Fundamental Analysis:

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    Fundamental Analysis:
    Fundamental Analysis:
     
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    Fundamental Analysis: Dear forex member Account aur finance mein fundamental analysis macronomic or micronomic ke different awami ki analysis ke jarie se security ki value ka andaza lagane ka 1 tarikh ka hai fundamental analysis ka basic maksad Kisi security ki andruni value ka andaza lagana hai financial market aur Forex trading Mein trading ki help ke liye uski andruni price ka mawzaNa Uske market ki maujuda price se Lagaya jata hai. Expalination: Dear forex member Fundamental analysis Ek intehaye Jamia poin view hai Jiske Liye bahut jyada accounting finance aur economics ki knowledge ki jarurat hoti hai fundamental analysis Mein economic ki basic knowledge aur uski Sath mat lo bus stop ki market ki value aur historical data ki jarurat Hoti Hai Kisi stock ya Kisi company ki historical data uski Aane Wale analysis Mein aasani ke sath sath uski behtree mein bhi important hoti hai. Up and Down: Dear forex member Fundamental analysis ya to upper sy down ya down se upper ki taraf ho sakti hai ek investor Jo upper se down ki nukte Najar ko follow karta hai economy ki overall condition ka aziya Karta Hai investor different economic amomil Jaise interest rates inflation or GDP ke levels Ka tajiya Karke economics ki overall Simat ka to in karne ki koshish karta hai aur UN Aman Ki Nishani karta hai jo sharmayakari Mein best hote hain top down approach Mein ISI pahlu ko Dekhte Hue analyst pahle market ki overall condition ko mawazna market ki best kargar Degi dekhne wale amamil se karta hai aur ismein vah muntakhib bhi karta hai. Trading With Fundamental Analysis: Dear forex member fundamental analysis Ham apni trading mein Karke acchi earning kar sakte hain fundamental analysis Hamare liye bahut jyada helpful ho sakte hain Bottom top analysis Mein invester market Ke Bade paimane per tajiya karne ki bajay pahle choty choty amamil ko Madine Najar Rakhta Hai bottom top analysis Mein invester infaradi Taur per stock ka tajiya Karte Hain Jo unke Khyal Mein yah market ke overall tajiya karne se bahut best result Deta Hai bottom top analysis basically macronomic per Markooz Hoti Hai Jaise Har EK kam Mein Infra Di Taur per behtry ke liye use Kiya jata hai
     
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    • #3 Collapse

      Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

      Fundamental Analysis


      Trading mein munafa kamane ke liye supply aur demand ke darmiyan farq ka istemaal hota hai. Ismein currency market doosre markets se kuch alag nahi hai. Investors aur traders ke mabain stocks, currencies, aur doosre financial markets ke qeemat mein hone wale tabdiliyon ko pehle se mutaaliq karne ke liye mukhtalif strategies istemaal hoti hain. Inme se sab se zyada mashhoor tajaweezat technical analysis ke tools hain. Ye tools qeemat mein hone wale tabdiliyon ke patterns ko mutaala karnay ke liye riyasati algorithms ka istemaal karte hain aur aane wale maamlat ki kisi had tak durusti ke sath numaya karte hain. Dusra tareeqa, "fundamental analysis," ko kai investors ne zyada kargar qarar diya hai, haan ke ye tareeqa mushkil hai.
      Fundamental factors vo sab kuch hain jo supply aur demand ratio ko asar andaz hone ke liye mutaharrik karte hain aur asbaab mein tabdiliyan paida karte hain:
      • Economic indicators– discount (interest) rates, GDP, inflation, waghera.
      • Political Events– elections, resignations, scandals, jang, waghera.
      • Force Majeure Situations– natural aur insani hadsat, pandemics, waghera.


      In factors ke asar ko exchange rate par dekhne ke liye ye tajaweezat istemaal hoti hain:
      1. Taqabul (Comparison):
        Asset ki harkat ko sahi se tashreef lana ke liye, alag alag mulkon ki iqtisadi indicators ka muqabla karna zaroori hai. Fundamental analysis mein, key indicators ye hai: GDP, interest rate, balance of payments aur trade, bay rozgari, industrial production index. Inki values ko alag alag mulkon mein kisi waqt mein mawafiqat dhoondh kar, aap assets ke rate par asar daalne wale trends ko pehchan sakte hain. Aur mulk ya ilaqa ki iqtisadiyon mein hone wale processes ki general direction maloom karke, aap future exchange rate ki tabdiliyon ka andaza laga sakte hain.

