What is volatility?

What is volatility?

Aslam u alaikum dosto What is volatility Utar charhao aik di gayi security ya market index ke liye munafe ki baazi ka shmaryati pemana hai. ziyada tar mamlaat mein, utaar charhao jitna ziyada hoga, security itni hi ziyada khatarnaak hogi. utaar charhao ko aksar mayaari inhiraf ya isi security ya market index se wapsi ke darmiyan farq se mapa jata hai. sikyortiz marketon mein, utaar charhao aksar dono simtao mein barray jhoolon se munsalik hota hai. misaal ke tor par, jab stak market mein izafah hota hai aur aik mustaqil muddat mein aik feesad se ziyada gir jata hai, to usay ghair mustahkam market kaha jata hai. qeematon ka taayun karne ke ikhtiyarat ke muahiday ke waqt asasa ki utaar charhao aik ahem Ansar hai Key takeaways utaar charhao is baat ki numaindagi karta hai ke kisi asasa ki qeematein ost qeemat ke gird kitni barri hoti hin- yeh is ke munafe ke phelao ka shmaryati pemana hai. utaar charhao ki pemaiesh karne ke kayi tareeqay hain, Bashmole beta option praysng models, aur return ke mayaari inhiraf. utaar charhao walay asason ko aksar kam ghair mustahkam asason se ziyada khatarnaak samjha jata hai kyunkay qeemat kam mutawaqqa honay ki tawaqqa hai. Muzmer utaar charhao is baat ka andaza lagaata hai ke market kitni utaar charhao ka shikaar ho gi jabkay tareekhi utaar charhao pehlay se tay shuda muddat ke douran qeematon mein tabdeelion ki pemaiesh karta hai. ikhtiyarat ki qeematon ka hisaab laganay ke liye utaar charhao aik ahem mutaghayyar hai . Understanding of volatility Utaar charhao aksar ghair yakeeni sorat e haal ya security ki qader mein tabdeelion ke size se mutaliq khatray ki miqdaar ko kehte hain. ziyada utaar charhao ka matlab yeh hai ke security ki qader mumkina tor par qadron ki aik barri range mein phail sakti hai. is ka matlab hai ke security ki qeemat kisi bhi simt mein mukhtasir waqt ke douran dramayi tor par tabdeel hosakti hai. kam utaar charhao ka matlab yeh hai ke security ki qader mein dramayi tor par utaar charhao nahi aata hai, aur yeh ziyada mustahkam hota hai. asasay ke tagayur ko maapnay ka aik tareeqa yeh hai ke asasay ke rozana ki wapsi ( rozana ki bunyaad par feesad ki muntaqili ) ki miqdaar durust ki jaye. tareekhi utaar charhao tareekhi qeematon par mabni hai aur kisi asasay ke munafe mein tagayur ki degree ki numaindagi karta hai. How to calculate volatility Yeh number unit ke baghair hai aur usay feesad ke tor par zahir kya jata hai. is soorat mein, ki qadron ko ghanti ke munhani khutoot par tasadeeqi tor par taqseem nahi kya jata hai. balkay. woh yaksaa tor par taqseem kar rahay hain. lehaza, mutawaqqa feesad barqarar nahi hain. is had ke bawajood, tajir aksar mayaari inhiraf ka istemaal karte hain, kyunkay qeemat wapas karne walay data set aksar di gayi misaal ke muqablay mein aam ( ghanti vicar ) taqseem se ziyada mushabihat rakhtay hain. qeematein tasadeeqi tor par aik aam taqseem se namona jati hain, phir tamam data ki qadron ka taqreeban 68 % aik mayaari inhiraf ke andar girna. pichanway feesad data ki qadren do mayaari inhiraf ( hamari misaal mein ke andar ayen gi, aur tamam eqdaar ka teen mayaari inhiraf ) ke andar aaye gi .

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Volitilety

Volatility, kisi asset ki daam mein samay ke saath kitni tezi ya gati hoti hai, ka ek measurement hai. Iska calculation asset ke returns ka standard deviation se hota hai. Jitni zyada volatility hogi, utni zyada tezi se asset ki value badal sakti hai, jabki kam volatility wale assets ki qeemat mein kam change hote hain. Volatility ko effect karne wale kai factors hote hain, jaise:

• Economic factors: Economic factors jaise interest rates, mahangai, aur economic growth, sabhi asset ki volatility par asar dalte hain. For example, agar interest rates badh rahe hain, toh investors share bechne ke liye zyada tayyar ho sakte hain, jisse volatility badh sakti hai.
• Political factors: Political factors jaise election, war, aur natural disasters bhi asset ki volatility par asar dal sakte hain. For example, agar koi jang ho raha hai, toh investors share bechne ke liye zyada tayyar ho sakte hain, jisse volatility badh sakti hai.
• News events: Earnings reports, product recalls, aur mergers and acquisitions jaise news events bhi asset ki volatility par asar dal sakte hain. For example, agar koi company announce karti hai ki woh apna ek product recall kar rahi hai, toh investors us company ke share ko bechne ke liye zyada tayyar ho sakte hain, jisse volatility badh sakti hai.
• Technical factors: Trading volume aur price trends jaise technical factors bhi asset ki volatility par asar dalte hain. For example, agar trading volume zyada hai, toh iska matlab hai ki us asset mein zyada interest hai, jisse volatility badh sakti hai.

