gold

Thursday ke early New York session mein ek aur naya record bulandi peechey chhodte hue, sonay (XAU/USD) ka daam aaj thoda kam hai. Kamzor US dollar, jo ke US Institute for Supply Management (ISM) ki poor March Services PMI report ki wajah se hua hai, ne is qeemti dhaat ki madad ki hai. 10 saal ke US Treasury darjat 4.34% pe ghate hain mazeed market ke hosla afzai ke sath, jabke US Dollar Index (DXY), jo shehroni currencies ke 6 bade currencies ke muqable mein dollar ki qeemat ko napta hai, apni nichi raftar ko 104.00 tak jaari rakhta hai. Halankeh market ki umeedon mein kamzori ai hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) June ke meeting mein apni interest rates ko barhane ka policy ko ulatne ka aghaz kare, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, traders 58% ke imkaan par laga rahe hain ke Federal Reserve June mein ek rate cut karega.
Investors US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ke liye intezar kar rahe hain March ke liye, jo ke Jumma ko jaari kiya jayega. Ummeed hai ke US companies ne maheene mein 200K naye payrolls shamil kiye honge, jo ke peechli NFP report mein 275K ke mukable kam hai. Sonay ka daam mukhtalif tailwinds ke saath lagatar bulandiyon ki taraf barhta ja raha hai. Qeemti dhaat $2,300 ke gol star ke maqam ko tasdiq karta hai. Magar, Thursday ke saathvi trading session ke liye jeetne ki dor ko barqarar rakhna mushkil ho raha hai.
Tezi ke nishanat jo ke had se zyada kharidi gayi hain, ek chhota pullback ke liye umeedon ko barha rahe hain. 14 maahiyat ke liye Relative Strength Index (RSI) 80.00 ke qareeb hai. Jab ke RSI ne ek mahine se zyada arse tak musbit band of 60.00–80.00 ke andar istiqamat se tez ravaani dikha raha hai, toh wazeh hai ke qareebi muddat mein qeemat mein wazeh taraqqi hai. Mazboot qareebi muddat ki darkhawast bhi tamam chhote se le kar lambi muddat tak Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ke sath ziada mushkil hai. Manfi pehlu par, markazi sahara ke level ki barhti hui barqi dastak March 21 ke $2,223 pe hai.

While the absence of significant signs indicating an imminent correction is notable, this can largely be attributed to positive fundamental data and expectations of monetary policy easing by major central banks. The prevailing market sentiment remains optimistic, with investors eagerly anticipating a stable economic environment, largely due to supportive measures by central banks. With the prospect of relaxed monetary policies, investors are poised to maintain confidence in the market, reinforcing the upward trajectory.Buyers have been accumulating volume in this range, and it was anticipated that the pair would continue to rise towards resistance at 2314.40, which it has almost reached. After the pullback, there are currently volumes of buyers. During Tuesday's trading session, despite expectations of a decline in gold prices, the market witnessed a surge, resulting in a closing price of approximately 2283.76 after surpassing the resistance level at 2258.85.





As the price approaches the next resistance level at 2307.64, there's a likelihood of it testing or even surpassing this threshold, potentially opening the door for further upward movements towards 2330.83. It's essential to monitor these developments closely as they could provide valuable insights into the market's future direction and potential opportunities for investors.Although gold was expected to trigger purchases at 2267.00, it fell just short of the 2277.00 target. The price is likely poised for an upward breakout, but confirmation requires a decisive move beyond the upper bounds. Additionally, staying informed about central bank announcements and economic indicators will be essential in navigating the evolving financial markets landscape. Ultimately, a comprehensive understanding of these factors will empower investors to make informed decisions and capitalize on emerging trends.

H-4 Timeframe Analysis

• Gold ke prices qareeb qareeb muqaddas 2275 levels tak gir gaye hain.
• Din bhar ke oscillators ko nuksan ki taraf ishaara dete hain.
• Aur gold mein mazeed nuksan badi aasani se wapas lambay arsay ke istiqamat ke daire mein dakhil ho sakta hai.

Gold ke qeemat mein kami ho rahi hai aur isay taqatwar muddat ke nazdeek 2301 ilaqa ke qareeb mukhlis kar rahi hai. Dhaatu ko Middle East mein tanazaat ke lehrane par bhaari nuqsaan hua, lekin mojooda wapas isay kareeban 2270 ke darjay par le gaya hai, jo ek sliding stability range ka top hai. MACD zero aur signal lines ke upar hai lekin ek top banane ke ishaare dikha raha hai, jabki RSI 70 ilaqa ke ooper toot gaya hai aur ab 70 darja ke neeche chal raha hai. Dono indicators yeh dikhate hain ke siyasi hawalaat ki taraf se chalne wala umeedwar josh kamzor ho raha hai, aur qeemat anay wale dino mein mazeed gir sakti hai.



D-1 Timeframe Analysis

2265 level ke neeche ek behtareen close aam tor par is baat ko tasleem kar sakta hai ke gold haal ki istiqamat range mein wapas aa chuka hai (jo April 05 ko darj ki gayi andruni swing highs se mark ki gayi hai), jahan ek mumkin girawat 2270 support ki taraf ho sakti hai. Is ilaqa ke neeche wapas ek manzil aam tor par hal ki stability range ke neeche (2270 ke qareeb) ka raasta bana sakta hai. Bullish surat mein, 2310 level ke ooper tez bounce ek ishara ho sakta hai ke bias bullish hai aur mojooda wapas sirf agle qadam se pehle ek dam hai.

