Technical analysis as method of prognosis

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    Technical analysis as method of prognosis
    Market analysis is a linchpin of successful trading. A savvy trader employs a vast array of tools for evaluating a market situation and making a forecast. All of them are divided into two basic methods: fundamental and technical analysis. Technical analysis is focused on charts and patterns of price moves whereas fundamental analysis deals with corporate reports, profits, dividends, and other macroeconomic data. Fans of fundamental analysis keep track of quarterly reports, the economic calendar, and crucial events which could serve as market catalysts. For instance, a lockdown is likely to dent oil demand. In contrast, those who believe in technical analysis give priority to price moves. They might have a vague idea of the business activity of the corporation whose shares they bought. Economic news does not matter to technical analysts who are interested in plotting candlesticks on charts, identifying trends, spotting support and resistance levels, analyzing technical patterns, etc.
    Fundamental analysis is based on the assessment of a company’s investment efficiency through its financial results, macroeconomic data, geopolitical environment, and their influence over the asset’s market price. Technical analysis rests only on price changes or a trading volume of a particular asset. American financial journalist Charles Henry Dow is recognized as the inventor of technical analysis. He is also known as the founder of The Wall Street Journal and creator of the Dow Jones Industrial Average stock index. His ideas for price patterns on the grounds of stock price averages formed the bedrock of the Dow theory. Later, they set the stage for the key concepts of technical analysis which afterwards evolved into its mainstream version.
    Technical analysis came into being as a technique for analyzing price moves of stocks and bonds. Nowadays, tools of technical analysis are widely used by investors to predict price moves of various assets: from FX trading instruments to commodities and even the young crypto market.
    The core idea of technical analysis is that the asset’s price already mirrors all relevant information. Through the analysis of historic data on the asset, you can efficiently employ tools of technical analysis to foresee a further price move and hence gain a profit.
    In technical analysis, recent price behavior gives a trader the key to further price moves. Indeed, history repeats itself. So, things that have happened in the past will or tend to happen again in one way or another.






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    Technical Analysis (Tanazurati Tajzia)
    Technical analysis ek trading method hai jisme past price movements aur trading volumes ka istemal kiya jata hai taki future price movements ko predict kiya ja sake. Yeh method traders aur investors ke darmiyan market trends aur price action ko samajhne mein madad karta hai.
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    Key Concepts of Technical Analysis:
    1. Candlestick Patterns (Mombatti Ke Patterns):
      • Candlestick patterns ka istemal market sentiment ko samajhne ke liye hota hai. Jese ke Doji, Hammer, aur Shooting Star. In patterns ki madad se traders price reversals aur trend changes ko anticipate karte hain.
    2. Support Aur Resistance Levels:
      • Support aur resistance levels technical analysis ka aham hissa hain. Support level market mein price girne se pehle ek muddat ke liye rok (halt) hota hai, jabke resistance level price barhne se pehle ek muddat ke liye rok hota hai.
    3. Trend Lines (Trend Rekhaen):
      • Trend lines ko istemal karke traders market trends ko identify karte hain. Uptrend ko represent karne ke liye trend line ko neeche se draw kiya jata hai, jabke downtrend ko represent karne ke liye trend line ko upar se draw kiya jata hai.
    4. Technical Indicators (Tanazurati Isharat):
      • Tanazurati isharat, jese ke Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), traders ko market ki strength aur momentum ko measure karne mein madad karte hain.
    5. Chart Patterns (Chart Ke Patterns):
      • Chart patterns ka study bhi technical analysis ka hissa hai. Jese ke Head and Shoulders, Double Top, aur Triangle patterns. In patterns ki madad se traders price movements ko analyze karte hain.

