Gold forum

Gold ne ek martaba phir se apni mojooda price point se tezi ki activity ko barhawa diya hai, aur buyers mein kafi dilchaspi aur aitmaad hasil kiya hai. Pichlay haftay, gold ne mazboot tezi ki harkat ka muzahira kiya, jismein chart par ek mazboot bullish candle bani. Yeh wazeh indication hai ke buyers ka ghalba hai, aur market participants zyada se zyada prices ko upar dhakelne ke liye tayar hain. Iss haftay bhi yeh positive trend jari hai, jismein gold ne ek aur bullish candle banayi hai, jo pehle se qaim upward momentum ko mazid barhawa de rahi hai. Recent price action se yeh pata chal raha hai ke gold ek martaba phir se apni peak price ko test karne wala hai. Yeh ahem test market mein ek significant event hoga, jo anqareeb gold prices ke direction ka tayun karega. Agar gold apne pichlay highs ko successfully breach kar leta hai, to yeh ek naye aur sustained bullish wave ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Aise move se aur zyada buyers attract honge, jo upward trajectory ko mazid barhawa dega aur mumkin hai ke aur zyada gains aayein. Pichlay highs ko surpass karne ka psychological asar bhi mazid bullish sentiment ko barhawa de sakta hai, jis se gold mein investment ek safe-haven asset ke tor par barh sakti hai.

Doosri taraf, agar gold apne pichlay peak ko surpass karne mein nakam rehta hai, to yeh ek lambay bearish phase ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Iss critical juncture par nakami buyer confidence ko kamzor kar sakti hai, jo increased selling pressure ka sabab ban sakti hai aur prices ko neeche dhakel sakti hai. Yeh scenario market sentiment mein shift ka sabab ban sakta hai, jahan traders aur investors zyada ehtiyaat ya hatta ke bearish ho sakte hain gold ke prospects par. Pichlay highs ko break na karne ko resistance ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai, jo yeh suggest karega ke gold range-bound reh sakta hai ya ek downward trend mein dakhil ho sakta hai for an extended period

slowdown aur phir upward stop hoga. Low ke qareeb 2300 par pivot point banane ke baad, support trend line draw karna mumkin ho gaya hai latest upward movement ke liye. Yeh mumkin hai ke daam thoda aur neeche kheeche, sirf trend line tak, aur phir wahan se upar chale. 2300 ka breakout ho chuka hai aur iske baad growth continue hogi. Current prices se humain choti si downward correction mil sakti hai aur uske baad growth continue hogi. Jab hum 2377 ko tor kar uske upar consolidate karenge, to yeh buy karne ka signal hoga. Jab tak humein bara downward impulse nahi milta, growth uske baad ho sakti hai. Agar growth current prices se

continue hoti hai, to growth ka target 2420 par hoga. 2305 ke range me support hai aur wahan se growth continue hogi. Yeh mumkin hai ke hum 2417 ke range ke upar growth hasil karein, phir humein zyada buy karna padega. Yeh mumkin hai ke American session me slight correction ke baad growth aur aage barhe. Yeh mumkin hai ke current prices se strengthening continue kare resistance range 2415 tak. Shayad hum 2378 ke resistance range ka breakdown hasil karein, phir rate ko strengthen karne ka signal milega. Recent decline ke baad, growth resume ho sakti hai. Current price range me support hai aur wahan se bhi growth continue ho sakti hai Mumkin hai ke hum 2364 range ko tor kar iske upar qadam jamayein aur yeh kharidnay ka ishaara hoga. Shayad humein 2365 range ka breakdown mil jaye aur iske upar mazbooti se milti julti, phir yeh keemat barhne ka ishaara hoga. Ho sakta hai ke 2347 range mein jhoota breakout pehle hi ho chuka hai aur iske baad izafa aur bhi jaari rahega. Ek ahem correction ke baad, izafa phir bhi jaari rahega. Chhoti si correction mumkin hai, lekin iske baad izafa jaari rahega. Agar aap 2305 range ko test kar paayein, toh izafa wahan se jaari raheg

