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Mujhe Aussie par takneeki tajziya kiya hai, aur lagbhag sab timeframes par short janae ke signals mil rahe hain, magar haftay ka timeframe thora alag hai. Main ab 5 ghanton ka timeframe par tajziya kar raha hoon taake meri analysis sahi ho. Main yeh bhi highlight karna chahta hoon ke price ka formation ka pattern hai, jise head and shoulders pattern kehte hain. Agar hum patterns par analysis karte hain, toh hum bearish disha mein confidently trade kar sakte hain, kyun ke agla izafa taqwiyati hoga. Yahan, toh ye nahi pata ke impulse kitna lamba chalega, magar mujhe lagta hai ke ye zyada lamba nahi chalega. Isliye, 5 ghanton ke timeframe par sell position kholne ki ki konsort hai. Abhi ke liye itna hi, trading mein kamiyabi ki duaen! AUD/USD 1D Rozana ka timeframe thora uljhan mein hai, lagta hai ke price ne resistance level ko tor kar majbooti hasil ki hai, magar Williams ke mutabiq, humein downtrend ki taraf divergence nazar aata hai, aur candle mein volume kaafi kam hai, isliye main yahan par bhi short position lena behtar samajhta hoon. Hamara mukhya Aussie nishana 1.6565 range mein hone ki umeed hai, mukhtasaran, humein pehle is range ko guzarna hoga, aur uske baad hum 1.6575 range ko dekhein ge. Zayada thos tasdeeq ke liye, humein is range ke upar qayam karna chahiye, phir hi bechna ki surat mein ghor karna chahiye. 0.6566 se 0.64514 tak girne ke baad, ye maali sazish apna niche girne ka andaza rakhta hai aur dheere dheere uthne lagta hai. Ab isne 0.65545 ke level tak pohancha hai. Bazaar ke dynamics ka tajziya kar ke, ek price izafa ki umeed hai, shayad ek mabain muddat ke muddat ke sath. Ye pattern bazaar mein ek mukhtalif trend ki mumkin umeed dikhata hai. Haal hi ke is instrument ki harkatein kaafi numaya hain, jo daldal ke baad sakhti dikhate hain. Dheere dheere oopar ki taraf ki trajectory mein tabdili ka andaza hai, bazaar ke shirkat daron mein izafa ke sath is instrument ki qeemat par barhne wale itminan ko darust karte hue. Iske ilawa, mojooda darajat par qeemat ka mustiqil qaim rehna mabain muddat mein izafa ki mumkin umeed dikhta hai

Pichle din ke trading session mein, maine AUD/USD currency pair par bechne ki position shuru ki rate 0.6600 par, ek mumkin kami ko faida uthane k liye aur nishana exit point 0.6583 par rakha. Magar, raat ko baad mein market ki halat ko mukammal tajziya karne k baad, maine apni position ko dobara tafteesh karne ka faisla kiya. Soch samajh kar, maine tay kiya k neeche ki taraf momentum khatam ho raha hai, jis ne mujhe faida hasil karne k liye trade ko modest profit k sath band karne par majboor kiya. Piche ki soch mein, maine apne faislay ko dobara sochna shuru kiya.

Maujooda doran e farokht ki market halat tasleem karti hai k keemat 0.6573-0.6759 range ki taraf kami ki taraf jaa sakti hai. Phir bhi, aik mumkin manzar hai jahan keemat support range ko dobara dekhti hai aur quwwat haasil karne ki koshish karti hai. Behtar hota agar keemat seedha maujooda levels se ooper jaati. Magar, halaat ne nedae shahdat ko H4 time frame par bullish ehsas ko mutasir kiya hai, jaisa k ishaarat batati hai. Magar, aisay fluctuations market ki dynamics mein mojood hain.

Mere ibtedai nishana level 0.6553 par mushtamil hai, halat ki halat ki haqeeqat ko dekhte hue. Daily time frame par, pichle din ki keemat ne ek chhoti body wali mombatti banayi, jaisa k ek andar ka bar ya Doji hota hai. Ye market shirakat mein tawajjo ki kami ko darust karta hai aur keemat ki rukh ki ulti taraf ka ishara hai. Is liye, keemat ko maujooda levels se jaldi ooper jaane ka aghaz karna zaroori hai.