    Technical Analysis Ka Istemal:
    1. Entry Aur Exit Points Talaash:
      • Technical analysis traders ko entry aur exit points talaash karne mein madad karta hai. Support aur resistance levels, aur doosre technical indicators ki madad se traders apne trades ke entry aur exit points decide karte hain.
    2. Trend Ko Confirm Karna:
      • Technical analysis se traders current trend ko confirm karte hain. Trend lines aur moving averages ka istemal karke traders samajh sakte hain ke market mein uptrend, downtrend, ya sideways movement hai.
    3. Risk Management:
      • Technical analysis ka istemal risk management mein bhi hota hai. Stop-loss aur take-profit levels ko set karne mein, traders technical analysis ke tools ka istemal karte hain.

    Nuqsaanat:
    1. False Signals:
      • Jese ke har kisi method mein hota hai, technical analysis bhi false signals generate kar sakta hai. Is liye confirmatory indicators ka istemal karna zaroori hai.
    2. Market Conditions Ka Asar:
      • Market conditions ke sudden change technical analysis ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. Agar market mein unexpected events hote hain, toh yeh method kam asar karta hai.

    Ikhtitam:

    Technical analysis ek makhsoos method hai jo traders aur investors ko market trends aur future price movements ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Lekin, iska istemal karne se pehle, traders ko market conditions aur confirmatory indicators ka bhi dhyan rakhna chahiye.

    • #3 Collapse

      ;;;Technical Analysis As Method Of Prognosis;;;


      Technical analysis ka tareeqa istemal hota hai ke jismani markets mein anay wali keemat ke mustaqbil ki taraf peshguftariyan banai ja sakein, jinhein peechli market data par mabni hota hai, jismani tor par keemat aur volume ke patterns par zyada tawajju di jati hai.



      ;;;Technical Analysis As Method Of Prognosis Mein Key Points​​​​​​​;;;

      Yahan kuch ahem points hain technical analysis ke baray mein:
      1. Keemat ke Patterns: Technical analysts ka khayal hai ke market keemat trends mein chalti hain aur ye trends waqt ke sath jari rehtay hain. Unhone mukhtalif keemat ke patterns ka muta'ala kia hai, jese ke support aur resistance levels, trendlines, chart patterns (jese ke head and shoulders, triangles, waghera), aur moving averages, takay mumkinah mustaqbil ki keemat ke liye sargarmiyan pehchan sakein.
      2. Indicators: Technical analysts keemat aur volume data se mustaqbil ke trends ki quwwat aur momentum ko dekhne ke liye mukhtalif indicators ka istemal karte hain. Aam indicators mein Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Stochastic Oscillator, Bollinger Bands, aur bohot se aur shamil hain.
      3. Volume Analysis: Volume technical analysis mein ahem hota hai kyun ke ye kisi khaas keemat ki harkat mein shirkat ka darja darust karta hai. Analysts aksar keemat ki harkat aur mutabiq volume tabdiliyon ke darmiyan tasdeeq talash karte hain. For example, agar keemat ki harkat aur mawafiq volume ke tabadla mein tasdeeq ho.
      4. Trend Analysis: Technical analysts trend ki pehchaan aur tajziyaat par tawajju dete hain. Unka yeh maan na hai ke trends jari rehte hain aur trend ka rukh pehchan kar, wo khareedne ya farokht karne ke baray mein maqool faislay kar sakte hain. Trends ko ooncha (bullish), neecha (bearish), ya dono taraf se (range-bound) ho sakti hain. Analysts trendlines aur moving averages ka istemal karte hain takay trends ka rukh aur quwwat tajwez kar sakein.
      5. Chart Patterns: Technical analysts waqt ke sath keemat ki harkaton se banne wale mukhtalif chart patterns ka muta'ala karte hain. Ye patterns, jese ke triangles, head and shoulders, double tops aur bottoms, aur flags, mumkinah mustaqbil ki keemat ki harkaton ke baray mein maloomati insight faraham karte hain. Analysts trend reversals ya continuation ka tajwez dene ke liye in patterns ka talaash karte hain.
      6. Support aur Resistance Levels: Support aur resistance levels technical analysis mein ahem mafahim hain. Support ek keemat ka level hai jahan khareedne ki dilchaspi ko mazeed girne se rokne ke liye kafi taqatwar hoti hai, jabke resistance ek keemat ka level hai jahan farokht ki dilchaspi ko mazeed barhne se rokne ke liye kafi taqatwar hoti hai. Analysts in levels ka istemal karke trades ke liye potential dakhil aur nikalne ke points ka tajwez dete hain.
      7. Time Frames: Technical analysis mukhtalif time frames par lagoo kiya ja sakta hai, chunancha intraday se le kar lambi muddat tak. Chhoti muddat ke traders chhotay time frames jese ke minutes ya hours par tawajju dete hain, jabke lambi muddat ke investors daily, weekly, ya monthly charts par tawajju dete hain. Time frame ka intikhab trader ke invest karne ka horizon aur trading strategy par mabni hota hai.
      • #4 Collapse

