gbp usd

Pound ab mojooda maximum ko taqreeban 1.2632 par update karne ja raha hai aur yeh zahir hai ke yeh 1.23 se triple tak mukammal hoga, jo ke khud ek double zigzag ki shakal mein hai aur ek mumkin horizontal triangle ka hissa hai, jo GBPUSD currency pair ke liye yahan ban raha hai. Yeh kaafi bara hai aur yeh ishara deta hai ke British dollar abhi tak global bear market ke andar hai jo ke bohot upar se shuru hua, jahan ek wedge bana hai aur yahan iska aakhri hissa hai. Kam az kam is tamam consolidation ka yeh ishara hai, aur euro ke sath correlation ki bunyad par bhi yehi nikalta hai. Ek aur mumkin manzar yeh hai ke uttar ka jari rakhna, foran ziada buland maqamat tak pohanch jana, aur phir pound ka girna bohot pehle khatam ho gaya tha, aur yeh saara complex uttar ab ek naya upward trend hai. Magar dono manazir mein, abhi tak aap ko long jaana hai. Sachai yeh hai ke yeh zyada der tak nahi chalega, kyunke 1.2630 ke pahar se guzarne ke baad, poora uttar 1.2295 se ke flow ka correction hoga. Phir woh phir se barhega aur wahan woh 1.29 ka maximum update karega aur mazeed uttar ko tasdeeq karega, ya phir yeh triangle mein side mein consolidation jaari rahegi aur sirf uske formation mukammal hone ke baad lamba bullish rukh hoga jismein 1.3130 aur us se agay tak ka exit hoga.
Dekhtay hain, zaroor, ke GBP/USD kaunsa option work out karta hai. Aap ke chart par ek daily time period hai, aur aaj ka din doosre manzar ke amal ka shuru hone ka touheen nahi kiya ja sakta. Yeh bilkul ho sakta hai ke GBP/USD 1.2560 se rebound kare aur din ko 1.2540 ke neeche band kare, aur yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh giravat ka chakkar 1.2470 par GiP formation ke border ki taraf shuru ho jaye. Agar din 1.2560 ke upar band hota hai, to aage ka uthharan nazr aayega aur yeh 1.2625 tak uth sakta hai. Phelaw, beshak, mojood hai, magar main abhi bhi HyP formation ki taraf dekhta hoon, halankeh ab jo jora hai, woh 1.2560 ke upar jamane ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar aap order book dekhte hain, to 1.2570 par baray peaks hain jin mein volumes hain jo rebound de sakte hain, aur asal bech volumes 1.26 par hain. Aur market maker mumkin hai ke volume absorb karne ke liye keemat is level par le jaaye. Dilchaspi ki baat yeh hai ke GBP/USD ka is couple of hours mein uthar chadav overbought ko likh kar diya gaya hai, aur sentiment abhi 50/50 hai.

Pound ab mojooda maximum ko taqreeban 1.2632 par update karne ja raha hai aur yeh zahir hai ke yeh 1.23 se triple tak mukammal hoga, jo ke khud ek double zigzag ki shakal mein hai aur ek mumkin horizontal triangle ka hissa hai, jo GBPUSD currency pair ke liye yahan ban raha hai. Yeh kaafi bara hai aur yeh ishara deta hai ke British dollar abhi tak global bear market ke andar hai jo ke bohot upar se shuru hua, jahan ek wedge bana hai aur yahan iska aakhri hissa hai. Kam az kam is tamam consolidation ka yeh ishara hai, aur euro ke sath correlation ki bunyad par bhi yehi nikalta hai. Ek aur mumkin manzar yeh hai ke uttar ka jari rakhna, foran ziada buland maqamat tak pohanch jana, aur phir pound ka girna bohot pehle khatam ho gaya tha, aur yeh saara complex uttar ab ek naya upward trend hai. Magar dono manazir mein, abhi tak aap ko long jaana hai. Sachai yeh hai ke yeh zyada der tak nahi chalega, kyunke 1.2630 ke pahar se guzarne ke baad, poora uttar 1.2295 se ke flow ka correction hoga. Phir woh phir se barhega aur wahan woh 1.29 ka maximum update karega aur mazeed uttar ko tasdeeq karega, ya phir yeh triangle mein side mein consolidation jaari rahegi aur sirf uske formation mukammal hone ke baad lamba bullish rukh hoga jismein 1.3130 aur us se agay tak ka exit hoga.