Khaas tor par, 0.6784 horizontal level ahem support ko pesh karta hai. Agar ek mombatti is level ke neeche band hoti hai, to yeh zyada nuqsaan deh nahi hoga, magar ye market ki umeedon par shak ki bijaye bo sakht. Mere maujooda nazarie mein, main darmiyani mor par trading ki gatishil rukh ka intezar kar raha hoon. Iske bajaye, main uparwale ehsas ki tasdeeq k liye ishaarat ki nigaah rakh raha hoon.



Ikhtisaar mein, jabki meri ibtedai trade modest profit k sath band hui, main ab zyada faida hasil karne ka mauka chuk gaya samajhta hoon. Maujooda market ki halat kehte hain k keemat mein neeche ki taraf kami ka mumkin manzar hai, phir support range se quwwat haasil karne ki koshish karte hue. Magar, keemat ko apni mansoobah bandi se jaldi palatna zaroori hai, khaaskar 0.6784 ahem support level ki ahmiyat ko dekhte hue. Aage ja kar, main market ki dynamics ko qareeb se nazar andaz karne ka iraada rakhta hoon aur apni trading strategy ko mojooda faida ka mauka hasil karne k liye munasib tor par tarteeb dena chahta hoon.

Daily Forecast for the AUD/USD


Aaj ke din ka tajziya AUD/USD ke liye:


Australia ke monetary policy aur doosre khabron ke mutabiq, haalaat acha nahi rahe. Is wajah se AUD/USD ka bazaar gir gaya aur kal 0.6618 zone tak pohanch gaya. Aaj, khareedari dubara 0.6646 zone ko paar karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Magar, AUD/USD se mutaliq incoming news data par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Iske ilawa, mojooda buyers ke asrat mein barqarar bharosa woh umeed ko barhawa dete hain ke upar ki keemat mein barqarar rahega. Kharidaron ki mazbooti se munsalik, keemat ke umeedwar izaafi mojoodgi ka daira-e-fikr ko barha deta hai jiske mutabiq achaar ikhtiyaar karne ka tajurba behtar halat ko pesh karta hai. Magar, is manzar mein hosh-o-hawas aur nafsiyat ki mohlik gardish aur jaldi shifts ki mumkinat ko pehchan kar is manzar mein chalna zaroori hai.



Aaj ke dour mein josh-o-kharosh ke manzar mein, wazeh hai ke kharidar apne aap ko markazi tor par dikhane ke liye masroof hain. Bazaar par kabza pane ki yeh koshish mojood hai, jo US news data ke aane ki maddat se mazboot hoti hai. Roz roz, aur AUD/USD ke mamlay mein, yeh kharidar apne qeemat ko barhane ka laalach rakhte hain, aik buland rukh jo barqarar lagta hai. Yeh unki zehniyat ka saboot hai ke woh asudgi ke sath agay barhte ja rahe hain, aik naye barhne ka pehlu jo barqarar lagta hai. Aaj, main prefer karta hoon ke AUD/USD par khareedari order lagaya jaaye. Aur, hum stop loss ko 0.6570 se neeche rakhsakte hain. Aakhir mein, aik sakh tarz-e-amal samne aata hai: mojooda momentum ka faida uthana, waqt par khareedari orders ke zariye. Mojooda halat unwaned maqasid ki taraf ishara karte hain, potantial faida haasil karne ke liye, kharidar apni charon aur chadhte hain. Umeed hai, AUD/USD ke daam baad mein humein mazeed khareedari mouke dain ge.

Ek bullish keemat ki karkardagi ka pattern 4 ghanton ke chart ke darmiyan channels ki darmiyan shaya hua tha, jahan pehle candle ko ghaat kar diya gaya tha, jo pehle wale candle ko gher ke liye jata tha, jo ke channels ke lines ko chhuta tha aur upar ki taraf uchhalta tha.

