What is Downside Risk?

Assalamualaikum aj is thread me apko me Pakistan Forex Trading ke ak bhot he important topic Downside Risk ki importance ke bare me btao ga or me umeed
Karta ho ke jo information me apse share Karo ga wo apke knowledge or experience me zaror izafa Kare ge.

What is Downside Risk?
Manfi khatrah security ke mumkina nuqsaan ka takhmeenah hai agar market ke halaat is security ki qeemat mein kami ka baais bantay hain. istemaal shuda pemaiesh par munhasir hai, manfi pehlu ka khatrah kisi sarmaya kaari ke liye bad tareen soorat e haal ki wazahat karta hai aur is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke sarmaya car ko kitna nuqsaan uthana hai. manfi khatray ke iqdamaat ko yak Tarfah test samjha jata hai kyunkay munafe ke imkanaat par ghhor nahi kya jata hai .

Key Takeaways
manfi khatrah security ke mumkina nuqsaan ka takhmeenah hai agar market ke halaat is security ki qeemat mein kami ka baais bantay hain. manfi khatrah sarmaya kaari mein nuqsaan ke khatray ke liye aik umomi istilaah hai, jaisa ke nuqsaan ya faida ke matawazi imkaan ke barkhilaf hai. kuch sarmaya kaari mein manfi pehlu ka khatrah laa-mehdood hota hai, jabkay deegar mein manfi pehlu ka khatrah mehdood hota hai. manfi pehlu ke khatray ke hisaab kitaab ki misalon mein name inhiraf, value at rissk ( var ) aur roy' s safety first ratio shaamil hain .
Understanding
kuch sarmaya kaari mein manfi khatray ki aik mehdood miqdaar hoti hai, jabkay deegar mein la-mutnahi khatrah hota hai. misaal ke tor par, stock ki kharidari mein manfi khatray ki aik mehdood miqdaar hoti hai jis ki had sifar hoti hai. sarmaya car apni poori sarmaya kaari kho sakta hai, lekin ziyada nahi. stak mein aik mukhtasir position, taham, jaisa ke aik mukhtasir farokht ke zariye mukammal kya jata hai, laa-mehdood manfi pehlu ka khatrah rakhta hai kyunkay security ki qeemat ghair muayana muddat tak barh sakti hai. isi terhan, taweel option honay ki wajah se — to cal ho ya — ka manfi khatrah option ke premium ki qeemat tak mehdood hota hai, jab ke" nangay" mukhtasir cal ke option ki position mein laa-mehdood mumkina manfi khatrah hota hai kyunkay nazriati tor par is ki koi had nahi hai ke kaisay bohat daur stock charh sakta hai .

Re: What is Downside Risk?

security ya asasa ki qader mein kami ke imkaan ko manfi khatrah kaha jata hai. yeh woh mumkina nuqsaan hai jo market ke bdalty halaat ke nateejay mein kisi asasa ki qader mein kami se laya ja sakta hai .






aisay halaat mein jahan market ke halaat bigartai hain, manfi pehlu ke khatray ko shmaryati metric ke tor par bhi numaya kya ja sakta hai jo mutawaqqa wapsi aur haqeeqi wapsi ke darmiyan farq mein ghair yakeeni sorat e haal se honay walay bad tareen nuqsaan ki ginti aur miqdaar ka taayun karne ki koshish karta hai .


khatrah, jo ulta aur manfi pehluo par sikyortiz inhiraf se zahir hota hai, sarmaya karon ke liye tashweesh ka baais hai. bahar haal, woh apni raqam khonay ke baray mein ziyada fikar mand hain jitna ke woh misbet sarmaya kaari ki wapsi ki mumkina satah ke baray mein hain. nateejay ke tor par, manfi pehlu ka khatrah ziyada ahmiyat ikhtiyar karta hai. yeh kam se kam qabil qubool wapsi ( mar ) se kam honay wali wapsion ke liye khatray ki tashkhees ki sahoolat faraham karta hai. manfi jane ka ziyada imkaan rakhnay wali sikyortiz mein ziyada mutawaqqa munafe hona chahiye .


