𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBPUSD pair jo ke 1.2421 par support se bounce back kiya hai, shayad EMA 50 tak pahunchne mein nakami ho gayi. Asal mein, price ne nazdeek ke unchi price 1.2483 tak pohanchne mein kamyabi nahi hasil ki. Amoman trend ek bohot mazboot bearish halat mein hai jismein sellers ki taraf se price ko neeche le jane ka dabav hukmrani mein hai. Buyers sirf price movements ko 1.2467 tak dabane mein qabil rahe, aur uske baad koi resistance nahi thi. Giraavat jo hui wo kaafi ta'asur se thi kyunke bearish candlestick pattern ne support ko paar kar diya aur phir aage badh ke close price 1.2366 ke aas paas ho gaya.

Agar aap Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ko dekhte hain toh dikhayi dene wala hai ke downtrend ki momentum kum hoti ja rahi hai, anuman lagaya ja sakta hai ke price EMA 50 ke upar ho aur phir resistance 1.2541 ki taraf badhe. Ek green histogram jo zero level ke qareeb hai uptrend ki taraf ka signal de sakta hai. Bas UK Retail Sales m/m data report jo 0.3% ke mosar nateeje se 0.0% kam nikli, Pound Sterling currency ke outlook ko kamzor kar dia hai. Magar yeh keval ek upward correction phase ki mumkinat ko ta'n nahi kar sakta. Kyunki histogram volume zero level ke neeche ya negative area mein bhi falling price volume ke barabari nahi de raha hai, ek bullish divergence ka pehlu nikal sakta hai.

Halaanki, Stochastic indicator ke point of view se dekha jaye, neeche ki taraf aur girne ka imkan hai. Kyunki parameter level 50 ko cross kar chuka hai aur oversold zone ki taraf ja raha hai. Giravat close price 1.2366 se bhi kam ho sakti hai aur shayad 1.2300 level ko bhi test kar sakti hai. Haalanki Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne bullish divergence ka pata dia hai, magar doosra reversal signal candlestick pattern se abhi tak ban nahi paya hai. Bilkul bhi yeh itna mazboot nahi hoga ke price ko upar le jaye aur support 1.2421 ko test karne mein jise ab SBR area bana dia gaya hai.

Position entry setup:

Mere khayal mein, trading option ab bhi saaf nazar aata hai ke bearish trend conditions ke beech ek SELL position rakhne ka. Position entry point pe jaye price correction ka faida uthate hue jo support ban gaya hai 1.2421 ke aas paas jo ab SBR area ban gaya hai. Confirmation ka intezaar karein ke Stochastic indicator parameter level 50 par wapas aane ke liye cross kar raha ho aur Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka laal histogram zero level ke neeche rahe. Take profit ka target 1.2321 price range mein rakh sakte hain aur stop loss 10 - 15 pips upar 1.2467 ke high price ke.

Yahan khatam hoti hui baat hai ke GBPUSD pair abhi tak sellers ke dabav mein hai, lekin ek short-term correction ki possibility hai jo phir se downtrend mein laut sakti hai. Traders ko kisi bhi mukhtalif reversals ke confirmation ke liye Stochastic aur Awesome Oscillator indicators ko nazarandaaz nahi karni chahiye. Market ke volatile mahaul mein nuksan kam karne ke liye trading faislon mein zyada research aur sahi risk management ka amal zaroori hai.