Is haftay ke doran, keemat ke channel ke andar ke aghaaz ke saath hi, keemat channels ke upper lines ke qareeb trading kar rahi thi, aur yeh middle lines of the channels tak giravat ki taraf bhaagti rahi, aur ab keemat upar ki taraf uchhal rahi hai, jaise ke is ki umeed hoti hai ke haftay ke resistance level 0.6684 tak pohanch jaye gi aur isay uchhaal diya jaye ga.

Is liye, humein keemat ke harkat ke liye do mumkinat hain, pehla upar ki taraf hai, aur is pe bharosa kiya ja sakta hai ke khareed sakte hain jab tak keemat channel ke beech ke lines ke ooper mazboot rahe.

Dusre mumkinat ke liye, jo ke ek giravat hai, is pe bharosa kiya ja sakta hai ke khareed sakte hain jab keemat channels ke middle lines ko todta hai.

Iqtisadi lehaz se, investors Reserve Bank of Australia ke policy faislay ke liye is hafte taiyar ho rahe hain. Australia ke markazi bank ke baare mein aam tor par yeh umeed ki jaati hai ke woh interest rates ko mustaqil rakhegi, lekin markets is par daal lagaye hue hain ke woh halat-e-mawad ke haalat ko dekhte hue ek zyada hawkish stance apnayegi.



Faida mand nisbat ka jadool data ke natijay ke mutabiq, Australia mein affectation rate pehle quarter mein 4.1 se gir ke 3.6 ho gaya, pichle paanch quarters se ghat raha tha, lekin yeh umeed se aage tha jo 3.4 thi. Mulk ki saalana CPI bhi March mein 3.4 se 3.5 tak barh gayi, jab ke February mein 3.4 thi, kisi bhi tabdeeli ke umeed ko mukhalfat karti hui. Bahar se, Australia ke bone ne bhi US ke bone ke qeemat mein tezi se girne se faida uthaya, jaise ke ittehad ke afsoos ko zyada umeed hai ke Federal Reserve is martaba do US ke interest rate cuts lagaega.

Trading plan mein kai takneeki dalail ko jama karke positions mein dakhil hone aur nikalne ka aik maqsad afzaar tareeqa tayyar kiya jata hai. Extended Regression StopAndReverse indicator ke sath RSI aur MACD ka istemal faisla sazi ke liye mazboot frame ka pehlu faraham karta hai.

Tajziya mein, pehle darja ki regression line ka niche ki taraf murawaj trend ki buland awaaz ko zor se zahir karta hai. Magar non-linear regression channel ka ooper shift mukhtasir halat ko izhar karta hai. Keemat ke amal ne neela support line ko choo kar phir wapas loutne se, girawat mein waqtan fawran rukawat ka ishaara diya, jis ke fauran keemat 0.66071 par trading kar rahi hai.



Doosri LevelSupLine par 0.66449 ke ooper wapas aur ikhtitam LR par 0.67122 ke golden average line ke upar ki manzoori, Fibonacci correction levels ke saath mutaabiq hai. In darjat ki milaap ke sabab in keemat ki ahmiyat ko barhawa milta hai.

Is ke ilawa, RSI aur MACD ke oversold readings bullish outlook ko mazbooti deti hain, long positions mein dakhil hone ka faisla tasdiq karte hain. Takneeki signals ka yeh jama hona trade setup mein itminan ko mazboot karta hai.

Efficiency ko behtari ke liye, plan Fibonacci levels ko potential exit points ka pehchanne ke liye shamil karta hai. Plan ko pabandi se anjam dene aur risk ko behtar tareeqay se manage karne se traders market ke fluctuations ko zyada durusti ke sath samajh sakte hain, jis se successful trades ke imkanat mein izafa hota hai.

Is mukammal trading strategy ko amal mein laane ke liye ibrat aur harkat mein tabdeel hote hue market ke halaat ka saath dena zaroori hai. Keemat ke amal ko musalsal nigrani karna aur zaroorat ke mutabiq plan ko adjust karna traders ko dosray se qadam aagay rehne mein madad karega aur opportunities ko behtar tareeqay se hasil karne mein madad karega.