Dekhtay hain, zaroor, ke GBP/USD kaunsa option work out karta hai. Aap ke chart par ek daily time period hai, aur aaj ka din doosre manzar ke amal ka shuru hone ka touheen nahi kiya ja sakta. Yeh bilkul ho sakta hai ke GBP/USD 1.2560 se rebound kare aur din ko 1.2540 ke neeche band kare, aur yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh giravat ka chakkar 1.2470 par GiP formation ke border ki taraf shuru ho jaye. Agar din 1.2560 ke upar band hota hai, to aage ka uthharan nazr aayega aur yeh 1.2625 tak uth sakta hai. Phelaw, beshak, mojood hai, magar main abhi bhi HyP formation ki taraf dekhta hoon, halankeh ab jo jora hai, woh 1.2560 ke upar jamane ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar aap order book dekhte hain, to 1.2570 par baray peaks hain jin mein volumes hain jo rebound de sakte hain, aur asal bech volumes 1.26 par hain. Aur market maker mumkin hai ke volume absorb karne ke liye keemat is level par le jaaye. Dilchaspi ki baat yeh hai ke GBP/USD ka is couple of hours mein uthar chadav overbought ko likh kar diya gaya hai, aur sentiment abhi 50/50 hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ki H4 charts ko dekhne ke baad, mujhe pehle waqt ke mukhtalif doraan jaise broad consolidation nazar aayi. Is pair ke liye, wazeh hai ke market ka opening Monday se, bilkul Jumma ki tarah, narrow trading range mein hoga support 1.2480 aur resistance 1.2556 ke darmiyan. Pair ne 1.2480 ke upar consolidate kiya, aur yeh bulls ke liye ek jeet hai. Magar uttar ki taraf ka vikas ke liye, 1.2556 par chaar ghante ka scale ka resistance todna zaroori hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke ant mein hum indicated range se aur north ki taraf exit karenge, lekin Monday 1.2556 ka breakdown ka din nahi hoga kyunke envelope khud horizontal plane mein hai aur pehle price ko 1.2556 ki taraf dhakka dekar 1.2480 ki taraf gehra niche nahi jaane dega. To, mujhe lagta hai ke jab 1.2556 ka breakthrough ka waqt aayega, tab ye saaf ho jayega. GBP/USD par uchhalne ki koshish hui, lekin bechne waale bhi thay. Sach hai, 1.2540 ke maximum ke baad ek southern shadow bhi tha.





Abhi tak yeh saaf nahi hai ke kya wo south ki taraf jaari rahe hain, lekin ye ek girawat ke baad 1.2892 ke maximum level se hai. Main ek bada southern zigzag ka intezar kar raha hoon jo 1.2298 ke low ko update karega. Yeh bura option nahi hai, lekin abhi tak yeh nahi samjha ja sakta ke kitna work out hoga. Kam se kam agle trading week ke kuch din to achhe se guzreinge, anyway. Haan, aur din ke candlesticks bhi bahut uttar mein nahi hain, lekin yeh candles hote hain. Humne upar accumulation resistance level ko paas nahi kiya, aur neeche se upar ki taraf chalne wali trend line ko test kar rahe hain jo 1.2501 ke low se hai. Aage, ek naya southern zigzag zyada mumkin hai, lekin uttar bhi ek koshish mein mumkin hai. Abhi ke liye, main 1.2319 ke level se 161.80% ratio par rebound record kar raha hoon. Main sochta hoon ke abhi ke liye bulls show chalaenge. Aam taur par, duniya mein jo karna hai wo ho chuka hai, aur choti choti kadam se sab kuch normal ho jayega. Zaroor, kickbacks ke saath. Mujhe nishchit shak hai ke 1.2484 par local minimum ko update karke, wo Monday ko current wave ke top ko 1.2540 par update karenge, lekin ye pakka nahi hai. Aur ye hai ke 1.2540 ka update hoga.

Pound ab mojooda maximum ko taqreeban 1.2632 par update karne ja raha hai aur yeh zahir hai ke yeh 1.23 se triple tak mukammal hoga, jo ke khud ek double zigzag ki shakal mein hai aur ek mumkin horizontal triangle ka hissa hai, jo GBPUSD currency pair ke liye yahan ban raha hai. Yeh kaafi bara hai aur yeh ishara deta hai ke British dollar abhi tak global bear market ke andar hai jo ke bohot upar se shuru hua, jahan ek wedge bana hai aur yahan iska aakhri hissa hai. Kam az kam is tamam consolidation ka yeh ishara hai, aur euro ke sath correlation ki bunyad par bhi yehi nikalta hai. Ek aur mumkin manzar yeh hai ke uttar ka jari rakhna, foran ziada buland maqamat tak pohanch jana, aur phir pound ka girna bohot pehle khatam ho gaya tha, aur yeh saara complex uttar ab ek naya upward trend hai. Magar dono manazir mein, abhi tak aap ko long jaana hai. Sachai yeh hai ke yeh zyada der tak nahi chalega, kyunke 1.2630 ke pahar se guzarne ke baad, poora uttar 1.2295 se ke flow ka correction hoga. Phir woh phir se barhega aur wahan woh 1.29 ka maximum update karega aur mazeed uttar ko tasdeeq karega, ya phir yeh triangle mein side mein consolidation jaari rahegi aur sirf uske formation mukammal hone ke baad lamba bullish rukh hoga jismein 1.3130 aur us se agay tak ka exit hoga.

