𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EUR/USD H4 Time Frame:

Aslam-o-Alaikum, chaar baje, mere pas wahi khayalat hain, ke nazariye mein hamain theory ke mutabiq ek upri rebound karna chahiye, jab hum 1.0836 ko torain, to EURUSD ka potential khulta hai, 9th figure ke oopar jaye, sab se ahem cheez yeh hai ke koi jamaa'at se yeh plan toot jaye. America ke data ke mutabiq, udaane ki koshish thi, lekin bechne wale ne jaldi isay dabaya aur data dollar ke liye zyada saabit hua. Aam tor par, din ke doraanon ke mudday abhi tak upar ki taraf tabdeel nahi karne diye gaye hain, lekin abhi yeh haal nahi hai, yeh option umeedwar ke liye sirf ek option hai abhi. Wahaan, is doraan ke liye, main ek triangle leta hoon aur EURUSD ab triangle ke neeche ki line par hai, is liye main aap ke option ke saath ittefaaq karta hoon, yeh zyada mantariki nazar aata hai, haalaanki, dekhein agar woh aaj neeche ki support zone ko 1.0780 ke nichle point ke saath hold karte hain, to phir agle haftay mein upar chalkana kaafi mumkin hai. Kal ke liye main ek baat kahunga, kyun ke aaj chhutti ke silsile mein.

EUR/USD Daily Time Frame:

Ek test triangle ke neeche ki seema ab dekhi ja rahi hai; agar yeh ek impulse breakdown nahi hota, to zyada tar upri dabao is par apna kaam karega. Warna, hum vartamaan kamzori se utharne ka tajurba kar sakte hain, aaj maine 1.0780 se kharida, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke bechne wale phir se badhne ki taraf laut sakte hain, yani ke main ek wazeh signal tak dekhta rahunga. Phir se 1.08 ke neeche ek tod phir se aisa ban jayega, agar woh din ko vartaman kamzori ke neeche band karte hain, toh tohra sa bhi sawal nahi hoga direction ke mutalik, haalaanki yahaan 1.0700-20 aur wahaan se phir se todhi gayi triangle ki sima tak lautna dikhana chahiye. Taake yeh na ho ke hum is breakout mein kuch bechne wale ko bula lein, aur phir jhootay breakout se 1.10 tak taez izafa ho. Main 1.08 ke neeche giravat ke baad phir se izaaf ki do mumkin marks hasil karta hoon, pehla 1.0775 par, aur doosra 1.0755 par. Phir dekhtay hain.

EUR USD Outlook Technical H1 Time Frame:

Currency pair ne apni hal nedir qeemat ki karwai mein numaya istiqamat dikhaya hai, jo ke market ke itmaad ke hawale se mazbooti ka darja darust karta hai. Magar, iss muddat ke jazeera ko aur bhi complicate karte hue, pair ke haal ki positioning trend line MA100 ke neeche hai, aik ahem moving average indicator jo aksar volume unloading ke saath jura hota hai. Ye khaas positioning ek bearish bias ko ishaara karta hai, jo qareebi muddat mein qeemat par neechay dabao ka imkaan darust karta hai. Traders in indicators ko qareeb se nazar andaaz kar rahe hain taake mojooda trends ki taqat aur rukh ko jaan sakein, jo inke trading strategies aur decisions ko guide karta hai.

Currency pair ka ye positioning trend line MA100 ke neeche hone ka haqeeqi fact is moving average ki ahmiyat ko market dynamics ke context mein wazeh karta hai. MA100 aik wasee istemaal honay wala technical indicator hai jo 100 dino ke doraan aik asset ke average closing price ko track karta hai. Jab kisi asset ki keemat is moving average ke neeche gir jaati hai, to yeh aksar bearish bias ki taraf tafteesh ka ishaara karta hai. Is positioning ke saath jura volume unloading bearish outlook ko aur bhi zyada bataata hai, jo ke market participants apni positions ko bech rahe hain, jis se qeemat ko neeche ki taraf le ja sakti hai.

