usd/cad

USDCAD Takneeki Jaiza:

Canadian dollar (CAD) taqat hasil kar raha hai ek kamzor ho rahiye amreeki dollar (USD) ke bawajood kay zyadatar currencies ke khilaaf, jo America ki ma'ashiyati surat-e-hal, corona virus ke asaraat aur sarkari bond yields ki girawat ki wajah se aahmiyat mein izafa ho raha hai. Investers mukhtalif assets ki talash mein hain, jabke tail market ki ek izafa ne CAD ko bhi boost diya, halankeh musalsal fitrat se kam asar ki taur par. Halankeh, hal kuch arsa mein USD ke favor mein tabdeeli dekhi gayi hai, jab dollar gold, euro aur pound ke khilaaf mustaqbil mein tezi se bahal raha hai. Magar CAD ne guzishta haftay mein mustaqil hoti rahi hai, jahan CAD ko mazboot hone ki umeed hai mukhtalif munafeat kay dabeer, jaisa ke Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz ke kuch taqreer mein zikr hai, jis ne nation ki housing sector par aitmad peida kiya, shayad CAD par thori dabao ko khareed le. Magar, USD ki taqat mukhtalif hoti rahi hai, kyunke is ki koi wazeh buniyadi drivers nahi hain jo is ki harkat ko kisi khaas rukh mein daal rahay hain. December mein Fed ki dar kammi ka intezar rahata hai, jabke America se aanay wale data mein izafay aur confusion nazar aa rahi hai.

Takneeki nazar se, traders ko USD/CAD ki bunyadi rukh ke raste mein trading ka imtehan lena chahiye. Jab tak jodi 1.3559 CAD ki support ke oopar rahe, to hosheyaar traders kharidari ka mauqa samajh sakte hain. 1.3604 CAD ki resistance ke oopar tootne ka koi signal, bunyadi trend mein palatne ki nishandahi kar sakta hai, jahan mein bullish momentum 1.3632 CAD ki aglay resistance ko target kar sakta hai. Mutasarafan, 1.3559 CAD ki support ke niche girna mazeed aik muddat mein mustaqil hona ka nishandah hota hai aur rukh ke khilaaf trading ka khatra barh sakta hai.

Bari tasveer se, 1.3976 se correct karne ka pattern batata hai ke asal trend 1.2005 se rukh mein baad mein bazari tor par behtari ki umeed hoti hai. Takneeki tor par, USD/CAD 1.3325 ke asal trend line support ko test kar raha hai, jo pehle bhi mazboot support faraham kiya hai. Is support se bounce hone ka imkan hai, khas tor par agar tail prices giray. Magar, agar is support area se guzar jaye, to agle muddat mein 1.3250 ke qareebi support ka mutalba kya jaye ga.

Ikhtitami guftagu mein, jab USD/CAD jodi range trading ke doraan halat mein hoti hai, to traders ko potential trading opportunities ke liye ahem support aur resistance levels ka nazar rakna chahiye, dono takneeki aur buniyadi factors ko mad-e-nazar rakhte hue jo currency pair par asar daal rahay hain.

USD/CAD


Main Canadian dollar pair ko madde nazar le raha hoon. Hourly chart par, jab pair ne seller ke stops ko market se knock out kiya aur 1.33940 par support tak pohncha, toh active decline shuru hua. Buyer ne is support se volume gain kiya. Daily chart par bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke buyer ki taraf se volume tha. Yeh baat samjhi ja sakti hai ke pair achi tarah se samjhega. Sach kahun toh maine itna bada improvement expect nahi kiya tha. Yeh 1.35065 tak pohanch gaya, jo maximum hai jahan main yeh samjhta hoon ke pair correct karega. Seller volume barh raha tha. Main suggest karna chahunga ke pair decline hua, lekin woh peechle highs ko renew kar raha hai. Seller phir se volume gain kar raha hai. Phir maine samjha ke pair neeche ja raha hai. Woh neeche ja raha hai. Yeh lagbhag peechle levels tak wapas aa gaya hai, lekin pair ek seller's step le raha hai. Volumetric blush candles nazar aarahi hain. Aur kyunki main samjhta hoon ke yeh seller ke stops ko remove karna chahiye, toh main yeh samjhta hoon ke pair aur neeche jaega support tak jo 1.33424 par hai. Chalo peechle waqt ke resistance levels aur local support aur resistance ke madde nazar rakhte hain. Hum ek bada, recoiling impulse dekh rahe hain, jo sirf surface tak pohanch raha hai (ya phir, apne zone mein hai). Agar signals milte hain, toh aap pullback ke liye short open kar sakte hain. Wahan offer appear hoga. Agar aap ek extensive trade consider karte hain, toh aap wave ke beech se buy kar sakte hain (aap ise, misaal ke taur par Fibonacci ka istemal karke mark kar sakte hain) ya phir lower support zone se, jo ke zyada profitable hoga. Sab kuch waisa hi lag raha hai, lekin ulte direction mein. Aapko Asia ki shuruaat par nazar rakhni hogi, jahan girawat shuru ho rahi hai. Agar price aur bhi upar jaata hai, toh aapko Europe ki taraf dekhna hoga aur wahan faisla lena hoga.