Dekhtay hain, zaroor, ke GBP/USD kaunsa option work out karta hai. Aap ke chart par ek daily time period hai, aur aaj ka din doosre manzar ke amal ka shuru hone ka touheen nahi kiya ja sakta. Yeh bilkul ho sakta hai ke GBP/USD 1.2560 se rebound kare aur din ko 1.2540 ke neeche band kare, aur yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh giravat ka chakkar 1.2470 par GiP formation ke border ki taraf shuru ho jaye. Agar din 1.2560 ke upar band hota hai, to aage ka uthharan nazr aayega aur yeh 1.2625 tak uth sakta hai. Phelaw, beshak, mojood hai, magar main abhi bhi HyP formation ki taraf dekhta hoon, halankeh ab jo jora hai, woh 1.2560 ke upar jamane ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar aap order book dekhte hain, to 1.2570 par baray peaks hain jin mein volumes hain jo rebound de sakte hain, aur asal bech volumes 1.26 par hain. Aur market maker mumkin hai ke volume absorb karne ke liye keemat is level par le jaaye. Dilchaspi ki baat yeh hai ke GBP/USD ka is couple of hours mein uthar chadav overbought ko likh kar diya gaya hai, aur sentiment abhi 50/50 hai.

GBPUSD Analysis







GBPUSD jodi ki keemat ka movement jo ke 1.2466 par support ko test kiya tha, nazar andaaz ho gaya ke neechay ki rally ko jaari rakhne mein kamyabi haasil nahi hui. Haqeeqat mein, keematain foran upar uth gayi jab close prices support ke upar aagaye. Keemat ka izafa EMA 50 ko guzarna mumkin tha phir ruk gaya jab ye SMA 200 tak pohancha. Yeh yaad rakhen ke mojooda trend ka rukh ab bhi bearish haalat mein tasdeeq diya gaya hai. Magar, do Moving Average lines ke darmiyan mushtahir keemat ka harkat uncertainty ko darust karti hai. Bearish trend jaari rehne ke liye, keemat ko 50 EMA ke neeche hona chahiye. Magar agar aap tawajjo dein, to barhte hue keemat ne trendline ko paar kar liya hai, isliye 200 SMA tak pohanch kar resistance 1.2605 tak pohanchne ka mouqa hai. Awesome Oscilator (AO) indicator dwara dikhaye gaye upar ki rukh ki momentum ab bhi keemat ko unchi rally jaari rakhne mein support karti hai. Ye Stochastic indicator ke nazriye se mukhtalif hai jo ke kehta hai ke keemat ab bhi girne ka amal jaari rakh sakti hai. Kyunki parameters jo level 50 ke neeche hain, woh ab tak oversold zone tak nahi pohanch chuke hain isliye girne wali keemat ke liye saturation point nahi mila.












Ikhtitaam:

BUY trading option, keemat ka rad-e-amal ka faida leta hai jab ye kareeban EMA 50 ya trendline tak pohanchti hai jese ke ek position entry point. Tasdeeq Stochastic indicator parameter ke cross hone ke baad hoti hai oversold zone mein. AO indicator upar ki rukh ki momentum ko dikhata rahta hai jahan histogram level 0 ke upar pehle se sabz rang mein hota hai. Qareeban sab se qareeb 1.2563 keemat ko nishana banaya jata hai aur support 1.2466 par stop loss.
SELL trading option, foran lagaya ja sakta hai ya execute kiya ja sakta hai jab keemat close prices EMA 50 ke neeche hoti hain. Tasdeeq level 50 tak Stochastic indicator parameter ke cross hone ke baad hoti hai oversold zone mein pohanchne ke baad. AO indicator histogram laal rang mein rehta hai aur level 0 ke qareeb hai. Support 1.2466 ya kam keemat 1.2445 ko nishana banaya jata hai aur high prices 1.2529 par stop loss hota hai.