Sone ka market hamaysha se investors aur traders ke liye dilchaspi ka markaz raha hai. Sone ke keemat par mushtamil paicheedgiyan aur indicators faislay mein aqalmandi se madad dete hain. Is mufassil tahlil mein, ham sone ke daam ki halat ko tehqiq karte hain, aham indicators aur chart patterns ko dekhte huye mustaqbil ke trends mein dakhil hote hain. Sone ki keemat ne khas tor par aham support aur resistance levels ke mutaliq numaindagi ki hai. Khaas tor par, sone ki keemat ne aik makhsoos channel ke upper boundary tak izafa kiya, 2050 ke darje tak pohnch gaya. Upper boundary ke is shikast ne aik numainda barhao ko ishara diya, jo market mein bullish jazbat ki dalil hai. Technical indicators mojooda market dynamics ke baray mein mazeed idaray faraham karte hain. RSI aur moving average indicators ke roop mein qeemti tools ke tor par istemal kiya jata hai keemaat ke harek manzar ka andaza lagane ke liye. Mojudah manzar mein, dono indicators bullish momentum ko numind karte hain, sone ki keemat ke upper taraf ishara dete hue. RSI, yaani Relative Strength Index, jo aksar istemal hota hai market ke overbought ya oversold halat ko samajhne ke liye, ab sone ke maamlat mein bhi tezi se istemal ho raha hai. Is ke saath saath, moving average indicators bhi sone ke market dynamics ko samajhne mein ahem role ada karte hain. Yeh indicators aam tor par mukhtalif timeframes par istemal kiye jate hain, jese ke 50-day moving average ya 200-day moving average. Mojudah scenario mein, in indicators ka istemal sone ke bullish trend ko tasdeeq karta hai aur traders ko market mein mufeed mauqe ka andaza deta hai. Is tarah, sone ke market ke dynamics aur keemat ko samajhne ke liye, aham hai ke investors aur traders in technical indicators aur chart patterns ka behtareen istemal karen taake woh mustaqbil ke trends ko samajh sakein aur munafa kamayein.



Halat ki tasveer, bikharne wale ka mizaj dikhata hai. Maaloom hota hai ke kharidari karne wale 2162 range ko todkar ja rahe hain. Agar hum isey tod sakte hain aur iske upar jam ho sakte hain, to ye ek acha signal hoga kharidari ke liye. Hum 2158 ke rate par iske baad bhi kharidari jaari rakh sakte hain aur is par kabza kar sakte hain. Ek chhota niche ka doran ke baad aage badh sakte hain. Jab humein ek mazboot correctional fall milta hai, tab hamari kharidari ke liye acha mauka hota hai. American session mein ek chhota niche ka doran ke baad hum aage badh sakte hain aur 2156 ke upar mazboot ho sakte hain. Is halat mein, agar 2146 ke sthal ke nichle shreni ke doran toot jaye aur iske neeche jam ho jaye, to naye purkhon ke liye ye behtareen signal hoga. Sthaliya upar ke sthal ke shreni 2139 ke toot jane par ek aur acha kharidari ka karan hoga. American Option trading mein BUY positions rakhne ke liye mufeed mauqe aksar mojooda bullish trend ke doran nazar aate hain. Agar aap talaash kar rahe hain ek aise mauqe ki jahan aapko achi munafa hasil karne ka imkan ho, toh aapko dakhli nukta tehqeeq rally base rally ke darmiyan ka zikar kiya gaya hai. Yeh wo wakht hota hai jab market mein momentum zyada hota hai aur demand area mein tezi se izafa hota hai. Is mauqe ke mutabiq, momentary demand area 81.96 se lekar 81.67 tak mojood hai, jo ke aapki trading position ke liye aik aham point ho sakta hai.



Is position ko confirm karne ke liye, aap Stochastic indicator ka istemal kar sakte hain. Is indicator ke parameters ko monitor karke, aap dekh sakte hain ke jab yeh 50 ke darjah par cross karega, toh yeh aapko ek confirmation provide karega ke market bullish trend mein hai aur aapki BUY position ki entry ke liye sahi waqt hai. Mazeed, aap Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka bhi istemal kar sakte hain. Is indicator ka histogram 0 ke darjah ke ooper barqarar rehna chahiye. Jab yeh histogram barqarar rehta hai, toh yeh bhi ek bullish trend ko darust karne ka saboot hai aur aapki trading decision ko mazeed mazbooti deta hai. Take profit aur stop loss ko bhi tay karna zaroori hai. Take profit ko 83.86 ke high prices ya 83.55 ke resistance par set kiya gaya hai, jo ke aapko munafa hasil karne ka ek mukhtasit maqsad de raha hai. Jab aapke target prices tak pohanch jayein, toh aap apna profit lock kar sakte hain. Stop loss ki taraf, yeh ek zaroori hifazati qadam hai jo aapko nuqsaan se bachata hai. Aapko apne stop loss ko market ki volatility aur aapke risk tolerance ke mutabiq set karna chahiye. Is tarah, yeh mauqa aapko achi munafa hasil karne ka imkan deta hai, agar aap apne entry aur exit points ko theek se manage karte hain aur market ke indicators ka sahi istemal karte hain.