Forex trading ka daur mein, GBP/USD pair phir se tawajju mein hai jab bull market mein apni taqat ko sabit kar raha hai. Pair ki qeemat mein izafa aur trading din ke darmiyan 1.2480 ke ahem level par bearish dabao ka ghair mutawaqqa ghaib hona, ab traders hafte ke aakhir mein ek potential correction par nigaah daal rahe hain. Bears ka 1.2420 par ghaib hona aham taraqqi hai, jo market sentiment mein tabdeeli ki nishani hai aur mukhtalif bullish momentum ko janam de sakta hai. Is surat mein, agar pair 1.2300 ke resistance area ki taraf barhna shuru karta hai, to bulls moqay ko barqarar karne ke liye numaya correction shuru kar sakte hain. Traders ke liye ye ek dilchasp mauqa hai short positions ka ghoor karne ka, khaaskar agar 1.2555 kitaraf barhne ki rah mein kuch galat ho gaya. False breakouts tab hotay hain jab qeemat aham resistance level ko mukhtalif dafa guzarti hai lekin momentum barqarar nahi rehta, jo ulte rukh ki taraf palatne ka nateeja deta hai.
Is surat mein, agar pair 1.2340 ke paar taraqqi nahi karti aur isay is level ke neechay lot’ta hai, to traders baad mein aane wale downward momentum se faida utha sakte hain short positions mein dakhil ho kar. Magar zaroori hai ke aik false breakout ka tasdeeq karne se pehle tahamul aur intezar karein, kyun ke galat signals waqt par theek tarah se istemal na hone par kai martaba nuqsanat ka sabab ban saktay hain. Technical pehluon ke ilawa, traders ko bazaar ke mazeed dynamics aur aanebazaar ke mazeed dynamics aur aane wale iqtisadi events ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye jo GBP/USD pair par asar dal sakte hain. Factors jaise ke iqtisadi deta releases, central bank announcements, aur geopolitical developments tamaam currency movements par asar dal sakte hain aur ziada volatility ko paida kar sakte hain. GBP/USD pair nazdeek mukhtalif pehluon par jaa raha hai, jahan bulls 1.2532 ke resistance area ki taraf correction ka nishana lagaye hain. Traders ko qeemat ka amal nazar rakhna chahiye aur khaas tor par aik false breakout ki surat mein tahamul aur khatre ko tawajju dena chahiye, taake trading opportunities ko faida utha sakte hain jab ke risk ko mufeed tor par sambhal sakte hain.

Maliyat ke maarkat main safar karna, market dynamics aur assest ke qeemat per asar dalne wale mukhtalif factors ka mukammal samajhna zaroori hai. Maashiyati nishan dhaari, geoploitical waqeeyat aur markazi bank ke faislay in factors mein se kuch hain jo traders ko apni trading decisions mein mukhtalif tehqiqat karne ki zaroorat hai. In factors ko tafteesh karke aur apni strategies ke mutabiq tabdeeli laate huay, traders khud ko market movements se mufeed hone ke liye moqaat hasil kar sakte hain.

Maashiyati nishan dhaari maashiyat ki sehat aur rehnumai ka bohot aham insigh deti hai. Rozaana kaam, mehengaai, consumer spending aur manufacturing activity ki nishano dahi tawanai ke overall maashiyati performance aur mustaqbil ki trends ka pata chal sakti hai. Misal ke tor par, taqatwar kaam ki data ek mustaqil mizaaj maashiyat ka aetbaar dila sakti hai aur unwaan-e-bai's darj ziada karne ki tawakal ko umeed kar sakti hai, jo currency valuations aur bond yields ko mutasir kar sakti hai. Barqi tor par, manufacturing output mein kami maashiyati kamzori ka ishara ho sakti hai aur investors ko safe-haven assets talash karne par majboor kar sakti hai.

Geopolitical waqeeyat, jese elections, trade disputes aur jang, bhi maliyat ke liye bohot ahem asraat daalti hain. Siyasati taraqqi ke ird gird ke uncertainties se investors ke positions ko dobara tahayyul karne ke natayej mein ziada volatility aa sakti hai. Misal ke tor par, major economies ke darmiyan trade negotiations mein katoti global growth ke imtihanat ko asar andaz bana sakti hai aur stock prices aur currency values mein tabdeeli la sakti hai.

Markazi bank ke faislay monetary policy ke zariye market sentiment aur assets ke prices ko shakal dete hain. Interest rate changes, quantitative easing programs aur forward guidance statements investor expectations aur market dynamics ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Traders future policy direction aur market conditions mein tabdeeli ki nazar se markazi bank ke announcements ka mutala karte hain. Markazi bank ki taraf se ek hawkish stance, monetary policy ko tight karne ki riayat ko darust karne ka ishara ho sakta hai, jis se mulk ki currency ko barhava mil sakta hai magar equities par asar kar sakti hai.

Trading mein kamiyaabi haasil karne ke liye, traders ko market factors ko mukammal tor par tashrih dena, tabdeeli aane par adapt karne aur risk management ko theek se istemal karne ki zaroorat hai. Technical analysis, jo past price movements ko janne aur key support aur resistance levels ko identify karna shamil hai, fundamental analysis ko market trends aur potential entry ya exit points ko nazar andaz karne ke tareeqo se pura karti hai. Dono approaches ko mila kar, traders kaamyaabi ke liye behtareen trading strategies ka tajzia kar sakte hain jo opportunities ko asani se hasil kar sakte hain aur risk ko behtar tariqe se manage kar sakte hain.

