Trading Pairs main Majors Trading Pairs ka Role

Trading Pairs main Majors Trading Pairs ka Role

Dear Forex Members Jab ap apni trading ka aghaz karty hain tu ap kay pas kafi zaida major or exotic pairs be aty hain. Ap jab apny majors pairs mai woh pairs chose kar laity hain jo ap apny trading pairs main knowledge naih rahkty hain. tu woh ap chose na karain or na he exotic pairs chose karain. Ap apny trading main woh pairs chose karain jis mai ap ko experience ho or ap ko pata ho kay kis kay analysis or un ki trade ko kaisy handle karna hai yeh sub ap ko ata ho. Ap apny pairs mai just woh he pairs add karain jis ki ap ko knowledge ho. ap ko pata ho kis tarha kay fundamental analysis or un ki news ati hai or khas pairs mai just ap kay pas major pairs hony cheye es ka faida ap ko yeh hota hai ap asani sy in kay analysis kar sakty hain or apni trade sy ap aik acha profit be earn kar sakty hain. Shukriya.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Pairs Trading

Pair trading wo ideal strategy hai jo ek trader ko izafi faida hasil karne mein madad kare, chahe market gir rahi ho ya barh rahi ho. Is tarah ki trading systems ko arbitrage trading systems kehte hain. Reality mein arbitrage aur statistics arbitrage mein farq hota hai. Aur jabke pehli cheez bohot kam logon ke liye mawjood hai, doosri har trader ke liye mumkin hai.
Pairs trading ek statistical arbitrage ki strategy hai jismein ek trader do financial assets ko ek saath trade karta hai. Ye financial assets kisi khaas tarah se ek dosre se mutassil hote hain.
Pairs trading mein do mutassil currency pairs ko trade karna hota hai aur jab instruments ke prices alag hojate hain toh us farq se faida kamana hota hai. Ye kaun kaun se pairs correlated kehlayenge?
Correlated currency pairs woh hote hain jo ek dosre ke saath ek hi raaste mein chalte hain. Jaise ke agar ek pair ki keemat badh rahi hai, to doosra pair bhi usi waqt mein izafi izafa dikhayega. Jab ek ghatne lagta hai, to doosre ka bhi qeemat kam hoti hai. Amal mein, aisi koi mukammal mutassili correlation nahi hoti. Kabhi kabhi pairs asynchronized taur par harkat karna shuru hojate hain. Ye trader ka kaam hota hai ke waqt par is asynchrony ka pata lagaye aur market mein dakhil ho.
Pairs trading ki strateegi ki bunyad statistics data par mabni hoti hai. Is par aik qaul par mabni hai - agar financial instruments ki keematein peechle maayenay ke mutabiq chali hain, to future mein woh dobara milke aik hi raaste par chalengi. Matlab agar waqtan-fa-waqt correlated pairs ki keematein alag hojati hain, to kuch arsa baad keematien phir se hamwar hojayengi.
Ek misal currency pairs ki correlation ki neeche AdroFx broker platform par dikhaya gaya hai. Euro-dollar aur pound-dollar ke charts ek hi tarah se move karte hain.
Woh correlation jab pairs ek hi raaste mein chal rahe hote hain, usay positive correlation kehte hain. Ek doosre qisam ka correlation bhi hota hai jisme financial instruments ka ulta asar hota hai. Is case mein jab ek currency pair ki keemat badhti hai, doosre ki gir jati hai. Aise aapas mein mukhlisat ko negative correlation kehte hain. Is hub mein dollar-franc pair ka chart euro-dollar ke chart ka aaina hai.

