Gold forum

Is haftay, aik survey mein jo ke 11 analysts nay shamil hotay hain, wazeh hota hai ke laghbat teen-quarters Wall Street ke respondents ab gold ke prices mein is haftay kam hone ya stabilize hone ka intezar kar rahay hain. Sirf teen experts (27%) is haftay gold ke prices mein izafa hone ka intezar kar rahay hain, aur isi ratio mein log umeed karte hain ke prices kisi khas range ke andar fluctuate karenge. Chhe analysts, jo 46% ke hisaab se hain, gold ke prices mein girawat ka intezar kar rahay hain.

Bunyadi tor par, is haftay central bank ki actions ke maamlay mein pressure gold ke prices par aane ka intezar hai. Fed Chair Powell ke paish-e-khidmat taqreer ke mutabiq, asal mein intifaqa hai ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apni meeting ke ikhtitam par iss Budh ko interest rates ko nahi kam karegi. Nazariyat ke mutabiq, yeh America ke dollar ko barhawa de sakti hai aur gold par dabao dal sakti hai. Market mein ke Bull's yeh keh sakte hain ke agar interest rates ko kam karne ka dhandha nahi kiya jata hai aur "khabar ko khareedna, haqeeqat ko bechna" ke concept par amal kiya jata hai, to gold ke prices buland ho saktay hain.

Asian session mein, gold ne peechlay haftay ke aas pass ke narrow channel se neeche se tor kar 2,150 ke aas paas chala gaya aur 2,160 se ooncha utha. Fed ki policy meeting ke agay, das saal ke US Treasury bond ke iqdar abhi tak sirf 4.3% ke neeche reh rahe hain, jo sonay ko ooncha uthane mein madadgar raha.

Hamari taqreeb ke mutabiq, sonay ki umeed hai ke aglay do hafton mein ek mahana band hone wali hai, jo dips par taqatwar khareedne dar hoti hai. Magar, aham stop-loss level ke jahan tak, is se pehlay 2,080 ke range mein wazeha support nahi hai. Yeh strategy yeh nahi taaleem deti ke aap wahi karen.

Trade Shahray: Long
Entry Price: 2153, 2142, 2135, 2128
Matloob Price: 2220
Stop loss: 2148

SONAY KI TAFTEESH
Aaj yahan main apni tajziyaat sonay ki aik tafteesh ke baray mein share karne ja raha hoon, sona abhi 2019 ke saath trade kar raha hai. Pichle hafte, sona gir gaya aur 1983 mein sab se kam level ko chua. 1983 ko chune ke baad, sona taez tareen tarha se barha aur resistance tak pohancha aur resistance ko qabool karne laga. Main ne sonay ki tafteesh h4 waqat frame par kiya, wahan is ne aik channel mein trade kiya aur aaj sona ne channel ko tor kar upar ja kar us par qabza kiya. Yeh bohot acha sign hai ke aur bullish hoga. Asaan moving average pair ko support kar raha hai aur zahir hai ke aglay taraf le jane ke liye zor lagaye ga. Pehla target 2030 hoga aur doosra 2050 aur 2075.

Is ke ilawa, market participants Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo ke Wednesday ko scheduled hai. Yeh release Federal Reserve ke nazariye ke baray mein pehlu faraham kar sakti hai future interest rates ke rukh. Soobane ke officials ke nedamat rukh ne Dollar ko Monday ko nuqsan diya. Yahan main buy entry ke liye dekh raha hoon, pehli ko zaroorat hai aur 2022 level ko cross karne par doosri buy trade mein shamil ho jaon ga. Daily waqat frame par sona bullish trend mein hai aur apni bullish rally ko 2050 taq jari rakhe ga phela target aur doosra 2075 hoga.

Sona mein strong bullish trend hai aur jo log sona ku muft price par khareedenge woh achi munafa hasil karenge. Tareeki se sona ne 1983 support se upar taez tareen tor par barha hai jo ke bulls ke liye acha sign hai. Shuru mein, jab sona ne 2000 level ke niche girna shuru kiya, to main ne socha ke lazmi tor par 1975 tak pohanchega, lekin aisa na hua aur mushkil se 1983 tak chua phir barha.

