh yeh ab tak downward rally ko continue karti hui nazar aati hai. Price ne resistance (R1) 1.1265 ko cross karte hue support (S1) 1.0830 tak pohanchi hai, aur is doran koi bhi upward correction phase nazar nahi aayi. Hatta ke, SMA 200 jo ke aik kafi mazboot dynamic support hai, usay bhi asaani se cross kar gaya bina kisi prior consolidation ke. Lekin, confirmed trend direction abhi tak bullish hai kyun ke EMA 50 abhi tak downward cross nahi hua towards SMA 200.

Agar hum price pattern structure ko dekhen, toh ye wazeh hai ke structure lower low - lower high mein tabdeel ho chuki hai. Price jo impulsively neeche move hui hai, lagbhag support (S2) 1.0682 tak pohanch gayi hai, low prices 1.1216 ko pass karti hui jo ke ek invalidation level hai. Iski wajah se break of structure hua aur price higher high form karne mein bhi nakam rahi hai high prices 1.1675 ke upar. Ye condition trend direction ko bullish se bearish mein tabdeel karne ka aghaz ban sakti hai. Agar upward correction phase hota hai, toh price pivot point (PP) 1.1117 tak jaye gi taake ek lower high pattern form ho.

Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke abhi tak oversold zone mein level 20 - 10 par stuck hain, yeh zahir karte hain ke selling saturation point pohanch chuka hai. Price ko upward correct hona chahiye agar yeh lower rally ko support (S2) 1.0682 tak continue karna chahti hai. Dusri taraf, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ab tak GBPCHF pair ki downward price movement ko support karta hai. Red histogram volume jo ke level 0 ya negative area ke neeche hai, is se zahir hota hai ke downtrend momentum kaafi strong hai. Yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke price movement ka direction neeche jaane ka zyada imkan hai banisbat upar jaane ke.

Setup entry position:

Trading options mein re-entry SELL position tab place kar sakte hain jab price correct hokar pivot point (PP) 1.1117 tak pohanch jaye. Halanki trend direction abhi bhi bullish hai, lekin price pattern structure tabdeel ho chuki hai, isliye yeh mumkin nahi ke price ek nayi higher high form kare. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke level 50 ke qareeb cross karte hain, yeh confirmation ke tor par use ho sakte hain. AO indicator ka histogram jo consistently level 0 ya negative area ke neeche rehata hai, yeh downtrend momentum ka indication deta hai. Take profit ka target support (S2) 1.0682 par ya phir support (S1) 1.0830 ke qareeb place kar sakte hain, jab ke stop loss resistance (R1) 1.1265 par place kar sakte hain.

GBP/CHF Analysis - 07 August 2024

Pichlay hafta Bank of England (BoE) ke 25 bps interest rate cut ka asar Pound Sterling ki currency ki outlook ko kafi kamzor kar gaya hai. Agar hum ab tak GBP/CHF pair ki price movement ko dekhein, to yeh ab bhi downward rally ko jari rakhnay ka rujhan dikhata hai. Price resistance (R1) 1.1265 ko paar karte hue support (S1) 1.0830 tak pohanch gaya, aur koi upward correction phase dekhne ko nahi mili. SMA 200, jo ke ek kafi strong dynamic support mana jata hai, usay bhi asani se pass kar gaya bina kisi prior consolidation ke. Lekin, trend direction ab bhi bullish hai kyunke EMA 50 ab tak SMA 200 ke taraf downward cross nahi hui hai.

Agar hum price pattern structure par nazar dalain, to yeh wazeh hai ke lower low - lower high ka pattern ban gaya hai. Price jo ke impulsively niche move hui hai, support (S2) 1.0682 tak lagbhag pohanch chuki hai, aur low prices 1.1216 ko as an invalidation level cross kar gayi hai. Is wajah se structure break hua aur price ne bhi higher high form karne mein nakami ki 1.1675 ke high prices ke upar. Yeh condition trend ke direction ko bullish se bearish mein badalne ka agaz ho sakti hai. Agar upward correction phase dekha jaye, to price pivot point (PP) 1.1117 tak ja sakta hai taake ek lower high pattern form ho sake.

Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke oversold zone mein stuck hain level 20 - 10 par, yeh indicate karte hain ke selling saturation point pohanch gaya hai. Agar price lower rally ko continue karna chahta hai, to support (S2) 1.0682 ke through upward correction honi chahiye. Dusri taraf, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator GBP/CHF pair ke downward price movement ko support kar raha hai. Red histogram volume jo level 0 ke neeche ya kaafi wide negative area mein hai, yeh batata hai ke downtrend momentum bohot strong hai. Yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke price movement ka direction downwards jaane ka zyada imkan hai bajaye upwards jaane ke.





