Gold forum

Gold ke prices haal hi mein aik imlaaqi pattern dikhane lage hain, jo 20 din ka simple moving average (SMA) ke aas paas ghoom rahe hain. Aise movement aksar market ki beqarari aur khareedne walon aur bechne walon ke darmiyan laraai ko darust karta hai.

20 din ka SMA aik aam dekha jane wala indicator hai jo traders aur analysts istemal karte hain taake choti arse ke price trends ka andaza lagein. Jab kisi cheez ke price is moving average ke oopar chala jata hai, to yeh bullish sentiment ka ishaara hota hai, jo ke upward momentum ki mumkin nishaandahi karta hai. Mutasaraf, jab kisi cheez ka price 20 din ka SMA ke neeche hota hai, to yeh bearish sentiment ka ishaara deta hai, jo ke neeche ki taraf trend ki mumkin nishaandahi karta hai.

Gold ke case mein, haal hi mein 20 din ka SMA ke neeche band hone ke baad is ke oopar chalne ka yeh movement yeh dikhata hai ke bechne walon ke darmiyan beqarari ka mazaq chal raha hai. Yeh beqarari mukhtalif wajoohat se ho sakti hai, jaise ke ma'ashi beqarari, riyasati tension, ya maali polisi mein tabdiliyan.

Is rukaawat ki ek mumkin tabeer yeh bhi hosakti hai ke bechne wale mazeed neeche ki taraf dabaav mein shamil hone se bach rahe hain, shayad inflation, currency ki keemat mein kami, ya riyasati rukhsatyon mein tabdiliyon ke baa're mein pareshani ke bais se. Doosri taraf, khareedne walay is ko neeche ke 20 din ke SMA ke taur par aik mauka dekh sakte hain, khaaskar agar unhein ma'ashi tor par sonay ki asas ya behtareen samayon mein safe haven asas ke tor par gold ki long-term bunyadiyat par aitmaad hai.

20 din ke SMA ka ahmiyat yeh hai ke yeh traders ko choti arse ke price movements ke liye aik wazeh reference point faraham karta hai. Yeh ek qabil-e-ta'amul satah ka dynamic darja ka kaam karta hai, yani ke price ke upar ho ya neeche ho. Jab price 20 din ke SMA ke oopar hota hai, to yeh amooman support ka kaam karta hai, jabke neeche ho to resistance ka kaam karta hai.

Maujooda manzar mein, yeh ke gold 20 din ke SMA ke oopar chala gaya hai yeh dikhata hai ke khareedne walay support satah ko bachane ke liye aage aaye hain, jis se mazeed neeche ki taraf dabaav ko rokne ka iraada hai. Magar, yeh yad rakhna ahem hai ke yeh koi musalsal rally ka zameer nahi hai, kyun ke market ke jazbat naye maloomat ya waqeeyat ke mutabiq foran tabdeel ho sakte hain.

Aage dekhte hue, 2270 satah gold ke liye darmiyan wali rukawat ke tor par samne aati hai. Is ka matlab hai ke jab gold ooncha uthne ki koshish karta hai, to mukhtalif traders ke taraf se is satah ke aas paas bechne ki dabaav mukhtalif karne ka imkaan hai. Agar gold is rukawat ko paar kar leta hai, to yeh ek uptrend ka mukammal hone ka ishaara ho sakta hai.

2270 satah ke ilawa, agle numaya rukawat ka tajziya 2400 par hai, jo aakhri uptrend ka anjam hai. Yeh satah traders aur investors ke liye nafsiyati ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh gold ke daam mein aik pichli bulandi ko darust karta hai. Agar gold 2400 satah ko paar kar leta hai, to yeh mazeed khareedne ke intrest ko bhata sakti hai, aur shayad sonay ke qeemat mein aam taur par rally ko shadid karti hai.

Magar, in takniki satahon ko ehtiyaat se dekha jana zaroori hai aur gold ke daam par asar dalne wale doosre bunyadi factors ko mad-e-nazar rakha jana chahiye. Ma'ashi maloomat ka izhaar, markazi bank ke elaanat, riyasati tension, aur investors ke jazbat mein tabdiliyan, sabhi bazaar ke rukh ke raaste ka barha sawaal hain.

Aakhri taur par, gold ke prices ke 20 din ke SMA ke oopar chalne ka movement bechne walon ke darmiyan beqarari aur mazeed neeche ki taraf dabaav ka potential iraada ko dikhata hai. Magar, traders ko hosla afzaai ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye aur 2270 aur 2400 jaise khaas rukawat sataahon ko nazarandaz na karna chahiye, kyun ke yeh gold ke daamon ke mustaqbil ki manzil ke baray mein qeemti idaray faraham kar sakti hain.