Kal sone ki qeemat ke bare mein, aghaz mein thodi girawat ke bawajood, qeemat mein zabardast izafa dekhne ko mila jo achi khabron ki wajah se tha. Yeh izafa bullish candle banate hue 2378.560 ke resistance level ko convincingly breach kar gaya aur upar band hui. Maujooda surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, mujhe aaj mazeed upar jane ka imkan nazar aata hai. Aise surat mein, main do resistance levels ko monitor karunga: 2417.920 aur 2431.590. Agar qeemat in levels ke upar consolidate hoti hai, to mujhe umeed hai ke upar ka rujhan 2500 tak jari rahega, jahan main mazeed action ke liye trading signal ka intezar karunga. Main qeemat ke 2600 tak pohanchne ke imkan ko bhi dekh raha hoon, lekin raste mein kuch downward corrections ka tajzia karte hue support levels ke qareeb buying opportunities dhoondunga, jo ke prevailing uptrend ke sath align hoti hain. Ek alternative scenario yeh hai ke jab qeemat aforementioned resistance levels ke qareeb aaye to ek reversal candle bane, jo potential downturn ka signal de. Aise mein, main qeemat ke 2378.560 ya 2332.110 ke support levels tak wapas ane ka intezar karunga, bullish signals ke liye jo potential rebound ka ishara karengi. Summarize karte hue, mujhe qareebi future mein maqami upar ki taraf movement ka imkan nazar aata hai, nearby resistance levels ko test karne par focus ke sath, aur market dynamics ko dobara assess karte hue, bullish scenarios par zyada zor dete hue



Click image for larger version Is temporary setback ke bawajood, sone ki safe haven asset ke tor par demand mazboot hai, jo ke recent US tariffs on Chinese goods aur inflation data ke wajah se US monetary policy mein possible shifts ke speculation ki wajah se hai. Market volatility aksar investors ko sone ki taraf le jati hai, is ke perceived stability ki wajah se, jab ke Federal Reserve ke potential interest rate cuts aam tor par gold prices ko favor karte hain by reducing the opportunity cost of holding the metal. Mazeed, ek weak US dollar bhi sone ki appeal ko mazid barhata hai, kyun ke yeh doosri currencies hold karne wale investors ke liye comparatively sasta ho jata hai, jo ke demand aur price appreciation ko barha sakta hai.

Gold ke qeemat mein hal hi mein khaasa izafa dekha gaya hai, jo mukhtalif geo-political uncertainties, central bank ke iqdaamat, aur U.S. Federal Reserve ki policies ke mutaliq naye tajziye ki wajah se hai. Iran ke President ki wafaat ne is ilaaqay mein tensions ko barhawa diya hai, jisse investors ne gold mein panah lene ka rukh kiya hai. Ye geo-political instability, khaaskar Middle East jese mutazalzil ilaaqay mein, traditionally investors ko crisis ke doran gold ko ek mo'tabar store of value samajhne par majboor karti hai. Ilaaqay mein ziada conflict aur badnazmi ka imkaan investors ko apni investments ko siyasi risks se mehfooz rakhne ke liye gold ki taraf mo'il kar raha hai.
In geo-political concerns ke sath, global order ke growing fragmentation ne bhi duniya bhar ke central banks ko gold ikattha karne par majboor kiya hai. Jese jese economic aur political alliances shift ho rahe hain aur conventional financial systems aur currencies, jese ke U.S. dollar, par aitmaad kam ho raha hai, central banks ziada se ziada gold ka sahara le rahe hain taake mumkina economic instability se bach sakein. Ye trend current global financial system ke resilience par ek bari skepticism aur mustaqbil ke economic upheavals ki anticipation ko zahir karta hai. Gold ko strategically khareed kar, central banks apne mulkon ki economic health ko in uncertainties ke darmiyan protect karna chahte hain

Iske ilawa, U.S. Federal Reserve ki policies ke mutaliq shifting expectations bhi gold ke qeemat mein izafa karne mein ahm kirdar ada kar rahi hain. Ye speculation barh rahi hai ke Fed pehle se umeed se ziada jaldi interest rates kam kar sakta hai. Kam interest rates aam tor par non-yielding assets, jese ke gold, ko hold karne ka opportunity cost reduce karte hain, kyunke interest-bearing investments se returns kam ho jati hain. Ye gold ki attractiveness ko barha deta hai, jo ke currency fluctuations ke volatility aur doosri investments ke risks ke baghair stable value storage ka option offer karta hai. Fed ke monetary policy easing ke signals aksar gold prices ko upar le jaate hain, kyunke investors low-interest-rate environment mein stability aur security ke liye gold mein invest karte hain