Setup Entry Position:

Trading options mein re-entry SELL position tab place karni chahiye jab price correct hoke pivot point (PP) 1.1117 tak pohanch jaye. Halankeh trend direction ab tak bullish hai, lekin price pattern structure badal gaya hai isliye yeh mumkin nahi lagta ke price naya higher high form karega. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo baad mein around level 50 ke aas-paas cross karenge, unhein confirmation ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai. AO indicator ka histogram jo consistently level 0 ke neeche ya negative area mein reh raha hai, yeh downtrend momentum ka indication hai jo kafi valid hai. Target take profit support (S2) 1.0682 ya phir support (S1) 1.0830 ke kareeb rakha ja sakta hai aur stop loss resistance (R1) 1.1265 par place kiya ja sakta hai.

GBPCHF Market Analysis - Wednesday, August 07, 2024

Pichlay hafta Bank of England (BoE) ke 25 bps interest rate cut ka asar Pound Sterling ki currency ki outlook ko kafi kamzor kar gaya hai. Agar hum ab tak GBPCHF pair ki price movement par nazar dalain, to yeh ab bhi downward rally ko jari rakhnay ka rujhan rakhta hai. Price ne resistance (R1) 1.1265 ko paar kar ke support (S1) 1.0830 tak pohanch gaya, bina kisi upward correction phase ke. SMA 200 jo ek kafi strong dynamic support mana jata hai, usay bhi asani se pass kar gaya bina kisi pehle consolidation ke. Lekin ab bhi trend direction confirmed bullish hai kyunke EMA 50 ab tak SMA 200 ki taraf downward cross nahi hui hai.

Agar hum price pattern structure par nazar dalain, to yeh wazeh hai ke lower low - lower high ka pattern ban gaya hai. Price jo impulsively neeche move hui hai, lagbhag support (S2) 1.0682 tak pohanch gayi hai aur 1.1216 ke low prices ko invalidation level ke tor par pass kar chuki hai. Is wajah se structure break hua aur price ne bhi higher high form karne mein nakami ka samna kiya 1.1675 ke high prices ke upar. Yeh condition trend ke direction ko bullish se bearish mein badalne ka agaz ho sakti hai. Agar upward correction phase dekhi jaye, to price pivot point (PP) 1.1117 tak ja sakta hai taake ek lower high pattern form ho sake.

Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ab bhi oversold zone mein stuck hain level 20 - 10 par, yeh indicate karte hain ke selling saturation point pohanch gaya hai. Price ko upward correct hona chahiye agar yeh lower rally ko support (S2) 1.0682 ke through jari rakhna chahta hai. Dusri taraf, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ab bhi GBPCHF pair ke downward price movement ko support kar raha hai. Red histogram volume jo level 0 ke neeche ya kaafi wide negative area mein hai, yeh batata hai ke downtrend momentum bohot strong hai. Yani yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke price movement ka direction zyada neeche jaane ka imkan rakhta hai bajaye upar jaane ke.





Setup Entry Position:

Trading options mein re-entry SELL position tab place karni chahiye jab price correct hoke pivot point (PP) 1.1117 tak pohanch jaye. Halankeh trend direction ab tak bullish hai, lekin price pattern structure badal gaya hai isliye yeh mumkin nahi lagta ke price naya higher high form karega. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo baad mein around level 50 ke aas-paas cross karenge, unhein confirmation ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai. AO indicator ka histogram jo consistently level 0 ke neeche ya negative area mein reh raha hai, yeh downtrend momentum ka indication hai jo kafi valid hai. Target take profit support (S2) 1.0682 ya phir support (S1) 1.0830 ke kareeb rakha ja sakta hai aur stop loss resistance (R1) 1.1265 par place kiya ja sakta hai.

GBP-CHF Pair Analysis

Kal ke douran GBP-CHF pair mein kamzori nazar aayi, jo ke kharidaron ki koshishon ko arzi tor par nakaam bana diya jo ke prices ko oopar le jaane ki koshish kar rahe the. Tuesday ke trading mein dominant sellers ne ek bearish candle form ki, jisme highs aur lows 1.1405 aur 1.1323 par form huye. Pehle ke kamzori ke baad jab prices EMA 200 line tak aaye to buyers ne positive price movements ko push karne ka space khol diya, lekin phir se prices EMA 200 line par waapis aaye taake isay test kar sakein. Aj ke trading ke douran, Asian session se le kar European session tak, sellers ab tak EMA ko penetrate karne ki koshish kar rahe hain jo ke daily support 1.1300 ke aas paas cross kar rahi hai. Filhaal, daily trend ab bhi biased hai, prices EMA 200 daily ke oopar hain.