Sona, itna qeemat dar samundar hai. Uska safar mushkil aur mazid muqabla hai. 2407 ke darja tak pohanch kar, Sona ne apne aap ko ek naye darje par pohanchne ki nishandahi ki thi, lekin safar ke musafiron ne anjaam tak pohanchne se pehle aakhri qadam nahi rakha tha. Sona ki safar ki shuruaat ek aam insaan ki tarah hui thi. Usne mehnat se kaam kiya aur apne iradon ko hasil karne ki disha mein aage badha. Lekin jaise jaise uska maqam buland hota gaya, mushkilat ka samna bhi barhta gaya. Log uske daaman mein aa gaye, unka jala aur hawale se lena shuru kiya. 2407 ke darja tak pohanch kar, Sona ne mehsoos kiya ki qaaboo hasil karne mein nakami ka samna hai. Usne itne oonchaiyon tak pahunchte hue dekha ki dushmanon ki nazar us par lag gayi thi. Log uski kamiyon ko dhoondh rahe the, aur wo ek eham sawal se samna kar raha tha: Kaise apne maqsad ko hasil karein aur apne dushmanon ka muqabla karein? Sona ke liye yeh ek imtehaan tha. Usne apne hausle ko barqarar rakha aur himmat nahi hari. Usne apni harkaton se duniya ko yeh sabit kar diya ki haar sirf woh hota hai jo haar maan leta hai. Usne apne andar chhipe hue jazbe ko jagaya aur apne iradon par mustaqil qaim raha. Usne apni safar mein mukhtalif rukawaton ka samna kiya, lekin har dafa usne unhe paar kiya. Usne apne dilon mein hosla aur himmat bhar kar dikhaya ki agar kisi ko apna maqsad hasil karna hai, to mushkilat se nafrat nahi karni chahiye balki unka samna karna chahiye. 2407 ke darja tak pohanch kar, Sona ne ek naye safar ka aghaz kiya. Usne dekha ki asal kamyabi us safar mein hai jo insan ko apne andar ke jazbe ko pehchanne aur un par amal karne ki salahiyat deta hai. Usne mehsoos kiya ki haqeeqat mein qaaboo uske andar hai, aur wo bas apni himmat aur lagan se kisi bhi musibat ka samna kar sakta hai. Is safar mein Sona ne sikha ki haar ka matlab nahi hota ki sab kuch khatam ho gaya hai. Balki haar ko ek naye aghaz ki surat mein dekhna chahiye. Har musibat ek naye seekh ka mauqa hai aur har nakami ek naye hosla dene wala sabak hai. Aur Sona ne yeh sabak apne zehan aur dil mein samah liya.

Yeh sab khatam hota hai aur phir ek or behtar hoti hai bullon ke lehaz se, jo bullish trend ki taqat ko tasdeeq karta hai. Agar yeh tehreek ka daira jari rahe, to market 2452.30 ke darja, sonay ke market ke liye ahem satah tak izafa kar sakta hai. Waqtan-fa-waqt bearish potential zahir ho jayega. Kam hone wale daron ke sath, yeh ahem hai ke isey 2226.40 ka sath sambhal kar girne na diya jaye. Abhi, sona pehla support 2306.00 ki taraf ja raha hai; is support tak pohanchne par, kami ko ek neeche ki taraf palatna samjha ja sakta hai, lekin fitratan, palatna mukhya support 2280.00 ka tootna hoga


Maujooda manzar mein, yeh ke gold 20 din ke SMA ke oopar chala gaya hai yeh dikhata hai ke khareedne walay support satah ko bachane ke liye aage aaye hain, jis se mazeed neeche ki taraf dabaav ko rokne ka iraada hai. Magar, yeh yad rakhna ahem hai ke yeh koi musalsal rally ka zameer nahi hai, kyun ke market ke jazbat naye maloomat ya waqeeyat ke mutabiq foran tabdeel ho sakte hain

Sona exactly roozana girte hue channel ke oopri lakeer se kam ho raha hai ghanton aur 30-minute ke charts ke kam hone wale volumes ke saath. Ab 15-minute ke growth index qeemat ke peechay chalega aur batayega jab sona kami ke baad uth jayega. Aam tor par, 4-hour ke chart ke volumes ne neeche palatne ka waqt nahi dekha, isliye baqi giravat mumkin hai; iske alawa, hourly chart par bullish territory mein bade volumes hain. Hourly growth index abhi 50 percent se ooper hai, jo keemat din mein izafa kar sakti hai lekin kal ke extreme 2327.00 se ooper nahi ja sakta. 4-hour aur hourly sona ke giravat ka pattern majors ke muqable mein hai, isliye ek scenario ke mutabiq din ke doran giravat mumkin hai

Asia mein sone ki keemat ko Budhvar ko hoshyari se barhao dekha gaya, jo ke qareeban $2,288 tak pohanch gayi. Ye ihtiyaat is liye thi ke agle Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting ke ird gird bazar ki umeedon ka tanaza tha. Bazar ko mutasir karne wale doosre factors mein aane wale qareebi ma’loomat ki rihaish shamil hai, jese ke Amreeki ISM manufacturing manager index aur ADP rozgar tabadla. Is doraan, Amreeki dollar index mazboot hua, 106.40 ke ek haftay ka uchhala gaya. Dusray haath, Amreeki Treasury bond yield ghate, jisme das saal ka yield 4.67% tak gir gaya. Umeed hai ke Federal Reserve apni mojooda munafaqat daro ko barqarar rakhe aur apne May ki meeting mein sakht rukh ikhtiyar kare. CME Group ki Fedwatch tool ke mutabiq aane wale rate cut ke imkanat ko dair se dekha ja raha hai. June mein rate kam hone ke imkanat ko kum se kum 10% tak kam kiya gaya hai, jab ke September mein kam hone ki sambhavna 75% se kam hai. Sarmaya dan Federal Reserve ki meeting ke baad press conference ko tawajjo se sunenge mazeed isharay ke liye. Agar Fed apni sakht monetary policy ko jari rakhta hai, to dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur sone ki jo ek non-interest bearing cheez hai uska dilchaspai ko kam kar sakta hai. Techniki nazar se, dono RSI aur Stochastic indicators ab mansoobay ki hadood ke qareeb hain, jo bullish u-turn ka imkan dikhate hain

