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Forex Trading History
Trading ki history bohut hi dilchasp hai, aur ye aik alehda se bara maozon hai. Trading ki tareekh ko hazaron saal pehle tak wapas jaya ja sakta hai, jab forex market ka jadoo shuru hua tha. Kuch ahem historical events ye hen:
- Bartar System (6000 BC):
Sab se pehla tabadla karne ka tareeqa bartar system tha, jo modern Iraq ke Mesopotamian qabailon ne tayyar kiya tha.
Cheezein aur asbaab jaise namak aur masalay seedhe taur par bina currency ke tabadla ki jaati thi. - Sikayat Ke Iqdaam (6th Century BC):
Sikka paisa istemal karne ka tareeqa 6th century BC mein paida hua.
Aegina "Sea Turtle" sikka aik sab se pehla qabool shuda currency tha jo international trade ke liye tha. - Currency Exchange (1st-2nd Century BC):
Saboot yeh kehtay hain ke 1st-2nd century BC mein yoonaniyon aur romans ke darmiyan currency exchange hoti thi.
Holy Land mein pesay tabadlay karne mein logon ko madad karne wale paisa badlne wale aur brokers. - Early Gold Standard (13th Century):
13th century mein, Republic of Florence ne "Florin" sikka banaya jiska fixed gold content tha, aik early form of gold standard sthapit kiya.
Isne currency ke qeemat ko standard banaya aur international trade ko asaan kiya. - Pehla Forex Market (17th Century):
Dunya ka pehla forex market 17th century mein Amsterdam mein ubhra, jo currency trading ki tareekh mein aham nishaan tha.
Yeh pehli taraqqiyat ne modern forex market ke liye bunyad rakhi, jab currency trading bartar systems se sikayat ke istemal tak, aur ant mein khaas forex markets ka qayam kiya gaya. Forex se pehle trading ki tareekh forex ki ahmiyat aur maqami ka izhar karti hai, jo aaj bhi forex market ki paidawar aur ahmiyat ko barqarar rakhta hai.
FX (Forex) market ka aik lamba aur maqbul tareekhi pas-e-manzar hai. 1944 mein, doosre jang-e-azeem ke bad, maali mustaqbil mein hamariyat ke liye tajaweez thi. Is natije mein, 29 mulk Bretton Woods, New Hampshire mein aik conference mein ikhtitam hokar "Bretton Woods Agreement" ke naam se jaani jane wale aain ki dastakhat ki. Is muaahida ne International Monetary Fund (IMF) aur World Bank ki tashkeel ka asal sabab diya.
Pehle jang se pehle, currency market gold standard ke tahat kaam karta tha, jisme central banks ko apne banknotes ko kisi khaas miqdaar mein sonay ke saath backing karni parti thi. Lekin, is system ne mushkilat ka samna karna shuru kiya aur aakhir mein 1929 mein Great Depression ke asar se toota.
Yaad rakhein ke paund pehle jang ke dauran duniya bhar mein maqbool reserve currency thi. World War II ke jeetne wale mulkon ki currency, jese ke American dollar, ne ise replace kar diya.
Ab, is muaahide ke sharaait ke mutabiq, 29 shamil hone wale mulkoun ne apni currency ko greenback (American dollar) se jor dene ka faisla kiya. Bretton Woods muaahide ne United States dollar ke saath fixed exchange rates paida kiye, jo ke phir gold ke saath ek aur fixed rate par tha. Barah-e-karam, 1 ounce sona $35 ke barabar tha. Is muaahide ko imza karne ka asal natija yeh hai ke ab United States dollar duniya bhar mein ek aham kirdar ada karta hai.
Ye muaahide badi currency speculations ko bhi rokta tha, khaas kar un currencies par jo haar gaye mulkon ya jin par bhari nuqsaan aur tabahi hui thi. 1960 ke akhir tak, duniya bhar mein political aur maali factors ne fixed exchange rates system ko kamzor karne shuru kar diya.
Forex Trading ki America mein History
United States ki maeeshat girne se bachane ke liye, President Nickson ne phir 1971 mein faisla kiya ke American dollar ko gold se jor ke rakhna mumkin nahi hoga. President Richard Nixon ne dollar ki gold se convertibility ko khatam kar diya. Is natije mein, major currencies ek dusre ke khilaaf tairne lage.
Dosri baat, Amerika mein Forex trading ki tareekh 1971 mein shuru hui. Paanch saal baad, 1976 se, tamam major currencies mein floating exchange rates aai aur FX trading private investors ke liye accessible hone lagi.