GBP/USD H4 Time Frame

Pound ab taqreeban 1.2632 ke qareeb update karega mazeed tezzi se aur ye maloom hota hai ke wo 1.23 se shuru hone wale akhri hisse tak complete hone wala hai, jo ke khud ek double zigzag ke roop mein teen lagta hai aur ek mumkin horizontal triangle ka hissa hai, jo ab yahin GBPUSD currency pair ke liye ban raha hai. Ye kaafi bada hai aur ye dikhata hai ke British dollar abhi bhi global bear market ke andar hai, jahan ek wedge bana hai aur yahan pe uska last three hai. Kam az kam yeh saari consolidation yeh dikhata hai, aur euro ke correlation ke liye bhi yehi cheez hai. Ek aur mumkin scenario hai ke uttar ki jaari rahe, seedhe zyada unchi positions tak pahunchi jaayegi, aur phir pound ki giravat bahut pehle khatam ho gayi thi, aur yeh saara complex uttar ab ek naya upward trend hai. Lekin dono scenarios mein, abhi tak aapko long jaana hoga. Sachai yeh hai ke yeh zyada lamba waqt tak nahi chalega, kyunke 1.2630 ke pahunchne ke baad poori uttar flow ka correction hoga 1.2295 se. Aur phir wapas badhegi aur wahin 1.29 ko update karegi aur aage ke uttar ko confirm karegi, ya to woh sidha triangle mein consolidate karegi aur uske poora hone ke baad hi ek long bullish passage hoga jisme 1.3130 ke paar bahar jaayega aur aage jaayega.



GBPUSD H1 time frame ka tajziya karne walay traders ne ek mumkin ulte ko notice kiya hai, jis se signals bata rahe hain ke market ka rukh neeche ki taraf ja sakta hai. Is article mein wo mukhtalif indicators aur signals explore kiye gaye hain jo kehte hain ke bechne ki positions faide mand ho sakti hain. Dollar index neeche ki taraf jane ko support karta hai, lekin trading decisions sirf is measure par nirbhar nahi hona chahiye. Haqeeqat mein maujood market conditions ko puri tarah samajhne ke liye zaroori hai ke GBPUSD pair ke badalne wale dynamics ko puri tarah samjha jaye. H1 time frame ki technical analysis key insights provide karti hai jo ke ek mumkin bearish territory ki taraf jane ki disha ko suchit karti hai. Ye analysis trading strategies ko guide karne ke liye jatil nuances mein ghus jati hai. Ek ulta hone ki taraf ishara dene wala ek mukhya indicator observable price action hai jo ke key support aur resistance levels ke saath ek significant downtrend trajectory ko darshata hai. Iske alawa, oscillators aur momentum indicators diverging hain, ek ulta hone ka signal dete hue. GBPUSD pair aur dollar index ke darmiyan correlation hamare analysis mein ek aur insight layer provide karta hai. Ek bade market sentiment ka barometer ke taur par, dollar index barah-e-karam karne wali currencies ke bheetar US dollar ki performance ko darshata hai.

GBPUSD pair ka expected hai ke neeche ki taraf apna chalne jari rakhega, jo ke ek bearish sentiment ko darshata hai. Dollar index is projection ko support karta hai, lekin trading decisions lene ke liye mukhtalif factors ko mad e nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Technical analysis, fundamental factors, aur risk management principles ko sab samajh ke shamil karna chahiye. Forex trading mein, risk management apne capital ko bachane ke liye nihayat zaroori hai. Traders ko stop-loss orders ka istemal karna chahiye, position sizing strategies ka istemal karna chahiye, aur anjaane market shifts ke bare mein bhi chuki ban jana chahiye. H1 time frame par GBPUSD pair ka analysis bechne ki mauqe ko suggest karta hai. Ek comprehensive trading strategy jo technical analysis, risk management, aur psychological strength shamil kare, forex trading mein kamiyabi ke liye zaroori hai. Agah rehne aur malleable rehne se traders apne maali maqsad hasil kar sakte hain.

ading shuru karne se pehle, meri raay mein, puri tasveer samajhne ke liye, is GBPUSD currency pair ki haftawar ka chart dekhna zaroori hai. Yahan aap dekh sakte hain ke qeemat ek contract triangle uncertainty pattern ke andar hai. Pehle, qeemat ne neeche se triangle banate hue chadhne wali support line se push kiya aur peechle haftay 1.2585 horizontal resistance level ke area ko test kiya, jo ke closing prices par bana tha. Yeh foran kuch girne laga aur mujhe umeed hai ke girawat hogi, aise levels aam tor par seedha nahi torhte aur shayad dobara chadhne wali line ka test ho. Is tarah, meri raay mein, chhoti muddaton mein neechay kaam karna behtar hai jab muqabil formations bante hain. Aap ye bhi notice kar sakte hain ke hafta aik khas reversal of candles ke saath band hua - aapasi hammer, level par based, yeh ek achha signal hai sell ke liye, aap temporary tor par yahan se khareedari bhool sakte hain. Neem rozana chart par bhi, Jumeraat ko neechay ek aapasi hammer ke saath band hua - ek signal sell ke liye. Plus, CCI indicator upper overheating zone mein dakhil hua.