Maujooda halaat ishara dete hain ke sone ki keematon mein ziada ho sakta hai, jo ke ek durust karne wale bounce ya ek mustaqil muddat ki ibteda ke sath ho sakta hai. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke yaad rakha jaye ke chand muddat ki harek karne wale averages ab bhi ek neeche ki raftar ka nishaan de rahe hain, jo ke naqis trend jari rakh sakta hai. Agar sone ki keemat $2,280 ki support satah se neeche gir jaye, to ek nai support zone $2,250 aur $2,260 ke darmiyan qaim ho sakti hai. Ye khaas ilaqa mukhtalif techniki factors ko shamil karta hai, jese ke February se April tak ke bunyadi trend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, mojooda chand muddat ki nichli sarhad, aur March 5th ki support satah. Agar toot par jata hai, to agla mumkin support zone qareeban $2,185 ho sakta hai, jo March mein ek ahem rol ada karta raha hai

Mangal ke sonay ke roznama chart par, qeematien mazeed barhti rahin, qeemat qareeban 2283.76 par band hui baad az 2258.85 ke resistance ko kamyabi se tor kar. Halankeh maine sonay ki qeemat girne ka tawaqo rakha tha, lekin mangal ko qeemat barh gayi. Mera andaza sach nahi hua aur kyunkay 2283.76 ka resistance test nahi hua hai, aaj ka taqaddus barhne ki taraf hai 2307.64 ke resistance ki taraf. Kam az kam main sochta hoon ke resistance ko test kiya jayega, shayad qeemat us se oopar bhi band hogi. Qeemat nay taqreeban 2307.64 ke resistance tak ponch liya. Qeemat afzal tor par us se qareeb jayegi, aur agar qeemat aaj us darje ko nahi test karti, to qeemat taqreeban kal us darje ko test karegi. Main yeh manta hoon ke qeemat us darje ko test karegi, kyunkay afzal tor par qeemat us darje ke oopar band hogi, rastay ko 2330.83 ke resistance ki taraf kholte hue

2023 mein, Chinese banks ne 225 tan sona kharida, jo 1977 se sab se barhi izafa hai. Unhone mali maqsad ke liye 367 tan sona dakhil kiya, jo 2022 se 51% zyada hai. China, Russia aur kai doosre mulk US dollar par itmaad ko kam karne aur apni reserve mein sonay ka hissa barhane ki policies qabool ki. Yeh be shak qeematein barhane ko support karti hai. Market ke mutabiq is saal Federal Reserve teen martaba interest rates ko kam karaygi. European Central Bank chaar martaba interest rates ko kam karaygi, jabke Bank of England teen martaba interest rates ko kam karaygi. Doosre regulators bhi monetary policy ko asani se karne ka irada rakhte hain. Swiss National Bank ne is ka aghaz kar diya hai. Aakhir mein, halankeh tareekhi uncha sona ki qeemat ka kheenchne wala hona dilchasp ho sakta hai, magar daanishmand investor faisla kunana karne mein sabr aur istiqamat rakhta hai. Ma'loomat hasil karke, hoshiyar rehkar, aur changing market conditions ka mutabiq banne se, investors sonay ke market ke complexities ko itmenan aur mazbooti ke sath samajh sakte hain

Sona khareedne wale aakhirkaar 2400 ke darje tak pohanch gaye, lekin unhein wahan koi pakka qadam qaim karne mein kamiyaab nahi ho saki. Magar bikne wale bhi asal mein giravat ka aghaz karne mein kamyab nahi lag rahe, lagta hai ke woh doosre wave ko oopar ki taraf barhaane ki tayyari kar rahe hain. Is option ko amal mein lane ke liye, khareedne wale pehle apne aap ko 2391.93 ke darje par fix karna hoga. Agar phir bhi woh mojooda maximum level ke darje ko, yak qadam ke qareeb 2131.44, torr lein to shayad woh agle rohaniyat se mahroom darja yak aham level tak pohanchne ki koshish karenge, yak qadam ke qareeb 2500. Bikne walon ko, zyada noticeable correction shuru karne ke liye, 2323.97 ke darje par mustaqil hona hoga.
Correction ko hamesha pesh guftagu karna bohot mushkil hota hai. Aap sirf haqeeqat par mabni hui hidayat hasil kar sakte hain, aur behtar hota agar ek buland nazar ho aur har koi samajh le ke unhe apni kharidari ko jald se jald nikaalna chahiye. By the way, April 12 abhi tak buland nahi hai; XAUUSD ke liye aur overall context mein poori se poori growth ke liye, yeh sirf ek choti si baat hai - ek ilmi tor par ek rokawat. To chaliye, jo bhi achanak sochta hai ke yeh palatwaar hai, woh zyada tar ghalat hoga. Beshak, jaldi ya dheere har cheez ka anjaam hota hai aur koi bhi hamesha ka trends nahi hote, ek correction aata hai. Magar ab foundation maa'yaar kar raha hai ke investors ko asset ko pullbacks par khareedna hai. Haan, yahi mere khayal hai aur hum dekhte hain ke amal mein kaise laaya jata hai. Magar be shak, yahan halat ko thoda hilane ka koshish zaroor hai aur volumes nazr aarahe hain. Ho sakta hai ke aapka mansooba manzoor ho jaye, jahan hum maximum ko update karenge - hum kisi qisam ka climax qaim karenge aur tezi se correction ke liye chale jayenge

