gold

Gold ka Technical Analysis
Pichly trading week ke doran, gold ne strong resistance break karne ki koshish ki magar fail raha. 2665 ke level ke niche settle hone ke baad, price ne neeche ki taraf bounce kiya aur aram se decline hote hue 2625 ke niche pohanch gaya jahan pe phir se support mila, jo further decline ko rokta raha. Is tarah target area abhi tak reach nahi hui aur wo ab bhi relevant hai. Is ke ilawa, price chart super trendy red zone mein hai, jo yeh show karta hai ke sellers abhi bhi prices ko control mein rakhtay hain.

Agar aaj ke technical analysis ki baat karein to, 4-hour chart ko dekhte hue nazar aata hai ke gold ne choti si support level 2655 ke qareeb establish ki hai, jab ke simple moving average se milne wali positive momentum price ko neeche se support provide kar rahi hai. 2645 ke upar trading consolidation zaroori hai taake bullish scenario ko activate kia ja sake. Upar ki taraf, agar price 2686 ke upar stable hojati hai to uptrend ke chances barhain gay aur price ki movement tez ho sakti hai towards 2700 aur 2714. Neeche ki taraf dekha jaye to agar 2645 aur specifically 2642 break hotay hain to yeh rally ko temporarily roknay ka sabab ban sakta hai, aur bearish correction ka target 2629 hoga, jahan se extension 2610 tak ja sakti hai.



Filhal price halki si decline ke sath weekly lows ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Key support area test ho rahi hai jo ke quotes ko extreme ranges mein hold kiye hue hai, jo upward vector ki relevance ko indicate karta hai. Agar move ko continue karna hai to ab price ko 2625 ke level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jo key support area ka border hai. Is area ka retest aur us ke baad rebound ek naye uptrend ko shape dega, jiska target 2723 se le kar 2758 ke darmiyan hai.

Agar support break hoti hai aur 2585 ke pivot level ke neeche move hoti hai to yeh current scenario ke reversal ka signal hoga.

Doosre marhale mein, is broken level ko test kiya gaya, aur yeh test confirm ho gaya hai. Lekin teesra marhala, jo consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi aaya. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jo resistance tak le jayega. Jab tak consolidation nahi hoti, upward trend ka nateeja waazeh nahi ho sakta, aur sirf waqt hi batayega. Iss liye, medium-term strategy abhi bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka intezar kar raha hoon, jisme ek aur upward move zaroori hoga. Humne pehle hourly time frame ka tajziya kiya tha, lekin ab main daily chart par dekhna chahta hoon. Daily Time Frame (D1) mein, ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound ke baad, resistance line se consistent wave of decline shuru hui, jo gold ko gap ke sath ek zabardast downward movement mein le gayi. Channel ke lower limit ka koi imkaan nahi tha, jo pichlay haftay ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ko suggest karta hai. Yahan, price support line ko touch karegi, jahan main ek rebound aur upward correction ki umeed kar raha hoon. Medium-term perspective se, continued decline ka imkaan hai, aur gold ke market opening ke baad kam hone ka chance hai. 2353.39 par price minimum TF tak pohonch gayi thi aur thodi si upward adjust hui. Yeh price green zone cross karegi aur red zone ko support level ke tor par use karegi growth ke dauran. Yeh MA resistance level ko break karegi, jahan red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak pohonchegi, jahan black line 2412.74 par hai. Price is mid-TF level (black line) ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak ja sakti hai.

H4 Time Frame par gold bullish tendencies dikha raha hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA ka crossover 2385 level par hua hai, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Yeh crossover gold ke liye ek strong upward trend ka signal de raha hai. Pichlay kuch dino ki market fluctuations bhool jayein; gold kal 2457 level tak gaya, jaise main ne anticipate kiya tha. Aaj gold ke 2470 level ko test karne ka imkaan hai. Ek strong bullish trend raah par hai, jo gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone tak le jane ki tayari kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain jo potential buying opportunities ke liye madadgar ho sakti hain

