𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

<sup>GBP/USD H4

Aur yahan main aap se bilkul ittafaq kar sakta hoon, kyunki haqeeqat mein, pound ke liye trading range ab tak tabdeel nahi hui hai, aur kal ye dono rukh par sair karne ka sabit hua. Aur woh 1.2470 ilaqa tak bhi gire, lekin woh wahan bhi zyada arsa tak nahi ruke, kyunki ye sara giravat bohot jaldi wapas khareedi gayi, aur din pin ke saath band hua. Is ke ilawa, ab bhi shumali simt mein kaafi acha dabao hai aur yaad rahe ke hamare paas ab bhi platform hai, aur is liye shayad mujhe 1.2575 ilaqa ke hadaf ke bilkul paas jana chahiye. Main yakeen karta hoon ke us waqt jo pair range mein rakha gaya tha, woh is baat ki wajah se ke UK ne kuch kaha hi nahi ke wo monitory policy ko band karne ka aghaz kar rahi hai. Jab usne pehle hi kaha tha ke shayad is saal wo interest rates ko kam kardegi, tab usne 1.24379 ka support bhi neeche chala gaya tha. Mujhe lagta hai ke</sup> har surat mein, Amreekiyon ke saath hubargaining kaise karte hain, ye ahem hai, kyunki humein amooman states par kai statistics milti hain, including labor market ki. Aur is liye main khud bhi abhi tak shumali simt mein dekh raha hoon. Aur agar hamare paas ab bhi hadaf hain aur dobara 1.2490 ilaqa mein neeche jaane mein kamiyaab hote hain, to main wahan khareedne ki koshish karunga, khaaskar ke stop currency pair nahi dikhata wazeh trend aur flat abhi bhi pound ke liye pehchana ja sakta hai. Lekin ye saaf hai ke pound thori dilchaspi ke saath gir raha hai, kyunki neeche mudne ke baghair, pound-dollar currency pair upar daud gaya aur ye is baat ki wajah se tha ke bohot zyada ma'ashiyati khabrein aayi thi jo

GBP/USD currency pair ki keemat action analysis karne se pehle, yeh zaroori hai ke hum current market conditions ko samajhne ki koshish karein. Agar kal rate cut ka wazeh ishaara ho, toh yeh Bank of England ke monetary policy mein tabdeeli ka sabab ban sakta hai. Lekin, humein yaad rakhna chahiye ke market ki kai factors uss waqt tak badal chuke honge jab tak actual decision announce hoti hai. Euro ki M30 par side mein trade hone aur 4-hour chart par chadhavat correctional channel mein hone ka zikr hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market mein uncertainty hai aur traders cautious hain. Subah ke triangle breakout ke bawajood, market zyada tezi se badhne ka intezar kar raha hai flat channel ke andar, agar kisi bid pressure ka naqsha banay. Yeh ek common scenario hai jab market mein consolidation phase chal raha hota hai aur traders ka wait hota hai ke clear trend establish ho. GBP/USD ke case mein, 4-hour ka chart analyze karte hue, humein kuch key points nazar aate hain. Pehla point yeh hai ke market mein volatility kam hai aur range-bound trading dekhne ko milti hai. Yeh ek signal ho sakta hai ke traders uncertain hain

aur kisi major news ya event ka wait kar rahe hain. Dusra point yeh hai ke agar hum ek support aur resistance level ka analysis karein, toh hum dekhte hain ke market ne ek range form kiya hua hai jismein price ghoom rahi hai. Ab, agar humein GBP/USD ke future ke baare mein sochna hai, toh humein upcoming events aur economic indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye. Bank of England ki policy decision ka impact hoga, lekin uske alawa bhi Brexit updates, economic data releases, aur global geopolitical factors ka asar hoga. Market sentiment bhi ek important factor hai jo traders ke behavior ko influence karta hai.
Overall, GBP/USD ke case mein, humein cautious rehna chahiye aur market ka har aspect dhyan mein rakhna chahiye. Ek strong trading strategy aur risk management plan ke saath hi humein market ke movements ko samajhne mein madad milegi. Aur yaad rahe, market unpredictable hai, isliye humein hamesha flexible rehna chahiye aur apni positions ko adjust karne ke liye taiyar rehna chahiye.