Ab asal mein: Hum ne 2324 ke support level se bilkul achhe taur par bounce kiya hai. February 14 se poore izafa ke doran koi jhooti tor par toot nahi hui hai, yaani ke yeh points sirf yeh kehte hain ke liquidity kaafi hai aur yeh samjha ja sakta hai ke fuel chhote traders hain jo kisi wajah se bech rahe hain

Sonay ki keemat ki barhti hui trends ka taluq mukhtalif wajohat se hai, jo Europe mein aur duniya bhar ke markets mein tasir andaz hoti hain. Is waqt, Europe mein sonay ki keemat ka barhna aham hai, jo ke kuch mukhtalif wajohat ki wajah se ho sakta hai. Sab se pehli wajah Federal Reserve ki satah ko kam karne ki tawaqqu mei hai. Log is baat par amooman tawajju dete hain ke agar Federal Reserve apne darjat ko kam karega, to ye ma'ashi madah ko barqarar rakhne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Aur jab ma'ashi halaat mushkil mein hote hain, log sonay mein invest karna pasand karte hain kyunki ye unhe ek mehfooz aur mustaqbil ki rukawat samjha jata hai. Doosri wajah, geo-political tension aur uncertainty bhi sonay ki keemat ko barhne ki taraf muntashir kar rahi hai. Europe mein, Ukraine jaise mumalik ke darmiyan ki siyasi aur military tension se le kar Brexit jaise bara aur imtihanakhez siyasi waqeayon tak, mukhtalif ma'amlaat ki wajah se investors sonay ki taraf ruju kar rahe hain. Aise halat mein, sonay ko ek "safe haven" samjha jata hai, jo ke logon ko ma'ashi musibat se mehfooz rakhne mein madadgar hota hai.

Teesri wajah, taqreeban har saal wazeh ho rahi inflation ki afzaish bhi sonay ki keemat ko barhne ki taraf dhamkati hai. Inflation ki satah barhne se log sonay ko ek tarz e zindagi ke liye aham samajhte hain, jis mein unka maaliya munafa mehfooz rahe. Isi tarah, central banks ki monetary policy mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ya unki satah ko kam karne ki dhamki bhi sonay ke keemat ko barhne ki taraf raghib kar sakti hai. Chothi wajah, stock market aur property market mein instability bhi sonay ki keemat ko barhne ki taraf raghib kar rahi hai. Jab stock market ya property market mein dhamake ya giravat hoti hai, log sonay mein apne paisay ko shift karte hain, taake apne maaliya munafa ko mehfooz rakh saken. In sab wajohat ke darmiyan, Europe mein sonay ki keemat ka barhna aham hai aur isay aage bhi dekhne ki umeed hai. Halankeh, sonay ki keemat mein barhti hui trends ki wajah se mukhtalif markets aur governments apni policies ko mutawajjah kar rahe hain taake ma'ashi halaat ko stable rakha ja sake.

Financial market mein, jahan har ek chart ki har tezi aur har candlestick ki kahani sunai deti hai, sona aksar halat ke bich bechaini mein isthirata ka prateek bana rehta hai. Jab traders aur analysts iske price movements par dhyan dete hain, tab ve aapoorti aur maang, bhavna aur moolyon ke beech ki uljhan ko samajhne ki koshish karte hain. H1 chart par, ek aise canvas par, jahan har ghante mein naya manzar nazar aata hai, sona haal hi mein momentum mein ek badlav ki sambhavna ke sanket dikhata hai.

Yatra us nazar se shuru hoti hai jo oscillators ki hoti hai, vah overbought aur oversold sthitiyon ke suchak hote hain jo bazar ki bhavna mein pravesh karte hain. Jab sona ki keemat oversold zone se nikalti hai, tab vyapari samuday mein ek saans ki guhar ho sakti hai. Phir bhi, anubhavish traders jaante hain ki aise sanket ko sirf chehre ke chihn ke roop mein nahi lena chahiye. Yeh sudhaarati chal kewal uski bhaavana ko samajhne ka mool hai.

Is mamle mein, sudhaarati chal vah hoti hai jo aage aur neeche ke gati ka sanket deta hai. Lagta hai ki bazar abhi tak apni bearish pravritti ko chhodne ke liye taiyaar nahi hai. Ek bearish engulfing weekly candle ka aakarshan yeh bhaavana mazboot karta hai, jo kisi bhi baaki bhavishyavadta ummeed ke oopar ek chhaya daalta hai. Unke liye jo ek bearish inclination rakhte hain, yeh candle ek prakashak ban jaata hai, jo unke agle kadam ko nirdeshit karta hai.

