types of analysis in forex

types of analysis in forex

Types of Analysis in forex

What is analysis? Forex market main analysis ka mtlb hota ha different techniques use kar k ap market ki direction or trenda ka pata lgaty hain.profitable trader banny k lye apko market ki direction kr trend ka pata hona lazmi ha agr ap market ko bagher analyse kiye trade karty hain to apko loss hony k chances ziada hoty hain.es lye apni trades ko profitable bnany k lye apko chahye k market ko analyse karna seekhen. forex market ko analyse krny ki 3 techniques hain jo k most commonly use hoti hain aj hum un 3 techniques ko detail se discuss krn gy. Types Of analysis in Forex Three most commonly used techniques jo analysis ki hain wo darj zail hain. (i)Technical Analysis (ii)Fundamental analysis (iii)Sentiment analysis what is Technical Analysis? Technical analysis aik aisa amal hain jis main 1 free market main move karny waly trading pair ki movement ko dekha jata ha k wo kaisy begave karta ha. or es main past ki prices ka present prices py impact dkha jata ha js se future price predict ki jati ha.aksr market ko 1 chart main dekha jata ha or phr us chart k mukhtalif patterns hoty hain estrah chart patterns ko b observe kia jata ha technical analysis estrha hamen technical analysis se market ki direction or trenda ka andaza hota ha jis se hum market main achi entry le k profit gain kar skty hain. laikin akely Technical indicator se hum profitable ni ho skty hamen tamam analysis kar k 1 nateeja nkalna hota ha jski base py hum koe trade kar sken. what is Fundamental analysis? Fundamental analysis main political economical or social factors ka jo impact kisi bhi trading pair py ya overall market ly hota ha usko study kia jata ha or phr future forecast ki jati ha.technical analysis k sth sth forex market main kamyabi k lye fundamental analysis oy grip hona b lazmi ha akely na to fundamental analysis se koe kamyab hota ha na hi technical anlysis se.Fundaments ka market py bazojat high impact hota ha or market kafi volatile ho jati ha es lye fundamentals ko trade krna risky b ha or profitable bhi agr apko fundamentals ka proper knowledge ho to ap fundamentsl trade kr k acha profit le skty hain wrna ye 1 risky kam ha. for example agr USD k hawaly se koe fundamental news or USD strong hona ha to es k sth jitny bhi pair hn gy jesa k EURUSD GBPUSD XAUUSD sb USD k strong hony ki wja se down ho jaen gy estrha ap in sb pairs main achi bearish trade le skty hain.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Analysis

Analysis forex trading mein successful hone k leye aik key role play karta hai. Ye humen forex market mein bohut faida de jata hai. Jab humein Foreign exchange market ke mustaqbil ki harkat aur raaste ke bare mein peshgoi karni hoti hai, to teen ahem tareeqe hain:


Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis
Sentiment Analysis



Kuch traders zyadatar technical analysis par tawajjuh dete hain, jabke doosre fundamental ya sentimental analysis ko pasand karte hain. Forex mein in tajziyaon ke baare mein kuch maloomat rakhna, samajhna, aur inko aazmaish karne ke liye behtar hai. Niche hum teen mukhtalif tajziyaon ko mukhtalif iqsaam mein taqseem karte hain:

Technical Analysis (Takneeki Tajziya)