Buy trade setup

Pehla entry 2018

Stop loss 2012

Target 2030

Doosri entry 2022, 2023

Stop loss 2012

Nishana 2060 aur 2070 hoga.

GOLD CHAAR GHANTAY KA TAJWEZ:
GOLD par transactions aur trading tips ki tafseelat ka analysis Mehdood taraqqi ke baad 2149.27 ka test honay ke doran, jab MACD oscillator line zero se neeche mukhtalif harkat ki, tab mazeed girawat mehdood ho gayi. UK mein khali maacroeconomic calendar ne trading ko horizontal channel mein qaim rakha, jahan thori izafa ki umeed US session ke doran thi. Magar ye zaroori hai ke acha statistics US se milay, jo ke mushkil hai kyun ke naqsha-e-qaimat ke mutabiq NAHB ki housing market index se dollar par zyada dabao dalne ke chances kam hain.

Aaj behtareen faisla ye hoga ke channel mein rehna chahiye. Lambi positions ke liye GOLD 2157.48 par ponchne par khareedain aur profit 2178.27 par karain. Girawat mustaqbil mein hudood-e-yomana se hone wali ho aur US se kamzor data mile to izafa ho sakta hai. Jab khareedain, yaqeeni banain ke MACD oscillator line zero ke ooper ho ya phir is se izafa kar rahi ho.

GOLD ko 2148.24 ke do muntazimi price tests ke baad khareed bhi sakte hain, magar MACD oscillator line oversold area mein honi chahiye, taake market 2157.48 aur 2178.27 ke taraf palat sake. Choti positions ke liye GOLD 2148.24 par ponchne par bechaini barh jaye aur profit 2137.89 par karain. US news data Residential Building Permits par mazboot reports anay se dabao barhay ga; Jab bechaini barhay, yaqeeni banain ke MACD oscillator line zero ke neeche ho ya phir is se gir rahi ho. GOLD ko 2157.48 ke do muntazimi price tests ke baad bhi bech sakte hain, magar MACD oscillator line overbought area mein honi chahiye, taake market 2148.24 aur 2137.89 ke taraf palat sake.

GOLD Daily Time Frame

Subah bakhair sabko! Gold mein kal kuch dilchasp nahi ho raha; GOLD ROS line ke neeche trading ho raha hai, jo humein rozaana ke candle ke dande par kharaab buland volumes deta hai. Yani, ROS line is jagah par candle mein sab se bada bearish volume hai, aur is haftay tak hum isay upar nahi toor sakte. Takneeki taur par, hum is kaafi wasee resistance zone ke andar trade kar rahe hain jo haftay ke bearish Pin bar ke dande ke saath banaya gaya hai. By the way, is haftay ke pattern ki ideyat ab bhi zinda hai. Sirf yehi cheez jo in dino bearish hai, woh basement hai, yeh humein upar se bechne ke liye signal deta hai. Aur GOLD ke mukhya chart par humein anishchayata hai, lekin yeh sirf meri ray hai aur yeh niche di gayi tasveer mein hai.

GOLD H1 Time Frame

Mahaul abhi sahi hai, sab kuch jo sale par hai, kharidne ke liye sahi hai. Aapko 2381.78 aur 2397.79 ke darmiyan enter karna hai. Bahut saari ehtiyaat aur phir sey asuraksha nahi hai. Main 2397.84 ke mark par ek rukavat lagane ka faisla karta hoon. Lalach mein na parne ke liye, main mazid profit 2362.37 ke mark par fix karne ka sujhav deta hoon. Phir bhi, yeh size mera rukavat se paanch guna bada hai. Kya agar aisa ho ke aaj mera plan khud ko sabit na kare, toh main deal band kar doonga. Kal sab kuch alag hoga, mausam bhi aur market ke charts ke movement bhi. Udas khabron ke eve mein, behtar hai bilkul kaam na karein balki apne iradon ke aghwa se udaas na hon.