Mojooda haftay ke doran, pound-dollar mudra jodi, sath hi euro-dollar mudra jodi bhi upri taraf sudhar kar rahi hai. Magar agar euro/dollar mudra jodi ke sath wazeh tor par neeche ki taraf ka trend zahir hai, to pound/dollar mudra jodi wazeh tor par koi saaf trend nahi dikhata aur pound ke liye ab bhi ek flat pehchana ja sakta hai. Magar yeh wazeh hai ke pound naraazgi se kamiyab hota ja raha hai, kyunke neeche ki mukhalfat na karte hue pound-dollar mudra jodi tezi se oopar chadh gaya aur is ka sabab yeh tha ke bohot zyada ma'ashiyati khabrein aayi thi jo dollar par dabao dal rahi thi. Amumtou par, pound ke khaas ma'ashiyati khabron mein koi khaas wazehi nahi thi. Sab kuch dollar par munhasar tha aur zahir hai ke jald hi dollar apne musbat raaste par lautega aur phir pound-dollar mudra jodi 1.2290-1.2300 ke qeemat par wapas aa jayegi.




Jumma ke doran, khabron ke izhar ke maqam par, hamari mudra jodi GBPUSD ki qeemat uttar ki taraf uchhal gayi aur 1.2632 tak pohanch gayi. Is ke baad, qeemat ne apni upri harkat ko neeche ki taraf badal diya aur ab qeemat 1.2542 par trading kar rahi hai. Ghantawise chart par farokht ke maqasid banae gaye hain. Fibonacci grid par pehla maqsood level 161.8 ka 1.2360 ke qeemat par girta hai. Dusra maqsood level Fibonacci grid par 261.8 ka 1.2206 ke qeemat par girta hai. Teesra maqsood level Fibonacci grid par 423.6 ke 1.1942 ke qeemat se mutabiq hai. Pehla maqsood kaafi haqeeqat pasand nazar ata hai.

Adaab. Main haftawar chart par pound dollar jodi ko dekh raha hoon. Jodi 1.07380 se barh rahi hai. Phir UK sarkar ke jhokawar tabdeeliyon mein khalal aya, phir unho ne puray staff ko nikaala, sab kuch badal diya, tax cuts se chhod diya gaya, jo ke is pound ki kami ka bais bana, in nishaano tak ke barhaye gaye taxes aur sab kuch normal ho gaya.
Phir UK ne aik silsile dar silsile dar keemanon ke dar mein izafa kiya, is liye jodi resistance 1.32145 tak pohanch gayi. Aik izafi trend channel ban gaya, yeh izafi trend channel euro/dollar jodi par tez tha. Yahan bhi aur wahan bhi yeh toota. Jodi 1.21917 tak pohanch gayi, phir main dobara yeh samajhta hoon ke yeh European Central Bank ne ma'ashiyati polisi ko band karne ka aghaz kar diya. Phir jodi 1.26780 par wapas chali gayi, phir se Federal Reserve ne ma'ashiyati polisi ko band karne ka aghaz kar diya. Is ke ilawa, us ne bhi elaano kiya ke wo ma'ashiyati polisi ko asaan karne ka aghaz kar rahi hai.







Yahan par, tanaza ka data barhne laga, lekin yahan jodi mein kami shuru nahi hui, mukhtalif euro-dollar jodi ke mukable, main samajhta hoon ke us waqt jodi ko is range mein rakha gaya tha ke UK ne ma'ashiyati polisi ko band karne ka koi irada zahir nahi kiya tha. Jab wo pehle hi kaha chuki thi ke shayad is saal wo daromadar daromadar daromadar ko kam karegi, to wo 1.24379 ke support ke neeche chali gayi. Main nahi samajhta ke mazeed kami ke liye koi wajah hai, zaroor sab keh rahe hain ke bank pound ko mushtarka tor par qayam kar raha hai. Magar phir bhi, in afwahon ke ilawa, koi cheez nahi hai jo pound mein kami ko dikhaye. Is liye, main samajhta hoon ke jodi hal hi mein trade ki gayi range ke oopri hudood mein wapas aa sakti hai, aur is mein trade ki ja sakti hai jab tak tanaza ka data bahar nahi aata, jo jodi ke mazeed neeche ya upar ki harkat ko darust karta hai.

