"Realone98" Trading Journal

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Welcome To "Realone98" Trading Journal

Naye Forex Trading General mein aap sab ko khusamdeed hai! Yahan aapko rozana forex currencies aur commodities ki keemat ka tafseeli jaiza milega jo aapke forex trading ke faislon mein madadgar sabit hoga.
Forex trading mein currencies aur commodities ki keemat duniya bhar mein mukhtalif factors par asar daalti hai aur traders ke liye iska analysis karna zaroori hai. Hamare daily forex currencies aur commodities price analysis se aapko currencies aur commodities ke price mein hone wale changes ka behtareen analysis milega jo aapke trading strategies ko behtar banane mein madad karega.
Daily hum aapko currencies aur commodities ki keemat par asar daalne wale factors, technical analysis, aur market trends ke baare mein tafseeli maloomat faraham karenge. Ye analysis aapko market ki movement ko samajhne aur future price movements ko anticipate karne mein madadgar sabit hoga.
Forex trading ek challenging lekin rewarding kaam hai aur hum chahte hain ke aap apne trading journey mein kamiyabi hasil karen. Isliye, hamare 'New Forex Trading General' par aakar currencies aur commodities ki keemat ka daily analysis dekhte rahen aur apne trading skills ko nikharte rahen.
Aaiye, humare saath melkar forex market ke mazeed gehrayiyo tak chalein aur har din naye analysis se rubaru ho kar apne trading decisions ko improve karen. Agar aapke paas koi sawal ya behtari hain toh humein zaroor batayein taake hum aapki madad kar sakein.
Aap ka shukriya humare 'New Forex Trading General' mein shamil hone ke liye! Aaiye, saath mil kar forex market ke trend ko samajhne aur apne trading acumen ko behtar banane mein successful banen. Hamara har post aapke liye informative aur useful hoga, isliye regular visit karte rahen!

Shukriya!

WTI Weekly Analysis

WTI Crude Oil ne Thursday ko taqreeban 78.900 tak bulandai ko chhui lekin phir jaldi se neeche muda jis se qareebi muddai satahain phir se nazar aaien Jumeraat ko.

• WTI Crude Oil hafta ke akhri din 76.550 ke qeemat nazaib ratio par gaya, jo commodity ke speculators ke nazdeek qareebi muddai trend ke tor par samjha ja sakta hai.
• WTI Crude Oil ke hilchul ne january ke akhir se bade ke prices ka dikhaya hai, lekin aham baat ye hai ke 80.000 ke level ne jab bhi technical charts ke zariye nazar aaya hai, tab yeh commodity ko neeche push karta raha hai.
• WTI Crude Oil ka haftay ke high ko chhu kar, aur phir jaldi se neeche mud kar aur short-term depths mein reh kar is weekend ko jaana, yeh speculative notions ko dilchasp banaye ga.

Supply ek aur baar crude oil inventories ke zariye U.S mein jumeraat ko mazboot sabit hui. Halankeh kaha jana chahiye ke WTI Crude Oil ki neeche mudi hui harkat report par pooraay tor par munhasar nahi thi, magar yeh bilkul ajeeb sath sath waqtan struggle mein tha. Energy ki supply abaadi hai.
World economic situation jo ke uzoo se mazkoor hai, aik wajah hai ke prices ke zariye kam demand hai. Magar WTI Crude Oil ke prices ko Thursday ko bulandiyo par challenge karne aur Friday ko neeche aane ka zyada taluq ho sakta hai speculative forces ke price range ko test karne ke saath. Yeh price range jo ke traders dwara qabool ki gayi hai, mukhtalif interpretations ke muqable mein, WTI Crude Oil ke harkat mein zyada asar dalta hai.

76.000 Ratio WTI Crude Oil ke liye Technical Tor par Ahem hai

Agar WTI Crude Oil sirf sentiment ke bais par trade kar raha hai jo ke speculative forces aur kabhi kabhi Middle East shipping lanes ke shor machaane wali headlines se utpann hota hai, to 76.000 USD per barrel price aik dilchaspi ka baais reh sakta hai.
Akhir wakt jab 76.000 price level ne is technical ratio ke neeche sust raftar par trading dekhi thi, wo pehli February ke pehle haftay mein thi. Haan, outliers dekhe gaye the jab 76.000 ratio ne neeche penetrate kiya gaya tha, lekin yeh mukhtasar aur yeh 15 February se hua hai.

76.000 Support Levels Tests in WTI Crude Oil?

Agar weekend mein neeche ki taraf jaana, to is ka ishaara hai ke WTI Crude Oil ke speculators khatraat ke kam hone par khareedne waale nahi thay. Yeh mumkin hai ke traders Middle East shipping ke baray mein zyada pur sukoon hain, aur supply qayam hai jo ke Thursday ko paida hui aur Friday mein chalti rahi. WTI Crude Oil ne note kiya ke pehle week ki eik Wednesday ko bhi neeche tests ki gayi thin pehle upper daur ke ilawa.