Kal bechne walay girti hui qeematon ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam rahe, jiski wajah se qeemat poore din barhti rahi aur peechle din ke daira mein ek poori bullish candle ban gayi. Mujhe lagta hai ke qeemat ka qareebi resistance level jo maine 2378.560 par pehchana hai, ko phir se test karna mumkin hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb do mumkinah scenarios hain.
Pehla scenario yeh hai ke qeemat is level ke upar consolidate kare aur upar ko barhti rahe. Agar yeh hota hai, toh main dekhunga ke qeemat 2417.920 ya 2431.590 ke resistance levels ki taraf barh rahi hai. Agar qeemat in levels ke upar consolidate kar le, toh mazid upar ka ruchan dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo ke 2500 ke resistance level tak pohanch sakta hai. In resistance levels par main trading setups dekhunga taake agle trading direction ka taayun kar sakoon. Halanki mumkin hai ke qeemat aur upar jaye, main is option ko is waqt nahi dekh raha kyun ke mujhe yeh jaldi hota hua nazar nahi aa raha Pichle hafte, sona gir gaya aur 1983 mein sab se kam level ko chua. 1983 ko chune ke baad, sona taez tareen tarha se barha aur resistance tak pohancha aur resistance ko qabool karne laga. Main ne sonay ki tafteesh h4 waqat frame par kiya, wahan is ne aik channel mein trade kiya aur aaj sona ne channel ko tor kar upar ja kar us par qabza kiya. Yeh bohot acha sign hai ke aur bullish hoga. Asaan moving average pair ko support kar raha hai aur zahir hai ke aglay taraf le jane ke liye zor lagaye ga

Dusra scenario 2378.560 resistance level ke qareeb yeh ho sakta hai ke ek reversal candle banay, jo ke downward movement ki dobara shuruat ko zahir kare. Agar yeh hota hai, toh hum umeed kar sakte hain ke qeemat wapas 2277.345 ya 2222.915 ke support levels tak aayegi. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals dekhna jaari rakhunga, aur upward price movement ki recovery ki umeed rakhunga

ka analysis karne se yeh samajh aata hai ke 2388 ka level ek bohot important point hai. Yeh level ek resistance point ke tor par kaam karta hai, jahan selling pressure barh jata hai aur price ko aage badhne se roknay lagta hai. Gold ka 2388 ke level ko maintain na kar pana ek ahem technical indicator hai jo bearish outlook ko support karta hai.
Is level par gold ka sustain na kar pana market mein kamzori ka ishara hai aur yeh suggest karta hai ke buying momentum kam ho raha hai. Is baat ko samajhna trading ke liye bohot zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh market ke potential direction ke baray mein valuable information provide karta hai.
Gold ka 2388 ke level ko break aur sustain na kar pana dikhata hai ke market mein sellers ka pressure zyada hai. Jab bhi price is level par aati hai, sellers active ho jate hain aur selling shuru ho jati hai, jis se price phir se niche girne lagti hai. Yeh cycle bar bar dekhne ko milti hai aur yeh batata hai ke market abhi tak ek stable aur sustainable uptrend mein nahi aayi hai.
Technical analysis ke ilawa, kuch aur indicators bhi hain jo is bearish trend ko support karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi overbought levels ko touch kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke recent buying pressure shayad sustainable nahi hai. Jab RSI overbought zone mein hota hai, yeh often ek signal hota hai ke market mein correction aane wali hai.
Agar price 100 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke pass aati hai aur usko bhi sustain nahi kar pati, toh yeh bhi ek bearish signal hota hai. Moving averages traders ke liye ek bohot important tool hain, kyun ke yeh long-term trend ke direction ko identify karne mein madadgar hote hain. Agar price 100 EMA ko break karke niche gir jaye, toh yeh ek strong confirmation hoti hai ke bearish trend shuru ho gaya hai.
Fundamental factors bhi gold market ko influence karte hain. Economic data releases, interest rates, aur investor sentiment, sab ka asar gold prices par hota hai. Agar US dollar strong hota hai, toh yeh gold ke prices ko niche le jata hai, kyun ke gold ko dollars mein price kiya jata hai aur jab dollar strong hota hai, toh gold doosri currencies ke holders ke liye mehnga ho jata hai.
Geopolitical factors bhi gold prices ko impact karte hain. Agar geopolitical tensions kam hoti hain ya stability barh jati hai, toh gold ki safe-haven appeal kam ho jati hai, jis se prices niche gir sakti hain. Lekin agar unexpected geopolitical developments hoti hain, toh yeh outlook ko disrupt kar sakti hain, magar filhal ke analysis yeh suggest karte hain ke environment stable hai aur yeh rally ko support nahi kar raha.
In conclusion, gold ka 2388 ke level ko maintain na kar pana aur multiple technical indicators ka bearish signals dena, yeh dikhata hai ke market mein downward correction continue ho sakti hai. 2388 ka level ek significant resistance point hai aur gold ka is level ko break na kar pana market mein kamzori ka ishara hai. Is liye traders ko technical aur fundamental factors dono ko madde nazar rakhte hue apni strategies ko adapt karna chahiye taake market ke dynamics