GBP/USD

Briday pound (GBP) Jumme ko ameriki dollar (USD) ke khilaf kamzor hogai, jab ek naye York ke shuru ke trading mein pehle se bounce karne ke baad. Yeh u-turn Amerika se ahem maqami data ke intezaar ke baad aya. April ke liye US non-farm payrolls report mein rozi ke pehle se kam job ki growth aur dheemi mehengai ke tezi se wage barhane ka pata chala. Yeh data shuru mein dollar ko zameen par gira diya. Magar, dollar ne ek aur report ke baad dobara apni rutba barha, jo ke ISM ke US Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) tha, jo ke services ke daam mein aik dilchasp izafa darshata hai. Yeh darust karti hai ke inflationary dabavat US economy mein barh rahe hain, jo ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ko mohlat par interest rates ko khatam karne se rok sakta hai jaise ke tawakul kiya gaya tha. Pehle umeed thi ke Fed September mein rates ko khatam karega, magar yeh data is tawakul par shak dalta hai. Nirasha janak jobs data ne dikhaya ke non-farm employers ne sirf 175,000 jobs April mein shamil kiye, jo ke pehle se expected 243,000 se kafi kam tha. Berozgari dar bhi thodi si badh gayi 3.9% tak. Average hourly earnings, jo ke ek ahem inflation ki alamat hai, 3.9% saalana bharak mein grow hui, jo ke pehle se 4.0% se nichle aur expected 4.1% barhao se chhota tha. Mahina ke mahine ki growth bhi 0.2% par ruki, jo ke 0.3% se expected se neeche gayi.

Is kamzor US data ke bawajood, GBP/USD pair ne apne faide ko nahi sambhala. Abhi pound ek paanch mahine ka low se recover kar raha hai magar 1.2495-1.2520 zone ke ird gird rukawat ka samna kar raha hai. Yeh kamzori us trend ka hissa hai jo us waqt shuru hua jab pair ned mein 1.2892 tak pahuncha. Technical indicators ke mutabiq GBP/USD ke daam mein ek temporary bounce ho sakta hai. MACD indicator trigger line ke upar jaane ki koshish kar raha hai, aur Stochastic indicator oversold territory mein dip karne ke baad barh raha hai. Agar kharidari jaari rahegi to pair 1.2520 ke nazdik ka zone tak pohanch sakta hai, jahan woh 20-day moving average se aur mukhaatib hoti hai. Halki si upar ki movement bhi 200-day moving average par jo 1.2555 par hai aur downtrend line jo 1.2585 ke aaspaas hai se aapko mukhaatib kar sakti hai. Summarize karte hue, GBP/USD pair conflicting forces ke darmiyan phansa hua hai. Kamzor US data ne pehle to pound ko izafa diya, magar mehengai aur Fed ke monetary policy outlook ke concerns faide mein rukawat daal rahe hain. Pair nazdeek ke waqt mein volatile rehne ki sambhavna hai jab tak investors in opposing factors ko samajhte hain.

Hafta ka aik chhutti ka din calendar par hai, jo ke tradisiyonan, buland taqatoun ki halaat ka jayeza lene ka waqt hai aur ab GBP/USD ne haftawarik aik par dekhne ka faisla kiya. Aur yahan, hum keh sakte hain ke na sirf koi tabdeeli nahi hai, balke pound-dollar ko kisi bhi cheez ko badalne ki koshish bhi nahi hai. Chart wazeh tor par dikhata hai ke hamara pair kafi arsay se sab se shadeed range mein trade kar raha hai - aik mukhtalif formation mein, aur, pichle haftay ke akhri giravat ke saath, qeemat ne apni neechay ki had ko test karne ka bhi koi imtihan nahi kiya - aik uthalte hue rukh - unho ne pehle hee giravat shuru kar di. Iska matlab hai ke trading range aur bhi tang ho jaati hai. Lekin yeh sirf uncertainty ko barhata hai: jaise ke kehte hain, jitni chaudi range, utna zyada waqt pair is range mein trade karta hai, utna zyada tezi aur lamba waqt is se bahar nikalna ho sakta hai. Aur sab se behtareen aur khatarnak cheez yeh hai ke rukh mein koi pehlayat nahi hai, aur kyunke mein kam trades kholte waqt stops nahi lagata hoon, yeh do ghoont hawaiyat se khilwad karne wala hai. By the way, ab, lagta hai, moving average aik rok tha jo pound ko ooper jaane nahi de sakta. Aur "tang pair" ko kahan jana chahiye? Is graph ko dekhte hue - mujhe nahi pata.

