𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Main kehta hoon ke EURUSD currency pair ka D1 chart tafteesh kia jaye. Ek or trading hafta khatam ho chuka hai, aur lehar ki shakal ne nichlay janib jaari rehti hai. MACD indicator oversold zone mein hai. Teesri teesri wave formation ko pehchan lia gaya hai, jiska matlb hai teesri wave bara degree ki teesri wave mein ek choti wave hai. Higher degree pehli wave par Fibonacci retracement tool lagana ek sambhav downside target ko 161.8% level pe reveal karta hai. Us se pehle, 1.0453 pe aik aam technical low hai. Is se pehle sell positions ko us level tak pohanchne se pehle band karna mashwara hai. Ek haal hi mein correctional uptrend ke doran, price ne 1.0741 horizontal resistance level tak pehli retracement kiya, jise kamiyabi se test kia, phir gir gaya. Abhi, price ko tight range mein nazar aata hai. Pehle zikr kiye gaye 1.0741 horizontal resistance level upar se rukawat ka kaam kar raha hai, jisse price ko neeche ki taraf utha raha hai. Neeche, 1.0675 pe aik mazboot support level hai, jo ab resistance se support ban gaya hai, girawat ke edge pe ek shisha level ki tarah kaam kar raha hai. Jumeraat ko 1.0741 level se bechne ka tareeqa munasib tha, kyun ke din ke andar M5 timeframe mein tasdeeq shuda neeche ki taraf jaane wali movement thi. Ye bhi aik shisha level tha, aur price gir gaya. Magar ab bechna bohot der ho chuki hai kyun ke support level bohot qareeb hai. Puri bearish manzar ko jis par wave analysis ke buniyadi ho, woh sirf tab mumkin hai agar 1.0675 support level ko kamzor kiya jata hai, kam az kam chaar ghante ke chart par. Behtareen tareeqa ye hoga ke intezar kia jaye ke price is tootay hue level ko neeche se dobara test kare, resistance ke tor par. Aik alternativ manzar mein current levels se bounce aur 1.0741 ke upar breakout shamil ho sakta hai, jo descending trendline ke musavi ke aur tezi ke rukh ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab dosto ko. Sabhi sadasyon ko meri taraf se garm salam. Ummeed hai ke aap sab theek hain. Aaj, humare paas EUR/USD pair ki haalat ke kuch andarunai hai, jo kuch halkay fluctuations ke saath milay hain. Magar, doosri currencies, khaaskar GBP/USD, ne zyada qabil-e-dhyaan harkaat dikhayi hain. USD mein abhi tak koi numaya tabdeeli ya tasdeeq nahi hui hai, lekin lambay arse ke muddon mein bullish bias zahir hai. Yeh hamari is haftay ki guftagu ko ikhtisar karta hai, jahan hum ne kuch tabdeeliyan dekhi hain, haalaanki kam miqdaar mein. Khaas currency pairs ki taraf dekhte hue, USD/CHF ne ek jhukta huwa raasta dikhaya hai, jabke EUR/USD ne halki izafai dekhi hai. Mazeed, USD/JPY bearish ho gaya hai. Yeh observations darust karte hain ke agle haftay mein in currencies mein mazeed tabdeeliyan aane ka imkaan hai, warna hum ek flat market ka wapas dekhenge.

Aage ki taraf badhne wali quotes mein ek upward raasta ko support karne wali nishandehiyan shamil hain, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ki support level se utaar chadhav aur ascending channel ke neeche ki harkat. Mutasir ki gayi scenario ko ulta karne ke liye, 1.6450 ki support level ki girawat aur uske baad breach, mumkin hai ke aur girawat ke raste ko kholne ki raah ban jaye 1.6658 tak aur agay. Is downtrend ki tasdeeq ka saboot 1.6556 ki resistance level ke breakthrough aur uske agay se milta hai. Filhal, EUR/USD pair 1.6118 ki support level ko test karne ke liye tayar nazar aa raha hai, jiske baad keemat mein izafai ke jariye ek girawat dekhi ja sakti hai 1.6690 ke darjah tak. Magar, agar 1.7498 ki support level ko breach kiya jaye, toh yeh ek aur niche girawat ka signal ho sakta hai 1.8460 tak, is tarah se maqsood scenario ko rad kar dete hue.

