Gold

XAUUSD Technical Analysis.


h1 time frame



Subha mein likha tha keemat chadh rahi thi ascending channel ke andar se, jismein ek upper exit hua, keemat palat gayi aur neeche jaane lagi, phir se pair ne ascending channel ke andar dakhil ho gaya. Ab aap upper border ko thoda alag taur par bana sakte hain ke keemat ne is channel ke upper border tak pahuncha, yeh hai 2070 ka level, jiske baad pair mein ulta palat hua aur keemat ne neeche jaane ka aghaz kiya. Ab pair Monday se neeche jaari reh sakta hai aur pair inverted triangle ke lower border tak gir sakta hai, yani ke level tak.

Rainbow bullish continuation mein mujhe zyada yakeen nahi hai, kai aane wale holidays ke baare mein chinta hai; hafta volatility ke saath hamain khushi nahi dega. At the end of the day, humne dakshin mein kafi neeche gir gaye hain, whereas trading is abhi bhi Mashka ke upar jaari hai, jo ki bulls ko bacha raha hai.
Amumtaur par, wahaan draw kiya gaya tha, main maanta hoon ke woh momentary hoga, taaki traders ko lagay ke zindagi shehed jaisi na lage. Lekin tab bhi main kisi bhi asli giravat ke baare mein nahi keh sakta, ki 2032 zone wahaan pahunchne ka samay na aaye.

Mumkinh hai ke XAU/USD ki taraf ki taraf aur oonchaaiyon tak pohnchne ka doosra rasta bhi ho. Ye tasawwur ke qeemat mein izafah market sentiment aur mojooda maqasid ke mutabiq key support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan mein harkat kar sakta hai. If XAU/USD 2048 ke zaroori support level ko paar karta hai, to behtar hai ke aik sell position ka tajaweez kiya jaye. Is surat-e-haal mein, ek moqadim taur ko 2027.35 par tay karna behtareen hai, taake mumkinh nuksan ko kam kiya ja sake. Is maqsood nishan 2040 ke qareeb hota hai, jo ke aik shumar kiya gaya risk-reward ratio ke mutabiq hai?


h4 time frame


Sona ki keemat mein tezi se kami hui ki izafah ne Central bank ke ummedon ko kamzor kiya ek saal pehle ki jald hi interest rate cut ke liye. Taqreeban press time ke mutabiq, spot gold par trade ho raha tha $2,058.77 per ounce, din ke 0.32% kam. Is waqt kisi bhi market mein kam trading volume nahi hai, khaas kar jab hum all-time highs ke qareeb aate hain? Keematon ka yeh dobara taqreeb e mukaaf phir se barhna be shak is se juda hua hai loan rate expectations aur ek kamzor dollar se. Darakhwast karne wale logon ki tadad pichle haftay mein izafah kiya, is ka matlub hai ke kaam ka bazar is saal ke akhri hisse mein thanda ho raha hai. Investors have an 88% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in March, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Non-yielding gold ko ko hold karne ki opportunity cost ko kam karte hain.

Maine yeh hisaab lagaya hai ke yahan ek horizontal triangle ke roop mein guzra, 2050 mein khatam hua. Yeh ek general trend ko darust karta hai aur ise nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Iska koi tareeqa nahi hai ke 2088 se aage jaye kyunki yeh primary trend ka continuation hai, iska koi tareeqa nahi hai. Ek aur sawaal hai ke hamain abhi jo hai, isse aage yeh izafah humein kahan le jayega. Ghalati ko durust karne ke liye abhi tak kaam baaki hai. Haalanki, yeh mojooda impulse, 2032 se pehle ikhtitam tak pohanchne se pehle, iske uttar mein asar andaz hoga. Aaj ki duniya mein, aaj ki duniya mein, aise maqamat aam hai
Hourly chart par channel clear trend dikha raha hai jismein chote arsey mein sales corrective hote hain. Buyers tak pohanchne ki koshish ki hai, umeed karte hue ke descent ruk jayega aur uske baad bullish reaction aayega, jo buyer ki mojudgi ko signal karega. Maqsad upper channel 2093.77 ki taraf growth hai, toh purchases cancel hojayengi, jisse seller ki taqat aur trend change ki possibility ka andaza ho sakta hai.

Mujhe umeed hai aur neeche ki taraf movement jari rahegi, aur session khatam hone tak 2048 tak girne ki umeed hai, jisse mere sales network se profit ho. Aaj dollar ke liye khaas news nahi hai, jo short-term initiative ko bhadha sakti hai aur neeche ki taraf volatility create kar sakti hai.

Currency pair quotes for the H1 timeframe are shown below. The trend is confirmed on the higher H4 timeframe. Trends in H1 and H4 are aligning. To confirm, focus on the HamaSystem, RSI Trend, and Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators. Short trade ko prompt karegi if hama aur RSI se red signal aane par seller-dominated market samjhi ja sakti hai. Exiting magnetic levels are a must, as are potential processing levels in 2039. Earnings in the trailing period are expected to rise.

