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Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Technical analysis ne maqool faislon ke liye aik ahem tool ban gaya hai. Technical analysis mein se aik mashhoor aur taqatwar indicator Exponential Moving Average (EMA) hai. Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke liye aik zyada mujawar alternative hone ke liye, EMA ne financial markets mein traders ke liye aik go-to choice ban gaya hai. Is mukammal guide mein, hum Exponential Moving Average kya hai, iski calculation kaise hoti hai, aur aap kaise isko apni trading mein behtar banane ke liye istemal kar sakte hain, is par ghor karenge.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) aik qisam ka technical indicator hai jo stock market mein short-term ya long-term momentum ko napne ke liye istemal hota hai. EMA ek muddat ke dauran prices ka average nikalta hai, jo ke purane data se zyada wazan deta hai. Ye traders aur investors ko dusre moving average methods se zyada tezi se trend signals ki tabdeeliyan pakarne ki ijaazat deta hai.
Exponential Moving Average Ki Calculation
EMA ki calculation mein ek mustaqil percentage ko sab se haali price data se zarb lagaya jata hai, phir usi number se series mein mojood sab se purane data point ko isi percentage se zarb lagakar nikala jata hai. Ye calculation mathematically is tarah kiya ja sakta hai:
EMA=(ClosingPrice×WeightingMultiplier)+(PreviousEM A×(1−WeightingMultiplier))
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke liye weighting multiplier ko calculate karne ke liye traders [2 ÷ (observations ki tadad + 1)] ka formula istemal karte hain.
For example, agar aap 20-day moving average istemal kar rahe hain, to hasil hone wala multiplier hoga:
2/(20 + 1) = 0.0952
2/(20+1)=0.0952. Ye formula ye ensure karta hai ke EMA prices ke tabdeel hone par jaldi react kare, jabke woh aik smooth trendline provide kare.
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
A simple moving average (SMA) ek istatistical method hai jisse stock prices ko diye gaye dino ya muddat ke doran tajziyah kiya jata hai. SMA prices ka average nikalta hai aur statistics mein isay arithmetic mean kehte hain. Jab naye data ko rozana shamil kia jata hai to moving average barhne lagta hai.
SMA ko apni qeemat calculate karnay ke liye aik muqarar dino (periods) ki zarurat hoti hai. Aap in dino ko adjust kar sakte hain, chart par line ki surat mein tabdil karne ke liye.
Jitna lamba period aap SMA ke liye istemal karte hain, utni hi line halki hoti hai. Mutabiq, aap chhote SMA ke istemal se zyada signals hasil karenge, jaise ke 5-day SMA. SMA calculate karne ke liye, aapko prices ka aik subset jama karna hoga aur us subset ke prices ka kul ko subset mein mojood prices ki tadad se taqseem karna hoga.
Note: Moving average aik trading indicator hai jo chart par price swings ko halka karke mojooda trends ko saaf taur par dekhne mein madad karta hai.
Sab Se Mashhoor Simple Moving Averages
Sab se mashhoor simple moving averages mein 10-DMA, 21-DMA, 50-DMA, aur 200-DMA shamil hain. 10-DMA sab se chhoti muddat ka average hai aur isay istemal short-term price movements ko pehchanne ke liye kia jata hai. 21-DMA TraderLion mein short to intermediate-term moving average ke tor par istemal hoti hai. Aksar taqatwar market mein, leading stocks apne 21-DMA ke saath chal sakti hain, isay "Power Trend" kehte hain jab tak ke 21-DMA 50-DMA ke ooper ho.
50-DMA shayad hi sab se zyada mashhoor aur market technicians ke darmiyan baat cheet hone wala moving average hai. TraderLion par hum 50-DMA par zyada tawajju di jati hai, jo intermediate to longer-term ke liye istemal hoti hai. Position trader ke taur par, ye average istemal hoti hai taake stock ka overall technical "health" maloom kiya ja sake. Zyadatar cases mein, position trader ko us stock mein dilchaspi nahi hoti jo is ahem moving average ke neeche trade ho.
200-DMA lagbhag har trader ke chart par hoti hai. Isay overall long-term trends maloom karne ke liye main moving average mana jata hai. Ye moving average aam taur par aik general guide ke taur par istemal hoti hai lekin kyun ke ye itni slow hai, isay chhoti muddat ke moving averages ke saath istemal karna behtar hai. 200-DMA tab zyada faida mand hoti hai jab markets deep corrective state mein jate hain, jaise ke February 24 - March 19, 2020, corrective market phases mein. Ye moving averages wide tarah se maqbool hain aur inhe market trends ke liye buland ittefaq aur bharosa mand indicators samjha jata hai.
Technical Ahmiyat
A Simple Moving Average (SMA) technical analysis mein aik ahem tool hai, jo aik muddat ke doran average stock price ko darust karti hai. Agar SMA barhti hai, to iska matlub hai ke prices aam taur par barh rahi hain; agar ghati hai, to prices gir rahi hain.
Analysts ke liye stock price jo ke apni SMA ko paar karta hai, ye acha sign hai, isay bullish trend ki taraf ishara karta hai. Ye dikhata hai ke bechnay wale dabaav se zyada khareedari hai. Mutasira hai ke, agar price SMA ke neeche gir jata hai, to ye negatif taur par dekha jata hai, ishara karti hai ke bearish trend ya kamzori hai.
SMAs support aur resistance levels ko bhi pehchannay mein madad karti hain, jo market strategy ke liye ahem hain. Resistance tab hoti hai jab stock price SMA ko touch karta hai lekin usse paar nahi karta. Support tab hoti hai jab ye SMA ko chhota hai lekin isse neeche nahi girta. Traders in levels ko mukhtalif tareeqon se istemal karte hain. Kuch in ranges ke andar trade karte hain, jabke doosray ispar amal karte hain jab ye levels toot jatay hain, naye trends ki taraf ishara karte hain. Iss halat mein Head and Shoulders Pattern jaise mushkil patterns ko samajhna ahem hai. Isse trend reversals ka pata chalta hai, jo traders ke liye qeemati malumat hai.
Exponential aur Simple Moving Average Mein Farq
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) aur Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke darmiyan asal farq ye hai ke EMA haali data points par zyada wazan deta hai. Iski wajah se ye prices ke tabdeel hone par tezi se react karta hai, jo ke short-term momentum ka behtar indicator banata hai. Jabke SMA sab data points ko barabar se average karta hai, is wajah se ye long-term trends ko pehchanne mein behtar hai. Aakhir mein, ye sab shakhsana pasandgi par mabni hai.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko mukhtalif tareeqon mein istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Yahan do misaalon diye gaye hain:
- Trends Ki Pechan:
EMA aksar trendon ko pehchanne ke liye istemal hota hai, kyun ke ye dusre moving averages se zyada price shifts ke liye sensitive hota hai. Is tarah, short-term EMA traders ko mutasir hone wale trendon ko pehchanne mein madad kar sakta hai jabke long-term EMA ye bata sakta hai ke kya aik trend jari rahega ya palat jayega. - Trade Entries aur Exits Ka Tajarba:
EMA istemal kiya ja sakta hai trade ke potential entry aur exit points ko pehchanne ke liye. Misal ke tor par, traders do EMAs ke crossover ko istemal kar sakte hain (maslan, 9-day EMA jo 20-day EMA se ooper chala jaye) ko ek trade mein dakhil hone ka ishara samajh sakte hain.
تبصرہ
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