Euro/US Dollar currency pair ke harkat ka tajziya. Waqt frame - 4 ghanton ka.
Hum mojooda Extended Regression StopAndReverse linear regression indicator ke signals ke musbat istifadah ka imkaan jaanchenge, jo ke RSI aur MACD oscillator indicators ke readings ke saath tasdeeq ki gayi hain, aur chunay gaye aalaat ke liye tafseelati trading plan banayenge takay market mein dakhil nishan ke liye sab se behtareen maqasid nikaal sakein. Muntahay munafa haasil karne ke baad, hum Fibonacci grid ke qareebi correctional levels ka tafseelati mutaala karenge, jo waqt frame ke intehai noqtaon tak pheela gaya hai, takay kaam kiya gaya position ko band karne ke liye sab se munafa bakhsh nukta darust kiya ja sake.

Chart par jo hum mutaala kar rahe hain (waqt frame H4), hum dekhte hain ke, is waqt, pehle darja ka regression line (golden dotted line), jo ke aalaat ki taraf aur mojooda trend ki halat ko dikhata hai, taez tor par neeche ki taraf directed hai, jo ke ek kaafi mazboot trend ki harkat ko janoobi rukh ki taraf ishaarat karta hai. Nonlinear regression channel (concave ya convex rangini lines) seedha ho gaya hai aur upar se neeche ki taraf golden upward trend line ko cross kar gaya hai aur is waqt ek janoobi rukh ki harkat ko dikhata hai.

Qeemat ne blue support line ko linear regression channel 2-nd LevelSupLine paar kiya lekin 1.05971 ki quotes ka minimum value (LOW) tak pohanch gayi, uske baad is ne apni girawat ko roka aur dhire dhire barhna shuru kiya. Halan ke, aalaat ab ek qeemat level par trade kar raha hai jo 1.07052 hai. Sab se upar likha gaya sab kuch dekhte hue, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes wapas aayengi aur FIBO level of 50% ke 2-nd LevelSupLine channel line (1.07915) ke upar mazbooti se jamayengi aur phir golden average line LR of the linear channel 1.08320 ki taraf aurata hai, jo ke Fibo level of 61.8% ke saath milta hai. Yaad rahe ke madadgar indicators RSI (14) aur MACD oversold area mein hain aur bhi aalaat ko mojooda aalaat ke qeemat mein izafa ki bulandi ki bulandi ka imkaan dikhate hain.

Aur is ke ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) EUR/USD ke liye abhi qareeb 66 ke qareeb hai, jo ke bullish ilaqay ke tor par shumar hota hai. Ye ishara deta hai ke Euro Dollar ke muqable mein abhi bhi izafa ke liye jagah hai. Dollar mein haal hi mein girawat Wednesday ke US inflation report ka seedha asar lagta hai. Ye data Federal Reserve ke zyada se zyada umeed se zyada inflationary dabao ko zahir karta hai, jaisa ke umeed thi. Ye European Central Bank (ECB) ke mukhtalif iraaday se sakht mukhalif hai, jo ke neyat hai ke June mein interest rates ko kam karne ke liye ishara deta hai. Amrici aur Europei monetary policy ke raaye mein farq yehi woh badi soorat hal hai jo currency markets ko asar andaz hota hai. Agar EUR/USD pair sakhti se dono upper Bollinger Band aur 100-period EMA (karib 1.0710-1.0715 ilaqe ke darmiyan) ke upar se torh sakta hai, to April 11th ke unchi 1.0756 ki taraf izafa ho sakta hai. Mazeed oopri rukawat March 22nd ki kam low aur psychological level 1.0800 ke darmiyan hoti hai. Is ke ilawa, April 4th ki unchi 1.0875 mazeed oopri rukawat ka kaam kar sakti hai. Neeche ki taraf, EUR/USD pair ke liye pehla support level April 23rd ki kam low 1.0638 hai. Agar yeh level se neeche gir jaaye, to lower Bollinger Band ko 1.0625 tak khenchna ho sakta hai. Agar pair is point se gir jaata hai, to agla maqsood November 2nd ki kam low 1.0565 ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD D1



