Sialfx Trading Journal:
Today Dxy Analysis:
US dollar kal ke expectations se kam GDP aur core PCE prices ki wajah se Stubborn jobless claims data in factors ke khilaaf jhukne ke liye kaafi nahi tha aur ab greenback ko lagbhag 1.6% kam dikha raha hai is saal tak. Fed ke dovish tone ke baad, kuchh Fed officials ne rate expectations ke extreme repricing ke khilaaf resistance dikhane ki koshish ki hai pehle cut ke timing ke liye. Halanki, money markets (table mein refer karein) Q1 2024 ke pehle hi rate cut ki possibility forecast kar rahe hain. Ye thoda zyada optimistic ho sakta hai, jisse USD ke liye upside risk ho sakta hai.
Fed Preferred Measure Of Inflation:
Aaj ke core PCE index (Fed ki preferred measure of inflation) ke projections lower hai aur isse current narrative extend ho sakta hai. Durable goods orders aur Michigan consumer sentiment thoda badh sakte hain lekin agar inflation kam ho jaaye, toh main umeed karta hoon ki market inflation measure par zyada emphasis karegi. Aaj saal ki aakhri din hai jo saal ki aakhri trading week ke tone ko set kar sakta hai kyunki dollar ke nazariye se koi aur high impact economic data due nahi hai. Agli week aaj ke data ka continuation hoga aur board par kam volatility hogi.
EUR/USD Today Analysis:
EUR/USD pair ne thoda sa 0.08% decline kiya hai aur 1.08624 tak pahunch gaya hai, jabki traders pivotal economic indicators aur central bank policies par nazar rakhte hain. Currency pair 1.08735 ke neeche thoda sa position le raha hai aur resistance 1.09036, 1.09298 aur 1.09639 par hai, jo kisi bhi bullish momentum ko rok sakta hai. Wapas, support levels 1.08443, 1.08206 aur 1.07996 par further dips ke khilaaf potential buffers provide karte hain. 50-Day aur 200-Day Exponential Moving Averages, respectively 1.08929 aur 1.08803 par, ek tight market ki indication dete hain. Abhi EUR/USD 1.08735 ke neeche bearish inclination show kar raha hai, lekin is critical juncture ko surpass karna bullish territory ki taraf bias ko pivot kar sakta hai.
GBP/USD Today Analysis:
GBP/USD pair ne 0.19% decline kiya hai aur 1.27056 par trade ho raha hai. Ye forex market mein ek cautious path par navigate kar raha hai, jara sa apne pivot point 1.27332 ke neeche. Resistance 1.27688, 1.28241 aur 1.28643 par hai, jisse koi bhi bullish momentum constrained lag raha hai. Wapas, support 1.26919 par hai, uske baad 1.26556 aur 1.26007, jo further downturns ke khilaaf critical junctures mark karte hain. 50-Day EMA 1.27472 par hai aur 200-Day EMA closely trailing 1.27319 par hai, jisse market sentiment finely balanced lag rahi hai. Abhi trend pivotal 1.27332 level ke neeche bearish hai, lekin is threshold ko surpass karna bullish optimism ki taraf ek shift signal kar sakta hai.
Today Dxy Analysis:
US dollar kal ke expectations se kam GDP aur core PCE prices ki wajah se Stubborn jobless claims data in factors ke khilaaf jhukne ke liye kaafi nahi tha aur ab greenback ko lagbhag 1.6% kam dikha raha hai is saal tak. Fed ke dovish tone ke baad, kuchh Fed officials ne rate expectations ke extreme repricing ke khilaaf resistance dikhane ki koshish ki hai pehle cut ke timing ke liye. Halanki, money markets (table mein refer karein) Q1 2024 ke pehle hi rate cut ki possibility forecast kar rahe hain. Ye thoda zyada optimistic ho sakta hai, jisse USD ke liye upside risk ho sakta hai.
Fed Preferred Measure Of Inflation:
Aaj ke core PCE index (Fed ki preferred measure of inflation) ke projections lower hai aur isse current narrative extend ho sakta hai. Durable goods orders aur Michigan consumer sentiment thoda badh sakte hain lekin agar inflation kam ho jaaye, toh main umeed karta hoon ki market inflation measure par zyada emphasis karegi. Aaj saal ki aakhri din hai jo saal ki aakhri trading week ke tone ko set kar sakta hai kyunki dollar ke nazariye se koi aur high impact economic data due nahi hai. Agli week aaj ke data ka continuation hoga aur board par kam volatility hogi.
EUR/USD Today Analysis:
EUR/USD pair ne thoda sa 0.08% decline kiya hai aur 1.08624 tak pahunch gaya hai, jabki traders pivotal economic indicators aur central bank policies par nazar rakhte hain. Currency pair 1.08735 ke neeche thoda sa position le raha hai aur resistance 1.09036, 1.09298 aur 1.09639 par hai, jo kisi bhi bullish momentum ko rok sakta hai. Wapas, support levels 1.08443, 1.08206 aur 1.07996 par further dips ke khilaaf potential buffers provide karte hain. 50-Day aur 200-Day Exponential Moving Averages, respectively 1.08929 aur 1.08803 par, ek tight market ki indication dete hain. Abhi EUR/USD 1.08735 ke neeche bearish inclination show kar raha hai, lekin is critical juncture ko surpass karna bullish territory ki taraf bias ko pivot kar sakta hai.
GBP/USD Today Analysis:
GBP/USD pair ne 0.19% decline kiya hai aur 1.27056 par trade ho raha hai. Ye forex market mein ek cautious path par navigate kar raha hai, jara sa apne pivot point 1.27332 ke neeche. Resistance 1.27688, 1.28241 aur 1.28643 par hai, jisse koi bhi bullish momentum constrained lag raha hai. Wapas, support 1.26919 par hai, uske baad 1.26556 aur 1.26007, jo further downturns ke khilaaf critical junctures mark karte hain. 50-Day EMA 1.27472 par hai aur 200-Day EMA closely trailing 1.27319 par hai, jisse market sentiment finely balanced lag rahi hai. Abhi trend pivotal 1.27332 level ke neeche bearish hai, lekin is threshold ko surpass karna bullish optimism ki taraf ek shift signal kar sakta hai.
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