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Forex Trend
Forex trend se murad wo general direction hai jisme ek currency pair ka exchange rate foreign exchange market mein move kar raha hota hai. Trends chand dinon se le kar kai mahino ya salon tak reh sakte hain, aur yeh forex trading strategies ki profitability par bohot zyada asar dal sakte hain.
Forex trends ki teen ahem qisamain hain: uptrends, downtrends, aur sideways trends. Uptrend ka nishaan ek silsila hota hai jisme higher highs aur higher lows aate hain, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke currency pair waqt ke sath mazboot ho raha hai. Uptrend mein, traders lower levels par currency pair kharidne aur higher levels par bechne ke mauqay dekhte hain taake rising trend se munafa hasil kar sakein.
Doosri taraf, downtrend ka nishaan ek silsila hota hai jisme lower highs aur lower lows aate hain, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke currency pair waqt ke sath kamzor ho raha hai. Downtrend mein, traders higher levels par currency pair bechne aur lower levels par wapas kharidne ke mauqay dekhte hain taake falling trend se munafa hasil kar sakein.
Sideways trends, jo ke ranges ya consolidations kehlate hain, ka nishaan ek clear direction ka na hona hota hai currency pair ke exchange rate mein. Sideways trend mein, currency pair ek specific range mein fluctuate karta rehta hai, bina kisi clear uptrend ya downtrend ke. Traders range trade karne ke mauqay dekhte hain jahan lower end par khariden aur upper end par bechen, ya vice versa.
Trends ko mukhtalif technical analysis tools ka istemal karke identify kiya ja sakta hai, jaise ke trend lines, moving averages, aur chart patterns. Trend lines diagonal lines hoti hain jo currency pair ke exchange rate mein ek silsila ko connect karti hain. Moving averages currency pair ke exchange rate ka ek specific period of time ke dauran average hota hai, jo trend direction aur potential support aur resistance levels ko identify karne mein madadgar hota hai. Chart patterns, jaise ke head and shoulders ya triangles, bhi trends aur potential reversals ko identify karne mein madadgar hoti hain.
Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke trends hamesha seedha raasta follow nahi karte aur consolidation ya reversals ka samna bhi kar sakte hain. Traders ko in imkaniyaton ke liye tayar rehna chahiye aur apne capital ko bachane ke liye risk management techniques ka istemal karna chahiye. Iske ilawa, traders ko un fundamental factors ka bhi pata hona chahiye jo currency exchange rates par asar dal sakte hain, jaise ke economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events, kyunki yeh trend direction par asar dal sakte hain.
Forex trend se murad wo general direction hai jisme ek currency pair ka exchange rate move kar raha hota hai. Mukhtalif qisam ke trends ko samajhna aur unhein identify karna successful forex trading ke liye zaroori hai. Traders ko technical analysis tools aur fundamental analysis ka istemal karke informed trading decisions lene chahiye aur apne risk ko theek tarah se manage karna chahiye.
Bearish Trend
Economies kyun cyclical hote hain – upper ke baad q downfall mein aate hai? Haqeeqat yeh hai ke fizai duniya mein tamam processes cyclical pe hote hain. Har mulk ki finance supply aur demand par mabni hoti hai. Aur dono taraf se khareedar aur farokhtkar hosakte hain. Maan lijiye ke ek mulk mein taraqqi ka daur chal raha hai, kam inflation ke sath, GDP mein izafa ho raha hai, aur dosre musbat bunyadiyat. Aise mahol mein buland aur mustaqil izafay se maal o khidmat ki talaash aur tamam production ko behtar tareekay se asar andaaz karega aur sanati companies ke stock prices ko barhaayega.
Kabhi kabhi mulkain mazboot kharochon ka samna karti hain. Misal ke taur par, raw material ki bhari kami ke natije mein energy prices barh gayi hain. Aur wazeh hai ke yeh kami mahino ke liye nahi, balki salo tak rahegi. Kami se raw material ke daamon mein tezi se izafa hota hai.