Par trading kabhi bhi ek single candle ke sanketon ka anusaaran karne ke roop mein itni saral nahi hoti. Samay ke saath chalne ki mahatva hai, aur is context mein, 150-period moving average ek mahatva poorn sthalak banata hai. 2280 ke star par sthit, yeh moving average ek kila ka kaam karta hai, ek rekh jo saand aur bhalle ko rakshak banata hai. Bears ke liye, karyakshetra spasht hai: is star ke niche satta sthapit karo, aur neeche aur jaane ka marg khul jaata hai.

Phir bhi, jaise har ek anubhavi trader jaanta hai, bazar ek kshetra hai jahan kuch bhi guarantee nahi hoti. Samarthan aur pratirodh star ek pal pakad ke rakhte hain aur agle pal bikhar jaate hain, jaise bhaavnaon ka samay aur aapasi prabhav bhoomi ko punah roop dete hain. Is prakar, jabki 150-period moving average ek suvidhaajanak sankaalan bindu pradan karta hai, yah antatah alag alag karakon ki anusaarit chal rachna ki rachna kar dega ki sona aane wale ghanto aur dinon mein kaise rahega.

H1 chart ke chhoti maamuli se chhutkaron se baahar, koi nahi rok sakta ki aarthik bazaar ka ulajhan kitna gehra hai. Har candle, har trendline, har indicator ek kahani bayaan karta hai, jo poore vishv bhar ke anant traders ke aashayon aur bhayon ko mila kar bunaata hai. Aur is hamesha badalte dastaan mein, sona ek asthir mukhya patr hai, jiska akarshan samay ke saath kam nahi hota hai.

Jab traders aage aane wale dino mein apne rachnaon ko vyavasthit karne ke liye taiyar hote hain, ve ehtiyat aur atmaprakash ke mishran ke saath karte hain. Aage ka rasta anishchit ho sakta hai, lekin yah bhi avsar se bhara hua hota hai. Unke liye jo darr jate hain ki pratiyogi bazaar mein pravesh karenge, unka puraskar sach mein bada hota hai. Aur is tarah, apne charts aur unke indicators ke saath, ve arthik bazaar ke sangharsh mein aage badhte hain, jo bhi unke raaste mein aata hai, use samne dekhte hain.

Hafto ke arse mein, mazboot Amreeki dollar aur daro'n mein kami ke asaraat ne qeemati dhaat ke keemat par asar dala. Magar, sona aur chandi ko khareedne ke mouqay ab bhi aham samjha jata hai kyun ke ab keematain zyada nahi hain. Takneekee tajziya yeh dikhata hai ke spot chandi $25-26 ke darmiyan se dobara tezi se uth sakta hai.
Dono sona aur chandi haal ki bulandiyo'n se wapas chale gaye hain, sona $2,300 ke neeche aur chandi Fed ki meeting ke baad $26 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai. Ye wapas chalne wajah dollar mein taqat ki nazar se hai aur Federal Reserve ke rate cuts ke hawaale se expectations mein tabdeeli ke asaraat ke tor par qeemati dhaaton ka reaction hai, khaaskar ke inflations ke dabaao'n ke maamle mein. Halankeh dono dhaat initially tezi se barh gaye, lekin phir US ki monetary policy ke faislay aur Powell ke FOMC ki bayaan par ulta mor aaya. Abhi, chandi apni pehli baar se bhi kam keemat par trade kar rahi hai, jab ke sona is haftay ke pehle paanchay tak pahunchna abhi baaki hai.

Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke ird gird ke ghair-yaqeeniyo'n ke bawajood, dhaaton ki qeemat ka rukh ab bhi ghair yaqeeni hai. Nazar hoga anay wale Amreeki macroeconomic indicators par, khaaskar mahina bhar ke jobs report aur ISM Services PMI, jo qeemati dhaaton mein short-term trends ko asar andaz kar saktay hain. Magar, qeemati dhaaton ki bunyadi taqat ke dabaao'n ke bawajood, haal hi mein hui ruju' mein rebound ka imkaan hai

Jab ke ek correction jari reh sakta hai, sona aur chandi dono ki tawaan rahti hai, khaaskar sonay ki. Investors, jo haal ki keemat ke barhne ki dorr se mehroom ho gaye hain, keematain potential buying opportunities ke liye nazdeek se nigrani mein rakhte hain. Qeemati dhaaton ke munsifain unki mazbooti par zor dete hain behtar Amreeki dollar aur barhte hue bond yield ke dabaao'n ke darmiyan. Wo sona ke uparward rukh ka taluq mukhtalif factors jaise central bank purchases aur uska inflation hedge ke roop se taluq rakhte hain. Muzafrat ke dabaao'n aur currency ki kuwariyat ke dabaao'n ke dabaao'n ke mawamle mein, qeemati dhaaton ki demand inflation ke khilaf ek mustaqil hedge ke tor par mazboot rahne ka imkaan hai