H4 Graph. Yahan aap dekh sakte hain ke Jumeraat ko qeemat ko ooncha phenka gaya aur phir turant wahan se gir gaya, jaise ke yeh wazeh hai ke aik powerful resistance level wahan mojood hai. Jumeraat ko, United States mein ahem khabrein aayi; United States ke non-agricultural sector mein muntazim logon ki tadad mein tabdeeli, jo ke tajwez se kafi buri nazar aayi, aur average hourly wage bhi gir gaya. Theek hai, rasmi be-rozgar ki dar bhi barh gayi hai. Ye American dollar ke liye manfi indicators hain aur qeemat ne in par tazi se oopar ki taraf kood diya. Issi doran, MACD indicator par bearish divergence bhi ban gayi hai jo istemal ki gayi hai. Aur support level par divergence ek shandaar signal hai; qeemat foran girne lagi. Jab hum 1.2535 ke support par khare hain, mujhe lagta hai ke jaldi hi ise neechay push kiya jayega aur qeemat peechle haftay ke low ko update kare

GBP/USD D1 Timeframe.

GBP/USD ki pairing transient lag rahi hai, jisay hali ke trend ka maziqtar moqarar hai. Mutawaqqa harkaat wazeh karti hain ke moqami tarz par aik temporary surge 1.2630 ke urooj ke par ko guzarti hai, jo foran 1.2295 se shuru hui shumali momentum ki sarasar tashkeel ko wapas le jati hai. Baad mein, aik dobarah josh ke imkanat hai, jo currency pair ko aik na'ya urooj par le jayegi, jis se bullish momentum ka jari rahna tasdiq hota hai. Aik samait ya sutri formation ke andar aik musalsal period ke musair mein jazbati rukh ki imkanat hoti hai. Sirf is geometrical pattern ke mukammal hone par aik wazeh bullish breakout hota hai, jo 1.3130 ke aham darwazay aur aage guzarta hai. Aise parashaniyaan taqwiyat aur takhleeqati tez raftar aur market ki tawwajah ki roshni mein naye moqaat ko istemal karne ke sath-sath potantial giraftaariyon se apne aap ko bachane ke liye technical analysis tools aur risk management strategies ka istemal karte hain.
Yeh tajziya GBP/USD market ki dynamic fitrat ko numaya karta hai, trading strategies mein chust-o-charbi aur muqablay ke liye adaptability ki ahmiyat ko izhar karta hai. Traders ko mustahiq rehna chahiye, jaded moqaat ka faida uthane aur emerging opportunities ka faida uthane ke liye technical analysis aur risk management techniques ka istemal karte hue price movements ke muqamati manzar ko samajhne ke liye. Lateral consolidation phase ki tawil o dair rukh ki tajziya hai, aik triangular pattern ko shakal dena. Sirf is pattern ke mukammal hone par lambi musalsal rahnumai hoti hai, jise mumkin hai ke 1.3130 ke darwazay aur aage guzarte hue ek breakout ka nateeja nikalta hai.

GBP/USD Price Action Developments ke sath Hamahang

GBP/USD currency pair ki price movement par mojooda guftagu chal rahi hai. Pair ne aakhir kar faisla kiya aur range ke lower limit ki taraf chala gaya. Jaisa ke main pehle hi likh chuka hoon, couple ke liye range ab bhi pehli priority hai. Isi tarah, kam az kam lower border se upar ki taraf ek upward rollback par amal karna munasib hai. Halankeh border khud ko ziada karib se test kiya ja sakta hai, agar woh phir bhi tor diya jata hai, toh agla target 1.2300 digits mein hoga. Isi doran, kal pound futures par OI mein izafa hua. To, hum yeh samajh sakte hain ke mainly shorts ban rahe hain, aur accordingly, British currency ki kamzori ka mood hai. Sawal yeh hai ke yeh kitna implement hoga. Is ke buniyad par, abhi range is pair ke liye pehli priority hai, haalaanki lower border ko torne ka khatra hai. Toh, agar aap ko intezar karna nahi aata, toh market mein kuch karne ki zarurat nahi hai. Ab chalte hain wapas GBP/USD currency pair ki taraf. Aaj yeh pair north ki taraf movement dikha raha hai, aur agar woh 1.2550-1.2560 tak pullback dete hain, toh yeh pair khareeda ja sakta hai faida hasil karne ke liye 1.2600-1.2610 tak, jo phir aap ko 55-75 points ka munasib nateeja de sakta hai jo ke kuch dino mein hasil kiya ja sakta hai.