Gold market dynamics kaafi complex ho sakte hain, jinhe mukhtalif factors jaise ke ma'ashiyati ishaaray, aalmi siyasati tanazaat aur investor ki raaye asar andaaz karte hain. Pichhle trends ko samajhna mazeed future ki raftar ko samajhne mein madadgar ho sakta hai, lekin zaroori hai ke yaad rakha jaaye ke pichhli karwai hamesha future ke natayej ko darust nahi sakti.

Gold market mein haal hi mein kisi had tak movement kam thi, jis se shayad investors ko iske peechle rukh ka samajh nahi aaya. Khaaskar, market ne kisi waqt pe 2330.08 tak tezi dikhai, jo us waqt zor daar bullish sentiment ko darust karti hai. Magar, is tarah ki tezi ke peechay maujooda market dynamics ka gehra muta'ala zaroori hai. Gold ke daamon ka aham kirdar aam tor par ma'ashi ghair yakeeni ya market mein pareshani ya kharabi waqt mein nakaara sada ehtiyat ke tor par hota hai. Investors aksar gold ko mahangai, currency ki tabdeeliyon aur aalmi siyasi tanazaat ke khilaaf ek dana ke tor par istemal karte hain. Isliye, market mein dekhi gayi tezi ko barhne wale tanaav, aalmi ma'ashi ghair yakeeni, ya central bank policies ke baray mein tawajju dene ka nateeja bhi ho sakta hai.

Is ke ilawa, central bank karwaiyan, jaise ke sood ki faislay aur ma'ashi ta'awun ke iqdamat, gold ke daamon ko gehra asar andaaz karte hain. Kam sood dar, misaal ke tor par, gold ki darkhwast ko barha sakti hai jab ke qawmi currencies ko kamzor karne wale monetary measures, gold ki taraf investors ko dor kar sakti hain. Bila shuba, ma'ashi nishaanat gold ke daamon ke rukh ko tarteeb dene mein ek ahem kirdar ada karte hain. GDP ki growi, berozgari dar, mahangai ke dar aur trade shadeedat jaise factors investor ki raaye aur khatra pasandi ko asar andaaz karte hain, jis se gold ki darkhwast mein izafa hota hai.




Is ke ilawa, market raaye aur spekulatif fa'al aamaal gold market mein keemat ke rukh mein madadgar hote hain. Raaye ke tor par kharidari ya farokht, media report, analyst ke tajziye ya social media discussions ke asraat se hoti hai jo ke tezi ya mandi ko barha sakti hai. Spekulatif trading, jaise ke leverage positions aur algorithmic trading strategies, market ka shor macha sakta hai aur qeemat mein foran tabdeeliyan laa sakta hai. In factors ke intezaar ko samajhna zaroori hai taake gold market ke peechle trends ko samajha ja sake aur future ke rukh ko pehchaana ja sake. Halat-e-haal ke market ki tafseelati tajziya ke saath purani data ko istemal karna zaroori hai. Geopolitical developments, economic indicators, central bank policies aur market raaye ko mukammal taur par samajh kar, investors ziada ma'loomati faislay le sakte hain aur gold market ke complexities ko zyada behtar tareeqay se hal kar sakte hain.

Gold ka market dynamics hamesha hi unpredictable raha hai aur is mein movement kaafi khatarnaak ho sakti hai. Jab bhi market mein aisi koi tezi ya girawat hoti hai, investors ko samajhne mein mushkil hoti hai ke iska asal reason kya hai aur future mein kya expectations hain. Gold ke recent movement mein 2329.89 tak ka pohanch jana kaafi noteworthy hai. Is tarah ki tezi ki wajah se investors ko concern ho sakta hai aur wo is trend ko samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke gold market ko kya factors influence kar rahe hain aur kis tarah se yeh factors future mein impact kar sakte hain.

Gold market ke movement ka peechla trend samajhna important hai taake future predictions aur investment strategies banayi ja sakein. Iske liye, investors ko market ke historical data ko analyze karna chahiye aur previous trends ko samajhna chahiye. Yeh samajhna crucial hai ke peechle dino mein kya events aur economic indicators gold price mein kya asar dale, jaise ke inflation rates, interest rates, geopolitical tensions, ya currency fluctuations. Iske alawa, global economic conditions bhi gold price ko influence karte hain. For example, agar global economy weak ho rahi hai ya uncertainty hai, to investors gold ko safe haven asset ke tor par dekhte hain aur isse demand badh jati hai, jiski wajah se price bhi badh sakti hai. Market analysis ke liye, technical aur fundamental analysis dono ka istemal kiya jata hai. Technical analysis mein, charts aur technical indicators ki madad se market trends aur patterns ko identify kiya jata hai, jabke fundamental analysis mein market ke underlying factors aur economic indicators ka study kiya jata hai.