USD/CAD Ka Technical Analysis
H-1 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle trading week mein, Canadian dollar ne 1.3616 level ko paar karne ka prayaas jaari rakha, jo ki sakht rukawat di. Ek aur koshish ke baad, price 1.3606 level tak chadha, signal zone se bahar nikalte hue, lekin baad mein kuch nuksan ko wapas lekar usi level par laut gayi. Is tarah, jodi ke expected scenario kabhi haqiqat mein nahi badla. Isi waqt, price chart ne red super trend zone mein dakhil kiya, jo bechne walon ki dabav dikhata hai.

Technically, Canadian price ne 200 simple moving average ko touch kiya. Iska touch point trend ko 1.3476 level tak palat dega. Is entry ka doosra tasdiq stochastic oscillator ke istemal se hota hai. Price pehle se hi lower-low pattern mein hai. Ab, hum uske doosre candle ka intezaar karenge jo resistance level aur 200 simple moving average ke neeche bandh ho. Neeche chart dekhein:



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Maujooda waqt mein, price ab bhi alag alag directions mein move kar rahi hai aur har hafta zyadatar neutral hai. Isi beech, ahem support areas zyada pressure mein hain lekin price ko breakout se rokne mein kaamyaab rahi hai, jo upward vector ke saath suljhaav bana raha hai. Ab, jodi ek baar phir 1.3563 level ke upar mazbooti se taqat barha rahi hai, jo mukhya support area ke border mein hai. Ek aur test rebound ke baad ek aur upward move ko mauka dega, jo resistance ko tod sakta hai aur 1.3664 aur 1.3735 areas ko target kar sakta hai.

Agar support toot jaata hai aur price 1.3506 ke reversal level ke neeche gir jaati hai, toh maujooda halat ko cancel karne ka signal mil jaayega. Neeche chart dekhein:

Teen sitaron ke mutabiq: Berozgari ke shumar ke mutabiq, koi tabdeeli ka imkaan nazar nahi aata, lekin woh log jo zaraati sector mein mazdoor hain, unke liye kisi qisam ka nuqsan mutawaqqif hai. Main nahi janta ke log America mein kahan bhaage gaye hain, lekin umeedein bohot manfi hain. Is liye - aaj American dollar ke maamle mein mukammal currency front par kuch chaalakiyan hosakti hain.Jo hum USD/CAD ke daily chart par wave technique istemal karke dekhte hain:- Tadbeer mein hum aaj bhi wahi izaafaati parcham - ek parcham ban raha hai izaafaati channel mein. Aur aap sirf heraan hojayenge ke kitni wazeh tor par yeh kaam horaha hai: January ke dusre din se hum uske hadood ke andar saaf chal rahe hain, woh dynamic hain, is liye unhe yaad karne ka koi faida nahi hai. Apne screen par khud draw karna aur tabdeeliyon ko dekhna bohot behtar hai. Kal, qeemat wazeh tor par channel ke neeche limit tak gayi - darja 1.3475.





Aur is surat mein, USD/CAD ke qeemat zyada tar girne ka imkaan hai, khaaskar daily chart par koi khaas rukawat nahi hai support aur resistance ke darjom mein, siwaye shayad darja D1 Sup: 1.34542, jo ke Fibonacci ke darajat ke mutabiq 38.2 darja hai. Well, agar aap chart dekhen, toh qeemat ne ise kai dafa torne ki koshish ki aur koi acha nahi hua. Aur woh wapas laut gayi darja 1.36126 plus ya minus kuch points. Yeh February 6 ke kareeb se aisehi trade horahi hai do support aur resistance darajon ke darmiyan D1 Sup: 1.34542 aur D1 Res C: 1.36013. Toh, is halat mein, mujhe lagta hai, jab tak yeh kisi taraf se is range se bahar nahi nikalti, tab tak mujhe lagta hai ke chhoti time frames par technical analysis ke kuch qawaid kaam nahi aayenge, khaaskar darmiyani muddat ke trading ke liye.

