gold

GOLD Daily Time Frame

Subah bakhair sabko! Gold mein kal kuch dilchasp nahi ho raha; GOLD ROS line ke neeche trading ho raha hai, jo humein rozaana ke candle ke dande par kharaab buland volumes deta hai. Yani, ROS line is jagah par candle mein sab se bada bearish volume hai, aur is haftay tak hum isay upar nahi toor sakte. Takneeki taur par, hum is kaafi wasee resistance zone ke andar trade kar rahe hain jo haftay ke bearish Pin bar ke dande ke saath banaya gaya hai. By the way, is haftay ke pattern ki ideyat ab bhi zinda hai. Sirf yehi cheez jo in dino bearish hai, woh basement hai, yeh humein upar se bechne ke liye signal deta hai. Aur GOLD ke mukhya chart par humein anishchayata hai, lekin yeh sirf meri ray hai aur yeh niche di gayi tasveer mein hai.

GOLD H1 Time Frame

Mahaul abhi sahi hai, sab kuch jo sale par hai, kharidne ke liye sahi hai. Aapko 2381.78 aur 2397.79 ke darmiyan enter karna hai. Bahut saari ehtiyaat aur phir sey asuraksha nahi hai. Main 2397.84 ke mark par ek rukavat lagane ka faisla karta hoon. Lalach mein na parne ke liye, main mazid profit 2362.37 ke mark par fix karne ka sujhav deta hoon. Phir bhi, yeh size mera rukavat se paanch guna bada hai. Kya agar aisa ho ke aaj mera plan khud ko sabit na kare, toh main deal band kar doonga. Kal sab kuch alag hoga, mausam bhi aur market ke charts ke movement bhi. Udas khabron ke eve mein, behtar hai bilkul kaam na karein balki apne iradon ke aghwa se udaas na hon.

Gold ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichlay haftay, gold ke prices barh kar aik nayi all-time high tak pohanch gaye thy, jo ke 2449 ke aas paas tha. Phir thoda giray aur 2407 par stable ho gaye. Is waqat, expected continuous growth scenario realize ho gaya hai aur target territory poori tarah develop ho chuki hai. Price chart green supertrend zone mein hai, jo dikhata hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain.

Aaj ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, agar hum 4-hour chart dekhein to price aforementioned resistance ke neeche steady hai, aur stochastic dheere dheere apna upward momentum kho raha hai. Downward correction ka possibility abhi bhi hai, aur agar price 2400 ke pehle target ko break karta hai, to downward correction ka intensity barh jayega. Pehla official downward correction 2337 ke near ho sakta hai, jo ke Fibonacci retracement level 23.60% hai. Agar price 2430 pips ke upar consolidate karta hai aur 2450 pips ke latest peak ko cross karta hai, to downtrend rukh jaayegi aur gold nayi highs set karega 2485 points par. Chart yahan dekhein:


Prices weekly highs se kaafi upar trade ho rahi hain. Large support zones ko maintain karna aur further growth promote karna upward vector ki relevance dikhata hai. Yeh confirm karega agar price 2407 level se upar rise karti hai, jo ke main support area ka border hai. Is area ka retest aur confident rebound further upward momentum ka raasta khol dega, with a target area between 2495 aur 2533 points.

Current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal hoga agar support level break hota hai aur price reversal level 2358 se neeche jati hai.

