𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

USD/JPY pair ke maamle mein, jo ke US Dollar aur Japanese Yen ke darmiyan tabadla darusti ko darust karta hai, is mein haal hi mein kuch dilchasp tajwezat par asar daikhne ko mila. Pichle hafte ke trading ke dauran, currency pair ki keemat mein achanak kami ai, jismein USD JPY ke muqablay mein jor se gir kar 150.82 ke support level par pohanch gaya. Ye kami ek mazboot faidaay ke baad aayi, jis mein pair ne pehle saptah mein 151.95 ke resistance level tak pohanch gaya tha. Jab naye trading saptah ka aghaaz hua, pair 151.70 ke qareeb stabilize sa lag raha tha, jab tak key economic data releases jaise ke US ke mahangai ke numbers aur pichli Federal Reserve ki meeting ki minute ka intezaar tha.

Haal hi mein USD/JPY pair ke harkaton ke peechay aik keyaabad interventionist comments rahi hain Japani authorities ke taraf se. Japan Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne Japanese Yen ko support karne ki zaroorat ko lekar apne raftaar ko nawaazi aur kaha ke government zarurahat par appropriate measures uthay gi. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda bhi is per kuch kaha, kehte huye ke agar yen ke ghataune se economy mein kisi bhi kamzebi ka karan hota hai to central bank monetary policy tools istemal kar sakti hai. Ueda ne inflation outlook ke baray mein bhi optimism zahir kiya, kehte huye ke higher wages ke nateejay mein prices mein izafa aane wala hai kareeb aane wale waqt mein.

Magar, Japan ke taraf se yen ko support karne ke liye potential actions ke baray mein mixed signals aa rahi hain. Former chief currency diplomat Hiroshi Watanabe ne kaha ke government intervene tab tak nahi kare gi jab tak yen dollar ke 155 yen ke neeche nahi gir jaye. Ye ambiguity ke paas USD/JPY pair ke short term ke direction ke baray mein uncertainty badha rahi hai.

Dusri taraf, Bank of Japan ki monetary policy stance bhi exchange rate dynamics ko shape karne mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. BOJ Governor Ueda ke taraf se hawkish tone ke indications bhi aaye hain jismein unhone further interest rates barhane ke imkaan ke baare mein hint di. Ueda ke comments ke mutabiq potential wage increases consumer prices ko high ki taraf le jane ka sabab ban sakte hain aur isko Japanese economy mein confidence ke nishaan kiya gaya hai. Lee Hardman, MUFG Bank Ltd ke currency analyst ne kaha ke Japanese Yen ne Governor Ueda ke hawkish remarks se support hasil kiya hai.

Aam tor par, USD/JPY pair ke liye outlook temporarily downside ki taraf jaane ki taraf milti nazar aati hai, jab tak Bank of Japan ka hawkish stance aur Japan se positive economic indicators yen ki keemat ko support kar rahe hain. Halankeh, badi trend upar ki taraf rehti hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ka hawkish policy aur mazboot US economic data ke tehat chal rahi hai. US aur Japan ke monetary policies ke darmiyan farq USD/JPY pair ko aane wale dinon mein asar dalne mein mukhtalif rahay ga.

Agay dekhte waqt, Japani authorities ke taraf se yen ki keemat ke aur girne ko rokne ke liye kisi bhi intervention ka nazar andaaz karna ahmiyat rakhta hai. Kisi bhi significant USD/JPY pair ke downside shift ke surat mein, kuch ahem support levels ko breach kar sakta hai, further decline ke raste mein 148.00 tak ja sakti hai. Magar, pair mein koi waapsi trader ke liye buying opportunities present kar sakta hai jo long-term uptrend par profit haasil karne ka maqsad rakhte hain.

Ikhtitami tor per, jabke short-term uncertainties USD/JPY pair mein mojood hain, overall outlook bullish rehta hai jab tak Federal Reserve apna hawkish stance maintain kare aur mazboot US economic data dollar ko support karte rahe. Investors aur traders ko hoshyaar rehna chahiye aur USD/JPY pair ke aane wale dynamics mein safar karne ke liye apni strategies ko istemal karna chahiye.