Volitilety Calculation

Forex market ki volatility ko mukhtalif tariqon se calculate kya jata hai, jismain sab se aam tariqa standard deviation ka istemal karke historical volatility ko calculate karna hai. Yahan forex volatility ka calculation kaise kya ja sakta hai, is ka aam jayeza diya gaya hai:

• Historical price data ko collect karen: Apni analysis ke liye chahie currency pair ke liye kafi historical price data collect karen. Ye data relevant time period ko cover karna chahiye aur past prices ki series include honi chahiye.
• Returns ko calculate karen: Historical price data ke based periodic returns calculate karen. Returns ko logarithmic ya arithmetic difference between consecutive prices ke taur par calculate kar sakte hain, jo price mein percentage change ko represent karte hain.
• Average return ko calculate karen: Sabhi returns ko sum karke aur total returns ki number se divide karke average return ko find karen.
• Deviations ko calculate karen: Average return se har individual return ko subtract karke deviations ko calculate karen.
• Deviations ko square karen: Har deviation ko square karke negative values ko eliminate karen aur bade deviations ko emphasize karen.
• Variance ko calculate karen: Sabhi squared deviations ko sum karke aur deviations ki total number se divide karke variance ko find karen.
• Standard deviation ko calculate karen: Variance ka square root nikalke standard deviation ko calculate karen. Ye volatility ka measure hota hai.
• Volatility ko annualize karen: Calculate kiye hue standard deviation ko periods ki number ke square root se multiply karke volatility ko annualize karen.

Volitilety ko Manage karna

Volatility ko manage karne ke kai tareeke hote hain, jaise:

• Diversification: Diversification ek aisa tareeka hai jahan aap alag-alag assets mein invest karte hain. Isse aap apne paise ko alag-alag assets mein batakar risk ko kam kar sakte hain, kyunki sabhi assets ek hi disha mein move nahi karte.
• Hedging: Hedging ek aisa tareeka hai jahan aap ek maujooda position ke viprit position lekar risk ko kam karte hain. For example, agar aapke paas ek volatile stock hai, toh aap us stock par ek put option khareed sakte hain. Isse aapko nuksaan se bachane ke liye stock ko ek pehle se tay kiye gaye price par bechne ka adhikar mil jata hai, agar stock ki daam ghat jati hai.
• Stop-loss orders ka istemal karna: Stop-loss orders woh orders hote hain jo ek asset ko khud-ba-khud bech dete hain, agar uski daam kisi pehle tay kiye gaye level se niche gir jati hai. Isse aapko nuksaan ko limit karna mein madad milti hai, agar kisi asset ki daam tezi se ghat jati hai.
• Trailing stop-loss orders ka istemal karna: Trailing stop-loss orders woh orders hote hain jo ek asset ko khud-ba-khud bech dete hain, agar uski daam kisi pehle tay kiye gaye level se niche gir jati hai, lekin us level ko asset ki daam tezi se badhti hai. Isse aapko asset ki daam badhti hui aur profit ki taraf lock karna mein madad milti hai.

Volitilety Risk

Volatility investors ke liye kuchh riske bhi lekar aati hai, jaise:

• Losses: Agar kisi asset ki daam tezi se ghat jati hai, toh volatility nuksaan ka kaaran ban sakti hai.
• Unrealized gains: Volatility ki wajah se asset ki daam tezi se badh sakti hai, lekin phir woh daam aap use bechne se pehle wapis niche aa jati hai, jisse asamapt labh ka samna karna pad sakta hai.
• Fear and greed: Volatility investors ko bhay aur lobh mein daal sakti hai, jisse galat nivesh nirnay liye ja sakte hain.

what Is Volatility in Forex? asason ki qeemat mein tabdeeli ko utaar charhao kaha jata hai. aik makhsoos muddat ke douran, yeh iftitahi aur ikhtitami qeematon ke darmiyan farq ka hisaab lagaata hai . aik currency jora jo 5 aur 10 pips ke darmiyan mukhtalif hota hai, misaal ke tor par, 50 aur 100 pips ke darmiyan ghoomnay walay se kam utaar charhao wala hota hai . agar aap ghhor se dekhen to aap dekh satke hain ke kuch aur currency ke imtezaaj doosron ke muqablay ziyada ghair mustahkam hain. aap ko" mehfooz panah gaahon ki currency" ke fiqray se waaqif hona chahiye, jo kisi had tak Amrici dollar, soys frank aur japani yan se morad hai . tark lira, miksikn peso, hindustani rupiya, aur thai ghair mulki aur taraqqi Pazeer market currency ke joron ki misalein hain jo mehfooz panah gaahon ki krnsyon se ziyada utaar charhao ka shikaar nazar aati hain . Why is Volatility important in market? qeemat ki naqal o harkat ki had, qata nazar is se ke aap usay kya kehte hain ( ghair yakeeni sorat e haal, utaar charhao, utaar charhao, waghera ), marketon ki tijarat ka aik laazmi jazo hai . jab koi utaar charhao nahi hota hai to qeemat mein koi tabdeeli nahi hoti hai. mazeed bar-aan, qeematon ki naqal o harkat ke baghair tijarti sargarmi mumkin nahi hogi . yaad rakhnay ki ahem baat yeh hai ke marketon ko achi terhan se kaam karne ke liye, kuch had tak utaar charhao hona chahiye. taham, taajiron ke liye mushkil is waqt peda hoti hai jab utaar charhao bohat ziyada barh jata hai . aap ko yeh samjhna chahiye ke kon si doosron ke muqablay ziyada ghair mustahkam hoti hain aur agar aap forex tridr hain to utaar charhao kab barhta hai . What causes market Volatility of Currency pairs? market ke mahireen is baat se ittafaq karte hain ke mojooda aalmi mandiyon ki noiyat baahum munsalik tijarat, maloomat aur muwasilat ke baghair kisi rukawat ke bahao, aur social media aur digital technology ke phelao ki wajah se un dinon har tajir ke zehen mein market mein utaar charhao ziyada hai . aayiyae chand ka jaiza letay hain jo utaar charhao mein hissa daaltay hain aur aap ki fx trading par assar daal satke hain . utaar charhao ke bunyadi zaraye mein se aik jaanghein ( fouji hamlay ), baghawatain, ****daat aur deegar qisam ke shehri khlfshar hain. yeh is haqeeqat ki wajah se hai ke jab ke market mein utaar charhao ki aik khaas miqdaar zaroori hai, aik mustaqil aur aala satah . Conclusion maliyati mandiyon ki tijarat karte waqt samajhney ke liye sab se ahem khayalat mein se aik utaar charhao hai. sarmaya car is jumlay ko yeh samjhay baghair bhi istemaal kar satke hain ke is ka kya matlab hai ya kis terhan utaar charhao wali markitin amli tor par kaam karti hain. is post ko parhnay ke baad aap ab poori terhan samajh gaye hain ke utaar charhao kaisay kaam karta hai aur usay kamyabi se tijarat kaisay karna hai .