Main aik pound aur dollar ke jode ko 15 minute ke chart par dekh raha hoon. Pair ne 1.24767 mark ke aas paas range mein trade kiya, phir Federal Reserve System ne kaha aur 1.25360 par resistance tak pohanch gaya, uske baad pair peechay hila. Phir main resistance ke taraf gaya. Aam tor par, aik swing tha, joda hil gaya, Federal Reserve System ne sab kuch waisa hi chhod diya. Elaan kiya ke wo interest rate cuts ko taal raha hai. Yeh sab saaf tha. Aam tor par, sab kuch yeh tha aur pair barhta raha. Berozgari ke data ke mutabiq, wo 1.26310 tak gaya; data ne kaam ke market ka thanda hone ki dikhawa ki. Ab seller volume bana raha hai. Pair mein aik mukhtasir waqt ke liye faida aur dor ki mukhtasir istislahat. Kyunki wazeh hai ke rate cut ke qareeb hai.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD currency pair ki H4 charts ko dekh kar mujhe ek broad consolidation nazar aayi jo peechle douron se milti hai. Pair ke liye, nazar aa raha hai ke markets ka opening Monday ko, jaise ki Friday ko tha, hum ek narrow trading range mein trade karenge jo support par 1.2480 aur resistance par 1.2556 ke darmiyan hai. Pair ne 1.2480 ke upar consolidate kar liya hai, aur yeh ek jeet hai bulls ke liye. Lekin uttar ki taraf barhne ke liye, 4-hour scale par 1.2556 resistance ko toorna zaroori hai. Isliye main sochta hoon ke end mein hum indicated range se agle uttar mein exit karenge, lekin Monday ko 1.2556 ka tootna mumkin nahi hai kyunki envelope khud horizontal plane mein hai aur pehle woh keemat ko 1.2556 tak dhakel kar rokay ga aur usay 1.2480 ki taraf gehri utarna nahi dega. To yeh wazeh ho jayega ke kab waqt aayega 1.2556 ka tootna, main sochta hoon. GBP/USD par oonchi taraf jane ka ek koshish hui, lekin wahan bhi ek seller tha. Sachai to yeh hai ke 1.2540 ke maximum ke baad ek southern shadow tha.

Yeh abhi tak saaf nahi hai ke woh south ki taraf jaari rahenge, lekin yeh 1.2892 ke maximum level se girne ke baad hai. Main ek bada southern zigzag ka update ka intezar kar raha hoon jo 1.2298 ke low ko update karega. Yeh kharab option nahi hai, lekin yeh bhi saaf nahi hai ke kitna kaam kiya jayega. Kam se kam agle trading week ke kuch din to achhe jayenge, koi baat nahi. Haan, aur din ke candlesticks bahut upar tak nahi gaye, lekin yeh candlesticks hain. Humne accumulation resistance level ko upar se guzarna nahi hai, aur hum ascending trend line ko test kar rahe hain jo bottom se 1.2501 ke low se shuru hoti hai aur upar jaati hai. Mazeed, naya southern zigzag zyada mumkin hai, lekin uttar bhi ek koshish mein hai. Abhi, main ek 1.2319 ke level se 161.80% ratio par rebound ko record kar raha hoon. Main sochta hoon ke abhi ke liye bulls show run karenge.

Aam taur par, duniya mein jo karna hai, woh ho chuka hai, aur chote kadam se sab normal par wapas aayega. Kickbacks ke saath, beshak. Mujhe shak hai ke 1.2484 par local minimum ko update karte hue, woh current wave ka top 1.2540 ko Monday ko update karenge, lekin yeh yaqeenan nahi hai. Aur yeh hai ke 1.2540 ka update hoga, yeh to sure hai.

Daily Timeframe Outlook:







GBP/USD ke liye kal, ek chhote se dakshini rukhavat ke baad, keemat palat gayi aur uttar disha mein aage badhti rahi, jiski wajah se ek saaf palatne wala mombatti ban gaya, jo pichle daily range ke andar thi. Aam tor par, mein apne iradon ko abhi tak nahi badal raha hoon aur intezar kar raha hoon ke nazdeeki resistance level ko kamyaab kiya jaye, jo ke meri nishandahi ke mutabiq 1.25694 par waqai hai. Jaise ke mein pehle bhi bohot baar keh chuka hoon, is resistance level ke nazdeeki do suraton mein mukhtalif manzar ka bhi amal ho sakta hai. Pehla manzar is level ke upar qeemat ki mabainat aur mazeed uttar disha ki harkat ke sath wabasta hai. Agar yeh mansoobah kaamyaab hota hai, to mein qeemat ko resistance level tak le jane ka intezar karonga, jo ke 1.27094 par waqai hai. Is resistance level ke nazdeek, mein trading setup ka husool intezar karonga, jo ke trading ke mazeed rukh ka tay karega. Beshak, duriya uttari hadafon ki wabasta hai, jisme se ek, meri nishandahi ke mutabiq, 1.28032 par waqai hai, magar yahan par halaat ka jayeza lena hoga aur sab kuch is par depend karega ke keemat kis tarah ke khabar ki buniad par barhti hai aur keemat dushman hadaafon par kis tarah ka amal karegi.