USD/JPY ki jodi teesri haftay se aik sideways channel mein hai, aur jaisa ke dekh rahe hain, is channel se nikalne ki koi buhat bari sambhavna nahi hai. Isi liye, bohot zyada kehna mushkil hai ke is haftay ka ikhtitam phir 150.800 se neeche ki had mein band hoga aur 151.800 se oopar ki had mein. Sab se dilchasp cheezein agle haftay ho sakti hain. Main ye nahi kehta ke hum is channel ke neeche 150.800 par se guzarne ki koshish karenge aur 150 yen per dollar tak pahonchenge. Magar ye sirf volumes barhane ke liye ho sakta hai aur 152,000 ke oopar nikalne ki koshish karna hai. Is ke baad, hum American session ke ikhtitam tak, 153,000 yen per dollar tak hone wale movement ko ziada sahi andaza laga sakenge.
Is maidan mein, market ne bulandi aur tarteebi izafa dikhaya hai. Wazeh tha ke USD/JPY ek uroojati trend shuru karega, magar mere us par shak tha aur maine market ke taraf se dur rehne ka faisla kiya. Ab mujhe yaqeen hota hai ke mera faida ho sakta tha, kyunki sahi faisla bohot kam daam par aya, aur wapis khenchav bhi der se shuru hua. Mukhtalif timeframes par moving average ke rishte ki taraf dekhte hue, maloom hota hai ke bullon mein mazeed takat hai. Ye bhi nahi kehta ke agar neeche khenchav hua, to main buying ke tehat munafa kamane ke liye tayar rahonga, aur zyada tar yeh 150.80 hoga. Agar kisi wajah se main market mein dakhil nahi ho saka, to mustaqbil mein munafa kamana bohot zyada mushkil hoga, aur mujhe baqi ke sath tasalli rakhni hogi. Chalte hain, dekhte hain ke khabron mein kya kya bayan aata hai jab trend activity shuru hoti hai. USD/JPY aakhir mein urooj karega, jiske level par hum guzrenge woh 151.95 hai aur phir 153 figure ki taraf jayenge.

USDJPY H4 Time Frame:

Pair ke sellers ki taraf se fuel, 147-148 figure se, USDJPY mein drawdown mein aaya, lekin, kuch sources ke mutabiq, 149 figure se bhi kafi saare log yen stock up kiya aur accordingly dollar/yen pair bech rahe hain. Ab, jo current range hai, jo support zone 150.20-90 se lekar 152 tak swing hui hai, wahan bhi sellers baithe hain. Aur yahan, market ko dilemma hai, kyunki current se profit lena crowd se, bilkul bhi comme il faut nahi hai, aur market ke logic ke mutabiq, take-out ki zarurat hai, kam se kam 152 ke upar, takay sellers land ho sakein, agar woh nikalenge to. Lekin 152 ke upar jaane ka abhi bhi ek tarah ka "pain point" hai Bank of Japan ke liye. Lekin unhone toh USDJPY pair ke liye bohot saare aise "points" dekhe hain, aur highs ko baar baar update kiya gaya hai. Haan, aur maneuvers ke saath, woh participants ko yeh bhi convince kar sakte hain ke unhe 152 ke pehle exit karna chahiye, phir buy karna chahiye, aur pair ko decline ki taraf bhejna chahiye. Isliye, highs par hote hue, abhi instrument ki price kisi bhi direction mein shoot ho sakti hai.




USDJPY Daily Time Frame:

Yeh woh tarika tha jis se act karna chahiye tha, kickbacks se buy karna. Lekin abhi tak 151.90 resistance ko cross karne ki hassle khatam nahi hui. Shayad kal bhi wahi situation hogi, aur sirf Wednesday ko movement ke baare mein kuch clarity aayegi. Mujhe ummeed hai ke bulls resistance level ko break kar payenge, jo ke USD/JPY ko third week tak grow hone nahi diya. Aaj mein preference dunga upward movement ko, kyunki zyadatar market is direction mein hi jaayega, aur wahi maine sabse zyada prospects dekha. Agar hum upper level ki potential ki baat karein, toh level 153.84 tak pahunchna possible hai, lekin yeh kaafi distant probability hai; agar level 151.94 tak pahunchte hain toh humein agle goal tak 152.89 tak pahunchne mein madad milegi. Is tarah, agar mujhe growth mein koi doubts nahi hain, toh fall ka direction determine karna zyada mushkil hai. Is wajah se lagta hai ke current bearish trend on the USD/JPY pair mein, corrective movement possible hai.

Forex trading mein, market ki volatility ka pesh-e-nazar pehliyaan dusron ke faislon ke liye ahem hai. Jab volatility kam hoti hai, toh yeh aksar ghatae hue trading mauqe aur bebas keemat ke giraavat ke khatre ki nishani ho sakti hai. Is natije mein, traders aise dinon ko hoshiyaranai se samajhte hain, apne peson ka hifazati intizam istemal karke apni capital ki hifazat karne ke liye. Aaj ke niedana forex market mein kam volatility ka tajziya aik chup kar trading mahol ki naumeedi ki basharat deta hai. Halankay yeh kuch traders ko sakhti se bhagane se hi rokte hain, magar yeh zaroori nahi ke yeh bilkul munafa shaya karne ki koi gunjaish ko poori tarah se khatam karde. Balkay, is se faida uthane ki ahmiyat ko barhawa deti hai ke aik hoshiyarana trading strategy ikhtiyar ki jaye, jo sub se pehle risk management ko ahmiyat dijay. Kam volatility wale dinon mein safar kar rahe traders ke liye mukhtalif tajziyat mojib karne walay azaayez se khatra kam karne aur maujooda moujooda mauqe par faida uthane mein madadgar strategies ka istemal karne mein kuch tajziyat mojib karne ki madad ho sakti hai:

1. Major Currency Pairs par Tawajjo Dena: Kam volatility ke doran, major currency pairs exotic pairs ke mukable mein zyada mustaqil keemat ke harkat dikhate hain. Traders ko in pairs par tawajjo dena faida pahonchta hai, kyun ke yeh zyada liquidity aur tight spreads faraham karte hain, jisse unke trades mein kefiyat barh jati hai.

2. Technical Analysis ka Istemal karna: Bari market ko mutasir karne wale events ke abwab mein, technical analysis qeemat halat aur trends par mukhtasar tafseelat faraham kar sakti hai. Traders moving averages, support aur resistance levels, aur oscillators jaise indicators ka istemal kar sakte hain entry aur exit points ko zyada durusti se nishane laganay ke liye.

3. Range Trading Strategies ka Amal: Range-bound markets, jo aik mukarar range ke andar mehdood keemat ke phelawar mein mubtala hote hain, kam volatility ke doran aam hotay hain. Traders in halaat ka faida utha kar range trading strategies ka istemal kar sakte hain, jo support levels par khareedne aur resistance levels par farokht karne mein shamil hoti hain jab tak keemat range se bahar nikal jati hai.

4. Sabar aur Tanazzul Amal Karna: Kam volatility ke moqtanati moahol mein traders ke sabar ko imtihan dena sakht ho sakta hai, jab keemat mein kisi khas harkat ki ghaibi ki wajah se khauf ya jald baazi aa sakti hai. Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke aap apne trading plan ke mutabiq qayam rakhen, bekar tijarat ya majbooran tijarat na karke.

5. Mutasir Rehna: Jab ke overall market ki jazbat kam ho sakti hain, mukhtalif khbarat ya ma'ashiyati maloomaat ke izhaar khas currency pairs par abhi bhi asar andaz ho sakte hain. Traders ko muqarara announce karti events ke baray mein maloomat rakhni chahiye aur agar anumani harkat ho to apni positions ko mutabiq rakhne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Hoshiyaranai se amal, mustafad risk management amal, aur barah-e-raast apni strategies ko moujooda market haalaat ke mutabiq tabdeel karke, traders low volatility ke mahaul mein pur bharose taur par safar kar sakte hain aur apne kamiyabi ke imkanat barha sakte hain. Yaad rakhein, forex trading mein mustawradgi aur nazm lambe arse tak faida mand hone ke liye ahem hote hain.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) samay bekar ka aghwa mein phas chuka hai USD ke mukabley, haal hi ke contracts ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh kai factors ki wajah se hai. Bank of Japan (BOJ) darjat se bachta raha hai, jab Federal Reserve Bank (FED) darjaton mein kirdar ki dair par ishara karti hai. Yeh US aur Japan ke darmiyan interest rate ka farq bara deta hai, Yen ko ek safe-haven currency ke tor par kam zyada attractive banata hai. Dosri taraf, 2024 mein kam global interest rates ne US Treasury bond yields ko barhaya, jo USD ko madad karta hai. Yeh JPY par niche dabao dalne wala ek aur factor hai. Magar, Japanese authorities bazar mein dakhal dene ke liye peshagi kar sakte hain taake Yen mein zyada girawat na arai ho, jo investors ko ehtiyaat dilata hai. Yeh Yen ke nuksan ko mehdood karta hai jab traders US ki inflation data aur agle FOMC meeting ke taza signals ka intezaar karte hain. Takneekan, haal ki kam volatility 3 hafton tak ke price consolidation phase ke lye ishara hai USD/JPY pair ke liye. Jab daily oscillator indicators musbat rehte hain, lekin abhi tak overbought territory mein nahi pohoch gaye hain. Yeh yeh darust karta hai ke USD/JPY mein izafa mumkin hai, lekin tasdeeq shuda urooj trend ke liye 152.00 ke mark ke upar jaane ki zaroorat hai. Amuman, Yen global interest rate differentials, BOJ ki monetary policy, aur Japanese authorities ki dakhal dene ki mumkin tajweez ke darmiyan ek tug-of-war mein phas gaya hai. Arz kiye gaye US economic data aur FOMC meeting ab tak raftaar se USD/JPY currency pair ki mukhalif hal hone ki nishaniyan ke liye nazron mein honge. Lekin agle dinon mein, agar bears 152.00 level ko qaim karne mein kamyab hote hain toh ek namumkin nahin girawat hoga. Jab 100-day SMA 150.70 ko izafa de raha hai, tu 151.00 floor pehla bada challenge hoga negative scenario mein. 150.10 par, 200-day SMA phir lazim hoga. Short-term risk tab negative hoga jab price ne manasib tor par 150.00 ke pschologically significant intezami had ko neeche gira.