1. Pehchaan: Volatility kya hai? - Volatility forex mein aik term hai jo price movements ki darja ya sharah ko bayan karta hai. - Ye bataata hai ke market kitna tez tareen tareeqay se price change kar sakta hai. - Volatility high ya low hosakti hai, aur iska tajurba yaqeenan traders ke liye ahem hai. 2. Wajohaat: Volatility ke wajohaat kya hoti hain? - Economic indicators: Jab koi important economic data release hota hai, jaise GDP numbers, employment reports, ya interest rate decisions, toh market volatility badh sakti hai. - Geopolitical events: Political instability, wars, natural disasters, ya international conflicts, in sab cheezon se market volatility kaafi had tak mutassir ho sakti hai. - Market sentiment: Jab traders ki jamaat mein uncertainty, fear, ya greed barhti hai, toh volatility increase ho sakti hai. 3. Tasawwur: Volatility ko samajhna kyun zaroori hai? - Risk management: Volatility ko samajh kar traders apni positions aur risk management strategies tayyar kar sakte hain. - Trading opportunities: High volatility wale samay mein, traders jald-baazari aur profit kamane ke liye koshish kar sakte hain. - Market analysis: Volatility ko samajhna market analysis ke liye bhi zaroori hai. Isse technical analysis aur price patterns par asar hota hai. 4. Tashkil: Volatility kaise measure ki jati hai? - ATR (Average True Range): ATR forex market mein volatility measure karne ke liye aam istemaal hone wala indicator hai. Ye price ki range ya movement ko calculate karta hai. - Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands bhi volatility ko measure karne ke liye istemaal kiye jate hain. Jab bands expand hoti hain, toh volatility increase hoti hai, aur jab bands contract hoti hain, toh volatility kam hoti hai. 5. Asar: Volatility ka kya asar hota hai? - Spread: High volatility mein spreads widen ho sakte hain, jisse trading cost increase ho jata hai. - Slippage: Volatile market mein price execution mein deri ya difference ho sakta hai, jise slippage kehte hain. - Stop Loss: Agar volatility bohat high ho, toh stop loss orders execute honay mein mushkil ho sakti hai, aur stop loss levels cross ho sakte hain. 6. Upyog: Volatility ka sahi tareeqay se upyog kaise karein? - Risk management: Volatility ko samajh kar apni trading strategy aur risk management plan ko adjust karein. - News and events: Important news aur events se mutassir hone se pehle, apni positions ko protect karne ke liye precautions len. - Volatility-based strategies: Kuch traders high volatility mein breakout aur momentum strategies istemaal karte hain, jinse short-term profits hasil kar sakte hain.