Doosri taraf, correction phase jo kuch arsa se chal raha hai, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ke downward cross se confirm hota hai. EMA 200 in dono chhoti EMAs ke neeche hai aur EMA 633 iske oopar. Agar EMA 200 successfully break out hoti hai, to trend bullish se bearish mein badal sakta hai, aur is se agla decline ka darwaza khul jata hai, jahan sab se qareebi target 1.1206 ka hoga. Agar yeh fail hoti hai, to price us area se departure kar sakta hai taake daily resistance area 1.1357 ko test kar sake jo ke pehla defense hoga jise buyers ko torhna hoga taake prices ko aur oopar le ja sakein. Is ke ilawa, daily stochastic oversold level tak pohanch gaya tha aur upar curve hua, lekin kal se milne wala pressure ne is indicator line ko phir se level 30 se neeche curve kar diya.

General soorat-e-haal ke mutabiq, aaj GBPCHF currency pair ki movement ka analysis dekha jaye to technically yeh wapis se 1.3215 ke price tak jaane ka rujhan rakhta hai. Yeh is wajah se ke M30 time frame mein GBPCHF currency pair ne ek bullish engulfing candle form ki hai, jo ke ek bohot strong signal hai GBPCHF ko aaj 1.32150 ke price tak BUY karne ka.

GBP-CHF Pair Forecast

Sellers ne kamiyabi se wapas apni position sambhal li hai. Kal ke pressure ki wajah se is pair ki price phir se neeche gir gayi hai aur apni downtrend mein wapas aagayi hai H1 time frame mein. Ibtida mein, price ne Asian session ke doran Tuesday ke daily open 1.1392 ke aas paas consolidate kiya. Kharidaron ka koi zyada dabao nazar nahi aya taake price ko positively move karwa sake, jo ke Monday ke trading conditions ko barqarar rakh sake. European session ke akhri hisse mein sellers ki harkatain nazar aani shuru hui, jahan price dheere dheere 1.1405 se neeche girna shuru hui. Yeh negative movement is haftay ke weekly open 1.1358 tak pohanch gayi aur price ne isko bhi tor diya. Dominant bearish trend ko EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne confirm kiya jo ke downward cross form kar chuki thi, aur yeh dono choti EMAs EMA 200 h1 ke neeche thi. Weekly open se, price neeche move karte hue 1.1324 tak chali gayi aur wahan se price ko roknay ki koshish hui, lekin movement limited rahi. Wednesday ke trading mein, market 1.1324 par open hui. Movement ab tak limited hai daily open aur qareebi support 1.1303 ke darmiyan. Sab se qareebi resistance 1.1345 par form hui hai. Ab seller koshish kar raha hai ke price ko support 1.1303 ke neeche le jaye. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ab tak neeche ki taraf extend kar rahi hain, jo ke bearish current ko dikhati hain jo ke ab ke waqt ki price movement ka rukh hai





GBPCHF H1 Trading Plan

Upar di gayi conditions ke madde nazar, yeh ek trading plan hai jo H1 time frame par mabni hai:

1. Sell ka plan hai agar support 1.1302 mukammal tor diya jaye, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 h1 neeche ki taraf hang kar rahi hon, take profit 1.1268 – 1.1212.

2. Plan B ke tor par, sell ka intezaar kiya jaye ga agar EMA 200 h1 area mein pullback ho, bearish potential wapas 1.1380 – 1.1358 tak jaane ka hai.

3. Buy ka plan hai agar price resistance 1.1346 ko breakout kare, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 h1 upward cross banayein, take profit 1.1380 – 1.1413 tak hai.

4. Dusra buy option yeh hai ke agar price negative move kar ke 1.1185 area se reject ho, bullish target real-time EMA 36 H1 position ke hisaab se calculate kiya jaye.

Stop loss 15 – 20 pips order area se lagaya jaye.