INTRODUCTION OF GOLD ANALYSIS AT 2 HOUR TIME FRAMES OVERVIEW:


Aoa, Ummid karta hon Ap Sab Theek say hon gy AJ Hi Gold ko one HOUR ka tile body par evaluation kiya jay to is times par jo Gold ki rate ha ya one hour ka chart frames par ya 1923.89 par move kar rahi ha or is gold ko evaluations karay to 1 hour ka chart frame par jo resistance lebel ha ya better ke janab 1930.17 par ha or is gold ki jo fee ha ya one hour ka time frame par is resistance level 1930.17 ko hit kar ka lowered ke janab reversal ho kar a rahi ha or is Gold ki fee phir sa one hour ka time frame par higher ke janab jata hua jo resistance stage ha 1930.17 ka is resistance stage ko agar Gold ki jo one hour ke candles ha ya is 1930.17 ka degree ko hit karti ha or ya jo gold ki one hour ke candle ha ya is 1935.17 ka degree ko hit kar ka is resistance stage sa down ma near hoti ha to dealer is ma promote ke trade ko input karay ga or is gold ki charge agar lowered ke janab jati ha to decrease ma jo aid level ha is gold ka one hour ka time body par ya 1910.71 par ha or is Gold ki Price one hours ka (CHART) body par decrease ke jnab jati ha or decrease ke traf jati hoi is Gold ki jo one hour ke candles ha ya decreased ma jo aid stages ha 1911.71 ka is degree ko agar Gold ki one hours ke candles lower ma is support level ko hit karti ha or ya Gold ki onr hour ke candles is 1914.Seventy one ka stagesa high ma near hoti ha to traders is gold ma purchase ke alternate ko identifying karein gy Tu Trad ho gy.



GOLD ANALYSIS AT H4 HOUR'S TIME FRAME'S OVERVIEW:



Friend's jab Gold Four hours wala time frame par is Gold ko evaluation kiya jay to is Gold ki ho charge ha 4 hours ka time Frames par ya indecision circulated kar rahi ha or is time par buyer's ko Gold ka 4 hourd ka time frame par koi bhi signal ni mil raha ha agar is Gold ko four hourd ka (CHART) par analysis karay to is Gold ka 4 hours ka time Frames par jo Resistance level ha ya 1937.Sixty seven par ha or is gold ka four hours ka chart body par jo help degree ha ya 1910.27 par ha or is Gold ki price jo gour hours ka (CHART) Frame par ha is par agar Gold ki fee downward ke janab pass karti hoi jati ha or decreases ma jo guide degree ha 1910.27 ka is help stage ko agar gold ki 4 hours ke candles lower ma jata hua hit karti ha or ya jo Four hours ke candles ha ya is Gold ka four hours ka time frame par jo help degrees ha 1907.27 sa high ma near hoti ha to trader is ma buy ke trade ko input karay ga or is gold ki price agar high ke janab jati ha to high ma Gold ka 4 hours ka time frame par jo resistance degree ha 1939.Sixty seven ka is resistance stage ko agar Gold ki jo four hours ke candles ha ya excessive ma jata hua hit karti ha or is Gold ki ya 4 hours walai candles is resistance stage 1938.Sixty seven sa decreases ma near hoti ha to trader ko is Gold ki price ka downwards jana ka Sign Mila ga or investor's is Gold ma promote ke changing say Entry Len gy.

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H1 Timeframe Analysis

Gold ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, pichhle haftay mein sonay ke daamon ne ahem support 1981 ke darjeyon par paya, jo mazeed girawat se bacha. Daam foran behtar hua, 2009 ke darjeyon par muntazir mawafiqi todkar 2050 ke darjeyon tak pahunch gaya, jahan ab yeh mustaqil hai. Is dauran, keemat ka chart green supertrend zone mein dakhil hua, jo kharidaron ki taraf se dabao ko darust karti hai.

Aaj ki technical analysis ke nazariye se aur 1 ghante ke chart par gehrayi se nazar daalne par, asaan moving averages rozana ke upar darust keemat ki taraf madad kar rahe hain, jabke bears ki relative strength ko ek saaf positive signal se naviagte kiya ja raha hai. Yahan se, intraday trading 2070 ke upar aur amm taur par pehle todi gayi resistance ke upar sthirta bana rahi hai. Yeh 2065 ke role reversal concept se support bana di gayi hai. 23.60% ki sahiyat ke sath, boom scenario sahi aur durust rehta hai. Pehla maqsood 2096 par pahunch gaya hai, jo ke barhne se aur tezi se uptrend ki taqat ko barhaata hai, pehle taur par seedha raasta kholta hai 2105 ki taraf. Tawaja dilate hue, agar ghantay ki mombati kam se kam 2065 ke neeche band ho gayi, to keemat ko waqtan-fa-waqtan neeche ki taraf dabao ka samna karna pare ga. Yeh 2051 aur 2045 ke support darjeyon ko dobara azmaane ka mouqa dene ka bais bhi ho sakta hai.




