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EURJPY ka technical analysis karte hue, humein yeh dekhna hoga ke yeh currency pair kis tarah se price movements aur market trends ko follow kar raha hai. 19 February 2025 ko dekha jaye toh EURJPY abhi tak bearish/downtrend mein hai, lekin humein trend reversal ki bhi sambhavnayein dekhni chahiye agar price kisi resistance area ko break karti hai.
Chart analysis mein dekha ja sakta hai ke seller pressure (red candle ki lambai) dheere dheere price ko neeche la rahi hai, jabke buyer pressure (green candle ki lambai) is movement ko counter karne mein nakam hai. Yeh situation lower high formation ki taraf ishaara karti hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke sellers abhi bhi market par dominate kar rahe hain.

Resistance area ko hum 159.84 se 159.40 tak identify karte hain, jabke support area 158.32 se 157.94 tak hai. In levels ko samajhna bahut zaroori hai kyunki yeh entry aur exit points ka kaam karte hain.
Entry Setup Options
Breakout Opportunity for Buy: Agar 1-hour candle ka close price resistance area (159.84) ko break kar deta hai, toh yeh buy position lene ka achha mauka ho sakta hai. Is case mein, agar price 159.40 se neeche close hoti hai, toh yeh cut loss ka signal hoga.
Breakout Opportunity for Sell: Agar price support area (157.94) ko break karta hai, toh sell position lene ka sochna chahiye. Yahan bhi, agar price 158.32 se upar close hoti hai, toh yeh cut loss ka signal banega.
Pullback Setup for Sell Position: Agar price resistance area ke paas pullback karti hai aur 1-hour candle close price is area ke upper limit (159.84) se upar hoti hai, toh yeh sell position lene ka acha signal hai. Yahan bhi, stop loss lagana zaroori hai agar price is limit se upar jaati hai.
Pullback Setup for Buy Position: Jab price support area ke paas pullback karti hai aur 1-hour candle close price is area ke lower limit (157.94) se neeche hoti hai, toh buy position lene ka mauka mil sakta hai. Is case mein bhi, stop loss lagana zaroori hai agar price is limit se neeche chali jaati hai.
Risk Management


Har entry par acha money management istemal karna bahut zaroori hai. Yeh healthy trading continuity ke liye madadgar hota hai. Hamesha fake breakout candles se bhi alert rehna chahiye kyunki yeh traders ko confuse kar sakte hain aur unke positions ko nuksan pohcha sakte hain.

Yeh analysis humein batata hai ke EURJPY mein abhi bhi buy aur sell opportunities hain, lekin humein market ke movements ko dhyan se dekhna hoga. Hamesha apne trading style ke mutabiq trade karna chahiye aur market ke changes ko samajhna chahiye.
Conclusion


EURJPY ka analysis karte hue, aapko market ki current condition, resistance aur support levels, aur price action ke indicators ko samajhna hoga. Yeh saari cheezein aapko entry aur exit points tay karne mein madad karengi. Trading mein patience aur discipline bahut zaroori hai, toh hamesha apne trading strategy par focus rakhein aur market ke changes ko samajhne ki koshish karein.

Umeed hai ke yeh analysis aapke liye faydemand sabit hoga aur aapko market ke sahi faisle lene mein madad karega

eurjpy pair daily time frame main aik triple bottom level say rejection lay raha hai jiska matlab hai kay market aik strong support zone say wapas upar anay ki koshish kar rahi hai aur agar yeh support hold hota hai tu price main reversal anay ka imkaan hai RSI bhi oversold zone say uth raha hai jo indicate karta hai kay buying pressure barh raha hai price is time 156.24 pay close hoi hai aur agar bullish momentum barqarar rehta hai tu agla resistance level 157.00 ho sakta hai jo ek important barrier hai agar price is level ko todti hai tu next target 158.50 ho sakta hai jo ek aur strong resistance level hai lekin agar price yahan say rejection layti hai tu market range bound bhi ho sakti hai price action ka closely monitor karna bohat zaroori hoga kyunki trend shift tabhi confirm hoga jab price higher highs aur higher lows banay gi agar price 156.00 say neechay jati hai tu market phir bearish side chali jayegi aur agla support level 155.00 ho sakta hai jo buyers kay liye ek aur important zone hai 50 ki ema price say kaafi upar hai jo yeh dikhata hai kay long term trend abhi bearish hai lekin agar price gradually move karay aur 50 ki ema kay paas pohanchay aur usay todnay ki koshish karay tu bullish trend confirm ho sakta hai lekin agar yahan say bhi rejection milta hai tu market phir se downward move kar sakti hai filhal RSI aur triple bottom support dikhata hai kay price bullish side move kar sakti hai lekin confirmation kay liye breakout ka wait karna hoga agar Monday ko market bullish open hoti hai aur strong momentum dikhati hai tu buyers kay liye aik long entry ka setup ban sakta hai aur agla target 157.50 aur 158.50 tak ho sakta hai lekin agar price rejection layti hai tu market sideways bhi ho sakti hai is wajah say aglay week ka price action closely monitor karna zaroori hoga kay price 157.00 kay upar close hoti hai ya nahi kyunki agar yeh level tod diya jata hai tu bullish confirmation milegi aur price mazeed upar ja sakti hai.

EUR/JPY ka bazar aaj kal kaafi dilchasp hai, khaaskar jab hum 25 February 2025 ki baat karte hain. Is waqt, Euro aur Yen ke darmiyan ke taluqaat ka ghor se jaiza lena zaroori hai, kyunke yeh sirf do currencies nahi hain, balki inka taluq global ma’ashi halat se bhi hai.
Economic Influences on EUR/JPY


Eurozone ki ma’ashi surat-e-haal kuch achhi hai, lekin is mein kuch mushkilat bhi hain. Halankeh kuch ijaafi growth ke asar nazar aa rahe hain, lekin inflation ki masla ab bhi waja hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ab tak kisi bhi bara policy tabdeeli karne se katra raha hai, lekin inflation data ki behtari se yeh dabao barh raha hai. Agar ECB inflation ko manage karne ke liye kisi tajaweez ya kadam ka elaan karta hai, to is se Euro ki qeemat mein izafa ho sakta hai.