Technical analysis sab logon ke liye ek dilchasp intikhab hai jo Foreign exchange market mein invest karna chahte hain. Takneeki analysis ko is taur par tafseel se tajwez diya jata hai ke traders future ke prices ke trend ko peshgoi karne ke liye kis tarah ke tools ka istemal karte hain, ek price-time chart par.
Technical analysis woh patterns dekhte hain jo ek muqarrar muddat mein pehchani ja sakti hain. Jab aise ek pattern mil jata hai, to aksar asaan ho jata hai ke behtareen waqt ka intezar karein. Is tarah takneeki tajziya past data se mutalliq hoti hai aur is data par base bana kar patterns ka tajziya karne ki koshish karti hai.
Misal ke tor par, ek trend reversal ko ek bullish harkat se bearish ya ulta mein tabdeel hone ka samajha ja sakta hai. Agar ye trend apne ibtedai maqamat mein pehchana jaye, to isay short term aur long term dono mein istemaal kiya ja sakta hai. Is naye trend ki kamzori ko samajhne aur iske ulte ko istemal karne ke liye tayyar rehne ka raaz hai. Ab jab aap samajh gaye hain ke Forex mein takneeki tajziya kya hai, to chaliye dekhte hain ke is market ke tajziya ke liye kaun-kaun se tools istemal kiye ja sakte hain.

Technical Analysis Tools

Financial Market ki analysis mein, analists, traders, aur investors do asal tools par bharosa karte hain: charts aur indicators. Charts price aur volume data ki tasweer mein madad karte hain. Indicators, doosri taraf, charts mein di gayi malumat ko tajziya karne ke liye istemal hotay hain. Mil kar, charts aur indicators takneeki analysis ki bunyad banti hain.


Ab chaliye kuch technical analysis ke tools ko dekhte hain:

• Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): Ye ek aisa tool hai jo investors ke darmiyan trend aur uski taqat ko pehchanne ke liye istemal hota hai. Isme do lines hoti hain, aik signal line aur aik MACD line, jo signal line ke upar neeche chalti hai. Jab dono lines zero value ko cross karte hain, agar upar jaati hain to ye ek buy signal generate karte hain jo uptrend ki taqat ko tasdeeq karta hai; ulta agar ye neeche jaati hain to ye ek sell signal deti hain.
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): Ye mashhoor takneeki indicator hai jo ye maloom karne ke liye istemal hota hai ke kisi currency pair ka waqtan-fa-waqt zyada kharida ja raha hai ya bech diya ja raha hai. MACD ke mukhtalif hone par, ye indicator aik line par mabni hota hai jo numerical value 0 se 100 tak generate karti hai. Jab RSI 70 ke upar hoti hai, to ye ishara karta hai ke market zyada kharida gaya hai, matlab ke prices shayad bohot zyada barh gayi hain aur aik mawafiq reversal ya correction ho sakta hai. Ulti soorat mein, jab RSI 30 ke neeche hoti hai, to ye ishara karta hai ke market zyada becha gaya hai, matlab ke prices shayad bohot zyada gir gayi hain aur aik mawafiq upper reversal ya bounce ho sakta hai.
• Fibonacci: Jo ke Leonardo Fibonacci ne 13th century mein tashkeel diya, ye ek popular analysis tool hai jo traders istemal karte hain taake potential support aur resistance levels maloom kiye ja saken. Fibonacci tool ko Fibonacci ratios par base karke aik price chart par horizontal lines draw karke istemal kiya jata hai. Ye lines, jo ke Fibonacci retracement levels ke naam se mashhoor hain, potential support aur resistance areas ko identify karne mein madad karte hain, jahan price reversals ya significant price movements hone ke imkaan hote hain.
• Ichimoku: Ichimoku indicator, jo ke Ichimoku Kinko Hyo ke naam se bhi jana jata hai, Japan se aaya hua ek mashhoor analysis tool hai. Ye tool kuch lines se bana hota hai, jaise ke cloud, conversion line, aur baseline, jo buying aur selling opportunities maloom karne mein aur trend ka pata lagane mein istemal ho sakti hain. Ichimoku indicator ke zariye, aap market ke support aur resistance levels ka andaza laga sakte hain.
• Moving Averages: Ye sab se asaan takneeki tajziya ka tool hai jo trend ka rukh aur uski taqat maloom karne ke liye istemal ho sakta hai. Ye traders ko madad karta hai ke currency pair ki average price ko kisi muqarrar muddat ke doran maloom karein, jaise ke 10 din ya 50 din. Jab currency pair ki price moving average ke neeche hoti hai, to ye ek buy signal ke taur par samjhi jaati hai, jab ke jab ye price ke ooper hoti hai, to ye ek sell signal ke taur par samjhi jaati hai. Ye is wajah se hota hai ke price ek muqarrar frequency ke sath average se door aur qareeb hoti hai.
• Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands John Bollinger, aik mashhoor maali analist aur musannif, dwara banaye gaye volatility indicator hain. Ye widespread istemal hone wala analysis tool investors ko batata hai ke market mein ab kitni volatility hai. Bollinger Bands ek moving average line se bana hota hai jo beech mein hoti hai aur do bands, aik upper band aur aik lower band, jo ke moving average ke upar aur neeche hoti hain. Traders is tool ko istemal karte hain taake asset ki overbought aur oversold levels ko maloom karein aur mawafiq entry aur exit points ka faisla karein. Ye kisi bhi waqt buy aur sell signals paida karne ke liye nahi hotay.
• Stochastic Oscillator: Ye mashhoor tool price momentum ko naapne mein aur potential overbought ya oversold shiraa'itain maloom karne mein istemal hota hai. Is par amal karne ka tariqa is baat par mabni hota hai ke mojooda closing price aur diye gaye period ke highest aur lowest prices ke darmiyan mawazna karta hai. Sab se aam istemal hone wala period 14 hai, jiska matnab past 14 periods par tajziya kiya jata hai.