Mojooda situation mein, raste mein, meri pehli marking GBP/USD currency pair ke liye maqbool rehti hai, aur zyada sambhavna ke saath hum wahi upward correction expect kar sakte hain jo peechle haftay ka intezar tha, sirf price gap (imbalance) ke ek ilaake tak (1.2669–1.2721), jahan se asset ko phir se bechna munasib ho sakta hai kyun ke currency pair ka structure neeche ki taraf hai. Main asset ko aggressive tareeqe se nahi khareedne ka iraada nahi karta; risk lena faida nahi hai kyun ke pound lamba arsa se gair qaabil-e-tasleem asset ban chuka hai. Aam tor par, main bhi is north ki taraf ke movement mein hissa le raha hoon. Mere paas ek khareed hai; maine apni subah ke khareed se faida hasil kiya aur kuch aur pending orders lagaye hain. Ab bas unka intezar karna hai ke woh execute ho jayen, lekin agar growth jari rahegi, toh main sirf 1.2548 level se open deal se faida hasil karunga, jo 1.2603 par mil jayega, jahan se main bas market se bahar nikal jaunga, lekin abhi tak, main longs ko pehle tareeqe se pasand karta hoon.

GBP/USD Tahlil: Bank of England ke faislon ko monitor karna hoshiyarana hoga

Is haftay, Bank of England zyada waziha taur par darust karega ke kya wo is summer mein interest rates ko kam karna chahti hai ya nahi jabke investors easing ke liye udaas mawad par daarein laga rahe hain. Pehle, GBP/USD currency pair ki qeemat Jumma ko 1.2633 ke resistance level par chadhi thi, amuman ummidon ke mutabiq US employment ke, aur haftay ki shuruaat mein 1.2548 ke darje par qaim ho gayi.

Mahangai ke data ne traders ko UK interest rate ko September tak kam karne par daarein taale dene par mazoor kar diya. Magar, neeyat Policy Committee ke aath sadasyon mein se kuch log core price pressure ke liye pareshan hain. Jumma ke faisley ke baad GDP data ka izhaar hoga, jo ke muntazir hai ke UK ki muashi pehle tafreeh ke dono mahinon mein halki tareeqi se bahar aayegi. Maheeno ka tajziya tha ke data 0.4% izafah dikhayega, pehle saal ke do mahinon mein girawat ke baad.

GBP/USD Tawaqqa:

Daily chart ki performance ke mafhoom se, GBP/USD abhi bhi overall downtrend se bahar nikalne ke pehle marahil mein hai, aur agar bulls 1.2775 aur 1.2900 ke resistance levels ki taraf chalein to GBP/USD ka kamyabi se nakaam hone ka imkan hai. Abhi ke liye, 1.2500 ke support ke neeche sthirta mein wapas aana bears ko trend par qabza karne ke liye mansoob kar sakta hai. Main tawaqqa rakhta hoon ke GBP range-bound rahayga jab tak agle Thursday ke Bank of England statement ka reaction na aaye. Is ke ilawa, currency pairs ko investors ke risk uthane ki hesiyat aur global maali asaratein bhi mutasir karti hain.

Muntazir hai ke currency ke qeemat mein durusti ke baad 1.2700 ke aas paas ek islaah ho, jo do downside risks paida kar sakta hai. Jab ke 1.2650 ilaqa abhi puri tarah se bahal nahi hua, lekin isharaat is baat ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain ke yeh tor diya gaya hai, aur agle slide ko 1.2665 ke aas paas dekhne ka imkan hai. Ek neeche ki islah is waqt nazar aarahi hai, jis mein behtar hai ke ek silsile ke bearish candles shuru ho jayein taake bullish traders ko roka ja sake. Barhav ke jariye aage ki growwth ke liye, ek momentom ka rukawat ki umeed hai, jo munafa asaani se ikattha karne mein madad karega. Magar, yeh ahem hai ke is tarah ki stability ka mahaul tezi se kharab ho sakta hai, khaas tor par jab dono pair aur market makers ke liye badi raqam ka income ho. Mehngai ke potential munafa ke bawajood, is waqt bechne ka amal zyada mushkil hai is partnership ke high-income fitrat ki wajah se. Mazeed, prevailing trend ke liye support mashhoor indicators ke zariye mazboot kiya gaya hai.