Hamari guftagu ka markaz aaj gold ke price action ka jari mushaheda hai, khaaskar XAU/USD trading asset par. Jari bearish correction ke bawajood, gold ki overall structure ab bhi upward hai. Yeh bullish sentiment us waqt bhi qaim rehti hai jab ke price ahem areas se guzar rahi hai jo hum pehle discuss kar chuke hain. Hal filhal mein, gold ki price oscillate kar rahi hai aur kuch vital areas ko ignore kar chuki hai. Is waqt yeh price gap area ya imbalance ko test kar rahi hai jo ke 2357 aur 2372 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh area qareebi nazar mein hai jabke daily candle is range mein trade ho rahi hai. Price ka is zone mein behaviour ainday movements ka andaza lagane ke liye nihayat ahem hai. Bearish correction ke bawajood, jo ke ek temporary pullback hai larger upward trend ke andar, price action yeh suggest karta hai ke girawat kuch der tak aur barqarar reh sakti hai. Daily candle ab tak close nahi hui, aur jab tak aisa nahi hota, aur downward movement ki gunjaish hai.
Jari correction ko dekhte hue, potential support levels ko identify karna nihayat zaroori hai jahan buyers wapas aa sakte hain. Do ahem levels numayan hain: pehla support level 2332.174 par aur order block 2321 aur 2304 ke darmiyan. Yeh levels wo areas hain jahan pehle buying interest strong tha, aur yeh correction ke doran price ke liye magnet ka kaam kar sakte hain. In support levels par gold ko wapas khareedna ek strategic move ho sakta hai. Jab price in zones ko test karegi, yeh traders ke liye long positions enter karne ka mauka pesh karta hai, jis se anticipated continuation of the upward trend ka faida uthaya ja sakta hai.

Medium-term outlook ko dekhte hue, target historical maximum 2450.125 par qaim rehta hai. Yeh target price action ke overall upward structure aur bullish sentiment par mabni hai jo ke jari correction ke bawajood qaim hai. Is target ko hasil karne ke liye, price ko kai resistance levels ko break karna hoga, including current price gap area. Magar, strong support levels ko identify karte hue aur underlying bullish trend ko dekhte hue, yeh target medium term mein hasil karna mumkin lagta hai. Traders ke liye, current scenario strategic approach talab karta hai. Daily candle ko qareebi nazar mein rakhein, support levels ke qareeb entry points ko identify karein, aur stop-loss orders ko order block ke neeche place karein taake risk ko minimize kiya ja sake. Medium-term outlook ko target rakhein aur market signals par vigilant rahein taake is strategy ko effectively execute kiya ja sake.

Jab hum 2365 ke range ko todne mein kamiyab ho jayenge aur iske upar consolidate karenge, yeh khareedne ka signal hoga. Yeh mumkin hai ke hum 2365 ke upar consolidate karein, yeh khareedne ka signal hoga. Jab humein 2348 par ek false breakout milta hai, tab iske baad growth mazeed barh sakti hai. Shayad yeh 2340 ke neeche consolidate karein, to yeh bechne ka signal hoga. Yeh mumkin hai ke hum 2365 ke range ko todne mein kamiyab ho jayenge aur iske upar apna qadam jama sakte hain, yeh khareedne ka signal hoga. Shayad humein 2365 ke range ka breakdown mile aur iske upar consolidate karein, to yeh rate ke barhne ka signal hoga. Yeh mumkin hai ke 2328 ke range mein ek false breakout pehle se hi ho chuka ho aur iske baad growth mazeed barh sakti hai. Aham correction ke baad bhi growth ka silsila jari rahega. Yeh mumkin hai ke ek choti correction ho sake, lekin iske baad growth ka silsila jari rahega. Jab aap 2350 ke range ko test karne mein kamiyab ho jayenge, to wahan se growth mazeed barh sakti hai.
Ek corrective fall ab bhi ho sakta hai, kyunke is stage par kai chote speculators khareed sakte hain, aur bade traders aise positions ke against price tag set kar sakte hain. Agar hum 2365 ke range ko todne mein kamiyab ho jayein aur iske upar consolidate karein, to yeh market ke mazeed barhne ka signal hoga. Yeh consolidate hone ka waqt hai, aur yeh khareedne ka waqt hai jab hum is level ko cross karte hain. Agar humein 2348 par ek false breakout milta hai, to iske baad growth ka silsila jari rehne ka imkaan hai. Shayad hum 2340 ke neeche consolidate karein, aur yeh bechne ka signal ban jaye. Aise me, bade traders ne apni strategy iske mutabiq banani hoti hai.

Jab hum 2365 ke range ko todne mein kamiyab ho jate hain aur iske upar qadam jamate hain, to yeh ek strong buy signal hota hai. Aise waqt me, market mein ek fresh buying interest dekha ja sakta hai jo price ko aur upar le ja sakta hai. Shayad humein 2365 ke range ka breakdown mile aur phir uske upar consolidate karein, yeh rate ke mazeed barhne ka signal hota hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke ek false breakout 2328 ke range mein ho chuka ho, aur ab iske baad market phir se growth mode mein aa sakti hai. Aham correction ke bawajood, growth ka silsila jari rehne ka imkaan hai, aur yeh choti correction ke baad bhi mazeed barh sakti hai. Jab aap 2350 ke range ko test karne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to wahan se growth mazeed barh sakti hai.

