Currency Correlation par aik tafseeli note

Currency Correlation

Mukhtalif currency joro ka apas me taluq (correlation) hota hai. Currency jore ki aik taraf k qeemat currency jore k dosre taraf ki qeemat par asar-andaz hoti hai. Correlation se murad hai, k do (two) mukhtalif jore waqat k sath sath kis tarah aik jaise (similar) ya mukhtalif (des-similar) chalte hen.
Correlation ko aam tawar par 1.00 aur 0.00 k darmeyan napa (measure kia) jata hai. 1.00 hone ka matlab hai k dono (two) currency jore apas me correlated hen. Jis ka matlab hai k jab aik currency jora uper jayega to dosra bhi uper jayega. Is k bar-aks 0.00 par dono currency joron ki movement aik dosre se mukhtalif hoti hai, jis ko non-correlation bhi kaha jata hai. Non-correlation me agar aik currency jora uper jata hai to dosra nechay ki taraf movement karta hai.
Kuch currency jore qudrati (naturally) correlated hote hen, aur isbki pehchan bohut asani se ho jati hen, jaisa k; EUR/CHF aur GBP/CHF etc. Correlation joro ki movement bohut smoth tareeqay se hoti hai,lekin waqat k sath sath us me dramaye tabdeeli ronuma hoti rehti hai.
Correlation ki madad se market ki analysis karna aur trading decision leya ja sakta hai. Q k agar aik currency jore ki analysis dosre currency jore k analysis se mutabiqat (similarity) rakhti hai. Misal k tawar par agar hum EUR/CHF ki analysis ko GBP/CHF pe aplly karen to is se hamara bohut sara waqat bach jata hai.

Positive Currency Correlation

Jab do (two) currency joron (pairs) k darmeyan correlation 1.00 ho, to is ka matlab hai k ye positive Correlation hai. Positive correlation me dono currency jore bayak waqat (same time) me uper (up) ya nechay (down) jayengay, jesay; EUR/USD aur GBP/USD.

Negative Currency Correlation

Agar do mukhtalif currency joron ka apas me value 0.00 ya us k qareeb ho, to is ka matlab hen k currency jore non-correlated hen, jab bhi aik currency pair agar upward move karega to dosra downward jayega. Non-correlated currency pairs me EUR/USD aur USD/JPY shamil hai.

Commodity-Currency aur Commodity-Commodity Correlation

Forex trading market me na sirf currency jore apas me correlated ya non-correlated nahi hote, bulke cuch commodities bhi currency pair k sath correlation ya non-correlation ka taluq rakhte hen. Misal k tawar par jab gold upward jata hai to USD donward move karta hai, isi tarah jab Gold upward jata hai to AUD bhi upward jata hai. Crude oil ka direct inhisar CAD pe hota hai, crude oil k upward ya downward movement se CAD ki movement bhi upward ya downward hoti hai.
Commodities ka bhi apas me correlation hota hai, jis tarah se currencies ka correlation hota hai. Misal k tawar par agar gold ki qeematen upward jati hai, to us k sath sath Copper, Silver aur dosre metals ki bhi price bullish move kar jati hai. Is k elawa Oil ki price bullish ya bearish jane se gas aur dosre energy products k bhi prices up ya down jate hen.
Cryptocurrency ki bhi correlation hoti hai, jab bhi Bitcoin upward jata hai, to us k sath sath dosre Crypto currencies bhi bullish jati hen.

Re: Currency Correlation par aik tafseeli note

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Currencies Pairs Correlation

Forex trading correlation do currency joron ke darmiyan talluq hai. Aik musbet correlation uss waqat hota hai jab do jore aik hi semat mein movement karte hain, jab k aik manfi correlation uss waqat hota hai, jab woh mukhalif semataon mein movement karte hain, aur agar jore baghair kisi qabil shanakht rishte ke tasadeeqi tor par movement karte hain to koi talluq nahi hota. Aik manfi correlation ko opposite correlation bhi kaha ja sakta hai .
Currency ka correlation traders ke liye samjhna zaroori hai kyunkay aksar trader ki aagahi ke baghair yeh forex trading ke result par barah e raast assar daal sakta hai.
Misaal ke tor par, farz karen ke aik trader do mukhtalif currency ke jore kharidata hai jo manfi correlated hain, jab bhi aik mein haasil honay walay profit ko dosray mein nuqsanaat se poora kya ja sakta hai, jisay aksar hedging ki hikmat e amli ke tor par istemaal kya jata hai. Jab k iss k bar akas do musbat correlated currency jore khareedne par risk aur munafe ki salahiyat ko dugna kar sakta hai, kyunkay dono trade ke nateejay mein nuqsaan ya munafe ho ga.