Technical Analysis Pros & Cons

Pros

• Objective Approach : Takneeki tajziya historical price aur volume data ka tajziya karta hai, jo ke subjective factors ke muqablay mein market ka zyada maqsadi nazariya faraham karta hai.
• Timing Entry and Exit Points : Isse patterns, trends, aur indicators par mabni trades ke liye dakhli aur nikhli points maloom karna asaan ho jata hai, jo traders ko zyada malumat aur soch samajh kar faislay karne mein madad karta hai.
• Risk Management: Takneeki tajziya ke tools stop-loss orders set karne aur risk levels maloom karne mein madad kar sakte hain, jo ke potential nuksano ko manzool aur kam karne mein madad karte hain.
• Widespread Istemal: Takneeki tajziya maaliyati industry mein widespread istemal hota hai, jisse seekhne aur istemal karne ke liye asaan hota hai, resources, tools, aur educational materials aasani se dastiyab hote hain.

Cons:

• Limited Scope: Takneeki tajziya sirf historical price data par focus karta hai, jo ke tamam fundamental factors aur market ki khabron ko shamil nahi karta, jo ke price movements par asar dal sakti hain.
• Subject to Interpretation: Mukhtalif analysts ek hi chart pattern ya indicator ko mukhtalif taur par tabeer de sakte hain, jo ke mukhtalif nateejay aur mumkin inconsistencies ka sabab ban sakti hai.
• Historical Data Limitations: Takneeki tajziya historical data par mabni hai, jo ke hamesha future price movements ko durust taur par peshgoi karne mein madad nahi kar sakta ya sudden market shifts ko shamil nahi kar sakta.
• Overcrowding aur Self-Fulfilling Speculations: Agar zyada traders ek hi takneeki indicator par bharosa karte hain, to crowded trades aur self-fulfilling prophecies, jo ke market dynamics ko mutasir kar sakti hain, paida ho sakti hain.

Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental analysis financial pehluon ko pasand karna mein famous hoti hai, inhe sirf aik pur-finance nazar se dekhte hue. Financial news, maslan, analysis karne ke liye dekhi jati hain. Is wajah se har acha fundamental analist ko maaliyati calendar ko haath mein rakhna chahiye jismein tamam deadlines shamil hain, shuruwat hoti hai U.S. aur Europe ki siyasi meetings se lekar ECB ya Federal Reserve jaise banks ke ilanat tak. Lekin behtar hai ke Asian markets ko bhi control mein rakha jaye.
In events mein kya hota hai? Yeh hota hai ke currencies beghairat taur par fluctuations ka shikar hoti hain. Misal ke tor par, jab interest rates barh jate hain, to aik currency mazboot hoti hai. Is wajah se invest karne wale aur traders ise khareedne ke zyada taur par raazi hote hain. Amuman, woh jagah pe trade karna pasand karte hain jahan unko behtareen rate milta hai, dunia bhar mein kahin bhi woh hote hain.