Is waqt, global economic uncertainty ke dauran, gold ki demand aur price mein fluctuations aam hain. Investors ko chahiye ke vigilant rahein aur market ke movements ko closely monitor karte rahein. Iske alawa, professional financial advisors se consult karna bhi zaroori hai taake sahi investment decisions liye ja sakein. Yeh zaroori hai ke investors apne risk tolerance ko samajh kar aur apni investment strategies ko adjust karein taake unpredictable market conditions mein bhi apni investments ko protect kar sakein.

chart dekhtay hue, ahem level ne barqarar rehne ka kaamyaab dhang se sambhala. Halankeh ibtedai tawanaio ke mutabiq baazoon ko is level ka muqabla karne ki umeed thi, lekin keemat ka rukh ulta hua aur qeemat nayehat SMA-50 ki taraf ruk gayi. Halankeh is level se bounce hua, lekin ghairi fasla waali tehreek thi jab isay ghareeb waqt ki nazar mein daala gaya. Abhi, sonay ki keemat ek manfi rukh ka numainda hai jab ye manzoor harkat karta hai takhmeenat shuda nishana tak pohanchne ka jisay bullish channel ke support line par rakh gaya hai, jisay ab 2004.70 par qaim kiya gaya hai. Rozana ka chart par aham level ki maxil panahayi iska ehamiyat ko dhaalte hain jaisa ke market ke hissadaron ke liye ek bunyadi nukta e nazar. Halankeh ibtedai umeed thi ke bullish momentum ka barqarar rehna aur is level ka muqabla karne ka, lekin keemat ke dynamics mukhtalif andaza hua, jo SMA-50 ki taraf rukh kar gaya. Jabke yeh moving average kuch madad faraham karta hai, lekin aglaa upri rukh mehdood tha jab isay asar kia gaya choti timeframes jaise ke ghante ka chart ke zareeyay se dekha gaya.

Mojudah doran, sonay ki rukh manfi bias ko numainda karta hai jab wo ek pehle se mukarrar nishana tak pohanchne ki koshish karta hai jo bullish channel ke support line par hai. Yeh nishana, jise abhi 1994.00 par pehchan gaya hai, ek ahem level hai jise nigrani mein rakha jata hai kyunke ye mojooda market dynamics mein aik mumkin inflection point ko darust karta hai. Is nishana tak pohanchne ka hasil bearish jazbat ko mazeed mazboot karega, qareebi muddat mein musalsal neechay ki tehreek ke raaste ko banane ka rasta bhi bana sakta hai. Bearish trend ki maqil panahayi ka efiqar sahi taur par samajhne ke liye, zaroori hai ke nishchit nishana level tak pohanchne par keemat ka rawiya nigrani mein rakha jaye. Karobariyon ko is level par inkar ya tasdeeq ke nishanoo ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakna chahiye, kyunke ye mool market jazbat aur raasta ka ahem izhar kar sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, dhiyan dena chahiye ke koi bhi naye pattern ya indicators jo mojooda trend ko mazeed tasdiq karte hain, un par bhi tawajju deni chahiye.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S: X A U / U S D

Tajziya:

Dosto, umeed hai aap sab theek hain aur phir se live forex market mein trade ke liye tayar hain. Main XAU/USD ka tasawwurat aur aane waale din ke liye munafa bakhsh karobar ka mansoobah aapke sath share karunga. XAU/USD likhne ke waqt 2329.08 par karobar hota hai. Iss waqt, XAU/USD market mein mawaad ki nazar mein bael hain. Bazaar ne ek bullish jazba ke sath band kiya. Ab sawal ye hai ke bael is rally ko kitna lamba barqarar rakhenge. Iske alawa, agar US dollar ke daam mazboot hotay hain, to XAU/USD aur bhi neeche girne ka imkaan hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator barh raha hai aur resistance zone ki taraf ja raha hai. Halat ke mutabiq, XAU/USD ab tak bullish trend mein karobar ho raha hai aur moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator ke dheere rekhao ke upar karobar kar raha hai, jo upar ki raftar ko darust karta hai.

Chart Par Istemaal Kiye Gaye Indicator:

• MACD indicator:
• RSI indicator period 14:
• 50-day exponential moving average color Orange:
• 20-day exponential moving average color Magenta:

Tasurat:


Dhaat ki foran neeche ki rok tham 20 dinon ke Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par $2209.06 aur 50 dinon ke Exponential Moving Average par $2134.65 ke qareeb hai, pehle $2089.49 ke support range se. XAU/USD ke liye resistance level 2340.54 hai jo pehla resistance level hai. Doosri taraf, XAU/USD ke liye support level 2217.37 hai jo pehla support level hai. Meri tajziya ke mutabiq, is jodi ke paas medium aur lambay muddaton ke karobar karne wale traders ke liye 2350.87 ke ilaqa par resistance aur 2089.49 se 1974.24 ke ilaqa par support hai. Bazaar in do haddiyon ke darmiyan harkat karega, jo tamam traders ke liye aik faa'ida mand harkat hai. Hamesha apne khatron aur paisay ke intizam ko yaad rakhen aur samajh len, phir faisla karen.

GOLD Trading Strategy Update

Returning to GOLD Trading:

Main phir se GOLD ki trading par laut aya hoon. Ek chhote nuksan ko jald se jald ek account par kuch chhupaana tha, aur yeh achanak hi is lohe ke kharch par hua, aur aaj, non-farm ke sath, itna zyada keemat se upar uchhalne ka koi zyada imkan nahi hai. Mere liye, Ameriki karobar ke roze ke bura data hone ke bawajood, main khaas tor par is dhaatu ke ubhar mein zyada imaan nahi rakhta, isliye main isko thoda sa kam karna chahoonga aur ek niche ki correction lena chahoonga, $320 se zyada ke be-tak baad ke harqat ke baad, jo is dhaatu ke liye bhi kafi zyada hai. Aur isse thoda sa paisa kamana chahoonga taake pehle se mila nuksan chhupa sakoon.

