gbp/usd

British pound (GBP) US dollar (USD) ke khilaf larh rahi hai jab dollar teesri musalsal din mazboot hota hai. GBP/USD jori waqt ke early Asian trade mein 1.2495 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai, jo ke aik ehtiyaat bhara market sentiment ke saath hai pehle Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate faislay ke samne jo ke aaj ke din ke baad mein aayega. BoE se koi interest rates mein tabdeeli ka intezaar nahi hai. Ye ehtiyaat dusre economic data releases aur Thursday ke liye mukarrar hone wale events ke darmiyan aata hai. US apni haftay ki ibtedai jobless claims data jari karega, jo ke Federal Reserve ke afisa Mary Daly ki taqreer se baad mein hoga. Is hafte ke pehle, major US economic data releases ki ghair mojoodgi ne traders ko Fed policymakers ki taqreeron par tawajjo denay par majboor kiya. Ye taqreerain hawkish thi, jo ke inflation ka mukabla karne ke liye interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ki jari rahi. Boston Fed President Susan Collins ne inflation ko maqsood 2% target tak lana ke liye interest rates ko lambay arzi dor tak buland rakhne ki zaroorat ko dafa kiya. Mutabiqan, New York Fed President John Williams aur Minneapolis Fed President Nir Kashkari ne apne tawajju ko mojooda interest rate levels ko lambi arzi dor tak barqarar rakhne ki taraf darust kiya. Ye hawkish manazirat USD ko support diya aur GBP/USD pair par dabao dala.
GBP/USD pair ne haal hi mein nashronuma hone ke signs dikhaye, jab ye 1.2298 ke paanch mahinay ke low se chakar khaya aur waqtan-fa-waqtan 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ko paar kar gaya. Magar, ye momentum jab pair ne 50-day moving average ko torne mein nakam raha aur uske baad March se sthaapit downtrend line ke neeche gira. Agar yeh neeche ki dabao mazid qaim rehti hai, to GBP/USD ke daam April ke support level 1.2405 ko dobara dekh saktay hain. Mazeed nuksan panch mahinay ke low 1.2298 tak pohanch sakta hai. Is area ke neeche girne se daam November 2023 ke support level 1.2186 tak pohanch sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar kharidari ke dilchaspi mein ek dobala ho jo daam ko downtrend line ke upar daba sakti hai, to April-May resistance zone 1.2564 pehla rukawat ban sakti hai. Is area ko torne ka faisla daam ke 1.2632 ke aas paas ek mumkin mor par raasta khol sakta hai. Us level ko paar karna April peak 1.2708 ka imtehaan le sakta hai, jo ke ek mazboot rukawat ka point ban sakta hai. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/USD pair haal hi mein ek neeche ki rah par raha hai, jo ke aham 50-day moving average ko dobara hasil nahi kar paaya. Iski short-term outlook ko behtar banane ke liye, pair ko apni upar ki potential ko roknay wali downtrend line ko decisively torne ki zaroorat hai. Anay wale BoE interest rate faislay aur US se economic data releases, qareebi mustaqbil mein GBP/USD ke rukh ko mutasir karne wale ahem factors honge.

Salam, GBP/USD Asian session mein 1.2490 ke aas paas trading kar raha hai aur ye apne nuksaan ke silsile ko teesri muddat tak barha raha hai. Thursday ko Bank of England ka interest rate faisla hai, jahan interest rates ki tawaqa ye hai ke wo 5.25% par qaim rahenge. GBP/USD ne 200-day simple moving average jo ke filhal 1.2550 par hai se nichay band kiya, jab isse pehle saptah mein us level ko paar karne mein nakam ho gaya tha. Iske ilawa, 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40 ke neeche gir gaya, jo nazdeeki technical outlook mein ek bearish mounasib ka nazar aata hai. Neeche, 4-hour chart par 200-period SMA 1.2480 par agla resistance banata hai, pehle 1.2450 (latest downtrend ka Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) aur 1.2400 (static level, psychological level). Foran resistance 1.2500 (static level, psychological level) par mojud hai pehle 1.2530 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) aur phir 1.2550 (200-day SMA). GBP/USD ko mazid bearish dabao se mukhaalfat ka samna karna pada aur Tuesday ko lagbhag 0.5% nuksan uthaya. Dolar (USD) cautious market sentiment se faida uthata raha Tuesday ko aur GBP/USD par bhari hui. Iske ilawa, Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neil Kashkari ke baaz bayaanat ne USD ko uthaya aur pair ke slide ko barhaya. Kashkari ne kaha ke housing market tight fiscal policy se zyada mazboot sabit ho raha hai aur kaha ke barhte hue inflation se sawalon par sawal khada ho raha hai ke kitna sakhti se policy ki ja rahi hai. Rate outlook par, unho ne maana ke zyada tawaqa hai ke rates lambay arse tak beghair tabdeeli ke rehenge lekin agar inflation control mein aa gaya toh mazeed karvahi bhi mumkin hai. US economic docket mein koi bhi high-level data jaari nahi kiya jayega, lekin Federal Reserve Board of Governors Vice Chair Philip Jefferson, Boston Fed President Susan Collins aur Governor Lisa Cook baad mein US session mein bayaanat denge.