Jab resistance level 1.25694 ko test kiya jata hai, to keemat ke andar ek palatne wali mombatti aur keemat ki uttar disha ke dobara shuru hone ka mansoobah bhi ho sakta hai. Agar yeh mansoobah kaamyaab hota hai, to mein qeemat ko support level tak lautne ka intezar karonga, jo ke 1.24661 par waqai hai. Is support level ke nazdeek, mein trading setup ka husool intezar karonga, jo ke trading ke mazeed rukh ka tay karega. Ek mazeed door ka dakshini hadaf bhi kaam karne ka tajurba hai, jo meri nishandahi ke mutabiq 1.22992 par waqai hai, magar yahan par halaat ka jayeza lena hoga. Aam tor par, chand lafzoon mein kaha jaye to, aaj mein poori tor par tasleem karta hoon ke keemat nazdeeki resistance level ko kamyaab kiya ja sakta hai, aur phir mein bazar ke halaat se aage baronga.

Traders ke liye har roz ka tajurbah naya hota hai, khaaskar jab ve candlestick patterns ki zaban samajh rahe hote hain. GBP/USD ka chhota sa bullish candle, jo pichle daily range ke andar band hua, ek ahem signal hai jo market mein dabao ki disha aur samay par support level ki tasveer ko wazeh karti hai. Is chhote sa bullish candle ko dekh kar, traders ko ek sannati ki saans lene ka mauqa milta hai. Ye candle market mein khareedo ke dabao ko darust karta hai, jiska matlab hai ke kuch buyers ne apne positions ko mazeed barhane ka faisla kiya hai. Is tarah ki activity market ke mizaj ko samajhne mein madad karti hai. Is candle ka andaza lagana, samay par support level ki peshi ko bhi asaan bana deta hai. Jab ek candle pichle daily range ke andar band hota hai, to ye ek samarthan ki nishaani hai. Yeh support level ke nazdeek hone ka ahsas dilata hai, jisse traders apni strategies ko sahi taur par tayyar kar sakte hain.

Traders ko is tarah ki candles ka madda zaroor lena chahiye jab wo market ke mizaj aur agle muddaton ka intezar karte hain. Ye candles unhe ek nazar mein samajhne ka mauqa deti hain ke market ke participants kis raaste par chal rahe hain aur kya unka nazariya hai. Is tarah ki candles ke zariye, traders apne trading decisions ko sahi disha mein le ja sakte hain. Ye ek aham tool hai jo unhe market ke rukh aur uske mizaj ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Iske alawa, ye unhe support aur resistance levels ki tajziya mein madad deta hai, jisse unki trading strategies ko mazbooti milti hai. Aakhir mein, chhote sa bullish candle jo pichle daily range ke andar band hua hai, ek ahem tajziya hai jo traders ko market ke mizaj aur agle muddaton ka intezar karte waqt madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Is tarah ki candles ki samajh, ek trader ke liye unki trading journey mein ek zaroori qadam hai jo unhe market ke rang aur khel mein maharat hasil karne mein madad karta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ki technical tahlil.
GBP/USD currency pair traders ke liye mukhtalif manazir pesh karta hai, har ek ke apne mumkinat aur challenges hote hain. Aik aise manzar mein price ek ahem level ke upar jamay rehna dikha raha hai, jo mumkinah shumali harkat ki alamat hai. Is manzar mein, traders ko umeed hai ke price resistance level tak pohanchega, jo ab 1.27094 par pehchana gaya hai. Is resistance level ke qareebi nigaah zaroori hai, kyunke yeh trading setup ka shayaan-e-nazar bann sakta hai, jo future trading directions ki raushni mein raahnumai faraham karega. Magar, tajziya yahan khatam nahi hota. Qareebi resistance level ke aage, mazeed targets ko tawajju dena zaroori hai. Aik aise target, 1.28032 par mark kiya gaya hai, jo ek mazeed door ki shumali rukh ko darust karta hai. Magar, yeh target haasil karne ke liye bazar ki tabdeeliyon ka mushahida karna zaroori hai, jaise ke koi maqbool khabron ka asar ya price movements par asar. Mazeed tar aur shumali targets ke muqabil, price ka in designated far northern targets ke jawab ka faraiz trading strategies ko shepe karega. Pehla manzar price consolidation ke upar ek ahem level ke oopar samajh ke liye hai, jo mazeed ooper ki harkat ki rujhan ki alamat hai. Is manzar mein, main sabar se kaam leta hoon, resistance level par 1.27094 ki taraf price ki utarna ka tasdeeq ke muntazir hoon. Is resistance zone ke qareebi panah mere liye ek trading setup ki shanaakht ke liye hawala ka kaam karta hai. Aise setup trading activities ki mazeed raahnumai ka qadam barhane mein nayee tajweezat ka markaz ban jata hai.