USD/JPY ke currency pair ke price ke behavior par abhi guftagu ho rahi hai. Pair ne 151.51 tak chadhaya hai, 151.93 ke ahem resistance ka through hoker, jo lambi tarmi ki trend ka dubara shuru hone ka ishaara deta hai. Intraday trend ek baar phir se upar ki taraf muda hua hai, 61.8% forecast ki taraf jaa raha hai 140.25 se lekar 150.87 tak aur 146.47 se lekar 153.03 tak. Agar yeh 151.56 ke neeche gir jata hai, to choti madad support ek neutral intraday trend ko wapas la sakta hai. Magar, jab tak support 150.80 ko tikaye rakhta hai, tab tak nazar bullish ki rahti hai. United States mein consumer price index data ki tasdiq ne US dollar aur overall market ko mazbooti di hai. 146.50 support level se shuru hone wala uptrend saaf hai, jo ek khareedne ki mauqa ki nishani hai. Khaas taur par, alligator aur envelope lines upar ki taraf mudi hui hain, jo 153.65 level ko test karne ki raftar ki surat mein projection karti hain.
USD/JPY ki upar ki trend jaari hai aur jaldi hi asset sales ke liye izafa shuda darkhwast ka tanqeed hai. Is natije mein, barhne wali khareedari gatividhi ke dauran, parchase karne wale ko sabse ooncha star se bechne wale iltija karna aam hai. Magar, mukhtalif time-frames par indicators overbought shurat ko signal de rahe hain, jo is hafte bechne ki taraf ek potential shift ki aasani se ishara karte hain. Umeed hai ek shadowed pin bar dvara darust ki gayi ek choti badlaav aur ek bearish candle se followed, ek giravat ka aghaaz kar de. USD/JPY quotes ke liye ek naya uchcha 153.30 ke aspas ka umeed hai, jo lamba intezaar karne wali overbought shurat ke saath milti hai. 137.24 ke neeche se shuru hone wale USD/JPY buyers ne ek phir se uparward impulse shuru kiya hai, jaha quotes 147.33 ke pehle point ke upar majbooti se rakha gaya hai. Bulls ke liye faislay mein pehle impulse zone ka 153.59 ke resistance hai, jisme se yeh aage badh sakti hai 157.42 ki taraf. Magar, Japani yen ki keemat mein ek nazar andeeshi uqlaab, kisi bhi star se tezmandi ko dakhil karne ki sambhavna bani rehti hai.

Aapka market analysis bahut detailed aur systematic hai! Aapne USDJPY pair ke recent movements ko ache se analyze kiya hai, aur aapke points ke mutabiq market sentiment yen aur dollar ke beech kaafi balanced lag raha hai. Haal hi ki US labor market statistics aur anya economic indicators ki tajziya ke baad, market sentiment ko further influence mil sakta hai. Agar data greenback ko support karta hai, toh USDJPY pair mein aur upar ki movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Aapne sahi kaha hai ke USDJPY pair par economic indicators aur geopolitical events ka zyada asar hota hai, aur H4 chart ke through aapne short se medium-term trends ko pehchane ka zikr kiya hai, jo ki ek bahut aham tareeqa hai market ke dynamics ko samajhne ka. Kya aapko kisi specifTanasub ki baat karne se lagta hai ke aap stock market ki baat kar rahe hain, jahan traders ke liye price levels ka bohot ahmiyat hai. Market mein 151.780 ke darja ka barqi tanasub aap ki baat se nazar aata hai, jo ke ek important psychological level ho sakta hai. Jab price is darje ke upar jaata hai,



toh traders kaafi optimistic ho jaate hain aur ye dekhna chahte hain ke price iss level se guzar ke aur oopar jaaye. Is level ko break karna ya uss par rehna bullish sentiment ko reflect karta hai aur ye indicate karta hai ke market mein buying pressure zyada hai. Traders ko ye signal milta hai ke price ka agla rukh upar ki taraf ja sakta hai. Lekin, jab traders sirf is darje ko nahi tor kar, balki uss se guzar jaate hain, toh ye bullish breakout ki talaash mein hote hain. Ye indicate karta hai ke market mein strong bullish momentum hai aur price kaafi potential hai ke aur oopar jaaye.Yeh strategies aur concepts market analysis ke important hisse hote hain jo traders ko market ki direction aur potential entry/exit points ke baare mein samajhne mein madad karte hain.ic trading strategy par discussion karna hai ya kuch aur janna hai?