Risk management traders ke liye lazmi hai taake wo capital ko mehfooz rak sakein aur anjaaney market movements ka saamna kar sakein. Stop-loss orders set karne, portfolios ko diversify karne aur disciplined trading plans ko follow karne capital ko mehfooz rakhne ke liye zaroori hain. Kaamyabi ke liye trading ek holistic approach ko tajaa karne ka, jo maashiyati, geopolitical aur monetary factors ko shaamil karta hai, saath hi effective risk management strategies ko istemal karne ka zaroori hai.

Akhiri mein, traders market ke factors ko gehrai se analyze karke, tabdeel shurat se adapt karke aur mazboot risk management practices istemal karne se apni trading strategies ko naghahban bana sakte hain. Maaloomat hasil karne aur active banna ke zariye, traders apni trading strategies ko optimize kar sakte hain aur maliyat ke dynamic duniya mein apne maali maqasid ko pa sakte hain.

GBP/USD H4 time frame

Sab ko raat mein, is aala ka chart chunay hue waqt frame (time-frame H4) par dikhata hai ke pehla darja ka regreshan line (soni nukili line), jo haqeeqati trend ki rukh aur halat ko dikhata hai, dakshini taraf slope rakhta hai, jo zyadatar neeche ki taraf ke harkat ke dor ko shay hai. Ghair linear regression channel ka graph dikhata hai ke yeh neeche mud gaya hai, jo bikriyon ke dabaav ki numaindagi ko dikhata hai aur jo khareedne walon ki taraf se izzat di gayi jagah ko bahaal nahi karne ki koshish karta hai. Keemat neela support line ko cross kar chuki hai linear regression channel 2-nd LevelSupLine ka, lekin yeh quote ki minimum value (LOW) 1.23586 tak pahunchi, uske baad yeh apni giravat ko rok gayi aur dheere se badhti chali gayi. Ab aala 1.23655 ke keemat dar par trade ho rahi hai. Sab ke base par, main umeed karta hoon ke market price quotes wapas ayengi aur FIBO level ke 50% ki 2-nd LevelSupLine channel line (1.26409) ke upar wazeh rehngi aur aage upar ki taraf chalegi golden average line LR linear channel ki 1.26918, jo Fibo level 61.8% ke saath milta julta hai. Ek aur argument transaction karne ke liye yeh bhi hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke endazat bhi sahi dakhil hone ko tasdeeq karti hain, kyunke yeh kharidne mein dakhilne ka durustgi ko tasdeeq karte hain, kyunke yeh neeche rakhe hue hain.



















Mukhtalif currencies ka apas mein exchange rate daily cha

nging hota hai, aur forex market mein GBP/USD ka exchange rate aik important pair hai jo traders ke liye khasa interest rakhne wala hai. Daily time frame par GBP/USD ka exchange rate dekhne se pata chalta hai ke yeh pair aik taraf se dosri taraf move kar raha hai, aur aaj kuch aise mauqe mojood hain jin ke zariye lagta hai ke din ki closing lower hogi. Subah tak set kiya gaya minimum level ko update karne ke chances to nahi hain, lekin 1.2395 tak move hona aik asal possibility lagti hai baqi din mein. Aane wala weekend hai, is liye naye strategies tayyar rakhne ka waqt aa gaya hai jo GBP/USD ke mutaliq hon.

Mukhtalif factors jo exchange rate mein asrat dalte hain un mein sab se ahem Amreki GDP hai. Agle haftay mein is ki tafseelat dastyab hongi jo exchange rate par asar andaz hoti hain. Is ke baad agle mah ki naye statistics aane wale hain jo rate mein izafa ya kami ka sabab bante hain. May mein hukoomat ijaaraat ko barhaane ka faisla karegi, is par mukhtalif tajziyat hogi aur fir June mein interest rate ke baray mein wazeh ho jayega. CPI ki statistics bhi aane wali hain jo exchange rate ke movement mein inflation ka aham role ada karta hai.

Forex market mein trading karne wale traders ko economic indicators ko samajhna zaroori hota hai takay unhen exchange rate ke future trends ka andaza lagaya ja sake. GBP/USD ke case mein, America ki economic health aur UK ki economic situations ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Market analysts ki recommendations ke mutabiq, future mein GDP, inflation rates, unemployment rates, central bank policies aur government economic decisions par nazar rakhna bohot zaroori hai takay traders sahi trading decisions le sakein.