Dusse taraf, Japan ki ma’ashi surat-e-haal bhi kuch khaas nahi hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka monetary policy ka rukh ab bhi 'low interest rates' par hai, jisse Yen ki qeemat girti ja rahi hai. Japan mein bhi inflation ek masla bana hua hai, lekin BoJ se kisi bhi bara policy shift ki umeed nahi hai. Is wajah se Yen ka dabao barqarar hai, jo EUR/JPY ki price action par asar daal raha hai.
Key Technical Levels for EUR/JPY


Ab agar hum technical analysis ki taraf dekhein, to EUR/JPY ka chart kaafi dilchasp hai. Is waqt, yeh pair 156.67 ke aas-paas hai, jo ek key level hai jo pichle kuch dinon se mazbooti se hold ho raha hai. Agar yeh level tod kar 157.00 ke resistance level tak pahuncha, to yeh further gains ka sabab ban sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh level todne ke bajaye kuch wapas aajaye.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi is waqt kuch overbought conditions ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, is liye traders ko is baat ki tajaweez di jati hai ke woh kisi bhi correction ke liye tayyar rahein. Agar EUR/JPY 156.00 ke niche girta hai, to agla support level 155.45 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh support level trading opportunities ke liye acha ho sakta hai, lekin market ki volatility ke madde nazar kuch bhi ho sakta hai.
Trading Strategies


Is waqt trading strategies tay karte waqt, traders ko yeh samajhna hoga ke economic indicators aur technical levels dono ka asar hota hai. Agar ECB ki taraf se koi positive signal milta hai, to Euro ki qeemat mein izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo EUR/JPY ki taraf udaan bhar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, agar BoJ kisi naye monetary policy ka elaan karti hai, to yeh bhi Yen ki qeemat par asar dal sakta hai.

Traders ko yeh bhi yaad rakhna chahiye ke aaj kal ka market kaafi volatile hai, is liye stop-loss orders ka istemal karna zaroori hai. Agar aap long position lena chahte hain, to aapko 156.67 aur 157.00 ke levels ko dhyan se dekhna hoga. Wahi agar aap short position lena chahte hain, to 156.00 ke neeche girne ka intezar karna behtar hoga.
Conclusion


Aakhir mein, EUR/JPY par nazar rakhna hamesha ma’ashi aur technical analysis ka ek acha mix hai. Is waqt ki ma’ashi surat-e-haal, khaaskar ECB aur BoJ ki monetary policies, kaafi asar daal rahi hain. Traders ko in factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue apne trading decisions lena chahiye, taake woh behtar munafa hasil kar sakain. Is ke sath, market ki volatility ko bhi samajhna hoga, kyunke kabhi bhi surat-e-haal badal sakti hai.

eurjpy pair daily time frame main aik triple bottom level say rejection lay raha hai jiska matlab hai kay market aik strong support zone say wapas upar anay ki koshish kar rahi hai aur agar yeh support hold hota hai tu price main reversal anay ka imkaan hai RSI bhi oversold zone say uth raha hai jo indicate karta hai kay buying pressure barh raha hai price is time 156.24 pay close hoi hai aur agar bullish momentum barqarar rehta hai tu agla resistance level 157.00 ho sakta hai jo ek important barrier hai agar price is level ko todti hai tu next target 158.50 ho sakta hai jo ek aur strong resistance level hai lekin agar price yahan say rejection layti hai tu market range bound bhi ho sakti hai price action ka closely monitor karna bohat zaroori hoga kyunki trend shift tabhi confirm hoga jab price higher highs aur higher lows banay gi agar price 156.00 say neechay jati hai tu market phir bearish side chali jayegi aur agla support level 155.00 ho sakta hai jo buyers kay liye ek aur important zone hai 50 ki ema price say kaafi upar hai jo yeh dikhata hai kay long term trend abhi bearish hai lekin agar price gradually move karay aur 50 ki ema kay paas pohanchay aur usay todnay ki koshish karay tu bullish trend confirm ho sakta hai lekin agar yahan say bhi rejection milta hai tu market phir se downward move kar sakti hai filhal RSI aur triple bottom support dikhata hai kay price bullish side move kar sakti hai lekin confirmation kay liye breakout ka wait karna hoga agar Monday ko market bullish open hoti hai aur strong momentum dikhati hai tu buyers kay liye aik long entry ka setup ban sakta hai aur agla target 157.50 aur 158.50 tak ho sakta hai lekin agar price rejection layti hai tu market sideways bhi ho sakti hai is wajah say aglay week ka price action closely monitor karna zaroori hoga kay price 157.00 kay upar close hoti hai ya nahi kyunki agar yeh level tod diya jata hai tu bullish confirmation milegi aur price mazeed upar ja sakti hai.

Fundamental level par, Eurozone ki economic performance aur European Central Bank (ECB) ki monetary policy is pair ko directly influence karte hain. Agar ECB dovish signals deta hai, jaise ke interest rate cuts ya quantitative easing measures, to euro ke value mein pressure pad sakta hai. Dusri taraf, Japan ki taraf se Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka policy stance aur unki unconventional monetary policies, jin mein negative interest rates shamil hain, yen ko ek safe-haven asset banate hain. Lekin jab global risk appetite barhti hai, to investors yen se apne funds ko riskier assets jaise ke euro mein shift karte hain, jis se EUR/JPY ka pair upar jata hai.