        **Technical Analysis: Prognosis Ka Ek Tareeqa**
        Technical analysis ek trading aur investment method hai jo market trends aur price movements ko analyze karne ke liye use hoti hai. Iska maqsad future price movements ko predict karna aur informed trading decisions lena hota hai. Technical analysis ko prognosis ka ek tareeqa is liye kaha jata hai kyunki yeh market ke past aur present data ka analysis karke future trends ko forecast karti hai.

        Technical analysis ka basic concept yeh hai ke market ki price movements aur trends past data ke basis par predict kiye ja sakte hain. Yeh analysis price charts aur various technical indicators ka use karke ki jati hai. Price charts par patterns aur trends ko identify karke, traders aur investors market ke future behavior ko samajhne ki koshish karte hain.

        Technical analysis my commonly used tools and techniques include:

        1. **Price Charts**: Price charts, jaise ke line charts, bar charts, aur candlestick charts, price movements ko visual form mein show karte hain. Yeh charts trends aur patterns ko identify karne mein madadgar hote hain.

        2. **Technical Indicators**: Indicators like Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Bollinger Bands, price movements aur market conditions ko measure karte hain. Yeh indicators market ke strength aur momentum ko assess karne ke liye use hote hain.

        3. **Chart Patterns**: Patterns jaise Head & Shoulders, Double Tops, aur Triangles, market ke future trends ko predict karne ke liye use kiye jate hain. In patterns ka analysis traders ko potential reversals aur continuations ka idea deta hai.

        4. **Volume Analysis**: Volume, trading activity ko measure karta hai aur market ke trends ki strength ko confirm karta hai. High volume trends ko support karta hai jabke low volume trends ko weak bana sakta hai.

        Technical analysis ko prognosis ke liye use karne ka faida yeh hai ke yeh market ki past aur present data ko utilize karke future trends ko predict karne ki koshish karta hai. Lekin, technical analysis ko dusre factors jaise economic indicators, news events, aur market sentiment ke sath combine karke use karna behtar hota hai.

        In summary, technical analysis ek effective method hai jo market trends aur price movements ko analyze karke future prognosis karne mein madad karta hai. Yeh method trading aur investment decisions ko behtar aur informed banane mein crucial role play karti hai.
        • #5 Collapse

          **Technical Analysis as a Method of Prognosis**
          1. **Technical Analysis Kya Hai?**
          - Technical analysis ek method hai jo market ke price movements aur trading volumes ko analyze karke future price movements ko predict karne ki koshish karta hai.
          - Isme charts aur technical indicators ka use hota hai jo historical price data ko base banate hain.

          2. **Basic Principles:**
          - **Price Discounts Everything**: Technical analysis yeh maanti hai ke price already saari available information ko reflect karti hai.
          - **Price Moves in Trends**: Market prices trends mein move karti hain. Technical analysis trends ko identify karne aur unke follow karne pe focus karta hai.
          - **History Repeats Itself**: Technical analysts yeh believe karte hain ke price patterns aur trends time ke sath repeat hote hain.

          3. **Key Tools:**
          - **Charts**: Line charts, bar charts, aur candlestick charts price movements ko visualize karne ke liye use hotay hain.
          - **Indicators**: Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), Bollinger Bands, aur Fibonacci Retracements common indicators hain jo trends aur price levels ko measure karte hain.
          - **Patterns**: Head and Shoulders, Double Tops and Bottoms, Triangles, aur Flags jaise patterns market ke future movements ko predict karne mein madadgar hote hain.