Correction ab bhi ho sakti hai kyunke is waqt kai chote speculators market mein khareedari kar rahe hote hain, aur bade traders in positions ke against price ko manipulate kar sakte hain. Market mein har waqt unexpected movements hoti hain, isliye trading decisions ko dhyan se lena zaroori hai. Jab hum 2365 ke range ko todte hain aur iske upar consolidate karte hain, to yeh buy karne ka waqt hota hai. Shayad market phir se 2348 ke level par aakar ek false breakout show kare, aur phir uske baad mazeed growth ka silsila jari rahe. Yeh market dynamics ka hissa hai, aur traders ko har waqt alert rehne ki zaroorat hoti hai. Har move ko dhyan se analyze karna aur uske mutabiq apni strategy adjust karna hi trading mein success ka raaz hai.

Gold Price: Technical Analysis

Gold ne haali mein upar ki taraf jane ka rujhan badal diya hai aur zyada kharidari ki wajah se garam hone ke asar dikhai de rahe hain. Qeemat mein aik aham kami nazar aa rahi hai, aur dobara upar jane ka rujhan jaldi anay ki umeed nahi hai. Is liye, behtareen farokht ke nuqtay talash karna zaroori hai. Halanki, is waqt par bechna mehfooz lagta hai, magar zyada miqdaar mein bechne se parheiz karna chahiye. Aik barah-e-kaar wapas upar jana aur naya upar jane ka rujhan tabhi mumkin hai jab qeemat takriban 2327 par pohonch jaye. Hum is surat-e-haal par qareebi nazar rakhenge aur mohasabana faislay karenge.



Is surat-e-haal mein, yeh behtar hai ke is currency pair ko bechne par ghour kiya jaye. Magar, sell positions kholne se pehle price ke RSI indicator ki average level tak wapas anay ka intezar karna aqalmandana hoga, jo ke takriban 2351 hai. Aaj, mein Gold ki harkat ko chaar ghante ke chart par dekhoon ga taake zyada behtar tasveer mil sake. Gold futures chand mahine ke neeche ki taraf ja rahe hain aur Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade ho rahe hain, jo ke bearish momentum ka signal hai. Stochastic indicator bhi neeche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Aakhri trading session ke douran, Gold apni kami jari rakha, aur sellers ne pivot level ke neeche positions qaim kar liye, control barqarar rakha aur qeemat ko 2348 tak le aaye. Intraday trading ke liye, tawajju classic Pivot points ke support levels par honi chahiye.

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

Hello, main aaj kal GOLD ke rates ke movement ke baray mein baat karunga. Dekhtay hain market ne kis tarah respond kiya hai rate changes ke doran. GOLD is waqt 2355.67 par trade ho raha hai. Technically, main dekh raha hoon ke rate mein thori si decline ho sakti hai kyunke is time frame ke chart par recent candle ne downward momentum dikhaya hai. Relative Strength Index RSI(14) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence MACD(12,26,9), oscillators, khas tor par positive side pe hain, lekin RSI positive range mein hai. Sath hi, MACD oscillator sell signal de raha hai. Yahan GOLD sell karna behtar hoga. Rate ki negative activity ko deny nahi kiya ja sakta kyunke yeh moving average lines ke neeche hai is time frame chart mein aur indicator bearish trend ko support kar raha hai. Yeh 2356.94 range ke qareeb hai. Hum pehle 2360.94 range ko try kar sakte hain. Yeh mumkin hai ke 2360.94 ka horizontal resistance level break ho aur high of 2367.74 tak pohonch sakta hai, lekin aur bhi better goals hain. Uske baad, agar 2360.94 ka resistance break hota hai 2367.74 ke baad, to GOLD aur barh sakta hai 2374.63 tak jo ke 3rd resistance level hai. Dosri taraf, agar GOLD ka rate decline karta hai aur 2347.05 ke level ke neeche break karta hai jo ke pehla support level hai, to yeh support zone ka breakout ho sakta hai aur shayad further drop hote hue 2328.24 ke neeche ja sakta hai jo ke 2nd support level hai. Is scenario ke baad, GOLD aur decline kar sakta hai ek potential target ke sath 2324.80 ke neeche. Chart ke mutabiq, GOLD agle period mein aur weak ho sakta hai. Is liye, main yeh manta hoon ke GOLD sell karna, umeed hai, behtar hoga.