Fundamental Analysis Tools

Fundamental analysis ke tools ka istemal karke, aap ka maqsad hai ke aap samajhain market ke asal trends ko aur FX market mein future price movements ke baare mein peshgoi karain.

• Economic Calendar: Trader banne ke liye, aapko zaroorat hai aik aise maliyei calendar ki jisse aapko pata chale ke kis din ahem events hone wale hain, jaise ke interest rate announcements, employment reports, Nonfarm Payrolls, presidential elections, bank ke head ki taqreerain, etc. Aap is tool ka istemal kar sakte hain taa ke aap relevant events par khud ko updated rakh saken jo currency pairs ke prices par asar daal sakte hain.
• Economic Indicators: Mukhtalif isharaat, jaise ke rozgar ke figures, mahangai dar, sanati utpadan, aur retail sales, maeeshat ki sehat aur performance ke bare mein idrakat faraham karte hain. Investors in isharaat ko jhachte hain taake woh currency ki taqat ya kamzori ka andaza laga saken.
• Trading Journal: Ye khaas trading diary aik bohot ahem tool hai kyun ke ye aapko aapki saari trading activities ka hisaab rakhne mein madad karta hai. Trading journal mein aap likh sakte hain ke aapne kaun sa currency pair khareeda ya becha, aapne kitna paisa istemal kiya, aur aapne trade ko kis price par execute kiya. Trading journal is liye important hai kyun ke ye aapko aapki guzishta ghaltiyon se sabaq sikhaane mein madad karta hai aur waqt ke sath trading mein zyada kargar banne mein madad karta hai.
• News Sources: Traders various news sources ka istemal karte hain jaise ke maaliyei khabron ki websites taake woh maalumat ikhatta karsaken significant events, policy changes, geopolitical developments, aur maeeshati isharaat ke bare mein. Financial news ki taqreeb in traders ko batati hai ke ye important events hain jo seedha ya seedha FX market ko mutasir kar sakte hain.

Pros & Cons

Pros

• Holistic View: Tajaweezi tajziya maeeshati data, company financials, industry trends, aur geopolitical events jaise mukhtalif factors ko mad e nazar rakhta hai, FX market ki mukammal samajh faraham karte hue.
• Long-Term Value: Is ka tawajjuh currency pair ki asli qeemat par hota hai, taake potential long-term faiday ke liye undervalued ya overvalued trading ko pehchan sake.
• Market Context: Tajaweezi tajziya mad e nazar rakhne mein madad karta hai aur asal market ke shorat ko tajawuz karnay aur aik pair ki qeemat par asar dalnay wale asbab ko pehchanne mein madad karta hai.
• Diversification: Is ke zariye fundamental factors par mabni diverse asset classes aur industries mein tajaweez hoti hai, jo ke risk ko kam karta hai.

Cons [*] Time-Consuming: Fundamental data ki janch, data ikhatta karna, aur usay analyze karna bohot waqt lene wala kaam hai, khaas kar individual traders ke liye.[*] Subjective Factors: Kuch fundamental tajziya ke asool, jaise ke management quality ya market sentiment, subject aur interpret karne ke liye khula hai.[*] Market Inefficiencies: Tajaweezi tajziya yeh assume karta hai ke markets rational aur efficient hain, lekin haqiqatan mein, market ke reactions hamesha fundamental data ke mutabiq nahi hoti.[*] Limited Short-Term Precision: Tajaweezi tajziya lambi arziyat ke liye zyada munasib hai kyun ke mukhtalif naqaisey factors ki wajah se mukhtasir aedadi movements hote hain jo ke qabile-e peshgoi nahi hote.[/LIST]


Fundamentalfactors ko agar-cheh mad e nazar rakhna laazmi hai, lekin sirf in par bharosa karna trading ke faislay mein risk se bharpoor ho sakta hai. Tajaweez hai ke woh traders jo technical aur fundamental tajziya ke dono pehluon ko combine karte hain, woh sabse zyada kamyabi hasil karte hain.