          4. **Types of Technical Analysis:**
          - **Trend Analysis**: Yeh technique market ke trends ko identify karne aur unhe follow karne par focus karti hai.
          - **Momentum Analysis**: Isme price momentum aur strength ko analyze kiya jata hai, jaise RSI aur MACD indicators.
          - **Volatility Analysis**: Yeh market ki volatility ko measure karti hai, jaise Bollinger Bands aur Average True Range (ATR).

          5. **Advantages:**
          - **Data-Driven**: Technical analysis historical data aur statistical methods par based hoti hai, jo objective decision-making mein madad karti hai.
          - **Versatility**: Yeh analysis kisi bhi market (stocks, forex, commodities) aur time frame (short-term, long-term) par apply ki ja sakti hai.
          - **Predictive Power**: Yeh method market ke future trends aur price movements ko predict karne mein help karti hai.

          6. **Limitations:**
          - **Not Always Accurate**: Technical analysis kabhi kabhi false signals aur unpredictable market conditions ke wajah se inaccurate ho sakti hai.
          - **Requires Experience**: Effective use ke liye traders ko technical indicators aur patterns ki thorough understanding hona zaroori hai.
          - **Lagging Indicators**: Kai technical indicators lagging hote hain, jo past data ke base par decisions lete hain aur real-time market conditions ko accurately reflect nahi karte.

          7. **Best Practices:**
          - **Combine with Fundamental Analysis**: Technical analysis ko fundamental analysis ke sath combine karna better results de sakta hai.
          - **Continuous Learning**: Market trends aur technical indicators ke changes ko track karna aur regularly update rehna zaroori hai.
          - **Risk Management**: Trading decisions ko risk management strategies ke sath integrate karna zaroori hai, taake unexpected market movements se bachav ho sake.

          8. **Summary:**
          - Technical analysis ek valuable method hai jo price data aur market trends ke basis par future price movements ko predict karta hai.
          - Yeh method traders ko informed decisions lene mein madad karti hai, lekin iski limitations ko samajhna aur complementary strategies ka use karna bhi zaroori hai.
          • #6 Collapse

            ### Technical Analysis as Method of Prognosis
            Technical analysis ek aisi method hai jo market ke future movements ko predict karne ke liye use hoti hai. Yeh analysis market ke price movements aur trading volumes ko study karke kiya jata hai. Iska maqsad yeh hota hai ke past price patterns aur trends ko samajh kar future price movements ka andaza lagaya jaye.

            Technical analysis ke tools aur techniques kaafi diverse hain. Sabse common tools mein charts aur indicators shamil hain. Charts jaise ke line charts, bar charts, aur candlestick charts, traders ko price movements ko visualize karne mein madad karte hain. In charts ki madad se, traders historical price data ko dekh kar patterns aur trends identify kar sakte hain.

            Indicators bhi technical analysis ka ek important part hain. Yeh mathematical calculations hain jo price aur volume data pe base hoti hain. Common indicators mein Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Bollinger Bands shamil hain. Moving Averages market ke trend ko smooth karte hain, RSI overbought aur oversold conditions ko identify karta hai, aur Bollinger Bands market ke volatility ko measure karte hain.

            Ek aur important concept jo technical analysis mein use hota hai, woh hai trend analysis. Trends ko identify karne ke liye, traders market ke direction ko dekhte hain. Ek trend upward (bullish), downward (bearish), ya sideways (ranging) ho sakta hai. Market ke trends ko samajh kar traders ko yeh decide karna asaan hota hai ke kab buy ya sell kiya jaye.

            Support aur resistance levels bhi technical analysis ka ek important part hain. Support level woh price level hota hai jahan par market ka decline rok jata hai, aur resistance level woh price level hota hai jahan par market ka upward movement rok jata hai. In levels ko identify karne se traders ko entry aur exit points decide karne mein madad milti hai.