GBP/USD ke exchange rate ke movement ko predict karne ke liye technical aur fundamental analysis ko mila kar dekha jata hai. Technical analysis mein past price movements aur chart patterns ko dekha jata hai, jabke fundamental analysis mein economic indicators aur other market factors ko tafseel se dekha jata hai. Yeh dono tarah ke analysis traders ko exchange rate ka future direction samajhne mein madad gar sabit hoti hai.

To conclude, GBP/USD ke exchange rate ke movement ko daily time frame mein observe karna traders ke liye zaroori hai takay woh sahi trading decisions le saken. Economic indicators aur market factors ko samajh kar trading strategies tayyar karna traders ke liye mukhtasir aur mustaqbil ke liye faida mand sabit ho sakta hai.

: GBP/USD Pair Faces Downward Pressure Amidst Geopolitical and Economic Concerns


1: Market Dynamics Leading to GBP's Decline Against USD

Salam Azeezon. GBP ne USD ke khilaaf apni movement ko tez kardiya hai, jiski wajah se GBP/USD pair ko November 2023 ke end se pehle dekhe gaye levels tak pohancha diya hai. Middle East mein barhti hui jung ke barhte hue waswasay ke sath hi Federal Reserve ke interest rate forecast mein hawkish tabdeeli ne US dollar ke demand ko barha diya hai British pound ke nuksan mein. Pura hafte darust mahol ne risky currencies jaise British pound par dabao dala hai.

2: Impact on UK Economy and Pound's Performance


United Kingdom ke liye, pound ne is hafte chhote se expected decrease par try kiya apni March ke inflation data mein, jo ke Wednesday ko publish hua tha, magar bechare ke sellers ne 1.2500 ke aas paas phir chhupa raha. UK mein inflation data ke release ke baad, money markets ab Bank of England ke pehle rate cut ko November mein puri tarah se intezar karte hain pehle ke comparison mein jo September mein expect kiya ja raha tha.

3: Technical Analysis and Future Projections for GBP/USD Pair

Short-term technical perspective ki nazar se, GBP/USD pair mazeed kamzor hone ki taraf lean karta rehta hai jabke 14-day relative strength index negative territory mein hai lekin abhi tak oversold territory mein nahi hai. Bearish potential ko tasdeeq karte hue, 20-day simple moving average ne Thursday ko 200-day moving average ke neeche cross kiya, chart par ek bearish cross banate hue. Pair ne November 16 aur 17 ke lows ke neeche 1.2375 level ke neeche band hui, aur mazeed neeche ki movement 1.2244 aur phir 1.2142 ki taraf muntazir haiing

4: Recent Market Developments and Outlook

GBP/USD pair apni raah badal kar 1.2450 area tak chadh gaya, jab isne ek naya multi-month low 1.2400 ke neeche Asian session mein reach kiya, lekin European aur American sessions ke doran fir se neeche ki taraf movement shuru hui. Jumeraat ko ek Iranian sheher ke ooper explosions huye, jo sources ne ek Israeli attack kaha. Magar Iranian authorities ne is haadse ki ahmiyat ko kam parvah kiya aur keh diya ke unke paas kisi badlaava ke koi iraada nahi hai. Is natije mein, GBP/USD pair ne 1.2365 pe, ek naya paanch mahine ka low, tak gir gaya, pehle haal mein thora sa bahal gaya.


5: Market Sentiment and Future Targets

Iske alawa, American session ne haftawar control zone 1.2404-1.23736 ke neeche band kiya, jo bearish market sentiment ko tasdeeq karta hai aur agla selling target 1.2252 par hai. Correction 1/4 zone 1.24415-1.24491 ki taraf aur pattern formation ek selling opportunity ko darust karti hai.

