gbp usd

GBP-USD Jori Ka Tajziya

Pichle Budh ko, jab Federal Reserve ne shir'aat dar ko barqarar rakha, GBP-USD market mein dobara barha. Magar, jo bullishness hui, usay khareedaron ki taraf se kafi support nahi mila, is liye yeh bullishness SMA 200 line ke neeche phansi rahi. Phir qeemat ne SMA 200 line ke neeche mukhalifat ka samna kiya, aur phir neeche gir kar SMA 50 line ko mulaqat di.

Agli GBP-USD ki harkat ka prediction: agar aap qeemat dekhein, jo ke abhi tak 200 SMA line aur 1.2580 ki range mein mukhalifat line ko break nahi kar paayi hai, to GBP-USD ke liye agle harkat mein bearish rujhan ki sambhavna hai. Magar, aaj raat ke liye qeemat abhi tak SMA 50 line aur 1.2459 ke aas paas ki support ko break nahi kar paayi hai, is liye mukhalif ya bullish potential ke liye chokanna rahna zaroori hai. Kyunki chhoti TF mein, GBP-USD ka rujhan abhi bhi bullish hai aur qeimat ke paas 1.2705 ki mukhalifat line tak correction karne ka moqa hai is se pehle ke yeh apne bearish rujhan par bharosa kare.

Upar diye gaye predictions ke mutabiq, PK-HERO yeh nateejah nikal sakta hai ke gbpusd ki agli harkat bearish hai, aur hum aaj raat GBPUSD par trading ke liye dobara bechne ke moqe talaash sakte hain. Jab qeimat SMA 50 line aur 1.2459 ki support par ho to ehtiyat baratna zaroori hai, kyunki qeimat is area mein pullback ka potential rakhti hai aur GBPUSD phir se barh sakti hai. Yeh raha mukammal trading setup GBP-USD par:

BECHNE KA SETUP
Pullback becho, qeimat ke barhne ka intezar karo, aur SMA 200 line ya 1.2580 ki mukhalifat par qeimat ka rad-e-amal dekho. Munafa ka hadaf 1.2459 ki support line par hai. Nuksan ko rokne ke liye 1.2580 ki mukhalifat line se kuch pips ooper stop loss lagao.



Breakout becho, qeimat ke girne ka intezar karo, aur 1.2459 ki support line ya SMA 50 ka breakout dekho. Munafa ka hadaf 1.2298 ki support line par hai. Nuksan ko rokne ke liye line 1.2459 se kuch pips ooper stop loss lagao.

KHAREEDNE KA SETUP
Pullback khareedo, qeimat ke girne ka intezar karo, aur 1.2459 ki support line ya SMA 50 par qeimat ka rad-e-amal dekho. Munafa ka hadaf 1.2580 ki mukhalifat line par hai. Nuksan ko rokne ke liye line 1.2459 se kuch pips neeche stop loss lagao.

Breakout khareedo, qeimat ke barhne ka intezar karo, aur 1.2580 ki mukhalifat line ka breakout dekho. Munafa ka hadaf 1.2705 ki mukhalifat line par hai. Nuksan ko rokne ke liye line 1.2580 se kuch pips neeche stop loss lagao.

US dollar ko Jumma ke roz Asian trading mein mushkilat ka samna karna para. GBP/USD currency jori taqreeban 1.2540 tak barh gayi, jo ke ek kamzor dollar ko zahir karti hai. Yeh Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke Budh ke din ke tabseron ke baad hua, jo ke investors ne dovish tasawur kiya. Powell ne tasleem kiya ke inflation jitni jaldi umeed ki ja rahi thi utni tezi se nahi gir rahi, aur ishara diya ke Fed qareeb ke mustaqbil mein interest rates barhaane ka irada nahi rakhta. Is moqif ne dollar par neeche ki taraf dabao dala. Magar, dollar ka outlook abhi bhi kuch pechida hai. US ki ma'eeshat abhi bhi mazbooti se barh rahi hai, aur inflation, halankay thoda kam hua hai, phir bhi na-gawar had tak zyada hai. Yeh Fed ko lambay arsay tak hawkish tone barqarar rakhne par majboor kar sakta hai, jo ke mustaqbil mein rate hikes ka sabab ban sakta hai aur dollar ko support de sakta hai. Jumma ke roz, US mein ahem ma'econic data ke izharat currency markets par mazid asar andaz ho saktay hain. S&P Global Services PMI aur April ke liye besabri se muntazir non-farm payrolls (NFP) data dono jaari hone wale hain. NFP report se kamtar mutawaqqa, jo ke rozi mein susti ka ishara de sakti hai, dollar par farokht ka dabao dobara barh sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko faida pohancha sakta hai.



