PakeezaBaloch Trading Journal

khaam tail ki passion goi

Hafta waar time frame chart Outlook hafta waar time frame chart par, khaam tail ki qeemat ab bhi range zone mein chal rahi hai Ø› yahan tak ke agar yeh is mojooda range zone ke ilaqay ko torta hai, to yeh dosray ilaqay mein daakhil ho jaye ga. do haftay pehlay, khaam tail ki qeemat mojooda range zone support level se barhi, to is ne taizi se pan baar candle bana diya. taham, guzashta haftay bhi aik shadeed taizi ki tehreek ka muzahira kiya. is haftay khaam tail ne taizi ki simt mein 26 ema line ko uboor kya, aur ab qeemat 50 ema line ke qareeb hai. aaj aakhri tijarti din hai, is liye is baat ke ziyada imkanaat hain ke khaam tail taizi ki simt mein 50 ema line ko uboor kar le ga. is mojooda range zone ki muzahmat 76. 54 hai. is ki jaanch karne ke liye qeemat barh jaye gi . Rozana time frame chart Outlook khaam tail ke yomiya time frame chart par range ki naqal o harkat khatam ho gayi hai. is se pehlay qeemat do mukhtalif range zonz mein chal rahi thi. agar hum is taaza tareen taizi ki lehar ka mushahida karen to khaam tail ki qeemat guzashta chand dinon mein barh rahi hai. taaqatwar tor par, yahan tak ke pichlle haftay, is ne taizi ki simt mein harkat Pazeer ost linon ko uboor kya, lehaza ab khaam tail ka rujhan taizi ka hai. do din pehlay curved oil ne range movement ki muzahmati satah ko toar diya tha, is liye ab qeemat is se oopar chal rahi hai. rsi isharay ki qader 68 hai, is liye jald hi, yeh ziyada kharidi hui qeemat ko zahir kere ga, aur phir thori muddat ke liye, qeemat 76. 72 ki himayat ko jhanchne ke liye giray gi. majmoi tor par khaam tail mein taizi rahay gi aur 77. 85 aur 77. 52 ki muzahmati sthon ki jaanch hogi. dono muzahmati sthin jin ka mein ne khaka mein ishara kya hai .

jummay ko Amrici session ke douran sonay ki qeematon mein kami anay ke baad sona $ 1950 tak gir gaya kyunkay din ki pehli shahmahi mein $ 1960 ke qareeb trading ke baad Amrici pedawar mein izafah hwa. 10 sala you s trisri ki pedawar America ke pur josh aetmaad ke adaad o shumaar ke baad 3. 8 feesad ke qareeb misbet ilaqay mein rahi, jis se xau / usd ko dobarah raftaar haasil karne se roka gaya . takneeki khulasa sona $ 1, 960. 00 ke ird gird zam ho raha hai aur agar yeh pichlle din ki aala ( pdh ) $ 1, 964. 00 ki khilaaf warzi kar sakta hai to yeh ulta mazboot ho sakta hai. pdh ke oopar aik mazboot waqfa qeemti dhaat ko $ 1, 972. 25 ke khatray mein daal day ga, pehli mahana mehwar muzahmat ki satah aur teesri hafta waar mehwar ki had. oopar ki aik mazboot khilaaf warzi ke baad, r1 rukawat mazeed ulta khilta hai, asasa apna agla stop $ 1, 984. 48 ( pichlle mahinay ki buland tareen ) par paye ga. agar sonay ki qeematein yomiya 23. 6 % fibonacci retirement level se $ 1, 953. 89 par barqarar nahi reh sakti hain to mandi ka dhalwan khatam ho sakta hai. neechay diye gaye break out ne kaha ke support asasa ko rozana 38. 2 % fibonacci retirement level $ 1, 949. 81 ki taraf le jaye gi, jis ke baad chaar ghantay ke Bollinger bindz mid line $ 1939. 62 par ayen ge . bunyadi khulasa Sonay ki qeemat ( xau / usd ) ne jumaraat se $ 1, 960. 00 ke qareeb mazboot really ke baad aik karkardagi dikhayi. qeemti dhaat kamzor afraat zar aur June ki pi pi aayi report ka faida uthany mein nakaam rahi, jis ne zahir kya ke gharelo talabb mein kami aayi hai aur 2 % afraat zar ke hadaf ka rasta wohi hai. Amrici dollar index ( dxy ) mein taizi se gravt ke bawajood sonay ki qeematein ab bhi jungle se bahar niklny ke liye jad-o-jehad kar rahi hain. Amrici dollar index ne nafsiati rukawat ko 100. 00 par chore diya aur 99. 65 ke qareeb gir gaya. Amrici dollar index is umeed ke darmiyan gir gaya ke federal reserves ( feed ) saal ke ekhtataam se qabal sirf aik sharah mein izafay ka elaan kere ga. sarmaya karon ki tawaquaat ke bar aks, feed ke governor karstofer vakr ka khayaal hai ke is saal sharah mein do mazeed izafah mehengai ko 2 % tak laane ke liye munasib hai. feed valr ki taraf se ajeeb o ghareeb tbsron ne Amrici trisri ki pedawar mein kuch taaqat daali. 10 sala Amrici trisri ki pedawar 3. 77 feesad tak pahonch gayi