Price ko upward climb continue rakhne ke liye strong reversal level 2345 ko cross karna zaroori hai. Yeh ek critical milestone hai, aur 2410 ek key reversal point ka kaam kar raha hai jo 2330 ke class se hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, to price apni ascent continue karne ki umeed hai, upper border of the pennant formation develop karte hue. Filhal, yeh upper border 2355 ke level ke aas-paas hai, intermediate resistance levels 2318 aur 2328 par identified hain.
Agar quotes 2337 level ke neeche break hoti hain aur consolidation continue karti hain, to main alternative scenarios consider karunga. Market sideways movement dikhata hai 2325 aur 2316 ke beech, jo ek range-bound trend form kar raha hai. Agar yeh boundaries break hoti hain, to yeh medium-term market action ka direction indicate kar sakti hain. H4 chart pe indications hain ke further upward movement abhi bhi ho sakta hai. Pennant ne trend line ke upar strengthen kiya hai, suggesting ke bulls price ko higher push karte rahenge, target of 2305 ke liye. Extended sideways movement ne southward breakout ki possibility ko negate kiya hai, aur lateral movement opposite direction me develop kar raha hai

Naye Mikon Coronavirus strain ke concerns ke response me, gold demand short term me strong hai. Stock market ki reactions is demand ko support kar rahi hain. Bears ek significant move anticipate kar rahe hain agar price 2375 level ko break karti hai, targets 2350 aur 2360 ke departure ke sath. Yeh scenario likely hai agar dollar index 2340 trend line ke neeche fall hota hai. Agar upward trend continue hota hai, closing point 2334 ke aas-paas hone ki umeed hai, jo 200-SMA ke wajah se resistance ka kaam karega. Agle mahine ke pehle session me, price upper trend line of the channel ko follow kar sakta hai, pivot point ke upar 2320-2380 range me move karte hue

Sab ko good afternoon, main umeed karta hoon ke aap sab theek hain. Iske ilawa, jo trading ke nateejay Mangalwar ko milay hain woh shayad Somwar ke nateejay se behtar hon. Budhwar ko gold ke daamon mein izafa hua, jahan range 210 pips tak pahunch gaya—ek nisbatan bada number Somwar ke activity ke mukable, jo market movement mein izafa darust karta hai. Iske ilawa, gold ko Wednesday ko ek baray range mein shamil hone ki sambhavna hai kyunki typically is din ke daamon mein tezi se hilne ki tendency hoti hai. Abhi tak, daamon koshish kar rahay hain ke H4 chart ke support area se bahar nikal jaayen. Is koshish ke bawajood, daamon support zone ke aas paas hili hui hain bina kisi significant movement ke. Ek mazeed neeche ki taraf move ke liye, bechnay walon ko support area se kamyabi ke saath guzarna hoga. Agar daam support level ke upar consolidate hota hai, main ek mazeed upar ki movement ki umeed karta hoon, jise 2315 ke resistance level tak pahunchne ka potential hai. Yadi 2345 ke aas paas ek rounding top shakal leta hai, toh main umeed karta hoon ke daam phir se 2360 ke local support level tak lautega. Is support level ke qareeb, main naye upar ki movement ka pesh-e-nazar pattern dekhne ka umeed karta hoon, jo mukarrar uttari targets tak ishara kar raha hai.