Gold ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle week gold apne all-time high ko hold nahi kar paya aur sharply fall hona shuru ho gaya aggressive downward trend ke sath. Price barely 2358 level ke niche ruk payi jo ke ek reversal level ka kaam kar rahi thi, uske baad price ne balance regain karne ki koshish ki. Previous assessments ke expectations ke contrary, target area tak nahi pohanch saka jo abhi tak unexplored hai. Iske ilawa, price chart red zone mein enter ho gaya supertrend ka, jo indicate karta hai ke control sellers ke paas chala gaya hai.

Aaj ka technical forecast suggest karta hai ke uptrend ka resumption likely hai agar intraday trading stability 2340 resistance ke upar rahti hai jo ke 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level se represent hoti hai shown on the 240-minute chart. Iske ilawa, stochastics cheezein shake karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Iss tarah, aaj ke trading mein uptrend most likely hai with a target of 2360, given ke price stability 2365 ke upar hogi aur expected trend ki strength ko increase aur accelerate karegi, respectively, with a possible visit to 2372 aur 2387 aur rally ko continue karte hue 2410 tak le jayegi. Downside pe, trading consolidation below 2340 aur 2335 dubara downward pressure price par daalti hai due to early retest of 2320 target. Dekhiye chart:



Prices is waqt sharply falling hain near weekly lows. Key support area ki instability aur strong breakout downward shift indicate karta hai in the preferred vector. Confirm karne ke liye, quotes ko 2358 level ke niche consolidate karna hoga jahan key resistance area currently located hai. Ek aur retest is area ka aur strong rebound from it next fall ka rasta khol dega, target area 2288 aur 2221 ke beech hoga.

A break above resistance aur movement area 2407 ke upar current scenario ka reversal signal karega.

Sone ka daam aajkal $2355.64 par trade ho raha hai, jo kai logon ke liye ek significant point ban gaya hai. Gold ki trading value ek complex mix hai factors ka, jinme include hote hain global economic conditions, geopolitical tensions, aur financial market dynamics. Iss waqt, gold ka price badh raha hai, aur iska ek kaaran hai global uncertainty aur inflation fears. Ek aur important factor jo gold prices ko affect karta hai wo hai central banks ki policies. Jab central banks, jaise ke US Federal Reserve, interest rates ko kam karte hain, to gold ka daam badhta hai kyunki low interest rates ka matlab hota hai ki fixed-income investments, jaise bonds, par returns kam milte hain. Is scenario mein, investors gold ko ek attractive alternative maante hain. Pandemic ke baad se, market mein instability badh gayi hai, aur isne bhi gold ke prices ko upar push kiya hai. 2020 mein COVID-19 pandemic ke dauran, gold ne apne all-time highs ko touch kiya tha kyunki investors ne safe-haven assets ki taraf rush kiya tha. Aaj bhi, jab global economic recovery abhi tak fragile hai, log gold mein investment kar rahe hain apne portfolios ko diversify karne ke liye aur risk ko hedge karne ke liye. Geopolitical tensions bhi gold ke prices ko influence karte hain. Middle East mein conflicts, US-China trade wars, aur Russia-Ukraine crisis jaise incidents se market uncertainty badhti hai, aur investors security ke liye gold mein invest karte hain. Ye trends dekhe gaye hain historical context mein bhi, jaise 1970s oil crisis ya 2008 financial crisis ke dauran. Gold ki demand sirf financial markets se hi nahi, balki jewelry industry, technology sector, aur central banks se bhi aati hai. India aur China, jo world ke largest consumers hain gold ke, unke demand trends bhi gold ke prices ko impact karte hain. Festivals, weddings aur cultural practices ke liye gold ki high demand in regions mein prices ko support karti hai. Investment ke perspective se, gold ko ek hedge mana jata hai against currency devaluation aur inflation. Jab fiat currencies ki value girti hai, gold ki value badhne lagti hai, kyunki gold ko historically ek store of value mana gaya hai. Iss waqt jab global markets mein inflationary pressures hain, investors gold ko ek protection ke tool ke roop mein dekh rahe hain. Future prospects ke liye, agar inflation aur geopolitical uncertainties continue karti hain, to gold ke prices aur bhi badh sakte hain. Lekin agar economic stability wapas aati hai aur central banks interest rates badhate hain, to gold ki value mein correction bhi ho sakta hai. Overall, gold ka daam har investor ke portfolio mein ek crucial factor hai jo economic health aur market trends ko reflect karta hai.