USD/JPY (Dollar / Yen)

H1 timeframe par instrument/currency pair ka tajziyah karte hain aur acha munafa kamane ke liye behtareen dakhli nukta talash karte hain. Ek moassar technical analysis conduct karne ke liye, sab se pehle 4-hour timeframe ke saath ek chart kholenge, jo hamein mojooda trend ko sahi taur par tay karnay mein madad karega. HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color jese kaam karne wale indicators ka istemal karenge takay bazaar ki hawalaat ko dekha ja sake.

Hama aur RSI Trend indicators ke mutabiq, humain wazeh bearish sentiment nazar ata hai - dono indicators laal par tabdeel ho gaye hain, jo bazaar mein mukhtalif asar mein bechnay ka dabav darust karta hai. Is liye, hum ek short position for sale kholte hain. Hum position ko Magnetic Levels indicator ke readings ke mutabiq band karenge. Aaj, yeh levels 151.099 par hain. Mazeed, maqsood ke qeemat tak pohanchne ke baad, hamain chart par numayan bearish range mein diye gaye doosray target levels ko dekhna zaroori hai. Agar qeemat jari se madani aur pur sukoon tor par dakheel karti rahe aur southern direction mein confidently move karti rahe, toh hum Trailing stop ko activate karenge aur mazeed munafa ke izafay ka intezar karenge. Doosra option ye hai ke hum thori si farokht ko band karen aur baqi hissa ko breakeven par la kar rakhen. Agar, ulte, bazaar ki qeematien tezi se kamzor hoti hain ya phir tezi se bahaal hone ke saath saath volatility mein wazeh kami hoti hai, toh hum munafa hasil shudah ko mazid band karte hain aur naye bazaar mein dakheel hone ke liye agle wazeh signal ka intezar karte hain.

USD/JPY


Theek hai, yeh haalat samajhne ke liye aapka likha hua text yeh bata raha hai ke aap USD-JPY currency pair ke liye kaise analysis kar rahe hain. Aapne Extended Regression The StopAndReverse linear regression indicator ka zikr kiya hai, jo ke RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators ke sath mil kar market ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Aapne sahi transaction ke liye entry ka faisla karne ke liye teeno indicators ke signals ka mushahida zaroori qarar diya hai. Agar kisi bhi indicator mein se ek bhi dusron ke khilaf hai toh deal ko cancel kar diya jata hai kyunki ye profitability ke liye poori tarah se confirmed nahi hota.

Market mein entry ke baad, jab quotes positive result ke area mein aati hain, toh aap sab se profitable closing point establish karte hain, jo ke Fibonacci grid ke base par extreme points ke identification ke liye banaya gaya hai. Market se exit is waqt hota hai jab price correction Fibo levels ke qareeb aati hai.

Time-frame H4 pe, USD-JPY chart clear taur par batata hai ke golden dotted line ki tarah regression line (1st degree) (jo true trend ke direction aur state ko dikhata hai) uttar ki taraf slope rakhta hai, jo predominantly upward movement ka waqt dikhata hai. Nonlinear channel (convex lines) bhi near-future direction predict karne ke liye use hota hai aur iska noticeable upward slope hai.

Price ne linear regression channel ke red resistance line 2nd LevelResLine ko cross kiya, lekin maximum quote value (HIGH) 153.006 pe pohanchi, jahan se usne apni growth ko roka aur sthaayi tarah se ghata hui. Instrument ab price level 153.083 pe trade ho raha hai. Sab se pehle, market price quotes ka return aur consolidation expected hai channel line 2nd LevelResLine (148.502) FIBO level 38.2% ke neeche, aur phir neeche ja kar golden average line LR of the linear channel 147.731 tak, jo ke FIBO level 23.6% ke sath milta hai. Ek aur argument yeh hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators bhi sales mein entry ka sahi hona tasdeek karte hain kyunki wo overbought zone mein hain.

USD/JPY

151.90 ka test, jo MACD line ke zero se uthne ke saath samanvayit tha, ek buy signal ko uttejit kiya jo ki 150 pips se adhik ke bhav mein vruddhi laayi.

Japan se aaye arthik data aur Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda ke bayano ke bawajood yen ki maang mein vruddhi nahi hui. Halaanki, sirf Bank of Japan ki hastakshep USD/JPY ke uchit potential ko prabhavit karega, waise hi agar pair mein girawat aati hai, to bajar ke khiladi shayad sabhi gati ko kharid lein, kyun ki dollar bulls bajar se jaldi nahi jaayenge.For long positions:

Buy karein jab bhav 153.23 ko touch karta hai (chart par hare rang ki line) aur take profit 153.88 par karein. Vruddhi us din ke uchit bhav todne ke baad ho sakti hai.