Forex trading ka daur mein, GBP/USD pair phir se tawajju mein hai jab bull market mein apni taqat ko sabit kar raha hai. Pair ki qeemat mein izafa aur trading din ke darmiyan 1.2480 ke ahem level par bearish dabao ka ghair mutawaqqa ghaib hona, ab traders hafte ke aakhir mein ek potential correction par nigaah daal rahe hain. Bears ka 1.2420 par ghaib hona aham taraqqi hai, jo market sentiment mein tabdeeli ki nishani hai aur mukhtalif bullish momentum ko janam de sakta hai. Is surat mein, agar pair 1.2300 ke resistance area ki taraf barhna shuru karta hai, to bulls moqay ko barqarar karne ke liye numaya correction shuru kar sakte hain. Traders ke liye ye ek dilchasp mauqa hai short positions ka ghoor karne ka, khaaskar agar 1.2555 kitaraf barhne ki rah mein kuch galat ho gaya. False breakouts tab hotay hain jab qeemat aham resistance level ko mukhtalif dafa guzarti hai lekin momentum barqarar nahi rehta, jo ulte rukh ki taraf palatne ka nateeja deta hai.
Is surat mein, agar pair 1.2340 ke paar taraqqi nahi karti aur isay is level ke neechay lot’ta hai, to traders baad mein aane wale downward momentum se faida utha sakte hain short positions mein dakhil ho kar. Magar zaroori hai ke aik false breakout ka tasdeeq karne se pehle tahamul aur intezar karein, kyun ke galat signals waqt par theek tarah se istemal na hone par kai martaba nuqsanat ka sabab ban saktay hain. Technical pehluon ke ilawa, traders ko bazaar ke mazeed dynamics aur aanebazaar ke mazeed dynamics aur aane wale iqtisadi events ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye jo GBP/USD pair par asar dal sakte hain. Factors jaise ke iqtisadi deta releases, central bank announcements, aur geopolitical developments tamaam currency movements par asar dal sakte hain aur ziada volatility ko paida kar sakte hain. GBP/USD pair nazdeek mukhtalif pehluon par jaa raha hai, jahan bulls 1.2532 ke resistance area ki taraf correction ka nishana lagaye hain. Traders ko qeemat ka amal nazar rakhna chahiye aur khaas tor par aik false breakout ki surat mein tahamul aur khatre ko tawajju dena chahiye, taake trading opportunities ko faida utha sakte hain jab ke risk ko mufeed tor par sambhal sakte hain.

GBP/USD

Pichlay Jummay ko, Asian session ke doran, GBP/USD currency pair qaaimi tor par kam hua. Amreeki dollar ke dynamics ka rad-e-amal, pound euro ke peeche peecha reh gaya. Aham currencies ka ek baket ke khilaf, Amreeki dollar ne apni kamayi ko teil kiya. Iss haftay ke peechlay hisse tak pohanchne ke baad, pair sahi karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Amreeki market ka khulne aur siyasiyat tamaam tawajjo par mabni hai. United States ahem taraqqiati dain jari karega. Anjaamati daawat ka khaas khayaal rakhna chahiye, kyun ke ye khaas ahmiyat ka malik hain. Is aalaat ko pehle hisse mein mazeed barhna jaari rakha ja sakta hai lekin doosre hisse mein apni neeche ki taraf jaari raftar ko dobara ikhtiyar kar lega. Main 1.2375 ke mutawaqqa moar pech ka neeche bechna chahta hoon, apni maqsood 1.2485 aur 1.2436 tak pohanchne ke liye. Pair bhi barhna shuru ho sakta hai, 1.2500 ke upar jana, mazid hone ka baad, aur phir 1.2560 ya 1.2580 tak chalna, jabke pair bhi barh sakta hai, 1.2512 ke upar jana aur ittehaad karna.

GBPUSD ko kharidnay ke liye ishara diya gaya hai jab price moving average line 1.2500 ko cross karta hai, jo technical analysis mein ek ulta line samjha jata hai, jo ke signal hai ke GBPUSD ko kharidna hai. Likhaiye waqt tak, GBPUSD currency pair 1.2370 par trade ho raha hai aur badal se bahar hai. Ye ishara dete hai ke kharidnay ka irada kisi khaas waqt par hai, to shakhs yeh samajh sakta hai ke kharidnay wala mazboot irada rakhta hai. Jab tak mein apne aap ko itna susta rakhoon ke main market mein itne waqt tak ruk sakoon, mein ya to wapas ka signal intezar karoonga, ya phir mujhe aaj ke kharche cover karne ke liye kafi munafa mil jaye ga. Ye sab us indicator par munhasar hai jo mera munafa hasil karne ka faisla karne ke liye istemal hota hai: relative strength index indicator. Ek cloud boundary barhne ke doraan mazboot support banega. Magar agar boundary ko shikast di jaye, to barhne ke dauran uski kamiyon ke bare mein shak ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD pair

GBP/USD pair nedār mīnār ke saath hil gayā hai, jo hāl he mein nazar aya hai, jo qareeb aane wale mustaqbil mein is trend ki jari rahne ki mumkinah nishandahi kartā hai. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke dhiiraj rakhen ke bāzār aksar aise lambay rāstey ke baad dhakel kartey hain, aur hāl he ke nazdeeki downtrend jald hi ek waqti palat kā samna kar sakta hai. Is palatna zaruri hai taake neeche chalki hui maaliyat aur berūz shudah positions ko saaf kīya ja sake aur phir neeche ke harkat ko behtar tareeqey se phir se jaari kiya jā sake.