Technically dekha jaye to, GBP/USD jori ne haal hi mein kuch volatility dekhi hai. 2024 ki nayi bulandi 1.2892 tak pohanchne ke baad, us ne tez decline ka tajurba kiya, jis se ek neechay ki taraf ka trend qaim hua jisme kam highs aur kam lows shamil hain. Halankay jori ne haal ke sessions mein recovery ki koshish ki hai, lekin lagta hai ke yeh 200-day simple moving average (SMA) par mukhalifat ka samna kar rahi hai, jo ek ahem technical indicator hai jo momentum mein tabdeel ka ishara de sakta hai. Agar GBP/USD par ooper ki taraf ka dabao barqarar rahta hai, to jori 1.2574 ki satah ko test kar sakti hai, jo pehle March aur April mein support ka kaam karti rahi lekin ab mukhalifat ka kaam kar sakti hai. Is ilaqay se ooper breakout hone se April ki bulandi 1.2682 ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mazeed mukhalifat 1.2793 par pesh a sakti hai, jo ke December mein mazboot rahi. Dusri taraf, agar neechay ki taraf ka trend dobara shuru hota hai, to ibtidaai support February ke kam tareen 1.2517 par mil sakti hai. Is point se neeche tootna qeemat ko 1.2450 ki taraf le ja sakta hai, is se pehle ke April ki support 1.2405 tak pohanchay. Akhir mein, GBP/USD jori ka qareebi mustaqbil ka rukh aanay wale US ma'economic data aur investors ke is ko samajhne ke tareeqe par mabni hoga. Jabke Fed ka dovish moqif aur ma'economic susti dollar ki kamzori ko favor karte hain, US ki ma'eeshat ki buniyadi mazbooti lambay term mein reversal ka sabab ban sakti hai. Technical indicators bhi aane wale dino mein jori ke liye mumkinah range ka ishara dete hain, jahan ahem support aur mukhalifat ki satahon ka dhyan rakhna hoga.

GBP/USD:

Mumkinah tor par barhne wali harkat jo mazkoora satah se aage hai, GBP/USD jori ko 1.25390 ke pullback ki mukhalifat ki satah ke ird gird ke ilaqe se guzarne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai. Jumeraat ke London session ke dauran, GBP/USD jori ne mazbooti ka muzahira kiya jab us ne 1.2509 ke asal mukhalifat ki satah ke qareeb apni position barqarar rakhi. Halanke yeh pichle band hone wale rate 1.2516 se thoda kam hai, GBP/USD jori apne haal hi ke faide barqarar rakhta hai.

Traders barabar GBP/USD jori par nazar rakhe hue hain ta ke kisi bhi mukhalifat ki satah se ooper toot phoot ka pata chale, kyunkay yeh jori ki qeemat mein bullish silsila jaari rehne ka ishara ho sakta hai. Agar yeh 1.25390 se ooper chali jati hai to is se mazid shumali harkat ke moqe khul sakte hain, jahan traders zyada mukhalifat ki satahon par munafa uthane ya apne positions ka dobara jaiza lene ke liye nazar rakh sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, agar yeh mukhalifat ki satah ko barqarar tor deti hai to yeh market ki soorat-e-hal ko bullish nazarie ki taraf shift karne ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Taham, yeh ahem hai ke note kia jaye ke Jumeraat ke session mein 1.2509 ki asal mukhalifat ki satah ke qareeb GBP/USD jori ki position ko barqarar rakhne ki salahiyat is baat ka ishara hai ke is jori mein abhi bhi kafi khareedari dilchaspi hai. 1.2500 ki satah ke aas paas ki support yeh darust karti hai ke traders lambi positions ikhatta kar rahe hain, GBP/USD jori ke qiymat mein mazid izafa ki tawaqo karte hue. Mazeed yeh ke, pichle band hone wale rate se thodi si kami ke bawajood, jori ki haal hi ke faidon ko barqarar rakhne ki salahiyat uski buniyadi mazbooti aur market ke utar charhav ke samne mazbooti ko ujagar karti hai.