        Example: EUR/USD exchange rate ko U.S. Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank ke interest rates mein gehra asar hota hai. European Union ke har mulk ki bay rozgari, GDP data, aur inflation, EUR/USD currency pair ke rate par U.S. dollar ke sath asar daal sakte hain. Ye asani se EUR/USD price trend mein dekha ja sakta hai Spain aur Greece mein hone wale economic crisis ke doran. Jab aap current trend maloom karte hain, to currency ka behavior predict kar sakte hain aur iska istemal EUR/USD pair ke liye trade karne ke liye kar sakte hain.
      2. Istitara (Induction):
        Ye analysis ka tareeqa "khaas se kull" tak hota hai. Ek complex tashreef hasil karne ke liye alag alag factors ko ek saath laana aur aik mawafiq natija hasil karna. Isko statistical data ko tashreef lana mein istemaal hota hai.

        Example: "The Beige Book" - aik economic survey jo U.S. Federal Reserve System ke azaa hawale se reports ka tahlil par mabni hota hai. Ye United States ki iqtisadiyat ka hal maloom karne ke liye aham tool hai. Is document mein di jane wali malumat dollar ki volatility mein noticeable izafah kar sakti hai.
      3. Istimrar (Deduction):
        Ye analysis ka tareeqa "kull se khaas" tak hota hai. Ek asset ke exchange rate ki tareekh ko jaanch karke, uss trend ko kamzor ya ulta hone wale factors dhoondhna.

        Example: Commodities aur stock market ke asar ka AUD/USD exchange rate par asar. 2010 mein oil prices mein izafah ne U.S. stock market par negative asar dala, jisse AUD/USD currency pair mein izafah hua.
      4. Mutabiqat (Correlation):
        Currency dynamics ki tajwezat jo direct ya inverse mutabiqat rakhti hain. Jab correlation positive hoti hai, to asset rates ek hi direction mein move hote hain, jab correlation negative hoti hai - ulte direction mein. Is correlation ko maloom karke, aap market mein hone wale mumkin asarat ko predict kar sakte hain.

        Example: USD/CAD pair ka international oil prices par asar. USD/CAD rate ka oil ke rate ke sath negative correlation hota hai. Agar aap graphs ko compare karenge, to aap dekhein ge ke woh aapas mein almost mukhalif hote hain. Oil prices ko track karna USD/CAD rate ki dynamics ko predict karne mein madadgar hota hai.
      5. Giroh Bandi Aur Ijtama (Grouping And Summarizing):
        Is tareeqe se, assets ko blocks mein group kiya jata hai, aur inke liye aik aam index nikala jata hai. Iss index ki dynamics ko tamam group ke assets ke liye klid-e-bahmi samjha jata hai.

        Example: S&P Index, jo 500 select U.S. companies ki overall index hai jinke stocks major U.S. exchanges par trade hoti hain. S&P index inki total capitalization ko reflect karta hai aur U.S. ki iqtisadiyat ka important indicator mana jata hai. Iski tabdiliyan U.S. dollar exchange rate mein dikhai deti hain, jo global foreign exchange market par asar daal sakti hai.