H4 Timeframe Analysis

Keemat abhi apne haftay ke unchaayi se kai had tak oopar hai. Is dauran, resistance ke purane ilaqa ki jangal mein dakhil ho raha hai aur is par bohot zor hai. Antim toot abhi tak nahi hua hai, iska matlab hai ke yeh hamein neeche ke vector par pehle mawafiqi dene mein madadgar hai. Keemat ka pullback jo 2009 ke darjeyon ke neeche stabilizes hoga (major resistance zone ki had), yeh isay tasdeeq karega. Is ilaqa se agla pullback dusre neeche jane wale manzire 1952 aur 1914 ki taraf mouqa farahem karega.

Mausooli manzire ko todne ka signal hoga ke resistance ke upar break hua hai aur 2050 ki u-turn ki had mein gir gaya hai. Chart neeche dekhein:

Gold price technical analysis:

1-hour time frame:


Gold price ko agar ham h1 time frame pay analyzed kartay hain to h1 chart pay price 2059.50 pivot point line say aik big bullish candle k sath dwnward breakout k sath closed hue hai. agar chart pay ham custom indicator ki reading ko daikhtay hain to osma indicator levels k center main sell ka signal show kar raha hai. agar current price buy ki movements ko start karty hai to chart pay price ki up movements k chances strong ban saktay hain jiska target ooper 2076.50 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 2081.00 resistance zones ko test kar sakty hai.


agar current price 1 hour chart pay reversed hoty hai, aur sath central point line k sell main breakout karty hai to chart pay price ki dwnward movements k chances ban saktay hain, jiska target neechay 2052.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 2047.50 levels ko test kar sakty hai. Mairay analysis k hisab say price ka current temporary trend again buy ka start ho chuka hai, aur sath price central point line k bhi up main breakout kar chuki hai, is liye chances yahi hain k price strongly tour par resistance levels ko test kar sakty hai.







4-hour chart:




gold price ko agar ham h4 time frame pay analyzed kartay hain to h1 chart pay price 2059.50 pivot point line say aik big bullish candle k sath dwnward breakout k sath closed hue hai. agar chart pay ham custom indicator ki reading ko daikhtay hain to osma indicator levels k center main sell ka signal show kar raha hai. agar current price buy ki movements ko start karty hai to chart pay price ki up movements k chances strong ban saktay hain jiska target ooper 2076.50 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 2081.00 resistance zones ko test kar sakty hai.


agar current price 4 hour chart pay reversed hoty hai, aur sath central point line k sell main breakout karty hai to chart pay price ki dwnward movements k chances ban saktay hain, jiska target neechay 2052.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 2047.50 levels ko test kar sakty hai. Mairay analysis k hisab say price ka current temporary trend again buy ka start ho chuka hai, aur sath price central point line k bhi up main breakout kar chuki hai, is liye chances yahi hain k price strongly tour par resistance levels ko test kar sakty hai.

XAU/USD: Gold ki Tehqeeq aur Trading Ki Tadabeer

Halaat ka Jaiza:


Meri pehli analysis mein yeh kaha gaya tha ke 2054.00 par girawat ka intezar hai, jahan 200-day Exponential Moving Average mojood hai, lekin 2059.00 par support mila aur price EMA-34 tak pohanchi. Haal hi mein aayi khabron ke mutabiq, sonay ki keemat mein kami aayi, jab price $2,061 par stable hui. Yeh tabdeeli Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke umeed se judi zyada ummidon ka asar kam hone se juri hai. Baat chal rahi hai ke Fed rate cuts ki silsila shuru karne ki soch rahi hai, aur woh March 2024 ke aaspaas iska aaghaz karne ka soch rahi hai.

Aanay Wale Factors for XAU/USD:


Aage dekhte hain, sonay ka market kuch ahem arqami signals ka jawab denay ke liye tayyar ho raha hai, khaas karke United States ki Employment aur Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ki upcoming release ke liye. In indicators ko detectives ki tarah samjha ja sakta hai jo humein sonay ke prices ke mazeed razz-o-niaz mein madad karte hain. Socho inhe ek dance party ki tarah jahan economic signals aur market ke tabdeeliyon ke darmiyan naach rahe hain, har ek gold price ki chal economic data aur market influences ka kamaal dikha rahi hai. Yeh ek naazuk tasalsul hai, jahan har mod aur murne se ek kahani saaf hoti hai ke arzi data aur financial markets ki dhun kya keh rahi hain.

Tajziya aur Trading Ki Tehqeeq:

H1 Timeframe:


Chhoti arzi H1 timeframe mein, asset ab bearish flag pattern dikha raha hai. Do din pehle ek ahem stage aaya jab isne do Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), khaas karke 34 aur 50 EMAs ko tor diya. Market band hone se pehle in averages ko wapas hasil karne ki koshish karne ke bawajood, asset ko resistance ka saamna karna pada aur solid base dhoondhna mushkil ho gaya. 2059 mein support milne ke baad bhi, moving averages se recover karna mushkil raha.

Is support level tak pohonchnay ke baad, sellers ne dabao dala, jiski wajah se ek inverted hammer candle bani. Lekin agli ghante mein, doosri bearish lambi candle aayi, jisse yeh zahir ho raha hai ke agle haftay market bearish pressure ke saath shuru hoga, jiske nataijan mein EMA-200 ko 2054.00 par chu sakta hai.