M15 Minute Timeframe Outlook:

M15 minute ki dafa mein price chart ka tajziya karne par hum dekhte hain ke linear regression channel ka slope mustaqil tor par buland hai, jo ke market mein buyers ka mukhtalif asar darshata hai. Ye kharidne ke mauqe paida kar sakta hai, lekin kharidne ka faisla karne ke liye aapko intezar karna chahiye ke linear regression channel bhi higher H1 interval par oopar ki taraf maaqoolat karne lage. Main 1.24847 ke level se kharidne ki mumkinahat ko madde nazar rakhta hoon, lekin main bechne walo ki dynamics ko bhi qareeb se dekhunga jo is level se prices ko kam kar sakte hain. Agar yeh hota hai aur prices 1.24847 ke neeche consolidate hote hain, to yeh ishara ho sakta hai ke higher H1 timeframe par bechnay wale trend ka jari rakhna. Is maamle mein, main kharidne ka faisla tab tak mawqe par taal dunga jab tak market ki taraf buyers ke iltiqa ka tasdeeq fixed price 1.25267 ke level ke upar hone se sabit ho.

H1 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

Mein ghanton ke chart par market data ka tajziya karta hoon. Iss waqt, main market mein taqatwar bearish trend dekhta hoon. Mera mansooba yeh hai ke waqt dhoondho jab price channel ke upper boundary 1.25267 tak pohanchte hai. Jaise hi main is situation ko dekhta hoon, main assets ko 1.24479 ke level tak farokht karne ka mauqa dhoondhunga. Agar price profit level ko todti hai, to yeh bearish safar jari rakhne ka ishara hoga. Halaanki, main tasleem karta hoon ke iske baad ek upward correction bhi ho sakta hai, isliye market ko nazarandaz karna aur bullon se mutaliq kisi bhi sakti ke liye tayaar rehna zaroori hai. Main hamesha market ke tabadlo par nazar rakhunga aur agar zarurat pare to apna mansooba tabdeel karne ke liye tayar hoon, kyunke samajhna zaroori hai ke agar 1.25267 level ko bullon ne guzar diya, to yeh market mein bullish interest ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo ke situation ka dobara tehqiq karne aur farokht ko mansoob karne ka matlab ho sakta hai. Mein hamesha market ki shariyaat ke tabadlo par amal karta hoon aur agar zarurat ho to apna mansooba tabdeel karne ke liye tayar hoon. Nihayat mein, mera maqsad zyada se zyada munafa hasil karna hai, aur is ke liye market ki har tabdiliyon ki tayari hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Intehai shauq se intezar ka aghaz ghata hua rasta ab tak haqeeqat mein aya hai, jise market mein dakhil honay ka irada rakhte hue currency pair ko bechnay ke liye ek moqa paida hua hai. Aise nichlay pheroun ka aghaz aksar keemat ke achanak badalne ki fitrat ki wajah se kafi munafa la sakti hai, kyunke price ki tabdiliyon ki tawajju paida karti hai. Khaas tor par, pair ke peechlay buland rukh mein logic ke asal bunyadi asaar dikhayi nahi diye, jo isay sudhaar ki taraf mutassir banata hai. Magar, abhi bhi maujooda keemat ko mazeed upar ki taraf janib le jane ki sambhavna hai. 1.2590 range ke oopar faisla karne ke baad, aur uske baad muddat se muddat ke doran consolidation, yeh ek wazeh signal hoga ek bullish trend ke liye. Halankeh, abhi maine GBP/USD ke 1.2625 range ke andar ek trade shuru kiya hai, jiske irade upar zikar ki gayi seviyat ko todne ki hain. 1.2555 par ek nichli keemat ka daura tab suru hoga jab market dynamics se saath milayega. Jab hasil hoga, toh yeh aage ki taraf janib uthne ka ek safarishi pad ban sakta hai.