      Fundamental Analysis Ke Behind Factors

      Fundamental analysts stock performance ko tafseeli taur par mutala karte hain. Unhe vo mukhtalif factors dekhne ko milte hain jo unhe lagta hai ke stock returns ko mutasir karte hain. Ye malumat industry ko puri tarah, competition ko, aik company ki management structure ko, uski kamai aur revenue ko, aur uski growth potential ko shaamil karte hain. Ye tamam malumat amooman company ke financial statements ke zariye asani se dastiyab hoti hain. Fundamental approach ka maqsad ye hai ke aakhir mein ye maloom kiya jaye ke market ne stocks ki sahi qeematon aur ghalat qeematon ka faisla kaise kiya hai.
      Isko behtar samajhne ke liye, aaiye ye asaan misal istemaal karte hain. Tasawwur karen ke stock market aik shopping mall hai, jahan stocks asbaab hain jo ratail dukaanon mein bechi jati hain. Nigahain sirf mall mein beche jane wale asbaab par hoti hain. Zyadatar khareedarein ghair mustaqil, jazbati qoom ke tor par bewaqoof banay jate hain jo beche jane wale asbaab ki asal qeemat ko nahi samajhte, aur maqami "arzooon" aur jazbaat par amal karte hain. Fundamental analysts behtareen deals aur offers ke liye dukaan mein geeri mein dair se ghumtay hain.
      Chaliye sochein ke dono aik personal computer ki dukaan mein dakhil hote hain. Jab crowd personal computers (PCs) ke paas se guzar jata hai, to analysts ye dekhte hain ke unho ne kya kuch bhool gaya hai. Fundamental analysts aik PC ko uske hard drive, memory cards, monitor, aur keyboard tak takseem karne ke disposal value ko maloom karne ki koshish karenge. Stock market mein, ye company ki book value ya liquidation price ka hisaab lagana ke barabar hai. Ye analysts PC ki quality par bhi bohot gehre tor par nazar dalenge. Kya yeh kaam karega ya ek saal ke andar kharab ho jayega? Fundamental analysts PC ki specifications ko nazron mein rakheinge, manufacturer ke warranties ko dekheinge, aur consumer reviews ko tajwezat ke liye dekheinge. Isi tarah, equity analysts ek company ki balance sheet ko financial strength ke liye check karenge.
      Fundamental analysts phir ye kosish karenge ke product ya stock ka asal value ya current selling price ke baghair keematiyat ka hisaab lagaya jaye. Agar sale price estimated real value se kam hai, to fundamentalists PC khareedenge. Warna, unho ne pehle se malik PCs ko bech dena ya naye khareedne se pehle prices girne ka intezar karna hoga.

      Major Economic Indicators Jo Fundamental Analysis Ko Affect Kartay Hain


      Macro iqtisadi indicators wo adad hain jo duniyawi iqtisad ko uski halat ka tasweer detay hain. Ye fundamental analysis mein kafi ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Aik macroeconomic indicator asaan alfaz mein wo taqweem hai jo dharust nashriyat hai, jo mamlakat ki maliyat aur iqtisadi halat ke asooli indices par mojood hai.
      Macroeconomic indicators ka istemal forex ya stock trading mein karna faida mand hai kyun ke her trader pehle se maloom kar sakta hai ke economic calendar ke mutabiq kis waqt konsi data jari kiya jayega. Lekin yad rakha jaye ke aise indicators sirf short term mein hi exchange rates ko asar andaz karte hain. Is liye behtar hai ke aap medium- aur short-term time frames mein trade karen, aur tamam mazeed khabron ka khayal rakhen.
      Forex market par trading ke liye kuch macroeconomic indicators ka khaas ahem role hai:
      1. Balance of Trade:
        Ye indicator export kiye jane wale maal ki miqdaar ko import kiye jane wale se mawafiq hai. Jab export import se zyada hota hai, to balance musbat hota hai. Ye situation currency ko mazbooti denay ka ishara karti hai, kyun ke zyada export, exporting region ki qoumi currency ki demand ko barhati hai.
      2. Discount Rate:
        Ye indicator region ke financial sector par sab se ahem asar daalta hai. Ye deposits aur loans par interest rates ki bunyad banata hai. Discount rate ka seedha asar bhi hota hai mulk ki iqtisadi taraqqi aur inflation par. Jab national bank rate barhta hai, to currency mazboot hoti hai, jab girta hai, to kamzor hoti hai.
      3. Gross Domestic Product (GDP):
        Ye indicator mulk ki mali halat ko as a whole darust karta hai. GDP ka volume mulk mein per capita paida kiye jane wale tamam services aur goods ko jama karke hasil hota hai. Kyun ke GDP inflation ka shikaar hota hai, isay economy ki halat ka durust reflection nahi kaha ja sakta. Lekin, GDP mein izafah hamesha doosri currencies ke khilaaf mulk ki currency ko mazbooti deta hai.
      4. Inflation:
        Is indicator mein izafah mulk ki currency ki qeemat ko ghata deta hai. Inflation ke data seedha ya alag alag components ke zariye publish hota hai: consumer aur industrial goods, utilities, aur energy.
      5. Unemployment Rate:
        Ye indicator ba izafi toqat mulk ki maliyat mein kharabi ko zahir karta hai. Mamoolan, is indicator mein izafah ke baad production mein kami, inflation mein izafah, aur trade balance mein negative tabdiliyan hoti hain. Is wajah se, unemployment ke data currencies par bohot zor daalte hain aur is indicator mein izafah exchange rate ki giravat ko paida karta hai.