Gold ki pricing movement ka tajzia kar rahay hain. Gold ne hal hi mein 2626 ke qareeb ek local bottom banaya, jahan se ab tak 501 points ka izafa dekhne ko mila hai. ATR indicator ke mutabiq predicted range bhi mukammal hui, jisme low 2633 aur high 2668 tha. Jabke American trading session ka aghaz ho raha hai, hum XAU/USD candle ka ghor se tajzia kar rahay hain confirmation ke liye. Hum kal subah Price Action method ka istemal kar ke mukhtalif patterns ko analyze karain ge. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, US dollar ke liye ahm 3-star khabrein 16:46 aur 17:01 par release hui hain, jisme "index of business activity" aur "open job vacancies" shamil hain. Gold ka price action yeh dikhata hai ke aage chal kar upward movement jaari rahegi, lekin kuch important levels par resistance ka samna hoga, jiske baad correction ho sakti hai. Yeh wo moqa hai jahan traders turning points ko monitor kar ke short-term gains aur long-term trends ke hisaab se apne plans bana sakte hain. Gold ka paramount price D1 level par 2745.49 ke qareeb hai. Lekin is breakout target tak ponchnay ke baad buyers ko mushkilat ka samna ho sakta hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh level touch karne ke baad market reverse ho kar 2680.85 ki taraf jaaye, jahan bearish trend dekhne ko milega, aur yeh downward movement 2620.24 tak ja sakti hai. Yeh trend zaroori nahi ke dominant ho, lekin yeh ek moqa ho sakta hai taake losses ko limit kiya ja sake. Pehla primary move wapas upward 2745.49 ke taraf hai, aur agar yeh level break ho gaya to price 2812.17 tak bhi ja sakti hai. Is haftay market mein growth continue rahegi, lekin uske baad correction phase aasakta hai. Gold abhi bullish price channel ke andar trade kar raha hai. Aaj subah price 2653 ki upper boundary tak chali gayi thi, jahan main ek reversal aur downward movement ki umeed kar raha tha. Lekin price ne is level ko break kar diya aur ooper ka safar jaari rakha. Haal hi mein Golan Heights par hone wale hamlay ne Israeli forces aur Hezbollah ke darmiyan Lebanon mein ek baray conflict ka khauf barhaya hai, jis ki wajah se investors safe-haven assets, jaise ke gold, ki taraf rujhan kar rahe hain. Iske bawajood, global equity markets mein taiz rally commodity ke upside ko limit kar rahi hai. Saath hi, investors FOMC ke doh dinon tak chalne wale monetary policy meeting se pehle ihtiyat se kaam le rahe hain. Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan aur Bank of England ke aanay wale faislay aur chand aham US macroeconomic releases traders ki tawajjo ka markaz bane rahenge

tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi
gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masar

Halaanke gold ka mojooda outlook bearish hai, lekin is ki long-term prospects Fed policy aur geo-siyasi surat-e-haal par mabni hain. Agar Fed September mein rate cuts ka faisla karta hai aur geo-siyasi tensions barhti hain, to gold ki safe-haven asset ke taur par demand barh sakti hai, jo ke prices ko ooper le ja sakti hai. Iske baraks, agar mazboot economic data saamne aata hai ya geo-siyasi tensions kam hoti hain, to aanay walay mahino mein gold ki qeemat ki upar janay ki gunjaish mehdood ho sakti hai. Gold ki qeemat Monday ke American session mein $2,639 ke qareeb bearish region ki taraf gir gayi. Precious metal ko neeche ka dabao mehsoos ho raha hai kyun ke US bond yields mein tezi se kami hui hai, aur 10-year US Treasury yield pichlay 6 maheenon mein pehli dafa 4.0% se neeche chala gaya. Is yield ki girawat ka sabab yeh hai ke investors mazboot tawakoaat rakhte hain ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein policy normalization ki taraf jaa sakta hai. Nichay wale bond yields non-yielding assets jaise gold ko hold karne ke opportunity cost ko kam karti hain, jis se gold investors ke liye safe-haven asset ke taur par ziada attractive ban jata hai. Halaanke mojooda bearish outlook hai, lekin gold ki long-term prospects ab bhi Fed policy aur geo-siyasi risks par mabni hain. Agar Fed September mein rate cuts karta hai aur geo-siyasi tensions barhti hain, to gold ki safe-haven demand barh sakti hai, jo ke prices ko ooper le ja sakti hai. Baraks, agar economic data mazid mazboot hota hai ya geo-siyasi tensions kam hoti hain, to gold ki qeemat ki upar janay ki gunjaish kam ho sakti hai.
Fed ka dovish stance jo Chair Jerome Powell ne interest rates par diya, is baat ki spekulations ko barha raha hai ke agar inflation control mein rehta hai, to rate cuts ka imkaan ho sakta hai. Central bank ne interest rates ko 5.25%-5.50% ke range mein barqarar rakha, lekin yeh ishara diya ke agar zaroori economic indicators jaise inflation, growth aur employment expectations ke mutabiq hotay hain, to policy shift September mein hosakta hai. Yeh monetory policy ka imkaan gold ke liye ek positive factor hai, kyun ke nichay rates gold ki demand ko barhawa dete hain.