Jab bhi buy karte hain, dhyan dein ki MACD line zero ke upar ho ya zero se uth rahi ho. USD/JPY ko 152.86 ke do lagatar bhav tests ke baad hi kharidna consider karein, lekin MACD line oversold area mein honi chahiye, kyun ki tabhi bajar 153.23 aur 153.88 ke liye palat jaayega.

For short positions:

Sell karein jab bhav 152.86 (chart par laal rang ki line) ko chhootega aur take profit 152.30 par karein. Dabao vapis aaega ek nakam toorna ke baad din ke uchit bhav aur kendriya bank ki sakriya karyavahi ke baad.

Jab bhi sell karte hain, dhyan dein ki MACD line zero ke neeche ho ya zero se neeche jaaye. USD/JPY ko 153.23 ke do lagatar bhav tests ke baad hi bechna consider karein, lekin MACD line overbought area mein honi chahiye, kyun ki tabhi bajar 152.86 aur 152.30 ke liye palat jaayega.

Kya chart par hai:

Patli hare rang ki line - yahaan USD/JPY ko kharidne ka bhav

Moti hare rang ki line - yahaan aap take-profit (TP) set kar sakte hain ya haath se profit fix kar sakte hain, kyun ki aage ki vruddhi is star par asambhav hai.

Patli laal rang ki line - yahaan USD/JPY ko bechne ka bhav

Moti laal rang ki line - yahaan aap take-profit (TP) set kar sakte hain ya haath se profit fix kar sakte hain, kyun ki neeche ki vruddhi is star par asambhav hai.

MACD line - bajar mein pravesh karte samay overbought aur oversold kshetron ke aadhar par gyaan hona mahatvapurn hai.

Mahatvapurn: Naye traders ko bajar mein pravesh ke nirnay lene mein bahut saavdhaani bartni chahiye. Mahatvapurn reports ke prakashan se pehle, bajar se dur rehna behtar hai taaki bhav mein tezi se parivartan mein fans na jaayein. Agar aap news ke prakashan ke samay trade karna decide karte hain, to hamesha stop orders lagayein takke nuksaan ko kam kiya ja sake. Stop orders nahi lagane se, aap apna poori deposit bahut jaldi kho sakte hain, khaaskar agar aap money management ka istemaal nahi karte hain aur bade volumes mein trade karte hain.

Aur yaad rakhein ki safal trading ke liye, aapko ek spasht trading plan hona chahiye. Samvaadhan ke bina market situation par adharit spurthi trading decision ek intraday trader ke liye haar karne wali strategy hai.

Kal USD/JPY joda thori si barh gaya, lekin main kehta nahi bohot zyada. Yehi pound yen ke muqable mein zyada gir gaya. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke hume zyada se zyada umeed barhne ki nahi hogi. Sellers ke stops 152.00 ke breakout par hataye gaye thay. Aap abhi tak har kisi ko market se bahar nahi le sakte, aur ab zyada tar traders khareedne mein jaengey bechne ke bajaye. End par, classics ke mutabiq, humne horizontal level ko tor diya hai aur hume pullback se kharidna chahiye. Ya phir kharidne pullback ke toor par ki gayi. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ab zyada buyers honge sellers ke muqable mein. Is natijey mein, buyers ko bahar lena parega, jo kehta hai ke dollar-yen gir jayega. Yeh toh aashcharya ki baat hai, ke Japan Bank dakhal nahi karti. Bohot saare pairs mein, main dollar ko mazboot dekh raha hoon, isliye is pair mein ek chhota izafa abhi bhi mumkin hai, lekin main nahi sochta ke hum zyada uncha utrenge. Shayad agle haftay mein, agar pair apne aap gir nahi gaya, toh Japan Bank dakhal karegi.





Haqeeqat mein, hume 153.25 par aik jhoota breakout mil sakta hai, aur us ke baad, girawat jari rahegi. Abhi ke liye, mujhe 153.25 par aik jhoota breakout ka intezar hai aur us ke baad girawat jari rahegi. Shayad 151.90 ke range se pehle hi ek rebound aa gaya hai aur is halat mein girawat bina kisi mazeed jhootay breakout ke jari rahegi. Jab hume 153.25 par aik jhoota breakout milay ga, toh us ke baad girawat jari rahegi. Jab hume 153.25 ke range ka jhoota breakout milay ga, toh yeh ek bechna ka signal hoga. Shayad hum 150.80 ke range ke qareeb pohanch jayenge aur isay tor payenge, toh yeh rate girne ka signal hoga. Zahir hai, 152.00 ke range ke jhootay breakout ka acha signal hoga bechnay ke liye. 152.00 ke range mein rukawat hai aur wahan se, girawat jari rahegi. Shayad hum mazeed neeche girnege ab tak ke, 152.00 ko update kare bina, jahan zyada se zyada hain. Jab hume 150.80 ke range ke neeche breakout aur qaim karenge, toh yeh girawat jari karne ka signal hoga.