Traders ke liye, ye indicators market sentiment ka andaaza lagane aur potential trading opportunities ko pehchanne ke liye qeemati tools ke taur par kaam karte hain. Currency pair ki positioning ko trend line MA100 ke mutalliq qareeb se nazar andaaz kar ke, traders market ki asal taqat ya kamzori ka andaza laga sakte hain. Is moving average ke neeche qayam hone ka mustaqil dor bearish trend ko darust kar sakte hain, jo traders ko short-selling ka intizaar karne ya apni positions ko mazeed downside risk se bachane ke liye dafaati strategies qaim karne ke liye majboor karta hai.

Is ke ilawa, currency pair ke positioning se ishaara shuda bearish bias risk management ki ahmiyat ko highlight karta hai trading mein. Traders ko apni positions ko mojooda tor par manane ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye, stop-loss orders set kar ke aur potential nuqsanat ko mehdood karne ke liye risk mitigation strategies ko amal mein laane ke liye. Is ke ilawa, volatile market conditions ko samajhne ke liye mazboot analysis aur pehle se tayyar trading plans ke muzoo par amal kar ke trading ke liye ek mahroomi approach banaye rakhna bhi zaroori hai.

𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Currency pair ne haal hi mein apni qeemat ke amal mein dekhai gai remarkable istiqamat ka saboot diya hai, jo market ki nisbat ashaariyat mein taqat ka ek darja zahir karti hai. Magar, is surat-e-haal ko mazeed paicheedgi ka shikar banata hai ke pair ke mojooda moqamiyat trend line MA100 ke nichle maqam par hai, jo aksar volume unloading ke sath jura hota hai. Ye khaas bandobast ek bearish bias ki taraf ishara karta hai, qeemat mein nichle dabaav ki mumkinat ko zahir karta hai qareebi muddat mein. Traders ye indicators bohot nazdik se dekh rahe hain takay woh mojooda trends ki taqat aur rukh ka andaza lagasaktein hain, jo phir unke trading strategies aur faislo ko rehnumai deta hai.



Currency pair ke trend line MA100 ke nichle maqam par hone ka haqeeqi maqam market dynamics ke context mein is moving average ki ahmiyat ko izhar karta hai. MA100 ek wasee izafi technical indicator hai jo maazi 100 muddaton ke douran kisi asset ki average closing price ko track karta hai. Jab kisi asset ki qeemat is moving average ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh aksar bearish bias ki taraf jhukav ka ishara hota hai. Is bandobast ke sath jura volume unloading bearish outlook ko mazeed taqwiyat deta hai, ishara karte hue ke market ke hissa daron ne apni positions ko unload karne ka socha ho sakta hai, qeemat ko nichle le jane ki mumkinat.

Traders ke liye, ye indicators market sentiment ka andaza lagane aur potential trading opportunities ka pehchanne ke liye qeemti tools ka kaam karte hain. Currency pair ke mojooda maqamiyat ko trend line MA100 ke hawale se nazdeek se nigrani karke, traders market ki asal taqat ya kamzori ka andaza laga sakte hain. Is moving average ke neeche ek mustaqil maqam rakhna ek bearish trend ko darust kar sakta hai, jis se traders ko short-selling ya apni positions ko mazeed downside risk se bachane ke liye difaati strategies ko mad e nazar rakhna chahiye.

Is ke ilawa, currency pair ke trend line MA100 ke neeche hone wale bearish bias ki taraf ishara risk management ka ahmiyat ko roshan karta hai trading mein. Traders ko apni positions ko mustaqil taur par manage karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, stop-loss orders set karke aur risk mitigation strategies ko implement karke taake agar market unke khilaf chalti hai to potential nuqsaan ko mehdood kiya ja sake. Is ke ilawa, volatile market shara'ait ko samajhne ke liye dhaire dil se tajziya aur qarar diye gaye trading plans ke mutabiq amal karna trading ke liye zaroori hai.

EURUSD currency pair ki daily time frame chart dekhnay se wazeh hota hai ke price action mein ek mustaqil bullish trend hai. Ye trend pichlay trading session se le kar aaj ke session tak jaari hai. Is trend ka zor ooper ki taraf ka movement hai, jo pair ko aik ahem supply zone tak le aya hai. Ye supply zone 1.0865 se le kar 1.0853 tak hai.Supply zone ka zikr karte waqt, ye ahem hota hai ke ye ek area hai jahan traders expect karte hain ke price mein girawat ho sakti hai. Ye girawat supply zone ki wajah se hoti hai kyun ke yahan sellers active ho sakte hain jo price ko neeche le jaane ki koshish kar sakte hain.

