Gold ka daur hazaron salon se qeemati cheez raha hai, jiski qeemat mukhtalif asbaab par mabni hoti hai. Jabkay iski bunyadi istemal ornamental dhaat ki tarah hota hai, lekin gold ki kam mojoodgi, istiqamat aur mehsoos ki jaanay wali qeemat ne ise afraad aur idaraton ke liye mashhoor invest karne ka intikhab banaya hai.
Economic Factors
Sab se ahem maqami factor mein se ek jo gold ki qeemat par asar andaz hota hai, woh hai mehangaai. Gold ko mehangaai ke khilaaf ek hifazati saaya maana jata hai kyun ke iski qeemat waqt ke saath apni khareedari quwat ko barqarar rakhti hai. Jab mehangaai barhti hai, fiat currencies ki qeemat kam hoti hai, jisse sona zyada kashish wala ho jata hai maal ke tor par. Aksar, jab mehangaai kam ya manfi (deflation) hoti hai, to gold ki mehangaai ke khilaaf currency ki qeemat mein kami hoti hai.
Ek aur maqami factor jo gold ki qeemat par asar dalta hai, woh hain sood dar. Ziyada sood darain gold ke ilawa doosre invest karne ke options ko zyada kashish wala bana deti hain, jo ke koi masraf nahi deta. Is se gold ki demand mein kami ho sakti hai aur iski qeemat mein girawat bhi ho sakti hai. Umumani, kam sood dar gold ko behtar alternative investment option bana sakti hai, khaas karke bonds jese kam sood dene wale assests ke muqablay mein.
Political Factors
Siyasi be-ithad aur aalmi waqiat bhi gold ki qeemat par asar andaz kar sakte hain. Siyasi be-yaqeeni ya crisis ke doran, investors aksar gold ko ek mehfooz maal ke tor par dekhte hain, kyun ke ise istiqamat aur doosre assests jese stocks aur bonds se ham asar nahi hoti hai. Is barhti hui darkhwast se gold ki qeemat barh sakti hai jabke investors apni maaliyat ko moqablay ke imkanat se bachane ki koshish karte hain.
Market-Specific Factors
Market-khaas factors jese kay supply aur demand bhi gold ki qeemat ko tay karte hain. Gold ek maqdar mein kam mojood maal hai, jiska zyadatar hissa pehle se hi nikala gaya hai. Gold ki darkhwast mein izafay ke kisi wajah se jese ke emerging markets mein sone ki zevar ki ziada darkhwast ya central bank ki zyada kharidari, supply ke rukawat se qeemat barh sakti hai. Bilkul ulta, agar sone ki darkhwast kam ho jati hai jese ke zevar ki kam darkhwast ya central bank ki kam kharidari ke asbab se, to qeemat mein ziada supply ki wajah se girawat ho sakti hai.
Ek aur market-khaas factor jo gold ki qeemat par asar dalta hai, woh hai tanqeed. Goldko aksar futures markets par trade kia jata hai, jahan tanqeeddaar mustaqbil ki qeematon ke mutaliq contracts khareed sakte hain. Ye tanqeed short-term qeemat hilchlan ko barhane mein asar andaz ho sakti hai, jo ke zaroori nahi hoti ke bunyadi maqami ya siyasi factors par mabni ho. Lekin waqt ke sath, ye tanqeeddaar hilchlan amuman khud ko durust karne ki taraf raaste mein hoti hain jab traders apni positions ko market conditions ke mutabiq tabdeel karte hain.
Historical Trends and Cycles
Gold ki qeemat ne waqt ke sath chand mozon aur maamooli rawayaat dikhaye hain. Mozon rawayat short-term qeemat hilchlan ko shamil karti hain jo ke khaas waqiat ya factors ki wajah se hoti hain jese ke mehangaai mein izafah ya siyasi crises. Maamooli rawayat lambi muddat mein hoti hain jo ke salon ya decaads tak barqarar rehti hain aur unhe bunyadi maqami ya siyasi factors ki wajah se chalaya jata hai jese ke aalmi maqami shiraa'it mein tabdili ya gold ko ek assest class ke tor par invest karne ki taraf investors ki raay mein izafah.
Ek numaya maamooli rawayat gold ki qeemat mein 1970s mein bretton woods system ke ikhtetam ke baad shuru hui jo ke major currencies aur gold ke darmiyan fix exchange rates ka tha. Ye rawayat mukhtalif factors jese ke mehangaai ke intezarat, asal sood dar mein kami, aur China aur India jese emerging markets ki taraf se izafa shamil hain. Lekin, is rawayat ko 2008-2009 ke aalmi maaliyat crisis ke doran gold ki qeemat mein tez girawat jese periods mein bhi taur parra dala gaya hai.