Is subah maine GOLD market ke price movements ka jaiza liya. Ab tak dekha hai ke GOLD market ke price movements ek kaafi achay bullish trend mein hain, lekin kuch din se lagta hai ke buyers ka jazba dheere dheere momentum kho raha hai, jis wajah se thodi si girawat dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Yeh ho sakta hai ke abhi October ki shuruaat hai, isliye movement itni significant nahi lag rahi. Mere tajurbaat ke mutabiq, pehle ek downward correction ka phase ho sakta hai phir higher bullish trend continue hoga, isliye jo log abhi tak GOLD market mein buy positions hold kar rahe hain, unke liye behtar hoga ke abhi profit lein. Shuru mein main daily timeframe par monitor aur analyze karunga, kyun ke GOLD market mein jo price increase hui hai woh kaafi zyada hai, to is liye mujhe sabr se kaam lena hoga ek accurate aur low-risk entry moment ka intezaar karne ke liye. Jab maine stochastic oscillator indicator lagaya, to yeh overbought level dikhata hai aur thoda downward bounce bhi kiya hai, aur abhi tak yeh condition beech mein hai. Mere khayal mein abhi thodi si aur girawat ka potential hai taake oversold level tak pohanch sake, aur kyun ke GOLD market ka trend abhi tak bullish hai, main future mein oversold level par entry buy opportunities dhundhne par focus karunga. Price action ko aur clear dekhne ke liye main chhoti timeframes par bhi analysis karunga. H4 timeframe ko dekhte hue, jaise maine kaha ke GOLD price abhi overbought level ko touch kar chuki hai, isliye ek downward bounce ka potential hai, lekin bullish trend higher jaane se pehle. H4 timeframe ko ghor se dekhne par lagta hai ke neeche ek kaafi strong support area hai jo ke 2567.12 ke aas paas hai. Mere khayal mein yeh support area ek mazboot defensive zone banega, jise neeche se torhna aasaan nahi hoga. Halaanke girawat ka potential hai, lekin main abhi sell entry recommend nahi karta kyun ke overall trend abhi tak bullish hai. Is waqt behtar hoga ke main wait aur dekho ki strategy apnaoon. Price action ko aur wazeh dekhne ke liye main H1 timeframe ko bhi analyze karunga. Ghour se dekhne par lagta hai ke GOLD price neeche girne ke baad demand zone mein aane par wapis upar bounce hua jo ke 2635.71 ke aas paas tha. Yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ka jazba abhi bhi kaafi strong hai. Agar dobara girawat hoti hai aur price demand zone mein aata hai, to main buy order ke liye tayar rahunga lekin pehle ek valid upward bounce ki confirmation ka intezaar karunga. Aur sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke hamesha money management ko samajhdari se manage karun taake margin calls se bacha ja sake