Magar, mein adab se ikhtelaaf karta hoon ke baazaar ki mazbooti kisi bhi waqt kamzor hai. Uper aur neeche ki harkat ke qawaidon ka paalan karte hue, aik ahem monitoring pehlu 1.2590 par ek tor par hai jo maujooda kamzor ko update karne ke baad aata hai. Aise taraqqi ke ho jaane par, yeh ek zaroori tabdili ko zahir kar sakta hai baazaar ki dynamics mein. Mojudah sharaetaan 4 ghantay ke chart aur GBP/USD ke haftay ke chart ke saath milte julte hain. Khaas tor par, Jumeraat ko, GBP/USD ne 1.2610 tak pohanch gaya, Bollinger Bands par mazboot rukawat ka samna kiya. Is rukawat ne Bollinger Bands par higher close ko madde nazar rakha aur qeemat par asar dala. Is ke ilawa, 4 ghantay ke chart par, is higher close ne is haftay ke liye indicator ke darmiyan mein 1.2745 par jo mid-point hai, ko guzarne ka aadiat is momentum ka jari rakhne ka ishara kiya. 4 ghantay aur haftay ke chart ke darmiyan is milap ne is level par aane wale dinon mein is harkat ka jari rehne ka imkan ko ahem banaya.

British Pound (GBP) ab US Dollar (USD) ke khilaaf 1.2565 ke aas paas kuch tasalli dhoond raha hai, Asia ke Tuesday subah. Ye mustaqil pan haal hi mein pound ke mazeed izafaat ke baad aata hai, jo ke ek ghate hue USD aur investors ke darmiyan ek zyada musbat risk appetite ki wajah se chal raha hai. Magar, GBP ka mustaqbil ka rasta kuch khaas nahi hai, kyunke aham waqiyat asman mein chupe hue hain. GBP ke haal hi mein izafaat ke peechay bharpoor tor par USD ki kamzori hai. Is kamzori ki wajah se numaya afraad ki tabdeeliyon ke baare mein US Federal Reserve ke influential afraad, jese ke Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson ki tabdiliyon par raay hai. Ye afraad ne wazeh kiya hai ke maamooli dhaal ki muntazam karne ke liye mojooda interest rates ko barqarar rakha jana chahiye jab tak ke inflation ko ek wazeh aur mustaqil nizaam se neeche ki taraf nazar nahi aata. Ye aggressive rate hikes ki umeedon ko bujha deti hai, jo ke investors ke liye jinhe zyada munafa chahiye hota hai, USD ko kam attract karta hai.

Dosri taraf, ye bhi afraad hai ke Bank of England (BoE) agar is saal ke aakhir mein ek silsila dar silsila dar cuts shuru kar de. Market August mein ek potential 25 basis point cut ka intezar kar rahi hai, jise December tak ek ziada 50 basis point tak kaam mein lena mumkin hai. Ye nazariya UK ki iqtisadiyat ke sehat par baqi hai. Investors UK ke April employment data ki rehaai ke intezar mein hain, umeed hai ke is se economy aur BoE ki future monetary policy decisions ka pata chale. Ek ummed se zyada taqatwar jobs report dollar ke liye ek short-term boost faraham kar sakta hai. Magar, ye bhi BoE par dabao daal sakta hai ke wo inflation ke mukablay mein rates ko barhaane ke liye tayar ho, jo ke lambay arsay ke liye GBP/USD jodi ke liye rukawaton ka bazar bana sakta hai.

Technical perspective se, GBP/USD jodi ne haal hi mein 50-day moving average ko paar karne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya hai, jo ke overall trend ka ek ahem indicator hai. Ye nazrana ke kareebi support level 1.2299 par hai, jo ke paanch mahinay ka ek low hai. Is area ke neeche girne se jodi ko mazeed farokht karne ka dabao hosakta hai, jo ke November 2023 ke support zone 1.2189 ke aas paas pohanch sakta hai. Magar, umeedon ke liye bhi jagah hai. Agar kharidari ke interest mein dobara izaafa ho aur keemat downtrend line ke ooper chadhti hai, to GBP/USD ko April-May ke high ke qareeb 1.2565 par pehli resistance ka saamna karna pad sakta hai. Agar is level ko door se tor diya jata hai, to 1.2635 resistance zone ka imtihan liya ja sakta hai aur shayad April ke peak 1.2710 ko dobara test kiya ja sake.

GBP US dollar 1.2500 ke level ke oopar qaim hai Friday London session mein. GBP/USD pair ki takat dikh rahi hai jab haal hi mein UK ki ma'ashiyat mein behtar hone ka imkaan hai, lekin Bank of England ne buland interest rates ko barqarar rakha hai. S&P Global/CIPS ki aik pehli PMI report April ke liye, jo Tuesday ko shaya hui, ne dikhaya ke khidmati sektar mein buland karkardagi hai, jo manufacturing PMI ko chhorte hue puri karkardagi mein izafa ke lehaaz se aham hai. Data ne ye bhi zahir kiya ke khidmati sektar mein naye karobar ka inflow mazid mazboot hai.