Pehle, aglay trading haftey pura ho gaya aur phir se XAUUSD instrument ke liye main aapko haftawar chart par tawajjo dene ki salah deti hoon. Dekhiye, yahan pe pehli cheez jo aap dekh sakte hain wo ye hai ke qeemat poore trading itihaas mein mojooda taareekhi zyada takreeban hai. Lahar saz, beshak, apni tarteeb ko oopar ki taraf bana rahi hai, aur MACD indicator khareedne ki zone mein hai aur apne signal line se oopar hai. Agar aap pehli lahre par target Fibonacci grid lagate hain, to aap dekh sakte hain ke qeemat ne level 161.8 ke shakal mein target ko hasil kiya aur phir aik jaddojahad shuru hui, positions khareedne se bhar kar bund kiye gaye, bechne ke liye kholi gayi aur peechle haftay aise hi pin bar ya ulta hammer bana - aik mumkin reversal ka nishan. Magar unhone koshish ki ke qeemat ko mazeed buland kar dein, ye kaam nahi aya, aur is hafte, jabke bears dheere dheere hukumat shuru kar gaye, kuch girawat hui. CCI indicator itminan se upper limit se cross karne ko tayar hai, oonchi se neeche ki taraf, neeche ki zone ko chhodte hue, ye imkaanat ko barhata hai ke woh neeche dabane ki koshish karenge. Main samajhti hoon ke mustaqbil mein woh qeemat ko nazdeek ke ahem horizontal support level 2184 tak kam karenge. Behtar aur kam mumkin hadaf yahan pe bara level 2078 hoga. Abhi ke liye, meri raaye mein, chhotey arse mein niche ki taraf kaam karna zyada wada raha hai, kam az kam pehle hadaf tak. Beshak, stops aur kam volume ke saath, trend ab bhi bohot taqatwar hai aur, sab indicators ke bawajood, woh sona ki qeemat ko aur bhi oonchi ke taraf le ja sakte hain, jise samajhna mushkil hai. Ye ab bhi sona hai, aur koi currency pair nahi, ise barhna pasand hai aur itni lambi chalne wali harkat ke saath ke aap pagal ho jaenge agar aap sab guzar lein

XAUUSD ke taraqqi mein aik thandi saans ka mudda hai jo kay trading ko aakhri hafton mein kuch rukawat mein daal gaya hai. Is wakt, haal hi mein pehlay sugga jo ke gold trading ki itehaas mein tareekhi uchchatam tha, se kareeb pohnch chuki hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke is tafreeq ko samjha jaye ke yeh sirf aam aistara ki fluctuation hai ya kuch gehrae ka paigham hai. Tehqiqat se maloom hota hai ke lahron ka silsila jari hai, magar yeh ahem hai ke MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator ooncha kharid zone mein hai aur apni signal line se oopar hai. Yeh tajweez karta hai ke is waqt uptrend mazid jaari hai aur muaqqarar kehte hain. Agar hum Fibonacci grid ko pehli lehar par lagayen, toh dekhtay hain ke qeemat ne 161.8 level ke roop mein maqami maqam tak pohanch gayi hai. Yeh nishana ghar mein yahat hai ke trend ki taqat hai aur hosakta hai ke aglay maheenay mein bhi is ki ijlaas jaari rahe. Fibonacci retracement ke istemal se aham sataro aur manzilon ka pata chalta hai, jis se traders ko trading ki taqat aur kamzori ka andaza hota hai. Is muddat mein, trading experts ko dhyaan rakhna zaroori hai ke is wakt kaafi maamool hai aur sambhavna hai ke dobara tezi aaye. Yeh maqami maqam, agar barqaarar rehta hai, toh mazeed bulandiyon ki taraf ishaara kar sakta hai. Magar is baat ka khayal rakhna bhi zaroori hai ke market ki sargarmi mein tabdeeli ho sakti hai, is liye zaroori hai ke traders apne nifaaz ko barqarar rakhain aur jach ka muqabla karte rahein. In aakhri alfaz mein, XAUUSD ke haftawar chart par tawajjo dena ahem hai. Halat ki teziyon aur dheemiyon ko samajhna zaroori hai taake sahi waqt par amal kiya ja sake. Trendon ko samajhna aur unke sath sahi taur par amal karna, traders ke liye zaroori hai agar woh kamiyabi hasil karna chahte hain.

Sona ke qeemat mein izafa sirf adadon ke badalne se zyada hai; ye bazaar ke shirakat daaron ke jazbaat aur aqdar mand kharidaroon ki chaalbaazi ka ek pur-****ad darama hai. Zahir hai ke sonay ki maang mein izafa dekha ja raha hai, jo ke taraqqi pasand ajzaon ki taraf se inflation ke asraat se le kar siyasi intesharat tak ki aik rangeen silsila hai. Tasweer ko aik zyada wusat wala manzar mein daalne se, aap supply aur demand ke dabi takrao mein bazaar ke dynamics ko samajh sakte hain. Sona ke daamon ka izafa sirf aik adadon ka barhna nahi hai; balkay ye bazaar ke khilaariyon ke aamaal aur jazbaat ki ek pur-****ad kahani hai, har dhaaga arzi taur par. Sona, jise log amooman se jangli jaanwaron ke daanton se mukhtalif ajza banane ke liye istemal karte hain, aik nazuk siasat aur arzi qeematon ka hamdard hai. Jab bhi sona ki qeemat mein izafa hota hai, iska asal maqsad adadon ki siyasat se zyada hota hai; ye ek bazaar ki zehniyat aur hawas ka namoona hai. Bazaar ke shirakat daar, jinhe amooman "khilaari" kehte hain, apne apne maqsadon aur muaamlaat par focus karte hain, jaise ke araam, hifazat, ya taraqqi. In khilaariyon ke aksar apne apne maqasid hote hain jo sona ke daamon ko aasman tak pahuncha sakte hain ya giraa sakte hain. Sona ke daamon ka izafa aksar siasati ya ma'ashiyati intesharat se mutasir hota hai. Jab takrar barhti hai ya jab ek mulk mein siyasi halaat bigarte hain, log sonay ki taraf rujoo karte hain, kyunke sona aksar aaman aur hifazat ka nishaan banta hai. Is tarah ke halaat mein, sona ki qeemat mein izafa dekha jata hai aur is par amooman bazaar mein tezi se intehai demand hoti hai. Is ke ilawa, sona ke daamon mein izafa aksar taraqqi pasand ajzaon se mutasir hota hai. Jab bazaar mein taraqqi hoti hai aur logon ke paas zyada paisa hota hai, to wo sona aur dosri qeemti cheezon ka zyada istemal karte hain. Is se sonay ki qeemat mein izafa hota hai, kyunke demand barhti hai.