Current Trading Approach:

Amumiat mein, mojooda keemat ke ilaake mein maine ek farokht kiya aur kuch anay orders ko bhi bechne ke liye rakha, $10 ke kadam ke sath, faida 50% Fibonacci tak pahunchne ke liye, shayad kadam ko barhana chahiye, magar yahan kadam ka masla nahi hai, balke duniya mein jo ho raha hai, aisa kabhi nahi hua hai, isliye sab backtests mayne nahi rakhte, magar kisi bhi surat mein, main aaj is dhaatu mein ek giravat ka intezaar kar raha hoon, ya kam az kam iska ibtedai banne ka, giravat ke signals pehle se hi hain.

Market Movement Analysis:


Kal raat ko der raat ko, Americans ne ek acchi niche ki pahal ki aur aaj Asians ne ise jaari rakha. Nataijan, GOLD ne ghanton ke chart par upri trend ko tor diya aur $2,265 prati ounce ke support ki taraf gir gaya, lekin ise tora nahi. Yahan par aap "stops ka shikaar" trading strategy ke hissab se mojooda se farokht karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Ab GOLD ki keemat 61.8 Fibonacci ke level par uth gayi hai. Maqsad $2,265 prati ounce ke support ko tor kar kharidaron ke stops ko bahar nikalna hoga. Ek aur rasta jo giravat ka potential dikhata hai, yeh hai ke keemat ab bohot se waqt ke arsa ke uptrend ke upri hudood par hai. Aur main ek $2,225 prati ounce ki correction ki ummeed rakhta hoon shuruwat mein, aur phir mukhya nishana $2,143 prati ounce ka hoga.

Sona ke qeemat naye record bulandiyon ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, jo safe-haven bids ko support karta hai. Sonay ki qeemat barqarar hai, walaum ke khilwat-us-Saaz Amriki Iftatah PMI ne US Dollar ki talab ko kam kar diya hai. 10 saal ke Amriki inami yelds aur bhi barh gaye hain jabke karobarion ne June ke liye Fed rate cut ke expectations ko kam kar diya hai. US NFP report agle bade qadam ko sonay ke liye niyantran karega. Sona ki qeemat (XAU/USD) Euroopean meeting mein takreeban $2,260 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai. A better place of refuge bid ne Gold ko kisi bhi mukhtalif impact se bacha liya hai, jo US Dollar mein mazeed buland ko barhaya gaya tha, jo March mein US Assembling PMI ke mazboot ikhtetam ke zariye hua tha.

Sona naye bulandiyon ko chhodne ke liye tayyar lagta hai ke February ke markazi shakhsiyat istemal kiya gaya hai, jo do saalon mein sab se kam tha, Federal Reserve ko is saal teen bar qeemat kam karne ke liye raah par rakhne ke liye. Aage chal kar, Gold ki qeemat ko zyada buland rehne ka dabao ho sakta hai jabke Amriki securtiy yelds apni urooj rukh ko barha rahe hain, jabke 10 saal ke Amriki Seerhi yelds 4.34% tak pahunch gaye hain. Yelds ke barhne se munsif assest ke behtar return on investment ko barhata hai, jo non-yielding assest jaise ke Sona ko rakhne ka opportunity cost ko barhata hai.

Is hafte, karobarion ka tawajjo Amriki Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) ki taraf hoga jo March mein shaaya kiya jayega, jo Fed ko qeemat ko kam karne ki shuruwat kab karega iske bare mein ishare faraham karsakta hai. Mangalwar ke session mein, karobarion ka tawajjo Amriki Shocks Employment opportunities ke taraf hoga jo February mein shaaya kiya jayega, jo 14:00 GMT par shaaya kiya jayega. Amriki employers se mutassir hai ke naye 8.74 million jobs shaaya kiye gaye honge, jo ke pehle se kam hai jo ke January mein 8.863 million thi.

Din bhar ki digest market movers: Gold price clings to gains near $2,260 Sona ki qeemat $2,260 ke qareeb new all-time highs par mojood hai. Mehfooz US Dollar ke barhne ke baawajood aur June mein rate cut ka tawajjo kam karne wale bets ke barhne ke bawajood, Sona ki qeemat ko niche kiya nahi gaya.

Amriki aur doosri taraqqi yafta economies ke financial possibilities ke farq ne US Dollar ke tawajjo ko mazboot kiya hai. Jab ke aham taraqqi yafta economies ne 2023 mein haalat darust na rakhne ki koshish ki, Amriki maeeshat taqatwar rafth ki tezi ke sath 2.5% tak barhi. Iske ilawa, Amriki Assembling PMI ne taraqqi ko barhaya hai, jise aage mazid taqatwar banaya gaya hai.

Somwar ko, US Anjam ke liye Ma'khafid (ISM) ne apna Assembling PMI 50.0 ki had ke ooper 50.3 ki shaandaar shakal mein shaaya kiya, jo ke 48.4 ki tawajoh aur pehle ke 47.8 ki parhne se behtar tha. Assembling PMI ne 16 mahino tak contract hone ke baad taqatbari hawala saazi ki hai.

Amriki mazboot maeeshati manzarnama ne Fed ko June se qeemat ko kam karne ki shuruwat karne ke liye market ke aahmoq expectations ko nicha dikhaya hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, karobarion ko lagta hai ke Fed June mein sirf 63% mumkin hai. Saath hi, karobarion ko Fed ne apni latest spot plot mein teen rate cuts karne ki tafseelat faraham ki hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne jumma ko US inflation data ko le kar kaha ke abhi tak US inflation data "wohi hai jo hum dekhna chahte hain." Magar, Powell ne bhi iqraar kiya ke Fed ko rate cuts ke liye jaldi nahi hai.