khaam tail ke bunyadi usoolon ka jaiza US khaam tail ki qeematein mangal ko Europi waqt ke mutabiq aik baar phir barheen, un ke pichlle mazboot izafay ke rujhan ke baad. America mein khaam tail ki qeematein 76 Amrici dollar ke ahem nishaan se guzar gayeen. is saal ke douran khaam tail ki qeemat mein izafah sun-hwa hai kyunkay aalmi maeeshat ab bhi is waba ke asraat se sambhal rahi hai aur pedawar supply ke peechay hai. qudrati gas aur koylay ki qillat ke ilawa tawanai ke bohraan ne bhi tail ki talabb ko janam diya hai. taham, pichlle saal opec + ne khaam tail ki supply ki pabandion mein mamooli narmi ki thi. qudrati gas ki qeematon ka aalmi manndi mein khaam tail ki qeemat se bohat ziyada talluq hai. tail ki aik market hai jis mein avpik eendhan ki qeemat ko control karta hai . yahan khaam tail ke takneeki pehluo ka aik mukhtasir jaiza hai . khaam tail ke liye guzashta haftay aik cross candle band hui. 76. 15 high points ki jari talaash ke nateejay mein, khaam tail aik waqfay mein gir gaya aur aik islaah mein doghla sun-hwa. aik cal back honay ke douran, geherai oopar girnay ke liye kaafi nahi thi. shuru mein waqfa ka kaam muqami jhatkon mein phas jata hai. chart ke oopri hissay mein 77. 15-77. 25 ke ird gird aik mukhtasir position aur 76. 00-76. 30 ke aas paas neechay ki lambi position lena mumkin hai . Bollinger mein chaar ghantay ki sarrak is waqt mausam ki kharabi ki wajah se band hai. pichlle haftay ke douran, is ne 76. 60 aur 76. 85 ke darmiyan plate form support banaya. 75. 70 ki nai bulandiyon tak pounchanay ke baad, yeh chipta sun-hwa aur dobarah girna shuru sun-hwa. mein is haftay ka pehla hissa apni position ka difaa karne mein guzaron ga. mein aap ko aik thos misaal deta hon. 76. 40 aur 76. 90 ke darmiyan soyng par aik nazar dalain. is marhalay par yeh ab bhi hai, jis ne tehreek mein bohat ziyada tawanai ka hissa dala hai. jahan tak gehray zawaal ki shakal dainay ka talluq hai, yeh namumkin hai

khaam tail ki passion goi : crude oil jori ko sthon se tijarat karne se pehlay 77. 10 par muzahmat par wapas aana chahiye. har haftay, mein haftay ke aakhir mein kahaaniyon par nazar sani karta hon. classes ka taayun 4 ghantay ke time frame par hota hai, is liye mein inhen kabhi kabhar tabdeel karta hon. woh sirf chand baar baar baar karne ke qabil hain. qeemat mandi ke inhiraf ke assar ke zone mein rehti hai. isharay sifar ki lakeer se oopar aagaye hain, aur mukammal tor par tayyar honay wala signal ban sakta hai. phir, mein 76. 50 ke hadaf par farokht karoon ga. khaam tail ki qeematon mein kami aayi hai . aaj ki khaam tail ki market neechay ki taraf tasheeh ko mukammal karne ke liye aik takneeki signal faraham karti hai kyunkay aik jhanda patteren bantaa hai aur qeemat is ki shumali sarhad se guzarti hai taakay kam durustagi ka signal banaya ja sakay. yeh retirement taraqqi se 24 Fibonacci islahat hai, aur mein ishara karta hon ke jori is se neechay nahi gir sakay gi. mere paas aakhri h4 candle stick par aik nishaan hai, jo abhi band nahi sun-hwa hai. jab yeh band ho jaye ga, to hamaray liye hal nikalna aasaan ho jaye ga . h4 par channel ke nichale kinare mein kharabi thi, aur ab taknik mein 75. 55 tak zigzag hona zaroori hai. taham, is baat ki guarantee nahi hai ke hum usay mojooda se hi injaam den ge kyunkay agar h4 dobarah bearish par bantaa hai, to woh 76. 70 tak pahonch sakta hai aur phir oopar ki taraf ja sakta hai. h1 par neechay ki taraf channel ke ilawa, nichala channel bhi mandi ke ravayye ko support karta hai. fori tor par, mustaqbil mein shumal ki taraf ulat palat ho sakta hai kyunkay qeemat wazeh tor par channel ke wast mein hai. jaisa ke hum kal ke hello ka intzaar karte hain, hum dekhen ge ke yeh kahan toot-ta hai. macd aur rsi andikitrz ka istemaal bohat aasaan ho jaye ga, aur idhar idhar ghoomnay phirnay ki zaroorat nahi parre gi .