Kal mujhe ek trading ka idea tha ke hum apni EURUSD currency pair ko kam karke 1.0600 tak minimum update karein. Magar keemat sirf 1.0623 tak pohanch saki. Uske baad neeche ki trend oopar ki taraf badal gayi aur keemat uttar chalne lagi. Kal ke trading ke natije mein, Somvar ka din pin bar ke saath band hua - ek uncertainty ki mombati. Daily chart dikhata hai ke keemat ab 1.0663-1.0600 ke kharidne ki zone mein hai. Aur asal mein, in values se hi keemat palat kar uttar ki taraf trading shuru kar sakti hai. Magar main keemat ko channel ke neeche ki had se guzarne ki ijaazat deta hoon. Ye kaafi baar ho chuka hai. Aur jab hum channel mein laut aayenge, main apne asset ka kam az kam ek moving average line ka test barhne ka intezaar karunga, jo ke ab 1.0825 par hai.






Euro/dollar pair 1.0610 se 1.0680 tak ek sideways price corridor mein move kar raha hai aur is range ko, Somvar ke trading ke mutabiq, neeche 1.0620 aur oopar 1.0670 tak simat gaya hai. Pair ke liye volatility ka kam hona zyada tar hafte ke shuruaat aur kam news background ki wajah se hai. Mangalwar ko halaat thoda aur dilchasp hain, lekin phir bhi kisi zyada garam josh ki ummeed nahi hai, isliye hum pair se koi mazboot movement Thursday tak nahi umeed kar sakte. Magar hafte ke doosre hisse mein, US GDP aur berozgari dar ke data ki taqreebat se mutaliq dilchasp surprises aane ki ummeed hai, isliye is doraan hum pair ke liye zyada volatility aur corridor se bahar nikalne ka intezaar karenge. Mujhe lagta hai ke pair 5th figure tak pohanch sakta hai, kyunke darmiyani muddat ke trend abhi bhi dakshini hai aur 1.05 ke darjaat is instrument ke bechne walon ke liye bohot dilchasp hain, kyunke unhone pichle saal ise dhakelne mein kamyabi nahi haasil ki thi, mujhe lagta hai ke is saal aisa koshish kiya jayega, waise to unhe isse kaafi qareeb bhi pohanch gaya tha.

Kal ki trading session mein, dollar ki growith ke prospects ko madde nazar rakhte hue, shaam ke statistics jin ka core PCE inflation aur subsequently release Michigan Index ke forecasts ke sath ittifaaq tha, unho ne EURUSD pair ko ascending channel se technical breakout nahi diya. Warna, mein yakeen rakhta hoon ke woh breakout kar chuke hote. Magar, ascending trend ka correction complete karne ke liye breakout signal ka scenario ab bhi valid hai.
Aaj sabko mubarak ho, saathiyo! Currency pair Euro/US Dollar ke baray mein, Friday mein ek giravat se khatam hui, jo Thursday ke low ko taaza karti hai. Ek inside bar daily timeframe par ban gaya kyunki Friday ko Thursday ke high ke upar close hua. Iske ilawa, aik trendline support toot gaya aur price us ke neeche close hua. Is liye, hafte ke end ne sentiment mein tabdeeli dikhayi, iska ishara hai ke bears shayad jaag jayein aur agle hafte euro ko neeche push karte rahein. Iske liye, unhe trendline ke neeche establish hona parega aur lows ko update karte rahein, raste mein liquidity ikattha karte hue, jahan 1.0755 local high ban sakti hai kisi arse ke liye.

Sabko behtareen kamyabi ki duaen!