Ek sudharati murna pehle se hi anjam diya gaya hai, jiske baad trading range ke dauran 1.2540 ke aaspass manzoori milti hai. Yeh consolidation mudda price discovery aur market ki tajziyaat ka ek dor darust karta hai, jo traders ko future ki mumkin raftaroon ke bare mein qeemti insights faraham karta hai.

Ikhtisasi tor par, tabdeel honay wale market shuruaat mein mojood hawaalay ek strategy ki taraf ishara dete hain jo mojooda keemat ke movement ko faida uthane ke liye hai. Jabke maujooda focus nichli raftar ko istemal karne par hai, hoshyari aur samajhdari ke saath market mein koi mohlik palat ke ishara ka pata lagana zaroori hai. In tahreerat ko behtareen taur par chalana ke zariye, traders apne aap ko currency market ke dynamic manzar mein faida mand mouqayon ko qaboo mein la sakte hain.

GBP/USD jodi ka tajziya karte hue, hamara tawajjo 1.2780 ke ahem resistance level par hai. Yeh darja wazehi itni ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunki yeh daily chart par SMA-50 ke saath milta hai. Halanke haal ki data yeh dikhata hai ke jodi ne is darja ko ek lamha ke liye toora phir piche hat gaya, lekin is ke oopar maxil bandish ka dawam nahi tha kafi arsay tak. Agar jodi ko 1.2780 ko paar karne mein kamyabi milti hai aur din ke oopar band hoti hai, to yeh ek mumkin uptrend ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo mukhtalif hafton tak barh sakta hai. Yeh tawil ke waqt ka ek layeha hai ke mojooda flat phase panchwein wave ki daily time frame par ek theek karne wali surat-e-haal ka charwaheez darja hai, jismein mumkin upside momentum ka nishana 1.2800 hai. Magar, bazar ka rad-e-amal ghair yaqeeni hai, aur hum ihtiyaat se kaam karne ka imkan samajhte hain. 1.2750 se peechay hatne se 1.2760 ki taraf ek pullback ho sakta hai, jisse 1.2790 ke par qeemat ka price action nigrani karna zaroori hai. Khaas taur par, aaj ke dynamics ko US dollar ka mazboot hona gehri asar daal raha hai, jo tajziya ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai.

Daily time frame ka gehri mulaahiza karta hai to yeh batata hai ke 1.2780 ke oopar mulaahiza bandish ki kami hai. Magar, agar jodi is resistance level ko paar kar leti hai aur din ke oopar band hoti hai, to yeh ek potential bullish momentum ka ishara ho sakta hai. Aise halat mein, ek tajziya hosakta hai ke daily chart par barhne ki paanchwein wave ko rasta mil sakta hai. Mojooda theek karne wali surat-e-haal yeh dikhata hai ke chal rahe flat correction ko chaarwaheez wave ke taur par samjha ja sakta hai, jo ek mumkin uparward movement ki bunyad bana sakta hai. Is maamlay mein, ek umeedwar nazar ek qareebi dor mein jodi ka nishana 1.2800 mark ho sakta hai. Magar, bazaar dynamics pani jaise hain, aur dekha jayega ke aane wale sessions mein jodi kaise pesh aati hai.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD ne Jumma ke Asian ghanton mein 1.2540 qareeb tezi se barha, jab UK ka pehle maheenay ke Gross Domestic Product data acha aya. GDP (QoQ) 0.6% barh gaya, jo ke achi tarah se 0.4% ke expectations ko peechay chor diya, peechlay maheenay ke 0.3% ke ghatey ke ulte. Mazeed, GDP (YoY) 0.2% barh gaya, peechlay girawat se jo ke 0.2% thi. Lekin, Bank of England ne Thursday ko interest rates ko 5.25% par rakhne ka faisla karne ke baad Pound Sterling (GBP) ko challenges ka samna karna para. Reuters ne BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ke post-decision press conference mein kaha ke "agley maheenay ka rate cut mumkin hai," lekin wo inflation, activity aur labor market data ko dekhenge phir faisla karenge. Is ne future rate cuts ke imkanat ko barha diya, British pound par dabao dalte hue aur GBP/USD pair ko kamzor kar diya.