Is situation mein, traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar price ne supply zone ko break kar diya aur neeche gir gaya, toh ye indicate karega ke selling pressure ziada hai aur bearish momentum barh gaya hai. Is scenario mein, traders selling opportunities dhoond sakte hain, ya existing long positions ko close kar ke wait kar sakte hain ke market ki direction clear ho. Dusri taraf, agar price ne supply zone ko successfully cross kar liya aur ooper jaari hai, toh ye indicate karega ke bullish momentum abhi bhi strong hai. Is situation mein, traders ko long positions ko hold karne ka faisla karne ki zarurat hai aur wo upside ko target kar sakte hain.

Price action ka analysis karte waqt, ek aur cheese jo traders ko dhyan mein rakhni chahiye woh hai volume. Agar price ek supply zone ko approach kar raha hai aur volume bhi badh raha hai, toh ye indicate karega ke selling pressure ziada hai. Wahi agar price supply zone ko break kar raha hai aur volume bhi badh raha hai, toh ye indicate karega ke bullish momentum strong hai. Overall, EURUSD currency pair ke daily time frame chart ka analysis karke, traders ko supply zone ka dhyan rakhna chahiye aur price action ke sath volume ko bhi consider karna chahiye taake woh sahi trading decisions le sakein.

EUR/USD

H4 waqt frame chart par EURUSD pair ki nigaah daalne se pata chalta hai ke guzishta Thursday ke trading mein hui keemat barhne ne resistance level 1.0864 ko tod diya hai. Magar agle trade mein, yaani 16 baje server time par, keemat bearish ho gayi ek bearish candle banakar. Keemat ke girne ka silsila Jumeraat ko trading mein jaari reh sakta hai, khaaskar America ki session ke early trading mein, lekin aakhir mein, jab keemat ne 1.0800 ke psychological level tak pohancha, girawat ko barhne ka silsila dekha gaya. Aur aam tor par guzishta Jumeraat ki trading sirf side mein hi hui.

Bollinger Bands indicator ke haalat mein dekha gaya ke period 24 ke liye Bollinger Bands ab bhi nisbatan wide hain, jis se trading ki jhokawar hone ki darjah zyada hai. Simple Moving Average period 50 aur Simple Moving Average period 120 indicators dikhate hain ke trend direction abhi bhi Bearish trend line mein hai lekin kaafi mazboot hai kyunki keemat dono SMAs ke darmiyan khel rahi hai. Wahi, RSI period 5 aur RSI period 14 indicators ki haalat mein dekha gaya ke abhi dono RSIs bearish signals ko dikhate hain, isliye agle haftay ki trading ke liye keemat mein girawat ki mumkinat hai.

EURUSD pair ki trading options darj zeel hain.

Kharidain ~ Kharid ki entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar keemat kami se kami level 1.0876 ko tod de. Chhoti muddat ke munafa maqsood ke liye, isko Resistance level 1.0939 par rakha jaata hai. Halanki, nuqsaan ki had 1.0856 par rakhi gayi hai, jo ke higher level 1.0876 se 20 pips neeche hai.

Becho ~ Bechne ki entries agle haftay, jab bazaar phir se active ho, anjaam di ja sakti hain. Munafa maqsood Support level 1.0724 par rakha gaya hai. Wahi, nuqsaan ki had 20 pips upar rakhi gayi hai higher level 1.0876 se (1.0896).

In dono trading options mein se, EURUSD market pair ke haalat ko dekhte hue, meri raye mein, unka baraabar ka ehtemaam hai. Magar, mujhe agle haftay ki trading mein keemat mein girawat ko support karna zyada pasand hai kyunki RSI period 5 aur RSI period 14 indicators se milti julti bearish signal abhi tak darust hai. Iske alawa, mera agla ghoor o gharoor ek keemat mein girawat ko support karna hai kyunki SMA 120 indicator se padhi gayi trend abhi bhi bearish trend ki taraf tajweez karta hai, isliye behtar hoga agar entry jo ongoing trend ki raah mein ho, yani Sell.