Jodi 2423.31 par mukhalifat se takra gayi. Jab woh bohot zyada harkat se girne lagi, to 2348.41 ka sahara toot gaya. Sahara toot jane ke bawajood, jodi ne ooncha chalkar wapas aane shuru kiya aur kharidaron ne volume barha diya. Yani, itni mazboot girawat ke baad, kharidar volume barha raha hai. Main ye samjha ke ye ek mazeed barhne ki shuruaat hai, ek range ban gayi hai, kharidaron ka volume bhi dikhai de raha hai, maine ye samjha ke jodi baghair shak o shubhe ooncha jayegi, lekin phir dakshin disha mein nikal gaya, 2014.40 ka sahara toot gaya. Kharidar ka volume dikhai dene laga hai. Aur maine ye samjha ke jodi ek correction ke liye aur niche ja sakti hai, lekin ek thoda ooncha range bana, ab bhi kharidar ka volume hai, kharidaron ka volume nahi hai, isliye main ye samjhta hoon ke jodi nichle jayegi aur woh 2286.58 par hojayegi

Hum haftawar ka chart kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke ek wide side mein daakhal channel hai, jismein sona 2020 se 2024 tak ka trade hua, jiska tootna uttar disha mein asal mein mazeed kharidaron ke liye ek mazboot signal ban gaya. Agle, pehle uthne wale keemat channel ka shuru hua, jo ke toota, uske baad drag. dhaatu ke impulse se uttar tak shot gaya 2430 ke level tak, jahan ek naya mukhlis zyada banaya gaya. Iske ilawa, ek naya uttar channel ban gaya, jismein do waves ki izaafat aur do waves ki theek hone ki gai. Ab correction mukammal ho gaya hai, keemat ne 2300 ke level se sahara rekha se rebound kiya hai aur takneeki lehaaz se, sab kuch ek uttar disha mein mazeed trend aur pehle ke mukhlis zyada ka imtehaan ka aham point bata raha hai

Chandi ne phir se protest kiya, jo ke Wednesday ko hua, jo ke elephant flag policy se ek din ka break tha jo Tuesday ko tha. Resistance level pehle se hi qareeb tha 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ke, 2,322 pe, jo pehle April 15 ko 2,431 ke high se pehle support ke tor par istemal hua tha. Market mein yeh tabdili support se early resistance ke liye aam taur par gradual tabdili ke marahil ka ek hissa hai, jiska matlab yeh hai ke jabke broad trend qaim rehta hai, trend dobara shuru hone se pehle mazeed gehri behaalat ho sakti hain.
Haal ki breakout patterns dikhate hain ke pehle support levels ab resistant ban gaye hain. Yeh rawayati rawiya 20-din ka moving average (MA) aur top trend line mein dekha gaya, dono ne pehle support faraham kiya tha. Magar, April 22 ko chandi ki farokht mein girawat ke baad, yeh shumar dobara resistance ke tor par imtehan diya gaya, bearish outlook ko mazboot karke. Is janwaron ki aabadi ka nakami pan aur elephant flag ka tark, phir se ye ishara deta hai ke mutala jari reh sakta hai. Is ke sath, is haftay ki unchaai, 2,347, ke faislay se bear flag ke bearish momentum ko mansookh kardega aur ek mumkinah rebound ka ishara dega.

Agar chandi is haftay ke kam se kam 2,282 ke neeche gir jati hai, to agla maqsood 2,260 aur 2,255 ke darmiyan ek Fibonacci convergence zone ho sakta hai. Ek mazeed giravat bear flag ke low maqsood ko 2,238 tak target kar sakti hai. 50 din ka M.A. Agla ahem support zone 2,212 aur 2,208 ke darmiyan hoga, jahan descending ABCD pattern mukammal hota hai aur February ke low ka 50% retracement milta hai

Sab se ahem baat April ke low, 2,228, ki hai. Kam hone wale mukhtalif levels mazeed kamzori ka ishara de sakte hain, mazeed bigrao ke bary mein fikarmandi ko barhate hue. Magar, aise dhachke ke baad shandar tezi se ubharta hua chandi khatarnaak barhao ka aham andaza faraham karega. Ek tezi se ubharne wali chandi mazeed oopar ki taraf rukh ka ishara degi; warna, mazeed taqat aur dabao ka izafa ho sakta hai