Sa'atī chart ke tajziya ke mutabiq, indicators bearish momentum kī nishandahi kartey rah rahe hain, jo ke farokht karnewalon ko bāzār ke control meh rakhne ki dalil hai. Is ke alāwa, pair ne kal din ke dauraan ek farokht ke signal ka jawāb diyā, jo ke bearish outlook ko mazeed mazboot karta hai.

Traders ko hushyār rehna chahiye aur potenshīl trade kī mauqe ko dhoondne ke liye ahem support aur resistance levels ko dekhna chahiye. Agar jodār muā'fiqūn apne maqāmāt se peecha chura leta hai, to traders ko trend kī waqti palat mein faida uthāne ke liye resistance levels ke qareeb short positions dākhil karne ke liye mauqe dhoondne chahiye.

Magar, kisi bhi trade shuru karne se pehle tawajjuh se parda kiya jāna zaroori hai. Pullbacks aksar fareb angaiz hote hain, aur traders ko dhīre se yahd karnā chāhiye ke downtrend dobarah shuru hone kī saaf ishārāton kā inteẕār karen, phir short positions ko dākhil karnē se pehle.

Doosri taraf, agar pair ko koī khaas palatna bina kisi numāyish ke neeche chalkaāne kī surāt mein apna dhīrā ghutnā banaaye rakhtā hai, to traders ko maujūdah short positions ko qaim rakhne ya resistance levels ke qareeb palātne par naye short positions mein dākhil hone ke liye mauqe dhoondne ke liye sochna chāhiye.

Kul milā kar, jabki GBP/USD pair qareebi mustaqbil mein mazeed neeche kī taraf mutawāqī hai, to traders ko tāro tāzo mehngāi, karnamā aur ke waqt kī nazar andāziyon ke sāth apne strategies ko taqat dete hue bāzār ke manzar ko dekhte rahne chāhiye. Sabr, tanjīm, aur qarībī parda ki nazar ke zariye traders bāzār ko tūr sakte hain aur tawānat barqarar rakh sakte hain, samān behtar karobarī mauqe se faida uthāte hue munāfah kā muqābilah karte hue.

GBPUSD currency pair ke is haftay ke trading session mein, hum ab bhi ek bearish market trend dekh sakte hain. Aur mustaqbil mein mazeed nichehawala rawani ka imkaan hai kyunki kal raat bazaar mein buland halchal ke sath bechnay ke transactions ab bhi thay. Agla market halat kehne par mujhe lagta hai ke doosra giravat ka tajzia kiya jaye ga, kam az kam tab tak jab tak yeh 1.2300 ke qeemat ke darjay tak na pohanch jaaye. Abhi qeemat abhi bhi chutti par hai kyunki market band nahi hai aur is haftay mein nazar aata hai ke kharidar fauj se koi numaya rukawat nahi aayi hai jo bearish trend ko mazeed nichay tak girne mein maddad kar rahi hai qeemat ke 1.2350 ke darjay ke nichay. Jaisa ke market mein dekha ja sakta hai, qeematain haftay ke trading session tak ab bhi mainly nichay ki taraf ja rahi hain. Chaliye dekhte hain ke kharidar fauj ne haftay ke shuru mein kiye gaye bullish experiment ko tajzia kiya, darasal haftay ke shuru ke trading session se hi kharidar fauj ke asar the jo qeemat ko upar ki taraf dhakel gayi, taake 1.2497 ke qareeb bhi barh sakti thi, lekin iske baad qeemat ko oonchi nahi utha saki, candlestick akhirkaar bohot gehra gir gaya. Mahina aur haftaawi trends bearish nazar aate hain, is liye mere khayal mein agle haftay ke market ki harkat bearish trend ki taraf lautne ki koshish karegi. Chhoti muddat mein margin calls ke khatra se bachne ki koshish mein har trader ko ek ache plan ke saath apni trading account ka nigrani karna chahiye.

GBPUSD Tahlil, 1.2366. Bollinger bands indicator ke dauran dekhe jaane wale shorat 24, hal mein Bollinger bands kaafi phael rahe hain, jo ke trading volatility barh rahi hai.