How to Calculate Downside Risk


khatray ka hisaab laganay ka sab se aam tareeqa mayaari inhiraf hai, halaank yeh tareeqa sirf kal khatray ka hisaab rakhta hai, jis mein ulta aur manfi dono khatrah shaamil hain. wast se sirf manfi inhiraf manfi pehlu ke khatray ka markaz hain. is ka andaza kayi mukhtalif tareeqon se bhi lagaya ja sakta hai, lekin hum yeh deikhein ge ke name mutaghayyar ki kasrat se istemaal honay wali taknik ka istemaal karte hue manfi pehlu ka andaza kaisay lagaya jaye .


hum 2012 se 2019 tak ke tareekhi salana return ke sath city electric ankarporishn Nami company farz karte hain. woh return neechay diye gaye jadole mein dukhaay gaye hain. sarmaya karon ko stock mein apni sarmaya kaari par 9 % ka kam az kam qabil qubool wapsi ( mar ) milna chahiye .


hum name mutaghayyar taknik ka istemaal karte hue har saal ki asal wapsi se mar ki katoti karte hain. is ke baad hum sirf manfi wapsi ka intikhab karte hain, kyunkay woh manfi inhiraf ki nishandahi karte hain, aur hum un ko murabba karte hain aur murabba anhrafat ko kal karte hain. hum nateeja khaiz raqam ko mutalea ke waqfon ki tadaad se taqseem karte hain, nateeja ka murabba jarr haasil karte hain, aur is qader ko manfi khatray ka hisaab laganay ke liye istemaal karte hain .


tadaad bherne ke sath hi khatrah barhta jata hai, is liye yeh zaroori hai ke manfi pehlu ka mawazna isi terhan ki sanat mein deegar companiyon ke khatray se kya jaye taakay yeh maloom kya ja sakay ke aaya yeh bohat ziyada hai ya qabil qubool hai .

جواب: What is Downside Risk?

Definition of Downside Risk

Downside risk, literally as the terms suggests, refers to the risk associated with the stock such that the stock price may have a downward movement resulting in a financial loss. In other words, downside risk is the possibility of losing money or value on account of any changes in the market and eventually a downward change in the stock price.

Measures of Downside Risk

• So now that you have understood what is a downside risk, it is clear that every investor will have its own specific set of risk qualities, investment strategies, and unique portfolio.
• As a widely accepted method, Value-At-Risk and semivariance are used to calculate the downside risk.
• Value-At-Risk means the loss of investments which the investor will have to bear, basis a given probability, market condition, and timeframe.
• Semi variance is the square root of semi deviation. A detailed understanding can be taken from the example discussed above.

Downside Risk Graph

Continuing with the above example, below you can see a graphical representation of what are the deviation of returns over the years as compared to the expected rate of return. The orange line, shows the expected return of the investor whereas the blue line shows the positive returns of the security over the years. Note that the grey line in the graph, wherever seen below the X-axis, depicts the negative deviation.

Management of Downside Risk

With a unique set of strategies and investments, every investor may consider the following parameters to manage in his stock or portfolio.

• Timeframe: How long is the investor planning to hold the security and accordingly strategize.
• Market Volatility: The market is very volatile and the returns on the security may be equally varied. Thus, as an investor, you need to be prepared for sudden changes in returns.
• Risk Appetite: Investors risk appetite will decide in drafting a proper strategy to plan for downside volatility in security.
• Safety: As an investor, you would like to minimise the downside risk to ensure the safety of your principal amount
• Expensive: Strategy planning may be a costly affair as you need to deploy funds for protecting against downside risk.