Roz ke chart par bhi milti julti patterns nazar aati hain jab daam kisi resistance level ke qareeb hoti hai. Agar aaj ka daily candle bara jism ke saath band hota hai aur support area se guzar jaata hai, toh gold ke agle neeche ki target 2350 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Ye setup pehle se compare karke aane wale dinon mein ek behtar moqa faraham karega sell entry ka pehchaanne ke liye. Aam taur par, daamon giravat amrici session mein hoti hai, jo ek wajah hai ke pehle ka kharidne ka manzar nuksan mein nahi par raha tha jise is daur mein dekha gaya tha. Main teesra target poori hone ki umeed rakhta hoon 234 ke qareeb.

Yeh mumkin hai ke trading ke nateejay budhwar ko behtar honge, jis se somvar ke nateejay ko par kar jayenge. Mangalwar ko sonay ke daam mein izafa hua, jis se faa'iliyat 210 pips tak pohanch gayi, iss dino ke market movement mein pehle din ke muqable mein numaya izafa hone ki nishani hai. Budhwar mein sonay ke daam aur zyada fluctuate hosakte hain kyun ke is din aam tor par price movements mein tez tabdeeliya hoti hain. Mojooda daam H4 chart par apne support area se bahar nikalne ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin support zone ke aas paas stagnate hai. Agar forokht karne wale support area ko kamyabi se tor dete hain, to daam ko mazeed neeche ki taraf ja sakti hai. Lekin, agar daam resistance level ke upar consolidate hota hai, to upar ki taraf movement hosakti hai jo 2315 resistance level ki taraf le jayegi. Agar 2345 level ke aas paas ek rounding top shakal leta hai, to mujhe umeed hai ke daam 2360 ke local support level ki taraf lautega, jahan doosri rounding pattern ban sakta hai, doosre upar ki movement ki taraf ishara karte hue. Ye mawad rozana chart par hota hai jab daam resistance level ke qareeb pohanchta hai.

Sonay ke daam mazeed gir sakti hain agar bara support level ko tor deti hai, jis se 2350 tak pohanch sakti hai - bechne ka acha mauka. Ye pehle hafte se behtar hai. Tareekh mein, sonay ke daam American session ke doran kam hoti hain, isiliye pehli dafa ke mauqay mein nuksan ka samna hua kyun ke is doran girawat hoti hai.
Pichle do hafte mein, sonay ki qeemat mein izafa hua phir kami hui, aur is hafte mein 4 ghante ke chart par ek bullish trend se shuru hua. Lekin, pehle trades bearish the jab daam ne pichle do hafton ke sab se unchi trading level par resistance milti hai. Daam gir gaya, donon red channel aur weekly pivot level ko tor dia, lekin uss ne support hasil kiya aur phir se bullish direction mein trading shuru ki. Ye kami ek correction ke tor par li ja sakti hai, aur mazeed upar ki taraf movement ki umeed hai, shayad pichli haftay ke sab se unchi trading qeemat ko paar kar jaye.