Kal sone ke liye, local resistance level ko test karne ke baad, jise mere signs ke mutabiq 2195.235 par mojood hai, ke neeche se upar tak, keh price palat gayi aur ek saaf candle ban gayi khabron ke ma background mein, jo kataakshin uddhar hua. Is ke saath, is mudde mein, mujhe yaqeen hai ke aaj farokht karne wale najdik ke support level par kaam karne ki koshish karenge, jo mere indicator ke mutabiq 2146.155 par mojood hai. Is support level ke qareeb tajziye ko barqarar karne ke liye do manazir hain. Pehla pasandida manzar support level ke nazdik ek bullish candle banane aur price rally ko dobara shuru karne ke bare mein hai. Agar yeh mansooba kaam kare, toh main resistanc level ki taraf wapis jaane ka intezar karoonga, jo ke 2195.235 par mojood hai. Agar price is resistance level ko tordeti hai, toh main further northward move ke liye intezar karunga, jo 2300 par mojood hai. Tijarat ke mazeed raaste. Beshak, mujhe pata hai ke jab price ek zyada northern target ki taraf badhta hai, to southern pullbacks bhi shakal le sakti hain, jis se main nazdeek ke support levels se bullish signals ke liye intezar karta tha, talking ke liye ek bullish uddhar ki ummeed rakhta tha. Global northern trend jab 2146.155 ke support level tak pahunchega, to price action ke liye ek mukhtalif intekhab yeh ho sakta hai ke price is level ke niche stabilise hoti hai aur mazeed south ki taraf chalati hai. Agar yeh mansooba tarakki karta hai, toh main price ko 2088.545 ya 2062.310 par mojood support level ko tornay ka intezar karoonga. Main mazeed chahiye ki mazeed support levels ke nazdeek bullish signals ke liye dekhta rahoon, talking tak price apni uchhal chal ke saath dobara shuru karay. Mukhtasar tor par, aaj main samajhta hoon ke price south ki taraf ja sakta hai, najdik ke support level tak, aur phir main shimal signals dekhunga.

Gold Price Action Analysis
Happy weekend sab ko. Mein aaj gold ke trend ke baray mein baat karun ga. Kal gold ke price thora sa barh kar 2357 ke previous resistance area ki taraf gai, lekin trading day ke end pe kafi neechay gir gayi aur short-term demand level 2320 pe aa gayi.
4 ghantay ke chart ke mutabiq, gold ka current trend technical perspective se selling suggest kar raha hai, lekin price is waqt short-term demand area 2326 ke aas paas hai, jo suggest karta hai ke wahan se pullback ho sakta hai. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, price mein zyada bearish momentum nahi aayega, kyun ke gold ka overall trend bullish hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke price aglay haftay mein upar ki taraf move karegi.

Generally, gold ka price is waqt strong US dollar se affected hai, aur bohot se Fed reserves apna gold hoard kar rahe hain. 4 ghantay ke chart pe notable hai ke price ne 2320 area pe support dhoond liya hai, jo bearish barrier ka kaam kar raha hai, aur further bearish movement ko rok raha hai. Agar price 2320 ke demand zone se rebound ho gayi, to price channel expected hai ke upar ki taraf push karega, aur previous historical high 2436 level ko target karega. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke 2361 resistance level ke upar prolonged consolidation ko monitor karein, taake buyers ki strength market mein validate ho sake.