Image_170072.png

Jab ke foran ka tawajju 1.27094 ke resistance level par hota hai, to 1.28032 jaise mazeed door ki shumali targets tak pohanchne ki mumkinat ko qubool karna zaroori hai. In targets mein se, aik numaya target 1.28032 par, khaas taur par mark kiya gaya hai. Magar, in mazeed targets ko haasil karne ke liye bazar ki tabdeeliyon ka jaiza lena zaroori hai. Aise variables jaise mojooda khabar ka maand aur designated far northern targets par price ka jawab trading faislon ko rehnumai faraham karne mein ahem hai. GBP/USD dynamics ka peshwar manzar, technical tahlil aur market fundamentals ki ek mazeed approach, lazmi hai. Mumkin manazir ko tafseel se shanakht karke aur aqalmandi se faislon ko amal mein laate hue, traders currency markets ke volatility ko pur sukooni aur danai ke sath samandar kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD daily M30 timeframe chart
Salam. Maloomat mein mazid izafa ke bawajood, currency pair mein kisi euro-dollar pair mein dekhi gayi girawat ka muzahira nahi hua. Mera khayal hai ke is doran, currency pair ne kisi khaas range ke andar apni position barqarar rakhi thi, UK se kisi bhi monetary policy tightening ka aghaz hone ke kisi bhi ishara ke ghair mojoodgi ki wajah se. Sirf in bayanat ke baad, jis mein yeh zahir hota hai ke currency pair sambhavat: is saal ke doran qeemat mein kami ka ishara dene laga tha. Hal hi mein trading ke din par, activity mein izafa dekha gaya jab currency pair ne ek mutawaqqa izafa dekha, jaldi se 100 points barh kar, jo ke GBP/USD daily M30 timeframe chart par 1.2547 se charh gya. Yeh upar ki taraf ka rukh pichle do trading sessions mein dekha gaya barhav ke trend ko follow karta hai. Maqami se line se bohat door ja chuki hai asal kimat ke darjat tak, is ka zaroori hai ke line ka asar jaari hai. Pair ka numainda upar ka rukh sambhavat: anay wale din ya do mein mukhtalif ho sakta hai. Analysts ek mumkin correction ka tajwez de rahe hain, zaaid darjat mein 200 se 300 points tak kami ka izafa karte hue, jin mein se 2.34 aur ke qareeb tajwez shaneed darajat shaamil hain. Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke middle line ke drawing ka nazara rakha jaye kyunke ye market ke rukh ke baray mein mazeed wazihaat de sakta hai.

Girawat jaari rahi, magar yeh ek numainda kamzor support GBP/USD daily M15 timeframe chart level par 1.2542 se dobara ubhar gaya. Is ke baad, yeh phir se charhna shuru kiya, mujhe ek aur daldal mein daal kar. Nuksanat ki izafat ke intezaar kiye baghair, mein ek nuksan ko tasleem kiya. Nateeja yeh hua ke jo maal dhande ko maan kiya gaya tha wo hafta mukammal hone ke sath khaali ho gaya, mujhe kuch bacha nahi hai. Kya aapne iradah kiye gaye kisi bechnay ko amal mein dala? Mein abhi tak is currency pair ke kisi bhi muamle mein shaamil nahi hua. Monday ko is ke performance ka monitor karonga phir koi faisla karonga. Agar hum aaj ke peak ko ek mukhtalif tareeqe se qabool karte hain, to mumkin hai ke ek mauqa ho. Hal hi ki maloomat mein ek wazeh kami nazar aayi hai non-farm sector ke jobs ke taqreeban mein, maeeshat ki istaqraar par izafa hote hue shikayat ko mazeed barha deta hai. Is ke alawa, ummeedon ke khilaf, United States mein maeeshat ke izafay ka dar gira, agar na ke baqol girawat ke khatre. Yeh bayaan hone wala manzar M15 chart par technical analysis ki roshni mein hai, jahan ek bearish engulfing pattern samne aya hai lehar ke peak par. Aur is ke ilawa, bullish forces ka ye nakaam rehna ke is critical had tak barqarar rakhna mukhtalif dairaon ke nazdeek mumkin hai. Yeh taraqqiyan investors aur policymakers ke liye ehtiyaat bhari nazar ko zahir karti hain, jo market ke dynamics ke taqazaat aur umeedon ko naye roshni mein dekhne ke liye tadabeer aur tawaqoat ko dobara dekhne ka hosla deti hain.