Aaj gold ka takneeki tajzia hello wahan! fi al haal, h4 time frame mein sonay ki qeemat is ki 100 sma line se bohat daur hai, aur kal yeh taizi se 1, 960 ki oonchai se 1, 950 tak gir gayi. aaj 150 sma line ke oopar wapas charhne ki koshish karne ke bawajood, sonay ki qeemat nakaam rahi. likhnay ke waqt, sona 1, 894 par trade kar raha hai. sonay ki qeematein bunyadi tor par roos aur Ukrain ke darmiyan aman mazakraat ki khabron ki wajah se barqarar hain. mustaqbil mein Amrici dollar par kuch ziyada assar andaaz honay walay muashi adaad o shumaar ki wajah se sonay ki qeematein mazeed neechay ki taraf barh sakti hain . takneeki tajzia ke hawalay se, agar sona 100 sma line se oopar 1, 945 par rehta hai. agla, hum jald hi mazeed mandi ki naqal o harkat ki tawaqqa kar satke hain. baichnay walay apni qeematein 1, 957 ke nafsiati nishaan tak kam kar satke hain . h1 ka takneeki tajzia sonay ki qeemat mein mandi ka dhalwan h1 time frame par tamam sma linon ke neechay dekha ja sakta hai, wohi nuqta nazar dekhata hai jo mein ne h4 time frame mein bayan kya hai. mukhtasir muddat ke h1 time frame par, sma line batati hai ke mandi ki qeemat ka khatrah mutazalzal hai, halaank kami mustahkam ho rahi hai aur mukhtasir mudti ho sakti hai. Indicator moving average bearish taasub ke sath over baat level se neechay kam ho rahi hain. sona 1, 940 se neechay anay ke baad, yeh 1, 860--1850 ke mandi ke rujhan par wapas anay se pehlay 1, 935 ki jaanch kere ga. sonay aur chandi par thos assar o rasookh ke mustaqbil ke Amrici waqeat ke sath, kharidaron ke un hado se tajawaz karne se qaleel mudti aur darmiyani muddat ki taizi barhay gi. phir bhi, mazboot Amrici assar o rasookh ke mustaqbil ke waqeat ke sath sonay ki taizi mehdood rahay gi .

Gold ka tajzia : Gold ki qeemat ( xau / usd ) mein mamooli kami waqay hui hai, jo rozana ki kam tareen satah $ 1, 947 tak pahonch gayi hai. is neechay ki harkat ko you s dollar index ( dxy ) se mansoob kya ja sakta hai jis mein mazboot bahaali ka mushahida kya ja raha hai. qeemti dhaat ki paspaai is waqt hoti hai jab America mein mehengai ke dabao mein kami ki wajah se Amrici dollar kamzor hota hai. brics ( brazil, roos, Bharat , chain aur janoobi Africa ) ke darmiyan sonay se chalne wali currency muta-arif karanay ke baray mein baat cheet ne green back par inhisaar kam karne ki qiyaas araiyo ko janam diya hai . market ke awamil ko samjhna : Gold ki girty hui qeemat juzwi tor par market ke shurka ki July mein tay shuda federal open market committee ( fomc ) ki monitory policy meeting ki tawaqqa se mutasir hai. is meeting se barray pemanay par bench mark sood ki sharah mein 0. 27 feesad izafay ki tawaqqa ki ja rahi hai, jo sonay ki qeemat par manfi dabao dalta hai. xau / usd par tawajah markooz karne walay taajiron ko kaleedi iqtisadi asharion ki qareeb se nigrani karni chahiye, jaisay ke June ke liye ny empire state manufacturing index aur isi mahinay ke liye you s retail sales data, kyunkay yeh release qeemti rahnumai paish kar sakti hain . Rissk catalysts ki ahmiyat : agarchay iqtisadi asharie qeemat ki naqal o harkat mein ahem kirdaar ada karte hain, lekin yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke rissk catalysts sonay ki qeematon ki qaleel mudti simt par gehra assar daal satke hain. is terhan, sarmaya karon aur taajiron ko geographiyai siyasi paish Raft , aalmi iqtisadi rujhanaat, aur kisi bhi aisi khabar ki qareeb se pairwi karni chahiye jo qeemti dhaat ki market ko mutasir kar sakti hai . Gold ki qeemat ke liye qareebi muddat ka outlook jummay ko mamooli kami ke bawajood sonay ki qeematon mein jald hi taizi anay ki umeed hai. khuli dilchaspi aur hajam mein kami qaleel mudti bahaali ke imkaan ko zahir karti hai. nateejatan, sanat ke mahireen ka andaza hai ke sona June ke awail ki oonchaiyon ke liye hadaf kere ga, jo ke $ 1, 988 fi traye oons nishaan se bilkul oopar mandala raha hai . takneeki isharay : Pivot point aik roza s2 aur fibonacci 38. 2 % aik haftay ke chart par $ 1, 944 ko fori tor par support level ke tor par numaya karta hai taakay farokht knndgan ko mazeed neechay ki naqal o harkat ke douran monitor kya ja sakay. doosri taraf, 50 din ki saada moving average ( sma ) aur Fibonacci 38. 2 % aik din ke chart par sonay ki qeemat ke liye qareebi muzahmati satah ke tor par $ 1, 961 tajweez karte hain . xau / usd kharidaron ke liye muzahmat : Gold ke kharidaron ke liye $ 1, 977 ke nishaan ko uboor karna ahem ho jata hai. yeh satah, pivot point aik haftay ke r1 aur pivot point ke aik roza r3 ka conversion, qeemat ke mumkina tor par $ 2, 000 ke nafsiati maqnatees ki taraf bherne se pehlay farokht knndgan ke difaa ki aakhri line ki numaindagi karti hai