Simple Moving Average periods 50 aur Simple Moving Average periods 120 indicators ke dwaara dekhe gaye trend ka rukh, hal mein taqatwar Bearish trend ki raah mein abhi bhi qabil-e-tasleem hai, jo ke hum qeemat ki position se dekh sakte hain jo do SMAs ke buhat neeche hai. Jabke, RSI indicator ke dauran dekhe jaane wale shorat 5, hal mein RSI line phir se Overbought zone mein dakhil ho gayi hai, jo ke bearish pressure ab bhi kaafi taqatwar hai.

Trading Plan Ikhtataam ~ Uper diye gaye USD Index trading data ke buniyad par, mere khayal mein agle haftay ke trading, khaaskar peer ke trading ke liye, abhi bhi mawafiq hai. Is liye, mein USD Index trading conditions ka taraqqi ke sath nigrani karoonga, dekhoonga ke bazaar kis tarah se react karta hai jab qeemat apne ek se doosre supporters mein pohanchti hai, ya'ni Support level 105.71 aur Resistance level 106.49. Next, mein dekhoonga ke GBPUSD Market ka haal kya hai, kya kal pehle ek upar ki tezgi hogi ya phir mazeed qeemat giray gi. Agar jo hota hai woh ek upar ki tezgi, to phir mein dekhoonga ke qeemat SBR level 1.2425 area ko pohanchti hai to bazaar ka reaction kya hota hai.

gbpusd

Jumma ko, hourly chart par pound yen ke trading dynamics ne traders ki tawajju ko apni taraf khench liya. Din shuru hua ek numaya kami ke sath, jo currency pair ki raftar ka aghaz karne ke liye manzar-e-am par kuch dilchasp marahil mein laaya. Jab trading din aage badhta gaya, to pair ek aham lamha ka samna karne gaya jab wo 190.796 par mojooda support level ke qareeb aaya. Intezar barh gaya jab market participants ne is ahem mor par qareebi nazar rakhi, kisi bhi zahir hone wale tehqeeq mein taqat ke kisi bhi nishan ke liye tayar.

Bad mein, jo kuch hua usne is kahani ko mazeed complexity ka shayar banaya. Support level ke zahir hone wale tootne ke baad nikalne wala imtihan asal mein nakli breakout sabit hua, jo ke kai traders ko mutasir kar gaya aur prevailing market sentiments ko dobara tajziya karne par majboor kar diya. Yeh dhoka dene wala manouver currency trading ke fitri ghair muta'addi aur mushkil maahol ko wazeh karta hai, aur zyada savdhaani aur hoshyari ke ahmiyat ko yaad dilata hai zarbulmisal, jhootay breakout ki taraf se, aik khareedne ka signal nazar aaya. Yeh signal, support level ke jhootay breakdown se uthne wala, tajziya karte hue traders ke liye umeed ki roshni ka sarchashma tha jo market ke ghair mojoodgiyon par faiyda uthane aur mojooda qeemat ke ulat pher se faida uthane ke liye talash karte hain.

Piche ki nazar mein, Jumma ke hourly chart par jo waqeyat guez kiye gaye, pound yen ke trading ka anjam ek dilchasp daleel thi trading ke mizaj aur ghair mizaj ki complexity ki. Ibtidaai kami se le kar jhootay breakout tak aur muttasil khareedne ka signal ka uthna, har mor par kahani ke har mod ne real-time price action ko samajhne ki maharat aur market forces ke dynamic taqaze ko samajhne mein qeemti insights faraham ki. Ikhteta mein, Jumma ke hourly chart par pound yen ki safar ne trading ki asalat ko ikhtesar kiya: ek najuk nach jo khatra aur inaam, be yaqeeni aur mojoodgi, mein, jahan dekhnay wale analysis aur faisla mand amal ka rasta tayar karte hain forex market ke hamesha badalte manzar mein kamyabi ke liye.