INTRODUCTION OF VOLATILITY IN FOREX. FOREX (Yaani Foreign Exchange) ek global decentralized market hai, jahan currencies (mudraayein) trade hoti hain. Yahan par currencies ek dusre ke saath exchange ki jaati hain. Forex market mein traders currencies ko khareedte hain aur bechte hain, taa ke unhein profit ho sake.Volatility, kisi bazaar ya market mein harkat ki darjat aur up-down ki muddat ko darshata hai. Forex market mein volatility ka matlab hai ki currencies ki keemat mein tezi ya mandi kitni tezi se aur kis had tak ho sakti hai. Volatility higher ya lower ho sakti hai, aur yeh traders ke liye opportunities aur challenges dono pesh karti hai. Volatility ki wajah kai factors ho sakte hain. Yeh samanya taur par economic, geopolitical, aur market-related events se prabhavit hoti hai. Kuch common factors volatility ko influence karte hain FOREX VOLATILITY INDICATOR. Economic indicators jaise GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation rates currency pairs ki volatility ko prabhavit karte hain. Agar ek desh ke economic indicators unexpected ya contradictory hote hain, toh volatility badh sakti hai. Political instability, wars, elections, aur international conflicts bhi volatility ka karan ban sakte hain. Jab bhi kisi desh ya region mein aisi ghatnaayein hoti hain, toh currencies affected hote hain aur volatility badhti hai. Investor aur trader sentiment bhi volatility ko influence karta hai. Agar market mein fear, uncertainty, aur risk-taking sentiment zyada hai, toh volatility bhi zyada hoti hai. Volatility Forex traders ke liye opportunities aur risks dono lekar aati hai. Agar traders volatility ko samajh lete hain, toh woh isse fayda utha sakte hain. Kuch points volatility ke impact ko samajhne mein madad karte hain: VOLATILITY STRATEGIES IN FOREX TRAIDING. 1. Trading Opportunities: Volatile market mein traders short-term price movements se fayda utha sakte hain. Agar traders volatility ki expectations ke basis par trade karte hain, toh unhein short-term profits mil sakte hain. 2. Risks: Volatility achanak badh sakti hai, jisse unexpected losses bhi ho sakte hain. High volatility wale samay mein market mein liquidity kam ho sakti hai, jisse stop-loss orders execute nahi ho paate hain. Yeh traders ke liye risk factor ban sakta hai. 3. Risk Management: Volatility se nipatne ke liye risk management strategies ka istemaal kiya jaata hai. Traders stop-loss orders aur take-profit orders ka istemaal karke apne trades ki risk ko kam karte hain. Volatility ko samajhna ek acchi trading strategy banane ka ek important hissa hai. Kuch traders volatility-based indicators aur technical analysis ka istemaal karte hain, taa ke price movements ke predictions banaye ja sakein.

Forex Trading Volatility Forex trading main volatility ka lafz aam tor par istemal hota hai jo kisi financial market ya instrument main price movement ki intensity ya variability ko dekhata hai. Ye price movement high ya low ho sakti hai or forex traders ke liye khatarnak hoti hai. Is main hum forex trading main volatility ke bare mein tafseel se baat karenge. What is Volatility Forex market jisy bazaar-e-malkiyat ka bada hissa bhi kaha jata hai duniya bhar main har roz karodo dollars ki currencies ki trading karne ka platform hai. Forex market ka mahaul hamesha taiz hota hai, aur yahan traders currencies ke pairs jaise USD/JPY, EUR/USD, ya GBP/USD mein trading karte hain. Market mein har samay price movement hoti rehti hai aur yeh volatility ke roop mein jhalakti hai. Volatility forex market main kuch mukhtalif karanon ki wajah se utpann hoti hai, jaise economic indicators, monetary policies, geopolitical events, aur market sentiments. Ye factors market mein uncertainty aur price fluctuations ko paida karte hain, jiski wajah se traders ko profit ya loss ho sakta hai. Volatility types Forex market main do types ki volatility hoti hai. historical volatility or implied volatility. Historical Volatility: Ye volatility past price data par mushtamil hoti hai. Ismein traders past price movements ko analyze karke volatility ko samajhte hain. Historical volatility ko calculate karne ke liye commonly istemal ki jane wali technique standard deviation hoti hai. Isse traders ko market ki tarah ki future volatility ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai. Implied Volatility: Ye volatility options trading ke liye dangerous hoti hai. Ismein traders options ki prices se implied volatility ko nikalte hain. Implied volatility future expectations aur market participants ke behavior ke aadhar par calculate ki jati hai. Isse traders ko market ki expectations aur sentiment samajhne mein madad milti hai. Volatility Ka Asar Forex Traders Par Forex traders ke liye volatility ek double-edged talwar ki tarah hai. Isse trading opportunities aur risks dono hote hain. Neeche kuch points diye gaye hain jo volatility ke asar ko samajhne mein madad karenge: Trading Opportunities: High volatility wale samay mein price movement zyada hoti hai, jiski wajah se traders ko trading opportunities milte hain. Ye opportunities short-term trading strategies aur price fluctuations ko exploit karne ke liye istemal kiye ja sakte hain. Risk Management: Volatility ke saath trading karne ka kharcha risk management ka dhyan rakhna hota hai. Volatile market mein price sudden aur unexpected tarike se badal sakti hai, jiski wajah se traders ke liye risk badh jata hai. Stop-loss aur take-profit orders ki sahi istemal volatility se hone wale nuksan ko control karne mein madad karte hain. Trading Strategy: Forex traders ko apni trading strategy ko volatility ky through manage karna hota hai agar es mai thody sy bhi up and down ho jain tu ap ko loss ka samna karna par sakta hai es liye sab sy volatility ko achy tariqy sy manage karna lazmi hai .