Phir, US Bureau of Labor Statistics ne data jaari kiya ke logon ki unemployment benefits claim karne wale logon ki tadad expectations ko paar kar gayi. Initial jobless claims May 3 tak 231,000 tak barh gaye, 210,000 ke expectations ko paar karke aur peechle haftay ke 209,000 ke reading se izafa hua. Ye ek mumkin shift ko darust kar sakta hai Federal Reserve ki less hawkish policy approach ki taraf, jo ke US Treasury yields par dabao dal kar aur US dollar ko nuksan pohncha sakta hai. Jumma ko, preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index mein May mein halka giravat ka intezar hai. Ye index ek survey hai jo US consumer sentiment ko dekhta hai, jo ke personal finances, business conditions, aur shopping conditions ko cover karta hai.

GBP/USD
British pound ne apne aapko neutral territory mein phansa hua paaya jab ke Monday ka New York trading session shuru hua. GBP/USD pair ne market participants ke intezaar mein rukhne ka aml dikhaya jab ke ahem US data - March ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) ka izhaar, jo Wednesday ko scheduled hai, ka intezaar tha. Ye inflation report Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ke raaste par roshni daalega, khaaskar ke June se shuru hone wale interest rate cuts ke maamle mein. Is doran, US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke sab se ahem currencies ke ek basket ke muqablay mein dollar ki taqat ko dekhta hai, takreeban 104.30 ke qareeb pohanch gaya. Ye izafa market sentiment mein tabdeeli ko darust karta hai. Pehle, ek maayusi US rozgar report ke zariye chal rahe tha, umeedain Federal Reserve ke June mein interest rate cut cycle ko shuru karne ki taraf thi. Magar haal hi mein mazboot rozgar data ne is manzar ko mushtariq kya hai. Report ne dikhaya ke US employers mein mazboot kaam ki taalab jaari hai, halankeh Federal Reserve ne 5.25% se 5.50% tak ke interest rate range ko taal diya hai.
Dariyafti mein, Bank of England (BoE) mukhtalif halaat ka samna kar rahi hai. Jab ke UK mein price pressures mein kami ki alaamat saamne aarahi hain, toh investor ki umeedain BoE interest rate cut ke liye June ki meeting se barh gayi hain. Is haftay, data releases pound ke rukh ka chabak dene wale hain. Jumma ko UK ka maheenaywi GDP figures aur February ka factory data ka izhaar hoga. Khaas tor par, S&P Global/CIPS ne hal hi mein riwayati tor par UK Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) ke barhne ka izhaar kiya hai, jo 20 mahinon ki girawat streak ko todta hai. Technically, GBP/USD abhi daily timeframe par ek descending channel pattern ke andar trade kar raha hai. Ye pattern ek downtrend ko darust karta hai, jahan market participants ko kisi bhi pullback ko bechne ka mauka samjha jata hai. Magar pound ke bulls ke liye ek roshni ki kiran bani rehti hai. 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2570 ke aas paas hai, jo ek mumkin support level ka kaam kar sakta hai. Neeche ki taraf, psychological level 1.2500, jo December 8th ke low ke saath milti hai, bhi support faraham kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI), ek momentum indicator, abhi takreeban 40.00 ke aas paas mojood hai. Is level ke nichle girne se pound ke liye ek moghtalif kamiyabi ki taraf ishara ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD Asian session mein 1.2490 ke aas paas trading kar raha hai aur ye apne nuksaan ke silsile ko teesri muddat tak barha raha hai. Thursday ko Bank of England ka interest rate faisla hai, jahan interest rates ki tawaqa ye hai ke wo 5.25% par qaim rahenge. GBP/USD ne 200-day simple moving average jo ke filhal 1.2550 par hai se nichay band kiya, jab isse pehle saptah mein us level ko paar karne mein nakam ho gaya tha. Iske ilawa, 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40 ke neeche gir gaya, jo nazdeeki technical outlook mein ek bearish mounasib ka nazar aata hai. Neeche, 4-hour chart par 200-period SMA 1.2480 par agla resistance banata hai, pehle 1.2450 (latest downtrend ka Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) aur 1.2400 (static level, psychological level). Foran resistance 1.2500 (static level, psychological level) par mojud hai pehle 1.2530 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) aur phir 1.2550 (200-day SMA). GBP/USD ko mazid bearish dabao se mukhaalfat ka samna karna pada aur Tuesday ko lagbhag 0.5% nuksan uthaya. Dolar (USD) cautious market sentiment se faida uthata raha Tuesday ko aur GBP/USD par bhari hui. Iske ilawa, Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neil Kashkari ke baaz bayaanat ne USD ko uthaya aur pair ke slide ko barhaya. Kashkari ne kaha ke housing market tight fiscal policy se zyada mazboot sabit ho raha hai aur kaha ke barhte hue inflation se sawalon par sawal khada ho raha hai ke kitna sakhti se policy ki ja rahi hai. Rate outlook par, unho ne maana ke zyada tawaqa hai ke rates lambay arse tak beghair tabdeeli ke rehenge lekin agar inflation control mein aa gaya toh mazeed karvahi bhi mumkin hai. US economic docket mein koi bhi high-level data jaari nahi kiya jayega, lekin Federal Reserve Board of Governors Vice Chair Philip Jefferson, Boston Fed President Susan Collins aur Governor Lisa Cook baad mein US session mein bayaanat denge.