Dear friends i hope you are fine,forex market mein hamen koshish karni chahie ki ham achi exchanging aur trading ke liye different pointers aur indicators ko use karen kyunki forex mein kuch markers ki wajah se ham achi exchanging kar sakte hain aur achi acquiring aur achi kamyabi hasil kar sakte hain. forex mein ham kamyab broker bhi ban sakte hain aur forex mein hamen exchanging cash the executives ke sath karni chahie forex principal achi exchanging ke liye sabar bahut zaruri hai isliye forex principal exchanging sabar ke sath karna chahieye.Double Top pattern eik aisa pattern hai js 2 dafa market oper jati hai oper ja kr resist krti hai or jaisy he confirmation deiti bilkul eik line pr a kr tu aisa me market ya chart me market down jana shoro ho jati hai. CHARACTERISTICS OF DOUBLE TOP PATTERN. ​Trading chart per jub double top ban raha ho to wahan sy sell trade bnti hai ap scalpers bn ky trade open kro ya hedging bhi kr skty ho acha profit mil skta hai yyeh aik trading ka perfect treeka hai hamen isko fofollow krn achye tb ham kamkamyab trader bn skty hain.market Mein double top pattern bahut jyada use ho rahe hain kyun ki is market Mein jab bhi aapko double top pattern milta hai tu yeh is baat ki indication hoti hai ki yahan se market ne downside per moment karni hai agar aapko yah pattern kisi place per bhi dikhai deta hai to aap is market Mein downside ki trade laga sakte hain.market Mein yah pattern find karne ke liye aapko different time frames per analysis karne hote Hain jis be time frame per yah pattern craete hota hai vahan se market os time frame ke liye hadse Mein mat kar di hai agar aap is market Mein long-term trading kar rahe hain to aapko yah pata hona chahie ki yah pattern kaun se level per ban raha hai aur vahan se market kaise direction change kar sakti hai. TRADING INFORMATION. Forex trading mein Trading Kay during hum nay chart pay double top patterns ko appears hotay dekha hay jiss ka matlab hota hay Kay market ki movement do dafa upwards move karti hay phir kuch time tak resistance points may up and down hoti hay phir market ki movement down wards movement karti hay tou haumay uss waqt sell ki trade laga dayni chahiye, takay haum uss waqt say fayda hasal kar sakein. es situations mein traders scalping Kar saktay hein .market ki movement ko analyz karney Kay liye hum Chart Pattern ko follow kartay hain to hamein zayada achay method sy market ki movement ko analyz karna parta hay, phir hi kamyaabi Kay sath trading kar sakty hein, aur double top patterns ko samajhna zarori hota hay analaysis ki base pay hum double top patterns ko samjh saktay hain...

Ghair mulki currency mein manfi khatray se morad woh mumkina nuqsanaat hain jin ka saamna aik sarmaya car ya tajir ko ghair mulki currency market mein sarmaya kaari ya tijarat karte waqt ho sakta hai. market mein utaar charhao, siyasi Adam istehkaam, iqtisadi waqeat, aur currency ke utaar charhao samait kayi awamil hain jo manfi khatray mein hissa daal satke hain. is jawab mein, hum un awamil ko mazeed tafseel se daryaft karen ge aur is baat par tabadlah khayaal karen ge ke woh forex mein manfi pehlu ke khatray ko kaisay mutasir kar saktay hain . Market mein utaar charhao: Market ke utaar charhao se morad forex market mein qeemat ke utaar charhao ki had tak hai. ziyada utaar charhao sarmaya karon ke liye qeemat ki naqal o harkat ka durust andaza lagana mushkil bana sakta hai, jis se nuqsaan ho sakta hai. zar e mubadla ki manndi –apne utaar charhao ke liye mashhoor hai, jo ke mukhtalif awamil jaisay muashi waqeat, geographiyai siyasi tanao, aur sharah sood mein tabdeeli ki wajah se ho sakti hai . Siyasi Adam istehkaam: Kisi malik mein siyasi Adam istehkaam ghair mulki currency mein manfi pehlu ko bhi mutasir kar sakta hai. yeh is waqt ho sakta hai jab koi malik siyasi bad amni ka saamna karta hai, jaisay ke khanah jungi, baghaawat, ya siyasi Adam istehkaam ki doosri shakalain. aisay halaat mein, malik ki currency ki qader mutasir ho sakti hai, jis se is ki sharah mubadla mein kami waqay ho sakti hai . Iqtisadi waqeat: Muashi waqeat jaisay kasaad bazari, afraat zar, aur sharah sood mein tabdeeli bhi ghair mulki currency mein manfi pehlu ko mutasir kar sakti hai. yeh waqeat currency ki qader ko mutasir kar satke hain aur sharah mubadla mein utaar charhao ka sabab ban satke hain. misaal ke tor par, agar kisi malik ko afraat zar ka saamna hai, to is ki currency ki qader mein kami waqay ho sakti hai kyunkay sarmaya karon ka currency ki qowat khareed mein aetmaad khatam ho jata hai . Currency ke utaar charhao: Currency mein utaar charhao bhi forex mein manfi pehlu ke khatray mein hissa daal sakta hai. yeh is waqt hota hai jab aik currency ki qader doosri currency ke silsilay mein tabdeel hoti hai. misaal ke tor par, agar euro ki nisbat Amrici dollar ki qader mein kami aati hai, to aik tajir jis ne dollar mein sarmaya kaari ki hai usay nuqsaan ka saamna karna par sakta hai . khulasa yeh ke, forex mein kami ka khatrah mutadid awamil ki wajah se ho sakta hai, Bashmole market mein utaar charhao, siyasi Adam istehkaam, muashi waqeat, aur currency ke utaar charhao. taajiron aur sarmaya karon ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke woh un khatraat ka baghore jaiza len aur apni sarmaya kaari ke tahaffuz ke liye rissk managment ki hikmat amlyon ko nafiz karen .