Tajwez aur tashkeel Euro/US Dollar currency pair ki liye chalne wali taqat ya gharawat ka tajwez. Time frame 4 ghanton ka hai. Hum is machine ke liye sab se kaaragar trading plan banayenge jo linear regression indicator Extended Regression StopAndReverse ke indicators ke saath kiye gaye pratishat technical analysis indicators RSI aur MACD ke maseeha se, jo market mein mukhtalif transactions ko nihayat tajurba se karna aur milay huye signal ko efficiently kamyaab tareeke se pura karna modernigi. Tajwez kaam karne ke baad, hum deal ko band karne ke liye sab se behtareen exit point chunenge highest possible efficiency ke saath. Iske liye, hum Fibonacci grid ko chart par mojooda extreme points par stretch karenge aur qareebi Fibonacci correction levels par tawajjo denge. Sab se pehla cheez jo taatil nazron ke samne aati hai woh yeh hai ke attach kiye gaye chart par pehla darja regression line (golden dotted line) jo current true trend ki direction aur halat ko dikhata hai chune gaye time frame (time-frame H4) par, ek neeche ki taraf slope ho kar mojood hai, jo machine ke decreasing direction movement ke doran ek muzo tak nishaan hai aur sellers ki zor asar ko zahir karta hai. Na-tanolinear channel (convex lines) jo qareebi future direction ka ikhtiyar karne ke liye istemal hota hai ek kafi noticeable downward slope rakta hai. Na-tanolinear regression channel ne linear channel ke golden line ko upar se neeche cross kar liya hai aur quotes mein kami ko dikhata hai.


Price ne blue support line 2-nd LevelSupLine ka utha hua hai but quotes ki minimum value (LOW) 1.05971 tak pohanch gayi, jis ke baad us ne apni kamzori band kar di aur dheere dheere baraavat karne laga. Is waqt, machine 1.07052 ke price level par trade ho rahi hai. Inn sab ke hisaab se, main taqreeban 2-nd LevelSupLine channel line (1.07915) of the FIBO level of 50% ke oper waapas aur thos ho jane ka intezar karta hoon aur upar ki taraf movement LR ka golden intermediate line line 1.08320 par, jo Fibo level 61.8% ke saath milkar hai. Note karein ke taaleemi indicators RSI (14) aur MACD oversold area mein hain aur machine ke price mein izafa ke buland imkanat dikhate hain.

EUR/USD

Aap ki tafseelati tajurbaat ke mutabiq, aap H4-W1 graphs par tafseeli mawazna karte hain. Lekin phir bhi, aap chhoti faslon par trading operations ko carry out karte hain ya abhi ke waqt ke usool par amal karte hain. Is liye, M15-H1 graphics mujhe zyada munasib nazar aate hain theoretical analysis ke liye. Haan, kabhi kabhi faislon par faisla karne ke waqt main bhi in charts ko mad-e-nazar rakhta hoon, lekin mainly H4 chart par tawajjuh di jaati hai, aur yeh sab is liye ke main medium-long term mein apni trading operations nahi karta. Kuch is tarah ka.

Is ke sath sath, mein ahem asaasi detaon par nazdik tawajjuh di hai jo EUR/USD ke price quotes ke rukh ka faisla karte hain, aur phir technical parameters daakhil hote hain. Abhi upward growth ke liye potential hai takay 1.0800 ke resistance level ki taraf le jaye, lekin kya woh uttar ki taraf jaa paaenge Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke meeting se pehle, yeh ek sawal hai jo baad mein jawab dene ke liye hai, aur us ke faislay ke baad ke prices ka rukh kis taraf jaayega almost kisi ko nahi pata magar un logon ko jo is faislay ko interest rate ke zariye karte hain.