      Yeh yaad rakhna ahem hai ke ye saare macroeconomic indicators ko zyada tafseel se ya thodi si mukhtalif namon mein diya ja sakta hai. Aap kisi bhi forex broker ki news feed subscribe karke regular basis par in indicators ki malumat hasil kar sakte hain.

      Fundamental Factors Ka Asar Market Par

      Fundamental indicators ka asar assets ke qeemat par do types ka hota hai.
      1. Short-term:
        Fundamental information market par kuch minutes ya ghanton tak asar daalti hai.
      2. Long-term:
        Ye type aise fundamental factors hote hain jo kisi makhsoos muddat ke liye asas hote hain, jese ke 3 se 6 mahine se lekar kuch saalon tak. Long-term forecasts ke natayej strategic positions ke liye istemal hoti hain.


      Fundamental factors ki qeemat aam taur par mulk ki iqtisadiyat ka poora haalat ya interest rate par hone wale asar ke gehrayi ke mutabiq hoti hai. Fundamental analysis karte waqt ye yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke koi bhi data hamesha relative nature ka hota hai.
      Malumat ka mutala shuru hota hai macroeconomic indicators ki ghairat aur khatam hota hai individual states, industries, aur individual firms aur enterprises ki ghairat tak pahunchte pahunchte. Dusre alfaz mein, analysis ka process am general picture se particular details ki taraf barhta hai.

      Forex Fundamental Analysis Ke Basis Principles


      Fundamental analysis macroeconomic indicators ki mutala'a par mabni hai jo hamesha currency rates par hone wale asar ko madde nazar rakhte hain. Taqweem ki durusti un trader ki conclusions par mabni hoti hai jo in indicators ki pehliyat par sahih faislay karne mein kamyabi hasil karte hain. Fundamental analysis aam taur par wohi tarajim jese ke rates par dabaav dalne wale aitrazat ka jayeza lene mein istemal hoti hai. Isi tarah, fundamental analysis market ke tabdiliyon ko paida karne walay asbabon ka mutala karta hai.
      Amali tor par, macroeconomic data aur ahem khabarain tafteesh karne mein farq hota hai. Macro iqtisadi factors news se zyada predict karne mein asaan hote hain: jese ke unemployment data, ya natural disasters ki khabarain, jo rates mein tezi se asar andaz kar sakti hain, lekin emergency ko predict karna mushkil hai.

      Fundamental analysis ke istemal ke bunyadi usoolat ye hain:
      1. Level of Influence:
        Jo cheez ka impact zyada hoga, uska asar qoumi currency par zyada hoga. For example, September 11, 2001 ke terrorist hamlay ki khabar ne dollar ko giraya, jabke kisi important index ke data ne exchange rate par kisi khaas asar ko nahi dikhaya.
      2. Duration of Effect:
        Koi trend set karne wala event kisi muddat tak hota hai. Aam taur par, ordinary news ek predicted macroeconomic indicator se kam asar andaz hoti hai. Lekin, kuch news ka khaas khayal rakhna zaroori hai. Misal ke tor par, oil exporters ka notice ke woh dollar se euro mein tabdeelat kar rahe hain, to yeh single currency ke liye demand ko barha dega, jiski wajah se ye long run mein mazbooti hasil karegi.
      3. Variability k Principles:
        Ye us asar ko bayan karta hai jo tamam significant data ke dabav mein trend ki jild mein izafah hai. Jese ke Greece ki economic mushkilat ki report ne Euro ko giraya, lekin kuch ghanton baad region ko ek bari loan ki manzoori ke baray mein khabar ne rate ko ulat karne mein madad ki.


      Har khabar ko mukhtalif hawale se dekha jata hai mulk ke khaas haalaat ke mutabiq. Misal ke tor par, Japan, jo EU aur U.S. ke liye aik bara supplier hai, uski currency ki tezi se girawat se nuksan nahi hoga, kyun ke sasti currency se maal ki demand barhegi, jo ke phir use mazbooti dene wali hai. Aise halat mein, short-term sell orders aur long-term buy orders, jo ke lazmi tor par hone wale hain, lagaye jate hain.

      Final Thought


      Forex market ke liye fundamental analysis ke tajaweez ko economic calendar ke saath istemal karke duniyawi market par hone wale processes ko behtar samajhna mumkin hai. Isi wajah se mahir traders aksar jald baazi ki strategies se inkaar karte hain aur woh long-term investments ki taraf murna pasand karte hain, jo fundamental analysis ke tajaweez par mabni hoti hain, aur in se woh khaas maali nataij hasil karte hain.



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