USD/JPY mein aaj kuch tezi dekhi gayi hai aur market 153.319 tak pahunch gayi hai. Ye tezi aksar traders ke liye aik mufeed mauqa hoti hai apni positions ko barhaane ka ya naye trades ke liye dakhil hone ka. Ye movement market ke dynamics aur mukhtalif factors ke natije mein hoti hai, jaise economic data releases, monetary policy decisions, aur geo-political events.
Ek mahatvapurn factor jo USD/JPY ke movement ko influence karta hai, woh hai US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke monetary policies. Jab Federal Reserve interest rates ko badhaata hai ya monetary policy mein koi changes karta hai, toh ye USD ke mukaam ko influence karta hai. Isi tarah, Bank of Japan ke monetary policy decisions bhi JPY ke mukaam par asar daal sakte hain. Market mein sentiment bhi ek ahem rol ada karta hai. Agar traders kaafi optimistic hain, toh wo USD/JPY ki keemat ko ooncha karte hain. Lekin, agar uncertainty ya risk aversion badh jaati hai, toh USD/JPY ki keemat mein kami aati hai. Is tarah ke sentiment changes ko samajhna market ke liye ahem hai.

Economic indicators bhi market movement ko influence karte hain. Jaise ke GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation rates. Jab bhi ye indicators better than expected hote hain, toh USD/JPY usually ooncha jaata hai, aur jab ye indicators disappoint karte hain, toh USD/JPY mein kami aati hai. Geo-political events bhi market ke direction ko change kar sakte hain. Koi bhi badi political tension ya koi event jo global stability ko challenge karta hai, woh USD/JPY ke liye volatility ka sabab ban sakta hai.



​​​​​Technical analysis bhi traders ke liye ahem hoti hai USD/JPY mein. Traders chart patterns, moving averages, aur other technical indicators ka istemal karke future price movements ka analysis karte hain. Is waqt, USD/JPY ke upar jari movement ki wajah se traders ko careful rehna chahiye. Market mein volatility badhne ke sath sath risks bhi badh jaate hain, isliye risk management ka dhyan rakhna zaroori hai. Aur, market ke latest updates aur news ko regularly track karna bhi ahem hai, taake aap sahi decisions le sakein.

USD/JPY mein aaj tez movement dekhi gayi hai aur market ne 153.320 tak pohanch kar aik naye urooj par pohncha hai. Yeh tajziyaat ki taraf se dilchasp hai kyunkay yeh do mukhtalif currencies ke darmiyan ki mukhtalif qeemat ko darust karti hai. Dollar aur yen ke darmiyan ke taluqat kaafi ahem hain, kyunkeh yeh do bade aur powerful economies ke currencies hain. Amerika ki dollar duniya ki sab se bari reserve currency hai, jabke Japan ki yen bhi ek mazboot aur stable currency hai. Is liye, jab USD/JPY mein achi movement hoti hai, to yeh market ke participants ke liye khaas tor par dilchasp hoti hai.

Is taraqqi mein kuch mukhtalif factors shamil hote hain. Sab se pehle toh, economic indicators ka kirdar hota hai. Maheenah economic reports, jaise ke GDP, employment data, aur inflation figures, market sentiment ko asar andaz hoti hain aur is ke natijay mein currency pairs ki qeemat mein tabdeeliyan ati hain. Agar kisi mulk ki economy behtar hoti hai to us mulk ki currency ke qeemat mein izafa hota hai.

Doosra factor, central banks ke monetary policies hain. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki monetary policies, jaise ke interest rates aur quantitative easing, bhi USD/JPY ke qeemat ko mutasir karti hain. Jab kisi central bank ne interest rates ko barha diya ya gira diya jata hai, to isse us country ke currency ki qeemat mein tabdeeliyan ati hain. Geopolitical tensions bhi currency pairs ki movement par asar dalte hain. Agar kisi mulk ke darmiyan ya phir international level par tensions barh jate hain, to investors apne funds ko safe haven currencies mein, jaise ke USD aur JPY, shift karte hain, jo ke in currencies ki qeemat ko buland karti hai.



Market mein technical analysis bhi important hoti hai. Traders charts aur technical indicators ka istemal karke currency pairs ki movement ka andaza lagate hain aur is ke mutabiq apni trading strategies ko tay karte hain. Overall, USD/JPY mein dekhi gayi achi movement ek number of factors ke asrat ka natija hai, including economic indicators, monetary policies, geopolitical tensions, aur technical analysis. Is tarah ke tajziyat market ke participants ke liye informative hoti hain aur unhe apni trading decisions mein madad karti hain.