Conversely, agar price successfully 2320 aur 2298 support levels ko breach kar gayi, to yeh gold ke trend mein significant shift ko indicate karega, aur price 2160 demand zone ko target kar sakti hai.

Haal hi mein, sona ke qeematain ek nayi all-time high tak pohanch gayi thi, jo ke 2443 dollar per ounce ke kareeb thi. Yeh izafa global maali asar, geo-siyasi tanazaat aur maeeshat mein girawat ki wajah se dekha gaya. Gold traditionally ek safe haven asset mana jata hai, jo ke mushkil waqton mein investors ko apni taraf khinchta hai. Jab bhi maeeshat mein uncertainty hoti hai, ya financial markets mein instability hoti hai, investors apne investments ko protect karne ke liye sona khareedna pasand karte hain. Yeh strategy unhein inflation aur currency depreciation ke khatar se mehfooz rakhti hai. Is dafa, jo factors gold ke prices mein izafa ki wajah bane, un mein se ek bada factor America mein Federal Reserve ka interest rates par policy tha. Federal Reserve ne interest rates ko low rakha, jisse borrowing sasti hui aur dollars ki supply zyada hui. Yeh policy inflation ko barhawa de sakti hai, aur investors ko sona khareedne par majboor kar sakti hai taake apne assets ko inflation ke asar se mehfooz rakha ja sake. Geo-siyasi tanazaat bhi ek ahem role ada karte hain. Halat-e-hazira mein Russia aur Ukraine ke darmiyan jang, Middle East mein tensions, aur China-US trade war ne global political stability ko shake kar diya. Yeh factors investors ko sona ki taraf rujhan karne par majboor karte hain, kyun ke sona ek stable aur reliable asset mana jata hai, jo ke geopolitically risky environments mein bhi apni value ko maintain kar sakta hai. Aise mahal mein, jab bhi stock markets crash hoti hain ya cryptocurrencies jaise digital assets ki value girti hai, sona apni shine ko barqarar rakhta hai. Yeh investors ke liye ek reliable hedge mana jata hai against market volatility. Digital currencies ke era mein bhi, sona apni traditional value ko maintain kar raha hai, jo ke investors ke trust aur confidence ko reflect karta hai. Ek aur factor jo sona ke prices mein izafa ka sabab bana, woh global demand aur supply dynamics hain. Covid-19 pandemic ke baad, mining operations aur supply chain disruptions ne sona ki supply ko affect kiya. Saath hi saath, central banks ne bhi sona khareedna shuru kiya apne foreign reserves ko diversify karne ke liye. Yeh demand-supply imbalance bhi prices ke izafa ka ek sabab bana. Tajziya karte hue, yeh kehna ghalat nahi hoga ke sona ki qeemat ka itna zyada barhna multiple factors ka natija hai. Economic policies, geo-political tensions, market instability aur supply-demand dynamics ne collectively gold ke prices ko unprecedented levels tak pohanchaya. Aane wale dino mein, agar ye factors barqarar rehte hain, toh gold ki prices mein mazeed izafa bhi dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Aaj, main gold ke movement ko 4-hour chart pe analyze karna chahta hoon, jo mere nazar mein zyada objective perspective deta hai. Filhal, futures short-term downtrend mein hain, Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar rahe hain, jo bearish momentum indicate karta hai. Stochastic indicator bhi downwards turn ho chuka hai. Pichle trading session ke doran, gold apni decline continue karta raha, pivot level ke neeche consolidate karta raha. Bears ab 2347.88 pe trade kar rahe hain, aur intraday targets classic Pivot levels ki support hain. Main aaj ke current levels se further decline anticipate karta hoon, aur agar pehli support level 2289.20 break ho gayi toh ek nayi wave of gold falling shuru ho sakti hai, jisse movement support line ke neeche 2244.81 ke qareeb extend ho sakta hai. Agar bullish traders wapas aayein, toh unka reference point current chart section mein resistance level 2413.85 hoga. Lekin, Friday ko baad mein, gold ki price gains ko Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index release se cap kiya ja sakta hai, jo Fed ka preferred inflation gauge hai. Agar inflation data expectations se stronger aaya, toh US dollar ko strengthen kar sakta hai aur gold ki upside potential ko limit kar sakta hai.
Technically, daily chart pe gold (XAU/USD) uptrend ka continuation suggest karta hai. Recent price dip ek confluence of technical factors mein support mila. Agar price 2365 range ke upar break karke consolidate karti hai, toh yeh buy opportunity ka signal hoga. Isi tarah, 2348 pe ek false breakout further growth lead kar sakta hai. Conversely, agar 2340 ke neeche consolidation hoti hai, toh yeh sell opportunity ka signal ho sakta hai. Ek aur scenario mein, agar 2365 range ke upar break aur consolidation hoti hai, toh price mein potential rise indicate ho sakti hai. Alternatively, agar 2328 range mein ek false breakout pehle hi ho chuka hai, toh yeh potential growth ka signal ho sakta hai. Possible corrections ke bawajood, overall growth anticipate ki ja rahi hai. 2350 range ka testing further upward movement lead kar sakta hai, halan ke corrective falls bhi ho sakti hain, khaaskar jab small speculators buy karte hain aur larger traders aise positions ko counteract karte hain.