Sentiment Analysis

Sentimental analysis (Jazbaati tajziya) ek tareeqa hai jisse logon ke jazbaat ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai. Is ka istemal kisi mawafiq mawad ke ird gird mojood jazbat ko samajhne ke liye kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh data science ka ek shoba hai jo logon ke jazbat, raye aur rawayyon ko tajziya karta hai. Is ka istemal kisi mawafiq maslehat ke bare mein group ke jazbat ka pata lagane ke liye kiya ja sakta hai.
Jab Forex (Foreign Exchange) ki baat aati hai, to samajhna bohot zaroori hai ke jazbaati tajziya kya hai aur aap ise apne faide ke liye kaise istemal kar sakte hain. Market aur trader sentiment ka tajzia karke, aap future market trends ko peshgoi kar sakte hain aur ye behtar faislay kar sakte hain ke trade kahan aur kab lagana chahiye.
Forex market sentiment ye batati hai ke traders kisi khaas currency (jaise ke US dollar) ya currency pair (jaise ke EURUSD) ke liye kis tarah ke nazariye (sentiment) mein hain. Yeh ek Forex market ki crowd psychology hai, jise pair ki harkat aur keemat ke zariye dekha jata hai.
Ab jo humne Forex trading mein jazbaati tajziya kya hai is sawaal ka jawab diya hai, chaliye dekhte hain ke kis tarah ke tools istemal kiye ja sakte hain Forex ki jazbaati tajziya ke liye.

Sentimental Analysis Tools

Yahan par sentimental analysis k hawale se kuch ooints hen, jin ki analysis zarori hai:

• Commitment of Traders (CoT Report): Isay Traders Commitment bhi kehte hain, ye haftawarana report hoti hai jo har Jumma ko jaari ki jati hai. Iski tabligh ka zimmedar Commodity Futures Trade Commission (CFTC) hoti hai. CoT report mein futures market mein kiye gaye positions ki tadad bayan hoti hai. Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke futures market aur cash market alag hote hain. Lekin, ye humein kuch currency pairs ke bare mein kafi sahi tasweer deti hai. Yani, yeh Forex market ke jazbat ko bayan karti hai.
• AII Investor Sentiment Survey: Ye ek online survey hai jo FX market mein invest kar rahe logon par kiya jata hai. Is market sentiment tool mein ek dilchaspi baat ye hai ke bade investors ise ek mukhalif raye (contrary opinion) lete hain. Saaf tor par, agar survey ke mutabiq koi pair kamzor hoga, to traders long ja consider karte hain. Analysts is survey ki base par ye shuru karte hain ke individual investors ki thori si malumat mein jo distortion hoti hai, iska kuch galat khayal hota hai. Is survey ko har haftay mein conduct kiya jata hai aur iska result bullish (tezi ki taraf), bearish (zawal ki taraf), aur neutral ho sakta hai.
• Volatility Index (VIX): Ye aik sentimental analysis ka tool hai jo S&P 500 ke large option trades mein samaiti gayi implied volatility se mutalliq hai. Is data se ye maloom hota hai ke ye Forex market par kis tarah asar dal sakta hai. Yaad rahe ke Volatility Index Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) dwara provide kiya jata hai. Is liye, ye Forex market ke jazbaati tajziya ke tools mein shamil hai. Volatility mein izafah traders ke darmiyan kisi pareshani ke sath move kar rahe hain.

