dow theory in forex trading

Dow theory in forex trading

Dow theory in Forex Trading dow theory aik maliyati theory hai jo kehti hai ke agar is ki ost mein se koi aik ( maslan sanati ya naqal o hamal ) pichlle ahem oonchai se barh jaye aur is ke sath ya is ke baad doosri ost mein isi terhan ki paish qadmi ho to market aik oopar ki taraf rujhan mein hai. misaal ke tor par, agar dow ​​jones industrial average ( djia ) darmiyani oonchai par charh jata hai, to aik sarmaya car oopar ke rujhan ki tasdeeq karne ke liye dow jones transportation average ( djta ) ki charhai ko dekh sakta hai. dow theory aik takneeki frame work hai jo pishin goi karta hai ke agar is ki ost mein se koi aik Sabiqa oonchai se oopar jati hai, is ke sath ya is ke baad doosri mutaliqa ost mein isi terhan ki paish qadmi hoti hai. nazriya ki paish goi is tasawwur par ki gayi hai ke market har cheez ko chhuut deti hai, jo ke mo-asar market ke mafroozay ke mutabiq hai. is terhan ke namoonay mein, market ke mukhtalif asharion ko qeemat ki karwai aur hajam ke patteren ke lehaaz se aik dosray ki tasdeeq karni chahiye jab tak ke rujhanaat ulat nah jayen . How the Dow theory workdow theory ke chay ahem ajzaa hain 1..... market har cheez ko chhuut deta hai. dow theory mo-asar market mafroozay ( emh ) par kaam karti hai, jis mein kaha gaya hai ke asason ki qeematein tamam dastyab maloomat ko shaamil karti hain. kamaai ki salahiyat, musabiqati faida, intizami tam awamil aur bohat kuch ki qeemat market mein rakhi jati hai, chahay har koi un mein se tamam ya koi bhi tafseelaat nah jaanta ho. is nazriya ki mazeed sakht parhnay mein, mustaqbil ke waqeat ko bhi khatray ki soorat mein riayat di jati hai. 2.. . market ke rujhanaat ki teen bunyadi aqsam hain. markets bunyadi rujhanaat ka tajurbah karti hain jo aik saal ya is se ziyada chal satke hain, jaisay bail ya reechh ki market. wasee tar rujhanaat ke andar, sanwi rujhanaat choti harkatein karte hain, jaisay bail market mein wapsi ya reechh ki manndi mein yeh sanwi rujhanaat chand hafton se chand mah tak reh satke hain. aakhir mein, mamooli rujhanaat chand dinon se chand hafton tak reh satke hain. un chhootey utaar charhao ko market ka shore samjha jata hai. 3.... . bunyadi rujhanaat ke 3 marahil hotay hain. dow theory ke mutabiq, bunyadi bail aur reechh ke rujhanaat teen marahil se guzarte hain. bail market ke marahil yeh hain : jama honay ka marhala : hajam mein izafay ke sath sath qeematein barh jati hain. awaami shirkat ( ya bara iqdaam ) marhala : khorda aur ost sarmaya car oopar ki taraf rujhan ko mehsoos karna shuru kar dete hain aur is mein shaamil hotay hain — aam tor par, yeh sab se taweel marhala hota hai. izafi marhala : market aik aisay maqam par pahonch jati hai jahan tajurbah car sarmaya car aur tajir apni pozishnon se bahar niklana shuru kar dete hain jab ke ziyada ost sarmaya kaari karne wali abadi apni pozishnon mein izafah karti rehti hai. reechh ki manndi ke marahil yeh hain : taqseem ka marhala, jahan kami ki khabrain mukhtalif channels ke zariye sarmaya car baradri mein taqseem hona shuru ho jati hain. awaami shirkat ka marhala : bail market mein shirkat ke marhalay ki mukhalfat karta hai — ost aur khorda sarmaya car nuqsanaat ko kam karne ke liye stock farokht kar rahay hain aur position se bahar nikal rahay hain. aik baar phir, yeh aam tor par sab se taweel marhala hai. ghabrahat ( ya mayoosi ) ka marhala : sarmaya karon ne tasheeh ya mukammal ulat jane ki tamam umeeden kho di hain aur pemanay par farokht jari hai . Basic principle of the Dow theory 1 ost har cheez ko chhuut dete hain kyunkay woh hazaron ki mushtarqa sar garmion ki akkaasi karte hain, agar lakhoon nahi to taajiron, qiyaas aarai karne walon, aur sarmaya karon ki aik waqt mein. infiradi stock ki qeemat har is cheez ki akkaasi karti hai jo is ke baray mein maloom hai. jaisay hi nai maloomat aati hain, market ke shurka maloomat ko taizi se phela dete hain aur qeemat is ke mutabiq adjust ho jati hai. is terhan, har maloom aur paish e nazar waqea mein riayat di jati hai, jaisa ke har woh shart hai jo infiradi stock ki talabb aur rasad ko mutasir kar sakti hai. 2 market teen rujhanaat par mushtamil hai. stock market mein kisi bhi waqt, teen quwaten assar andaaz hoti hain : bunyadi rujhan, sanwi rujhanaat, aur mamooli rujhanaat. bunyadi ya ahem rujhan jo aam tor par kam az kam aik saal tak rehta hai kayi saloon tak jari reh sakta hai. yeh rujhan aam tor par kam az kam 20 % ki qeemat ki harkat, oopar ya neechay ke liye zimma daar hota hai. primaray trained mein sanwi rujhan se khlal parta hai jo primaray trained ke khilaaf harkat karta hai aur usay durust karne ke liye jab yeh bohat ziyada barh jata hai .