• Agar WTI Crude Oil agle din ke trading ko itminan se aur kisi sudden upper daur ke khabar na hone par khole, to yeh ishaara ho sakta hai ke sentiment ko lagta hai ke commodity qareeb qubooli wazahat par hai, magar yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke energy sector mein bearish undertones mazboot rehte hain.
• WTI Crude Oil mein Monday ko fresh lower move jo 76.000 price level ko challenge karna shuru kare, to speculators ke upar se additional selling ko trigger kar sakta hai jo short-term trend ko test karna chahte hain.

WTI Crude Oil Weekly Outlook

Speculative price range WTI Crude Oil ke liye 74.690 se 79.100 tak hai

WTI Crude Oil ne pichle do hafton mein aala price range ke andar trade kiya hai bina kisi ahem bechne wali toofani storms ke jo ke dair tak mazboot sabit hue hain. 76.000 ratio ka qabil e dha'an hona dilchaspi ka maamla hai. Is haftay mein do martaba low water marks ka imtehan lena kuch speculators ko yeh tasweer dilata hai ke aik run upper paida hoga. Magar technical tor par WTI Crude Oil ko weekend ke qareeb low water marks ke saath jaana door ki soorat mein ek aur lower move ke darwazay ko kholta hai jo ke mojooda support ke neeche girne ka sabab ho sakta hai.
WTI Crude Oil mein 76.000 se 79.000 price range pichle do hafton mein kafi mazboot raha hai. Traders mukhtalif technical perceptions ke peecha karte hue is range ko bas test karna pasand karte hain. Early Monday se Tuesday tak ka trading behavior sentiment ke andar commodity ke andar nazar aane chahiye ga.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Pechle week mera profit taqreeban $18 yha, aur aaj subah dollar ki value increase hone ki waja se gold ki value mazeed kam ho gaye hai, jiss se mujhe mazeed $18 dollars profit howa aur issi tarah se mera overall profit koi 35 dollars tha jiss mein kuch kami hoei, q k EURUSD week pe 0.21 ki lot se trade kia hai, aur iss se mujhe taqreeban 1.5 dollar ka loss hona para lekin mein ne pher bhi 33 dollars withdrawal pe lagayen hen jo umeed hen aaj mel jayengay



Iss k elawa market sideways trend mein hone ki waja se me ne koi trade open nahi hai, jss ki mazeed tafseel de sakon. Umeed hai apko kuch information hasil ho chuki hogi.

Weekly Forex Forecast: USDX, AUD/USD, USD/JPY, NZD/JPY

Pichli hafte dekha gaya ke agle Fed meeting mein US dar ke ihtimaam kam hone ke imkaanat mein mazeed girawat aai, halankeh US dollar thoda gir gaya, jabke bade US stock indices naye record bulandiyo tak pahunche.

Fundamental Analysis & Market Sentiment

Pichli hafte Forex market mein thori ziada direction ki volatilati dekhi gayi, jahan sirf 7% ahem currency pairs aur crosses mein 1% se zyada fluctuation aaya. Volatilati 2024 ke shuru se qareeban kam rahi hai. US stock markets mein ahem amal dekha gaya. Pichli hafte phir se naye all-time high prices ki pohanch dekhi gayi S&P 500 Index, Nasdaq 100 Index, aur Dow Jones 30 Index mein.

Mukhtasir result 6.74% ka tha, jisme har asset ki 2.25% ki izafa shamil hai.

Stock markets mein ye izafa tab bhi hua jab CME ke FedWatch tool ne Federal Reserve ki March mein rate cut ki ummeedon ko mazeed kam kar diya. Ab market mein March mein rate cut hone ki sirf 4% ke imkaanat hain, jo ke ek hafta pehle 10% thi. 25% logon ka yehi umeed hai ke agle meeting May mein kisi qisam ka rate cut hoga, jo ke pichle haftay 38% tha.

Pichli hafte ka agenda bohot light tha, jisme US FOMC Meeting Minutes, Canadian CPI (inflation), aur Reserve Bank of Australia ki pichli meeting ke Minutes shamil thay.

FOMC Meeting Minutes ne dikhaya ke Fed ke afraad rate ko tezi se barhane ke liye kisi jaldi mein nahi hain aur wo 2% tak inflation mein mazeed taraqqi dekhna chahte hain.

Canadian CPI data ne dikhaya ke inflation pichli hafte se zyada taizi se ghat gaya, saalana dar 3.4% se 2.9% tak. Ye Bank of Canada ko mazeed dovish position ki taraf le ja sakta hai, isliye ye Loonie mein thora sa giravat ka sabab ho sakta hai.

RBA Minutes mein koi naye surprises nahi thay aur Aussie release par kuch asar nahi dikhaya.

Ek aur nishaan hai ke US inflation zyada paakizah hai jo ke aik mahine mein core personal consumption expenditures price index 0.1% barh gaya hai.

Pichli hafte kuch aur ahem ma'ashi data releases hue thay:

• Australian Wage Price Index - ye sahi taur par expect kiya gaya tha.
• US Unemployment Claims - expect se thoda behtar.
• Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI - bade tor par, Services data expect se behtar tha jabke Manufacturing behtar nahi tha.