Ye elements global political dynamics, economic strategies, aur investor behavior ke darmiyan ek intricate interplay ko zahir karte hain, jo ke gold ki current value surge mein hissa le raha hai. Jese jese ye surat-e-haal progress karegi, investors in developments ko ghoor se dekhte rahenge taake gold market mein apni decisions ko inform kar sakein. Ongoing geopolitical aur economic uncertainties ke madde nazar, gold un logon ke liye crucial asset bana rahega jo in unpredictable times ko navigate karna chahte hain

XAU/USD pair abhi bhi April/May rally ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level $2,326.50 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Buyers ko momentum wapas hasil karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai, jisse upar jaane ki koshish nakam rahi. Daily chart dikha raha hai ke technical indicators neeche ki taraf ja rahe hain aur midlines ke kareeb hain, jo buying interest kam honay ka ishara de rahe hain lekin bearish extension confirm nahi kar rahe. Issi dauraan, pair bearish 20 simple moving average ke aas paas hover kar rahi hai, jabke longer moving average bullish hai aur current level se kaafi neeche hai. Near-term mein, 4-hour chart strong bearish potential dikha raha hai. Technical indicators jaldi se overbought readings se piche hat gaye hain aur midlines tak pohanch gaye hain strong bearish slopes ke sath. XAU/USD thoda neeche 20 SMA ke trade kar rahi hai, jabke 100 SMA aforementioned Fibonacci level ke sath align hai. Agar yeh level toot jaye to $2,300 price zone ka test ho sakta hai. Spot gold ne Monday ko lower trade kiya, ab $2,335 per troy ounce ke kareeb hai. Broader US dollar weakness ke bawajood, XAU/USD ne intraday high $2,364.38 touch kiya tha phir reverse ho gayi. U.S. dollar ne zyadatar major currencies ke mukablay strength gain ki hawkish Federal Reserve officials ke statements aur rate hikes ke speculation ki wajah se

Price dobara highest resistance line ke kareeb ja rahi hai. Russia aur Ukraine ke darmiyan tensions badhne se gold prices upar gayi hain. Russia ke Ukraine ke kai regions par attack karne ki reports gold ke further rise ka potential dikhati hain, shayad market opening par gap up ho sakta hai kal. Technical perspective se, agar price $2,417 resistance line ko tor deti hai to gold mein bullish movement continue ho sakti hai. Lekin, price $2,430 ke highest resistance line ke kareeb hai, jo pullback ko prompt kar sakti hai. Strong trend aur reversal signals ke baghair, gold abhi bhi bullish potential rakhti hai aur naye highs ko reach kar sakti hai

Gold Analysis 20 May 2024

Jumay ke din, sone ke daamon ne upar ki taraf harkat ki aur 2417 level pe red descending channel ki upper border ko chooa. Maine ye tasavvur kiya tha ke ab ek reversal ho sakta hai aur daam niche ki taraf move karenge, lekin aaj daam ne is channel ko upward breakout kiya aur price ka grow karna jari raha. Ab maine hourly chart par ek aur ascending channel blue lines ke saath draw kiya hai. Ab mujhe umeed hai ke yeh pair thodi si upward movement kar sakta hai channel ke top tak, jo 2463 level tak ja sakta hai. Is level ko choone par ho sakta hai ke upward momentum ruk jaye aur price niche ki taraf reverse kar ke is channel ki lower border tak, jo 2407 level ho sakta hai, move kare.


Technical Reference: Jab tak 2,420.0 ke upar hai buy karein

• Resistance 1: 2,458.70
• Resistance 2: 2,467.00
• Support 1: 2,420.80
• Support 2: 2,411.00

Sone ki prices ne Monday (20/5/24) ke trading ke start mein sharply surge kiya, aur historical high $2,450.01 per troy ounce tak pohanch gayi. Mazeed izafa karne ke mauqay strong lag rahe hain, jo Moving Average (MA) indicator ke bullish signals se supported hain, jo ke current price ke niche hain aur rising average price trend ko indicate karte hain. Iske ilawa, Zigzag indicator bhi ek bullish structure banata hai jo mazeed upward movement ko support karta hai.