Europe ki currency khud ko haal mein kharab mehsoos kar rahi hai, aur yeh cheez British pound ke muaqablay mein mehsoos hoti hai. Haan, H1 chart par 1.0602 ke support level se upward trend hai, lekin yeh bhi kuch sust aur seedha sa hai. Jumeraat ko, jab bhi US se ahem macroeconomic data jaari hua, hafte ki aakhir mein weekend 1.0692 ke qareeb neeche kuch kami ke saath band hua. Aap ne durust notice kiya ke daily chart par ek mazboot resistance level hai aur ab lag raha hai ke sirf ek correctively rebound ke roop mein upar ki taraf ja raha hai, aur H1 chart par bhi mujhe yeh trend line nazar aati hai.

Yeh mere liye kaise kaam karta hai. Mazeed is ke saath, market ne ek mazboot neeche gap ke saath khula, lekin giravat ke baad, gap dobara se narrow hua aur upar utha, EURUSD ko mazeed buland kiya. Mojooda halat bilkul na qabil-e-paishgi hai aur main is waqt ke prices par zaroor kharidna ya bechna nahi chahoonga.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

Wazeh hai kee qeemat ka action support line 1.0799 par kara hai. Ye in buyers ki taraf se aaye suraj ke asar se lagta hai, jo ke mazboot support level se mutasir honge. Is natije mein, EURUSD joda aaj subah ek uparward movement ka samna kar raha hai. Magar, is bullish faaliyat ke bawajood, baray trend ka qareebi jaiza ek bearish raasta zahir karta hai. Qeemat abhi dono SMA 50 aur SMA 200 lines ke neeche hai, jo ke ek mazboot bearish sentiment ko dikhata hai. Is ke ilawa, aik reversal pattern saamne aaya hai, jismein do lower highs aur do lower lows hain. Ye factors yeh ishara dete hain ke haal hi mein uparward movement shayad sirf baraay trend ke andar aik taqseemati marhala ho.

Fibonacci analysis ko shamil kar ke, hum mumkinah qeemat ke movement ka andaza laga sakte hain. Mojooda qeemat ke action ke context mein, mumkin hai ke qeemat Fibonacci level 61.8% tak korect ho jaye 1.0857 ke aas paas ya phir Fibonacci level 50% tak 1.0872 par pehle se neeche aa jaye phir apne nichle raaste par chalay. Asal mein, jab ke hal hil ke support line par haal ka inkar mojood hai jo ke mufassal bearish momentum ko janam dene wala hai, baraay trend aur technical indicators yeh ishara dete hain ke yeh mukhtasir waqt tak ho sakta hai. Traders ko mazeed niche ki taraf ki nishaaniyon ke liye hoshyar rehna chahiye, khaaskar jab qeemat kuch Fibonacci retracement levels ke qareeb aati hai. Aakhir mein, bearish bias mazid bana rehta hai, aur kisi bhi uparward movements ko baraay trend ka jari raasta ka ek taqseemati marhala ke taur par dekha jana chahiye.

EUR/USD

Euro (EUR) ne ab tak chouthay mufeed din ke liye US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein apni izafat jaari rakhi hai, jise be-naqab US maali data ne barhawa diya. Wednesday ke pehle European trading mein EUR/USD jodi takreeban 1.0705 ke qareeb chadh gayi, jo currency pair ki keemat mein aik ahem izafa ko darust karta hai. Ye uper ki harkaat badi had tak US April Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ke naqais asar ki wajah se hosakti hai, jo ke amreeki manufacturing sector mein rukawat ki ishaarat deta hai. Amreeki maaliyat ka ye ruswai aik bhaari bojh saabit hua hai, jo dollar ko bohot zyada thap padne par majboor kar raha hai, jise euro ki taraf se behtar manfi tijarat ke tor par investors ko kheench raha hai.
Aage ki taraf dekhte hue, currency markets mazeed tabadlanon ke liye mojood hain jese ke Atlantic dono taraf se mukhtalif ahem data releases trading sentiments par asar daalne ka intezar hai. Germany ka Ifo Business Climate Index, jo Wednesday ke doosray hisse mein release hone wala hai, Eurozone ke bara economy mein karobar ki feeling ko le kar ahem insights faraham karega. Is ke ilawa, March ke US durable goods orders American maaliyat ke sehat ke baray mein mazeed clues faraham karenge.