Pairs Trading Aur Regular Trading Mein Kya Difference Hai

Aam trading mein (yaani ke maamooli assets ki khareed o farokht mein), trade ki maali natijaat ke baray mein ye depend hota hai ke keemat ki manzil ki taraf future mein rukh kaisa hoga: agar keemat barhegi to hum kamayenge, agar keemat giregi to hum nuksan uthayenge. Is case mein, trend ke sahi se peshgoi karne ke alawa, humein ek sahi tajwez bhi chahiye ke keemat mein mumkin hone wale sudhar ka andaza laga sakein takay position ki qeemat ko sahi se hisaab se calculate kiya ja sake aur high volatility ki wajah se position ko bahut ziada nuksan hone se bachaya ja sake. Yeh kisi bhi asan kaam nahi hai...
Market ki taraf ka rukh pairs trading mein kam ahmiyat rakhta hai compared to linear trading, kyun ke yahan zyada ahmiyat price ki rukh par nahi hai, balki asets ke darmiyan hone wale farq par hai.
Ye basic asset (agar hum ise linear trade mein lein to), aam tor par kisi had tak harkat nahi karta, yani ke wo na ke barh sakta hai (laa intehai) aur na ke ghat sakta hai (zero tak). Jabke interrelated assets ke darmiyan price imbalance limits hoti hain aur inka asaan taur par pehchan ke liye inke darmiyan hue spread ki dynamics par mabni hai. Ye wazeh hai ke market mein bilkul koi bhi surat e haal hosakti hai, kisi ko bhi 100% koi ghaarat nahi milta! Lekin ye baat saaf hai ke spread ka maximum deviance ek ziada mutakallim value hai compared to underlying asset ke mutalliq mumkin hone wale tabdeeli.
Ye toh ye nahi ke pairs trading nuksan se bachane ka totka hai jese ke sab kuch bohot asaan hai. Lekin yahan nuksan mein jane ki imkaan bohot kam hoti hai compared to linear trading. Spreads ki surat e haal spot market ke normal se zyada dheere se develop hoti hai aur isme time mein ek faida hota hai, aaram se soch sakte hain aur tezi se badhti ke asarat ki wajah se panick mein nahi parh sakte.
Pairs trading ka combination line chart ke taur par trade hota hai, lekin isme chart ki kam volatility aur technicality, sath hi mukhlisat aur oversold areas ko line chart ke mukabley behtar samajhne mein madad milti hai, jisse pairs trading zyada tasalli aur zehmat e nafs se hojata hai aur ye zyada munafa ka ummed rakhta hai.