GBP/USD currency pair mein numaya movement dekhne mein maza aata hai, khaaskar jab MA 100 lines ko paar kiya jata hai. Ye shuruati bullish momentum market mein ek naye twist ko dikhata hai. Lekin, band hone ke qareeb, qeemat phir se dabaav mein aati hai, jo ki traders ke liye ek important point hai. Is situation mein, traders ko careful rehna chahiye, kyunki jab market close hone ke nazdeek aata hai, volatility aur uncertainty badh jaati hai. Ye dabaav kaam kar sakta hai market ke behavior ko influence karne mein, aur isse unexpected swings ho sakte hain. 1.2531 ke qareeb band hone par market ki qeemat ka girna ek critical point ho sakta hai. Yeh level traders ke liye ek signal hai ki kuch uncertainty market mein hai aur future ki direction ko samajhna zaroori hai. Is scenario mein, kuch key factors ka dhyan rakhna zaroori hai: 1. **Economic Indicators**: Market sentiment ko influence karne wale economic indicators par nazar rakhna important hai. Employment data, GDP growth, aur central bank policies ki changes market ke direction ko influence kar sakte hain. 2. **Geopolitical Factors**: Geopolitical tensions, trade wars, ya kisi bhi tarah ka political instability bhi currency pairs ke movement par asar daal sakta hai. Brexit jaise big events bhi GBP/USD pair par major impact daal sakte hain. 3. **Technical Analysis**: MA 100 line ko paar karne ke baad bhi, dusre technical indicators ka istemal karke market ka trend samajhna zaroori hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index), MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), aur Fibonacci retracements jaise tools istemal kiye ja sakte hain. 4. **Risk Management**: Kabhi bhi, risk management ko ignore na karein. Stop-loss orders lagana aur position size ko control mein rakhna important hai, especially jab market mein volatility badh rahi ho. 5. **Keep Learning**: Market dynamics hamesha changing rehti hain, isliye traders ko hamesha naye concepts aur strategies seekhne aur apne knowledge ko update rakhne ki zaroorat hai. Overall, jab bhi market band hone ke qareeb critical levels par pahunchti hai, caution aur vigilance zaroori hai. Is waqt par traders ko calm rehna chahiye aur emotions ko control mein rakhna zaroori hai, taaki effective decisions liye ja sakein.

GBP/USD D1

New York ke early trading mein ummeed afzaan momentum ke saath shuru hui, jise musbat market sentiment ne taqwiyat di. Magar yeh upar ki raftar tehqiqati ma'loomat ke ikhtitaam se achanak ruk gayi. United States se aham ma'ashiyati data ka izhaar hone par, US non-farm payrolls report for April ne nokriyon mein izafa aur sust uroojat ka dukh bhari manzar zahir kiya, jise maeeshat ke samne mua'shar karne wala sangeen paigham samjha gaya.

Karobarion ne umeed se intizaar kiya tha ke non-farm payrolls report ka izhaar hoga, jise mazboot rozgar shumar aur tanqeedi faroghat ke nishanat ki umeed thi. Magar haqeeqat umeedon se kam nikli, jab report ne kam tajziyat ka tasavvur pesh kiya. Rozgar mein izafa tajawuz ki gayi tajziyat ke mutabiq tha, jo ke mazid tajziyat se kam aaraahi rozgar market ki aahangi ki tabah hone ka ishaara karta hai. Iske ilawa, uroojati mizaajat ke baraks, tanqeedi faroghat ka koi zikar nahi, jo ke consumer spending aur maeeshati izafa ke liye zaroori sath faraham nahi kar sake.

Dukh bhari data ne pehle hi dairon ke qeemat mein kami ka sabab banaya jabke karobarion ne maeeshat ke baare mein apne nazriya ko dobara tajziyah kiya. Tezi se tabdeel hone ki aur karoron munafa ke dabi hui tawajjo par asrat ka khauf market sentiment par dabaav dalta raha, jo ke equities mein farokht ki taraf le gaya. Nakami ka jawab sarmayaari ibtidaai market par asrat ka pataa lagata hai aur data releases ke ahmiyat ko investor sentiment ko shakal dena hai.