GBPCHF Analysis 13 July 2024

Is maheenay ke shuru se le kar Friday raat tak, GbpChf pair ki price bullish rahi hai. Abhi tak ke technical graph ka moshahida karein, market active nahi hai, lekin bullish trend ab tak barqarar hai. 4-hour time frame mein 100 moving average indicator ke istimaal se price ka movement abhi tak upward trend ke sath chalte hue nazar aata hai. Ager pichlay kuch dinon ke market price journey pattern ka jaiza lein, to yeh nazar aata hai ke trend ka rukh upar ki taraf hai.

Ager zyada bara time frame, jaise ke daily, mein dekha jaye to price ka movement upar ki taraf hai aur lagta hai ke yeh bullish trend aglay hafte ke trading period mein bhi barqarar rahega. Week ke aghaz mein candlestick initially 1.1447 zone tak gir gaya tha, lekin uske baad bearish rally ke bajaye bullish rally hui, aur jo price pehle downtrend mein thi, ab uptrend ki taraf barh gayi hai. Aaj market band hai, aur price 1.1611 area mein stop ho gayi hai.






Meri raaye mein, market ke overall situation se yeh natija nikalta hai ke aglay kuch dinon mein price ke bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ka chance hai. Bas kuch aur confirmation ki zaroorat hai taake market ke rukh ke mutabiq faislay kiye ja sakein, kyunke ho sakta hai trend abhi bhi bullish hi rahe. Agle hafte ke market situation ke liye tajziya hai ke yeh safar abhi bhi bullish trend ke sath chalte hue nazar aata hai. Buyers shayad abhi bhi market ko control mein rakh sakte hain. Agle price increase ke liye, yeh mouqa hai ke highest area ko target kiya jaye. Trading plan ke tor par, main Buy position choose karunga jahan increase ka target 1.1656 zone tak ho sakta hai.

GBP/CHF Analysis

Aaj mujhe yeh haqeeqat samajh aayi ke GBP/CHF pair bearish trend mein chal rahi thi jab ke mujhe umeed thi ke yeh bullish hogi. Kal jo technical analysis pe main ne bharosa kiya tha, usne kuch ziada achi indication nahi di. Aisa lagta hai ke market abhi bhi sellers ke qabze mein hai, jo prices ko niche le ja rahe hain. Yeh bhi lagta hai ke Australian Dollar ka exchange rate Euro ke muqablay mein mazboot hai. Yeh baat mujhe normal lagti hai kyunke European Union ki economy mein growth slow honay ke asar nazar aa rahe hain, kyunke Europe mein inflation Australia se ziada tezi se gir rahi hai. Lekin aaj main phir se GBPCHF pair ka tajziya karna chahta hoon.

Agar technical nazariye se dekha jaye, to mujhe lagta hai ke GBPCHF phir se bearish ho rahi hai, jo momentum Friday se start hua tha usay continue kar rahi hai. Meri raye mein, yeh ziada tar Swiss Franc ke mazboot honay ki wajah se hai, na ke Pound Sterling ke kamzor honay ki wajah se. Masla yeh hai ke jab maine USDCHF pair check kiya to pata chala ke price wahan bhi bearish hai, jab ke GBPUSD pair mein bullish trend nazar aa raha tha. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke bade traders Swiss Franc ko kisi wajah se ikattha kar rahe hain. Price action ke lehaz se, mujhe lagta hai ke GBPCHF aaj phir se bearish move karegi. Ek aam trader ke tor pe, main is waqt yeh koshish karunga ke price jab bullish correction kare to uske baad ek SELL position open karun. Market bhi is idea ko support kar rahi hai kyunke stochastic oscillator H1 time frame indicator ne overbought area mein dakhil ho gaya hai.





Fundamental nazariye se dekha jaye to, mere khayal mein aaj Pound Sterling ke liye kaafi ahem din hai. Kyunke agle kuch ghanton mein UK CPI data release hoga, jo ke inflation ke bare mein hai. Bohat se analysts ka andaza hai ke value 2.3% se gir kar 2.0% tak aajayegi. Lekin agar actual data 2.0% se kam aata hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke GBP ke exchange rate mein aur ziada kami aayegi, jis se GBPCHF pair aur ziada bearish ho sakta hai. Lekin agar CPI gir ke 2.0% se upar rehta hai, to GBPCHF ke bullish move karne ke chances hain. Agar aap is pair mein aaj se trading karna chahte hain, to meri salah yeh hai ke aap chhoti lots ka istamal karein. Agar UK CPI data release ho jata hai to phir larger lots ke saath position open karna relatively safe hoga, lekin strict risk management zaroori hoga.