Is ke ilawa, market sentiment aur risk appetite aksar safe-haven currencies jaise US dollar ki darkhwast mein kirdar adaa karte hain. Ghair yaqeeni ya buland volatility ke doran, investors dollar ki taraf bhaag sakte hain, jo EURUSD ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Takniki tahlil bhi EURUSD ki qeemat mein qiyasat faraham karti hai. Ahem support aur resistance levels, trend lines, aur chart patterns traders ko potential entry aur exit points ko pehchanne mein madad karte hain. 1.0790 ke darja ka toorna bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai, jo currency pair par mazeed downward pressure ki isharaat deta hai. Aage dekhte hue, kuch factors tawajjo ka mustahiq hain jab EURUSD ke future rukh ka taqteed kiya jata hai. Economic data releases, including employment figures, inflation reports, aur . data, apni maeeshati economies ki sehat ke bare mein isharaat faraham kar sakte hain aur currency valuations par asar dal sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical developments, trade tensions, aur global economic events jaise elections ya geopolitical conflicts forex market mein volatility ko mutasir kar sakte hain, jo EURUSD ko asar daal sakte hain. Central bank decisions aur monetary policy announcements currency movements ko shape karne mein ahem hoti hain. ECB ya Federal Reserve se kisi bhi policy tightening ya easing ke signals EURUSD mein wazeh fluctuations ko lekar aasakte hain. Intikhabi taur par, EURUSD mein correction ke baad decline ka ahamiyat wazeh karti hai ke currency movements ko mutasir karne wale mukhtalif factors ka comprehensive tahlil karna kitna zaroori hai. Maeeshati indicators, geopolitical developments, aur central bank policies ko qareebi nigrani mein rakhte hue traders ko forex market ke dynamic mahol mein behtar tajwezat ka intezar karne aur isme tajziya karne ka behtareen zariya hai.

EUR/USD D-1 Timeframe:

Din bhar ka waqt dekhne ke baad yeh mumkin hai ke 1.10835 ke mahalli unchaahi tak pohanch jaaye. Agar yeh hua to yeh ek acha khareedne ka signal ho ga. Hum normal neechay ki durust correction ka intizaar nahi kar rahe hain. Daamat mazid bhi barh sakti hain jahan se woh ab hain. Jab khareedne walay 1.0962 ke upar pohanchne ki koshish karte hain aur yeh pohanch jaate hain, to woh is ilaake ke upar pohanchne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aik confirmed izaafi istiqbal ki bajaye ghalat breakout ek khareedne ka sabab nahi hai. Qareebi muddat mein, hum 1.0850 ke neeche guzarne ka intizaar kar rahe hain jab tak taqat barhti hai. Agar hum yeh darust rakhte hain, to khareedne ka aik bada sabab ho ga. Agar trade 1.0975 ke darwazon tak pohanchta hai, to mazeed izaafi silsila ho sakta hai, is ke baad izaafat jari rahengi. Chhoti si correction ke bawajood, 1.0900 ke aas paas ka ilaqa mazeed giravat ka shikaar hone ka imkaan hai. Agar daamat 1.0845 ke neeche jaate hain to bechnay ka signal peda hoga. Hum shayad 1.1000 ke mahalli unchaahi ilaake se guzar jaayein aur uske neeche reh jaayein, phir aik aur daam giraavat ke liye ek signal nazar aayega, lekin yeh option abhi peechay mein hai. Stocks halaan ke haalat se girte hain to mazeed acha khareedne ke liye. 1.1030 ilaake ke upar breakout aur ek bandhaab barabar mein mazeed khareedne ke liye achi moqa hai. Agar yeh kamyab hota hai, to daamat 1.0975 ke neeche mil jaayein ge, jo ke aik bechnay ka acha signal hai. Iske baad, humein izaafi istiqbal mein naram neechay ka dhakka milta hai. Mere khareedne ko mazeed behtar haftay ke liye bazaar mein rakha gaya hai.