Takniki Tadreej: Sona all-time highs ke qareeb trade kar raha hai takreeban $2,260 ke qareeb. Qeemti dhaat iski takatbari hawala saazi ke baad mazid ooper barhi hai jab Sona ne March mein umer bhar ke high of $2,223 ko tor diya. Sona ki qeemat mein mazeed ooper ki sambhavna hai kyunke wo anjaan ilaqa mein trade kar raha hai. Tamam chhotay se lambay term ke Outstanding Moving Midpoints (EMAs) ooper ki taraf taraqqi kar rahe hain, jisse mukhtalif hawale se qeemti dhaat mein mazboot qareebi tor par interest nazar aata hai.

14-muddat ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 78.00 ke qareeb hai, jo energy ke liye

Sona ke qeemat naye record bulandiyon ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, jo safe-haven bids ko support karta hai. Sonay ki qeemat barqarar hai, walaum ke khilwat-us-Saaz Amriki Iftatah PMI ne US Dollar ki talab ko kam kar diya hai. 10 saal ke Amriki inami yelds aur bhi barh gaye hain jabke karobarion ne June ke liye Fed rate cut ke expectations ko kam kar diya hai. US NFP report agle bade qadam ko sonay ke liye niyantran karega. Sona ki qeemat (XAU/USD) Euroopean meeting mein takreeban $2,260 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai. A better place of refuge bid ne Gold ko kisi bhi mukhtalif impact se bacha liya hai, jo US Dollar mein mazeed buland ko barhaya gaya tha, jo March mein US Assembling PMI ke mazboot ikhtetam ke zariye hua tha.

Sona naye bulandiyon ko chhodne ke liye tayyar lagta hai ke February ke markazi shakhsiyat istemal kiya gaya hai, jo do saalon mein sab se kam tha, Federal Reserve ko is saal teen bar qeemat kam karne ke liye raah par rakhne ke liye. Aage chal kar, Gold ki qeemat ko zyada buland rehne ka dabao ho sakta hai jabke Amriki securtiy yelds apni urooj rukh ko barha rahe hain, jabke 10 saal ke Amriki Seerhi yelds 4.34% tak pahunch gaye hain. Yelds ke barhne se munsif assest ke behtar return on investment ko barhata hai, jo non-yielding assest jaise ke Sona ko rakhne ka opportunity cost ko barhata hai.

Is hafte, karobarion ka tawajjo Amriki Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) ki taraf hoga jo March mein shaaya kiya jayega, jo Fed ko qeemat ko kam karne ki shuruwat kab karega iske bare mein ishare faraham karsakta hai. Mangalwar ke session mein, karobarion ka tawajjo Amriki Shocks Employment opportunities ke taraf hoga jo February mein shaaya kiya jayega, jo 14:00 GMT par shaaya kiya jayega. Amriki employers se mutassir hai ke naye 8.74 million jobs shaaya kiye gaye honge, jo ke pehle se kam hai jo ke January mein 8.863 million thi.

Din bhar ki digest market movers: Gold price clings to gains near $2,260 Sona ki qeemat $2,260 ke qareeb new all-time highs par mojood hai. Mehfooz US Dollar ke barhne ke baawajood aur June mein rate cut ka tawajjo kam karne wale bets ke barhne ke bawajood, Sona ki qeemat ko niche kiya nahi gaya.

Amriki aur doosri taraqqi yafta economies ke financial possibilities ke farq ne US Dollar ke tawajjo ko mazboot kiya hai. Jab ke aham taraqqi yafta economies ne 2023 mein haalat darust na rakhne ki koshish ki, Amriki maeeshat taqatwar rafth ki tezi ke sath 2.5% tak barhi. Iske ilawa, Amriki Assembling PMI ne taraqqi ko barhaya hai, jise aage mazid taqatwar banaya gaya hai.

Somwar ko, US Anjam ke liye Ma'khafid (ISM) ne apna Assembling PMI 50.0 ki had ke ooper 50.3 ki shaandaar shakal mein shaaya kiya, jo ke 48.4 ki tawajoh aur pehle ke 47.8 ki parhne se behtar tha. Assembling PMI ne 16 mahino tak contract hone ke baad taqatbari hawala saazi ki hai.

Amriki mazboot maeeshati manzarnama ne Fed ko June se qeemat ko kam karne ki shuruwat karne ke liye market ke aahmoq expectations ko nicha dikhaya hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, karobarion ko lagta hai ke Fed June mein sirf 63% mumkin hai. Saath hi, karobarion ko Fed ne apni latest spot plot mein teen rate cuts karne ki tafseelat faraham ki hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne jumma ko US inflation data ko le kar kaha ke abhi tak US inflation data "wohi hai jo hum dekhna chahte hain." Magar, Powell ne bhi iqraar kiya ke Fed ko rate cuts ke liye jaldi nahi hai.

Takniki Tadreej: Sona all-time highs ke qareeb trade kar raha hai takreeban $2,260 ke qareeb. Qeemti dhaat iski takatbari hawala saazi ke baad mazid ooper barhi hai jab Sona ne March mein umer bhar ke high of $2,223 ko tor diya. Sona ki qeemat mein mazeed ooper ki sambhavna hai kyunke wo anjaan ilaqa mein trade kar raha hai. Tamam chhotay se lambay term ke Outstanding Moving Midpoints (EMAs) ooper ki taraf taraqqi kar rahe hain, jisse mukhtalif hawale se qeemti dhaat mein mazboot qareebi tor par interest nazar aata hai.