Price Trend Ki Tawajjo:


Price ke trend ko dekhte hue wazeh ho raha hai ke woh nichay ki taraf ja raha hai aur ek lower high bana raha hai. Yeh ishara deta hai ke bulls ko trend ko upside mein badalne ke liye liquidity ki talash karni hogi. Iss tarah, sona mumkin hai ke ek correction phase mein ja sakta hai, jahan takriban 2046.00 tak pohonch sakta hai. Traders ko in halaat ko nazar andaz na karna chahiye, taake woh maahir faislon ke liye tayyar rahen.

Gold Daily Time Frame Analysis

Daily Gold Chart Ki Tafseelat

Daily gold chart ki tafseeli jaiza mein, ek wazeh pattern saamne aaya jab gold mein fluctuations nazar aaye, phir ek noticeable recovery hui. Line 2074 par aik ahem lamha tha, jahan upper pressure kam hua, jo planned repair trajectory ke saath milta tha. Uske baad, trough kam hua, takreeban 2058 tak pohanch gaya.

Is market trajectory ke darmiyan, overall trend pehle ke forecasts ke kareeb raha, jis ne gold market ke movements mein ek had tak predictable hone ka izhar kiya. Khaas tor par, market ki halat is doran relative strength maintain ki, jo forecasted repair process mein confidence ko mazeed buland kiya.

Lekin, gold price dynamics ka comprehensive understanding hasil karne ke liye, multifaceted factors ka tawazun rakhna zaroori hai. Economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur prevailing market sentiment, sab gold prices ke intricate dance mein significant role play karte hain. Economic indicators jaise ke inflation rates aur interest rate changes, gold ko ek hedge against economic uncertainties ke tor par influence karte hain, jo investor confidence ko affect karte hain.

Geopolitical events, jaise ke trade tensions ya geopolitical crises, sudden fluctuations aur uncertainties introduce kar sakte hain, precious metals market ko impact karte hain. Is ke ilawa, market sentiment, jo investor perceptions aur behavior se shape hoti hai, short-term price movements ke peechay ek driving force ban sakti hai.

Isi liye, jabke dekha gaya trend forecasts ke saath milta hai aur market strong nazar aata hai, toh zaroori hai ke vigilant rahen aur economic indicators aur geopolitical factors ke broader context ko consider karen, gold market ke dynamics ko nuanced understanding ke liye. Ye multifaceted approach investors aur analysts ko dynamic gold trading ke landscape mein informed decisions lene mein madad karta hai.

Forex trading strategy
GOLD
Assalam Alaikum!
Iftetahi ghanti ke bad se, sona pahle hi $10 se zyada izafa kar chuka hai, jo keh musalsal rally ka ishara karta hai.
Is tarah, mujhe peeli dhat par short position banaye rakhne ya kholne ki koi wajah nazar nahin aati. Mai tawaqqo karta hun keh sona badhega. Agar qimat 2,080 ki muzahmati satah se ooper toot jati hai to, dhat 2,100 ke nishan tak chadh jayegi aur nayi bulandiyon ki taraf badhegi.
Market par dobara control hasil karne ke liye, bears ko qimat ko 2,040 ke nishan se niche le jane ki zarurat hai. Halankeh, is scenario ka imkan kam nazar aata hai.

Gold price technical analysis:

H1 time frame outlook:



Gold price ko agar ham h1 time frame pay analyzed kartay hain to h1 chart pay price 2064.00 pivot point line say aik big bullish candle k sath dwnward breakout k sath closed hue hai. agar chart pay ham custom indicator ki reading ko daikhtay hain to osma indicator levels k center main sell ka signal show kar raha hai. agar current price buy ki movements ko start karty hai to chart pay price ki up movements k chances strong ban saktay hain jiska target ooper 2072.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 2080.00 resistance zones ko test kar sakty hai.


agar current price 1 hour chart pay reversed hoty hai, aur sath central point line k sell main breakout karty hai to chart pay price ki dwnward movements k chances ban saktay hain, jiska target neechay 2057.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 2051.00 levels ko test kar sakty hai. Mairay analysis k hisab say price ka current temporary trend again buy ka start ho chuka hai, aur sath price central point line k bhi up main breakout kar chuki hai, is liye chances yahi hain k price strongly tour par resistance levels ko test kar sakty hai.


4-hour time frame:


price ko agar ham h4 time frame pay analyzed kartay hain to h1 chart pay price 2064.00 pivot point line say aik big bullish candle k sath dwnward breakout k sath closed hue hai. agar chart pay ham custom indicator ki reading ko daikhtay hain to osma indicator levels k center main sell ka signal show kar raha hai. agar current price buy ki movements ko start karty hai to chart pay price ki up movements k chances strong ban saktay hain jiska target ooper 2072.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 2080.00 resistance zones ko test kar sakty hai.


agar current price 4 hours chart pay reversed hoty hai, aur sath central point line k sell main breakout karty hai to chart pay price ki dwnward movements k chances ban saktay hain, jiska target neechay 2057.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 2051.00 levels ko test kar sakty hai. Mairay analysis k hisab say price ka current temporary trend again buy ka start ho chuka hai, aur sath price central point line k bhi up main breakout kar chuki hai, is liye chances yahi hain k price strongly tour par resistance levels ko test kar sakty hai.