Technical analysis ke hawale se, EUR/JPY ke charts par key support aur resistance levels identify kiye ja sakte hain. Aksar daily chart par, agar hum recent swing lows aur highs dekhain to ek support zone 130.00–131.00 ke aas-paas aur resistance zone 135.00–136.00 ke aas-paas nazar aata hai. Yeh levels trader ke liye reference points ban jate hain. Agar price 131.00 ke support ko hold kar leti hai, to yeh signal hai ke buyers market mein wapas aane lage hain. Lekin agar is level ko break ho jata hai, to pair further decline kar sakta hai aur agla support level 128.00 ya uske neeche ho sakta hai.



Dusri taraf, agar EUR/JPY resistance zone 135.00–136.00 tak pohanchti hai to sellers ka pressure barhta hai. Aksar, jab price is resistance ko approach karti hai, to profit booking aur short positions ke zariye price reversal ka imkaan hota hai. Agar bullish momentum sustain karta hai aur resistance ko break kar leta hai, to agla resistance level 138.00 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, jahan se further uptrend ka signal milta hai.

Is pair mein moving averages bhi bohat important role ada karte hain. For example, 50-day aur 200-day simple moving averages (SMA) ko dekhna zaroori hai. Agar price in averages ke upar rehta hai, to yeh bullish bias ko confirm karta hai. Agar price ne in moving averages ko cross karke neeche jati hai, to yeh bearish reversal ke signals ho sakte hain. Recent analysis mein, agar hum dekhein to agar EUR/JPY 50-day SMA 133.00 ke aas-paas rehta hai aur 200-day SMA 130.50 se upar hai, to yeh indicate karta hai ke mid-term trend bullish hai, lekin short-term fluctuations ka asar zaroor hoga.

Fibonacci retracement levels bhi technical traders ke liye madadgar sabit hotay hain. Agar EUR/JPY recent swing high aur low ke beech retracement calculate kiya jaye, to 38.2% aur 50% retracement levels aapko additional support ya resistance zones provide karte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar recent swing high 137.00 aur swing low 131.00 ke darmiyan retracement calculate ki jaye, to 50% retracement level qareeb 134.00 ke aas-paas hota hai, jo ke ek important area hai jahan par market reaction dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Market sentiment aur risk appetite bhi EUR/JPY ko bohat influence karte hain. Global geopolitical tensions, US aur Eurozone ke economic data, aur Japan ke export figures sab is pair ko affect karte hain. Jab investor sentiment risk-off mode mein hota hai, to yen ko safe-haven ke taur par prefer kiya jata hai, jis se EUR/JPY downtrend mein jata hai. Lekin agar global markets mein risk appetite improve hoti hai, to investors euro ko zyada prefer karte hain aur pair mein upward movement dekhne ko milti hai.

Ek aur ahem point yeh hai ke news aur economic events ka asar short-term volatility par bohat gehra hota hai. Misal ke taur par, agar Eurozone se koi unexpected economic data release hota hai—jaise ke manufacturing PMI ya retail sales figures—jo market expectations se kam ho, to yeh euro ke liye bearish signal ho sakta hai. Isi tarah, Japan ke economic reports, export data aur BoJ ke press releases bhi yen ki strength ko affect karte hain. Aksar traders in events ke hawale se positions adjust karte hain, jis se EUR/JPY mein short-term swings bohat pronounced hotay hain.

Agar hum intraday trading ki baat karein, to short-term support aur resistance levels identify karna bohat zaroori hai. For example, hourly chart par, agar aap dekhain ke EUR/JPY ka price qareeb 133.50 par repeatedly bounce karta hai to yeh ek intraday support zone hai. Isi tarah, agar 134.50 par repeated rejections milti hain to yeh intraday resistance zone ke taur par consider hota hai. Scalpers aur day traders in levels ka istemal kar ke quick trades lete hain jahan par unka objective chhote profit targets aur tight stop losses hotay hain.

Risk management ke hawale se, EUR/JPY trade karte waqt aapko apne stop loss levels ko clearly define karna chahiye. Misal ke taur par, agar aap long position lete hain aur entry point 133.80 set karte hain, to aapko apna stop loss 133.00 ke aas-paas rakhna chahiye. Agar price resistance ko break karke upar jati hai, to aap apna profit target 134.50 ya 135.00 set kar sakte hain. Lekin agar market reversal hota hai, to pre-defined stop loss aapko unexpected losses se bachata hai.

EUR/JPY ka long-term trend bhi dheere-dheere evolve ho raha hai. Agar hum dekhein to past kuch mahino se yeh pair sideways consolidate kar raha hai, lekin jab bhi market mein clear direction milti hai, to price ya to resistance ko break karke upward move karti hai ya phir support ko tod kar neeche jati hai. Is consolidation phase mein, key pivot levels aur trendlines aapko ek stable framework provide karte hain, jise aap apni trading strategy mein integrate kar sakte hain.

EUR/JPY ke liye ek comprehensive trading strategy mein fundamental events, technical indicators aur risk management ka combination shamil hona chahiye. Global economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical news ko continuously monitor karna aapke liye zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh sab factors is pair ki short-term aur long-term direction ko determine karte hain. In sab baton ko madde nazar rakhte hue, EUR/JPY ke liye agar aap apni trading strategy ko set karte hain to aapko pehle in key support aur resistance levels ko samajhna chahiye. Agar price support ko hold karti hai to long positions ko consider karein, lekin agar resistance ko todne ka chance nazar aata hai to bullish reversal ka imkaan barh jata hai. In technical levels par aap apne stop loss aur take profit orders ko accurately place kar ke risk ko manage kar sakte hain. Yeh approach aapko market ki unpredictable volatility ke bawajood disciplined trading mein madad karta hai aur long-term success ke chances ko barhata hai.

EUR/JPY ka currency pair ek ahem trading instrument hai jo Euro aur Japanese Yen ke darmiyan ke rishte ko darshata hai. Is pair ki trading karte waqt, traders ko kai cheezon ka khayal rakhna padta hai, jese market ki halat, fundamental factors, aur technical analysis. Aaj hum EUR/JPY ke baare mein kuch gehraai se baat karenge aur iski trading strategy ko samjhenge.