Main chaar ghantay ke chart par gold dekh raha hoon. Yeh pair aik upar jaati hui trend channel mein trade kar raha tha, lekin trend channel ke neeche ke boundaries toot gaye the. Iss ke bawajood ke neeche ke boundaries toot gaye, seller se koi volume nahi aayi, lekin buyer se volume aayi. Aam tor par iss surat mein growth jaari rehti hai aur maine socha tha ke yeh jaari rahegi. Lekin buyer ke stops ko trend channel se kuch had tak hata diya gaya. Pair ne range mein trading karna band kar diya, seller volume gain kar raha tha, aur maine socha tha ke pair pura trend channel todne chali jayegi, lekin jaisa ke pata chala, pehle isne minimum update kiya, phir wapas aayi aur phir se sales volume gain karna shuru kiya. Wahan, guzra hua mein, seller ne volume gain ki thi; yeh kafi mumkin hai ke yeh ab bhi buyers ke stops ko iss trend channel se nikalne jayegi jab tak support 2184.05 tak nahi pohonchti

Main hourly chart par gold dekh raha hoon. Zaroori baat yeh hai ke itna strong decline expect nahi kiya tha. Maine socha tha, lekin phir bhi yakeen nahi tha. Kyunki seller ne pehle se sara volume gain kiya tha, pair ne grow karna jaari rakha, peechla maximum update kiya, aur jab peechla maximum update kiya aur bawajood ke buyer volume gain karte rahe, pair ne decline karna shuru kar diya, aur un levels tak drop hui jahan se seller ne volume gain kiya tha. Aur ab seller phir se sales volume increase kar raha hai. Ab tak, pair ne is sideways trend ko update kar diya hai, seller ke stops ko nikal diya, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh decline aur aage jaari reh sakta hai aur pair support 2286.58 tak ja sakti hai.

Sell options tayar ki gayi hain jab downward correction ka intezar ho raha hai aur phir bhi SMA5 curve ke neeche hain H4 time frame mein, flip area ke aas paas jo price 2325.21 pe hai agar yeh pehle mother bar ko price 2320.09 pe penetrate kar chuka ho. Target SMA50 dynamic support ke aas paas daily time frame mein price range 2308.98 pe rakha gaya hai. Reentry sell tab tayar kiya gaya hai agar yeh triangle pattern ke projection line ko successfully penetrate karta hai, flip area ke aas paas prices 2295.42 se 2291.32. Target flip area ke aas paas prices 2280.52 se 2276.72 pe rakha gaya hai. Reentry sale tab tayar ki gayi hai agar yeh support ko successfully penetrate karta hai. Target RBS area ke aas paas daily time frame mein price 2252.34 pe rakha gaya hai

Buy option tab tayar kiya gaya hai jab decline ko reject kar diya jaye, ya phir dobara reflect ho pehle mother bar ke upar H4 time frame mein price 2320.09 pe. Target SMA200 dynamic resistance ke aas paas price range 2350.57 pe rakha gaya hai. Reentry buy tab tayar ki gayi hai jab upward correction persist kare flip area ke upar prices 2325.21 se 2320.09. Target SMA50 dynamic resistance se SBR area ke aas paas price 2394.32 pe rakha gaya hai. Ek aur buy option tab tayar kiya gaya hai agar decline ko reject kiya jaye pehle mother bar ke support ke upar price 2276.72 pe. Target flip area ke aas paas prices 2320.09 se 2325.21 pe rakha gaya hai

Gold ka daur slim consolidation ke andar chal raha hai, juts naye 5-mahine ke naye low ke upar, doosre mutawarri din ke liye.

Bade bears 4 se mutawarri hafton ke nuksan ke baad shor ko gawa rahay hain (3.6% tak), jab investors oversold daily reports par ghor kam kar rahe hain aur ek naye rukh ki umeed kar rahe hain interest rates aur economy ki nazar, Jackson Hollow mein saalana jamat central bankers ki jamaat se.

Doosre mutawarri din ki daily Doji candle ne mazboot larrkaari ki ishaaraat di hai, jismein lambi consolidation ka chance hai jab tak markets ko saaf raasta milay, jab sab nigahein 24-26 August ke Jackson Hollow Symposium aur Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke taqreer par milti hain (25 August ko hone wali).

Sabaq ye hai ke kya America ka central bank lambi muddat tak uchay interest rates qaim rakhay ga, mehngaai ke moahide mein, ya phir aane wale maheenon mein qarz uthane ki keemat ko kam karega.