Aur agar kisi mulk ki maaliyat ne raw material ke saste hone ke bais profitable production ki thi, toh kuch dafa ke baad energy ke daamon mein izafa se, khud ko aise haalaat mein paya jata hai jahan voh pehle ke model par nahi chala sakti. Istarah producers ki kamai gir rahi hai. Iske saath hi, end product ke daamon ko bhi drasti se barhna padta hai. Aik muhlik inflation ki rassi chalti hai, jo tezi se retail mein jaati hai. Manufacturing companies ke stocks girte hain. Aur kuch companies ya poori industries aise haalaat mein aa jaati hain jahan yeh saaf hai ke emitir jaldi bearish daur se bahar nahi nikal sakta. Aise companies ke shares lambi bearish trend mein girte hain. Aur sirf maaliyat ke hawale se inhein madad kar sakti hai - ya toh phir dobara saste raw materials, naye qisam ke energy, ya aik naya business model.
Chahay jo bhi ho, aik lambi bearish "sardiyon" se bacha nahi ja sakta, kyun ke tamam naye iradat dhire dhire banti/hotin hain. Aur aam taur pe, agar stocks bearish cycle mein dakhil hoti hain, toh cryptocurrencies bhi bohot tezi se gir jaati hain aur phir stagnant flat period mein dakhil ho jaati hain, jise market participants itna pasand nahi karte.
Lekin achi khabar yeh hai ke investors aur traders dono bear market mein paisa kama sakte hain. Iska raaz sahi assests aur woh live markets dhundne mein hai jahan kam se kam kuch ghairat hai.
Forex Market Correction Kya Hai?
Correction woh phenomenon hai jo bearish trend ya market as a whole se choti scale par hoti hai. Aik forex market correction ki khaas alaamat, masalan, jab U.S. broad market index, S&P 500, apne bulandion se kam se kam 10% tak gir jaata hai.
Aik stock market correction aam taur pe 3-4 mahine tak chalti hai. Lekin hamesha yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke correction aasani se bear market mein tabdeel ho sakta hai.
Aik bear market S&P 500 ke haftay ke time frame mein 2022 se 2023 tak aaya. Is tarah, iski bharpoor phir se haasil karne mein saloon tak lag sakte hain. Iska sab kuch bunyadiyat par mabni hai. Woh kaise maal o dawat ka mehsoos karti hai, seedhay alfaz mein. Chaliye dekhte hain ke ek stock market correction situation mein nuksan ko kam karne aur munafa kamane ke liye kaise amal karen.
- Market Corrections Par Munafa Kamana Aur Apne Portfolio Ko Bachana;
- Risk management rules (her trade par zyada se zyada 10%).
Maan lijiye ke aapke paas $2,500 ki invest karnay ki maaliyat hai. Kuch yun samajhein ke aap stocks kharid rahe hain, yeh dekhte hue ke unki qeemat aapke portfolio balance ke 10% se zyada nahi hai. Yani, aap $250 kharch kar sakte hain.
Masalan, agar aap Bank of America ke shares $26 par kharidna chahte hain, toh aapko 10 shares se zyada nahi kharidna chahiye. Is ke saath, aapko yeh bhi yaad rakhna chahiye ke aapki entry price ka 10% ka Stop Loss set hai. Toh agar aapki entry price $26 hai, toh aapke paas $22.5 par ek Stop Loss order bhi hona chahiye.
Agar aap apne portfolio ke 10% se zyada stocks mein nahi daalte hain aur aapke entry price ke 10% ke barabar Stop Loss price hai, toh aap trade par zyada se zyada 1% nuksan nahi hoga. Agar aapne Bank of America ke 10 shares $26 par kharide hain, toh aapki zyada se zyada nuksan $35 hoga agar qeemat aapke Stop level tak pahunchti hai. By the way, yeh behtareen hai ke aap interactive trader's calculator ka istemal karein apne position ko jaldi se jaldi calculate karne ke liye.
Chaliye tasawwur karte hain ke hum stock market correction process mein hain. Upar diya gaya tha ke humne trading ke liye portfolio ka 10% allot karne ki salahiyat di thi. Lekin agar correction lambi hai ya agar aap kuch mufeed mauqay ke baad position kholte hain, toh aapko ziada himmat aur himayat ke sath trading karni chahiye, masalan, 5% har trade ke liye allot karna behtar hai. Is tarah, agar aapne 10% allot kiya, toh aapko sirf 10 trades milenge. Agar aapne 5% allot kiya, toh aapko 20 trades afford karne ki himmat ho sakti hai.