            Technical analysis ko economic aur fundamental analysis ke sath combine karke bhi use kiya ja sakta hai. Jab technical signals fundamental factors ke sath align karte hain, toh trading decisions zyada reliable ho sakte hain.

            Technical analysis ek valuable tool hai jo market trends aur price movements ko predict karne mein madad karta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke traders technical analysis ke tools aur techniques ko samajh kar aur practice karke apni trading strategies ko enhance karein.
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            • #7 Collapse

              Technical analysis aik aisa tareeqa hai jo investors aur traders ko market trends aur price movements ka andaza laganay mein madad deta hai. Is mein historical price data, trading volume, aur other market indicators ka istimaal hota hai taake future prices ka tajziya kiya ja sake. Yeh tareeqa khas tor par stock markets, forex markets, commodities jese gold, aur crypto markets mein bohat zyada istimaal hota hai.
              Technical analysis ka basic concept yeh hai ke prices trends ko follow karti hain aur market ke historical patterns ko study kar ke future movements ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai. Is mein do key assumptions hote hain: pehla yeh ke market ke andar sab information jo available hoti hai, woh price mein already factor ho chuki hoti hai. Dusra yeh ke prices aur trading patterns tend to repeat themselves kyunki human behavior markets mein generally ek jaise patterns follow karta hai.

              Is process mein bohat si different techniques aur tools use kiye jaate hain. Sab se common aur basic tools mein price charts shamil hain, jinhon ko bar charts, candlestick charts aur line charts ke taur par use kiya jata hai. Price charts ka faida yeh hota hai ke aap easily price ki movement aur trends ko dekh sakte hain. Yeh aap ko batate hain ke kis waqt price upar ja rahi hai ya neeche aa rahi hai.

              Ek aur common tool moving averages hain. Moving averages market ki overall trend ko samajhne mein help karte hain. Jab price moving average se upar hoti hai, tou is se bullish trend ka pata chalta hai aur jab price moving average se neeche hoti hai tou bearish trend ka andaza hota hai. Is ke ilawa, exponential moving average aur simple moving average jese concepts bhi technical analysis ka hissa hain jo different time frames ke liye use hote hain.

              Indicators ka bhi technical analysis mein bohat bara role hota hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ek popular indicator hai jo ye batata hai ke market overbought hai ya oversold. Agar RSI ka value 70 ke upar ho tou is ka matlab hota hai ke market overbought hai aur price neeche aasakti hai, jab ke 30 ke neeche RSI ka value oversold market ka signal deta hai jahan price ka upper move expected ho sakta hai.

              Bohat se log technical analysis ko chart patterns ke zariye bhi samajhte hain. Head and shoulders pattern, double top aur double bottom jese patterns market reversals ko indicate karte hain. Trend lines aur support/resistance levels ka bhi bohat zyada istimaal hota hai. Trend lines se yeh pata chalta hai ke market kis direction mein move kar rahi hai, jab ke support aur resistance levels se yeh andaza hota hai ke price kis point par ruk kar ya tou upper jaayegi ya neeche.

              Fibonacci retracement ek aur important tool hai jo technical analysis mein price ki possible retracement levels ko determine karta hai. Is mein historical high aur low prices ke darmiyan certain percentages ka calculation hota hai, jese 38.2%, 50%, aur 61.8%, jo key levels ko highlight karte hain jahan price potentially reverse ya bounce kar sakti hai.

              Technical analysis ka ikhtitam risk management aur trade discipline par hota hai. Jitni bhi strategies aur tools use kiye jaayein, agar risk management ka khayal nahi rakha jaata tou trading mein success ka chances kam hote hain. Stop-loss orders, position sizing aur risk-to-reward ratio ka dhyaan rakhna bohat zaroori hota hai taake market ke unexpected moves se apne capital ko bachaya ja sake.

              Akhir mein, technical analysis aik useful tool hai lekin iska sahi istemal aur practice zaroori hai. Yeh aik 100% accurate prediction tool nahi hota, magar risk ko manage karne aur trends ko identify karne mein bohat madadgar hota hai.

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