Jitni zyada volatility hogi, utni zyada tezi se asset ki value badal sakti hai, jabki kam volatility wale assets ki qeemat mein kam change hote hain. Volatility ko effect karne wale kai factors hote hain, jaise:

• Economic factors: Economic factors jaise interest rates, mahangai, aur economic growth, sabhi asset ki volatility par asar dalte hain. For example, agar interest rates badh rahe hain, toh investors share bechne ke liye zyada tayyar ho sakte hain, jisse volatility badh sakti hai.
• Political factors: Political factors jaise election, war, aur natural disasters bhi asset ki volatility par asar dal sakte hain. For example, agar koi jang ho raha hai, toh investors share bechne ke liye zyada tayyar ho sakte hain, jisse volatility badh sakti hai.
• News events: Earnings reports, product recalls, aur mergers and acquisitions jaise news events bhi asset ki volatility par asar dal sakte hain. For example, agar koi company announce karti hai ki woh apna ek product recall kar rahi hai, toh investors us company ke share ko bechne ke liye zyada tayyar ho sakte hain, jisse volatility badh sakti hai.
• Technical factors: Trading volume aur price trends jaise technical factors bhi asset ki volatility par asar dalte hain. For example, agar trading volume zyada hai, toh iska matlab hai ki us asset mein zyada interest hai, jisse volatility badh sakti hai.

Volitilety Calculation

Forex market ki volatility ko mukhtalif tariqon se calculate kya jata hai, jismain sab se aam tariqa standard deviation ka istemal karke historical volatility ko calculate karna hai. Yahan forex volatility ka calculation kaise kya ja sakta hai, is ka aam jayeza diya gaya hai:

• Historical price data ko collect karen: Apni analysis ke liye chahie currency pair ke liye kafi historical price data collect karen. Ye data relevant time period ko cover karna chahiye aur past prices ki series include honi chahiye.
• Returns ko calculate karen: Historical price data ke based periodic returns calculate karen. Returns ko logarithmic ya arithmetic difference between consecutive prices ke taur par calculate kar sakte hain, jo price mein percentage change ko represent karte hain.
• Average return ko calculate karen: Sabhi returns ko sum karke aur total returns ki number se divide karke average return ko find karen.
• Deviations ko calculate karen: Average return se har individual return ko subtract karke deviations ko calculate karen.
• Deviations ko square karen: Har deviation ko square karke negative values ko eliminate karen aur bade deviations ko emphasize karen.
• Variance ko calculate karen: Sabhi squared deviations ko sum karke aur deviations ki total number se divide karke variance ko find karen.
• Standard deviation ko calculate karen: Variance ka square root nikalke standard deviation ko calculate karen. Ye volatility ka measure hota hai.
• Volatility ko annualize karen: Calculate kiye hue standard deviation ko periods ki number ke square root se multiply karke volatility ko annualize karen.[IMG]https://investsocial.com/ur/image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAxwAAAHACAMAAAA fup5HAAABoVBMVEUAAAAzmf 1FAAA3wDc3AAAAHRAQEB0AHS/v7 QkJC/// VAQDzkkMAANy/dABISAAASHTf399IAAAgICC/nEjMZpmAgIBInN////8pAK1RDr9IAEj/AAD/zJmZzP //78AAEjMzMwgAIqcSAAAZszfv3RIAHT/AEMQEBDJNhJvb2/6tPBmZszv7 9/f39gYGCcv5z//8x0AAD/v3QAM8zf35yAAIAzMzOcnEj6AABISJzcZkNmzP90AEhwcHDM////bbQzZsyc378AAID1bQDBJgdHCL3/Q5KcSEhQUFCcSHSlBwD8ktPw8NN0nJyZM5m/3/8jAKbv1sYAdL///9 3GACPj48yALVIdHT4QwD//7/AAAAhAJwAAJnw8LScnHT/37/1tG2wAAD/ /B0SJyfn58ASJyvr6//AG0zAJnf// myvDMAAD18PB0dEhIdL8A/wDfnEic3/84Abf40/CZAAB0SAD/35ytDgDwtG3MzP90v/ 8HQLHMRAgAJVBBbzw05JXEsDdaUrgAACqCQC6GgGgBQA9ArvDK QrfcE6 IQXJDuGSAAAlnElEQVR42u2djZ/cxlnHpwGryrUcyEt9k0QtXpKG7RbtErvtkkKSgkvLkpaSnLuhb lqgZb2pwcA5mHM5 uI2NaV/NfMmaaSVtCPt6P33 9h7K600q5Wer57nmRnNEAJBI9GdkiKEQtDgJcw8bfwfo/Tdv6CfvvPKa196hX386Tt3 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Volitilety ko Manage karna

Volatility ko manage karne ke kai tareeke hote hain, jaise:

• Diversification: Diversification ek aisa tareeka hai jahan aap alag-alag assets mein invest karte hain. Isse aap apne paise ko alag-alag assets mein batakar risk ko kam kar sakte hain, kyunki sabhi assets ek hi disha mein move nahi karte.
• Hedging: Hedging ek aisa tareeka hai jahan aap ek maujooda position ke viprit position lekar risk ko kam karte hain. For example, agar aapke paas ek volatile stock hai, toh aap us stock par ek put option khareed sakte hain. Isse aapko nuksaan se bachane ke liye stock ko ek pehle se tay kiye gaye price par bechne ka adhikar mil jata hai, agar stock ki daam ghat jati hai.
• Stop-loss orders ka istemal karna: Stop-loss orders woh orders hote hain jo ek asset ko khud-ba-khud bech dete hain, agar uski daam kisi pehle tay kiye gaye level se niche gir jati hai. Isse aapko nuksaan ko limit karna mein madad milti hai, agar kisi asset ki daam tezi se ghat jati hai.
• Trailing stop-loss orders ka istemal karna: Trailing stop-loss orders woh orders hote hain jo ek asset ko khud-ba-khud bech dete hain, agar uski daam kisi pehle tay kiye gaye level se niche gir jati hai, lekin us level ko asset ki daam tezi se badhti hai. Isse aapko asset ki daam badhti hui aur profit ki taraf lock karna mein madad milti hai.