Iske alawa, Stop Loss price waisi hi rahegi aur aapki entry price ka 10% kam hoga. Yeh, inaam barhane ka mauka deti hai. Ek aurat, yeh tarz sirf yehi hai ke aap paise kamayein, balki yeh bhi ke aap apne portfolio ko protect karen aur market correction mein bhi kamai karen.
Forex Market Correction: Forex Ko Sahi Tareekay Se Selection Ka Tareeqa
Jab market correction mein hoti hai toh apne portfolio ko kis tarah se muntakhib karna behtar hai? Market leaders ki tajwez hai. Apne tamam anday aik hee tokri mein nahi rakhna - yeh samajhna zaroori hai. Lekin aap kaise jaan sakte hain ke woh tokri mustaqil hai? Aap, masalan, stock screeners ka istemal kar sakte hain. Stock screeners ka istemal karne ke kai tareeqay hain, kyun ke settings aur parameters ki combination hazaron hain. Aap William O'Neil ki kitab "How to Make Money in Stocks: A Winning System in Good Times and Bad" se aik sabit qaida istemal kar sakte hain.
"Jo logon ke liye mehenga aur risky lagta hai, woh amuman mehnga hota hai, aur jo sasta aur safe lagta hai, woh amuman sasta hota hai."
Imagine karen ke aap ek aisa stock dekhte hain jo stock market correction ke bawajood hamesha behtareen performance dikhata hai. Yeh kuch hai. Tareekhi data ishara karta hai ke aapki chances nuksan uthane ke kam hote hain jab aap stocks ko unke 52-week highs par trade karte hain. Zyadatar screeners is parameter ko rakhte hain.
Stock Market Correction: Trading Techniques
Har trade par nuksan ko kam karne aur munafa ko barhane ka ek tareeqa hai. Humne upar se kuch nuksan kam karne ke baare mein kuch seekha hai. Ab chaliye yeh upar bataye gaye amal se isko mazboot karte hain.
- Deposit Ka Ek Chhota Hissa Allot Karen
Masalan, aapke paas $5,000 ka account hai aur aapne Tesla stock ke liye 5% deposit ke saath order diya hai jiske sath aik 10% kam hone par stop minus 10% entry price ho. Trade daily time frame mein hai:
Ab aapko intezaar karna hoga ke stock ki qeemat aapki taraf se chalne lage, nazdeek ki bulandiyon ko tode, aur uske ooper ya resistance area mein close ho. Yeh bohot faiday mand hai, kyun ke yeh lines price ke behavious ko predict karne mein madad karte hain. Jab price breakout ho, toh hum aglay step mein chalte hain. - Scale Up Karen Aur Stop Ko Breakeven Par Le Jayen
Idea yeh hai ke ideal taur par stock pehle prove kare ke usmein haqeeqi potential hai. Aur phir aap trade kholte hain. Toh hum stock market correction mein hain. Aap apne position ko scale karne ke liye stock mein aur 5% add karte hain. Aur aap apne Stop Loss ko poora position ke average price ke breakeven level par le jate hain, jahan aap ek paisa bhi nuksan nahi uthaenge. - Apne Stop Ko Made-Nazar Mein Rakhein
Aap apne stop ko nazar mein rakhne ke liye bohot se tareeqay istemal kar sakte hain. Aap ek Trailing Stop ya Moving Average Trailing Stop ka istemal kar sakte hain, behtar tareeqa nahi hai. Aap kisi bhi istemal kar sakte hain.
Forex Market Correction Kab Khatam Hota Hai?
Aam taur par stock market correction 3-4 mahine mein khatam hoti hai. Lekin yeh tab hoti hai agar correction bearish trend mein mubadil nahi hoti. Aise kisi bhi saaf qawaid nahi hain jo yeh keh sake ke correction kab khatam hoga. Toh phir kya karna chahiye? Qeemat dekhein. Yeh bulandiyon ko todna chahiye aur uske ooper close karna chahiye – yeh signal hoga ke stock market correction khatam ho sakta hai.
تبصرہ
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