XAU / USD (Gold) ka takneeki tajzia haftay ke ibtidayi din currency aur ijnaas ki mandiyon mein bohat kam karwai dekhnay mein aayi, kyunkay woh ikhtitami din ki hikmat amlyon ki akkaasi karte hain. qeemti dhaat ne 100-din aur 50-mudat ke saada moving average ( sma ) se oopar apna ground rakha, jo pichlle session mein taiz really ke baad aik mukhtasir khamoshi ki nishandahi karta hai. mukhtalif awamil taajiron ki jaanch partaal ke tehat hain, jo lagta hai ke $ 2000 ki kaleedi nafsiati satah ki taraf sonay ke batadreej charhne ki tawaqqa karte hain . is haftay ke pehlay din sona ( xau / usd ) qadray kam sun-hwa. usay fibonacci retracement ki satah 38. 2 % ki taraf neechay ki taraf dhakelnay ka saamna karna para, lekin belon ne taizi se kuch taaqat haasil ki aur apni ibtidayi position par wapas aa gaye. ghanta waar chart bearish flag patteren dekhata hai, jis mein gold ki position sma-100 aur sma-50 ke darmiyan hoti hai . h4 chart se aik mukhtalif manzar nama ubharta hai. 200 din ki saada ost 50. 00 % fibonacci satah ke sath millti hai, jahan kal sona wapas aaya. qeemat 38. 2Ùª se neechay gir gayi, lekin 23. 6Ùª se oopar wapas charh gayi, yeh batata hai ke farokht knndgan ka asasa par ghalba nahi hai . Rozana chart ke mutabiq 50-day sma se neechay ka waqfa 1977. 00 ki qeemat ki taraf mumkina izafay ka ishara day sakta hai. yeh satah kuch tops ke sath overlap ho jati hai, jo aik mazboot muzahmat peda kar sakti hai aur mumkina tor par majmoi rujhan ke liye aik chouti ko nishaan zad kar sakti hai. hafta waar chart oopar ki harkat ke Qawi imkaan ki taraf ishara karta hai, kyunkay pichli hafta waar candle aik lambi taizi thi . mein ne Fibonacci tools ko dobarah apply kya aur 2061 par 100 % level aur 0 % level 1616. 00 par set kya, jabkay mushahida kya ke 38. 2 % level kuch tops aur moving average andikitrz ki madad se numaya tor par support ke tor par haasil sun-hwa. lehaza, bail fi al haal 2070. 00 ki satah ko hadaf bananay walay bearish web ke liye hadaf kar rahay hain

H1 frame : mein aap ko –apne naye mansoobon mein kamyabi ki khwahish karta hon aur aap ko aap ke naye munafe par mubarakbaad deta hon! tf = h1 par # cl ka chart tajzia. Parabolic isharay ne mujhe yeh sochnay se bachaya ke is ke baghair qeemat kahan jaye gi. pichli mom batii ki qeemat : parabolic = 75. 45, ikhtitami = 74. 96. hamari parabolic line hamari aakhri candle ke qareeb se neechay hai, lehaza sirf kharidari hi kaafi hogi. mein market mein daakhil honay ke liye –apne hathyaaron ke hathyaaron mein moving average bhi istemaal karta hon. candle stuck ki maazi ki qeematon ka khulasa 75. 15, chalti ost qeemat, aur 75. 56, candle stuck ki band honay wali qeemat ke tor par ho sakta hai. qeematon mein izafay ke liye, mutharrak ost oopar ki taraf dabao dalta hai. hum jaedad baichnay ke qabil ho satke hain. mein aap ko is maqam par le jana chahta hon jahan hum ruk jatay hain. dono signal aik dosray se bilkul mil nahi khatay. abhi bazaar mein daakhil hona baqi hai, is liye mein ne abhi daakhil hona hai. jaisay hi parabolic aglay button par switch karta hai, hamari tijarat mansookh ho jati hai, aur aisa honay par hamein usay band karna parre ga . D1 frame : aik side way market ki naqal o harkat haal hi mein khatam hui, jis ke baad neechay ki taraf rujhan hai, aur ab yeh wazeh hai ke qeemat kaafi had tak neechay ja rahi hai, aur wahan se qeemat mumkina tor par 75 ki satah tak pahonch jaye gi. jitni bhi mandi ka jhukao hai aur qeemat achi terhan neechay ja rahi hai, rujhan kisi waqt jald hi apni harkat dobarah shuru kar sakta hai, lekin jald ya Badeer , simt ko khud ko sanbhaalna parre ga. aakhri tasheeh hui to July augst mein achi tasheeh hui thi aur ab woh bhi achi saza day rahay hain. rozana jazb ya barri safaid mom btyon ke douran sirf taraqqi ho sakti hai jab market mein sirf reechh nazar atay hain, jo kal market par belon ke hamlay ki akkaasi karte hain. is ki wajah se, hamein jald hi neechay ki taraf rujhan ki tawaqqa karni chahiye.