EUR/USD D-1:

Is tajziye mein aise shandar phailaaw nahi sirf ghatiya nahi balke puri tarah se mutawaqqa tha. Forex market aise pharpharata rehta hai, jo fauran izaafi aur baad mein giravat ki sathematon se charhta hai. In harkaton ko jhaank kar dekhein aur unke tafsilat ke zariye inhen samjhein. Forex traders ke darmiyan, nihayat izaafi ikhtiyar sirf aik ghalati nahi balke is industry ka aham hissa hai. Yeh ma'loom hai ke market bohot hi jagmagaahat wala hai, jahan currencies ko naye unchaaiyon tak pohanchane aur phir chand ghanton ke baad unko ulatne ki sudden activity ke maamool hain. Jab ke yeh beqarar nazar aate hain, yeh daira band pattern ek khaas pehchaan ka silsila hai jo traders aur analysts ne Forex landscape ka ek mukhtasir hissa samjha hai. Jab hum is maali daira mein chalte hain, to yeh wazeh ho jaata hai ke yeh pharpharahat bebas nahi hoti, balke alag alag factors ke market ki tassuratiyon ka jawab hoti hai. Ma'ashi nishaanat, siyasi hawaalaat, aur market ki soch sab forex trading ke ebbs aur flows mein kirdaar ada karte hain.

EUR/USD D-1 Timeframe ki Taqreeb:

Peer ko 1.10835 range ka mahali urooj tor karne ki mumkinat hai. Jab yeh waqia hota hai, acha khareed sinyal paida hota hai. Hum ek mamooli neechay ki durust karna ki umeed nahi rakhte. Dar asal darusti, rates mojooda se bhi barh sakte hain. Jab kharidaran 1.0962 ke upar torne ki koshish karte hain, to yeh kshetra torne ki koshish karte hain. Saabit bharta istedlaal ki bajaye, durust izaafa hone ki wajah se kharidane ke liye koi bahana nahi hai. Nazdeeki muddat mein, taqat barhne par hum 1.0850 ke neechay tor karna ki umeed rakhte hain. Agar hum yeh leval barqarar rakhte hain to kharid karne ke liye aik behtareen wajah hogi. Agla neeche ke nashtaili jhatka ho sakta hai agar trade 1.0975 range ko haasil karta hai, jiske baad barhna jaari rahega. Chhoti sahih tajviad ke bawajood, 1.0900 ke aas paas ka kshetra mazeed girawat ka samna kar sakta hai. Agar keemat 1.0845 ke neeche tor jaye to bechnay ke sinyal paida honge. Hum 1.1000 mahali urooj kshetra ko tor sakte hain aur iske neeche reh sakte hain, aur phir ek aur keemat girawat ke liye ek aur sinyal shaya ho jayega, lekin yeh chunauti abhi ke liye peechay reh jaati hai. Stocks mojooda satahon se mazeed barh sakte hain agar woh is waqt ke seviyon se gire, jo ke behtar khareed ka aik moqa banata hai. Breakouts aur 1.1030 kshetra ke upar gathjor aur thos hone ke liye behtareen mauqay honge. Agar kaami ho jaye to keemat 1.0975 ke neeche milenge, jo aik acha bechnay ka sinyal hai. Uske baad, hume ikaadhe umeed se ek narm neeche ki dhakel milte hain. Meri khareedariyan mazeed taqatwar haftay ke liye bazar mein rakhi ja rahi hain.

EUR/USD D-1

Aise numaya phelao ko is lehaz se ghoor se dekhna na sirf ajeeb hai, balki mukammal tor par muntazam hai—Forex market aise urjano ka samna karti hai, jinhein achanak ubhartay hue aur uske baad girnay wale izafon ke taur par nashar kia ja sakta hai. In harkaton ko tasalsulat ke zariye ghoornay se inka dakhli tor par mutalea karna zaroori hai jo inhein nirdhaarit karta hai. Forex tijarat karne walon mein numaya izafa sirf ek ghair mamooli ghalati nahi, balki sanati ek pehlu hai. Ye aam toor par maaloom hai ke market shadeed phalata hai, jahan naye bulandiyon tak currencies ko taraqqi pila dete hain aur thori dair baad unhein palat dete hain. Jaisa ke woh be tarteeb nazar aate hain, lekin yeh douranidar rukh ek khaas qabil-e-pesh goi per mustamil hai jise tijaratkar aur mutalaqat ne Forex kharaba ke peyzaj ka lazmi hissa maana hai. Hum is mali ma'ashray ki nafahat ko tafseel se sair karne par, ye sabit ho jata hai ke yeh phelav nahi haadsat hain balke mukhtalif factors ke jawab mein market ka istadad bayan karta hai. Ma'ashi daleel, jeopolitical waqiat aur market ka jazbat sab Forex trading ke ebbs aur flows mein kirdar ada karte hain.