Extended Regression StopAndReverse (ESAR) ka linear regression indicator, jis ko RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators ke confirmatory readings ke saath combine kia gaya hai, hume market ka mo'atabar taur par tajziya karne aur humein trading ke liye chunay gaye instrument par sahi faisla karne mein madad karega. Trading position kholne ka musbat faisla karne ki shart yeh hai ke tamam teen indicators ke signals ek dosre se mutabiq hon. Agar inme se kisi ek ka bhi dusre ke khilaf ho, toh deal ghair-pur aitbaar fa'ida mandi ki wajah se mansookh kar di jati hai. Jab market mein dakhil hone ka amal mukammal ho jata hai aur dafa 1 ki keemat ko paas aata hai, toh hum asani se, ma'ashiyat ke lehaaz se, dafaa ki dafaai ka sab se fa'ida mand, nataij ke chhaaya karna shuru karte hain. Is maqsad ke liye, hum kaam karti chart par intehai nuqtaain ka pehchaan karte hain aur in par Fibonacci grid banate hain. Hum market se bahar tab nikalte hain jab keemat tajwez Fibo ke levalo ke qareeb pahunchti hai.
Sab se pehle, ehmiyat hai ke yeh note kiya jaye ke munsalik chart ke sath (time-frame H4) wazeh tor par dikhata hai ke pehla darja ka regreshan line (sonay wali dotted line), jo ke saazi ko dikhata hai aur mojooda trend ko, tijarat ka rukh o tehqeeq o tarteeb ko dekhata hai, seedha ooper ki taraf, tez angle par, mabain kiya gaya hai, jo ke bohot taqatwar trend harkat ko dikhata hai jo mashriqi se bare mein tez hoti hai. Ghair-linear regression channel, jo ke dikhaya gaya chart mein hai, upar ki taraf fold hui hai aur nichli taraf se upar cross kiya hai nahi keval sunehri uptrend line LP balkay linear channel (surkhi dotted line) ka rukh bhi. Ab ghair-linear regression channel mashriqi taraf rukh kar raha hai aur kharidaroon ki taqat ko tasdeeq karta hai.

Keemat ne laal support line of the linear regression channel 2-nd LevelSupLine ko cross kiya hai lekin neechay ki qeemat (LOW) 1.34628 ke dairay tak pohanch gayi, is ke baad is ney apni girawat rok di aur dhere dhere barhna shuru kiya. Ab masla yeh hai ke instrument 1.35903 ke keemat ke leval par karobar kar raha hai. Uper dastayab tamaam ka bawajood, mujhe umeed hai ke market ke keemat ki tajawuz aur mabaadil ki keemat ke leval 2-nd LevelSupLine channel line (1.36561) FIBO level 123.6% ke ooper wapas aur mojooda linear channel ka sunehri darmiyan line LR (1.36844) ke ooper chalay jayen, jo ke FIBO level 138.2% ke sath milti hai. Aik mazeed argument dafaai transakht karne ke lehaz se karne ka yeh hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke indicators bhi yeh sahi dakhil hone ki tasdeeq karte hain keun ke woh oversold zone mein hain.

USD/CAD H4 Timeframe.

USD/CAD ki keemat zyada tarah se kam hone ka imkaan hai, khaaskar rozana ke chart par khaas rukawaton ki shakal mein koi khaas rukawat nahi hai, mukhtalif tor par Fibonacci ke darjat mein 38.2 ke darja D1 Sup: 1.34542, jo ke bhi hai. Theek hai, agar aap chart dekhte hain, toh keemat ne isse chand dafa torne ki koshish ki aur koshishon se kuch acha nahi hua. Aur yeh wapas 1.36126 ke darje par laut gaya plus ya minus kuch points. Yeh waisa hi trading kar raha hai lagbhag 6 February se, do support aur resistance ke darjaton ke D1 Sup: 1.34542 aur D1 Res C: 1.36013 ke darmiyan. Toh, is halat mein, mere khayal se, jab tak yeh kisi bhi rukh mein is range se bahar nahi nikalta, mujhe lagta hai ki chhoti time frames par kuch technical analysis ke qawaid ka amal karna asar nahi dikhayega, khaaskar darmiani-muddat ki trading ke liye.

USDCAD ne key level 1.35543 ke breakout ke baad uthne ki koshish ki. Yeh breakout yeh darshata hai ke kharidari dabao kafi mazboot hai jo ke keemat ko ooncha karne ke liye. Magar, upar ki manzil phir 1.358227 ke resistance par phans jane ke baad is uthanay ka tajzia kar rahi hai. Yeh consolidation market mein uncertainty ki alamat hai, jahan traders mukammal tasdeeq ke intezaar mein ho sakte hain, pehle kisi position ko lenay se pehlay. Ek dilchasp cheezon mein se ek ko dekhne ki darustagi se 50 EMA aur 100 EMA ke miltay jultay utsaah ki alamat hai. Jab 50 EMA (chhoti muddat) 100 EMA (zayada muddat) ke saath upar ki taraf se guzarti hai, toh yeh aksar uthanay ka dabao mazboot hota hai ke signal ki tarah liya jata hai.