GOLD PRICE ANALYSIS:

1-HOUR CHART:

Gold price ko agar ham h1 time frame pay analyzed kartay hain to h1 chart pay price 2048.00 pivot point line say aik big bearish candle k sath dwnward breakout k sath closed hue hai. agar chart pay ham custom indicator ki reading ko daikhtay hain to osma indicator levels k center main sell ka signal show kar raha hai. agar current price buy ki movements ko start karty hai to chart pay price ki up movements k chances strong ban saktay hain jiska target ooper 2031.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 2027.00 support zones ko test kar sakty hai.


agar current price 1 hour chart pay bounced hoty hai, aur sath central point line k buy main breakout karty hai to chart pay price ki upward movements k chances ban saktay hain, jiska target ooper 2056.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 2065.00 levels ko test kar sakty hai. Mairay analysis k hisab say price ka current temporary trend again sell ka start ho chuka hai, aur sath price central point line k bhi bearish main breakout kar chuki hai, is liye chances yahi hain k price strongly tour par support levels ko test kar sakty hai.

4-HOUR CHART:

price ko agar ham h4 time frame pay analyzed kartay hain to h1 chart pay price 2048.00 pivot point line say aik big bearish candle k sath dwnward breakout k sath closed hue hai. agar chart pay ham custom indicator ki reading ko daikhtay hain to osma indicator levels k center main sell ka signal show kar raha hai. agar current price buy ki movements ko start karty hai to chart pay price ki up movements k chances strong ban saktay hain jiska target ooper 2031.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 2027.00 support zones ko test kar sakty hai.


agar current price 4 hour chart pay bounced hoty hai, aur sath central point line k buy main breakout karty hai to chart pay price ki upward movements k chances ban saktay hain, jiska target ooper 2056.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 2065.00 levels ko test kar sakty hai. Mairay analysis k hisab say price ka current temporary trend again sell ka start ho chuka hai, aur sath price central point line k bhi bearish main breakout kar chuki hai, is liye chances yahi hain k price strongly tour par support levels ko test kar sakty hai.

Gold price technical outlook:

4-hour chart:

Gold price ko agar ham 4 hours time frame pay analyzed kartay hain to h4 chart pay price 2005.00 pivot point line say aik big bullish candle k sath upward breakout k sath closed hue hai. agar chart pay ham custom indicator ki reading ko daikhtay hain to osma indicator levels k center main buy ka signal show kar raha hai. agar current price buy ki movements ko start karty hai to chart pay price ki up movements k chances strong ban saktay hain jiska target ooper 2100.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 2135.00 resistance zones ko test kar sakty hai.



agar current price 4 hours chart pay reversed hoty hai, aur sath central point line k sell main breakout karty hai to chart pay price ki dwnward movements k chances ban saktay hain, jiska target neechay 1970.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 1930.00 levels ko test kar sakty hai. Mairay analysis k hisab say price ka current temporary trend again buy ka start ho chuka hai, aur sath price central point line k bhi bullish main breakout kar chuki hai, is liye chances yahi hain k price strongly tour par resistance levels ko test kar sakty hai.


Daily time frame:


Gold price ko agar ham daily time frame pay analyzed kartay hain to h4 chart pay price 2005.00 pivot point line say aik big bullish candle k sath upward breakout k sath closed hue hai. agar chart pay ham custom indicator ki reading ko daikhtay hain to osma indicator levels k center main buy ka signal show kar raha hai. agar current price buy ki movements ko start karty hai to chart pay price ki up movements k chances strong ban saktay hain jiska target ooper 2100.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 2135.00 resistance zones ko test kar sakty hai.



agar current price daily chart pay reversed hoty hai, aur sath central point line k sell main breakout karty hai to chart pay price ki dwnward movements k chances ban saktay hain, jiska target neechay 1970.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 1930.00 levels ko test kar sakty hai. Mairay analysis k hisab say price ka current temporary trend again buy ka start ho chuka hai, aur sath price central point line k bhi bullish main breakout kar chuki hai, is liye chances yahi hain k price strongly tour par resistance levels ko test kar sakty hai.