14-muddat ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 78.00 ke qareeb hai, jo energy ke liye

Sonay Ka Mosamati Manzar Technical Char Ghantay Ke Time Frame Par

Is ke ilawa, siyasi aur ma'ashi laacharion ne bhi gold ke rutbay ko bhadakne mein kirdar ada kiya hai jaise ke musibat ke darmiyan aik mahfooz dakhla ke tor par Siyasi halaat, jaise ke Middle East mein tensions aur bara mulkion ke darmiyan tijarati ikhtilafat, ne sarmayakaron ko apni portfolio ko bazar ke uran pheran ke khilaf qadron ke tor par bachane ke liye sonay jaise mahfooz dakhlaon ki talash mein mubtala kiya hai Magar, haal hi mein baarhte hue trend ke bawajood, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke markets by fitri tor par ghair mutawaqqa hain, aur sudharon ka koi bhi rukh kudrat ki qasrat ka aik qudrati hissa hai



Guzeesha ki gayi qeematien kisi had tak na-insaafi ho sakti hain, aur waqtan-fawaqtan temporary support levels ko dobara ghor se jaanchne ka aam amal hai Karobari logon ko market ki raaye aur mukhtalif dakhlon aur ikhtitaam ke points ko technical nishaanon aur qeemat amli ke zariye jaanch karne chahiye Agar 2258 ke support level ke neechay girne ki ishaarat aati hai, to yeh bullish momentum mein kamzori ka aghaz hoga aur market ki raaye mein tabdeeli ki ishaarat dene lagegi Aise halat mein, karobariyon ko 2240 ilaqe ke aas paas mukhtalif bearish positions ko tawajjo deni chahiye Magar, karobariyat ko ehtiyaat se qareeb se lene chahiye, aur sirf technical tajziya par bharosa na karna chahiye

Buniyadi factors, jaise ke ma'ashi indicators, markazi bankon ke policies, aur siyasi waqeaton, market dynamics ko asar andaz karte hain aur technical signals ko tasdiq karte hain 2230 ke support ilaqay ke neeche girne ki mumkinat ke liye tayyar ho kar aur mukhtalif sudhar process ka intezaam gold market mein ahem hai Sudharat mustaqil market nashonuma ke liye sehatmand hoti hain kyun ke yeh overbought conditions ko halka karne mein madad karti hain aur naye market shirakat dene walon ke liye moqa faraham karti hain

Sonay ki keemat taqreeban naye record bulandiyon ke qareeb tijarat karti hai, jise mahfooz dakhlaon ki darkhwast par ta'eed milti hai
Sonay ki keemat faida mand raheti hai haalaankay khilari US assembling PMI ke khailaf zor se rah jaye
Das saal tak ke US bond daramad mein izafa hota hai jab ke karobariyo ne June mein Took care of darain khatam karne ki tawaqoat kam ki hain
US NFP report agle baraayi kisara ko muntazir hai
Sonay ki keemat (XAU/USD) budh ke European iqdam mein qareeb naye record bulandiyon ke qareeb tijarat karti hai Mahfooz dakhlaon ki taqat ne Sonay ko muawin banaya hai ta'ake US dollar mein buland taraqqi ki dhamki ko barabar kia ja sake, jo March mein mazboot farokht US assembling PMI ke wajah se aya
Sonay ko lagta hai ke usay faida hath se nahi janay diya jayega February ke darmiyani shakhsiyat istemal mein ghatiya hone wala muqarar, jo do saal ki afakiat mein kam hota hai, is wajah se Fed ko loan ke dar ko is saal teen barhaane ke iraday par rahay ga Age barh kar, Sonay ki keemat ko bhi ziada uchalne ka dabao ho sakta hai jab ke das saal ke US khazanay bondo ka ahtemal karte huey unho ne apne upar ki dafa kar rakha hai, 10 saal ke US Depository bondo mein izafa 4.34% tak
Is haftay, karobariyo ko Jumma ko baishak US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) par tawajjo deni chahiye, jo gold ke liye agle baray iqdam ko muntazir hai Kam ka data faraham kar sakta hai ke Fed kab karobari asan ko kam karna shuru kar sakta hai Budh ko meeting mein, karobariyo ko February ke US Chashma istihdamia ke bare mein tawajjo deni chahiye, jo 14:00 GMT par shaya kiya jayega US karobariyon ka tasawar hai ke naye 8.74 million mulazmeen ki naye vacancies faraham ki ja sakti hain, jo January ki 8.863 million ki tulna mein kam hoti hain
Rozana digest bazaar kay muzahiraat Sonay ki keemat faida mand raheti hai $2,260 ke qareeb
Sonay ki keemat naye record bulandiyon ke qareeb, $2,260 ke qareeb mazid hai Mustaqbil par US dollar ka behtareen manzar mazboot US Assembling PMI aur June mein ek rate cut par sahil ke inaam ke wajah se Sonay ki keemat ko kam nahi kia
Ameero ke mali imkanaat ka farq US aur doosri mukhtalif imaraton ke darmiyan US dollar ka manzar mazboot kia hai Halankay intehai mukhtalif imarat shumaliy America mein 2023 mein dhaarmandi afrookhtan aur dhoomadhaam istiqrar ka saamna kar rahi thi, shumali America ki ma'ashi ki raftar ne 2.5% ke shandar kisam se bharak uthai Is ke ilawa, US Assembling PMI gharat mein wapis aagai hai, ma'ashi manzar ko mazeed mazbooti dene ki shuoor hai