Is waqt ke market mahol mein, USD/JPY joda 153.34 ke resistance zone ke aspaas chal raha hai, jo ek mazi point ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Haalanki haal hi mein ek giravat thi, lekin khareedne walon mein istiqamat nazar a raha hai, jo aane wale trading session mein bullish bias ka jari rakhne ka tajir hai. Is manzar ke sath, aqmay ko madde nazar rakhte hue akhtiyar karna chahiye ke 25 se 35 pips tak ka mamooli take-profit target set kiya jaye. Magar, jo log munafa ko barhane ki koshish karte hain, unke liye khabron per mabni trades mein shamil ho kar, achhi tarah se tajwez shudah trading plan ke sath faida uthana faydahmand sabit ho sakta hai. USD/JPY ka daily chart tajziya karte hue, ek bullish pattern ki isharaat hain jo jald samne aa sakta hai, khareedne walon ke liye moujooda waqt mein dakhli karne ke liye ek moka hai. Khareedne walon ke resistance levels ko kuch hi waqt mein torne ka intezar hai, trading strategies mein tabdiliyan zaroor karna chahiye. Behtar nifaaz ke sath, trading positions banaye rakhne ka mashwara diya jata hai, khas tor par aise maheeno mein jab khas news events volatility ko introduce kar sakte hain.

US Trading Session Strategy:


Aage dekhte hue US trading session ki taraf, hisab kitab ko hoshiarana tor per sambhalna zaroori hai aur market dynamics aur ane wale news events ko madde nazar rakhte hue ek mazboot trading plan bananas lazim hai. Khabron ke data ka tawajjo se nighdasht karna aur adapt hone se, traders khud ko market sentiments mein faidaye mand tarika se position kar sakte hain. Ye proactive approach khareedne walon ke liye tasweer banata hai, jo lahaq profit ratios haasil karne ke mauqe mojood dete hain. Market sentiment ka zyada durust samajhne ke liye, aaj ke US trading session ke opening ka intezar karne ki salahiyat hai. Ye qeemti insights faraham karega jo market ke rukh ka ghalti se shanakht karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai. Bardasht aur market ke tajwezah honay walay haalat ki tawatur mein, traders apne trading performance ko behtar banane ke liye maloomati faisale lenge aur aane wale mawaqe ka faida uthayenge.

Ikhtisar mein, USD/JPY market khareedne walon ke liye faidaymand shartein paish kar rahi hai, ek bullish trend continuation ki isharaat hain. Khabron per mabni trades mein tajawuz ke sath, nifaaz-e-mufeed practices ko amal mein lane se trading outcomes ko behtar banaya ja sakta hai. Market dynamics ke muqablay mein adapt hone se, traders tawziyo ko durusti se samajh sakte hain aur forex manzil ke tabdeeli hote hue mauqon se faida utha sakte hain.

Abhi thoda sa pullback hai, lekin yeh uttar ki taraf ek serious bid nahi hai, bas ek koshish hai neeche jaane ki, aur mujhe lagta hai ke bull market thoda neeche, 152.50 par, phir se bazaar mein dakhil honge. USD/JPY abhi kisi average ke mutabiq upar jaane ki taraf dekh raha hai takreeban 154.33 resistance level tak, kyunki saaf hai ke USD/JPY ko abhi bhi wave ke lehaz se kuch aage jaane ki zarurat hai. Jab yeh iraade haqeeqat banenge, is ahem nishan tak pohanchne ke baad, jpy umdaan ko badalne ki koshish karega bullish se bearish ki taraf. Halaanki, 154.33 ke darje tak pohanchne ke baad bhi, yeh zaroori nahi hai ke pair mein tezi se giravat hogi; zyadatar, bazaar apni raftar ko dheema karega. Is mukhya bazaar zone ko paar karne ke baad, temporary bhool jaane ki southern disha mumkin hai. Agar yeh iraada nakam hota hai, toh naturally phir se southern border ki taraf jaana zaroori hoga, 151.47 ke darje par.





Humne aaj pehle hi 153 figure tak pohanch liya hai, shayad dopahar mein American ko bhi kal ki tarah uttar ki taraf ek aaghaz hoga. Halat ke ab tak main abhi bhi uttar ki taraf inclined hoon, kyunki wave structure bearish trend ko viksit karne ki sambhavna ko rokta hai, aur 151.47 ke darje ka toran bear market ko dobara sthapit karne ke liye avashyak hai. Main vikalpik drishti se sehmat nahi hoon aur abhi bazaar mein upar jaane ki potenshial dekh raha hoon, 154.33 tak pahuchne ki sambhavna ke sath. Agar 153.37 ke rukawat na hoti, toh pair ne 154.33 ke darje ko pahuchne ki koshish kar li hoti, aur is movement ke charam par kharidar ki taraf se progress ka mauka hota.