Market mein utaar charhao:​ hamen koshish karni chahie ki ham achi exchanging aur trading ke liye different pointers aur indicators ko use karen kyunki forex mein kuch markers ki wajah se ham achi exchanging kar sakte hain aur achi acquiring aur achi kamyabi hasil kar sakte hain. forex mein ham kamyab broker bhi ban sakte hain aur forex mein hamen exchanging cash the executives ke sath karni chahie forex principal achi exchanging ke liye sabar bahut zaruri hai isliye forex principal exchanging sabar ke sath karna chahieye.Double Top pattern eik aisa pattern hai js 2 dafa market oper jati hai oper ja kr resist krti hai or jaisy he confirmation deiti bilkul eik line pr a kr tu aisa me market ya chart me market down jana shoro ho jati hai. CHARACTERISTICS OF DOUBLE TOP PATTERN. ​Trading chart per jub double top ban raha ho to wahan sy sell trade bnti hai ap scalpers bn ky trade open kro ya hedging bhi kr skty ho acha profit mil skta hai yyeh aik trading ka perfect treeka hai hamen isko fofollow krn achye tb ham kamkamyab trader bn skty hain.market Mein double top pattern bahut jyada use ho rahe hain kyun ki is market Mein jab bhi aapko double top pattern milta hai tu yeh is baat ki indication hoti hai ki yahan se market ne downside per moment karni hai agar aapko yah pattern kisi place per bhi dikhai deta hai to aap is market Mein downside ki trade laga sakte hain.market Mein yah pattern find karne ke liye aapko different time frames per analysis karne hote Hain jis be time frame per yah pattern craete hota hai vahan se market os time frame ke liye hadse Mein mat kar di hai agar aap is market Mein long-term trading kar rahe hain to aapko yah pata hona chahie ki yah pattern kaun se level per ban raha hai aur vahan se market kaise direction change kar sakti hai. TRADING INFORMATION. Forex trading mein Trading Kay during hum nay chart pay double top patterns ko appears hotay dekha hay jiss ka matlab hota hay Kay market ki movement do dafa upwards move karti hay phir kuch time tak resistance points may up and down hoti hay phir market ki movement down wards movement karti hay tou haumay uss waqt sell ki trade laga dayni chahiye, takay haum uss waqt say fayda hasal kar sakein. es situations mein traders scalping Kar saktay hein .market ki movement ko analyz karney Kay liye hum Chart Pattern ko follow kartay hain to hamein zayada achay method sy market ki movement ko analyz karna parta hay, phir hi kamyaabi Kay sath trading kar sakty hein, aur double top patterns ko samajhna zarori hota hay price may have a downward movement resulting in a financial loss. In other words, downside risk is the possibility of losing money or value on account of any changes in the market and eventually a downward change in the stock price. Measures of Downside Risk

• So now that you have understood what is a downside risk, it is clear that every investor will have its own specific set of risk qualities, investment strategies, and unique portfolio.
• As a widely accepted method, Value-At-Risk and semivariance are used to calculate the downside risk.
• Value-At-Risk means the loss of investments which the investor will have to bear, basis a given probability, market condition, and timeframe.
• Semi variance is the square root of semi deviation. A detailed understanding can be taken from the example discussed above.