Volitilety Risk

Volatility investors ke liye kuchh riske bhi lekar aati hai, jaise:

• Losses: Agar kisi asset ki daam tezi se ghat jati hai, toh volatility nuksaan ka kaaran ban sakti hai.
• Unrealized gains: Volatility ki wajah se asset ki daam tezi se badh sakti hai, lekin phir woh daam aap use bechne se pehle wapis niche aa jati hai, jisse asamapt labh ka samna karna pad sakta hai.
• Fear and greed: Volatility investors ko bhay aur lobh mein daal sakti hai, jisse galat nivesh nirnay liye ja sakte hain.

Iska calculation asset ke returns ka standard deviation se hota hai. Jitni zyada volatility hogi, utni zyada tezi se asset ki value badal sakti hai, jabki kam volatility wale assets ki qeemat mein kam change hote hain. Volatility ko effect karne wale kai factors hote hain, jaise:

• Economic factors: Economic factors jaise interest rates, mahangai, aur economic growth, sabhi asset ki volatility par asar dalte hain. For example, agar interest rates badh rahe hain, toh investors share bechne ke liye zyada tayyar ho sakte hain, jisse volatility badh sakti hai.
• Political factors: Political factors jaise election, war, aur natural disasters bhi asset ki volatility par asar dal sakte hain. For example, agar koi jang ho raha hai, toh investors share bechne ke liye zyada tayyar ho sakte hain, jisse volatility badh sakti hai.
• News events: Earnings reports, product recalls, aur mergers and acquisitions jaise news events bhi asset ki volatility par asar dal sakte hain. For example, agar koi company announce karti hai ki woh apna ek product recall kar rahi hai, toh investors us company ke share ko bechne ke liye zyada tayyar ho sakte hain, jisse volatility badh sakti hai.
• Technical factors: Trading volume aur price trends jaise technical factors bhi asset ki volatility par asar dalte hain. For example, agar trading volume zyada hai, toh iska matlab hai ki us asset mein zyada interest hai, jisse volatility badh sakti hai.

Volitilety Calculation

Forex market ki volatility ko mukhtalif tariqon se calculate kya jata hai, jismain sab se aam tariqa standard deviation ka istemal karke historical volatility ko calculate karna hai. Yahan forex volatility ka calculation kaise kya ja sakta hai, is ka aam jayeza diya gaya hai:

• Historical price data ko collect karen: Apni analysis ke liye chahie currency pair ke liye kafi historical price data collect karen. Ye data relevant time period ko cover karna chahiye aur past prices ki series include honi chahiye.
• Returns ko calculate karen: Historical price data ke based periodic returns calculate karen. Returns ko logarithmic ya arithmetic difference between consecutive prices ke taur par calculate kar sakte hain, jo price mein percentage change ko represent karte hain.
• Average return ko calculate karen: Sabhi returns ko sum karke aur total returns ki number se divide karke average return ko find karen.
• Deviations ko calculate karen: Average return se har individual return ko subtract karke deviations ko calculate karen.
• Deviations ko square karen: Har deviation ko square karke negative values ko eliminate karen aur bade deviations ko emphasize karen.
• Variance ko calculate karen: Sabhi squared
• Sabhi squared deviations ko sum karke aur deviations ki total number se divide karke variance ko find karen.
• Standard deviation ko calculate karen: Variance ka square root nikalke standard deviation ko calculate karen. Ye volatility ka measure hota hai.
• Volatility ko annualize karen: Calculate kiye hue standard deviation ko periods ki number ke square root se multiply karke volatility ko annualize karen.
  Volitilety ko Manage karna
  Volatility ko manage karne ke kai tareeke hote hain, jaise:
  • Diversification: Diversification ek aisa tareeka hai jahan aap alag-alag assets mein invest karte hain. Isse aap apne paise ko alag-alag assets mein batakar risk ko kam kar sakte hain, kyunki sabhi assets ek hi disha mein move nahi karte.
  • Hedging: Hedging ek aisa tareeka hai jahan aap ek maujooda position ke viprit position lekar risk ko kam karte hain. For example, agar aapke paas ek volatile stock hai, toh aap us stock par ek put option khareed sakte hain. Isse aapko nuksaan se bachane ke liye stock ko ek pehle se tay kiye gaye price par bechne ka adhikar mil jata hai, agar stock ki daam ghat jati hai.
  • Stop-loss orders ka istemal karna: Stop-loss orders woh orders hote hain jo ek asset ko khud-ba-khud bech dete hain, agar uski daam kisi pehle tay kiye gaye level se niche gir jati hai. Isse aapko nuksaan ko limit karna mein madad milti hai, agar kisi asset ki daam tezi se ghat jati hai.
  • Trailing stop-loss orders ka istemal karna: Trailing stop-loss orders woh orders hote hain jo ek asset ko khud-ba-khud bech dete hain, agar uski daam kisi pehle tay kiye gaye level se niche gir jati hai, lekin us level ko asset ki daam tezi se badhti hai. Isse aapko asset ki daam badhti hui aur profit ki taraf lock karna mein madad milti hai.
  Volitilety Risk
  Volatility investors ke liye kuchh riske bhi lekar aati hai, jaise:
  • Losses: Agar kisi asset ki daam tezi se ghat jati hai, toh volatility nuksaan ka kaaran ban sakti hai.
  • Unrealized gains: Volatility ki wajah se asset ki daam tezi se badh sakti hai, lekin phir woh daam aap use bechne se pehle wapis niche aa jati hai, jisse asamapt labh ka samna karna pad sakta hai.
  • Fear and greed: Volatility investors ko bhay aur lobh mein daal sakti hai, jisse galat nivesh nirnay liye ja sakte hain.