Amrici khaam tail ka tajzia sab ko subah bakhair. Hamein is haftay bohat ziyada munafe kamanay ke liye ziyada harkat nahi hui hai kyunkay forex market is haftay mustahkam dikhayi day rahi hai. taqdeer ke aik hungama khaiz mourr mein, guzashta haftay khaam tail ki qeematon ne apni had tak mehdood tijarat se azad honay ka mushahida kya, $ 73. 50 fi barrel muzahmati satah ki qaid se aasman chutay hue ! afsos, pur josh izafay ne $ 77. 15 fi barrel ke aas paas aik rukawat ko nishana banaya, jahan farokht ke dabao ki aik musalsal qowat ne ijnaas par hamla kya, jis se is ka rasta achanak ulat gaya. 50 din ki moving average line se neechay aik mayoos kin nuzool sun-hwa, sirf mojizana tor par –apne qadmon ko dobarah haasil karne aur 77. 10 ki chakra dainay wali bulandiyon ko pemana karne ke liye. waqeat ke is heran kin raqs mein, pur asraar fibonacci retracement tool ubhar kar samnay aaya, jis ne aisay mazhaka khaiz support zonz ko zahir kya jahan mumkina khredar taizi ke josh ke sath ikathay ho satke hain. is pُrasrar testtery ke darmiyan, $ 73. 67 fi barrel ki 50 % satah bearish ke liye aik zabardast, lekin pareshan kin, rukawat ke tor par ubhri. agar tabnaak quwatoon ka ghalba ho to, khaam tail ki charhai ka moamma ufaq se agay barh sakta hai, be misaal jhoolon ki bulandiyon tak aur is se agay barh sakta hai . parhaizgaar rishta daar taaqat index ( rsi ) ne khufia sma-50 ke sath ahem hum ahangi par ziyada farokht honay walay halaat aur baichnay walay ki thakan ke ghair wazeh inkishafaat paish kiye. isharay ka oopar ki taraf mtjss mourr taizi ki raftaar mein aik pُrasrar bahaali ke imkaan ke sath mazeed ulajh gaya jo seedhi wazahat se inkaar karta hai . mazeed bar-aan, 100 din ke saada moving average ka aik ghair mamooli jor position na qabil taskheer 200 din ke sma ke oopar mandala raha hai, is khayaal ko aik ajeeb saakh deta hai ke khufia support ki sthin kharabi ki khawahishon ka shikaar honay se ziyada saabit qadam rehne ki taraf mael hain. dilchasp baat yeh hai ke mutharrak ost ne –apne aap ko khufia 61. 8 % fibonacci ki satah $ 72. 86 par aur khufia 78. 6 % ki satah $ 71. 70 fi barrel ke qareeb paaya, jo apni mojoodgi ko taaqat ki aik pُrasrar chamak ke sath dhaltay hue, bzahir riwayati feham se be niaz hai . afsos, is pur asraar dairay ke neechay kisi mumkina khilaaf warzi ka ubharta hwa moamma is pur asraar shai ko wapas is ki mazhaka khaiz range mein le ja sakta hai, jo bzahir 67. 00 dollar fi barrel ki gehraion tak aik pur asraar nuzool ko bahrakna sakta hai . kamzor cheeni GDP ke adaad o shumaar ke na qabil taskheer tamashay ne aik baar ke pur josh khatray se mutaliq jazbaat par aik pur asraar pal dala hai, is terhan khaam tail ko aik mutazaad dabao ka nishana banaya gaya hai. na qabil feham tor par, jab ke Amrici khorda farokht ne manfi khabrain batayi hain, dosray ahem muashi waqeat ka pur asraar moamma, jaisay ke you ke aur newzea land ke khufia dairon se baatini afraat zar ke adaad o shumaar, pur asraar market ki nafsiat par chhaa jatay hain, jo kisi ko khufia tor par chokanna rehne ka ishara dete hain