Dow theory in forex trading:

Dow Theory Introduction: Dow Theory ka tareekhi background 19th century ki American stock market se shuru hota hai. Charles Dow, jo ki Wall Street Journal ke founder thay, ne apni aik series of articles mein market analysis ke liye ek framework develop kiya tha. Unhon ne market trends aur price movements ke patterns ke upar research kiya aur un patterns ko explain kiya. Is research aur analysis ki base pe Dow Theory develop hui jo aaj bhi stock market analysis ke liye ek important tool hai. Dow Theory Forex Trading k Principles: Dow Theory Forex Trading ki bunyad Charles Dow k 6 principles par rakhi gayi hai. Ye principles stock market k liye banaye gaye thay, lekin ab ye forex market k liye bhi lagu kiye jate hain.Dow Theory Forex Trading k 6 Principles:

1. Market Trend:Dow theory k mutabiq market trend 3 tarah k hote hain: primary trend, secondary trend aur minor trend. Primary trend boht lambe time k liye hota hai aur is trend k khilaf trade karna nuqsaan deh hota hai.
2. Market Movements:Market movements mein 3 phases hoti hain: accumulation phase, public participation phase aur distribution phase. Accumulation phase mein prices stable hote hain jabkay public participation phase mein prices mein izafa hota hai. Distribution phase mein, prices girne lagte hain.
3. Price Action:Dow theory k mutabiq price action aisi information provide karta hai jo technical indicators se nahi milti. Price action ki madad se traders market trends ka andaza lagate hain.
4. Volume:Dow theory mein volume ko boht ahem samjha jata hai. Jab volume high hota hai to ye price trends ka confirmation deta hai.
5. Market Corrections:Dow theory k mutabiq market mein corrections aksar primary trend ki opposite direction mein hoti hain. Ye corrections short term hote hain aur primary trend se related hote hain.
6. Confirmation:Dow theory mein confirmation ka boht ahem role hai. Ek signal ko confirm karne k liye traders ko multiple indicators ka use karna hota hai.Dow Theory Forex Trading k liye boht ahem hai kyun k is theory ki madad se traders market trends ko samjh sakte hain aur apni trades ko accordingly adjust kar sakte hain. Ye theory market movements ko samajhne mein madad deti hai aur traders ko trades ki direction ka andaza lagane mein help karti hai.

