British Pound (GBP) ne US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf Thursday ko rang pakarne mein kamiyabi haasil ki, jo ke peechle din ki momentum par mabni hai. Ye upri harkat ek naye paanch mahine ka low hit karne ke baad aati hai. Mojooda doran, currency pair taqreeban 1.2530 ke aas paas tafreeq hai. Bara picture dekhne par, daily chart mein ek GBP/USD consolidation ek neeche ki taraf ke channel mein zahir hoti hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 par hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan aik beja raqam balas ka nisaab hai. Agar GBP/USD ko ooper dhakelne mein kamiyab ho jaaye, to ye downtrend ke kamzor hone ka ishaara hoga. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi kuch umeed deti hai, kyunke ye ab signal line ke ooper maujood hai lekin center line ke neeche hai. MACD par center line ke faisla shudah toorna ek potential trend reversal ko mazeed mazboot kar dega. Magar, kuch rukawatain GBP/USD ke urooj mein muntazir hain. Pehla test taqreeban foran pullback support par 1.2518 par hoga. Iske baad, 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2504 par aur psychological level 1.2500 ka kirdar ada karega.
1.2500 ke neeche girne se 1.2300 ka chhati mahine ka low aur shayad hi descending channel ka neeche wala hissa 1.2240 tak decline ka aghaaz ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, foran resistance upper boundary of the channel par 1.2570 ke aas paas hai. Is level ko torne se darwaza khul sakta hai 50% retracement level 1.2597 par test ke liye. Agar bulls ye rukawat paar kar lein, to GBP/USD pullback resistance zone ke 1.2710 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke haal hi mein shifa ki koshishon ke bawajood, 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) pehle se hi GBP/USD ke uptrend ke liye chhat ka kaam karta tha. Agar upside pressure jaari rahe, to pair shayad March-April support zone turned resistance par 1.2574 ko challenge karega. Is ilaake ko torne ka wazeh toorna agle maheene ke high ko retest karne ka rasta khol sakta hai 1.2682 par. Mazeed shumal mein, December resistance 1.2793 ko bulls ke liye agla rukawat ban sakta hai. Ulta, agar downtrend dobara shuru ho jaaye, to GBP/USD ko shayad initial support milega February low par 1.2517 par. Is point ke neeche faisla shudah toorna 1.2450 ki taraf decline ka aghaaz kar sakta hai, phir April support par 1.2405. Aakhri halat mein, pair haal hi ka paanch mahine ka low 1.2298 ko dobara ziyarat kar sakta hai.
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