Aj se lagta hai ke qeemat ki hareef rawaano mein ab bhi bohot zyada farokht dabao hai, pehle se qeemat mazboot dhaanchayi aur taqatwar mazid rukawat ka samna kar rahi thi 2130 ke mazboot resistance level par. Yeh H1 waqt frame par bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke qeemat ka giravat ne Bollinger Band indicator ke mid-BB area ko kaafi zyada tezi ke saath guzara hai mojooda halaat ko madde nazar rakhte hue. Jab se qeemat ne 2130 ke mazboot resistance level par pohanch kar rukawat ka samna kiya hai, hareef rawaano mein bohot zyada farokht dabao dekha ja raha hai. Pehle se hi qeemat mazboot dhaanchayi aur taqatwar mazid rukawat ka samna kar rahi thi, jo market mein beqaraari ka sabab bani. Is halaat ko Bollinger Band indicator ke mid-BB area par bhi dekha ja sakta hai, jahan qeemat ka giravat tezi ke saath guzara hai.
Halaat ka yeh tasawwur bhi hai ke qeemat ki hareef rawaano ka agla mazboot support 2000.72 ke qeemat level par ho sakta hai. Yeh level market mein ek mazboot dhaanchayi ke tor par samjha jata hai, jahan se qeemat ne pehle bhi saath le liya hai. Is tarah, agar qeemat is level tak giravat ka silsila jaari rakhti hai, to yeh ek mukhtasir term mein support ka darja faraham karega.
Lekin, doosri taraf, bhi mumkin hai ke qeemat agle mazboot support par chali jaaye jo ke 2200 ke qeemat par hai. Is silsile se dekhte hue, lagta hai ke rawaano ki taraf se dabaav barkarar hai aur giravat ka silsila jaari rahega. Agar qeemat is level tak giravat ka silsila jaari rakhti hai, to yeh ek mukhtasir term mein support ka darja faraham karega aur traders ko ek naya entry point faraham kar sakta hai.
Raqam ka giraavat hone ke maamlay mein, qeemat ki hareef rawaano mein abhi bhi bohot zyada farokht dabao hai, aur is silsile se dekhte hue, agle mazboot support levels ko ghor se dekhna zaroori hai. Market mein farokht dabao ki wajah se, traders ko saavdhaan rehna chahiye aur mukhtalif scenarios ka tajziya karna chahiye taake wo behtar trading decisions le sakein.
Aakhir mein, market mein qeemat ki hareef rawaano ka farokht dabao jari hai aur is silsile mein agle mazboot support levels par dyaan dena zaroori hai. Traders ko market ke dynamics ko samajhna aur mukhtalif scenarios ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye taake wo sahi aur munafa-kar trading decisions le sakein.

Ghantay ki chart dikhata hai ke is dafa ghantay ki silsila sharti tor par mustaqil raha aur hamari asal XAUUSD ka barhna support bana. Ab qeemat 2396 par silsila ka ooperi had ka imtehan karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Mujhe 2322 ki support darje mein bani "Platform" se uljhan hai. "Stops ka peecha karna" karobarati strategy ke mutabiq, qeemat is had se guzar sakti hai aur sab kharidaron ke stops ke orders ikattha kar sakti hai. Main samajhta hoon ke qeemat char ghantay ki silsila ki had 2304 par kam hogi. Ye had screenshot mein neela rang mein darj ki gayi hai. Raddi banne ki soorat mein, main XAUUSD ko kharidunga maqsad ke saath aur zyada se zyada 2432 tak. Kal qeemat ne haftay ki support 2325 ka imtehan kiya lekin ooper chala gaya, jo ke aghaz ke aasani se giraao ke ibteda ka aghaz hone ka matlab ho sakta hai, is liye kal mujhe muntazir faida ke 50 feesad ka order band karna para. Aur is waqt sone ki trade karne ka koi dilchaspi nahi hai, kisi bhi rukh mein josh ho sakta hai, char ghantay ki chart par volumes mein kami darj ki gayi hai, aur barhne ka index dhire dhire kam hone laga hai. Teenwan Fibonacci 2422 rozana ki tausee ki pehli lai par qaim hai, jo ke shayad is mahine kharidaron ka nishana tha. Is haalat mein, hum is haftay ke aakhri uchhalon 2431 - 2325 ke andar ki harkat ki tawaqo karte hain is haftay ke shuru mein zaroori haftay ki support 2325 ke neeche phatne ki mumkin hai.
Aaj char ghantay ki chart par dheere volume indicator AO barh raha hai, tezi se UA ke aakhir mein, jo ke matlab hai European session ya America ke aghaz par, hum volume mein neeche ki rukh ki umeed kar sakte hain aur mutawaqqa tor par XAUUSD ko 2325 tak kam kar sakte hain. Agar 2392 ki Asian rukh se guzar gaya to dakhil se rad ho jata hai aur ham aahista aahista shumal ke hukmarano ke rehnumai mein chale jate hain 2400 aur 2430 ke ilaqe mein. Yeh be shak char ghantay ki chart ka tajziya hai, aam tor par global barhne ki tawaqo lambay arsay tak jari rahegi