AUD/USD:

Bearish Outlook


Rozana ke keemat ka chart ek bearish trend ko darust kar raha hai, jise kai technical factors ne sahara diya hai:

1. H-4 (4 ghante) waqt frame par bearish pattern: 4 ghante ka chart par ek bearish technical pattern bana hai, jo ke keemat ke upar negative dabao dene ka jariya hai.


2. Moving averages se negative dabao: Simple moving averages ke banne ka negative slope dikhata hai ke overall trend bearish hai.


In technical signals ke maddat se, mojooda intraday downtrend jari rahne ka imkan hai, pehla target 0.66280 par hai, phir "official watch station" par 0.6537, aur phir ek mazeed girawat ka imkan 0.66280 par hai.


Mumkin Bullish Reversal


Magar, technical analysis bhi yeh sujha rahi hai ke agar keemat 0.6380 ke upar stable tareeqe se trade kare, to ek bullish reversal ho sakta hai. Aise ek harkat bearish manzar ko rok degi aur jodi ki phir se bahaal hone ka rasta dikhayegi, ek shuruaati target ke aas paas 0.6640 aur phir ek mazeed 0.65730 ke uthaao tak.


Technical Indicators Ka Nazar Rakna Ki Ahmiyat


Is halat mein dekhe jane wale ahem technical indicators hain moving averages, jo overall trend direction ka signal de rahe hain, aur khaas chart patterns, jo short-term keemat ke harkaton mein izafa faraham kar rahe hain.



Karobariyon aur investors ko in technical factors ko nazdeek se nigrani mein rakhna chahiye taake bazar ka rukh maloom karein aur mogheya trading opportunities ko pehchan sakein. Mojooda technical pehluo ko samajh kar, bazar ke shirkiin zyada maqbool faislay kar sakte hain aur tabdeel hone wale bazar ke mahaulon ka faida utha sakte hain.


Ahem hai ke technical analysis ko doosri tajziyat ke sath istemal kiya jaye, jaise ke bunyadi analysis, taake bazar ke dynamics ka zyada kashaar aur maqbool faislay kiye jaa sakein.

Australian dollar ki koshish hoti hai ke wo early trading mein rally karay lekin thori dair baad momentum kho baithi, aur 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke aas paas ghoome rehti hai. Is level ki bohat ahmiyat hai jo ke ek wide consolidation range ka markaz hai, jahan 0.6450 neechay ki had aur 0.6650 ooper ki had hai.

Jumeraat ko intezar mein muntazir jobs report ke saath market activity samajhdaari se mutawazi hui hai, investors shamil hone se gurez hain. Mojudah Australian dollar ki giraawat aane waale economic news par ehtiyaat bhari nazar ko dikhata hai. Consolidation range yeh bata rahi hai ke traders apni positions ko rakhe hue hain, kisi khaas catalyst ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo agla bara kadam dikhaye.

Industry news thori muddat ke liye volatility faraham kar sakti hai, lekin agar kuch khaas nahi hota to bazaar wapas apne haalat ki flat rahay gi. Australian dollar jo ke consolidation mein atak gaya hai, dono rukh mein koi qadam uthna bohot kam mumkin nazar ata hai. Yeh trade circulation pattern bade currency pairs mein bhi dekha ja sakta hai, jaise ke euro ke sath US dollars.



Is surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, maamooli siyat ki aslaah dene ke liye Australian dollar ke jaise pairs ko bhi shamil karna faydemand hai. US dollar ke sentiment ko asal tor par samjha ja sakta hai ke Australian dollar kaise dusre bade currencies ke sath chal raha hai. Yeh bara market dynamics ko taez raftar se jaane ka ek zariya ho sakta hai.

Aakhir mein, agar mool aabadi ke iqtisadi aur geopolitical halaat mein koi tabdeeli na aaye, to Australian dollar mojudah level par nisbatan mustaqil reh sakta hai. Agar kisi naye mareez ko dekha jaye to traders agle bade dhamake tak dusri assests par tawajjo dainge jo ke ziada sakri hai.