**T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S** **X A U / U S D**

Hello, Instaforex and mt5 Forum members and visitors. Aaj main XAU/USD ke price behavior par aik article likhne ka irada rakhta hoon. Iss waqt, XAU/USD ki price ne 2363.68 zone ko successfully cross kar liya hai. Yeh 2336.84 area mein float kar rahi hai jahan se sellers is bearish movement ko continue kar sakte hain. Dekha gaya hai ke sellers dobara XAU/USD ki price par pressure daal rahe hain, XAU/USD candle ko bearish bana rahe hain, hatta ke is hafte ke aghaz par bhi XAU/USD candle neeche ki taraf move kar rahi hai.

XAU/USD candle filhal neeche ki taraf move kar rahi hai, halan ke candle ka body zyada lamba nahi hai. Doosri taraf, Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator bhi neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai aur level 40 area ki taraf ja raha hai. Saath hi, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator bhi negative level ke neeche trade kar raha hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke current momentum aaj bhi continue hoga. Market prices abhi 50-day exponential moving average ke neeche hain. Indicator yeh dikhata hai ke agar price is moving average ke neeche rehti hai, to price support tak pohanch sakti hai.

**Click image
XAU/USD ka primary resistance level 2363.68 hai. Agar market upward move continue karta hai, to resistance lines 2445.08 aur 2465.76 par touch ho sakti hain. Dusri taraf, market ka downward momentum 2282.29 ke primary support zone ko torh kar agle horizontal support level 2282.29 tak pohanch sakta hai. Aap apna target profit resistance ke aas paas 1929.57 area mein set kar sakte hain jo ke 3rd level of support hai. Trading karte waqt emotional control rakhna mat bhoolain taake heavy losses se bach sakein.

**Chart mein use hone wale indicators:**
- MACD indicator
- RSI indicator period 14
- 50-day exponential moving average (color: Orange)
- 20-day exponential moving average (color: Magenta)