Stock Exchange Assets Ki Correlation

Stock assets ki correlation ek sector ya do stocks ke price movements ke darmiyan hoti hai jo ek hi economy ke sector se ya phir indices, futures, options, investment funds jese doosre asset classes ke saath hoti hai. Assets hamesha ek hi economy ke sector mein aani chahiye. Do stocks ke darmiyan ki jane wali correlation ko aik lambi muddat mein, maheenon ya salon mein nikaala jata hai. Do exchange-traded assets ke darmiyan ki jane wali correlation ko Pearson correlation coefficient se napna jata hai. Is index ki calculation mein average statistical deviations ko madde nazar rakha jata hai jo spread ke dynamics ko dekhte waqt aati hain. Is index ki values ek se lekar minus ek ke darmiyan hoti hain (+100% -100%). Jab index ki values 0.7 (70%) se zyada hoti hain, to assets ki correlation ko strong mana jata hai. 0.4 se lekar 0.7 ke darmiyan wazeh karti hai aur kam se kam 0.4 ke darmiyan hone wale values weak correlations ko darust karti hain. Negative values inverse dependence ko darust karti hain. Exchange-traded assets ke darmiyan correlation ki pehchan humein trading mein istemal karne mein madad karta hai. Diversification ek risk management strategy hai. Investment portfolio banane mein high correlation wale stocks ko shaamil karne se portfolio ko diversify kiya ja sakta hai.
Negative correlation wale assets ko shaamil karke hedging hasıl ki ja sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, bond market stock market ke sath negative correlation rakhti hai, is liye investors stock aur bonds ko portfolio mein current market conditions ke hisab se moassar ratio mein shaamil karte hain. Stock aur bonds ki aam ratio portfolio mein 70% se 30% hoti hai. Agar market ki halat mein tabdili aati hai, central bank ki mudawlati policy tabdeel hoti hai, ya koi aur wakaat mulk ki currency rate ya market activity ko asar daalte hain, to investor stock aur bonds ki ratio tabdeel kar sakta hai. Market mein istehqaq e raftar se high-risk assets se low-risk assets mein capital nikalne ka asar hota hai; phir portfolio mein bonds ki volume barh jati hai aur stocks ki volume ghat jati hai. Various instruments ke darmiyan taalluqat ki dynamics ko dekhte waqt, investment portfolio ko adjust aur trading tactics ko foran tabdeel karne ki imkaan hoti hai. Ye trader ka kaam indicators ke bina hota hai.
Pairs trading mein assets ka chunao karte waqt, trader wo instruments dhoondhta hai jo aitihasik tor par mazboot correlation rakhte hain. Kisi moqa par mamooli correlation ka asar hota hai, toh wahan price movement ka ikhtitam (spread) hota hai. Assets ke movement ki tareekh ko madde nazar rakhte hue ye keh sakte hain ke prices future mein phir se pehle wale correlation par lautenge. Is liye woh asset khareedta hai jo keemat giri hai aur woh asset bechta hai jo keemat badi hai. Trading pairs mein, spread trade hota hai - instruments ke ikhtitam ka farq. Yahan ye nahi hota ke akhri instrument kis raaste par gaya, balki zyada zaroori hota hai ke spread zero par laut jaye. Aik mazboot correlation ka tajurba AMAT aur TER technology sector ke stocks ke darmiyan dikha gaya hai. Applied Materials (AMAT) aur Teradyne Inc (TER) semiconductor products mein mahir hain aur NASDAQ index ka hissa hain. AMAT ka market capitalization TER ke muqable mein paanch guna ziada hai.
Charts ko mawafiqat se talaash karne par ye pata chalta hai ke ye assets ek saath move hote hain. Agar inhe ek chart par rakhain toh aksar waqt wo lagbhag barabar hote hain, khaas karke woh isi price category mein trade hote hain, 0.97 correlation coefficient itni buland correlation ki bohot achi misal hai. Is indicator ke liye pairs trading ki madad ho sakti hai.
TradingView platform par aap stocks ke pairs ka spread plot kar sakte hain. Spread ko calculate karne ke liye do options hoti hain - farq ya nisbat. AMAT aur TER ke darmiyan farq ko plot karne ke liye, AMAT, space, "-" sign, space, aur TER ko asset selection window mein chunain.
Kisi waqt par, stock prices ulat chalne lagte hain - AMAT badhne lagta hai, aur TER girne lagta hai, wala haal ke is doraan woh joro ka tha, inke charts aapas mein almost milte julte hote hain, khaas karke woh isi price category mein trade hote hain, 0.97 correlation coefficient itni buland correlation ki bohot achi misal hai. Is indicator ke liye pairs trading ki madad ho sakti hai.
TradingView platform par aap stocks ke pairs ka spread plot kar sakte hain. Spread ko calculate karne ke liye do options hoti hain - farq ya nisbat. AMAT aur TER ke darmiyan farq ko plot karne ke liye, AMAT, space, "-" sign, space, aur TER ko asset selection window mein chunain.
Kisi waqt par, stock prices ulat chalne lagte hain - AMAT badhne lagta hai, aur TER girne lagta hai, wala haal ke is doraan woh joro ka tha, inke charts aapas mein almost milte julte hote hain, lekin tab tak woh kaafi friendly the, unke charts ek saath move karte the. Is liye AMAT shares bechi jati hain aur TER kharidi jati hai. Trade tab khatam hoti hai jab charts phir se mil jate hain. Spread ikhtitam mein badal sakta hai, assets ki ek hi rukh mein movement ke case mein, inme se aik bas doosre se tez gati se barh raha hota hai, apne peer ko peechay chhodte huye. Trade ka asool waisa hi rehta hai - oversold instrument ko khareedna aur overbought instrument ko bechna.
Is tarah se, pairs trading ek mufeed aur mazboot trading strateegi hai jo aik trader ko market ke fluctuations ka faida uthane mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai.