Foreign Exchange Market in Modern Times:
Forex market ki moasreen tareekh aik dasle ke peechle das saal se shuru hoti hai aur isne haqeeqatan mein hairat angez izafah kiya hai. FX market be shak duniya bhar ki sab se baraai maali idara hai. 2022 ke BIS survey ke mutabiq, FX turnover ne rozana average $7.5 trillion ka volume haasil kiya hai. Yeh liquidity ke lihaz se bhi sab se bada marketplace hai, kyun ke trade flows aur international investments ko FX marketplace se guzarna parta hai.
Lekin, Turning Point Konsa Hai?
Asal mein, trading aur Forex market par munafa kamane ki mumkinat mein asal tabdeeli, computers aur internet ke aane se hui. Is takhleeqi taraqqi se pehle, FX trading sirf important investors, investment funds, aur investment banks tak mehdood thi. Internet ke aane se Forex market mein mobile-accessible online brokers ka ubhar hua. Yeh taraqqi internet ki, trading ki mumkinat ko aam taur par kar di hai, jise har koi internet aur computer ke saath access kar sakta hai.
Forex Tareekh Mein Aham Shakhsiyat
Ab jab humne Forex market ki tareekh aur is ka aghaz kaise hua hai, is mein apni misal dar shakhsiyaton ko izzat dena waqt hai. 5 aham shakhsiyat forex tareekh mein:
- Jesse Livermore:
List ki shuruat Jesse Livermore se hoti hai, jo 1929 ke market crash ke asli zindah rehne wale the. Bara nuqsaan uthane ke bawajood, unhon ne istiqamat se kaam kia aur $100 million (jise aaj ke qeemat ke hisab se arabon mein tashkeel di gayi) ka mamool bana liya. Jesse Livermore ko khaas banane wali baat yeh hai ke unho ne riwayati charts aur indicators ko tawajo dena tark kardia, balki unhon ne accounting books ki tahlil mein ghus jana shuru kiya. Is tajaweezi nazar se unhone pivot points ka concept introduce kia. - Jim Rogers:
Dusra naam Jim Rogers ka hai, jo 1970 se Forex trader hain aur markets ke keen observer hain. Rogers ne aik dasle mein apne portfolio par 4,200% ka return hasil kia, jisme raw materials par speculation ka khaas istemal kiya gaya. Apni durust market predictions ke liye mashhoor, unho ne lambi muddat ki maali tahlil ka istemal karke munafa kamane ke liye taayun investment opportunities pe ghor kia. Halaat e asoolat mein, unhon ne stocks ko istarha se khareed lia, jab ke khushi ke lamhaat mein unho ne inko dana dikhaya, jisse ke unhon ne apne munafe ko ziada kia. - Nick Leeson:
Leeson ne 1995 mein Barings Bank ke collapse mein apni hissa dari ki wajah se market mein shohrat hasil ki. Singapore ke bank ki derivatives investor ke tor par, unho ne pehle bara munafa hasil kia. Lekin, pehle ke nuqsaan ko dobara hasil karne ki koshish mein, unhone mazeed aggresive bets lagana shuru kia, jisse ke aakhir mein tabahi aa gayi. Kobe zilay ke zakhira ke baad, Leeson ne 1 billion ka nuqsaan uthaya aur baad mein girftar hokar chaar saal ke liye jail mein guzre. - George Soros:
Forex tareekh mein George Soros ke bina bhi guftagu nahi hoti. Unko 1930 mein paida hote hue mashhoor investor mana jata hai. Soros ne 1992 ke Black Wednesday par British pound ke khilaaf lagaya gaya bet par $1 billion ka munafa kamaya. Unki khaas theory of cause and effect ne unhe market bubbles ko barah-e-raast pehchanne aur unke teht jana mein madad ki, jisse ke unhon ne be intiha muqaddas maqam haasil kia hai. Is ke natije mein, woh aik maali sageer se maazi mein aaj tak spotlight mein hain. - Bill Lipschutz:
Aakhri mein, humare paas Bill Lipschutz hai, jo aik dilchasp safar ke saath maqbool Forex trader hain. Fine arts mein career banane ka iraada rakhte hue, Lipschutz ka safar stock market ki taraf anjaam pazeer hua, jise ne unki asal passion ko jagah di. $12,000 ke maqsood warasat ke saath, unhon ne trading mein dakhla kia aur apne kamaai ko 20 guna barha dekha, jise ke unhe Wall Street mein 1982 se 1990 tak Salomon Brothers mein currency investments ka mahir banne mein khaas kirdar ada kiya.
Yeh azeem shakhsiyaten, apne khaas raaste aur tajaweez ke saath, FX trading ki duniya mein aik moazzir tasalsul chhod gayeen hain. Unki mukhlis khidmaat ne aik mustaqil waris paida kiya hai aur aaj ke tareeqe ko unki misalon se pur asar banaya hai.
Kaun Kaunsi Currencies Trade Ki Ja Sakti Hain?