Somwar ko, US Institute for Supply The board (ISM) ne bata diya ke us ka Assembling PMI 50.0 hadood par 50.3 ke sath aaya, jise 48.4 ki tawaqoat aur 47.8 ke pehle parhne ke muqablay mein behtar taur par rakha gaya Assembling PMI 16 maheenon ke mustaqbil ke bad ke pichle dino mein barh ke apne ko bhi behtar banane ki koshish mein kamiyab ho gaya
US mazboot ma'ashi manzar ne Fed ke liye June se loan daroman kam karne ki tawaqoat ko karobari ke lia'ayat mein kam kiya hai CME FedWatch aala ke mutabiq, karobari 63% muamele par raftar kami ke liye ahtamad kar rahe hain, jo ek hafta pehle 70% se kam hai
Magar, karobariyon ko chahin hain

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S

X A U / U S D

Introduction

Subah bakhair azeez maizban. Chaliye XAU/USD ke price action par tawajjo dete hain. XAU/USD likhne ke waqt 2329.08 par trade ho raha hai. US dollar index negative territory mein hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke US currency kharab ho rahi hai, aur as a result, XAU/USD market mein ek musbat trend hai. Is timeframe ke mutabiq, XAU/USD lambay arsay ke liye ek bullish market hai. Halat ke mutabiq, Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator chart mein ek khareedne ka signal de raha hai kyunke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 72.6593 par hai. Ussi waqt, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) technical indicator ne negative zone ko chhod diya hai aur resistance zone ki taraf ja raha hai. Main samajhta hoon ke izafa mojooda levels se jari rahega. Moving averages XAU/USD ke liye bullish trend ki maujoodgi ko dikhate hain. XAU/USD sirf 20-day exponential moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai. Ussi waqt, 50-day exponential moving average bhi mojooda XAU/USD price ke neeche hai jo ek bullish signal dikhata hai.

Resistance aur Support

Upar ki taraf, fori resistance qareeb 2339.43 level ke paas hai. Agar XAU/USD 2339.43 resistance ko tor deta hai to usme mazeed taqat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Iske baad, agar is waqt XAU/USD 2339.43 ke resistance ko tor deta hai, to XAU/USD mazboot ho sakta hai aur 2349.76 tak ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, neeche ki taraf, fori support qareeb 2268.26 level ke paas hai. Magar agar 2268.26 ke neeche support tor diya jaata hai, to XAU/USD kamzor ho sakta hai aur neeche gir sakta hai. Iske baad, XAU/USD mazeed 2212.11 support level ki taraf gir sakta hai jo teesra level of support hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke market price yahan se oopar ja sake. Is hafte kharidaaron ka dabao XAU/USD par barh gaya. Isliye main sochta hoon ke XAU/USD ke price mein izafa hoga aur resistance ko chhoo lega.

Chart Mein Istemaal Kiye Gaye Indicators:

• MACD indicator:
• RSI indicator period 14:
• 50-day exponential moving average rang Orange:
• 20-day exponential moving average rang Magenta:

Gold trading karne ka tajurba asaan nahi hai, aur is mein currency pairs ke muqablay mein kuch khaas challenges hote hain. Jab gold ne 2267.28 ko paar karne ki koshish ki, to is ka trend ka andaza lagana mushkil ho gaya tha. Gold trading ka mahol hamesha hi volatile hota hai. Iski keemat mein chhoti-moti tabdiliyan aam baat hai, jo ke traders ke liye samajhna mushkil bana deti hai. Isi tarah, jab gold ne 2267.28 ko paar karne ki koshish ki, traders ko trend ka andaza lagana mushkil ho gaya tha. Gold ka market currency pairs ke muqablay mein alag hota hai. Currency pairs ke comparison mein, gold ka market slower hota hai aur is mein sudden fluctuations kam hote hain. Lekin is slow pace ki wajah se, trend ka andaza lagana bhi mushkil ho jata hai.

Gold trading mein ek aur masla ye hai ke iska price movement kisi bhi economic event ya geo-political tension ke asar mein badal sakta hai. Isi liye, jab gold ne 2267.28 ko paar karne ki koshish ki, traders ko trend ka andaza lagana aur future ke liye predictions banana aur bhi mushkil ho gaya tha. Is ke ilawa, gold trading mein technical analysis ka istemal bhi zyada challenging ho sakta hai. Currency pairs ke muqablay mein, gold ka market less liquid hota hai, jis ki wajah se technical indicators ka asar kam hota hai aur unki reliability bhi kam ho jati hai.



Gold trading karne ke liye traders ko market ke behavior ko samajhna aur economic indicators ka analysis karna zaroori hota hai. Isi tarah, jab gold ne 2267.28 ko paar karne ki koshish ki, traders ko market ke behavior ko samajhna aur iske future ke liye predictions banana aur bhi mushkil ho gaya tha. Is sab ke ba-wajood, gold trading ek challenging lekin lucrative option hai jo experienced aur knowledgeable traders ke liye mufeed ho sakti hai. Lekin, ismein kamiyabi paane ke liye traders ko market ko acche se samajhna aur sabr ke sath kaam karna zaroori hai.