Sab se pehle, EUR/JPY ki trading ke liye hamein iski recent price movement par nazar dalni hogi. Jaise aapne zikr kiya, is waqt EUR/JPY ki price 155-154 ke aas paas hai, jo ke ek mazboot support zone hai. Ye zone pichle kuch mahino se price movement ke liye kaafi important raha hai. Jab bhi price is zone par aata hai, wahan se bounce back hone ke chances barh jaate hain. Isliye, ye zone trading ke liye ek achha entry point ban sakta hai.

Ab baat karte hain stochastic indicator ki, jo ke ek popular momentum oscillator hai. Stochastic indicator ka istemal karke hum ye jaan sakte hain ke market overbought ya oversold hai. Aapne kaha ke is waqt stochastic par bullish divergence dekhne ko mil raha hai. Iska matlab ye hai ke price ne lower low banaya hai, lekin stochastic ne higher low banaya hai, jo ke ek bullish signal hai. Is signal ki roshni mein, traders ko is pair ko kharidne par ghoor karna chahiye.

Lekin, hamesha yaad rakhein ke trading mein risk management bohot zaroori hai. Agar aap EUR/JPY par buy position lete hain, toh aapko stop-loss set karna chahiye taake agar market aapke khilaf chali jaye toh aapka nuksan kam se kam ho. Iske alawa, aapko apne targets bhi tay kar leni chahiye. Aapne kaha ke aapne kuch nearest targets ko remove kar diya hai, lekin ye zaroori hai ke aapke paas ek clear plan ho ke aap kab profit book karenge.

Agar price 159.50 se upar chala jata hai, toh aapne kaha ke aap sales ki taraf dekhenge. Ye bhi ek achhi strategy hai, kyun ke jab price ek significant resistance level ko cross karta hai, toh wahan se reversal hone ke chances barh jaate hain. Isliye, ye zaroori hai ke aap apne analysis ko regularly update karte rahein aur market ki halat ke mutabiq apne decisions lein.

Trading mein psychology bhi ek bohot important factor hai. Kai baar traders market ki volatility se dar kar positions lene se katrate hain, khas taur par jab yen jese currency pairs ki baat ho. Yen currency pairs ke baare mein yeh mashhoor hai ke inki movement unpredictable hoti hai, isliye aapko apne emotions par control rakhna hoga. Agar aapne analysis kiya hai aur aapka strategy clear hai, toh aapko trade lene se nahi katrana chahiye.

Akhir mein, EUR/JPY ek aisa currency pair hai jise traders ko samajhne ki zaroorat hai. Is pair ki movement ko samajhna, support aur resistance levels ka jaiza lena, aur technical indicators ki madad se trading decisions lena, in sab cheezon se aap apni trading ki safalta ko barha sakte hain. Hamesha yaad rakhein ke market ki volatility ka samna karne ke liye aapko tayyar rehna hoga, aur risk management ka khayal rakhna hoga. Is pair par trading karte waqt aapko patience aur discipline ki zaroorat hogi, taake aap market ke fluctuations se faida utha sakein.

EUR/JPY currency pair ka haal hi mein jo upar ki taraf chadhai dekhi gayi hai, us ka asal sabab Euro ki taraf se naye kharidari ka shauq hai. Yeh kharidari ka shauq tab barh gaya jab France aur Britain ne Ukraine mein ek mahine ke liye ceasefire ka tajweez diya. Is beech, traders Eurozone ke coordinated consumer price index (HICP) data ka intezar bhi kar rahe hain, jo ke February ke liye aayega, saath hi US ISM Manufacturing PMI ka bhi intezar hai jo us din release hoga.

French President Emmanuel Macron ne is joint proposal ka elaan kiya, jis ka maqasad Ukraine mein saari air aur sea clashes ko rokna aur energy infrastructure par hamle band karna hai. Is tajweez ne bazar mein kuch had tak umeed ka izafa kiya. London mein hui crisis discussions ke doran, European leaders ne security spending ko barhane aur ceasefire ko support karne ke liye ek coalition banane ka waada kiya. Yeh sab kuch aise waqt mein ho raha hai jab Japan ki taraf se aane wale naye economic data ne Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke interest rate hikes ki umeed ko mazid taqat di hai, jo Yen ko support faraham kar raha hai.

Japan ka Manufacturing PMI for February 50.8 points par hai, jo ke is se pehle ki preliminary reading 48.9 points se zyada hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke aakhri teen mahine mein contraction ki shiddat kam hui hai. Iske ilawa, Eurozone ka HICP data 2.8% ka izafa dikhata hai, jo ke market ki umeed se zyada hai, jo ke 2.7% thi. Har mahine ki buniyad par HICP mein 0.6% ka izafa huwa hai, jo ke 0.5% ki umeed se zyada hai. Halankeh core inflation January mein 0.2% se kam hui hai.

EUR/JPY ka jo pair hai, us ne Friday ko 155.15 Yen ka nearly seven-month low dekha, lekin ab yeh thoda rebound kar raha hai. Is recovery ke bawajood, short-term outlook abhi bhi bearish hai, kyunke 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 158.00 ke aas paas downward trend dikha raha hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab 40.00-60.00 ke range mein aa gaya hai, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke recent downward momentum kuchhad gaya hai, lekin overall bias abhi bhi negative hai.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, agar February 25th ka high 157.30 ke upar break hota hai, toh is se further gains ki umeed hai jo ke 20-day EMA ke aas paas 158.00 tak ja sakte hain, uske baad February 19th ka high 159.14 tak bhi ja sakte hain. Lekin agar is din ka low 154.80 se neeche break hota hai, toh is se August 5th ka low 154.40 tak aur 19-month low 153.17 tak ke liye raasta khul jayega.