khaam tail ka bunyadi aur takneeki nuqta nazar : Mojooda Europi tijarti session ke douran, west Texas intermediate ( WTI ) khaam tail thora sa barh kar $ 74. 33 ho gaya hai, jo ke din ke liye 0. 37 % izafay ki numaindagi karta hai. aik mukhtasir kami aur 10 din ki moving average ( dma ) support se sehat mandi lotney ke baad, wti ko teen sishnz mein apna pehla yomiya faida dekhnay ki umeed hai. qeematon ki yeh haliya harkat mumkina tor par sarmaya karon ke munafe se faida uthany aur Amrici dollar ki motadil bahaali ki wajah se hai . qaumi idaara shumariyat ki taraf se jari kardah cheeni majmoi gharelo masnoaat ( jee d pi ) ke adaad o shumaar 6. 31 feesad salana par aaye, jo 7. 3 feesad ki tawaquaat se kam aur 4. 55 feesad ke pichlle adaad o shumaar se kam hai. agarchay salana sharah 2021 ki doosri sah mahi ke baad sab se taiz raftari ki akkaasi karti hai, lekin yeh guzashta saal shanghai aur deegar barray shehron mein tajurbah kardah covid-19 lock down se numaya tor par mutasir sun-hwa . H1 time frame technical outlook: jummay ko shuru honay wali kami ko jari rakhtay hue wti ki qeematon mein haftay ke aaghaz mein numaya kami waqay hui. taham, yeh note karna zaroori hai ke rozana ki kami khuli dilchaspi mein kami ke darmiyan waqay hui hai, jo mumkina tor par mehdood kami aur qareeb almdt sehat mandi ke imkaan ko zahir karti hai. is ke bawajood, tajir mohtaat rehtay hain, aur agli ahem muzahmati satah haliya July ki chotyon par $ 77. 70 fi barrel se ziyada hai, jo zaroori 200 din ki saada moving average ( sma ) ke sath mawafiq hai . mojooda market ke mahol mein, sarmaya car libya aur nigeria mein ghair mutawaqqa rukawaton aur opec ki pedawar mein kami ke ird gird honay wali paish rafton par gehri nazar rakhay hue hain. paiir ko w tea aayi mein islaah tail ke taajiron ki taraf se munafe lainay ke nateejay mein zahir hoti hai, khaas tor par is ke baad jab w tea aayi ne pehlay apna teesra hafta waar faida record kya tha . H4 time frame technical outlook $ 75. 50 aur $ 76. 50 ki qeematein energy bench mark mein dilchaspi rakhnay walay kharidaron ko Raghib kar sakti hain. un sthon se agay, $ 76. 88 ki 200 din ki sma rukawat mumkina tor par aik ahem ulta rukawat ke tor par kaam kere gi. mazeed bar-aan, mahana bulandi, $ 77. 22 ke qareeb mandala rahi hai, is se bhi aik ahem muzahmati satah ke tor par kaam karne ki tawaqqa hai . agar reechh dobarah market par ghalba haasil karna shuru kar dete hain aur w tea aayi ki qeematon ko $ 73. 55 se neechay dhakel dete hain, to tawajah June ki bulandi, $ 72. 77 ke qareeb, aur bil akhir $ 71. 00 ki satah ki taraf jaye gi. misbet raftaar ke bawajood, wti khaam tail ke liye agay ki raah challenging honay ki tawaqqa hai, qeematon mein mazeed izafay ki raah mein barri rakawaten hain .

xau / usd ( gold ) ka takneeki aur bunyadi tajzia : bunyadi tajzia : Forex traders, aap sab kaisay hain? aaj mera takneeki tajzia gold pear par markooz hai. sab se pehlay, mein bunyadi tajzia karne ke liye forex calendar ki pairwi karta hon. aaj ke forex calendar par mutadid khabrain cad aur usd index ko bohat ziyada mutasir kar sakti hain. is terhan ki khabrain cad aur usd index ke tamam joron ko numaya tor par mutasir kar sakti hain. is terhan, un joron ki tijarat ko khabar ke ajra ke baad ke liye mehfooz kya jana chahiye. khaam tail ki inventory ke baray mein aaj ki khabrain bhi jald hi khaam tail ki naqal o harkat ko mutasir kar sakti hain . H4 time frame : pehlay qadam ke tor par, mein h4 time frame ka istemaal karte hue gold ke takneeki tajzia par baat karoon ga. sonay ki qeematon mein taweel arsay se musalsal izafay ka rujhan hai. sonay ko fi al haal 1965 ki muzahmati line ne rokkk rakha hai, jo aik rukawat ke tor par kaam kar rahi hai. nateejay ke tor par, agar fomc ki khabrain misbet hain aur usd index mazboot hai, to sonay ki qeemat neechay ki taraf barhti rahay gi, jo is waqt tak jari rahay gi jab tak ke pehli support line, 1943, doosri support line, 1930, ko toar nahi deti. chart. nateejay ke tor par, gold ki agli harkat ka taayun is baat se ho ga ke din ke aakhir mein kya khabar samnay aati hai. fomc manfi khabrain jari kar sakta hai, agar khabar manfi ho to market mein ghair mutawaqqa harkat ka baais banti hai. market ko 1964 mein apni pehli muzahmat ko tornay ke qabil hona chahiye, aur 1965 tak, usay taizi se agay barhna chahiye. jo log khabron ke waqeat ke douran kam tawazun rakhtay hain, inhen ahthyat brtni chahiye. nateejay ke tor par, agar aisa nahi hota hai to koi apna tawazun kho sakta hai