Sona Ki Keemat Mein Izafa

1. Roshan Report Aur Sona:


Sona ki keemat ne US Nonfarm Payrolls report ki takmeel ke baad uthaal-puthaal ki thi. Jabke 216,000 naye rozgar shamil hote huay tawaqo se behtar sabit hue aur pehle ki tareekh ko bhi paar kar diya, bazaar ko yeh tawaqo thi keh baras mein baad mein rozgar ki darkhwast mein kami hogi wajaah is baat ki thi keh aksar kaam ki tabdeeli hoti rehti hai. Dilchasp baat ye hai keh berozgar ki shara e 3.7% per qaim rahi, jis se thori izafah ki umeedain khilafi raheen. Intehai, US Dollar Index ko itni asar nahi pohanchi, jis se sona jo keh dollar mein qeemat lagti hai, us per koi khaas asar na hua. Ab sab nazrain December ki US mahangi data ki taraf mojood hain, khaas tor per core CPI jo keh 3.8% tak barhne ki tawaqo hai. Mazeed izafa-e-mahangi dollar ko buland kar sakta hai aur sona jo keh dollar mein qeemat lagta hai us per asar dal sakta hai. Is halat-e-hazira mein bhi, sona ki oonchi hawalaat mazeed behtar hain. Qeematon mein October 2022 se izafa ho raha hai, jis per long-term chart mein oonchi oonchi aur neechi neechi qeematon ki saaf shakal hai. Jabke haftawar ki chart ki technical nishandahian kuch wapas jane ki taraf ishara karti hain, 2,079 resistance ke paar uthne se sona apni purani bulandi 2,144.60 ko dobara test kar sakta hai.

2. Naye Tareeqay Aur Sona:


Us se aage ki taaqat sona ko be-tareeqi se mukhtalif paron mein le ja sakti hai, jis se aise saaf numbers jaise 2,200 aur 2,300 per kharidari ki taqat aur stop-loss orders ajaib uttha sakte hain. Shuruat mein yeh leval mazeed izafa ki manzil mein rukawat bhi sabit ho sakte hain, lekin mustawar josh aur taaqat se sona mazeed bulandiyan chho sakta hai. Mutasira, sona ki qareebi tareeqah aane wale mahangi data aur us per dollar ka asar ke upar hai. Lekin lambi tadad mein, tawaqo behtar hai, aur agar kharidari mukammal qabu mein rahe aur technical mushkilat ko paar karein, to mazeed record bulandiyan mumkin hain. Aankhon khulay rakhain in muqaddas numbers per, woh sona ki jari rally mein muqablay ki jaga ban sakte hain.

Sona Ki Keemat Aur Market Ki Tawajjo

1. Sona Ki Qeemat Mein Izafa:


Juma ko sona ki keemat mein munasib intraday izafa dekha gaya jabke maheenaana rozgar ki tawazo behtar sabit hui, lekin is ke baad koi mazeed amal nahi hua. Jab Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki raftar ke baray mein shak paida hua to $2,064 ke qareeb josh khatham ho gaya, jo trading karne walay ko be-asar sonay ki taraf taraf mazboot faisley karne se rokta hai. Aanay wale U.S. maheenaana maali data ne stable maeeshat ki taraf ishara kiya, central bank ki aggressive policy easing ki umeedon ko bhaganay wale halaat mein, Fed officials ke saaf izhaar ke sath. Yeh US Treasury bond yields ko barhata hai, jo ke U.S. dollar ke liye rukawat ka kaam karta hai aur sonay ki keemat ko kam karta hai Juma ko Asian session mein. Yeh kehte hain keh kam risk tone XAU/USD ke liye nuqsaan ko hadood mein rakh sakta hai. China ki darust maeeshat ki bharpoor bahaali ke khof, sath hi siasat danon ke khatre ne investor sentiment ko mutasir kiya, jo U.S. equity futures mein naye record ki taraf izhaar ki gayi.

2. Mustawar Harkat Aur Sona:


Yeh mamoor bana rahay ga keh kharidari ki taraf aur dubara aik haftay puranay downtrend ko shuru karne ke liye, mazboot follow-through ka intezaar karna zaroori hai. Technical nazar se, koi mazeed giraawat Juma ke low, $2,024 ke qareeb, ya $2,030 level ke qareeb se kuch madad hasil kar sakta hai. Kuch follow-through bechnay ko naye impetus ke tor par dekha jaye ga aur yeh sonay ki keemat ko $2,012-2,011 ke qareeb 50-day simple moving average ki taraf le jaye ga. Agla qadam $2,000 psychological mark ke taraf hai, jo agar tor diya jaye to mazeed qareebi izafa ke liye rasta khul jaaye ga. Dosri taraf, $2,050 ke qareeb josh ke parivartan ke baad, $2,064-2,065 ke area ke qareeb mazeed rukawat ka saamna karna mumkin hai. Upar diye gaye rukawat se mukammal taaqat mukammal ho sakti hai aur sona ke qeemat ko $2,100 ke aas paas ki taraf le jaye ga. Kuch follow-through kharidari, kisi bhi manfi nazar ko mansookh kar de ga aur qareebi bias ko fawran bullish traders ki taraf mehfooz kar dega.

SONA (XAUUSD) Tafseeli Tehqiq 08 Jan 2024

1. Daily Chart Ki Nazar Mein:
XAU/USD ke daily chart par nazar daaltay hain, toh yeh saaf nazar aata hai ke sona ne doosre mubarak din apnay 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke qareeb sahara paya hai. Lekin, 20 SMA mein koi mazboot rukh ya signal nahi hai, aur dono 100 aur 200 SMAs $1,950 ke qareeb milte hain lekin koi khaas slope nahi hai. Technical indicators neutral levels mein hain, jahan Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator flat hai, jabkeh Momentum abhi bhi halki si nichli taraf dikh raha hai. Inn tafseelat ke bawajood, bearish potential kamzor nazar aata hai, khaas tor par jab tak sona $2,030 ke base ke ooper rahay.