Yeh sab geopolitical khabrein aur agle data releases ka asar EUR/JPY pair par hai. Is waqt, traders ko in developments ka ghor se dekhna hoga, kyunke inka asar na sirf currency pair par, balki global markets par bhi ho sakta hai. Euro ki taraf se kharidari aur Yen ki taraf se support, dono ka asar milkar is currency pair ka chalan tay karega.

Isliye, agar aap trading karne ka soch rahe hain to yeh zaroori hai ke aap market ki halat ko samjhein, data releases ka intezar karein, aur geopolitical developments par nazar rakhein. Aakhir mein, yeh sab kuch mil kar aapko sahi faisla karne mein madad karega.

📈 EUR/JPY ne Tuesday ko Asian trading session mein thodi mazahmat dikhai aur recent losses se recover karte hue 159.10 level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai.
🔹 Yeh recovery ziada tar Japanese yen ki kamzori ki wajah se hai, jo is wajah se weak ho raha hai ke US hukoomat ne retaliatory tariffs ko postpone karne ka faisla kiya hai.

💹 Lekin EUR/JPY ka upward potential abhi bhi limited lag raha hai.
✅ BoJ ki hawkish policy expectations ki wajah se yen dobara strong ho sakta hai.
✅ Japan ka GDP unexpected tor par strong aaya hai, jo BoJ ke liye additional interest rate hikes ka signal de raha hai.
✅ Financial markets 2025 tak 37 basis points ka extra rate hike price kar rahi hain.
✅ Yeh hikes Japanese government bond yields ko April 2010 ke highest level tak le ja sakti hain, jo yen ko mazid taqatwar banayega.

📊 Euro Ka Support – Ukraine Conflict Aur Geopolitical Developments
🔹 Geopolitical events bhi Euro ko support kar sakte hain.
🔹 JP Morgan ki report ke mutabiq, agar Ukraine aur Russia ke darmiyan ceasefire hoti hai aur gas supply restore hoti hai, toh Euro Dollar ke muqablay mein 5% tak strong ho sakta hai.
🔹 US aur Russia ke darmiyan peace talks ki reports bhi market ko influence kar sakti hain.
🔹 BBC sources ke mutabiq, US aur Russian officials Tuesday ko Saudi Arabia mein mulaqat kar rahe hain taake ek possible peace agreement par baat ho sake.
📉 Market Ke Liye Darpaish Khatraat Aur Japan Ki Policy Strategy


🔹 Japan ke Chief Cabinet Secretary ne is baat ko highlight kiya hai ke agar Japanese companies US policies ka nishana bani, toh risk barh sakta hai.
🔹 Japan ki government in trade risks ko carefully manage karne ki koshish kar rahi hai.
🔹 Agar trade tensions dobara barhti hain, toh yeh yen ko strong bana sakta hai aur market sentiment ko bhi effect kar sakta hai.

🔎 Key Focus Areas:
✅ BoJ ki policy outlook aur interest rate hikes
✅ Ukraine-Russia peace talks aur gas supply developments
✅ US-Japan trade tensions aur inka yen par asar

📊 Traders in tamam developments par nazar rakhein, kyunki yeh EUR/JPY ka agla trend tay karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hain.

USD EUR/JPY Market Outlook

Aaj hum EUR/JPY ke H4 timeframe ka analysis lekar aaye hain Chart ko dekhte huye kuch important baatein samajh aati hain jo trading decision banane mein madad karengi Sabse pehle hum price action par focus karte hain. Chart ke mutabiq, market downward trend mein hai, kyunke price ne bar-bar lower highs aur lower lows banaye hain. Moving Averages bhi is trend ko confirm karte hain. Short-term moving average jo candles ke kareeb hai long-term moving average ke neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko dikhata hai MACD indicator par nazar daalain to yeh histogram negative territory mein hai, jo ke bearish momentum ko mazid confirm karta hai. Lekin, recent candles ke paas MACD histogram ki bars thodi choti ho rahi hain, jo shayad momentum mein kamzori ka signal hai. Yeh reversal ya sideways movement ki nishani bhi ho sakti hai.

156.500 ka support level chart par kaafi significant lag raha hai Market ne is level ko kai dafa test kiya hai, lekin abhi tak yeh toot nahi saka Agar price is support ko tod deta hai, to agla target 155.000 ke kareeb ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price upar ki taraf break kare aur moving averages ke upar close kare, to yeh bullish reversal ka signal ho sakta hai.

Risk management trading ka sabse zaroori hissa hai. Agar aap sell karne ka plan karte hain, to apna stop loss recent high ke upar rakhein aur target support level ke kareeb set karein. Aur agar buy karne ka soch rahe hain, to confirmation ka intezar karein, jaise ke price moving averages ke upar close kare Trading mein patience aur discipline zaroori hota hai. Indicators aur price action dono ka dhyan rakhein aur impulsive decisions lene se bachein. Yeh chart humein yeh sikhata hai ke market ka har move analysis aur strategy ka talib hota hai.

EURJPY ka technical analysis karte hue, humein yeh dekhna hoga ke yeh currency pair kis tarah se price movements aur market trends ko follow kar raha hai. 19 February 2025 ko dekha jaye toh EURJPY abhi tak bearish/downtrend mein hai, lekin humein trend reversal ki bhi sambhavnayein dekhni chahiye agar price kisi resistance area ko break karti hai. Chart analysis mein dekha ja sakta hai ke seller pressure (red candle ki lambai) dheere dheere price ko neeche la rahi hai, jabke buyer pressure (green candle ki lambai) is movement ko counter karne mein nakam hai. Yeh situation lower high formation ki taraf ishaara karti hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke sellers abhi bhi market par dominate kar rahe hain.