mujhe aaj ke liye –apne jareeday ki taaza kaari aap sab ke samnay paish karte hue khushi ho rahi hai - aik sehat mand aur mubarak naye saal ke liye meri naik khwahisaat. market ke mojooda halaat ko mad e nazar rakhtay hue, aap point 1973, sl 1954, pehla hadaf 1995, aur dosra hadaf 2005 se sona khareed satke hain. mojooda maliyati sorat e haal aap ko is maliyati sorat e haal ki bunyaad par tijarat karne ki ijazat deti hai jis mein aap khud ko mehsoos karte hain. agar aap is mein kamyaab hotay hain. nuqta, aap mansoobay ke ekhtataam par khobsorat munafe ke liye –apne aap ko tarteeb den ge. yeh namumkin hai ke aap is waqt paisay kho saken ge. is soorat e haal mein, aik tajir aik achi hikmat e amli ke sath paisa kama sakta hai. aaj, gold market buy tijarat ke liye mozoon hai, aur agar aap is market se faida uthatay hain to yeh aap ko –apne matlooba tanasub ko poora karne ki ijazat day ga. taham, yeh note karna zaroori hai ke hamein din bhar mukhtalif krnsyon ki qeematon mein numaya utaar charhao ki tawaqqa karni chahiye . h4 time frame chart neechay diye gaye chart mein, hum dekh satke hain ke khabron ne sonay ko mutasir kya hai. market 1970 tak gir gayi, 50ma ko chhoo rahi thi, aur ab apni asal position par wapas aa rahi hai. chart ki bunyaad par, pehlay se hi oopar ki taraf rujhan hai, jo buy position ki nishandahi karta hai. market ka tajzia karte hue, hum tay karte hain ke yeh 1985 mein hadaf ko haasil kere ga . market ki sargarmi ab munafe bakhash hai, aur hum wapsi ke amal mein hain. agar aap ne pehlay is retainment ka faida nahi uthaya hai, to ab is se faida uthany aur shandaar munafe kamanay ka behtareen mauqa hai. bas is baat ko yakeeni banayen ke aap apni aykoyti level ke mutabiq munasib laat size ko barqarar rakhen. agar aik forex tajir kamyaab hona chahta hai to usay –apne paison ka achi terhan se intizam karna chahiye

sonay ki qeemat ka khulasa hamari guftagu sonay ki qeemat ke ravayye ki jaanch partaal ki mojooda haalat par markooz hai. agar hum h4 chart ka jaiza letay hain to hum aik muqami up trained line ka mushahida kar satke hain jis ki ab bhi khilaaf warzi ki zaroorat hai. taham, 5 lehron ki saakht ki takmeel hai, jis ka imkaan inhiraf se hai. lehaza, kami bunyadi tawaqqa hai. doosri taraf, yomiya chart neechay ki taraf anay ke baad oopar ki taraf islaah ki nishandahi karta hai jis ne bunyadi oopar ki taraf rujhan ko toar diya. aik baar jab oopar ki qeemat mein durustagi mukammal ho jati hai, to hamein qeematon mein kami aur nai nichli sthon ke qiyam ki tawaqqa karni chahiye. chart 5 minute ke waqfay dekhata hai. is ke baad, qeemat ziyada se ziyada time frame tak pahonch gayi aur 1983. 40 ki satah se neechay ki taraf adjust hui. qeemat 1974. 05 par support aur 1979. 10 par muzahmat ke sath ruk gayi hai. ishara karta hai ke qeemat ziyada farokht hui hai, neechay ke rujhan mein kam se kam tak pahonch gayi hai, aur manfi zone mein daakhil honay ki tayari kar raha hai. is consolidation se qeemat kam ho sakti hai. kam qeemat ki had mein aik hawala nuqta hai : darmiyani time frame ki satah 1961. 75 par . fi ghanta time frame par muntaqil honay par, hum dekh satke hain ke sonay ne oopar ki taraf aik thos channel banaya hai aur 1978 ke aas paas is ke andar tijarat kar raha hai. mazeed bar-aan, qeemat mumkina tor par mojooda sthon se oopar ki taraf barhti rahay gi aur kam az kam 1985 ki satah tak pahonch jaye gi ( pichli bulandi ), break out ke liye is ki jaanch kar raha hai. jaisa ke mein ne zikar kya, qeemti dhaat ke liye mere ahdaaf bohat ziyada hain, 2000 ki satah ke aas paas, aur mein darmiyani muddat ki tijarat ke liye sona khareedon ga. m30 chart par switch karte hue, hum dekh satke hain ke qeemti dhaat pichli side ways range se bahar nikal chuki hai, jis se aik naya charhne wala channel ban raha hai. sona 1978 ke aas paas support line ke qareeb trade kar raha hai aur mumkina tor par un sthon se qeemat channel ke andar barhta rahay ga. mein support line se muzahmati lakeer ki taraf bherne ki tawaqqa karta hon, yani 1978 ki mojooda qeemat ki satah se, qeemat 1990 tak pahonch sakti hai aur qeemat 2000 ki gole satah tak pahonch sakti hai .