2. Qareebi Muddat Ke Chart Ki Roshni Mein:
4-hour chart ke mutabiq, XAU/USD pair ek neutral stance rakh raha hai. Sona abhi 20 SMA ke neechay trade kar raha hai lekin flat 100 SMA ke ooper hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke technical indicators, jinhein abhi bhi negative levels mein dekha jaa raha hai, halkay izafaat ke rukh par mojud hain, ishara karte hue ke intraday session mein kharidari bechnay walay ko paar kar rahi hai.

3. Support Aur Resistance Levels:
XAU/USD ke liye key support levels 2,031.00, 2,015.50 aur 1,998.65 par hain, jabkeh potential resistance levels 2,040.20, 2,052.30 aur 2,065.45 par hain.

4. Bunyadi Manzar Par Nazar:
XAU/USD $2,040 ke area mein taqreeban be-naqis trade kar raha hai, aur Thursday ke American session mein halkay tabdeeliyon ka samna kar raha hai. US Dollar ko Wednesday raat ko halki dabaav ka samna karna para, jab mixed US data aur FOMC Meeting Minutes ki release hue, jahan 2024 mein rate cuts ki mumkinat par guftagu ki gayi lekin koi saaf timeline nahi tha. Khaas tor par, private job creation par ADP survey expectations ko par kar ke nikla, jahan 164K naye positions shamil hue, ishara dete hue ke maeeshat mein pandamic se pehle hiring ke mutabiq maeeshat hai aur stability ki taraf ishara karta hai. Friday ko anay wala Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report ka intezar beshak hai, jahan September mein 170K naye jobs ki shamil hone ki roshni mein roshni daalne ki umeed hai.

Sona Market Ki Taza Tareekhi Tehqiq

1. Taza Sarf Ki Bunyad Par Urooj:
Sona market ki halat mein ek aham urooj nazar aya hai, jahan yeh local maximum par 2080 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh mukhtalif analysts aur investors dono ke liye dilchaspi ka markaz hai. Is local maximum ke ooper se guzarnay aur is par mazboot sahara qaabil muqarar karna, mahsoos hota hai ke madhya muddat tak taqatwar izaafa ke liye ek behtareen manzar bana sakta hai.

2. Taza Tehqiqat Ki Roshni Mein:
Is urooj ki taraf barhne ki manzil, mustamar kharidari ke koshishon se guzar rahi hai. Kuch bechnay walon ki dabaav mein thora sa kamzor honay ki waja se, 2020 range mein thora sa niche aa gaya. Lekin is muddat ke baad bhi mazeed izaafa ke hawalay se taqatwar umeed hai.

3. Aham Manzar Par Tawajjo:
Yeh nishan-e-izaafi ke mukammal hone se aik taqatwar aur mustamar bullish trend ka aghaaz ho sakta hai jo investors aur market participants ki tawajjo ko apni taraf mabzool kar sakta hai. Naye tabdeeliyon ki tehqiqat se ye samajh aata hai ke bechnay walon ne kuch dabaav dala hai, jis ki waja se upar diye gaye pullback hua. Lekin in tabdeeliyon ke darmiyan, mustamar izaafa ke liye bohot zyada imkaanat maujood hain.

4. Positive Market Sentiment Ki Ehmiyat:
Market ki mazbooti aur kharidari walon ki imtiaz ke istiqamat mein bhi yeh dono ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Jab market barhti hai, to market sentiment ki ahamiyat aur bhi zyada gehri ho jati hai. Kharidari walon ki mehnat aur ek mustaqil umeed se, is waqt ke level ke ooper mazeed izaafa ke hawalay se umeedon ka manzar mazeed roshan nazar aata hai. Aik aham baat yeh hai ke sona market ab aik aham manzil par hai, jahan strategy aur mustaqil irada se taqatwar aur mustamar bullish momentum ka aghaaz kiya ja sakta hai.

Gold price outlook:


H1 TIME FRAME LOUCK


Hourly chart par channel clear trend dikha raha hai jismein chote arsey mein sales corrective hote hain. Buyers tak pohanchne ki koshish ki hai, umeed karte hue ke descent ruk jayega aur uske baad bullish reaction aayega, jo buyer ki mojudgi ko signal karega. Maqsad upper channel 2093.77 ki taraf growth hai, toh purchases cancel hojayengi, jisse seller ki taqat aur trend change ki possibility ka andaza ho sakta hai.

Mujhe umeed hai aur neeche ki taraf movement jari rahegi, aur session khatam hone tak 2048 tak girne ki umeed hai, jisse mere sales network se profit ho. Aaj dollar ke liye khaas news nahi hai, jo short-term initiative ko bhadha sakti hai aur neeche ki taraf volatility create kar sakti hai.