Moasren traders ke darmiyan trade karne ke liye zyadatar istemal hone wali currency dollar hai (84.9%). Dusri currency euro hai (39.1%), jise yen aur pound sterling (19.0% aur 12.9%) follow karte hain.
Taqreeban 90% trading volumes FX market mein speculation se chalti hai, jisme retail traders tezi se paisa kharidte aur bechte hain. Yeh short-term trades ki domination ko nazar andaz nahi karti, jabke long-term investments rozana trading volumes ka sirf 10% bana ti hain.
Mukhtalif dunia ki sab se taraqqi yafta economies se judi mukhtalif currencies, jese ke dollar, yen, euro, pound, aur doosre, marketplace mein spot trading operations ka taqreeban 75% hissa bana te hain.
Forex Market ko Koun Control Karta hai
Daily base par, duniya bhar mein laakhon log 7 trillion dollars ke Forex market mein hissa lete hain. Yeh ek intehai dilchasp market hai jo investors ko yeh mawafiqat karne ki ijazat deta hai ke kya ek currency doosri ke muqablay mein qeemat mein izafah ya kamii hogi aur is ke zariye munafa kamaya ja sake.
To phir, Forex market ko kon nigraan karta hai? Kya ek akele shakhs ya ek hukumati idara hota hai jo Forex trading ko nigran karta hai?
Jabke global Forex market decentralized hai, isay chaar bade idaray khaas tor par nigraan rakhte hain.
Agar aap is market mein chand mahinon ke liye ya lambay arsay tak trade karna chahte hain, toh zaroori hai ke aap Forex market ko nigraan mein rakhain aur Forex market ko control karne wale bade players aur currencies ke qeemat par asar daalne wale factors par gehra nazar rakhein.
Isi tarah se aap Forex ko ziada soch samajh kar trade kar sakte hain, sirf kismat par nahi.
Forex Market Samajhna:
Control ki baat par puri tarah dhyan dene se pehle, Forex market ke structure ko samajhna zaroori hai. Traditional centralized financial markets jese ke stock exchanges ke bilkul mukhalif, Forex market decentralized hai. Yeh 24 ghante rozana, haftay mein paanch din kaam karta hai, aur duniya bhar mein faila hua hai, jisme London, New York, Tokyo, aur Sydney jese shehron mein major trading centers hain.
Asal mein, Forex market mein ek currency ko doosre ke liye exchange karna shamil hai. Traders, investors, corporations, financial institutions, aur governments various reasons ke liye Forex trading mein shamil hote hain, jese ke currency fluctuations se bachao, price movements par tawajju, aur international business transactions ka amal.
Forex Market Ko Control Karne Wale Institutions
Forex market ko control karne wale char bade idaray hain:
- Central Banks:
Central banks Forex market mein sab se asar andaz participants mein se hain. Inka zimma ek mulk ki maali supply, interest rates, aur kuch had tak qoumi currency ki qeemat ko regulate karna hota hai. Central banks monetary policy tools ka istemal apni muashrat ko musteqil rakhne aur Forex market mein exchange rates ko manage karne ke liye karte hain.
Misal ke tor par, U.S. Federal Reserve, European Central Bank (ECB), aur Bank of Japan aise prominent central banks hain jo policy decisions aur interventions ke zariye Forex market par asar dalte hain. - Commercial Banks:
Commercial banks Forex market mein market makers ki tor par ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Wo clients aur khud ke liye currency trading ko facilitate karte hain. Banks interbank market mein kaam karte hain, jahan par unhon ne bari volume mein transactions ko conduct karna hota hai aur liquidity farahem karna hota hai. Unki harkatein exchange rates aur market dynamics par asar dalte hain. - Hedge Funds Aur Institutional Investors:
Hedge funds, investment banks, aur doosre institutional investors portfolios ko diversify aur munafa kamane ke liye Forex trading mein shamil hote hain. Unki bari trading volumes currency prices aur market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakti hain. - Retail Traders:
Yeh market ke hissedar, jin mein individual investors bhi shamil hain, FX market ka bara hissa hote hain. Woh online brokers aur trading platforms ke zariye market mein shamil hote hain. Haan, retail traders individually market ko control nahi karte, lekin unki collective harkatein short-term price movements par asar daal sakti hain. - Forex Brokers:
Forex brokers wasiladar ka kaam karte hain, retail traders ko interbank market se jodne mein madad karte hain. Unhone trading platforms, leverage, aur currency pairs tak pohanchane ka zariya farahem karta hai. Brokers traders ki experiences aur execution speeds par asar daal sakte hain lekin wo puri market ko nahi control karte. - High-Frequency Traders (HFTs):
High-frequency trading firms automated algorithms ka istemal karke milliseconds ke andar bari tadad mein trades execute karte hain. Unka maqsad chhote price farqon se munafa kamana hota hai aur woh market liquidity mein apna hissa dalte hain. HFTs ka asar fast-paced, high-liquidity currency pairs mein sab se zyada hota hai.