Downside Risk Graph Continuing with the above example, below you can see a graphical representation of what are the deviation of returns over the years as compared to the expected rate of return. The orange line, shows the expected return of the investor whereas the blue line shows the positive returns of the security over the years. Note that the grey line in the graph, wherever seen below the X-axis, depicts the negative deviation.

What is Disadvantage Hazard? aj is string me apko me Pakistan Forex Exchanging ke ak bhot he significant point Drawback Chance ki significance ke exposed me btao ga or me umeed Karta ho ke jo data me apse share Karo ga wo apke information or experience me zaror izafa Kare ge. What is Drawback Chance? Manfi khatrah security ke mumkina nuqsaan ka takhmeenah hai agar market ke halaat is security ki qeemat mein kami ka baais bantay hain. istemaal shuda pemaiesh standard munhasir hai, manfi pehlu ka khatrah kisi sarmaya kaari ke liye terrible tareen soorat e haal ki wazahat karta hai aur is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke sarmaya vehicle ko kitna nuqsaan uthana hai. manfi khatray ke iqdamaat ko yak Tarfah test samjha jata hai kyunkay munafe ke imkanaat standard ghhor nahi kya jata hai . Key Action items manfi khatrah security ke mumkina nuqsaan ka takhmeenah hai agar market ke halaat is security ki qeemat mein kami ka baais bantay hain. manfi khatrah sarmaya kaari mein nuqsaan ke khatray ke liye aik umomi istilaah hai, jaisa ke nuqsaan ya faida ke matawazi imkaan ke barkhilaf hai. kuch sarmaya kaari mein manfi pehlu ka khatrah laa-mehdood hota hai, jabkay deegar mein manfi pehlu ka khatrah mehdood hota hai. manfi pehlu ke khatray ke hisaab kitaab ki misalon mein name inhiraf, esteem at rissk ( var ) aur roy' s wellbeing first proportion shaamil hain . Understanding kuch sarmaya kaari mein manfi khatray ki aik mehdood miqdaar hoti hai, jabkay deegar mein la-mutnahi khatrah hota hai. misaal ke peak standard, stock ki kharidari mein manfi khatray ki aik mehdood miqdaar hoti hai jis ki had sifar hoti hai. sarmaya vehicle apni poori sarmaya kaari kho sakta hai, lekin ziyada nahi. stak mein aik mukhtasir position, taham, jaisa ke aik mukhtasir farokht ke zariye mukammal kya jata hai, laa-mehdood manfi pehlu ka khatrah rakhta hai kyunkay security ki qeemat ghair muayana muddat tak barh sakti hai. isi terhan, taweel choice honay ki wajah se — to cal ho ya — ka manfi khatrah choice ke premium ki qeemat tak mehdood hota hai, punch ke" nangay" mukhtasir cal ke choice ki position mein laa-mehdood mumkina manfi khatrah hota hai kyunkay nazriati pinnacle standard is ki koi had nahi hai ke kaisay bohat daur stock charh sakta hai . Re: What is Drawback Chance?security ya asasa ki qader mein kami ke imkaan ko manfi khatrah kaha jata hai. yeh woh mumkina nuqsaan hai jo market ke bdalty halaat ke nateejay mein kisi asasa ki qader mein kami se laya ja sakta hai . aisay halaat mein jahan market ke halaat bigartai hain, manfi pehlu ke khatray ko shmaryati metric ke pinnacle standard bhi numaya kya ja sakta hai jo mutawaqqa wapsi aur haqeeqi wapsi ke darmiyan farq mein ghair yakeeni sorat e haal se honay walay terrible tareen nuqsaan ki ginti aur miqdaar ka taayun karne ki koshish karta hai . khatrah, jo ulta aur manfi pehluo standard sikyortiz inhiraf se zahir hota hai, sarmaya karon ke liye tashweesh ka baais hai. bahar haal, woh apni raqam khonay ke baray mein ziyada fikar mand hain jitna ke woh misbet sarmaya kaari ki wapsi ki mumkina satah ke baray mein hain. nateejay ke peak standard, manfi pehlu ka khatrah ziyada ahmiyat ikhtiyar karta hai. yeh kam se kam qabil qubool wapsi ( deface ) se kam honay wali wapsion ke liye khatray ki tashkhees ki sahoolat faraham karta hai. manfi jane ka ziyada imkaan rakhnay wali sikyortiz mein ziyada mutawaqqa munafe hona chahiye . Step by step instructions