GBPUSD

GBP/USD pair ne North American trading session ke doran thori harkat dikhayi, Bank of England policymaker Megan Green ke comments ke na honay ka koi asar nahi tha. Yeh kam harkat ek din mein hui jab UK mein maali data kafi shaant tha. Isi waqt, kai Federal Reserve officials ne apne interest rate cuts ke cautious approach ko barqarar rakha aur sabr ko ahmiyat di. Yeh stance pehle ki tawaqo'at se mukhtalif hai jab Fed ki taraf se zyada aggressive easing ki umeed thi, jo ke kuch log early 2024 mein chhe cuts tak ki tawaqo'at rakhte the. Important central bankers ke taqreeron ne economic data releases ko overshadow kar diya. Bostic ne inflation ko control karne ki ahmiyat par zor diya, is se ma'looma hota hai ke Fed abhi tak apni monetary policy ko kamzor karne ke liye tayar nahi hai. Jab ke Williams ne Fed ki data-driven approach ko tasleem kiya aur mojooda monetary policy ke stance par apni itminan ka izhar kiya, lekin agar zarurat paray to wo future mein interest rate hikes ka koi ihtimal bhi nahi rakhte. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index mein aik significant surprise tha, jis mein 15.5 tak tezi se izafa hua, jo ke 1.5 ki mamooli tawaqo'at ko paar kar gaya. Lekin, existing home sales par di gayi data ek mukhtalif kahani bayan kar rahi thi, jahan 4.3% ki kami 4 million se kam ho gayi.

Haal ki global market ki taza tareen taraqqiyat ke sath, Federal Reserve ke rate cuts ke liye tawaqo'at kam hui hain. Traders ab sirf do cuts ki umeed rakhte hain. Agar Bank of England Federal Reserve se pehle interest rates ko cut karne ka faisla kare, toh yeh GBP/USD pair par manfi asar daal sakta hai. Technical analysis ki taraf dekhte hue, GBP/USD daily chart par aik potential bearish movement ke indications hain. Pair ka recent giravat November 2023 mein 1.2448 ke neeche usay mazeed giravat ki taraf khol deti hai 1.2400 ke level tak. Halan ke thori recovery hui hai, lekin khareedari pressure 1.2480/90 zone ke aspas nazar aata hai. Agar pair 1.2400 ke neeche gir jaye, toh zyada giravat ka intezar hai, jahan tak ke November 17th (1.2374) aur November 10th (1.2187) ki kamzor support levels bhi mumkin hain. Dusri taraf, aik potential recovery ke liye, GBP/USD ko 1.2500 ke level ke ooper nikalna hoga. Lekin, khareedaron ko 200-day moving average (DMA) jo ke 1.2575 hai, ke saath mushkil ka samna karna parega.

GBP/USD Thursday ke Asian session mein 1.2650 range ke aspaas trade kiya. United States (US) ne peechle din mukhtalif ma'ashiyati data jaari kiya, jismein behtar ADP employment change thi lekin kam ISM Services PMI readings. Is ne US dollar (USD) ke liye mushkilat paida ki. US ADP employment change ne March mein 184,000 ke izafe kiye, jo ke February ke 155,000 izafe se zyada tha aur market ki 148,000 ki tajwez se zyada tha. Waqt ke sath hi, US ISM Services PMI March mein taslehat 52.7 ki tajwez se kam aayi, February ke 52.6 se 51.4 tak gir gayi. Is likhne ka waqt par, US Dollar Index (DXY) lagbhag 104.20 par trade ho raha hai, haal hi ke nuqsanat se ubhar nahi sakta. Federal Reserve ke interest rate policy ke rukh ke hawale se, kai Fed representatives ne apna rukh narm kiya hai.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne data par mabni strategy ko ahem samjhaate hue central bank ke rate decrease ko ikhtiyaar karne ki marzi ko dobara izhar kiya. Mazeed tawajju ko kheenchte hain Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ke bayanat, jo 2024 ke aakhri dour mein ek rate decrease ko support karte hain. Fed Board of Governors member Adriana Kugler ne disinflation ka musalsal trend highlight kiya aur is ka nateeja rate cuts ka hona ho sakta hai. 2024 ke aakhri dour tak kam se kam teen cutbacks ki umeed hai. GBPUSD ke daam pehle session ke tezi ke baad 1.2650$ par stable ho gaye hain. Agley sessions mein, bullish bias ko 1.2580$ ko paar karne ki tasdeeq ke saath recommended kiya jayega. 1.2700$ ko test karne ke liye agla station dekhna aur yaad rakhna ke agar yeh level tor diya gaya, to keemat mazeed barh jaegi, seedhe 1.2800$ tak. Is natije mein, hum qareebi aur fori arse mein mazeed izafe ka intezar karte hain. Mufeed halaat tab khatam ho jaenge agar keemat 1.2580$ ko tor diya jata hai, jo isay correcting bearish track mein wapas laega.