Is subah maine GOLD market ke price movements ka jaiza liya. Ab tak dekha hai ke GOLD market ke price movements ek kaafi achay bullish trend mein hain, lekin kuch din se lagta hai ke buyers ka jazba dheere dheere momentum kho raha hai, jis wajah se thodi si girawat dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Yeh ho sakta hai ke abhi October ki shuruaat hai, isliye movement itni significant nahi lag rahi. Mere tajurbaat ke mutabiq, pehle ek downward correction ka phase ho sakta hai phir higher bullish trend continue hoga, isliye jo log abhi tak GOLD market mein buy positions hold kar rahe hain, unke liye behtar hoga ke abhi profit lein. Shuru mein main daily timeframe par monitor aur analyze karunga, kyun ke GOLD market mein jo price increase hui hai woh kaafi zyada hai, to is liye mujhe sabr se kaam lena hoga ek accurate aur low-risk entry moment ka intezaar karne ke liye. Jab maine stochastic oscillator indicator lagaya, to yeh overbought level dikhata hai aur thoda downward bounce bhi kiya hai, aur abhi tak yeh condition beech mein hai. Mere khayal mein abhi thodi si aur girawat ka potential hai taake oversold level tak pohanch sake, aur kyun ke GOLD market ka trend abhi tak bullish hai, main future mein oversold level par entry buy opportunities dhundhne par focus karunga. Price action ko aur clear dekhne ke liye main chhoti timeframes par bhi analysis karunga. H4 timeframe ko dekhte hue, jaise maine kaha ke GOLD price abhi overbought level ko touch kar chuki hai, isliye ek downward bounce ka potential hai, lekin bullish trend higher jaane se pehle. H4 timeframe ko ghor se dekhne par lagta hai ke neeche ek kaafi strong support area hai jo ke 2567.12 ke aas paas hai. Mere khayal mein yeh support area ek mazboot defensive zone banega, jise neeche se torhna aasaan nahi hoga. Halaanke girawat ka potential hai, lekin main abhi sell entry recommend nahi karta kyun ke overall trend abhi tak bullish hai. Is waqt behtar hoga ke main wait aur dekho ki strategy apnaoon. Price action ko aur wazeh dekhne ke liye main H1 timeframe ko bhi analyze karunga. Ghour se dekhne par lagta hai ke GOLD price neeche girne ke baad demand zone mein aane par wapis upar bounce hua jo ke 2635.71 ke aas paas tha. Yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ka jazba abhi bhi kaafi strong hai. Agar dobara girawat hoti hai aur price demand zone mein aata hai, to main buy order ke liye tayar rahunga lekin pehle ek valid upward bounce ki confirmation ka intezaar karunga. Aur sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke hamesha money management ko samajhdari se manage karun taake margin calls se bacha ja sake.

Gold ki pricing movement ka tajzia kar rahay hain. Gold ne hal hi mein 2626 ke qareeb ek local bottom banaya, jahan se ab tak 501 points ka izafa dekhne ko mila hai. ATR indicator ke mutabiq predicted range bhi mukammal hui, jisme low 2633 aur high 2668 tha. Jabke American trading session ka aghaz ho raha hai, hum XAU/USD candle ka ghor se tajzia kar rahay hain confirmation ke liye. Hum kal subah Price Action method ka istemal kar ke mukhtalif patterns ko analyze karain ge. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, US dollar ke liye ahm 3-star khabrein 16:46 aur 17:01 par release hui hain, jisme "index of business activity" aur "open job vacancies" shamil hain. Gold ka price action yeh dikhata hai ke aage chal kar upward movement jaari rahegi, lekin kuch important levels par resistance ka samna hoga, jiske baad correction ho sakti hai. Yeh wo moqa hai jahan traders turning points ko monitor kar ke short-term gains aur long-term trends ke hisaab se apne plans bana sakte hain. Gold ka paramount price D1 level par 2745.49 ke qareeb hai. Lekin is breakout target tak ponchnay ke baad buyers ko mushkilat ka samna ho sakta hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh level touch karne ke baad market reverse ho kar 2680.85 ki taraf jaaye, jahan bearish trend dekhne ko milega, aur yeh downward movement 2620.24 tak ja sakti hai. Yeh trend zaroori nahi ke dominant ho, lekin yeh ek moqa ho sakta hai taake losses ko limit kiya ja sake. Pehla primary move wapas upward 2745.49 ke taraf hai, aur agar yeh level break ho gaya to price 2812.17 tak bhi ja sakti hai. Is haftay market mein growth continue rahegi, lekin uske baad correction phase aasakta hai. Gold abhi bullish price channel ke andar trade kar raha hai. Aaj subah price 2653 ki upper boundary tak chali gayi thi, jahan main ek reversal aur downward movement ki umeed kar raha tha. Lekin price ne is level ko break kar diya aur ooper ka safar jaari rakha. Haal hi mein Golan Heights par hone wale hamlay ne Israeli forces aur Hezbollah ke darmiyan Lebanon mein ek baray conflict ka khauf barhaya hai, jis ki wajah se investors safe-haven assets, jaise ke gold, ki taraf rujhan kar rahe hain. Iske bawajood, global equity markets mein taiz rally commodity ke upside ko limit kar rahi hai. Saath hi, investors FOMC ke doh dinon tak chalne wale monetary policy meeting se pehle ihtiyat se kaam le rahe hain. Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan aur Bank of England ke aanay wale faislay aur chand aham US macroeconomic releases traders ki tawajjo ka markaz bane rahenge