to Work out Disadvantage Hazard khatray ka hisaab laganay ka sab se aam tareeqa mayaari inhiraf hai, halaank yeh tareeqa sirf kal khatray ka hisaab rakhta hai, jis mein ulta aur manfi dono khatrah shaamil hain. wast se sirf manfi inhiraf manfi pehlu ke khatray ka markaz hain. is ka andaza kayi mukhtalif tareeqon se bhi lagaya ja sakta hai, lekin murmur yeh deikhein ge ke name mutaghayyar ki kasrat se istemaal honay wali taknik ka istemaal karte tint manfi pehlu ka andaza kaisay lagaya jaye . murmur 2012 se 2019 tak ke tareekhi salana return ke sath city electric ankarporishn Nami organization farz karte hain. woh return neechay diye gaye jadole mein dukhaay gaye hain. sarmaya karon ko stock mein apni sarmaya kaari standard 9 % ka kam az kam qabil qubool wapsi ( damage ) milna chahiye . murmur name mutaghayyar taknik ka istemaal karte tone har saal ki asal wapsi se damage ki katoti karte hain. is ke baad murmur sirf manfi wapsi ka intikhab karte hain, kyunkay woh manfi inhiraf ki nishandahi karte hain, aur murmur un ko murabba karte hain aur murabba anhrafat ko kal karte hain. murmur nateeja khaiz raqam ko mutalea ke waqfon ki tadaad se taqseem karte hain, nateeja ka murabba jarr haasil karte hain, aur is qader ko manfi khatray ka hisaab laganay ke liye istemaal karte hain . tadaad bherne ke sath hello khatrah barhta jata hai, is liye yeh zaroori hai ke manfi pehlu ka mawazna isi terhan ki sanat mein deegar companiyon ke khatray se kya jaye taakay yeh maloom kya ja sakay ke aaya yeh bohat ziyada hai ya qabil qubool hai . What is Drawback Chance?Meaning of Drawback Hazard Drawback risk, in a real sense as the terms recommends, alludes to the gamble related with the stock to such an extent that the stock cost might have a descending development bringing about a monetary misfortune. As such, drawback risk is the chance of losing cash or worth because of any progressions on the lookout and at last a descending change in the stock cost. Proportions of Disadvantage Hazard So since you have perceived what is a disadvantage risk, obviously every financial backer will have its own particular arrangement of hazard characteristics, venture techniques, and interesting portfolio.As a generally acknowledged strategy, Worth In danger and semivariance are utilized to compute the drawback risk.Esteem In danger implies the deficiency of ventures which the financial backer should bear, premise a given likelihood, economic situation, and time period.Semi difference is the square base of semi deviation. An itemized understanding can be taken from the model examined previously. Drawback Chance Chart Going on with the above model, underneath you can see a graphical portrayal of what are the deviation of profits over the course of the years when contrasted with the normal pace of return. The orange line, shows the normal return of the financial backer while the blue line shows the positive returns of the security throughout the long term. Note that the dark line in the diagram, any place seen underneath the X-hub, portrays the negative deviation. The executives of Drawback Hazard With a remarkable arrangement of methodologies and ventures, each financial backer might think about the accompanying boundaries to oversee in his stock or portfolio. Market Instability: The market is extremely unpredictable and the profits on the security might be similarly differed. In this way, as a financial backer, you should be ready for unexpected changes in returns.Risk Craving: Financial backers risk hunger will choose in drafting a legitimate methodology to anticipate drawback unpredictability in security. Security: As a financial backer, you might want to limit the drawback hazard to guarantee the wellbeing of your chief sum Costly: Methodology arranging might be an expensive issue as need might arise to convey assets for safeguarding against drawback risk.