Bunyadi market par asrat ke ilawa, kamzor rozgar report ne maeeshat ki maeeshat ke mustaqbil ke mutaliq afwahon ko barhawan jagah banaya. Musalsal masail jaise supply chain disturbances, labor shortages, aur tajwezi dabaavat aagah ke imkaani asraat hai. Policy makers ne in tajziyat ko mazid support measures ki zaroorat ke baraks, kuch khaas sectors mein garam honay ke imkaani asraat ke baraks tawazun dene ke liye maddah bhi liya.

Dukh bhari jobs data ne ma'ashiyati policy ke liye bhi asraat dhaari the, jabke Federal Reserve ne apni zimmedariyon ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish ki, jise zyada rozgar aur qeemat ki mustaqil establity ko barhawa dene ke liye. Kamzor rozgar market report ne markazi bank ke future course of action ke baray mein afwahon ko ta'addad diya, kuch tajziyat karein ke yeh monetary policy ko tight karne ke mansube ko takhir kar sakte hain ya phir mustaqil behtari ko support karne ke liye mazeed taraqqiyati iqdamat ka intezar kar sakte hain.

Aam tor par, April ke liye US non-farm payrolls report ka izhaar ma'ashiyati market ke liye aik nihayat ahem moraqbat ke taur par samjha gaya, jise maeeshati behtari ki naqisiyat aur musalsal asraat ki chunautiyon ka izhaar karta hai. Investors ne maeeshati policy ke liye maeeshati naseehat ke liye mazeed ishaarat par barhnay ka intezaar karte hue apne aap ko zyada sakhti se tayyar rakha.

GBP/USD H4 Timeframe.
GBP/USD currency pair dekha, aur H4 charts ki tafteesh ke baad mujhe ek broad consolidation nazar aayi jo peechle doron ke mutabiq hai. Pair ke liye, zahir hai, ke market ka opening Monday ko, bilkul jaise Friday ko tha, ham ek narrow trading range mein trade karenge jahan support 1.2480 aur resistance 1.2556 hai. Pair ne 1.2480 ke oopar consolidation ki, aur yeh bullon ke liye ek jeet hai. Magar uttar ki taraqqi ke liye, char ghanton ke paimane par 1.2556 par resistance ko toorna zaroori hai. Is liye, mujhe lagta hai ke ant mein hum is indicated range se aur uttar ki taraf niklenge, magar shayad Monday 1.2556 ka tootne ka din na ho kyun ke envelope khud horizontal flat mein hai aur pehle price ko 1.2556 tak push karega aur use 1.2480 ki taraf gehri nahi jaane dega. Is liye, mujhe lagta hai ke jab waqt aayega 1.2556 ka tootne ka, tab humein pata chalega. GBP/USD par oonchaaiyon ki taraf barhne ki koshish hui, magar bechnay wale bhi hain. Haqeeqat mein, 1.2540 ke baad ek janoobi shadow tha.

Abhi tak yeh saaf nahi hai ke woh janoob ki taraf jaari rahenge, lekin yeh 1.2892 ke maximum level se girne ke baad hai. Main ek bade janoobi zigzag ka intezar kar raha hoon jo 1.2298 ke low ko update karega. Yeh koi bura option nahi hai, magar yeh bhi abhi tak wazeh nahi hai ke kitna kaam kiya jayega. Kam se kam agle trading week ke kuch din achhe jaayenge, bilkul. Haan, aur din ke candlesticks bhi bahut uttar ki taraf nahi hain, lekin yeh candles hote hain. Hum ne upar accumulation resistance level ko paar nahi kiya, aur hum ne niche se oonchi trend line ko test kiya hai jo 1.2501 ke low se shuru hokar hai. Agay, ek naya janoobi zigzag zyada mumkin hai, lekin uttar bhi koshish mein hai. Abhi, main 1.2319 ke level se 161.80% ratio par ek rebound record kar raha hoon. Main samajhta hoon ke abhi ke liye, bull show chalay ga. Aam tor par, duniya mein jo karna hai woh ho gaya hai, aur chote qadamoon mein, sab kuch normal ho jayega. Of course, with kickbacks. Mujhe shak hai ke 1.2484 par local minimum ko update karte waqt, Monday ko hum 1.2540 ke current wave ke top ko update karenge, magar yeh pakka nahi hai. Aur yeh hai ke 1.2540 ka update hoga.