Sonay ka sikkah barhtay inflation ke dor mein, jo investors ke liye dollar ko kheenchta hai, zyada dabao ka shikaar ho sakta hai, haalaankay mazeed buland mehngaai sonay ki appeal ko dubara zinda kar sakti hai aur qeemat ko barha sakti hai.

Hum taaza rukh ki ishaaraat dhoondh sakte hain agar 200DMA ($1906) ke oopar barqarar to hai — bullish, ya phir hilaa break ne last 5-mahine ke naye low ($1884) ke neeche — bearish.

Bearish tezi agar $1847 (100DMA / 50% retracement of $1614/$2080 rally) par target ko expose karta hai aur khatra ko $1800 ilaaqay ki taraf phailata hai (Feb 26 trough / 200WMA).

Mutasir, (200DMA / trendline resistance) ke oopar uthna pivotal barriers ko $1924 (Fibo 38.2% of $1987/$1884 bear-leg) aur $1933 (day by day cloud ke patle hone ke neeche, jo agle haftay murnay wala hai aur ishaari hai).

Res: 1891; 1900; 1906; 1924. Sup: 1884; 1871; 1847; 1834.

Ahem mashwara : sonay ka trend tor gaya aur pehli resistance ko retest kiya aur ab 1799 ki taraf ja raha hai.

Gold ke H4 time frame chart ke mutabiq, 17 May ko metal ne apni moving average lines ko neechay ki taraf cross kiya, jis se iska trend bullish se bearish mein badal gaya. Agle kuch dino mein price adjustment se pehle Gold ki price barh gayi thi. Mein 23 May tak Gold ki price mein tez girawat dekh raha tha. Uske baad, RSI indicator ne oversold show kiya. Ab Gold ki price support levels 2276 aur 2305 ko test karne ke liye giregi kyunke kuch ghanton pehle isne 26 EMA line ko touch kiya aur negative movement shuru ki, jo ke market correction complete hone ki nishani hai Aam tor par iss surat mein growth jaari rehti hai aur maine socha tha ke yeh jaari rahegi. Lekin buyer ke stops ko trend channel se kuch had tak hata diya gaya. Pair ne range mein trading karna band kar diya, seller volume gain kar raha tha, aur maine socha tha ke pair pura trend channel todne chali jayegi, lekin jaisa ke pata chala, pehle isne minimum update kiya, phir wapas aayi aur phir se sales volume gain karna shuru kiya

Daily ti frame chart se mujhe pata chalta hai ke pichle hafte ke tamam paanch trading days mein Gold price bearish rahi. Iske natije mein Gold price pure hafte bearish direction mein rahi. Bullish candle jo Gold ne form ki aur uski badhti hui price ki wajah se, kal Gold ne 26 EMA line ke upar close kiya. Overall, price 26 aur 50 EMA lines ke upar hai, aur RSI indicator value midpoint ke upar hai, jo ke primary trend ko bullish show karta hai. Mujhe yeh nahi pata ke price barhegi ya giregi kyunke trend positive hai magar bears abhi bhi control mein hain. Aanewale dino mein, agar price giregi aur pichle trading day ke low point ko cross karegi to direction change hogi; agar barhegi, to highest resistance level 2431 ko dobara challenge karegi.

Yeh mumkin hai keh budh ko trading results behtar ho jaayein, aur Monday ke results se zyada ho jaayein. Mangal ko gold prices mein izafa hua, aur 210 pips tak pohanch gaya, jo ke pichle din ke muqablay mein market movement mein ek significant boost tha. Budh ko gold prices zyada fluctuate kar sakte hain, kyunke is din aam tor par volatile price movements hoti hain. Filhal keemat H4 chart par apne support area se breakout karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, magar support zone ke qareeb hi ruk gayi hai. Agar sellers ne support area ko successfully tor diya, toh keemat mazeed niche gir sakti hai. Magar agar keemat resistance level ke ooper consolidate kar gayi, toh usme ek upward movement ho sakti hai jo 2315 resistance level tak ja sakti hai. Agar 2345 level ke qareeb ek rounding top ban jaye, toh mujhe lagta hai ke keemat wapas local support level 2360 par aayegi, jahan doosra rounding pattern ban sakta hai, aur phir ek aur upward movement northern targets ki taraf ho sakti hai. Daily chart par bhi aise patterns dekhne ko milte hain jab keemat resistance levels ke qareeb hoti hai