Explaination

Currencies pairs k maazi k aidad u shuar ki analysis k baad baaz currency pairs k darmeyan aik khas qisam ka taluq paya jata hai. Ye taluq currency joron k harkat se mutasil hota hai, k jab bhi aik currency jora movement karta hai, to uss k sath dosre currency jore ka kia behaviour hai. Currency joron k darmeyan paya jane wala ye taluq manfi aur musbat dono tarah se ho sakta hai, iss waja se jo ziada musbat taluq hoga to ye aik hi semat main jayengay, jab k manfi taluq se in ki direction aik dosre se alag hoto hai. Currency Correlation ko 1 se - 1 k darmeyan nafa jata hai.

• + 1 ka correlation talluq zahir karta hai ke currency ke do jore 100 % waqt mein aik hi semat mein movement karengay. Yeh rabat dono currencies pairs k darmeyan musbat hota hai. EUR / USD aur GBP / USD ke darmiyan correlation talluq positive correlation ka aik acha misaal hai, jab aik semat main EUR / USD trade kar raha hota hai, to GBP / USD bhi ussi semat main barhta hai.
• -1 ka correlation talluq ishara karta hai ke currency ke do jore 100 % waqt mukhalif semmat mein movement karengay. EUR / USD aur USD / CHF ka apas mein mukammal manfi correlation hota hai, yanni jab EUR / USD oopar ki taraf barhta hai, to USD / CHF neechay ki taraf jata hai .
• 0 ka correlation tab hota hai agar currency ke joron ke darmiyan talluq mukammal tor par be-tarteeb hai, jis ka matlab hai ke un ka koi talluq nahi hai .
• Qudrati tor par, aik musbet ya manfi correlation jitna mazboot hoga, analysis se pishin goi ki value itni hi ziyada hogi. Technical analysis ke liye istemaal kiye jane walay long term k timeframe one minute k timeframe k correlation ke muqablay mein ziyada durust maloomat dikhata hain, jin ki value thori hoti hai. mahana aur salana data aam tor par sab se ziyada qabil aetmaad value ki accuracy faraham karta hai.

Currency Correlation Impacts

• Correlation adad o shumaar ke lehaaz se ziyada imkaan wali forex trading hikmat e amli ki bunyaad bana satke hain .
• Correlation aap ke forex trading account ke andar is risk ki value ki wazahat kar satke hain jis ka aap ko saamna hai. misaal ke tor par, agar aap ne mazboot musbet correlation ke sath kayi currency jore khareeday hain, to aap ko ziyada risk ka saamna hai .
• Trader un positions se bach satke hain jo muaser tareeqay se aik dosray ko cancel kar den. EUR / USD aur USD / CHF ka aik taaqatwar manfi talluq hai. agar aap ke paas positive correlation hai to, EUR / USD aur USD / CHF dono khareedna har jore mein honay wali harkato ka muqaabla kere ga.
• Correlation ko samjhna trader ko forex market mein hedging technical ka istemal kar sakta hai .
• Agar aap ko di gayi currency ke liye semat malom hai, to aap do positive correlation currency joron ka istemaal karte hue –apne risk ko divid kar satke hain .
• Agar aap kisi position ko sell chahtay hain ( usay loss ke kam risk ke sath rakhna ) aap manfi tor par munsalik jore mein position le satke hain. Agar aap ne EUR / USD ke liye' lambi kharidari' shuru karni thi, aur yeh aik ulat semat mein trading shuru kar deta hai, to aap currency jore ko buy kar apni position ko hadge kar satke hain jis ka EUR / USD se manfi correlation hai, jaisay USD / CHF.

Correlation Strategy

Jab do currency jore intehai positive correlated hotay hain, to aik dosray ki qeemat ki harkat ke ahem indicator ke tor par kaam kar sakte hai. Agar aap do positive tor par correlated joron mein se aik mein taiz movement dekhte hain, to aap dosray mein mumkina movement ka andaza laga satke hain .
Deegar forex indicators ke sath mil kar analysis karne ke liye bahami correlation aur bhi ziyada taaqatwar forex tool ho sakta hai, misaal ke tor par, agar aik jora support ya resistance ki aik ahem technical level se oopar ya neechay toot jata hai, to qareebi musbet tor par correlated jore mein darjzzail risk ka ziyada imkaan hota hai:

• Agar aap ko do manfi tor par correlated currency ke jore nazar atay hain aur aik jore mein qeemat mein numaya izafah hota hai, to aap dosray jore mein mumkina neechay ki taraf ulat jane ka andaza laga satke hain. yeh qeemat ki tabdeeli hai.
• Do strong correlated currency ke joron ke darmiyan ghair mamooli farq ka intzaar karen aur aik khareedain jab k dosray ko bechen, is umeed ke sath ke woh dobarah qeemat ki movement mein aa jayen ge.