EUR/USD pair ki technical aur fundamental analysis:

Amreeki Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ne bataaya ke Amreeki ma'ashi halaat mein jobs ki tadad muntakhib farz ki gayi se zyada thi. March mein nonfarm payrolls mein 303K izafa hua, jo 200K aur 270K ki tawaqaat ko shikaar kar gaya. Mazeed data ne dikhaya ke berozgari dar 3.9% se 3.8% tak gir gaya, jabke average hourly earnings market ki tawaqaat ke mutaabiq thin. Amreeki dollar kee qeemat data ke jaari hone ke baad barh gayi, jis se U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) 0.155% 04.36 tak barh gaya. Amreeki Treasury yields 4.5 se 5 basis points tak chadhe. 10 saal ke Amreeki Treasury bond ki bahaat dar 4.365% hai. Dosri taraf, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin ne tajurbaati inkishaaf kiyaa ke inflation kaafi mazboot hai, keh ke inflation mein kami aysaani se nahi ho rahi. Pehle, Fed Boston analyst Susan Collins ne tajurbaati policy par ta'awun nahi kiya.

Samunder ke doosri kinare par, Jerman factory orders February mein 0.2% behter ho gaye, pehle janwari mein -1.4% giravat ke baad. Iske alawa, Eurozone (EU) retail sales mahine ke doran -0.5% gir gaye, jis se tawaqaat thi ke -0.4% kaam ho ga. In factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, EUR/USD 200-day moving average (DMA) ke neeche wapas aa gaya. U.S. inflation data aur consumer confidence ke jaari hone ke saath, traders ka tawajjo agle haftay ke data par mudaa ho jaata hai. EU ke front par, European Central Bank (ECB) aik monetary policy meeting ka aayojan karega, jo haftay ka markazi point hoga. "Evening Star" chart pattern ke banne se aik raasta ban sakta hai 1.0800 ke neeche jaane ka. EUR/USD ki raftar neechay ki taraf mudam to hai jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 midline level ke neeche aur neechay ja raha hai. 1.0800 ke neeche jaane se pehle, April 2 ki kam se kam qeemat 1.0724, 1.0700 ke aage aayegi. Dusri taraf, kharidne wale 1.0828/32 par 50 aur 200-day moving averages ke milaap ke qareeb mushkil ka saamna karenge.

EUR/USD Daily Time Frame:

Hello. It's good that at least someone writes about this, otherwise we live on another planet, so the forum is useful without condition. Well, on Friday the price actually made a slight move, but I also didn't bother going anywhere. Here such a situation has developed: the buyer tested sales on Friday, and the bear, in turn, lowered the price badly. But then the bull began to raise the price ineffectively, such an exchange of blows took place, they felt each other. At the daily timeframe, after the sales, a bull appeared, an indirect signal that there may be a reversal in the north direction. We didn't make it. I also learned about the holiday on the forum. So it might fit in somewhere. But when I saw the weekend on the calendar, I realized that I could relax. All the same, there will be no sense in such trade. And so it happened. The pairs, like sleepy flies, were marking time almost in place. For the EUR/USD pair, the downward movement remains in force. So, to go higher, you need to break through the nearest upward trend, after which you can count on growth to approximately 1.0880. The price going higher and consolidating above 1.0900 will cancel the south. But a continuation of the decline from the current levels can develop it all the way to 1.0693.

EUR/USD H4 Time Frame:

So, the opening of the day was at 1.0790, with a daily range of 51 points, the north will end today at 1.0841, the south will end at 1.0749, this is not even enough to reach the channel border of 1.0738, but 10 points - it's not that much. But not for a day when all of Europe is on vacation, the US is on vacation, Australia and New Zealand are on vacation, who gets the extra money? At least something would have been done here. So they may pull back first to 1.0822 and then to 1.0738, but if there is no pullback and the pair slowly continues to move down to 1.0738, they may not reach it, and if they do, we will not go further, in short. I think we will stay there between 1.0749 and 1.0790.