USDCAD Technical Outlook:

Canadian Dollar ne 2024 mein US Dollar ke khilaf ek kami ke sath khola, Forex pair USD/CAD 1.3180 se 1.3380 tak pahunch gaya tha akhri December 2023 mein aur kuch dinon se is se qareebi ke sath trading ho rahi hai. Jodi ne US CPI data release ke doran aur hali ke oil prices ke upside move ke doraan qayam rakhi. Aane wale haftay, markets December 2023 ke Canada CPI data ka intezar kar rahe hain, peechla median CPI y/y 3.4% tha, aur m/m 0.1%. Traders CPI data ko tawajjo se dekh rahe hain kyun ke release Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report, Overnight Rate, aur Rate Statement se pehle 24 January 2024 ke subah local time par mojood hai. Halankeh, haal hi mein Middle East ke akhri tajurbaat ki wajah se oil prices par aane wale khatre ko yaad rakhna bhi ahem hai.

CAD haal hi ke maqami reports ke darmiyan mustaqil rahi hai jo currency ko USD ke sharp izafa ko rokne mein madad ki, taqreeban asar barqarar hai. Halankeh CAD ab bhi dabao ke neeche hai jabke trade jang ke lehaz se oil prices ko kam kar diya gaya hai aur US dollar ko bullish momentum barqarar rakhne mein madad mili hai. Haal hi mein, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz ne kaha ke wo confident hain ke mulk ka housing sector is saal ke akhri maheenon mein phir se growth ko anjam de ga, jabke Toronto aur Vancouver ke markets stable hue hain aur naye regulations ka asar daakhil hua hai. Dollar, jo ke Canada ke leading export market hai, aur jo 80% Canadian exports ka hissa hai, AUD/USD exchange rate mein fluctuation peda kar raha hai jab investors dono currency khareedne mein bhag rahe hain. America ki high be-rozgar shorat, misaal ke tor par, ishara degi ke qareebi mustaqbil mein consumption girne ki tawajjo deni hai, aur is liye oil ki tawajjo gir jaye gi.

USD/CAD ka intraday bias is waqt neutral hai. Upar, 1.3612 resistance ka faisla war rise ko 1.3176 se 1.3897 resistance ki taraf barhaega. Niche, 1.3419 support ka mazboot break yeh baat kahay ga ke 1.3176 se rebound mukammal ho gaya hai. Qareebi tawajjo pehle 1.3357 support ke liye bearish hogi. 1.3976 (2022 ki buland tah) se ke price actions sirf aik correctve pattern ke tor par dekha jata hai. Agar aur giravat hoti hai, to mazboot support 1.2947 resistance ke ooper ubhar aayega. Overall, 1.2005 (2021 ki kam buland tah) se barhne wale bara trend ko 1.3976 par dobara shuru hone ka intezar hai. Price action aur RSI indicator ke darmiyan negative divergence (laal lakeerain) hai, price action ne unchaaiyon ko barhate hue jab RSI ne usi harkat ke liye kam unchaai par laal lakeerain khinchi hain. Halankeh RSI apne oversold territory ki taraf ja raha hai, lekin ye indicator ke neutral level ke qareeb hai. Price action apni EMA9 ke neeche trade kar raha hai jo ke saalana pivot point 1.3410 ke saath milti hai, price ne is level ko January mein torne ki koshish ki thi magar ab tak is mein kamiyaabi nahi mili. Dosri taraf, price action apne SMA50 ke ooper hai jo ascending neela trendline ke saath milti hai.

USD/CAD


The US dollar aur USD/CAD currency pair early European trading mein izafa dekh rahe hain. Is barhte hue trend ka do ahem factors pe asar hai: Middle East mein siyasi tensions ke naye talab aur America ki interest rates ki mustaqbil ke bare mein tajwezat. Siyasi front par, barhte hue tensions se investors America ki relative stability ki talash mein hain. Ye "flight to safety" phenomenon USD/CAD pair ko buland karti hai kyun ke America ka dollar safe-haven currency ke tor par dekha jata hai. Interest rate expectations bhi currency pair ke harkat mein kirdar ada kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve officials ke comments mukhtalif viewpoints offer kar rahe hain. Richmond Fed President Barkin ko inflation ko control karne ke liye rates ko sakhti se rakha jaaye tajwez hai, jabke Chairman Powell ne economic data ke mutabiq rate cuts ki mumkin surat mein ishara kiya hai. America ki job market par key data, khas tor par March ke liye non-farm payrolls (NFP) report, aaj release hone wala hai. Is report mein America ki economy mein rozgaar mein izafa jari rehne ka imkan hai, shayad 200,000 jobs ke rate par, jo ke February ke mazboot numayan hone ke baad thoda kam hai. Agar report se zyada strong nikalti hai toh Federal Reserve ke June mein rate cut ki umeedein kam ho sakti hain, jisse America ka dollar buland hoga aur USD/CAD pair aur bhi buland ho sakta hai.