sonay ki qeemat ki passion goi hum fi al haal apni behas mein sonay ki mojooda qeematon ke ravayye ka tajzia kar rahay hain. gold currency ke jore ke liye, mein mandarja zail manzar naame ka mushahida karta hon : m15 chart par regression channel oopar ki taraf mael hai, jo is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke khredar market mein ghalib hain. kharidari ki sargarmi 1972. 85 channel ki nichli hudood se kharidari par ghhor karne ka aik behtareen mauqa paish karti hai. is ke baad, mein 1990. 63 tak maang bherne ki tawaqqa karta hon, is ke baad islaah hogi. islaah nichli had ki taraf ho gi, jahan mazeed kharidari mumkin honi chahiye. agar nichli had ka imkaan hai to, hum musalsal kami ka andaza laga satke hain, aisi soorat mein kharidari un harkato se honi chahiye, aur market ko taraqqi ka tajurbah hona chahiye kyunkay yeh channels ke zariye oopar ki taraf nazar aata hai. farokht 1990. 91 par track ki oopri baondri se honi chahiye. mujhe jitna mumkin ho kam had ke qareeb pal back se market mein daakhil hona chahiye . aala time frame h1 ki jaanch karte waqt, mein ne mushahida kya ke regression channel bhi oopar ki taraf hai. yeh mere liye m15 chart se ziyada ahem hai. lehaza, bail taaqat ka muzahira kar rahay hain. m15 channel par signal kharidne ka mahswara deta hai, jo meri kharidne ki khwahish ko mazeed taqwiyat deta hai. mujhe qeemat ke munasib position mein anay ka intzaar karne aur wahan se kharidari ke mawaqay talaash karne ki zaroorat hai. mojooda halaat mein, 1956. 55 par channel ki nichli had woh ilaqa hai jahan se mein kharidari karna chahta hon. mein 1983. 45 tak khareedna jari rakhon ga, kyunkay yeh baad mein taraqqi ke sath aik achi terhan se qaim hadaf hai, jo mazboot oopar ki raftaar ki nishandahi karta hai. 1984. 45 se tasheeh ka bohat ziyada imkaan hai, kyunkay taizi ki tehreek ki himayat ki gayi hai. is ke baad bail –apne oopar ki janib rujhan ko dobarah shuru karne ki koshish karen ge. aisi soorat e haal mein, yeh mahswara diya ja sakta hai ke trading plan par khareed tijarat ki simt mein nazarsani ki jaye aur market ki sorat e haal ka az sir no jaiza liya jaye

XAU USD / Gold technical h4 time frame , usd ki sharah sood par kal ki khabar ki release ne gold market ki qeemat ki naqal o harkat ko bohat mutasir kya. usd mein mazbooti ki wajah se guzashta mangal ko sona 320 pips ki range mein trade sun-hwa. is mein koi shak nahi ke fed ki press release ke assar ne usd ko numaya mazbooti ka tajurbah kya hai. yeh feed ki press release ke bawajood sood ki sharah 0. 25 feesad baqi rehne ke bawajood ho raha hai. h4 time frame mein hi, qeemat pichlle haftay peelay rang ke box ke aas paas ke support area mein wapas aagai agar aap usay h4 time frame hi ke nuqta nazar se dekhen. support area se bahar niklny se qeemat mazeed gir jaye gi, jis se baichnay walay ziyada ghalib ho jayen ge. kyunkay usd ki haalat aaj bhi market mein mazboot hoti dikhayi day rahi hai, mujhe yaqeen hai ke budh ko bhi sonay ki qeemat mein kami jari reh sakti hai . Daily time frame : mazeed bar-aan, qeemat ne rozana time frame mein maqool had tak barri body ke sath aik bearish candle tashkeel di hai. bearish candle ki tashkeel ke nateejay mein, is ke oopri trained line ko jhanchne ke imkanaat kam ho rahay hain. is ke ilawa, agar usd dobarah mazboot hota rehta hai, to is ke nateejay mein aik ho sakta hai jis ki wajah se sona dobarah neechay ja sakta hai, shayad 1975 se neechay, agar usd mein behtari jari rehti hai. agar mujhe farokht ke liye indraaj karna para to mein daakhil honay ke liye h4 support area ko aik behtareen jagah ke tor par daikhon ga. khredar, taham, 1969 ko fatah karne mein nakaam rahay. ghalat break out ki wajah se farokht ka signal peda sun-hwa, jis ke nateejay mein gold pear mein 30 points ki kami waqay hui. side ways channel ki darmiyani line, jo ke channel ka darmiyani nuqta hai, aisa nahi lagta ke is ka tajurbah kya gaya hai. din ke dosray nisf hissay mein bullish ne 1962 ki satah se oopar charhne ki koshish ki .