Adaab. Aaj market chhuttiyon ke din hai aur Monday mujhe apki madad ki zarurat hai. Mujhe mera bonus chahiye, theek hai, aapka shukriya bohot zyada. Baarh se aqeeda ho gaya hai ke jo taiz dhaar chali wo bechnay walon ko mauqa dene mein kamiyaab nahi hui aur jodi ka rukh neeche ka channel mein palat gaya. Aaj tak, jodi ke dynamics mein koi tabdili nahi hui hai. Meri tajziya ke mutabiq, lagta hai ke keemat apni panchane ki rah par hai, jahan mukhtasar had tak EUR/USD daily H1 timeframe chart ko muqamiyat hasil ho sakti hai jo ke resistance level par hai 1.08352. Hum shayad is resistance se thoda sa peechay ho sakte hain, shayad pehle ke level par wapas aate hain phir upar ki taraf barhne ki koshish karte hue. Haal ki ek jagah ki zyada aur kam az zyada hone ki wajah se yaadgaar hai kyunki kam az kam pehle ke qeemat ko paar kiya gaya hai, jisse ek girte hue daily channel ki tarteeb bigar gayi hai. Is manzar ko mustaqbil mein failane ke sath, yeh samajhna mumkin hai ke agle jagah ki zyada giranah asar pehli ke qeemat ke neeche a sakti hai, shayad barhawa karne ke din waqt ki Ichimoku Cloud ki uchtam had ke mutabiq. Baad mein, aage ki seedhi takreeban uth sakta hai. Is tajziya ka faida uthate hue, market ki positioning ke liye ek strategy banane ke mumkin hai.

Price ke ek darjay mein jab ek satah ko qareeb se paar kiya gaya, apni position ko mazboot banaya, magar aakhir mein, kharid-dar aadmiyon ko manzoori nahi mili EUR/USD daily H4 timeframe chart ke nishana ke qareeb 1.08363 ke ird gird. Market dynamics ke nazariye se maamla jaanchne par, trading ka band hone par, keemat apne aap ko market tapes ke markazi ilaqe mein paya. Mutasira rukh kisi bhi taraf ho sakta hai, ek naye ishara ke liye nigahein jamane ki zarurat hai jo ke upar ya neeche ki taraf barhne ka ho, ek se zyada bands ke hadood se paar karne par munhasar hota hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke dekha jaye ke kya bands bahar ki taraf barhne ka rad-e-amal karte hain ya phir be-har hain. Iske ilawa, indicator darmiyani zero nishan ke qareeb hota hai. Agar trading ke shuruat mein musbat manzar mein tezi aayi, to ye ek mustaqil ishara faraham karega ke kareeb ane wali keemat barhne ka hai. Zero darja paar hone ka matlab hai ke market ka mahaul aur keemat ki simat mein numaindah tabdeeli hai. H4 chart par, instrument ka band honay ka qeemat During Jumeraat ki trading session mein, instrument ne ek upri rukh dikhaya, rukawat ka samna kiya aur. Is level ko paar karne ki koshishon ke bawajood, instrument nakam reha aur ek neeche ki taraf ka rukh shuru kiya. Iske baad, keemat girti rahi hai. 15 ka doran shumari par Momentum indicator ke tajziya, taraf dar taraf darasal, ek reading ko zahir karta hai. Iske ilawa, technical indicator manfi ilaqa mein rehta hai, jo ke potential selling mauqaat ka ishaara karta hai. Iske ilawa, Stochastic indicator mandi ki gatividhi ko tasdeeq karta hai. Jama kar ke, technical tajziya ek mandi ke manzar ko numainda karta hai. Ye mumkin hai ke trading keemat apna rukh neeche ki taraf jari rakhegi.

EUR/USD jori ki technical aur bunyadi tajziya:

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ne zahir kiya ke U.S. maashiyat ne tawaqqa se zyada naukriyan shamil ki hain. March mein nonfarm payrolls 303K barh kar 200K aur 270K tawaqqaat ko peechay chor diya. Mazeed data ne dikhaya ke be-rozgaari dar 3.9% se 3.8% tak gir gaya, jab ke average hourly earnings market ki tawaqqaat ke mutabiq thay. U.S. dollar ko ye data jaari hone ke baad taqat mili, jis se U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) 0.155% barh kar 04.36 tak pohanch gaya. U.S. Treasury yields 4.5 se 5 basis points tak chad gaye. 10-year U.S. Treasury bond ki dilchaspi dar 4.365% hai. Dosri taraf, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin ne bayan diya ke maahngai kafi mazboot hai, aur is ke sath hi maahngai mein kami aayi hai. Pehle, Fed Boston analyst Susan Collins ne tajziya diya, lekin monitory policy par nahi.