Market min Volatility ka kia Role hy ziyada tar mamlaat mein, utaar charhao jitna ziyada hoga, security itni hi ziyada khatarnaak hogi. utaar charhao ko aksar mayaari inhiraf ya isi security ya market index se wapsi ke darmiyan farq se mapa jata hai. sikyortiz marketon mein, utaar charhao aksar dono simtao mein barray jhoolon se munsalik hota hai. misaal ke tor par, jab stak market mein izafah hota hai aur aik mustaqil muddat mein aik feesad se ziyada gir jata hai, to usay ghair mustahkam market kaha jata hai. utaar charhao ki pemaiesh karne ke kayi tareeqay hain, Bashmole beta option praysng models, aur return ke mayaari inhiraf. utaar charhao walay asason ko aksar kam ghair mustahkam asason se ziyada khatarnaak samjha jata hai kyunkay qeemat kam mutawaqqa honay ki tawaqqa hai. Muzmer utaar charhao is baat ka andaza lagaata hai ke market kitni utaar charhao ka shikaar ho gi jabkay tareekhi utaar charhao pehlay se tay shuda muddat ke douran qeematon mein tabdeelion ki pemaiesh karta ha Explanation Aur calculates krny ka trika kia hy ziyada utaar charhao ka matlab yeh hai ke security ki qader mumkina tor par qadron ki aik barri range mein phail sakti hai. is ka matlab hai ke security ki qeemat kisi bhi simt mein mukhtasir waqt ke douran dramayi tor par tabdeel hosakti hai. kam utaar charhao ka matlab yeh hai ke security ki qader mein dramayi tor par utaar charhao nahi aata hai, aur yeh ziyada mustahkam hota hai. ki qadron ko ghanti ke munhani khutoot par tasadeeqi tor par taqseem nahi kya jata hai. balkay. woh yaksaa tor par taqseem kar rahay hain. lehaza, mutawaqqa feesad barqarar nahi hain. is had ke bawajood, tajir aksar mayaari inhiraf ka istemaal karte hain, kyunkay qeemat wapas karne walay data set aksar di gayi misaal ke muqablay mein aam ( ghanti vicar ) taqseem se ziyada mushabihat rakhtay hain. qeematein tasadeeqi tor par aik aam taqseem se namona jati hain, phir tamam data ki qadron ka taqreeban 68 % aik mayaari inhiraf ke andar girna. pichanway feesad data ki qadren do mayaari inhiraf ( hamari misaal mein ke andar ayen gi, Risk mnagement of volatility aap alag-alag assets mein invest karte hain. Isse aap apne paise ko alag-alag assets mein batakar risk ko kam kar sakte hain, kyunki sabhi assets ek hi disha mein move nahi karte.jahan aap ek maujooda position ke viprit position lekar risk ko kam karte hain. For example, agar aapke paas ek volatile stock hai, toh aap us stock par ek put option khareed sakte hain. Isse aapko nuksaan se bachane ke liye stock ko ek pehle se tay kiye gaye price par bechne ka adhikar mil jata hai, agar stock ki daam ghat jati hai.Stop-loss orders woh orders hote hain jo ek asset ko khud-ba-khud bech dete hain, agar uski daam kisi pehle tay kiye gaye level se niche gir jati hai. Isse aapko nuksaan ko limit karna mein madad milti hai