Position Calculate Karne Ka Tareeqa

Jab aap position kholte hain, to assets ki parity ko dekha jata hai, unki volatility ko madde nazar rakhte hue. Agar stocks khareedi jati hain aur farokht hoti hain, to unka hissa portfolio mein beta coefficients ko madde nazar rakhte hue calculate kiya jata hai. Is maqsad ke liye aik asaan si system of equations istemal hoti hai.
Stocks ke example mein, AMAT ka beta coefficient 1.65 hai, jabke TER ka 1.56 hai. In maloomat ko formula mein dalne se hum ye maloom kar sakte hain ke har asset ki hissa kya hai. Is case mein, AMAT ka ratio 0.48 (48%) hai aur TER ka 0.53 (52%) hai. Dono assets kafi volatile hain aur unke betas ziada mukhtalif nahi hain. Kuch pairs mein ziada farq wale assets bhi ho sakte hain, jismein assets ke hisse bhi kafi mukhtalif hote hain. Yeh zaroori hai ke market assets ke betas ko various factors ke asar mein tabdeel ho sakte hain. Is case mein, assets ke specific weight ko dobara dekha jata hai.
Forex trading mein, har instrument ka hissa pip value ke hisab se calculate hota hai. Jab pip value dono currency pairs ke liye barabar hoti hai, to sab kuch asaan hojata hai - trades barabar volume ke sath khulti hain. Ye EUR/USD - GBP/USD pair ke liye sach hai. Lekin doosre bhi maamlaat hote hain. Misal ke taur par, EUR/USD pair ke liye 1 lot volume ke liye pip value $10 hai, jabke USD/JPY pair ke liye abhi $9.14 hai. USD/JPY ke sath trade ka volume EUR/USD pair ke volume ka 1.09 (10/9.14) guna hona chahiye takay zaroori parity ho.

Pairs Trading Ke Liye Asset Kaise Select Karen

Pairs trading mein positions do assets par ek saath kholi jati hain - currency pairs, stocks, futures, cryptocurrencies ke pairs trading, waghera. Iski pehli raaye hai assets ke darmiyan correlation. Correlation positive ya negative (direct ya inverse) ho sakti hai. Direct correlation ke case mein instruments ek hi rukh mein move karte hain, practically ek dosre ko nakal karte hain. Isko currency pairs EUR/USD - GBP/USD, ya AUD/USD - XAU/USD, oil futures aur oil refineries ke stocks, aur doosre bohot se direct correlation ke variants se misal di ja sakti hai.

Correlating Currency Pairs Ko Dhoondhne Ke Liye Tools

Correlated currency pairs iss waqt maloom karnay ke liye do tareeqay hain ke kaun se pairs ek dosre ke saath correlate kar rahe hain - correlation indicators ya khaas online service.
Correlation indicators information ko alag alag tareeqon se display karte hain. Kuch do charts ko aik screen par impose karte hain, jabke doosre information panel display karte hain jismein aap dekh sakte hain ke konse financial instruments abhi ek dosre ke saath correlate kar rahe hain. Pehle type ka indicator istemal karna zyada convenient hai. Is tareeqay se aap jaldi dekhsakte hain ke jab prices mein ikhtilaf hota hai, to market mein pairs trading strategy ke mutabiq waqt par dakhil ho sakte hain.
Online services bhi hain. Inka istemal karna asaan hai. Tafseelat tajwez karte waqt aapko aik currency pair choose karna hota hai aur calculation ke liye time frame aur periods ki tadad specify karni hoti hai. Program zaroori calculation karegi aur aapko ek list provide karegi, jismein aap dekh sakte hain ke select kiye gaye financial instrument ke saath konsay pairs correlate kar rahe hain. Is service ka ek example neeche dikhaya gaya hai.
Hamare pass ye shart hai: euro-yen pair ki hour chart par correlating pairs dhoondhein, 50 nearest hours ka analysis kar ke. Program ne correlation coefficient calculate kiya hai aur currency pairs ke charts dikhaye gaye hain jo specified parameters ke mutabiq maximally correspond karte hain. Bayen side mein calculation data ke sath aik table hota hai. Jo figure ek ke nazdeek hai, woh instrument aur table ke currency pair ke darmiyan ziada correlation hoti hai.