15-minute chart par bhi, gold bullish potential dikhata hai, supported by MACD, jo ek upward opportunity indicate karta hai apne positive area mein histogram ke saath.

**XAU/USD 4H**

Gold ka price is hafte ke douran bearish trend hold kar raha hai, jab se yeh major resistance zone 2079.81 ko touch karke wahan se strong pull back hui, aur negative pressure ke samne succumb kar gaya. Dollar ki strength ne is dauran key support level jo ke upward trendline 1941.35 se match karta hai, ko break kar diya. Current stability is level ke neeche indicate karti hai ke pair ab tak downward direction hold kar raha hai is hafte ke end tak.

Gold abhi upward trendline jo chart par indicated hai, ke neeche trade kar raha hai, aur descending channel form kar raha hai jo strong downward movement ko support karta hai. Yeh likely hai ke support area 1902.59 ko dobara test kare, jo ke pair ke liye is waqt next support level hai. Agar pair is level ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh significant short-term decline ka samna kar sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh is level ke upar remain karta hai, to yeh major resistance ko phir se test karne ke liye retrace kar sakta hai pehle ke long term mein sharp drop ka samna ho.

Stochastic oscillator positive direction mein cross over karne ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin yeh abhi clear nahi hai. Yeh abhi tak bearish direction ko hold kar raha hai jab tak ek clear positive crossover observe nahi hota.

**XAU/USD 1D**

Gold abhi daily timeframe par upward trendline ke neeche move kar raha hai, jo ke pair ko weaken kar sakta hai. Yeh recent days ke negative pressure ke neeche hai. Lekin, humein ek aur important support area green mein marked hai chart par levels 1914.96 aur 1894.41 par. Agar pair is area ko break through kar leta hai, to yeh steep decline ka samna kar sakta hai towards level 1571.60, jahan yeh naya positive momentum gain kar sakta hai aur potentially recover kar ke ek naya bullish rally form kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar pair current support level ke upar remain karta hai, to yeh ek naya buying opportunity aur strong corrective path ko hold karega major resistance ko phir se test karne ke liye 2079.81 par pehle ke wahan se drop ho aur possibly white downward trendline ko bhi touch kare.

**GOLD H1 Timeframe Analysis**

Ek rate ka izafa 2177 ke range tak ahem hoga, aur hum wahan se aage barhenge. Tawajjo ke qabil hai ke kamzor hojaye ga lekin thori dair ke liye. 2176 ke range se bahar nikalna aur uske ooper milna, buying ko jaari rakhne ka acha sabab hoga. Aise halat mein, jab bhi ek strong corrective pullback hota hai, faide mand prices par kharidna behtar hota hai. US session ke doran choti nuksan ke bawajood, US economy 2162 ke upar grow karna chahiye. Local 2155 ki kamzor support ki tor par breach aur consolidation ke natije mein mazeed rate ka girav hone ka imkaan hai. Local top range 2158 mein break hogi aur hum wahan se aage barhenge, jo ke buying jaari rakhne ka acha sabab hoga. Agar 2152 ke levels par local maximum ka breakdown milta hai, to yeh kharidne ka acha sabab hoga. Agar 2158 ke range ka false breakout hota hai, to uptrend jaari reh sakta hai. US session ke doran gold mein southward correction dekha ja sakta hai, jise barqarar fayde ke sath follow kia ja sakta hai.

Local top range 2163 ke breakout se mazeed buying ko aage badhane ka nishana hai. Yeh abhi ke liye background hai, lekin hum 2142 ke range se bahar nikal sakte hain aur iske neeche mil sakte hain.