Resistance area ko hum 159.84 se 159.40 tak identify karte hain, jabke support area 158.32 se 157.94 tak hai. In levels ko samajhna bahut zaroori hai kyunki yeh entry aur exit points ka kaam karte hain.
Entry Setup Options
Breakout Opportunity for Buy: Agar 1-hour candle ka close price resistance area (159.84) ko break kar deta hai, toh yeh buy position lene ka achha mauka ho sakta hai. Is case mein, agar price 159.40 se neeche close hoti hai, toh yeh cut loss ka signal hoga.
Breakout Opportunity for Sell: Agar price support area (157.94) ko break karta hai, toh sell position lene ka sochna chahiye. Yahan bhi, agar price 158.32 se upar close hoti hai, toh yeh cut loss ka signal banega.
Pullback Setup for Sell Position: Agar price resistance area ke paas pullback karti hai aur 1-hour candle close price is area ke upper limit (159.84) se upar hoti hai, toh yeh sell position lene ka acha signal hai. Yahan bhi, stop loss lagana zaroori hai agar price is limit se upar jaati hai.
Pullback Setup for Buy Position: Jab price support area ke paas pullback karti hai aur 1-hour candle close price is area ke lower limit (157.94) se neeche hoti hai, toh buy position lene ka mauka mil sakta hai. Is case mein bhi, stop loss lagana zaroori hai agar price is limit se neeche chali jaati hai.
Risk Management


Har entry par acha money management istemal karna bahut zaroori hai. Yeh healthy trading continuity ke liye madadgar hota hai. Hamesha fake breakout candles se bhi alert rehna chahiye kyunki yeh traders ko confuse kar sakte hain aur unke positions ko nuksan pohcha sakte hain.

Yeh analysis humein batata hai ke EURJPY mein abhi bhi buy aur sell opportunities hain, lekin humein market ke movements ko dhyan se dekhna hoga. Hamesha apne trading style ke mutabiq trade karna chahiye aur market ke changes ko samajhna chahiye.
Conclusion


EURJPY ka analysis karte hue, aapko market ki current condition, resistance aur support levels, aur price action ke indicators ko samajhna hoga. Yeh saari cheezein aapko entry aur exit points tay karne mein madad karengi. Trading mein patience aur discipline bahut zaroori hai, toh hamesha apne trading strategy par focus rakhein aur market ke changes ko samajhne ki koshish karein.

Umeed hai ke yeh analysis aapke liye faydemand sabit hoga aur aapko market ke sahi faisle lene mein madad karega

Kal raat market upward rally continue kar raha tha, magar price 162.00 zone todne mein nakam raha. Market ke halaat dekhnay se lag raha hai ke is hafte ka price journey 161.08 zone ke upar trade ho raha hai.

✅ Yeh situation traders ke liye ek bullish reference ban sakti hai, kyunki is mahine ka trend uptrend ka signal de raha hai.
✅ Stochastic Indicator (5,3,3) 20 level tak gir gaya hai, jo signal de raha hai ke market correction shuru ho chuki hai.
✅ 4-hour timeframe par EUR/JPY ek halka downward correction show kar raha hai, lekin overall bullish bias maintain hai.
Technical Analysis – Market Ke Ainday Ke Imkanaat


🔍 Market ka potential trend bullish dikh raha hai, is wajah se Buy ka option prepare karna behtar hoga.
📌 Last week ka market structure rising trend ka indication de raha tha, is liye aaj ka downward correction ek temporary situation ho sakti hai.
📌 Agar price correction ke baad stabilize hoti hai, to end of week tak market aur bullish ho sakta hai.

📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels:
🟢 Support Zone: 156.14 – Pichlay dino bearish momentum price ko is level se neeche nahi le ja saka, aur price bounce ho gaya.
🔴 Resistance Zone: 162.00 – Yeh zone todna zaroori hoga bullish confirmation ke liye.

✅ Higher price area buyers ka target ho sakta hai, aur bullish journey continue rehne ke imkanaat hain.
Trading Strategy – Buy Setup Kahan Karna Behtar Hoga?


📈 Bullish Confirmation:
✔️ Agar price 162.00 tod kar upar nikalta hai, to buy position open karna acha moka ho sakta hai.
✔️ Aaj Europe session ke dauraan ek chhoti correction ho sakti hai, uske baad bullish momentum wapas aa sakta hai.
✔️ Agar market stable rehta hai aur bullish signals confirm hotay hain, to buyers ka target 163.50 tak ho sakta hai.

📉 Bearish Scenario:
⚠️ Agar price 161.08 zone se neeche girta hai, to temporary bearish move ho sakta hai, magar yeh long-term trend ko break nahi karega.
⚠️ Price agar 160.50 ke neeche close karta hai, to short-term bearish pressure barh sakta hai.
Final Conclusion


📊 Market ka overall trend bullish hai, lekin correction ho sakti hai.
📊 Buy ka acha moka tab ho sakta hai jab price 162.00 tod de aur bullish momentum wapas aaye.
📌 Traders ko Europe session tak intizaar karna chahiye taake market structure clear ho sake.

🚀 Trading Recommendation: BUY – Agar price 162.00 se upar break kare, to bullish entry ka moka ban sakta hai.

Introduction


EUR/JPY pair ki guzishta trading haftay mein behavior ka tajziya karte hue, pehle main 154.68 (Murray 3/8) key level par market participants ki reaction ko highlight karna chahta hoon. Ye level pehle bhi kai dafa apni ahmiyat dikhata raha hai, aur strong support ka kirdar ada karta hai.

Bulls ki Mazboot Jawabi Karwai


Jab price is level ke qareeb pohanchi, tou foran hi ek bullish response dekha gaya, jis se ek khaasa upward rebound nazar aaya. Ye movement ye batata hai ke bears abhi tak price ko aur neeche push karne ya naye lows ko break karne ke liye tayar nahi the.