Thursday's gold movement has touched the middle Bollinger band 2069, jisse aur neeche jaane ki alamat dikhai di. The RSI is falling, and the focus upper MA is at 2060. Iska natija karega ke price neeche jaata hai ya upper band 2084 ki taraf mud jata hai. If the price falls below 2051, the Bollinger band and the lower MA will be broken.
Currency pair quotes for the H1 timeframe are shown below. The trend is confirmed on the higher H4 timeframe. Trends in H1 and H4 are aligning. To confirm, focus on the HamaSystem, RSI Trend, and Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators. Short trade ko prompt karegi if hama aur RSI se red signal aane par seller-dominated market samjhi ja sakti hai. Exiting magnetic levels are a must, as are potential processing levels in 2039. Earnings in the trailing period are expected to rise.

Sona ki keemat mein tezi se kami hui ki izafah ne Central bank ke ummedon ko kamzor kiya ek saal pehle ki jald hi interest rate cut ke liye. Taqreeban press time ke mutabiq, spot gold par trade ho raha tha $2,058.77 per ounce, din ke 0.32% kam. Is waqt kisi bhi market mein kam trading volume nahi hai, khaas kar jab hum all-time highs ke qareeb aate hain? Keematon ka yeh dobara taqreeb e mukaaf phir se barhna be shak is se juda hua hai loan rate expectations aur ek kamzor dollar se. Darakhwast karne wale logon ki tadad pichle haftay mein izafah kiya, is ka matlub hai ke kaam ka bazar is saal ke akhri hisse mein thanda ho raha hai. Investors have an 88% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in March, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Non-yielding gold ko ko hold karne ki opportunity cost ko kam karte hain.




H4 TIME FRAME LOUCK


If the red group receives a 2060.00 update, the green level will follow suit. Beshak, hamare kaam mein kuch bhi mumkin hai, zyadatar aaj yeh mumkin nahi hai. Thursday, early European trading, mein US dollar kamzor hone se 2100.00 tak mazeed mazboot hua. The red level 2060.00 is for mansookh, and the green level 2081.00 is for tasdeeq. 2070.00 mein rollback khush aamdeed hai, lekin kam az kam 2067.00; agar 2067.00 ke neeche jaen, toh uttar ki taqwiyat kho jayegi.

Toh sonay ke daam mein izafay ke imkanat mein rehti hai bullish indicators ke darmiyan, chhotay arsay ke technical nazariye se dekha gaya. Sonay ka daam ne 2080.00 par rising trend line resistance ko clear kiya hai lekin iske isaray ke liye zarurat hai, jo ke 2144.00 ke all-time high ki taraf iske uptrend ko jari rakhne ke liye hai. Sonay ke khareedne walon ko shuruati dore mein 2100.00 aur 2120.00 levels ka sakht resistance karna hoga. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator indicates that the price has reached the midpoint of its range, indicating that a surge has occurred. Sonay ke daam mein kisi bhi girawat ka samna pehle din ke low par 2061.00 mein hosakti hai, jise neeche jaane par tajaweeh jari reh sakti hai. Sonay ke khareedne walon ka aakhri bachao 2035.00 par 21-day simple moving average (SMA).


Gold ke prices Asia mein Jumeraat ko tezi se barh gaye, peechle session ke nuqsanat ko wapas lete hue, ek kamzor US dollar ne iski safe-haven appeal ko barh diya. Dollar ka chamak damak pehle hi hafte mein kam ho gaya tha, jo Federal Reserve ke 2024 mein hawkish monetary policy stance ke baray mein concerns paida kar raha tha. Toh major shipping lines ka Red Sea mein cautious wapas ana yeh dikhata hai ke situation ki gradual normalization ho rahi hai, khas tor par Iran ke Strait of Gibraltar ko band karne ki mumkinat, jari rehti hain.

Traders, on the other hand, mutawajjah hain, kyunke kisi bhi significant updates se jald market sentiment change ho sakta hai aur safe havens jese ke gold ki demand par asar par sakta hai. Mojooda price increase December 13 ke lows se barhi hui hain, jis se gold ke prices ooncha hain. Is dhaat ne 2075 level kiya hai aur October 6, 2023 mein established trend line ke upar phir se chadh gayi hai, ek qareeban 20 dinon ke baad.
Technical indicators and taasir kare hain

bullish momentum mojooda par. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ki taraf badh raha hai, jo ke ek mazboot uptrend ko darust kar raha hai. Issi tarah, jo gold ke robust upward trajectory ko confirm kar raha hai, Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) bhi higher highs record kar raha hai. Stochastic indicator ne Moving Average (MA) ko break kiya hai aur active taur par overbought zone ki taraf ja raha hai sab se ahem toor par. If the bulls maintain their grip, gold will be worth more on August 7, 2020, than it was on August 7, 2075.

Aakhir mein all-time high 2145 ko challenge kar sakte hain, raste mein kuch hurdles ka bhi imkaan hain. Aakhir mein, kai factors ne drive kiya hai gold ke recent rally: narm US dollar ki wajah se, Middle East tensions ke cautious optimism, aur strong technical indicators jo bullish momentum ko signal kar rahe hain. In 2024, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions and changing geopolitical dynamics will be key drivers in gold's price direction.