**GOLD H-4 Timeframe Analysis**

H4 timeframe mein ek bearish inside bar pattern bana hai, sab se zyada uncha maqam aur aakhri teen swing highs ke darmiyan. Is natije mein, 2177 ke aas-paas ka resistance zone apni structural shartein se toot gaya hai. Iske mojudah price ke neeche do naye demand zones hain, ek hafte ki support 2180 ke qareeb aur doosra naya order block zone mahina ki support 2165 ke ooper bana hai jabke mojudah price ke ooper ek fresh order block zone bana hai jise structure ke tootne se pehle 2160.00 ke range mein banaya gaya tha. Jaise hi mujhe pata chala, price ne is timeframe mein phir se ek inside bar pattern banaya hai (2160.67 se 2170.00 tak), is liye main sabse pehle intezaar karoonga, intezaar karoonga ke cost inside bar pattern se bahar aaye, phir price ne kam az kam ek martaba mother bar candle ke lambay ke mutabiq upar ya neeche move kiya hai, aur phir kharid ya bechne ka ek setup dhoondunga.

Gold Weekly

Sone ka bazar hamesha se sarmaayakaron aur traders ke liye dilchasp raha hai. Sone ke daamon ke barhte-ghat'te rawaiye aur asaar samajhna intehai zaroori hai taake behtar faislay kiye ja saken. Is mukammal tajziye mein, hum sone ke daam ki halia tehqiqat karte hain, aur aham indicators aur chart patterns ka jaiza lete hain taake mustaqbil ke rujhanat ko samajh sakein. Sone ka daam mazeed aham hifazati aur muqablaati satahon ke mutabiq khuch harkat mein aaya hai. Khaaskar, sone ka daam aik maqsoos channel ke upper boundary tak barh gaya hai, jo ke 2050 ka level hai. Upper boundary ka breach hona aik aham upward momentum ko zahir karta hai, jo ke market mein bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. Technical indicators mazeed insights faraham karte hain ke haalaat kya hain. RSI aur moving average indicators qeematon ke rawaiye ko samajhne mein madadgar hain. Mojooda soorat-e-haal mein, dono indicators bullish momentum ko dikhate hain, jo ke sone ke daam ke upper trajectory ko barhawa de rahe hain. Chart ka qareebi jaiza lene par kuch aham patterns aur trends samne aate hain. Chart par candles ka rang ab surkh ho gaya hai, jo ke market sentiment mein bearish drivers ki taraf shift ko zahir karta hai. Is ke bawajood, chalti hui upward momentum ne daam ko downward channel ke upper boundary tak pohoncha diya hai, jo ke 2120 ka level hai. Upper boundary ka breach hone par, sone ke daam ne 2100 ke level par reversal ka samna kiya. Ye reversal aik aham mor tha jo ke price movement mein bullish se bearish momentum ki taraf shift ko zahir karta hai. Natijaatan, daam ne downward movement shuru kar diya, jo ke market mein supply aur demand ke evolving dynamics ko zahir karta hai. Sone ke daam ki halia tehqiqat market sentiment ko mutasir karne wale mukhtalif anasir ke darakht ka izhar karti hai. Jahan key resistance levels ka breach hona bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai, wahin is ke baad ka reversal market ke inherent volatility ko highlight karta hai.

Gold Prices Ki Analysis
Aaj kal hum gold prices ki behaviour analysis par focus kar rahe hain. Hafte ke shuru mein, gold ke prices mein halka sa upward gap aaya jo close nahi hua, aur bulls ne price ko aur upar le jaane ka moka diya aur ek new high achieve kiya. Is wajah se selling ab bhi possible hai kyunki technical signals zyada strong nahi hain, sirf kuch minor hints hain. Hourly chart par, zyadatar indicators bullish trend ki taraf ishara karte hain, magar ek key indicator ab is view ko support nahi karta, aur Bollinger Bands ek potential local correction ka indication dete hain. Ek closure extreme band of the channel ke upar hua, uske baad local growth hui, jo minor bearish signals create kar rahi hain. Lekin, historical tendency ko dekhte hue, ye signals shaayad itne significant na hon.

4-hour chart par bhi indicators upward movement ko support karte hain, magar ek key indicator bearish divergence dikhata hai aur Bollinger Bands upper trend ke end aur channel ke middle tak local correction ka indication dete hain.