Aage dekhte hue, traders barabar GBP/USD jori ke qeemat ka amal, khaas taur par 1.25390 ki mukhalifat ki satah ke sath uski ba interact ko qareeb se dekhte rahenge. Agar yeh satah ka kamiyab tor par toot jata hai to yeh mazid bullish momentum ka rasta hamwar kar sakta hai, jo ke zyada mukhalifat ki satahon ka dobara test kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar yeh mukhalifat ki satah ko paar nahi kar pata to jori ki qeemat mein consolidation ya pullback ho sakta hai, jab traders apne positions aur market ke halat ka dobara jaiza lete hain.



Akhir mein, GBP/USD jori filhal 1.25390 ki mukhalifat ki satah ke qareeb navigate kar rahi hai, jahan traders mazid bullish momentum ke liye mumkinah tor par ki jaane wali breakthrough ka intezar kar rahe hain. Pichle band hone wale rate se thodi si kami ke bawajood, yeh apne haal hi ke faidon ko barqarar rakhta hai, jo iski buniyadi mazbooti aur mazbooti ko zahir karta hai. Traders is jori ki qeimat ki harkat par nazar rakhenge ta ke mukhalifat ki satah se ooper musalsal harkat ka pata chale, jo ke GBP/USD jori mein mazid shumali harkat ka ishara ho sakta hai.

GBPUSD Jori Ka Technical Tajziya

4 Ghante Ka Chart

Imkaan hai ke jori ka daam 4 ghante ke chart par girawat jaari rakhega, jab ke is ne pichle choti se kam choti tashkeel di hai. Is hafte ke dauran, jori ki qeemat ne chart par dikhaye gaye price channels mein trade kiya, jin mein se ek bullish hai jo surkh rang mein hai aur guzishta haftay ke daam ki harkat ko numaindagi karta hai, aur doosra neela hai jo sideways movement ko dikhata hai. Haftay ke ibtida mein daam ko support mila aur yeh haftay ki mukhalifat ki satah 1.2586 tak pohanch gaya, aur yahan aapki line oopar wale neele channel ke qareeb hai. Is se daam mein kami aayi, kyun ke surkh channel toota aur daam haftay ke pivot level 1.2442 tak gir gaya, jo ke daam ko dobara barhne ka support diya.

Jaise hi daam pichli choti ki satah tak pohancha, yeh dobara neeche ki taraf uchal gaya, aur phir se haftay ke pivot level ke qareeb aa gaya, jahan daam ko toot kar aur neeche girne ka imkaan zyada hai, haftay ke support level 1.2345 tak.

Maashi Pehlu Par, US dollar November se apni choti ke qareeb hai, jo ke Bank of England ki nisbat US Federal Reserve ke maashi policy ke baare mein zyada dovish moqif ki tawqoat se support hua hai. Maashi calendar ke data ke natayej ke mutabiq... Haal ki market sentiment yeh batati hai ke 80% imkaan hai ke Bank of England August mein apni pehli move karega, uske baad is saal baad mein rate katne ka 60% imkaan hai. Bar'aks, US Federal Reserve ke September mein apna pehla interest rate katne ka imkaan kam hua hai, jo ke inflation ko 2% ke target tak lane mein sust raftar ki fikar ko zahir karta hai. Is baray mein, Bank of England ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne haal hi mein ishara diya ke British inflation 2% ke target ko pura karne ke liye tayyar nazar aata hai, jabke unke saathi Megan Green aur Hugh Bell ne zyada hawkish tone mein baat ki, yeh keh kar ke shir'aat dar mein kami par ghor karna bohot jaldi hai.