AUD/USD H4 waqt se
AudUsd currency pair ke bazaar ke dynamics ka moolahiza karte hue, khaaskar H4 time frame par price fluctuations ko tafseel se ghoornay par zahir hota hai ke mojooda trend khaaskar Uptrend rukh ki taraf mael hai. Ye tajziyah aur mazeed saboot milta hai hafta warana time frame par aane wale bazaar ke mahol ka gahra jaiza, jo ke pehchanne wala hai ke manzar-e-aam mein ek saaf bullish jazba hai.
Is sarasar manzar ke tahat, agla trading dora maqwah satah ko uthne ke liye pota hai ke prices mein izafa mumkin hai, khaaskar jab candlestick charts mehsoos karte hain ke unka ek wazeh rujhan hai ke unki irtifa mein izafa ho raha hai, khaas tor par ehm 0.6558 darja ki taraf ikhtiyaar karne ki koshish ki gayi hai. Halankeh, mojooda waqt par price rukh apne buland rukh ko barqarar rakhta hai, 0.6541 nishan par ghoome huye, ek rukh jo peechli raat ki izafati run se sath barqarar hai.



Aham ehmiyat ka nishan hai ke khareedne walon ki thos himmat hai jo ke bechnay walon ki taraf se prices ko mashriq ki taraf le jane ke liye kisi bhi sathi koshish ka jawab dete hain. Is maqbool muqablay ke jawaz mein ghuzarna, mazeed sathetik surat mein 100 darja ki nukta ka khaas nishan hai, jo ke is ahem khatt ko barqarar rakhta hai. 100 darja ke is sthayi bandobast ki bunyadi satha, mojooda bullish momentum ko darust karne wale maqamat ki bhi shahadat hai.
Jab hum bazaar ke dynamics ki peshkash mein gehra hotay hain, to paish e nazar hai ke mojooda jazba mazeed ummeed par mabni hai, jis ke sath ek satha bullish tasur bazaar ki harkat ko nirdharit karta hai. Ye bullish tasur, khareedne walon dwaara pesh ki gayi sakht himmat ke sath mil kar, foran trading ke manzar mein ek barqarar buland rukh ki buland ihtimal ki bulandiyon ko izhar karta hai.

AUD/USD

Bearish pressure jo ke sellers ne Tuesday ko daala tha, ab bhi prices ko nichlay zone tak kamzor nahi kar saka. Prices phir se barh rahe hain. Agar hum AudUsd market ki price movement pattern ko H4 time frame par dekhen, to meri raay mein market trend zyada tar Uptrend side par chalne ka zyada imkaan hai, ye haalat haftay ke time frame par market ki halat ke mutabiq hai jo ke bullish nazar aata hai. Isliye meri raay mein agle trading doraan ke liye asal mein ek izafa ka mauqa hai, khaaskar jab candlestick 0.6558 ilaqa ko nazar andaz karne ki koshish kar raha hai, abhi price 0.6541 ke moqam tak barh raha hai jo ke raat ke izafay ko jari rakhta hai. Khareedne wale ka kamiyabi se bechnay walon ki koshish ko kam karne mein madad ka aur mauqa bullish jaari rehne ka behtar amal hai.
Meri raay mein, candlestick ki position abhi bhi 100 dino ka simple moving average line ke oopar hai, jo ke ek ishaara hai ke market ko bullish side ki taraf barhne ka zyada imkaan hai. Magar, bullish market ke darmiyan, agle trading doraan mein zyada drastic downward correction ka ek mauqa bhi hai jo ke 0.6473 ilaqa ke qareeb aa sakta hai, shayad ye price ko downtrend side par le aaye. Isliye is haftay ke ant tak ke trading doraan mein main market ki halat ka intizaar karne ka rujhan rakhta hoon jo ke barhne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar candlestick 0.6566 ilaqa tak uth sakti hai, to main ek BUY position lenay ka iraada karta hoon, target shayad 0.6603 ilaqa tak barhna ho. Lagta hai ke barhne ka trend ab bhi nisbatan mazboot hai, jo meri raay mein agle haftay ke bullish trend ka aik signal hai.