Overall, main cautious hoon kyunki mujhe is level par clear bullish direction nazar nahi aa rahi aur na hi bearish stance lene ka koi solid reason hai. Friday ki news ne gold ki growth ko ek nayi boost di, jis se weekly option ke expiration par price 2405.0 tak pohanch gaya. Magar, Asian session ke dauran Iran mein ek crash ke baad price Monday ke option calls se upar chala gaya tha. Uske baad price wapas inhi levels par aa gaya hai. Ye expiration shaayad bina kisi incident ke guzar jaaye, halan ke growth continue hai. Monday ke naye option ki comfort zone badh gayi hai, aur calls strike price 3000.0 se neeche hain. Ye option do hafte ke liye hai kyunki upcoming monthly options ka expiration hai, to shaayad hum 3000.0 tak turant na pohnchein, ya ho sakta hai bilkul bhi na pohnchein, global uncertainties ko dekhte hue. Filhal, sellers' zone 2448.50 par hai aur buyers' zone 2433.0 par hai. Agar dollar index 104.35 se neeche girta hai to is level se gold purchases prudent ho sakti hain.

Sone ka bazar hamesha se sarmaayakaron aur traders ke liye dilchasp raha hai. Sone ke daamon ke barhte-ghat'te rawaiye aur asaar samajhna intehai zaroori hai taake behtar faislay kiye ja saken. Is mukammal tajziye mein, hum sone ke daam ki halia tehqiqat karte hain, aur aham indicators aur chart patterns ka jaiza lete hain taake mustaqbil ke rujhanat ko samajh sakein. Sone ka daam mazeed aham hifazati aur muqablaati satahon ke mutabiq khuch harkat mein aaya hai. Khaaskar, sone ka daam aik maqsoos channel ke upper boundary tak barh gaya hai, jo ke 2050 ka level hai. Upper boundary ka breach hona aik aham upward momentum ko zahir karta hai, jo ke market mein bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. Technical indicators mazeed insights faraham karte hain ke haalaat kya hain. RSI aur moving average indicators qeematon ke rawaiye ko samajhne mein madadgar hain. Mojooda soorat-e-haal mein, dono indicators bullish momentum ko dikhate hain, jo ke sone ke daam ke upper trajectory ko barhawa de rahe hain. Chart ka qareebi jaiza lene par kuch aham patterns aur trends samne aate hain. Chart par candles ka rang ab surkh ho gaya hai, jo ke market sentiment mein bearish drivers ki taraf shift ko zahir karta hai. Is ke bawajood, chalti hui upward momentum ne daam ko downward channel ke upper boundary tak pohoncha diya hai, jo ke 2120 ka level hai. Upper boundary ka breach hone par, sone ke daam ne 2100 ke level par reversal ka samna kiya. Ye reversal aik aham mor tha jo ke price movement mein bullish se bearish momentum ki taraf shift ko zahir karta hai. Natijaatan, daam ne downward movement shuru kar diya, jo ke market mein supply aur demand ke evolving dynamics ko zahir karta hai. Sone ke daam ki halia tehqiqat market sentiment ko mutasir karne wale mukhtalif anasir ke darakht ka izhar karti hai. Jahan key resistance levels ka breach hona bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai, wahin is ke baad ka reversal market ke inherent volatility ko highlight karta hai.

Sone ka bazar hamesha se sarmaayakaron aur traders ke liye dilchasp raha hai. Sone ke daamon ke barhte-ghat'te rawaiye aur asaar samajhna intehai zaroori hai taake behtar faislay kiye ja saken. Is mukammal tajziye mein, hum sone ke daam ki halia tehqiqat karte hain, aur aham indicators aur chart patterns ka jaiza lete hain taake mustaqbil ke rujhanat ko samajh sakein. Sone ka daam mazeed aham hifazati aur muqablaati satahon ke mutabiq khuch harkat mein aaya hai. Khaaskar, sone ka daam aik maqsoos