Technical indicators ki nazar mein, USD/CAD pair ne haal hi mein apne Simple Moving Average (SMA) se bounce liya hai aur ek upward trend channel mein bana hua hai. Magar, momentum indicators jaise MACD aur RSI thoda ihtiyaat ki talab dete hain. MACD apne trigger line ke neeche hai aur qareeb qareeb zero ke qareeb hai, jabke RSI bas neutrality se thoda ooper hai. Ye indicate karta hai ke upward movement mein thoda rukawat ho sakti hai. Agar izafa jari rahe toh pair ko 1.3655 ki adjustment zone mein resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Is level ko paar karne se pair ka November 16th ka high level at 1.3770 test ho sakta hai, bullish outlook ko mazeed mazboot karte hue. Magar, agar resistance ko paar karne mein kami ya NFP report se zyada kamzor numayan nikalti hai toh pair wapas utri ho sakti hai aur mukarrar kiye gaye upward trend channel mein wapas aa sakti hai. Ikhtitam mein, USD/CAD pair siyasi tensions aur America ki interest rates ke mustaqbil ke ird gird fansla bandi mein phansa hua hai. Aaj ka NFP report Federal Reserve ke monetary policy decisions ke liye expectations ko shape karne mein ahem hoga aur USD/CAD pair ke rukh ko agle dinon mein kuch impact kar sakta hai.

USD/CAD ka technical tajziya:

Pichle trading haftay mein, Canadian dollar ne 1.3616 ke level ko torne ki koshish jaari rakhi, jo ke sakht rukawat thi. Ek aur koshish ke baad, qeemat 1.3606 tak pohanch gayi, signal zone se nikal gayi, lekin baad mein kuch nuqsaan wapas liya aur yeh level par wapas aa gayi. Is tarah, joda ke mazeed taraqqi ka maqsood scenario kabhi haqeeqat nahi bana. Isi doran, qeemat ka chart laal supertrend zone mein dakhil hua, jo ke farokht karne wale se dabaav ka nishana deta hai.

Takneeki tajziya ke lehaz se aaj hamara trade neeche ja raha hai, lekin ehtiyaat baratna chahiye aur mansoobgi ko manasib 1.3600 ke psykolojik rukawat darr se niche aapki, 50 din ka simple moving average ke jaari hone ke ilawa kuch rukawaton ka samna karta hai. Is tarah, din ke doran, ek bearish trend sab se zyada mumkin hai, pehla maqsad 1.3515 par hai. Agar yeh darja gir jaye, to joda mansoobgi ka saamna negative dabaav se hoga, is tarah taraqqi 1.3475 tak mukammal ho jayegi. 1.3600 ke upar trading ki sthirta ka matlab hai ke trend ka ulat pher ho sakta hai, jiske maqsad 1.3650 aur 1.3690 hain.

Is waqt, qeemat abhi bhi mukhtalif rukh par hai aur har haftay zyadatar neutral rehti hai. Is doran, ahem support areas ko shadeed dabaav ka samna tha lekin qeemat ko torne se roka, isay buland karne diya, jisse woh buland ho sake, is tarah ko upar ki taraf vector ko barqarar rakhte hue. Ab, joda dobara 1.3563 ke darja par jamane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke mukhya support zone ko chhoo raha hai. Ek aur bounce ke baad dobara retest, dobara taraqqi ka amal anjam dene dega, shayad rukawat se oopar aur maqsad 1.3664 aur 1.3735 ke darmiyan honege.

Agar support tor jata hai aur qeemat 1.3506 ke ulat pher jati hai, to ab maujooda surat-e-hal ko mansookh karne ke liye ek signal mil jayega. Neeche diye gaye chart mein dekhein:

USDCAD

Keemat rekha ke oopar hai. Dusra MACD indicator khareedariyan tasdeeq karta hai. Kyunki chart dikhata hai ke oscillator histogram 0 ke oopar hai, is liye main umeed karta hoon ke khareedariyon par munafa hoga. Is instrument ki khareedariyan $1.3519 par wajib hain. Is darje ke dhaanche se dakhil hone par munafa kamane ke imkanat stop-loss ke band ho jane se zyada hain. Hum har transaction par nuqsan mukhad kar rahe hain. Main apna stop 1.3499 par set karunga. Agar yeh kaam karta hai, to hum turant ulta moment dekh sakte hain. Magar wahi dakhil hone ki logic ka mushahida karte hain. Hum apna take profit darje 1.3579 par set karte hain. Ab hum bazaar ko dekhte hain jab tak ke keemat stop ya munafa tak nahi pohanchti. Tenkan-sen rekha 1.35560 aur Kijun-sen maqsood rekha 1.35265 ke darmiyan se neechay se oopar chali gayi, jo USDCAD instrument ke liye ek maulvi dakhil hone ka nishan hai, aur ek khareedari ka signal mila. Phir bazaar Senkou Span B 1.35489 aur Senkou Span A 1.35372 rekhaon se mushtamil badal mein gaya. USDCAD ab 1.35728 par bazaar mein hai badal mein. Ye khareedne walon ki taqat ka nishan hai, jo unhe unke iradon ko barhane ke liye mazeed itmenan deta hai. Main tab tak khareedta hoon jab tak mujhe ulta signal na mil jaye, ya mujhe lagta hai ke aaj ke liye mila munafa kafi hai. Kyunki mera trading din ke andar munafa kamane ka hai, is liye main Ichimoku indicator ka istemal karta hoon. Izafah mein, badal ki had ke qareeb hone par, badal ki had mazboot support ka kaam karegi, jiski pharakh ko barhane ka shak hota hai. Jaise maine pehle bhi kai martaba kaha hai, 1.36139 ke qareeb resistance level par sitamgaron ka do mansoobe ho sakte hain. Pehla mansoobah is level ke oopar jamawar hone aur mazeed shumara taqseem hone ka hai. Agar yeh mansoobah kamyaab hota hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke keemat ka rukh resistance level ki taraf chalega, jo 1.37655 par waqai hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb main ek trading setup ka banne ka intezar karoonga, jo trading ke mazeed rukh ka tay karega. Beshak, main tasleem karta hoon ke keemat ko mazeed shumara ke liye seedha shumara ke qareeb taqseem kiya ja sakta hai, jo 1.38548 par waqai hai ya resistance level, jo 1.38989 par waqai hai, magar yahan par surat-e-haal dekhni hogi aur sab kuch yehi depend karega ke kaisa khabarnama background ke saath keemat ka rukh taqseem hoga aur keemat ko tay karega ke door ke shumara targets par kaisa rukh muqarrar karega. Keemat ka qareeb 1.36139 ke resistance level ke qareeb pohanchne par keemat ka rukh ke do mansoobe ho sakte hain. Pehla mansoobah ek mukhalif candle ka banne aur ek tawil southern movement ka shuruaat ka hai. Agar yeh mansoobah kamyaab hota hai, to main intezar karoonga ke keemat support level tak wapas aaye, jo 1.35148 par waqai hai ya support level, jo 1.34557 par waqai hai. Main aise support levels ke qareeb bull signals dhoondta rahunga, keemat ka rukh apni uthne ki wapas karne ka intezar karte hue. Aam taur par, mukhtasar tor par kehne mein, aaj, maqami tor par, main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke keemat mazeed shumara ke rukh mein jaari rakh sakti hai aur qareeb ke resistance level ko kam karne ke liye chal rahi hai, aur phir main bazaar ki surat-e-haal se agay barhonga.

USD/CAD currency pair

Aaj ki baat hamari hui hai USD/CAD currency pair ki mojooda qeemat ke tajziye ke baare mein. Keemat ne roozmarra ke Fibonacci retracement ka 61.8% resistance ke qareeb ulta seedha liya, 50 points gir gaya. Bechne walon ne ahem taraqqi ki, lekin keemat ek pullback ka saamna kar rahi hai, 61.8% level ko dobara check kar rahi hai. Ek khatra hai ke ye is se guzar jaye, bullish trend ka jari rehne ka ishara dete hue, khaaskar agar khabrein kharidaron ki taraf raazi hon. Main USD/CAD ki kami ka aik izhar kar raha hoon jab pair pullback ke baad beche. Daily chart par upar ki sudhar band ho chuki hai, lekin resistance se mukhtalif palat ke maamle mein abhi bhi shak hai. Is liye, retracement levels ko monitor karna mukhtalif sudharon ke liye zaroori hai. Main khaas tor par H4 time frame mein dilchaspi rakhta hoon, jahan ahem technical waqe'at pesh aaye hain, jin mein "bearish absorption" pattern ke banne aur mutabiq indicator signals shamil hain.

Yeh bechnay ka signal ko mazbooti deta hai, halan ke keemat ab is ka samna kar rahi hai. Mangalwar ko 1.3558 keemat ko dekhte hue, 1.36 tak 50-point ka oopar ka rukh ka test hone ka ek mauqa hai. Magar, tawajjo ab Americi Federal Reserve ke interest rate faislay par muda'ee hoti hai, jis se paishgoiyan mushkil ho jati hain. Technical nichle rukh ke liye bunyadi tayyari hai, lekin FED ka faisla is ko waqtan-fawaqt rok sakta hai. Pair ek ascending channel mein hai, jise 50, 100, aur 200 periods ke EMA ke saath support mil raha hai, saath hi pivot level ke saath, jis se mazeed taraqqi ka ishara hota hai. Aaj baello ne pivot level ko bachaya, ek bullish momentum ko barhawa diya. Magar, chart par ek bearish "Bartley Butterfly" pattern aa gaya hai, jo ek potential downward correction ka ishara deta hai. Agar mojooda star se girawat hoti hai, to pivot level se rebound par khareedai karne ka tawassul, EMA-50 (laal) ke saath, ghor kiya ja sakta hai. Ulat is par sustain move EMA-50 se neeche bechna ka ishara de sakta hai, jahan se plate numbers 1 ya 2 par rebound ke chances hain.