Dow Theory Support and Resistance:Dow Theory mein support aur resistance ke concept bohat ahmiyat rakhte hain. Ye concept market trends aur price movements ko analyze karne mein traders ko help karte hain.Support level ek aisa level hota hai jahan price ka decline ruk jata hai aur market buyers ko attract karta hai. Is level par traders long positions lena shuru karte hain, kyunki wo support level ke baad price ke further increase ka expectation rakhte hain.Resistance level ek aisa level hota hai jahan price ka increase ruk jata hai aur market sellers ko attract karta hai. Is level par traders short positions lena shuru karte hain, kyunki wo resistance level ke baad price ke further decrease ka expectation rakhte hain.Dow Theory ke mutabiq, market trends ko analyze karne ke liye support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar price support level se upar jaye to ye bullish trend ka indication deta hai aur traders ko long positions lena chahiye. Agar price resistance level se neeche jaye to ye bearish trend ka indication deta hai aur traders ko short positions lena chahiye.Isi tarah se, support aur resistance levels ke breakouts aur bounces ko observe karna market trends aur price movements ko analyze karne mein traders ko help karta hai. Dow Theory Confirmation: Dow Theory mein, confirmation ka concept bahut important hai. Iska matlab hai ke ek trend ko confirm karna zaroori hai, taake traders is trend ka sahi tarah se faida utha saken. Confirmation ke liye, price movements ko closely observe kiya jata hai, jis mein chart patterns, trend lines aur technical indicators ka use kiya jata hai.Iske alawa, Dow Theory mein trend ko confirm karne ke liye volume ka bhi bohat ahem role hai. Agar trend ke sath sath volume bhi increase ho raha hai, to is se trend ka confirm signal milta hai. Lekin agar volume trend ke sath nahi badh raha hai, to ye false signal ki waja ban sakta hai.Dow Theory ke mutabiq, jab kisi trend ko confirm karna ho, to kuch rules ko follow karna chahiye, jaise ke trend ke sath price movement, volume aur chart patterns ki observation, taake traders ko sahi signal mil sake. Dow Theory Criticism: Dow Theory ki tarjumani mein kuch logon ne tanqeed ki hai. Unki tanqeedon mein se kuch darj zail hain:

1. Asbaat ka Ghalat Istemaal: Kuch logon ka kehna hai ke Dow Theory mein support aur resistance ki asbaat ka ghalat istemaal kiya jata hai. Kyun ke market ki halat ki wajah se, support aur resistance ki asbaat bhi badal sakti hain. Isliye, unki istemaal mein koi had hoti hai.
2. Trend Lines ki Qawiyaat: Dow Theory mein trend lines ki qawiyaat aur iss se banai jane wali trading strategy pe bhi tanqeed hai. Kyun ke trend lines ke banne ki soorat mein, kuch dafa jhooti asbaat bhi shamil ho jati hain.
3. Time Lag: Dow Theory ki sab se bari tanqeed ye hai ke iski information milne mein waqt ka bohat ziyada lag jata hai. Yeh taqreeban 6 mahine tak ka waqt bhi ho sakta hai.
4. Ek Mukhtalif Trend ka Honay ka Imkan: Kuch logon ke mutabiq, Dow Theory mein ek mukhtalif trend ka honay ka imkan bhi hai, jis ki wajah se traders ko confusion ho sakta hai.
5. Technical Indicators ki Kami: Dow Theory ko follow karne se traders ko technical indicators ki kami ka bhi samna karna par sakta hai. Technical indicators trading decisions ko lene mein bohat ahem kirdar ada karte hain.

Tanqeed ke bawajood, Dow Theory ab bhi bohat ziyada istemaal ki jati hai aur traders iska istemaal kar ke successful trading decisions lete hain. Conclusion:Dow Theory aik mufeed theory hai jo forex trading mein istemal kya jata hai. Is theory ki bunyadi baat ye hai keh share market mein price ki movement patterns ka analysis karna, future predictions ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Is theory ka concept Charles Dow ne develop kya tha aur ab ye bohat zyada traders aur investors mein popular hai.Dow Theory ke mutabiq, support aur resistance levels ke sath price action ka analysis karna, forex trading mein successful honay ka aik asan tareeqa hai. Is ke sath hi, trend ki tasdeeq bhi important hai, jis se aap market ki movement patterns ko samajh saktay hain aur future price movements ka andaza laga saktay hain.Lekin is theory ko criticize bhi kya jata hai, kyun ke is ke predictions hamesha accurate nahi hotay aur market ki movement patterns ka andaza laganay mein ghalati ho sakti hai. Is ke sath hi, is theory ka istemal bohat mushkil hota hai, kyun ke market ki complex movement patterns ko samajhna aur interpret karna asaan nahi hota.Aakhir mein, Dow Theory forex trading mein aik valuable tool hai, jis ke zariye aap market ki movement patterns ko samajh saktay hain aur future price movements ka andaza laga saktay hain. Lekin is ke istemal se pehle, traders ko is theory ki sahi samajh honi chahiye, taa ke wo is ka sahi istemal kar saken.