Pichlay haftay, sone ke qeemat mein zabardast izafa dekha gaya aur yeh aik nayi all-time high tak pohanch gayi, jo ke 2446 dollar per ounce ke aas paas thi. Yeh izafa mukhtalif factors ki wajah se tha jo duniya bhar ke financial markets ko mutasir karte hain. Aam tor par, sone ko aik mehfooz sarmaaya kari ke tor par dekha jata hai, aur jab bhi global economic instability ya uncertainty hoti hai, log sone mein invest karna pasand karte hain. Is recent izafa ka aik bara sabab inflation ki wajah se investors ki bechayni thi. Covid-19 pandemic ke baad, kayi mulkon mein central banks ne economic activities ko support karne ke liye interest rates ko kam rakha aur paisay print kiye, jiska nateeja mehngai mein izafa ki surat mein nikla. Jab inflation barhta hai, to investors sone ki taraf rujoo karte hain kyun ke yeh apni value ko mehngai ke tor par barkarar rakhta hai. Dusra important factor geopolitical tensions hain. Hal hi mein, Ukraine aur Russia ke darmiyan tensions aur China aur USA ke darmiyan trade conflicts ne bhi market ko destabilize kiya hai. Aise haalaat mein, investors ko stable aur reliable assets ki zarurat hoti hai, aur sone ko is category mein sab se mehfooz samjha jata hai. Iske ilawa, dollar ki qeemat mein girawat bhi sone ke prices mein izafa ka sabab banti hai. Dollar aur sone ka inverse relationship hota hai, yani jab dollar ki value girti hai, to sone ki qeemat barh jati hai. Recent maheenon mein, dollar index mein kami dekhi gayi hai, jiski wajah se sone mein sarmaaya kari mein izafa hua. Aur phir technical factors bhi hain. Market mein jab bullish trends hotay hain to traders aur speculators is trend ka faida uthate hain aur buying pressure create karte hain, jisse sone ke prices aur barh jate hain. Agar aap sone ke historical prices ko dekhen, to aapko maloom hoga ke sone ne har economic crisis ya geopolitical instability ke doran apni value barhayi hai. 2008 ki financial crisis ke doran bhi sone ke prices mein significant izafa dekha gaya tha. Is bar bhi kuch waise hi haalaat hain jinki wajah se investors sone ko ek safe haven asset ke tor par dekh rahe hain. Ye nayi all-time high is baat ka clear indication hai ke investors ko aglay kuch maheenon mein bhi economic aur geopolitical uncertainties ka samna karna par sakta hai.

Aise haalaat mein, sone ki qeemat mein mazeed izafa bhi dekha ja sakta hai. Phir bhi, yeh dekhna zaruri hai ke aane wale waqt mein global economic policies aur geopolitical haalaat kis tarah se evolve karte hain, kyun ke yeh sab factors mil kar sone ke prices ko influence karte hain.

**Gold H4 Time Frame**
H4 time chart par gold ki price thodi si pullback ke baad north ki taraf gayi, magar phir price mein uncertainty ka period aaya aur price southward push hui. Is movement ne aik choti si bearish reversal candle banayi, jo local support level 2345 ke paas close hui.

H4 (four-hour) time frame traders ke liye khaas ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunki yeh short-term aur medium-term trading perspectives ko balance karta hai, aur price movements aur trends ke bare mein insights deta hai jo H1 (one-hour) jaise shorter time frames ya daily charts par itne wazeh nahi hote. Is case mein, initial upward pullback ne prevailing market conditions ke andar temporary relief rally suggest ki, yeh indicate karte hue ke buyers control wapas lene ki koshish kar rahe thein ya phir short positions ka brief covering tha.

Magar yeh northward movement short-lived thi, aur market ne jald hi uncertainty ke signs dikhaye. Price ka south ki taraf push renewed selling pressure ko indicate karta hai, jisse bearish reversal candle bani. H4 chart par bearish reversal candle aik critical indicator hota hai, jo aksar suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho raha hai aur sellers dobara dominate kar rahe hain.

Yeh particular bearish reversal candle choti thi, jo yeh imply karta hai ke downward pressure to tha, magar woh us waqt itna strong nahi tha. Phir bhi, yeh candle local support level 2345 ke paas close hui, jo is price action ko significance deti hai. 2345 level traders ke liye critical point of interest ban gaya hai. Support levels wo areas hote hain jahan buyers aam tor par price ko aur girne se rokte hain, magar agar yeh level hold nahi karta, to aur ziada substantial downward movements aa sakti hain.

Market ka behavior is support level ke aas paas closely monitor kiya jayega. Agar price 2345 ke upar hold karti hai aur possibly wapas bounce karti hai, to yeh indicate karega ke support level strong hai aur buyers abhi bhi market mein active hain. Yeh scenario potential recovery ya kam az kam aik consolidation phase ko lead kar sakta hai jahan price aik defined range ke andar fluctuate karti rahe.

Dosri taraf, agar price 2345 support level ko break karti hai, to yeh market sentiment mein aik significant shift ko signal karega. Aisi breach aur ziada selling trigger kar sakti hai, jisse pronounced bearish trend ho sakta hai. Traders phir agle support levels ko dekhain ge, shayad neeche, taake andaza laga saken ke market kahan stabilize ho sakta hai.