The British Pound is currently trading near its lowest point this week, hovering around $1.2500, as investors cautiously await the Bank of England's interest rate decision. The Bank is widely expected to maintain the current rate of 5.25%, but investors are more interested in clues about potential rate cuts in the future. Some policymakers, like Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, anticipate inflation falling back to the Bank's target of 2% within the next three years and are likely to advocate for a rate cut. They cite a recent Bank of England survey indicating a decline in inflation expectations for the upcoming years, coupled with a decrease in expected wage growth. However, despite these positive indications, the Bank is unlikely to signal a change in its hawkish stance at this time. It is anticipated that the Pound will remain within its recent trading range, and any significant movement will depend on breaking key technical levels.







For the Pound to strengthen, it would need to convincingly surpass $1.2545, which corresponds to the 200-day moving average. If it manages to exceed this level and continues its upward trajectory, it could potentially reach the 2024 high of $1.2893 or even the psychological level of $1.3000. Conversely, if the Pound loses momentum, it could retreat towards its recent low of $1.2299. A further decline below this level would be significant and might lead to a drop towards the October 2023 low of $1.2037. If bearish pressures persist, the price may find support at the April level of 1.2405, with the five-month low of 1.2298 potentially marking the end of further declines. However, if the price dips below this zone, it might encounter the November 2023 support level of 1.2186.

On the other hand, the 1.2564 April-May resistance zone could act as the first line of defense if buyers reemerge and push the price back above the declining trendline. Overall, the near-term direction of the Pound hinges on the Bank of England's policy decision and its impact on investor sentiment. While a rate cut may not be on the cards today, indications of easing inflation and wage growth could offer some support for the Pound in the longer term.

The British pound continues to face challenges against the US dollar, extending its recent downtrend. During Thursday's early Asian trading session, the GBP/USD pair was hovering around 1.2489, burdened by multiple factors. Firstly, there's a sense of caution prevailing in the market ahead of the Bank of England's (BoE) interest rate decision later in the day. While no change in rates is expected, Thursday's economic calendar is packed with other potentially impactful events, fostering a cautious atmosphere and dampening risk appetite, thereby exerting pressure on currencies like the pound.