Pairs Trading Ke Rules

Pairs trading strategy asaan hai aur yeh beginners ke liye bhi munasib hai. Market mein dakhil hone ke liye, aapko do price charts ke darmiyan kisi khaas farq ka intezaar karna hoga, phir market mein dakhil hojana hoga asset ko bechna jo barh raha hai aur currency pair ko kharidna jo gira hua hai.
Jab chart par farq nazr aata hai, to sirf yeh baki rehta hai ke wo waqt ka intezaar karna hai jab pairs dobara kisi khaas point par milenge. Is waqt, dono trades ko bandhna chahiye.
Aam tawar par, do pairs mein se ek ya to ziada tezi se badhti hai ya gir rahi hoti hai, jabke doosre pairs ulte rukh mein move kar raha hota hai. Ek position par acha munafa hasil hota hai, jabke doosre position par chhota nuksan hota hai. Positive farq aksar kaafi chhota hota hai, lekin is strategy ke mutabiq trading ke doran khatra bhi kam hota hai. Aksar aise bhi halat hotay hain jab dono trades munafa bhi hoti hain.
Pairs trading strategy ko munafa dene ke liye, zaroori hai ke aap chart par sahi taur par price divergence ka andaza lagayein, jis par positions kholi ja sakti hain. Is value ko last year ki average ke taur par calculate kiya jata hai.

Pairs Trading Ke Advantages & Disadvantages

Advantages:

• Yeh strategy market-neutral strategy mein shamil hoti hai. Yahan yeh nahi hota ke market kis taraf jayega, sirf asset values ka ratio maamooli hota hai.
• Isse market ki inefficiencies ka faida uthaya ja sakta hai aur trading risks kam kiye ja sakte hain.
• Yeh strategy system traders ke liye bohot suitable hai jo bade volumes ki information ke sath kam karne ka tajurba rakhte hain. Isme algorithmic aur robotic trading ke liye bohot zyada opportunities hain.
• Yeh system sab types ke markets aur sab time frames ke liye lagoo ho sakta hai.

Disadvantages:

• Trader ko yeh guarantee nahi hoti ke do assets ki statistical correlation ko kisi cheez ne disturb nahi kiya hoga. Iska matlab hai ke is strategy ko strict risk management ki zaroorat hai.
• Taiyari ka kaam (instrument pairs dhoondhna, spreads calculate karna) bohot waqt leta hai.

Simple Pairs Trading Strategy

Correlation coefficient, jo -1 se +1 tak hota hai, ek asset pair ko choose karne ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai. +1 ke value par assets ek dosre ke sath move karte hain, jabke -1 par negative correlation hoti hai. Optimal hai ke aap aise assets choose karen jin ka correlation coefficient 0.75-0.95 ho. Isi doran, traded spread ke chart par obvious patterns ko observe karna zaroori hai.
Agla kadam yeh hai ke har asset ke liye positions ka volume calculate kiya jaye. Iske liye ATR (Average True Range) indicator ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar ek stock ka average daily range last month mein 10 dollars hai, aur doosre ka 20, toh jab aap position kholte hain to doosre ka volume do guna barabar hona chahiye.
Trading ke liye chart (trend component ko madde nazar na rakhte hue) 10 dinon ke similar average se din ki closing prices ko subtract kar ke milta hai. Orders ke liye levels ko determine karne ke liye last 3 saalon ke prices ke average standard deviation ki calculation ki jati hai. Zero level ke dono sides par standard deviations ke 1, 2, aur 3 lines chart par plot ki jati hain.
Strategy ye samjhati hai ke jab signal line 1 ko touch kiya jata hai, toh ek instrument ko khareedna aur doosre ko bechna hai, 2:1 ratio mein. Standard deviations ke level 2 aur 3 par, initial position volume ko same direction mein barhaya jata hai. Munafa hasil karne ke liye zero level ko touch hone ka intezaar karna zaroori hai.

Pairs Trading Strategy Istemal Karne Ke Liye Tips

Traders ki aam ghalti pairs trading system ke sath trading karte waqt lot calculate karna bhool jana hoti hai. Aksar log bhool jaate hain ke aik currency pair ke lot value doosre se mukhtalif hoti hai. Market mein sahi taur par dakhil hojane aur sahi amal se hasil hone wale munafa ke liye, do assets ki point value barabar honi chahiye. Is maqsad ke liye lot calculator ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Ye value manual taur par bhi calculate ki ja sakti hai.
Pairs trading ek kam risk wali trading strategy hai. Lekin isko dhang se istemal karne aur barabri tajziya karne ke liye thorayi approach aur balanced analysis ki zaroorat hoti hai. Aapki kamai is par depend karti hai ke aap trading assets ko sahi taur par choose karte hain aur market mein sahi waqt par dakhil hote hain. Aap golden mountains nahi paayenge, lekin aap minimal risk ke saath thore steady munafe hasil kar sakte hain. Yaad rakhein ke trading ki munafaat aapke choose kiye gaye broker par bhi bohot depend karti hai!