Maashi pehlu par... UK S&P Global UK Manufacturing PMI ko April 2024 mein thoda sa behtar karke 49.1 tak revise kiya gaya, jo ke ibtidaai andaza 48.7 se zyada hai lekin March ke 20 mahine ke uonche nishan 50.3 se kam hai. Dono production aur naye orders March ke mukhtasir zindah dili ke baad market ki unsartain halat, customers ke inventories ko khatam karna, aur supply chain mein rukawaton ke darmiyan dobara contraction territory mein wapas aa gaye.

GBP/ USD: Muqabla Dar Asaraton Ke Zariye Exchange Rate

Chaliye GBB/USD currency pair ke hali ki qeemat ka rawayya karte hain, jo hamari tafteesh ka markazi nazar hai. Keematon ke lehaz se, Fed ab bhi top par rahega kyunki ECB ko bhi rate ko kam karna hoga, bilkul Bank of England ki tarah. Maujoda rates ko uthne nahi dena chahiye, aur unke pass states ki tarah koi potential qarz ka izhar nahi hai. Is liye, bina rates ko barhaye, Fed ab bhi doosre markazi banks ke muqable mein ek mukhlis faida rakhega. Is currency pair ki harkat kaafi pur-aetmad hai, aur ye wazeh hai ke bullish trend statistics milne ke baad mazboot ho raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke bullishon ke liye mauqah hai ke uttar ki taraf rukh karain aur qareebi muddat mein 1.2634 ke resistance ko tor kar 1.2737 tak pohanchain. Magar, harkat ki dheemi ho jati hai buniyadi halaat ke ulajhne ki wajah se, jo ke is pair ke nuqsan mein hai. Magar, mujhe yakeen hai ke agle trading session mein, ya to hum 1.2637 ke darja tak pohanchain ge ya phir 1.2524 tak girain ge, magar har surat mein, hum kharidne par tawajjo den ge. Aaj, ye ahem hai ke GBP/USD ko 1.2404 tak girne se rokne ke tadaabir ikhtiar ki jayein, kyunki ye bazaar ka rukh badal sakti hai. Fitratan, kharidar ab tak harkat ka control rakhte hain. Bohat se Fed mein kamiyat ka intezar kar rahe the; mein bhi un mein se ek tha. Magar, bazaar ne GBB/USD ke bearon ke expectations ko pura karne mein kamiyabi nahi hasil ki. Ab umeed hai ke ab barhav ayega, jo ab mein ummeeed karta hoon. Aur ye barhav bura nahi hoga. Mujhe lagta hai ke kamzor hone ke siwa giravat ke mumkin manazir ko mad e nazar rakha jaaye. Maujooda qeemat ki harkat kaafi mustqil nazar aati hai, jo ke bazaar ko ek rukh badalne ke liye tayar kar rahi hai jise aap ko tayar rehna chahiye. Magar, ye abhi ke liye mumkin hai, aur hum jald hi bazaar mein tabdeeliyan dekhein ge, jahan bunyadi factors ka ahem kirdar hoga. Hum bullish trend ki jari rah dekhenge, jo maujooda upar ki manzil ko tasdeeq karta hai. Tehleel ke mutabiq niche ki durustiyan mumkin hain, magar mujhe yakeen hai ke ye sirf ek waqtanwi nishaani hai, aur hum ahista ahista rozana waqt frame mein upar ki taraf jaa rahe hain. Mazeed is currency pair ke muamle mein, pehle bhi aya tha ke GBP/USD currency pair mein key resistance 1.2634 ke daraje par hai, aur amoomi izaafa maqsad 1.2737 ke darajay ko paar karne par 1.2853 ke daraja par hai. Anay wale bunyadi tabdeeliyon ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, GBP/USD currency pair ko barhne ka silsila shuru hoga, jo samajhne layaq hai.