Currencies Value Par Asar Daalne Wale Factors
Ab jab aapko pata chal gaya hai ke Forex market ko kon control karta hai, to chaliye baat karte hain rozana basis par FX market ko mutasir karne wale kuch factors ki:
- News of economic data:
Maeeshati calendar ek aise economic indicator ki soorat mein hota hai jo investors rozana istemal karte hain. GDP report, jobs report, aur producer price indexes jese economic news is tezi se tajaweez karte hain. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) maeeshat ki performance ka aik aam aur ahem report hai jo mulk ki taqweem par aam nazar deti hai aur is ki quwwat par izafah ya kamii par mabni hoti hai.
GDP ki tarah, employment report bhi Forex ya binary trading market mein investors ko future economic activity ke levels ka izhaar karne mein madad karta hai. Price index aur retail sales bhi maeeshat aur trading instruments ke prices par asar daal sakte hain. - Interest Rate Aur Inflation:
Currency ki qeemat mein izafah ya kamii mein interest rate ka kirdar aham hai. Interest rate inflation aur dollar exchange rate se jura hota hai. Agar interest rates barh rahe hain to currency ki qeemat mein izafah hota hai, jisse zyada foreign capital attract hota hai aur exchange rates mein izafah hota hai.
Jab interest rate mein kami hoti hai, toh consumers ko zyada paisa milta hai, jisse mulk ki maeeshat barh jati hai aur is se inflation rate barh sakta hai. Interest rates aur inflation mein tabdiliyon ka inthizaar stock prices par asar daal sakta hai.
Jab interest rates relativity mein kam hote hain, toh companies naye mal aur asbaab khareedte hain, jisse income mein izafah hota hai. Isi wajah se, investors asbaab khareedne ke izafah ko umeed karte hain, aur stock prices qeemat mein izafah karti hain. - Economic Recession:
Agar kisi mulk ki maeeshat girawat mein chali jaye, toh interest rates ko kam karna padta hai, jo foreign capital hasil karne ki salahiyat ko kam kar deta hai. Is natije mein, mulk ki currency doosre mulkon ke muqablay mein kamzor hoti hai. Yeh phir barabar hota hai ek girne wale exchange rate ke barabar. - Political stability aur economic performance:
Dono currency ki quwwat par asar daal sakte hain. Ek mulk jo siyasi ****ad ka kamzor ehtemal rakhta hai, us mein foreign investors ko khench sakta hai. Is natije mein, woh mulk jo siyasi aur maeeshati tor par mustiqil hai, us mein foreign investors ki taraf se taawon hota hai. Is ke natije mein mulk ki currency ki qeemat izafah hoti hai.
Ab sawal hai mulk ki maeeshati performance ka:
Ek mulk jo mazboot fiscal aur trade policies ke saath hai, uski currency ko kam risk ka samna karna padta hai. Dusri taraf, aise mulk jese ke Nigeria, jo siyasi aur maeeshati mushkilat ka shikar hai, uska currency devaluation ka samna kar raha hai. - Speculation:
Agar U.S. dollar ki qeemat mein izafah ki ummeed hai, toh investors isey mazeed khareedna chaheinge takay qareeb mein munafa kamaya ja sake. Isi tarah, currency ki qeemat mein izafah hoga jisse ke currency ke qeemat bhadkay gi.
So, Forex market ko kon Control karta hai?
Essentially, Forex market ek decentralized aur dynamic ecosystem hai jo ke mukhtalif hisson aur factors ke taqatwar hissedaron se musallat hota hai. Is market ko koi ek shakhs ya organization seedha control nahi karta. Balki, control mukhtalif players ke darmiyan taqseem hota hai, har ek apne maqasid aur strategies ke saath.
Central banks monetary policy decisions aur interventions ke zariye exchange rates aur maeeshati mustiqil mein asar daalte hain. Commercial banks, institutional investors, aur retail traders mil kar market liquidity aur price discovery mein apna hissa dalte hain.
Jabke koi ek entity Forex market ko seedha control nahi karta, woh regulatory oversight ke framework ke tahat kaam karta hai. Mukhtalif mulkon ke pass regulatory authorities hoti hain jo Forex brokers ki monitoring aur insaaf aur shaffaf trading practices ki paishgi ka zimma hoti hain.
Interest rate hikes, inflation mein izafah, waghera ko Forex market ke price movements ke drivers ke tor par bhi zikr kiya gaya hai. In factors ko janne ke liye zaroori hai ke aap competitive FX market mein qadam barqarar rakhain. Ji haan, aap apne munafa ko ziada kar sakte hain jab aap ek reliable Forex broker chunte hain aur sahi waqt par trade karte hain.
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