Pairs Trading – Kaise Shuru Karein?

Toh, pairs trading ko apne market practice mein shamil karne ke liye kin kin steps ko follow karna chahiye? Iski bunyad yahan hai ke dependent assets ko dhoondhein aur is taalluqat ko reflect karne wali ek curve graphically draw karein. Is curve ke basis par trade mein dakhil hone ke faislay kiye jayenge, sath hi statistical analysis bhi ki jayegi. Yeh zaroori hai ke aap ek khaas starting point ya point tay karen jise aap absolute zero ke tor par lete hain, jismein se aap price deviations ko determine karenge.
Iske alawa, pair combination ko effective banane ke liye zaroori hai ke dono assets ko aapas mein align kiya jaye, har asset ki volatility aur ek tick ki movement ke value ke mutabiq. Futures ke case mein, contract date aur broker ki margin requirement ka bhi khayal rakhna zaroori hai position ko secure karne ke liye.

Conclusion

Pairs trading strategy trader ko market ka ek wasee manzarnama dene mein madad karti hai aur unhe ye saaf andaza hojata hai ke unka portfolio kitna diversified hai. Jaise ke koi aur strategy, for example, pairs trading bhi ye guarantee nahi de sakti ke trade tashreef layega jaise tajwez kiya gaya hai. Do assets ke darmiyan jo mazboot correlation saalon se tha, usko kisi bari maqami wakaat ne ek din tod diya aur expectations ke khilaf dobara nahi banaya gaya. Lekin phir bhi, pairs trading arbitrage strategies ko samajhne ka pehla qadam hai jo khatraat ko kam karke munafa kama sakti hain. Is strategy mein, trader ko saaf taur par amal ka algorithm hona chahiye, quantitive methods aur analysis ke tareeqon ko samajhna chahiye, aur strict discipline bhi honi chahiye.
Pairs trading ek mohafiz tareeqa hai trading ka jo kam risk ke saath munafa kamane ka maqsad rakhta hai. Yaham strategies ke mutabiq, aapko market ke mazboot ya kamzor hone se fark nahi padta; sirf assets ke values ka ta'alluq hai. Ye strategy market inefficiencies se faida uthane aur trading risks ko kam karne ka ikhtiyar deti hai.
Pairs trading ko samajhna aur istemal karna waqt aur mehnat maangta hai, lekin agar sahi taur par istemal ki jaye, to ye trader ko stable aur consistent munafaat dila sakti hai. Ye strategy market conditions aur asset correlations ke tabdeel hone par tajaweez ko ta'assur se istemal karne ki salahiyat bhi deti hai.
Iske benifits mein shamil hai ke ye market-neutral approach hai, jisme market ka rukh nahi, sirf asset values ka ta'alluq hota hai. Isme system traders aur algorithmic trading ke liye badi opportunities hain. Lekin iske nuksanat mein yeh hai ke statistical correlation hamesha barqarar nahi rehti, isliye strict risk management zaroori hai. Taiyari ke liye bhi zyada waqt lagta hai, lekin agar ise barabar taur par istemal kiya jaye, to ye ek behtareen trading strategy ban sakti hai.
Toh, agar aap pairs trading ko shuru karna chahte hain, to aapko sabse pehle correlating assets dhoondhne, unke darmiyan ta'alluqat ko analyze karne, aur ek tajaweez banane ki zaroorat hogi. Iske baad, aapko strict discipline aur risk management ke sath is strategy ko amal mein lane ki zaroorat hogi. Yeh ek mahir trader ke liye ek aur tool ho sakta hai jo market ke nuances ko samajhne aur istemal karne mein madad karta hai.