USD/CAD

Shaam doston, umeed hai aap sab khairiyat se honge aur karobar ka maza le rahe honge. USD/CAD ne aaj pehle 1.3559 ke support level ko do dafa test kiya, lekin isay toorna nahi saka, aur baazoo ko bullo ne qabza kar liya, jo pair ko oopar ki taraf mor diya, aur ye 1.3583 ke resistance level tak pohanch gaya. Aise oopri harkat ke sath, 1.3583 ke resistance level ko toorna gaya, lekin qeemat iske upar jam nahi saki aur phir se side channel ki hadood mein wapas chala gaya. Bullo ki tamanna 1.3610 ke total resistance level tak aage barhne ki bohot wazeh hai, lekin ab tak aisa nahi hua hai. Is ke sath, is pair ke mazeed agay barhne ke liye do manazir hain, ya to ye mazeed side range ke andar chalta rahega, ya phir 1.3583 ke level ke upar jam hone ke baad aur mazeed agay barh jayega.

Main 4 ghantay ka chart dekh raha hoon aur Canadian dollar pair ko nazar andaaz kar raha hoon. Pair trend channel ke ooperi hadood ke qareeb trading kar raha tha. Ye ek range mein trading kar raha tha, bechne wale volume ikhtiyar kar rahe thay. Trend channel ke neechay ki hadood ko toorna gaya, aur bechne wale volume ikhtiyar kar rahe thay. Phir support 1.34633 bhi toorna gaya. Main samjha ke pair neechay jayega, ke ye neeche ki taraf ka giravat dobara shuru hoga. Mujhe umeed thi ke pehlay haftay ke peechlay kamon ki taza karwai hogi, kyunki bechne wale haftay ke chart mein bhi volume ikhtiyar ho rahi thi. Haftay ke chart par, bechne wala volume rok gaya. Mazeed barhne ka khatra hai. Ab phir se, peechlay uchayion ke qareeb se volume hai, dailiy aur chaar ghantay wale waqt frames jaise. Is liye, main yeh samjhoon ga ke pair neechay jayega aur ye 1.34123 ke support tak jayega.

USD/CAD ke liye kal, qeemat pooray din ke daur ke douran ghoom rahi thi aur nikalne wale dour ke natijay mein, ek ghumawar fayaz candle bani, jisme thoda bearish faiyaz tha, jo peechle din ke andar thi. Aam tor par, main abhi tak apne iradon ko nahi badal raha aur resistance level par nazar rakhta hoon, jo 1.36139 par hai. Main samajhta hoon ke aaj qeemat is resistance level ko kaam karne ja sakti hai aur main umeed karta hoon ke dollar par khabar ki background ismein madad karegi. Jaise maine pehle bhi kai bar kaha hai, 1.36139 ke resistance level ke qareeb, halat ke iksaar ke do mansoobe hain. Pehla mansooba is silsile se talluq rakhta hai ke qeemat is level ke upar jam hone aur mazeed shimal ki taraf harkat. Agar ye mansooba kaam kia gaya, to main qeemat ko shimal ki taraf harkat karne ki taraf umeed karta hoon jo ke 1.37655 par waqif hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb main ek trading setup ka banne ka intizar karonga jo ke agay kaarobaar ka rukh tay karega. Beshak, mujhe tasleem hai ke qeemat ko mazeed shimal ki taraf dhakela ja sakta hai jo ke 1.38548 ya 1.38989 par waqif hai, lekin yahan par halat ka dekhna parega aur sab kuch price movement ke rukh par mabni hoga aur price ko door ke shimali maqamat par kis kisam ki khabar ki background aur kis tarah ki price react karegi par tawakul hoga. Agla intehai mansooba ke price harkat ke doran 1.36139 ke resistance level ke qareeb pohanchne par palatne wale candle ka banne ka intizar aur ek tezi se doran harakat ka ibtida hoga. Agar ye mansooba kaam kia gaya, to main intizar karonga ke price wapas 1.35148 ya 1.34557 ke support level par wapas jaye. Main mazeed bull signals ko in support levels ke qareeb dhoondta rahonga, ummeed karta hoon ke price apni upar ki harkat ko dobara shuru karega. Aam tor par, ise seedhe alfaz mein kahon, aaj, local tor par, main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke qeemat mazeed shimal ki taraf ja sakti hai aur nazdeek tarin resistance level ko kaam karne ja sakti hai, aur phir main bazar ke halaat se agay barhoon ga.