Upcoming Week : 26 February - 1 March

Aane waale haftay mein sab se ahem cheezen US Core PCE Price Index aur Advance GDP data hongi. Agle haftay ka data schedule relatively light hai.

Digar ahem ma'ashi data releases is haftay mein, most likely ahemiyat ke mutabiq, ye hongi:

• US CB Consumer Confidence
• Australian CPI
• Reserve Bank of New Zealand Official Cash Rate aur Monetary Policy Statement
• German Preliminary CPI
• Canadian GDP
• US Unemployment Claims
• US ISM Manufacturing PMI
• China Manufacturing PMI

Forex market mein directional volatilati thodi se zyada barhi pichli hafte, jahan 7% ahem currency pairs mein 1% se zyada fluctuation aaya. Volatilati aane waale haftay mein mazeed barh sakti hai, kyunke itni kam volatilati kuch hafte ke liye aam nahi hai.
Pichli hafte New Zealand Dollar mein relative taqat aur Japanese Yen mein relative kamzori dekhi gayi.

Technical Analysis

• US Dollar Index
  
  US Dollar Index ne pichli hafte aik candlestick print ki jo ke uske open se neeche band hui, lekin ye qabil e ghoor hai ke bullish pin bar hai. Magar haftay ki bandiye ne aik mix long-term trend ka paish kia, kyunke ye price 3 mahine pehle ke price par upar tha lekin 6 mahine pehle ke price ke muqable mein neeche tha.
  Trend ka aik wazeh na hona, lekin short-term bullish momentum, khaaskar jab market ki rate cuts ke expectations girte ja rahe hain, ho sakta hai. Forex mein hariyyon se nahi trade karna ya phir doosri asset classes ko forex se door rakhna aqalmandana ho sakta hai.
  
  
• AUD/USD
  
  Maine umeed ki thi ke $0.6590 level AUD/USD currency pair mein resistance ka kaam karega pichli hafte, kyunke ye price pehle bhi support aur resistance ka kaam karta raha hai. Dekhiye ke ye "role reversal" levels kaise ache taur par kaam kar sakte hain. H1 price chart neeche dikhaya gaya hai jo ke ye price resistance level ko thukra gaya shuruat mein pichle Thursday ke London session ke saath pin bar ke sath jo ke aik qareeb doji hai, jo ke price chart ke neeche niche darshaya gaya hai, is bearish rejection ka waqt dikhata hai. Ye Forex currency pair ko trading karne ka aik behtareen waqt ho sakta hai jisme Asian currency shamil hai. Ye trade munafa deh raha tha, entry candlestick ke size ke mutabiq maximum reward-to-risk ratio ko 3 se zyada diya gaya.
  
  
• NZD/JPY
  
  Pichli hafte NZD/JPY currency cross ko bohot zyada taqatwar honay ka pata chala, jo ke 9 saal se zyada ka waqt hai ke ye currency cross itna ooncha pahuncha hai. Ye currency crosses aam tor par achi tor par trend nahi karti hain, magar ye aik dehaati raaz ke liye qabil-e-tawajjo hai do wajahon ki wajah se.
  
  Japanese Yen ko lambay arsay se kamzorai ka samna hai jabke Bank of Japan ka is saal is lambay arsay ke ultra-loose monetary policy se nikalna chah raha hai, magar hali mein niklay ma'ashi data ne is bank ko jald se jald is kaam ko nahi karne ki saholat di. Is ne Japanese Yen mein bearish trend ko barhawa diya hai, jo ke aam tor par sab se kamzor badi currency hai.
  New Zealand Dollar aik taqatwar major currencies mein se aik hai, jo ke uski 5.50% tak ke interest rate ki wajah se hai.
  Dhyan dein ke ye currency cross aik mukhtalif type ka carry trade ke liye perfect vehicle ho sakta hai, kyunke ye aik relative taqatwar musbat swap dega, jabke ye trend mein oopar ja raha hai. Neeche price chart aik long-term bullish price channel dikhata hai jo ke bullish outlook ko thori wazahat deta hai.
  
  
  
• USD/JPY
  
  Maine umeed ki thi ke ¥149.70 level USD/JPY currency pair mein support ka kaam karega. Neeche H1 price chart dikhata hai ke ye level pichle Tuesday ke New York session ke kuch der baad thukra gaya, is bullish rejection ka waqt dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke price chart ke neeche up arrow dikhata hai, is bullish rejection ka waqt darshata hai. New York session ke shuru ke waqt bade currency pairs jaise ye, jo ke London/New York session ka overlap hai, ko trading karne ka aik behtareen waqt ho sakta hai.
  
  Ye trade khoob munafa dene wala tha, entry candlestick ke size ke mutabiq maximum reward-to-risk ratio ko 4 se zyada diya gaya.
  
  Dhyan dein ke Yen kuch relative kamzori dikhata hai, isliye ye currency pair aur doosre ache options ho sakte hain. Bank of Japan apne mukhtalif ultra-loose monetary policy se dur jaane ki khuwahish rakhta hai magar is saal ye karne mein mushkil ho gi, jo ke Yen ko kamzor kar dega.