channel ke upper boundary tak barh gaya hai, jo ke 2050 ka level hai. Upper boundary ka breach hona aik aham upward momentum ko zahir karta hai, jo ke market mein bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. Technical indicators mazeed insights faraham karte hain ke haalaat kya hain. RSI aur moving average indicators qeematon ke rawaiye ko samajhne mein madadgar hain. Mojooda soorat-e-haal mein, dono indicators bullish momentum ko dikhate hain, jo ke sone ke daam ke upper trajectory ko barhawa de rahe hain. Chart ka qareebi jaiza lene par kuch aham patterns aur trends samne aate hain. Chart par candles ka rang ab surkh ho gaya hai, jo ke market sentiment mein bearish drivers ki taraf shift ko zahir karta hai. Is ke bawajood, chalti hui upward momentum ne daam ko downward channel ke upper boundary tak pohoncha diya hai, jo ke 2120 ka level hai. Upper boundary ka breach hone par, sone ke daam ne 2100 ke level par reversal ka samna kiya. Ye reversal aik aham mor tha jo ke price movement mein bullish se bearish momentum ki taraf shift ko zahir karta hai. Natijaatan, daam ne downward movement shuru kar diya, jo ke market mein supply aur demand ke evolving dynamics ko zahir karta hai. Sone ke daam ki halia tehqiqat market sentiment ko mutasir karne wale mukhtalif anasir ke darakht ka izhar karti hai. Jahan key resistance levels ka breach hona bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai, wahin is ke baad ka reversal market ke inherent volatility ko highlight karta hai.

Is waqt behas sona ki qeematon ke rawaiye ka tajziya kar rahi hai. Hafte ke aghaz mein sona ki qeemat thodi si barh gayi thi jo band nahi hui, jis se bulls ne qeemat ko upar kar diya aur ek nayi bulandi ko chhoo liya. Is ke natije mein, selling abhi bhi mumkin hai kyunki kuch mazboot technical ishaarat nahi hain, sirf choti choti hints hain. Hourly chart par zyadatar indicators bullish trend ko dikhate hain, halan ke ek ahem indicator ab is raaye ko support nahi karta aur Bollinger Bands ek maqami correction ka ishara de rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, channel ke extreme band ke upar closure hua tha, jo ke maqami growth ke baad choti bearish signals paida kar raha hai. Magar, tareekhi tor par aise signals ko nazarandaz kiya jata raha hai, isliye ye be mayani ho sakte hain. 4-hour chart par indicators bhi barhati hui movement ko support karte hain bawajood ek ahem indicator bearish divergence dikhata hai aur Bollinger Bands upper trend ke khatam hone aur channel ke darmiyan ek maqami correction ka ishara de rahe hain

Kul mila kar, main ihtiyaat se kaam le raha hoon kyunki mujhe in levels par koi wazeh bullish direction nazar nahi aa rahi aur na hi mere paas bearish stance lene ke liye kaafi waja hain. Jumme ki news ne sona ke growth ko naye zor diya, jo weekly option ke expiration par 2405.0 ki qeemat par munhajir hua. Magar, Asia session ke doran Iran mein crash ne qeemat ko Monday ke option calls ke upar push kar diya. Us ke baad se qeemat wapas in levels par aa gayi hai. Yeh expiration baghair kisi waqiye ke guzarte dikhayi de rahi hai, halan ke growth jaari hai. Monday ke naye option ki comfort zone barh gayi hai, calls strike price ke 3000.0 ke neeche hain. Yeh option do hafton ke liye hai kyunki aanewale monthly options ka expiration hai, isliye hum shayad foran 3000.0 tak nahi pohanch sakte, ya ho sakta hai bilkul bhi na pohanchain, given global uncertainties. Filhal, sellers ka zone 2448.50 par hai aur buyers ka zone 2433.0 par hai. Agar dollar index 104.35 se neeche girta hai to is level se sona khareedna samajhdaari hogi

Baat cheet ka markaz sona ki keemat ke rawaiye ka tajziya hai. Nai hafte ke aghaz se sona naye aalamgir bulandiyon ko chhoo raha hai, jis se bechne walon ke liye moqay kam ho gaye hain. Ye rawaiya late April se chala aa raha hai, jo mere girawat ke umeed ke khilaf hai. Meri strategy tamam indicators ke sath mutabiq thi magar trend ke ilawa, hamari sales upward movement ke khilaf gayi. Bechne walon ke liye risk level aalamgir keemat ke maximum par tha, jahan stop-losses 2430.42 par set the. Magar aaj market ke khulne se, sona niche nahi aaya balke barh kar naye bulandiyon ko chhoo raha hai, jis se bechne walon ke liye risks barh gaye hain. Girawat ka imkaan hai, magar ye foran nahi hoga