Yeh zaroori hai ke ye teen sentimental analysis ke tools jo humne abhi bataye hain, ye koi khareed ya bech signal nahi hain. Aapko trend ko consolidate hone ka intezaar karna chahiye action lene se pehle.


Isi liye, hum keh sakte hain ke Forex ki sentimental analysis (jazbati tajzzeya) technical aur fundamental tajziyon ke liye ek shandar complement hai. Ye teeno Forex tajziya ke types jo mil kar kaam karte hain, woh humein un currencies ke mutalliq kafi sahi tasweer de sakte hain jin mein hum trade karna chahte hain.

Pros & Cons

Pros

• Market Insight (Market Ka Idara): Forex sentimental analysis, traders ke jama hui jazbat aur raye ka keemati insight farahem karta hai, jo market ke jazbat aur potential market direction ko samajhne mein madad karta hai.
• Contrarian Trading Opportunities (Mukhalif Trading Ke Moqaat): Sentimental analysis ke zariye, traders extreme jazbat ke levels ko pehchan kar mukhalif positions le sakte hain, jo ke extreme buland ya kam jazbat tak pahunche tofaan ya palat jane mein faida dete hain.
• Confirmation of Technical Analysis (Technical Tajziya Ki Tasdeeq): Sentimental analysis, technical tajziya ko tasdeeq ya tanazzul farahem karke market ke trends aur patterns ko samajhne mein madad kar sakta hai.
• Early Warning Signals (Pehle Hoshiyar Karnay Wale Signals): Market ke jazbat mein tabdiliyan peysh ho sakti hain jo ke market ke shift ya palat jane ki pehli alamaat ho sakti hain, jo traders ko apni positions ko mutabiq adjust karne mein madad karti hain.

• Subjectivity (Mazmoniyat): sentimental analysis, mazmoni data aur raye ko tabdeel karne mein shaamil hai, jo ke mazmoniyat aur biased hone ka bai's ban sakta hai.
• Limited Predictive Power (Mehdood Peshangoi Ki Taqat): sentimental analysis market ki harkat ko peshangoi karne ka koi akeela zariya nahi hai, aur isay doosre tajziyon ke saath istemal karna chahiye ek puri tasweer hasil karne ke liye.
• Lack of Precision (Be Khauf Taqat): sentimental analysis market ke jazbat ka ek aam manzar farahem karta hai lekin ye tijarat ke faislay ke liye mukhlis waqt ya khaas keemat nahi deta.
• Noise and False Signals (Shor aur Ghalat Signals): Market jazbat shor, tajwezati ravayyat aur short-term factors ki asar mein aakar false signals ya waqtan-fa-waqtan jazbat mein tabdili paida kar sakti hai.

Conclusion

Ye woh sawaal hai jo naye Forex traders ke liye laakhon dollar ka hai. Jab aap Forex market ke dilchasp duniya mein taraqqi karte hain, aapko technical ya fundamental Forex analysis ki taraf majboor karne wale mazboot raaye milti hai. Aap ko kuch investors milenge jo kehenge ke fundamental tajaweez behtar hai aur koi bhi chart par paya jane wala koi bhi pattern sirf ittefaqi hai. Ulta, aap ko log milenge jo kehenge ke technical analysis sab se behtar hai. In rayon mein na phasen. Dono analysis techniques mein se koi bhi aik dusre se behtar nahi hai! Ek kamyab trader banne ke liye, aapko yeh maloom hona chahiye ke aapko in teeno Forex tajziyon ko kaise mustaqil taur par istemal karna hai. Sirf aik analysis par tawajju dena aur doosre ko nazar andaz karna nuqsaan ka sabab ho sakta hai. To, behtareen mashwara yeh hai ke aapko aik intikhab nahi karna chahiye, balki aapko teeno Forex analysis techniques ka istemal karke apne liye behtareen options ka tasweer banane ke liye istemal karna chahiye.