Aasman ke us paar, German factory orders February mein 0.2% behtar ho gaye Janvari ke -1.4% giravat ke baad. Mazeed, Eurozone (EU) retail sales mahana 0.5% gir gaye, jo ke 0.4% ke kami ka intezar tha. In factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, EUR/USD 200-day moving average (DMA) ke neeche phir gir gaya. U.S. maahngai data aur consumer confidence ke jaari hone ke sath, traders ka tawajjo agli haftay ke data par muntaqil hota hai. EU ke samne, European Central Bank (ECB) aik monitory policy meeting rakhegi, jo haftay ki bariyat hogi. "Evening Star" chart pattern ke banne se 1.0800 ke neeche aik manzil ban sakti hai. EUR/USD ka momentum downside par hai jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 midline level ke nichle hisse ki taraf rukh karta hai. 1.0800 ke neeche ki movement April 2 ke kam az kam 1.0724, aur phir 1.0700 ko nazar andaz karti hai. Dosri taraf, kharidaran ko 1.0828/32 par 50 aur 200-day moving averages ke milaap ke qareeb churning resistance ka muqabla karna padega.

EUR-USD



Jumeraat ko EUR-USD ka movement kafi bara kaha ja sakta hai kyun ke eurusd ne lagbhag 45 pips ke girawat ka samna kiya. Ye baat NFP data jaari hone ke baad hui. Ye sabit hua ke is asar se US dollar mazboot ho gaya. Lekin afsos ke ye lamba waqt tak nahi raha kyun ke 1.0794 tak girne ke baad currency pair ne dobara barhna shuru kiya, jo ke eurusd girne ke samay ke kareeb tha. Shayad bohot se logon ko kal ke eurusd ke movement se dhoka mila. Ab candle ki position 1.0836 ke price par hai.

Agar H1 timeframe se dekha jaye, to abhi candle supply area ko 1.0845 ke price par nahi penetrate kar paya hai. Maan lijiye, agar kal tak ye nahi penetrate hota, toh wahan pe ek retrace hone ki sambhavna hai jo Eurusd ko bahut gehre giravat mein la sakta hai. Agar Eurusd barhte raheta hai, toh meri tolerance limit agli supply area tak 1.0884 ke price par hogi. Is se zyada, main yeh conclude karta hoon ke niche jaane ke chances kam hote jayenge. Main ye dekh raha hoon ke eurusd ki correction abhi tak poori tarah se puri nahi hui hai. Mera target hai ke future mein Eurusd 1.0730 area ki taraf girne wala hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaye, to candle position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Ye baat tab se ho rahi hai jab se eurusd barhna shuru hua. Lekin, shukr hai ke dono lines, yani tenkan sen aur kijun sen, ab tak ek doosre se cross nahi hue hain, iska matlab hai ke Monday ke eurusd giravat mein reh sakta hai. Kumo jo ke white ho gaya hai, ye bhi emphasize karta hai ke giravat ki mumkinat wahan tak hai, khareedo ke shade mein bhi.

Iske sath, stochastic indicator se, line ka position level 80 ko chhune se sirf thoda door hai, jo ke iska matlab hai ke haalat oversold ki taraf ja rahi hain. Iska matlab hai ke ye bohot sahi hai kyun ke eurusd barhte hue ulta chala jaane ki sambhavna hai. Baad mein, agar lines intersect hoti hain, toh ye valid hoga, phir eurusd niche jaayega.

Toh aaj ki analysis ka natija ye hai ke eurusd ka abhi bhi niche girne ka chance hai kyun ke candle abhi tak supply area mein phansa hua hai jo 1.0855 ke price par hai. Isliye, agle Monday ko main dosto ko ye recommend karta hoon ke wo 1.0837 area ke aas paas short positions kholne ki koshish karein. Take profit target ko closest support par 1.0789 ke price par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko closest resistance par 1.0855 ke price par rakh sakte hain.