Is level par, bechne walon ko kharidaron se sakht muqabla karna parega. Agar aap sell trade lagate hain, to 2396.66 level tak pohanchne par position band karne ka sochain, ya phir zarurat parne par use breakeven mein tabdeel karen. Aap bearish position barqarar rakhne ki koshish kar sakte hain taake 2396.66 level ko paar kar sakein aur downtrend ko jari rakhein. Magar, chaar ghantey ke channel ki observed position girawat par manfi asar dal sakti hai. Isliye, H4 channel par kaam karte hue, main surat-e-haal par nazar rakhunga aur market tabdilon ka tajziya karunga. Linear regression channel chart ek upward trend dikha raha hai, jo kharidaron ki taqat ko zahir karta hai. Channel H4 ka zyada faida hai. Channel ke lower border ko pohanchne par, 2396.66 ke saath ek strong seller hota hai. H4 channel ki slope ek corrective movement dikha rahi hai, jo mustaqbil mein kharidaron ki activity ko barhawa de sakti hai. Agar market 2396.66 par settle ho jata hai, to mera behtareen rukh ye hoga ke ek buy point dekha jaye. Target level 2440.20 par set hai. Agar is level par ek active seller milta hai, to market surat-e-haal bears ke haq mein tabdeel ho sakti hai aur wo trend ko upside mein tabdeel karne ki puri koshish karega. Agar 2396.66 level toot jata hai, to hum girawat ko jari rakhne aur upward trend ko todne ki umeed rakh sakte hain

Wave Structure Analysis


Wave structure upward pattern form kar rahi hai, aur MACD indicator phir se overbought zone mein rise kar raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Aaj intraday, horizontal resistance level 2379 se decline develop karne ki koshish hui, magar US dollar significant tor par major currencies ke against weaken ho gaya. Nateeja yeh nikla ke upward movement shuru hui, jo 2379 resistance level ko break kar gayi. Price ne successfully is level ke upar hold kiya, jo is baat ki high probability indicate karta hai ke rise continue ho sakta hai, April mein form hui maximum 2430 tak, aur shayad us se bhi upar.

Bearish divergence MACD aur CCI indicators par nazar aa rahi hai, jo thoda concern create kar rahi hai, kyun ke CCI indicator overbought zone se neeche nikalne ke liye ready hai, jo further growth ki likelihood ko thoda reduce kar raha hai. Growth ki probability currently us waqt se kafi kam hai jab price ne horizontal support level 2332 ko test kiya tha. Significantly weakened US dollar correction ko trigger kar sakta hai, kyun ke currency pairs indicate kar rahe hain ke correction jaldi hi aane wala hai. Agar correction shuru hota hai, toh yeh price ko neeche le ja sakta hai, jo divergence signal ko confirm karega. Is point par main buy nahi karunga kyun ke situation contradictory hai. Magar main sell ke liye prepare karunga agar current support level 2379 ke neeche successful consolidation hota hai, kam az kam hourly basis par. Is surat mein, yeh level support se resistance ban jayega, aur 2332 level ka retest expected hoga. Mere khayal mein, buy karne ke liye ab dair ho gayi hai, chahe price maximum target kar rahi ho. Notably, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (USA) aur Initial Jobless Claims (USA) significant events hain, dono 15:30 Moscow time par release honge.



Summary:

Pehla scenario yeh involve karta hai ke price in levels ke upar consolidate karti hai aur rise continue karti hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh main expect karta hoon ke price resistance level 2500 ki taraf move karegi. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main trading setup dekhoonga taake further trading direction determine kar saku. Ek aur possibility yeh hai ke price northern target ki taraf aur push kar sakti hai towards resistance level 2600. Magar, even agar yeh plan realize hota hai, main southern pullbacks expect karta hoon along the way towards northern target, jo main bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye use karunga from nearest support levels, anticipating ke growth resumption ho within emerging global northern trend. Ek alternative scenario yeh hai ke resistance levels 2431.590 ya 2417.920 ke qareeb reversal hota hai, jo downward price movement resume karta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh main price ke return hone ka wait karunga support levels 2378.560 ya 2332.110 tak. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals dhoondhoonga, expecting ke upward movement resumption ho.

In summary, main believe karta hoon ke northern movement locally continue kar sakti hai, aur price nearest resistance levels ko test karne ki taraf ja rahi hai. Us ke baad, main market situation assess karunga, northern scenarios ko priority dete hue.