Economic Factors
Sab se ahem maqami factor mein se ek jo gold ki qeemat par asar andaz hota hai, woh hai mehangaai. Gold ko mehangaai ke khilaaf ek hifazati saaya maana jata hai kyun ke iski qeemat waqt ke saath apni khareedari quwat ko barqarar rakhti hai. Jab mehangaai barhti hai, fiat currencies ki qeemat kam hoti hai, jisse sona zyada kashish wala ho jata hai maal ke tor par. Aksar, jab mehangaai kam ya manfi (deflation) hoti hai, to gold ki mehangaai ke khilaaf currency ki qeemat mein kami hoti hai.
Ek aur maqami factor jo gold ki qeemat par asar dalta hai, woh hain sood dar. Ziyada sood darain gold ke ilawa doosre invest karne ke options ko zyada kashish wala bana deti hain, jo ke koi masraf nahi deta. Is se gold ki demand mein kami ho sakti hai aur iski qeemat mein girawat bhi ho sakti hai. Umumani, kam sood dar gold ko behtar alternative investment option bana sakti hai, khaas karke bonds jese kam sood dene wale assests ke muqablay mein.
Political Factors
Siyasi be-ithad aur aalmi waqiat bhi gold ki qeemat par asar andaz kar sakte hain. Siyasi be-yaqeeni ya crisis ke doran, investors aksar gold ko ek mehfooz maal ke tor par dekhte hain, kyun ke ise istiqamat aur doosre assests jese stocks aur bonds se ham asar nahi hoti hai. Is barhti hui darkhwast se gold ki qeemat barh sakti hai jabke investors apni maaliyat ko moqablay ke imkanat se bachane ki koshish karte hain.
Market-Specific Factors
Market-khaas factors jese kay supply aur demand bhi gold ki qeemat ko tay karte hain. Gold ek maqdar mein kam mojood maal hai, jiska zyadatar hissa pehle se hi nikala gaya hai. Gold ki darkhwast mein izafay ke kisi wajah se jese ke emerging markets mein sone ki zevar ki ziada darkhwast ya central bank ki zyada kharidari, supply ke rukawat se qeemat barh sakti hai. Bilkul ulta, agar sone ki darkhwast kam ho jati hai jese ke zevar ki kam darkhwast ya central bank ki kam kharidari ke asbab se, to qeemat mein ziada supply ki wajah se girawat ho sakti hai.
Ek aur market-khaas factor jo gold ki qeemat par asar dalta hai, woh hai tanqeed. Goldko aksar futures markets par trade kia jata hai, jahan tanqeeddaar mustaqbil ki qeematon ke mutaliq contracts khareed sakte hain. Ye tanqeed short-term qeemat hilchlan ko barhane mein asar andaz ho sakti hai, jo ke zaroori nahi hoti ke bunyadi maqami ya siyasi factors par mabni ho. Lekin waqt ke sath, ye tanqeeddaar hilchlan amuman khud ko durust karne ki taraf raaste mein hoti hain jab traders apni positions ko market conditions ke mutabiq tabdeel karte hain.
Historical Trends and Cycles
Gold ki qeemat ne waqt ke sath chand mozon aur maamooli rawayaat dikhaye hain. Mozon rawayat short-term qeemat hilchlan ko shamil karti hain jo ke khaas waqiat ya factors ki wajah se hoti hain jese ke mehangaai mein izafah ya siyasi crises. Maamooli rawayat lambi muddat mein hoti hain jo ke salon ya decaads tak barqarar rehti hain aur unhe bunyadi maqami ya siyasi factors ki wajah se chalaya jata hai jese ke aalmi maqami shiraa'it mein tabdili ya gold ko ek assest class ke tor par invest karne ki taraf investors ki raay mein izafah.
Ek numaya maamooli rawayat gold ki qeemat mein 1970s mein bretton woods system ke ikhtetam ke baad shuru hui jo ke major currencies aur gold ke darmiyan fix exchange rates ka tha. Ye rawayat mukhtalif factors jese ke mehangaai ke intezarat, asal sood dar mein kami, aur China aur India jese emerging markets ki taraf se izafa shamil hain. Lekin, is rawayat ko 2008-2009 ke aalmi maaliyat crisis ke doran gold ki qeemat mein tez girawat jese periods mein bhi taur parra dala gaya hai.
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