Gold ki keemat aur zyada gir sakti hai agar ek major support level tor diya jaye, jo ke 2350 ke qareeb ho sakta hai - yeh sell karne ka acha mauka hai. Yeh mauka pehle haftay ke muqablay mein behtar hai. Tareekhi tor par, American session ke doran gold prices girti hain, isi wajah se pehla buy scenario fail hua tha kyunke is period mein declines hoti hain.
Pichle do hafton mein, gold ke prices mein izafa aur phir kami dekhne ko mili, aur is haftay ka aghaz 4-hour chart par ek bullish trend ke sath hua. Magar pehle trades bearish thein kyunke keemat pichle do hafton ke highest trading level par resistance ka samna kar rahi thi. Keemat gir gayi, red channel aur weekly pivot level ko tor diya, magar phir support mili aur bullish direction mein trading ko resume kar liya. Is girawat ko ek correction consider kiya ja sakta hai, aur mazeed upward movement ki umeed hai, jo shayad pichle haftay ke highest trading price se bhi barh jaye

Aaj hamari trading strategy mein aik aham taraqqi hui hai jab humne pehla qadam neeche uthaya, jo ke mojooda medium-term pattern ko tabdeel kar sakta hai. Yeh shift nihayat zaroori hai kyun ke yeh market dynamics mein mumkinah tabdeeli ka signal deta hai jo ke traders ko maloom honi chahiye. Purane pattern se naye pattern ka adjust karna hamein future market movements ka andaza dene mein madad kar sakta hai, jo hamari trading decisions ko shape karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Magar, is naye pattern ko implement karna hamari analysis ko update karne ke iraday par mabni hai. Agar hum susti ka shikaar hue, to hum purana pattern bedale chor sakte hain, jo ke missed opportunities ya market signals ka ghalat mutalea ka sabab ban sakta hai.
Pehla qadam neeche ek purane trend ya consolidation phase se alag hone ka asar hai jo hum observe kar rahe thay. Technical analysis mein, patterns nihayat ahem hote hain taake potential price movements ko identify kiya ja sake. Yeh patterns continuation patterns bhi ho sakte hain, jo ke current trend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara dete hain, ya reversal patterns ho sakte hain, jo ke direction mein tabdeeli ka signal dete hain. Is initial move ko pehchan kar, hum naye pattern ke ubharne ka imkan tasleem karte hain, jo ya to downward trend ko confirm kar sakta hai ya potential reversal ka ishara de sakta hai.

Agar hum apni analysis mein mehnati rahein, to agla din ziada clear pattern zahir kar sakta hai. Yeh naya pattern ek flag, pennant, head and shoulders ya koi aur formation ho sakta hai jo market ke intentions ka zyadah wazeh tasavur deta hai. Is pattern ko pehchan-ne aur draw karne ke liye careful observation aur price action ka samajhna zaroori hai. Misal ke taur par, continuation pattern jaise descending triangle ya bearish flag yeh indicate karenge ke downward trend barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai, jab ke reversal pattern jaise double bottom ya inverse head and shoulders yeh suggest karte hain ke market upar jane ki tayari kar raha hai

Lekin, hamesha complacency ya susti ka risk hota hai, khaaskar routine nature of pattern analysis ke sath. Agar hum apne pattern ko update karne mein nakam rahein, to hum purani maloomat par bharosa kar sakte hain. Yeh complacency market ke direction ke bare mein ghalat assumptions tak le ja sakti hai, jo ke poor trading decisions ka sabab ban sakti hain. Purane pattern ko bedale chor dena ka matlab yeh hai ke hum new data aur price movements ko nazar andaz kar rahe hain jo hamari analysis par significant asar daal sakte hain