Jumeraat ko Volatility


Jumeraat ko pair mein khaasi volatility dekhi gayi. Shuruwat mein sellers ne price ko neeche dhakelne ki koshish ki, hatta ke 155 se neeche break bhi kiya. Magar wo neeche ke levels par consolidate nahi kar sake aur foran hi ek recovery hui jo ek strong pullback mein tabdeel hogayi.

Bearish Trend Ab Bhi Qaem


Is sharp reversal ke bawajood, mera maanna hai ke short-term bearish trend ab bhi qaem hai. Market ki structure ab bhi yeh suggest kar rahi hai ke aur downside potential mojood hai. Lekin ek gehri decline se pehle, price mukhtalif level tak ooper bhi ja sakti hai taake behtar selling conditions form ho sakein.




Sale Points Aur Resistance Levels


Agar pair 159.50 se ooper chali jati hai, toh main us level se sales consider karunga, kyun ke ye ek strong resistance zone hai. Abhi ke liye, pair daily chart par sideways movement mein hai. Main dekhunga ke consolidation phase continue karta hai ya koi breakout hota hai.

Technical Analysis


Meri technical analysis yeh suggest karti hai ke Monday ko mazeed downside movement ho sakta hai. Moving averages aur technical indicators dono hi “actively sell” ka signal de rahe hain, jo mere bearish outlook ko mazid mazboot karte hain.

Fundamental Analysis


Fundamentally bhi mujhe mazeed decline ki umeed hai. Monday ko Eurozone ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release hoga, aur forecast negative hai. Mera khayal hai ke isse euro par pressure padega. Japan se kisi khaas economic data ki umeed nahi hai, isliye yen ki movement stable reh sakti hai.


Meri Trading Strategy


Is setup ko dekhte hue, main Monday ko bearish scenario ki umeed kar raha hoon, aur potential sales ka target support level 155.55 tak ho sakta hai. Agar koi correction hoti hai, toh mujhe lagta hai ke buying opportunities 156.80 ke resistance level tak mil sakti hain. Magar overall, mera expectation yeh hai ke broader sideways range mein ek downward move ho.

Guzishta Market Trends Ka Rakhna Zaroori


Broader market trends aur sentiment shifts par nazar rakhna bohot zaroori hoga taake behtar trading decisions liye ja sakein. Japanese yen ki movement, jo global risk appetite aur Bank of Japan ki monetary policy expectations se mutasir hogi, bhi pair ki direction tay karegi.

Global Economic Conditions ka Asar


Global economic conditions, risk sentiment aur safe-haven flows ka EUR/JPY pair ki movement par bara asar hoga. Agar market mein risk-off sentiment ho, toh yen ki value barh sakti hai, jabke risk-on sentiment euro ko faida dega. Geopolitical events, khas tor par Eastern Europe ya Asia mein, safe-haven demand ko badha sakti hain.

Support aur Resistance Levels


Technically, EUR/JPY pair ka immediate support 146.00 par hai, jabke 145.50 aur 144.00 critical support levels hain. Abhi key resistance level lagbhag 147.50 par hai, aur agla significant level 148.00 hai. Agar price is resistance zone se ooper break kar jaye, toh mazeed bullish momentum dekha jaa sakta hai.

EURJPY ka technical analysis karte hue, humein yeh dekhna hoga ke yeh currency pair kis tarah se price movements aur market trends ko follow kar raha hai. 19 February 2025 ko dekha jaye toh EURJPY abhi tak bearish/downtrend mein hai, lekin humein trend reversal ki bhi sambhavnayein dekhni chahiye agar price kisi resistance area ko break karti hai. Chart analysis mein dekha ja sakta hai ke seller pressure (red candle ki lambai) dheere dheere price ko neeche la rahi hai, jabke buyer pressure (green candle ki lambai) is movement ko counter karne mein nakam hai. Yeh situation lower high formation ki taraf ishaara karti hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke sellers abhi bhi market par dominate kar rahe hain.

Resistance area ko hum 159.84 se 159.40 tak identify karte hain, jabke support area 158.32 se 157.94 tak hai. In levels ko samajhna bahut zaroori hai kyunki yeh entry aur exit points ka kaam karte hain.
Entry Setup Options
Breakout Opportunity for Buy: Agar 1-hour candle ka close price resistance area (159.84) ko break kar deta hai, toh yeh buy position lene ka achha mauka ho sakta hai. Is case mein, agar price 159.40 se neeche close hoti hai, toh yeh cut loss ka signal hoga.
Breakout Opportunity for Sell: Agar price support area (157.94) ko break karta hai, toh sell position lene ka sochna chahiye. Yahan bhi, agar price 158.32 se upar close hoti hai, toh yeh cut loss ka signal banega.
Pullback Setup for Sell Position: Agar price resistance area ke paas pullback karti hai aur 1-hour candle close price is area ke upper limit (159.84) se upar hoti hai, toh yeh sell position lene ka acha signal hai. Yahan bhi, stop loss lagana zaroori hai agar price is limit se upar jaati hai.
Pullback Setup for Buy Position: Jab price support area ke paas pullback karti hai aur 1-hour candle close price is area ke lower limit (157.94) se neeche hoti hai, toh buy position lene ka mauka mil sakta hai. Is case mein bhi, stop loss lagana zaroori hai agar price is limit se neeche chali jaati hai.
Risk Management


Har entry par acha money management istemal karna bahut zaroori hai. Yeh healthy trading continuity ke liye madadgar hota hai. Hamesha fake breakout candles se bhi alert rehna chahiye kyunki yeh traders ko confuse kar sakte hain aur unke positions ko nuksan pohcha sakte hain.

Yeh analysis humein batata hai ke EURJPY mein abhi bhi buy aur sell opportunities hain, lekin humein market ke movements ko dhyan se dekhna hoga. Hamesha apne trading style ke mutabiq trade karna chahiye aur market ke changes ko samajhna chahiye.
Conclusion


EURJPY ka analysis karte hue, aapko market ki current condition, resistance aur support levels, aur price action ke indicators ko samajhna hoga. Yeh saari cheezein aapko entry aur exit points tay karne mein madad karengi. Trading mein patience aur discipline bahut zaroori hai, toh hamesha apne trading strategy par focus rakhein aur market ke changes ko samajhne ki koshish karein.