Gold marhale mein, is broken level ko test kiya gaya, aur yeh test confirm ho gaya hai. Lekin teesra marhala, jo consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi aaya. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jo resistance tak le jayega. Jab tak consolidation nahi hoti, upward trend ka nateeja waazeh nahi ho sakta, aur sirf waqt hi batayega. Iss liye, medium-term strategy abhi bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka intezar kar raha hoon, jisme ek aur upward move zaroori hoga. Humne pehle hourly time frame ka tajziya kiya tha, lekin ab main daily chart par dekhna chahta hoon.
Daily Time Frame (D1) mein, ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound ke baad, resistance line se consistent wave of decline shuru hui, jo gold ko gap ke sath ek zabardast downward movement mein le gayi. Channel ke lower limit ka koi imkaan nahi tha, jo pichlay haftay ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ko suggest karta hai. Yahan, price support line ko touch karegi, jahan main ek rebound aur upward correction ki umeed kar raha hoon.

Medium-term perspective se, continued decline ka imkaan hai, aur gold ke market opening ke baad kam hone ka chance hai. 2353.39 par price minimum TF tak pohonch gayi thi aur thodi si upward adjust hui. Yeh price green zone cross karegi aur red zone ko support level ke tor par use karegi growth ke dauran. Yeh MA resistance level ko break karegi, jahan red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak pohonchegi, jahan black line 2412.74 par hai. Price is mid-TF level (black line) ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak ja sakti hai.

H4 Time Frame par gold bullish tendencies dikha raha hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA ka crossover 2385 level par hua hai, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Yeh crossover gold ke liye ek strong upward trend ka signal de raha hai.



Pichlay kuch dino ki market fluctuations bhool jayein; gold kal 2457 level tak gaya, jaise main ne anticipate kiya tha. Aaj gold ke 2470 level ko test karne ka imkaan hai. Ek strong bullish trend raah par hai, jo gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone tak le jane ki tayari kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain jo potential buying opportunities ke liye madadgar ho sakti hain

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya. Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye. tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq,sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per

bottom banaya, jahan se ab tak 501 points ka izafa dekhne ko mila hai. ATR indicator ke mutabiq predicted range bhi mukammal hui, jisme low 2633 aur high 2668 tha. Jabke American trading session ka aghaz ho raha hai, hum XAU/USD candle ka ghor se tajzia kar rahay hain confirmation ke liye. Hum kal subah Price Action method ka istemal kar ke mukhtalif patterns ko analyze karain ge. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, US dollar ke liye ahm 3-star khabrein 16:46 aur 17:01 par release hui hain, jisme "index of business activity" aur "open job vacancies" shamil hain. Gold ka price action yeh dikhata hai ke aage chal kar upward movement jaari rahegi, lekin kuch important levels par resistance ka samna hoga, jiske baad correction ho sakti hai. Yeh wo moqa hai jahan traders turning points ko monitor kar ke short-term gains aur long-term trends ke hisaab se apne plans bana sakte hain. Gold ka paramount price D1 level par 2745.49 ke qareeb hai. Lekin is breakout target tak ponchnay ke baad buyers ko mushkilat ka samna ho sakta hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh level touch karne ke baad market reverse ho kar 2680.85 ki taraf jaaye, jahan bearish trend dekhne ko milega, aur yeh downward movement 2620.24 tak ja sakti hai. Yeh trend zaroori nahi ke dominant ho, lekin yeh ek moqa ho sakta hai taake losses ko limit kiya ja sake. Pehla primary move wapas upward 2745.49 ke taraf hai, aur agar yeh level break ho gaya to price 2812.17 tak bhi ja sakti hai. Is haftay market mein growth continue rahegi, lekin uske baad correction phase aasakta hai. Gold abhi bullish price channel ke andar trade kar raha hai. Aaj subah price 2653 ki upper boundary tak chali gayi thi, jahan main ek reversal aur downward movement ki umeed kar raha tha. Lekin price ne is level ko break kar diya aur ooper ka safar jaari rakha. Haal hi mein Golan Heights par hone wale hamlay ne Israeli forces aur Hezbollah ke darmiyan Lebanon mein ek baray conflict ka khauf barhaya hai, jis ki wajah se investors safe-haven assets, jaise ke gold, ki taraf rujhan kar rahe hain. Iske bawajood, global equity markets mein taiz rally commodity ke upside ko limit kar rahi hai. Saath hi, investors FOMC ke doh dinon tak chalne wale monetary policy meeting se pehle ihtiyat se kaam le rahe hain. Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan aur Bank of England ke aanay wale