Kuch Bank of England policymakers mutadid mahino mein inflation mein shadid girawat ka tasawwur rakhte hain lekin abhi tak interest rate cuts ka waqt tay nahi kar rahe hain. Wahi, investors apni tawajju ko March ke liye ahem Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index data par muntaqil kar rahe hain, jo 12:30 GMT par shaya hoga.

H4 chart par, 100-period moving average jo 1.2508 par hai woh support ka kaam kar raha hai, aur bears ko is level ke neeche aane ke liye 4-hour candle close chahiye taake woh 20-period moving average ki taraf le ja sakein jo 1.2465 par hai. Warna, 1.25248 ke upar close bull ke raaste ko khol deta hai 1.25771-1.2591 zone ki taraf, jahan 200-period moving average pair ke liye mazboot resistance faraham karega.

Mukhtalif US dollar ki ghair aasaniyon ke bawajood, mukhya pair par dabaav hai, walaqin US GDP growth figures kamzor aai hain. Nazaar andaz rahay ke mutawaqqa pehli taqreeb US GDP growth ki doran aane wale figures ne US dollar par dabaav daala hai. Tawajju Jumma ko US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index data par hogi.

Hourly chart par trend oopar ka raha hai, aur khareedne ke mauqay hafte ke control zone ke liye relevant hain 1.26023-1.26327, lekin yeh mukhtalif haftay ke liye shayad nishan hai. Main ek mazeed islah ko 1.2500-1.2465 maang zone ki taraf dekh raha hoon aur ek pattern ki shakal mein, 1.2550 tak khareedne ki soch raha hoon.

Ghanton ke chart par, GBP/USD jori ne peer ko 38.2% (1.2565) ke doran ek izaafi dar tak barhav dekha, phir us se ik islahati dhakka mila. Is tarah, US dollar ke favor mein ik ulta chaal ki gayi, jo 1.2517 ke darje tak ke ik mozu par girawat ki sambhavna darust karti hai. Jori ke maamer par 1.2565 ke darje ke ooper mustaqil hona agle 1.2611 ke darje tak mazeed barhne ki sambhavna ko barha dega. Lahraai ke haalaat bani rehti hain. Aakhri urdu lahr May 3 ko pehle ki lahr ke chhutkiyon ko paar kar bina khatam hui aur naye neeche ki lahr ka khel tay ho chuka hai shayad April 22 ke nichle darje ko toorna. Is tarah, GBP/USD jori ke liye trend "bhal" (jitna ajeeb bhi sunai de) rehta hai, sirf ik shakhsiyat ka shakhsi nishaan uska mukammal hone ka. Agar naye urooj shuruaat jo May 9 ko hui, May 3 se urooj ki chutkiyon ko paar kare to "bhal" trend ka ikhtetaam tasdeeq ho jayega. Magar, naye urooj ki bhi koi kamzor sakti hai. Us surat mein, bailon ki humla ki jari rahne ki salahiyat par shak rehta hai. Is subha Britain mein be-rozi ka report jaari hua. Is report ke mutabiq, maamlah march mein 4.3% tak barh gaya. Main is qeemat ko zyada buland nahi samajhta, magar be-rozi teen mahinon se barh rahi hai. Ye Britain ki ma'ashiyat ke liye bura hai, magar British pound aur uske farokhtguzaron ne ek baar phir manfi report par koi tawajjo nahi di. Britain mein be-rozi ke shumari april mein 85,000 ke damaan mein thi, jo karobariyon ke tawaqqaat se bohot behtar hai. Is report ne pound ko apni haisiyat qaim rakhnay aur market ko march mein be-rozi ke barhne ko nazar andaz karne ki ijaazat di. Akhri tanaza mein tanaza on wages ne 5.7% ki qeemat ka ailaan kiya, tadaadati tawaqqaat se bohot zyada hai. Umar phir se tawaqqa se zyada tezi se barh rahi hai, jo headlines aur core inflation ki ruki hui raftaar par manfi asar daal sakti hai. Ye Bank of England ko apni "pabandi" policy ko lamba samay tak barqarar rakhne ki ijaazat dega, jo British pound ko madad faraham karega.
4 ghanton ke chart par, jori ne 1.2450 ke darje se dhakka laga, jo 1.2620 ke darje tak ke mazeed chalte hue rukh ki jari rahne ki sambhavna darust karta hai. Market mein trader ki safai kam hai, aur mujhe aise koi khabar nahi soojhti jo bailon ko barqarar rakhne ka saath deti rahegi. Magar, ye inkaar nahi kiya ja sakta ke pound apne neeche ke trend channel se nikal kar barqarar rukh apna sakta hai.