Haal hi mein EUR/USD jodi mein aye izafay ke bawajood, technical indicators 4 ghante ki chart par neeche ki taraf ke trend ka potential jari rehne ko ishara dete hain. Jodi 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke critical level ke neeche hai, jo ke niche ke bearish pressure ko ishara karta hai. Magar, agar is level ko taeye karte hue ek mufeed tor par paar kar liya jaye to ye aik reversal aur uper ki harkaat ka aghaz kar sakta hai.

Is ke ilawa, EUR/USD ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi 66 ke qareeb hai, bullish territory ko ishara karta hai aur ye sugget karta hai ke euro abhi bhi dollar ke muqable mein izafa karne ke liye jaga rakhta hai. Dollar ke neday se kamzor honay ka sabab Wednesday ke US inflation report hai, jo Federal Reserve ke qareebi interest rate cut ki umeedon ko tor deta hai. Mukhtalif, European Central Bank (ECB) ne June mein interest rates ko kam karne ki koshish ki hai, jo ke US aur Europe ke darmiyan monetary policy ke rukh ko mazeed phela raha hai.

Tajziyaati nazriyat ke lihaz se, agar EUR/USD jodi ne uper ki taraf ke Bollinger Band aur 100-period EMA ko mufeed tor par paar kar liya, to ek surge ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai jese ke April 11th ki unchi qeemat 1.0756 aur psychological level 1.0800. Neche ki taraf, jodi ka foran support April 23rd ki kam qeemat 1.0638 par hai, jahan mazeed downside potential neeche ki taraf Bollinger Band par 1.0625 aur November 2nd ki kam qeemat 1.0565 ki taraf hosakta hai.

Akhri mein, kamzor US maali data aur mukhtalif monetary policy ke rukh ke darmiyan, euro dollar ke muqable mein mustaqbil mein mazboot hota ja raha hai, jese ke investors currency market dynamics ke mazeed insights ke liye key data releases ko nazar andaz kar rahe hain.

Jumma ko, EUR/USD currency pair ka price pehle 1.07 tak barh gaya, phir 1.06 tak gir gaya, aur mazboot support 1.0695 par pohncha. Magar, movement mein kisi khaas asar ka na hona aur price umeed ki gayi 1.0757 nishandahi tak nahi pohanch saka. Balkay, 1.0694 par support toota, jo 1.0674 ki taraf girne ka silsila shuru hua, jo ke market ke dynamics ke mutabiq hai. Aaj ke haftay ke charts dekhtay hue EUR/USD ke liye, support level ke aas paas do manazir mojood hain. Pehla manzar yeh hai ke price is level ke neeche consolidation karega aur mazeed bearish movement hoga. Agar yeh hota hai, to main price ka intezar karonga ke support level 1.0527 ke qareeb pohanchay. Agar price is support ke neeche jamay rehta hai, to mazeed bearish movement ke liye umeed rakhta hoon jo 1.0442 ki taraf le jayega, future trade direction ke liye ek trading setup ka intezar karte hue.
1.0752 par local resistance level ko test karne ke baad, ek rebound ne bullish candle banaya jiska range weekly closing ke waqt bara bullish shadow tha. Agar halaat aise hi rehtay hain to, agle haftay mein bearish movement ka dobara shuru honay ka imkan hai, nazdeek ke support level 1.0605 par tawajju di jayegi. Market ke shiraeen aur khabron par munhasir hote hue, mazeed door ke bearish target 1.0290 par nishandahi ka bhi imkan hai. Ya to, 1.0605 ke support level ke qareeb aik murnay wala candle upar ki taraf ki movement ka signal de sakta hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to main price ka intezar karonga ke resistance levels 1.0758 ya 1.0791 par wapas aaye, sath hi bearish signals par mutahayyir rahonga.

Ikhtisar mein, agle haftay mein, main price mein bearish dabaav ka intezar karta hoon, nazdeek ke support levels par tawajju di jati hai aur market ke halaat ke mutabiq strategies ko taalayub ke sath adjust kiya jata hai.