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya. Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye. tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq,sone

haftay ki trading USD ke liye kaafi positive rahi, jisme USD ne musalsal 5 din tak izafa record kiya. Amreeki labor market ki taqat is izafay ka asli sabab hai, jo ke aggressive interest rate cuts ka moka band kar raha hai. Dilchasp baat ye hai ke average hourly wage bhi waqti ummed ke mutabiq barhi. Agle haftay, market ke zyada farq ke baghair chalne ki umeed hai, magar thori si correction ho sakti hai kyunki short-term market saturate ho gayi hai. Yeh potential ka istimaal optimal trading options ke liye kiya ja sakta hai, kyunki jo upar jata hai wo neeche bhi zaroor aata hai. Iss wajah se, hum sell bhi kar sakte hain, chahe bara trend bullish ho. Yahi wo maqam hai jahan hume market moods ko skill ke sath analyze karna padega. Is haftay ka intraday movement kaafi volatile raha, aur yeh nuqsan ka sabab ban sakta hai agar hum bohat chhota stop loss limit lagayen. H4 chart par dekhiye, bohat se candlesticks hain jin ki shadows lambi hain. Lekin jab market stabilize hoti hai, to halat samajhna asaan ho jata hai. Yeh dekh kar maloom hota hai ke ek triangle pattern ban raha hai. Is pattern mein significant breakout bohat ahmiyat rakhta hai, chahe wo neeche ki taraf ho ya upar. Breakout ki koshish ki gayi, jaise ke red arrow se zahir hai, magar seller ka reaction breakout ki koshish se zyada taqatwar tha, jo fakeout ka sabab bana. Isi wajah se hume ek solid breakout ki zarurat hai, jisme bari candles ho. Agar aap Bollinger Bands ka shape dekhen, to wo visually narrow ho raha hai, jo qareebi waqt mein ek strong breakout ka ishara de raha hai. USDX ke blue resistance tak barhane ka potential bohat zyada hai, isliye buy aur sell dono options available hain. Wahin gold market mein bhi neeche ki taraf breakout ka potential hai, kyunki teen moving averages ke darmiyan faasla barh raha hai, jo mean reversion ka potential dikhata hai. Gold market ke liye, buy option green rectangle ke correction area mein kiya ja sakta hai, jab ke gold ke breakout ka intezar behtar hai.