Secondly, the US dollar has been strengthening for the third consecutive day, largely driven by recent hawkish remarks from key Federal Reserve officials. Earlier this week, with no major US economic data releases, traders' attention shifted to comments from Fed policymakers, all of which emphasized the Fed's commitment to raising interest rates to combat inflation. Boston Fed President Susan Collins underscored the necessity of sustained high interest rates to curb inflation and bring it down to the Fed's desired target of 2%. Similarly, both New York Fed President John Williams and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari expressed their preference for maintaining current rate levels in the long run. These hawkish stances have bolstered the USD, adding pressure on the GBP/USD pair.

Although the pound had shown tentative signs of recovery recently, bouncing off a five-month low of 1.2300 and briefly surpassing its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), its momentum stalled as the pair failed to breach the crucial 50-day moving average and subsequently fell back below the downtrend line established in March. If this downward pressure persists, the GBP/USD could retest its April support level at 1.2410, with further losses potentially reaching the five-month low of 1.2300. A breach below this area could trigger a more significant drop towards the November 2023 support level of 1.2195.

Conversely, a resurgence of buying interest could propel the pair above the downtrend line. In such a scenario, the April-May resistance zone of 1.2567 would serve as the initial hurdle. A decisive break above this area could signal a potential turning point, with the pair potentially targeting 1.2635. Surpassing that level could lead to a test of the April peak at 1.2710, which might act as a strong resistance point.

The near-term outlook for the GBP/USD remains uncertain. The pair's inability to reclaim the key 50-day moving average raises concerns. The upcoming BoE decision and US economic data releases will play a pivotal role in determining the GBP/USD's future trajectory. A hawkish stance from the BoE or inflationary concerns reignited by US data could exert further downward pressure on the pound. Conversely, a dovish BoE or positive US data surprises could potentially offer some support for the GBP/USD pair.

GBPUSD: Bullish above the level of 1.2530, targeting the levels of 1.2600 and 1.2660

* Bearish prospects below the psychologically significant level of 1.2500 with potential targets at 1.2430, 1.2400 and 1.2360

GBPUSD currency pair ki rozana trading ka diagram ek bearish market ka tasawar pesh karta hai. Relative Strength Index, 50.00 ke neeche, bearish mode mein hai aur mujhe umeed hai ke keemat mutabiq giray gi. Meri trading ke nazariye se, keemat aane wale douran 1.2450 ke darja tak giray gi. Is darja ke neeche girne ka kamyab tajziyah is darja ko 1.2430 ke darja ko khole ga, phir psychological level 1.2400 ko nishana banayega. Agar bearish movement mazboot hai, to hum charts mein 1.2360 ke darja ko dekh sakte hain. Doosri taraf, agar keemat 1.2450 ke darja ke neeche girne mein kamyab nahi hoti, to phir yeh psychological level 1.2500 ki taraf barhegi. Jab yeh darja par kar liya jata hai, to agla nishana 1.2530 hoga, jise 1.2600 ke girdobandi darja ka daura bhi samjha ja sakta hai. Agar bull is darja ke oopar barh jate hain, to woh keemat ilaqay 1.2650/1.2660 ki taraf nishana banaenge.







Rozana trading diagram par mazeed bearish outlook ko tasdeeq karte hue 4 ghante ke trading chart mein. Yahan par, Relative Strength Index ek mukammal bearish tayar setting mein hai aur mujhe umeed hai ke keemat mutabiq giray gi. Ek technical nazarie se, daramad 1.2450 ke darja tak giray gi aur is se neeche se guzarne par darajay 1.2400 ke girdobandi darja ko layenge. 1.2400 ki had ka tootna naye forokht karne wale ko bazaar mein kheenchega. Ab, bear 1.2360 ke darja ko nishana banaenge. Magar agar downside movement nakam hoti hai, to upar keemat ke dyanam ko wapas aega, jo psychological level 1.2500 ki taraf nishana banayega. Is darja ke oopar 1.2530, 1.2600 aur shayad 1.2660 ke darajay hain. Abhi, khatray neeche ki taraf mael hain, is liye main is bazaar mein farokht karne ki mauqay ki talaash karunga. Chalein dekhte hain agla kya hota hai. Aap sab ko mehfooz rahne ki dua hai, aur kamiyabi ki umeed hai.