Umeed hai ke yeh analysis aapke liye faydemand sabit hoga aur aapko market ke sahi faisle lene mein madad karega

EUR/JPY is time 156.21 par trade kar raha hai aur bearish trend line ka breakout confirm ho chuka hai price ne breakout ke baad 6 se 7 candles bana li hain jo confirm kar rahi hain ke price abhi bearish pressure mein hai neeche ek strong demand area hai jo price ko support de sakta hai lekin jab tak price wahan tak nahi pohchti tab tak bearish movement expected hai price ke neeche jaane ka strong signal ye bhi hai ke 50 ki EMA price ke upar hai aur price EMA ke neeche sustain kar rahi hai jo selling pressure ko confirm kar raha hai RSI bhi 50 level ke neeche hai jo aur zyada bearish confirmation de raha hai agar price demand area tak jati hai to wahan se ek bounce ka chance ho sakta hai lekin agar demand area break hota hai to price aur neeche gir sakti hai aur agla support level 155.80 ya uske neeche 155.50 ka hoga lekin agar price demand area se bounce leti hai to pehla resistance 156.80 ka hoga aur agar yeh level todti hai to price fir bullish ho sakti hai abhi tak ka structure bearish hai lekin demand area par buyers active ho sakte hain jo price ko wapas upar push kar sakte hain is liye confirmation ka intezar karna zaroori hai agar price neeche hold karti hai aur demand area break karti hai to fir selling ka setup ban sakta hai magar agar wahan se rejection milti hai to fir short term buying ka chance hoga trend kaafi weak ho chuka hai aur jab tak price EMA ke neeche hai tab tak selling ka pressure barkarar rahega lekin agar price EMA ke upar chali jati hai to bullish move dekhne ko mil sakta hai overall market abhi bearish hai aur demand area par price ka reaction dekhna zaroori hai agar price wahan se rejection leti hai to ek pullback aa sakta hai magar agar demand area break hota hai to selling aur mazid strong ho sakti hai traders ko chahiye ke price action ka dhyan se observation karein aur demand area ke break ya rejection par apna trade setup banayein kyunki yehi point market ke next move ka faisla karega.

EUR/JPY ka currency pair ek ahem trading instrument hai jo Euro aur Japanese Yen ke darmiyan ke rishte ko darshata hai. Is pair ki trading karte waqt, traders ko kai cheezon ka khayal rakhna padta hai, jese market ki halat, fundamental factors, aur technical analysis. Aaj hum EUR/JPY ke baare mein kuch gehraai se baat karenge aur iski trading strategy ko samjhenge.

Sab se pehle, EUR/JPY ki trading ke liye hamein iski recent price movement par nazar dalni hogi. Jaise aapne zikr kiya, is waqt EUR/JPY ki price 155-154 ke aas paas hai, jo ke ek mazboot support zone hai. Ye zone pichle kuch mahino se price movement ke liye kaafi important raha hai. Jab bhi price is zone par aata hai, wahan se bounce back hone ke chances barh jaate hain. Isliye, ye zone trading ke liye ek achha entry point ban sakta hai.

Ab baat karte hain stochastic indicator ki, jo ke ek popular momentum oscillator hai. Stochastic indicator ka istemal karke hum ye jaan sakte hain ke market overbought ya oversold hai. Aapne kaha ke is waqt stochastic par bullish divergence dekhne ko mil raha hai. Iska matlab ye hai ke price ne lower low banaya hai, lekin stochastic ne higher low banaya hai, jo ke ek bullish signal hai. Is signal ki roshni mein, traders ko is pair ko kharidne par ghoor karna chahiye.

Lekin, hamesha yaad rakhein ke trading mein risk management bohot zaroori hai. Agar aap EUR/JPY par buy position lete hain, toh aapko stop-loss set karna chahiye taake agar market aapke khilaf chali jaye toh aapka nuksan kam se kam ho. Iske alawa, aapko apne targets bhi tay kar leni chahiye. Aapne kaha ke aapne kuch nearest targets ko remove kar diya hai, lekin ye zaroori hai ke aapke paas ek clear plan ho ke aap kab profit book karenge.

Agar price 159.50 se upar chala jata hai, toh aapne kaha ke aap sales ki taraf dekhenge. Ye bhi ek achhi strategy hai, kyun ke jab price ek significant resistance level ko cross karta hai, toh wahan se reversal hone ke chances barh jaate hain. Isliye, ye zaroori hai ke aap apne analysis ko regularly update karte rahein aur market ki halat ke mutabiq apne decisions lein.

Trading mein psychology bhi ek bohot important factor hai. Kai baar traders market ki volatility se dar kar positions lene se katrate hain, khas taur par jab yen jese currency pairs ki baat ho. Yen currency pairs ke baare mein yeh mashhoor hai ke inki movement unpredictable hoti hai, isliye aapko apne emotions par control rakhna hoga. Agar aapne analysis kiya hai aur aapka strategy clear hai, toh aapko trade lene se nahi katrana chahiye.

Akhir mein, EUR/JPY ek aisa currency pair hai jise traders ko samajhne ki zaroorat hai. Is pair ki movement ko samajhna, support aur resistance levels ka jaiza lena, aur technical indicators ki madad se trading decisions lena, in sab cheezon se aap apni trading ki safalta ko barha sakte hain. Hamesha yaad rakhein ke market ki volatility ka samna karne ke liye aapko tayyar rehna hoga, aur risk management ka khayal rakhna hoga. Is pair par trading karte waqt aapko patience aur discipline ki zaroorat hogi, taake aap market ke fluctuations se faida utha sakein.