Gold ki qeemat kuch haven flows ko attract kar rahi hai risk-off mood aur Middle East tensions ki wajah se. USD ka halka sa girna bhi XAU/USD ko faida de raha hai, lekin lagta hai ke is ke upar jane ka raasta mehdoood hai. Federal Reserve ke chhoti rate cuts ki umeedein USD ke zyada nuqsan ko rok sakti hain aur Gold ki qeemat par bhi chhatt lag sakti hai. Gold ki qeemat (XAU/USD) Wednesday ko doosray din bhi ooper jaa rahi hai – jo peechlay paanch dinon mein chaar din ka positive move tha – aur Asian session ke dauran $2,670 ke qareeb aik aur aadha hafte ki bulandiyon ko chhoo rahi hai. US Treasury bond yields ka girna US Dollar ko us had se door le jata hai jo is hafta ke aghaz mein chooti thi, aur yehi aik bunyadi waja hai jo Gold ki qeemat ko sahara de rahi hai. Saath hi global risk sentiment mein tabdeeli, jise hum global equity markets ke kamzor lejaani ton mein dekh sakte hain, Gold ki taraf kuch haven flows le kar aa rahi hai, jabke geo-political tensions barqarar hain. Is ke ilawa, central banks ki taraf se barhawa demand bhi Gold ki qeemat ko support de rahi hai. Magar, Federal Reserve ki zyada aggressive policy easing na hone ki umeedein aur November mein 25 basis points (bps) ke regular rate cut ki bets, USD ki kisi badi girawat ko roknay mein madadgar ho sakti hain. Is waja se, bulls naye daaw lagane se pehle hichkichahat mehsoos kar sakte hain. Uper se, Israel ke taraf se Iran ke tel aur nuclear sites ko nishana na banane ki reports bhi XAU/USD ki gains ko chhatt lagane mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hain, aur yeh izafa karte hain ke aage ke liye ziada appreciating move ke liye hoshiyaari se kaam lena hoga. Agar hum technical nuqtay se dekhein, aglay kisi bhi upward move ko $2,685-2,686 ke qareeb, ya September mein chooi gayi all-time peak ke aas paas, kuch resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Is ke baad $2,700 ka round-figure mark hai, jo agar tehqiqi tor par cross kiya jaye toh is multi-month-old uptrend mein mazeed izafa ke liye rasta banega, jabke daily chart par positive oscillators ka asar bhi nazar aa raha hai. Doosri taraf, foran support $2,650 ke ilaqay ke qareeb hai, agar is ke neechay jaati hai toh Gold ki qeemat $2,632-2,630 ke ilaqay tak gir sakti hai. Is se aagay girawat kuch kharidaaron ko attract karay gi aur $2,600 ke round-figure mark ke qareeb mehdoood ho sakti hai. Yeh aik ahm point sabit ho sakta hai, jo agar tehqiqi tor par tor diya gaya toh kuch technical selling ko barhawa mil sakta hai aur mazeed gehri girawat ka rasta ban sakta hai.

Gold ki qeemat ke rawaiye ka jo halia tajziya hai, us par mukhtalif rayen ho sakti hain. Gold abhi bhi upar ki taraf jane ka irada rakhta hai, aur chaar ghante ki sham ka shama bullish close ki taraf maqsood hai. Magar abhi kisi faislay tak pohanchna jaldbazi hogi. Hamain foran 2684.24 ke high ko update honay ki umeed bhi nahi rakhni chahiye, chahe neeche jane wali trend line ka imkaan ho. Dekhna yeh hai ke overall nazar bullish hai, jo ke dunya ke mukhtalif waqiyat se mutasir hai, lekin aik aham driver is movement ko chalane mein madad de raha hai. Daily chart par bhi kuch aisi hi surat-e-haal hai, jo ke upar ki taraf momentum jari rehne ka ishara de rahi hai, lekin kal ki shama se zara upar close hona zaroori hoga is tasdeeq ke liye. Agar aisa hota hai, to kal 2684.24 ka level todne ki koshish ho sakti hai aur 2819 ka maqsood bhi banaya ja sakta hai. Gold ki demand ab bhi ziada hai, chahe dollar apni taqat ko barhane ki koshish kar raha ho. Bullish trend ab tak priority hai, aur agar qeemat 2619 ke qareeb girti hai, to main wahan par khareedari ka sochunga. Kal gold ke instrument mein aik choti si consolidation phase dekhne ko mili thi, jisme qeemat neeche aur upar gaye, phir dobara neeche aayi. Yeh itaraf karte hue ke 2424 ke qareeb ek mazboot support level hai, jisme qeemat aaj is mark se neeche gayi thi, magar yeh koi bara masla nahi hai. Ek ghante ke chart par, choti support level 2645 se khareed ka signal mila, jis se kamyab buying opportunities mili. Chart mein ziada tabdeeli nahi hui hai, aur gold market expected movements ke andar hi hai. Hum ye umeed karte hain ke halia high ko update kiya jaye aur 161st Fibonacci level, jo ke 2704 ke qareeb hai, tak jaane ka imkaan hai. Yeh sab se ziada probable scenario hai, lekin jab yeh point haasil ho jaye, to ek pullback ka bhi imkaan hai. Risk ko manage karne ke liye positions ko breakeven par move karna behtareen strategy hogi. Aam tor par, gold ke upar jane ka trend ab bhi mazboot hai, aur market ko aur upar push mil raha hai. 2672 ke qareeb ka area ab bhi growth ke liye jagah deta hai, aur aaj kuch choti si pullback koshishon ke bawajood, inhen ziada support nahi mil saka.