GBP/USD ke pair haal hi mein tezi se neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, jo is trend ke jari rehne ka ishaara hai. Lekin, yaad rakhiye ke market aksar lambi chalne ke baad pullbacks ka samna karti hai aur neeche ki raftar jald hi u-turn kar sakti hai. Pullback zaroori hai taake jama howi qarz ya overextended positions ko saaf kiya ja sake pehle ke neeche ka rukh araam se jaari ho sake. Tehqeeq ke mutabiq, indicators bearish raftar ko zahir karte hain, jo darust hai ke sellers market par qabu rakhte hain. Iske saath, pair ne kal ek bechne ka ishaara diya hai, jo bearish outlook ko mazboot karta hai. Traders ko hoshyar rehna chahiye aur potential trading opportunities ke liye ahem support aur resistance levels ko nigrani mein rakhein. Agar pair apni mojooda keematon se wapas chala gaya hai, to traders mojooda support levels ke qareeb short positions mein dakhil hone ki opportunities talash kar sakte hain, trend ke waqtan-fa-waqtan u-turn ka faida uthate hue. Ehtiyaat aur tasdeeqi ishaaron ka intezaar karna qabal az ke kisi bhi trade ko shuru karne se pehle ahem hai. Pullbacks aksar dhokaybazi ka

shikaar ho sakte hain, aur traders ko short positions ko ikhtiyar karne se pehle wazeh nishanat ka intezaar karna chahiye ke neeche ka rukh dobara shuru ho chuka hai. Agar pair bina kisi numaya pullback ke apna neeche ka rukh jaari rakhta hai, to traders mojooda short positions ko qaim rakne ka ya new short positions mein dakhil hone ke opportunities talash kar sakte hain jo ke resistance levels ke qareeb phir se aa sakte hain. GBP/USD pair ke nazdeek ke dauraan mazeed neeche ki taraf jaane ka imkaan hai, is liye traders ko maxil bane rehne aur apni strategies ko mawqe ke mutabiq tarteeb dene ki zaroorat hai. Sabar, discipline, aur qareebi qeemat ka tafteesh kar ke, traders market ko samajh sakte hain aur trading opportunities ka faida utha sakte hain jab ke risk ko munasib tareeqay se manage kar sakte hain.

Meri pichhli report mein, maine chhota masla hal karne ke liye pound ko bechnay ke baare mein bataya tha. Qeemat ne girawat ki aur kuch nuqsan chhod gaya. Aaj FOMC ne sood dar ko barha diya. Yeh pound ko 1.2330 ke level tak le aaya. Sterling ne pichhle hafte ke dauran trade kiye gaye range se bahar nikalne ki koshish jaari rakhi. Pichhli kami ke baad 1.2308 tak ki keemat lagbhag wapas aa gayi aur barqarar rahi. Ab yeh 1.2430 ke level ko touch kar rahi hai, lekin zyada se zyada ko nahi pakad pa rahi hai aur peeche hat rahi hai. Magar, 1.2473 pe support mil gaya hai. Isne unchi se unchi levels se barhne aur phir resistance 1.2524 ke ooper wapas aane ka mauka diya. Chart neeche dekhen: Jodi agle maqami oonchi par madd-o-jazar izafa kar rahi hai, naye levels par qadam jamane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Yeh mojooda upri vector ko majboot kar rahi hai, jo taqat ihtiyaar kar raha hai. Doosri taraf, agar mojooda

momentum ke saath qeemat apne raaste par nahi ruk sakta, to seedhi harkat mojoodi range mein jaari rah sakti hai. Isko 1.2330 ke level se mehdood kiya ja sakta hai. Isne saaf support dhoondh liya hai aur iska markazi zone banne ka iraada hai. Is mamle mein, hum yeh umeed kar sakte hain ke qeemat is ilaake tak wapas jaayegi ek mubashir natiqa ke saath. Qeemat ek unchi uncha pattern bana rahi hai ek momentum indicator ke saath. Dono upri simt mein hain. Yeh ek unchi impulsive banane ka mauka de sakta hai maqami range mein. Mojoodah manzar ko radd karne ka signal milega agar support level ko todiya jaye, reversal level 1.2308 ke neeche.