Assalam o alaikum member Kaisy Hain ap sub... Umeed krta houn ap sub kheriyat sy houn gy to AJ main jis topic py Bat Karny ja rha houn wo hai volatility...... What Is Volatility? Utaar charhao aik Di gai security ya market index k liye munaafa ki baazi Ka shumariyati paimana hai .. ziyda tar mamlat main , utar charhao jitna ziyda Hoga , security itni hi ziyda khatarnaak ho gi .. utar charhao KO aksar miyari inhiraaf ya isi security ya market index sy wapsi k darmyaan farq sy mapa jata hai ..... Securities markets main utar charhao aksar dono Simton main barhy jhoolon sy munsalik Hota hai... Misal k tor par, jab stock market main izaafa hota hai or aik mustaqil muddat main aik feesad sy ziyda gir jata hai, to isy ghair mustahkam market Kaha jata hai , qeematon Ka tayyan Karny k ikhtiyaraat k muahidy k wqt asasa ki utar charhao aik aham Ansar hai .... Understanding Volatility Utar charhao aksar ghair yaqeeni sorat e hal ya security ki qadar main tabdeelion k size sy mutaliq khatry ki miqdaar KO kehty Hain .. ziyda tar utar charhao Ka mtlb ye hai k security ki qadar mumkina tor par qadron ki aik barri range main phail skti hai .. iska mtlb hai k security ki qeemat ksi b simat main mukhtasar wqt k doraan dramai tor par tabdeel ho skti hai . Kam utar charhao Ka mtlb ye hai k security ki qadar main dramai tor par utar charhao nhi Ata, or ziyda mustahkam hota hai.... Asasa k taghairat ki pymaish Karny Ka aik tareeqa Asasa k rozana mi wapsi ( rozana ki bunyaad par feesad ki muntaqili) ki miqdaar durust krna hai .. tareekhi utar charhao tareekhi qeematon par mabni hai or ksi asasy k munafa main taghair ki digree ki tumaindagi krta hai . Ye number unit k baghair hai or isy feesad k tor par Zahir Kiya jata hai .... Jab k taghair aam tor par ksi asasy k wast k ird gird wapsi k phailao KO pakarta hai , utar charhao is taghair Ka aik pymana hai Jo wqt ki aik makhsoos muddat sy munsalik Hota hai, is tarha hum roza k utar charhao, hafta war , mahana, ya salana utar charhao ki itlaa dy skty Hain . Lihaza utar charhao KO salana miyari inhiraaf k tor par sochna mufeed hai.... How to Calculate Volatility Utar charhao Ka hissab aksar taghair or miyari inhiraaf ka istimaal krty huye Kiya jata hai .. choonky utar charhao aik makhsoos muddat main honey wali tabdelion KO bayan krta hai . Ap sirf miyari inhiraaf KO laity Hain or is ki zair e behas waqfoon ki tadad k murabba sy Zarab daity Hain vol = σ√T Kahan: V= wqt k Kuch waqfy par utar charhao σ= wapsion Ka miyari inhiraaf T= wqt k ufaq main adwar ki tadad sadgi k liye Farz karain k hmry pas mahana stock ki qeematyn 1 $ sy 10$ tak Hain , misal k tor par 1$ , dosra mahina 2$ , etc... Taghair Ka hissab lagany k liye zail k 5 marahil par Amal karain .. 1. Data set Ka mtlb talash karain .. is Ka mtlb hai k aik qadar KO shamil krna or phr isy qadron ki tadad sy taqseem krna agar hum 1$ plus 2$ plus 3$ KO 10$ tak shamil krty Hain to hmy 55$ Milty Hain . Is KO 10 sy divide Kiya jata hai q k hamry data set main 10 number hoty Hain ...ye 5.5$ ki oost, ya oost qeemat faraham krta hai . 2. Har data value ki oost k darmyaan farq Ka hissab lgain. Is aksar inhiraaf Kaha Jata hai , misal k tor par hum, 10$- 5.50$= 4.50$ , phr 9$- 5.50$ = 3.50$ laity Hain , ye 1$ ki pehli data value tak jaari rehta hai. Manfi numbers ki ijaazat hai , choonky hmy har aik qadar ki zaroorat hai , is liye ye hisabat aksar spreadsheet main kiye Jaty Hain ... 3. Inhiraafat KO murabba karain .. is sy manfi iqdar khtm ho Jain gy ....... 4. murabba inhiraafat KO aik sath shamil karain . Hamri missal main ye 82.5 k Barabar Hain 5. Murabba inhiraaf (82.5) k majmoaa KO data ki qadron ki tadad sy divide karain.........

volatility ka lafz aam tor par istemal hota hai jo kisi financial market ya instrument main price movement ki intensity ya variability ko dekhata hai. Ye price movement high ya low ho sakti hai or forex traders ke liye khatarnak hoti hai. Is main hum forex trading main volatility ke bare mein tafseel se baat karenge.utaar charhao is baat ki numaindagi karta hai ke kisi asasa ki qeematein ost qeemat ke gird kitni barri hoti hin- yeh is ke munafe ke phelao ka shmaryati pemana hai. utaar charhao ki pemaiesh karne ke kayi tareeqay hain, Bashmole beta option praysng models, aur return ke mayaari inhiraf. utaar charhao walay asason ko aksar kam ghair mustahkam asason se ziyada khatarnaak samjha jata hai kyunkay qeemat kam mutawaqqa honay ki tawaqqa hai. Muzmer utaar charhao is baat ka andaza lagaata hai ke market kitni utaar charhao ka shikaar ho gi jabkay tareekhi utaar charhao pehlay se tay shuda muddat ke douran qeematon mein tabdeelion ki pemaiesh karta hai. ikhtiyarat ki qeematon ka hisaab laganay ke liye utaar charhao aik ahem mutaghayyar hai . ziyada utaar charhao ka matlab yeh hai ke security ki qader mumkina tor par qadron ki aik barri range mein phail sakti hai. is ka matlab hai ke security ki qeemat kisi bhi simt mein mukhtasir waqt ke douran dramayi tor par tabdeel hosakti hai. kam utaar charhao ka matlab yeh hai ke security ki qader mein dramayi tor par utaar charhao nahi aata hai, aur yeh ziyada mustahkam hota hai. ki qadron ko ghanti ke munhani khutoot par tasadeeqi tor par taqseem nahi kya jata hai. balkay. woh yaksaa tor par taqseem kar rahay hain. lehaza, mutawaqqa feesad barqarar nahi hain. is had ke bawajood, tajir aksar mayaari inhiraf ka istemaal karte hain, kyunkay qeemat wapas karne walay data set aksar di gayi misaal ke muqablay mein aam ( ghanti vicar ) taqseem se ziyada mushabihat rakhtay hain.