USD/CAD

Hum abhi USD/CAD currency pair ki mojooda keemat ka jaiza laga rahe hain. Halat ke mutabiq, market ne USD/CAD currency pair ki keemat ko 1.3539 tak giraya hai. Ham raat bhar yahin rukay rahe. Ye southern movement ne ghair-ummeedo ki taraf zyadah indicators ko majbor kiya hai. Magar aaj bohot si countries mein holiday hai, aur koi trading nahi hogi. Isliye mujhe lagta hai ke market aaj khamosh rahega. Ziyada tar, hamare USD/CAD currency pair ke quotes mojooda level ke ird gird fluctuate karenge aur kahin nahi jayenge. Magar aaj sab kuch bara acha ja raha hai; keemat tezi se barh rahi hai, aur hum shopping karne ja rahe hain. 1.3576 par, humein yaad rakhna chahiye ke chart movement rollbacks par nazar rakhein. Hum correction ka intezar karenge aur phir seedha jung mein dakhil honge! Hum 1.3576 par khareedenge. Is masle mein zaroori tajurba hasil karne ke liye, aapko behtareen keemat ka intezaar karne ke mukhtalif tareeqon ko azmaana chahiye. Aap apni teesri aankh se bhi behtareen keemat dekhne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Mera lucky candle kahan hai? Asmaan ki taraf, jaise skyscraper! Main apni stops point 1.3572 ke aas paas rakhunga. MACD oscillator zero ke oopar hai, jo ek bullish market sentiment ko darust karta hai. Aur is waqt, aapko MACD se ek bechne ki signals ka intezaar karna chahiye. USD/CAD pair ne oil supply cuts ke lehaz se hawalaat ki pareshaniyon ke bais girtey hue oil ke prices ke darmiyan 1.3506 ke oopar support dhoondha hai. Risk-sensitive currencies US dollar ke barhne ke bais ghat rahe hain kyunki US data ke pehle uncertainty hai. Hourly chart par, halan ke keemat ne 1.3528-1.3517 ke 1/2 zone ko chu liya, magar neeche nahi gaya, jo ek bullish sentiment ko darust karta hai. Aaj ka US session buland hua, jahan par khareedne par tawajju hai. Kal, 1.3545 aur iske neeche ek correction mumkin hai, jiska baad ek potential buy entry 1.36095 aur control zone 1.3698-1.3705 par hoga. Strategy simple hai: momentum, correction, aur continuation. USD/CAD pair ke hourly chart ka tajziya karne ke baad, hum ne bechne aur khareedne ki mumkinat dono ko shamil kiya. Magar humein 1.3614 par resistance ka samna hua, ek ahem hadaf mein. Halan ke hum ne shuru mein 1.3557 ke oopar band hone par khareedne ka ghoor kiya tha, magar keemat ne rukh badal diya, jisne trading mein ek rok laga diya kal tak. Humein mazeed maloomat ki zaroorat hai, khaaskar volatility aur traffic intensity ke baray mein, keh hum decide kar sakein ke 1.3617 ko torne ki koshish karni chahiye ya neeche ki taraf rukh morrna behtar hai. Dono options abhi barabar kehfiyat mein hain.

Mera Ek ke saath taraqqi ka safar waisa maza nahi aya jaisa umeed thi. Bari hissa raqam ke saath shuru hone ke bawajood, maqsood ka sirf 45% tak pohanch jana dil dukhane wala hai. Magar, market ka be-misal fitrat yeh darust karta hai ke naseeb jaldi badal sakte hain, jaisa ke aaj ke anjaan waqiyat ne sabit kiya hai. Ab meri USD/CAD jodi ki tajziyaat ki taraf chalte hain: Daily timeframe par, keemat ne 1.3678 level ko paar karne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya, jis se aik barha howa wapas aagaya. Market ka bullish momentum is ilaqe mein rukawat ka samna karne ke baad shayad kamzor ho gaya hai. Keemat 1.3645 level ko dobara test karne ke liye muttayyar nazar aati hai, jis mein neeche ki taraf jaa sakti hai.


Humne apni tawajju H4 time frame par shift ki aur dekha ke keemat ab bhi 1.3660 aur 1.3662 ke darmiyan mein hai. Is timeframe mein keemat ke harkat ka tafsili jaaiza lenay par, hum dekhte hain ke aakhri do candles ke neeche se dum nikal raha hai, jo keemat ko ooncha karna rok rahay hain. Awesome Oscillator signal bhi mukhtalif pattern dikha raha hai, jis se 1.3620 ke qareeb giraawat ka imkaan hai.
USD/CAD jodi ke faislay ke tajrab kardah hone ke liye, 1.3655 ke ahem level ko nigrani mein rakhna zaroori hai. Agar is level ko paar kiya jaye to uparward momentum ka ishaara ho sakta hai, jis se keemat ko 1.3618 ki taraf le jaya ja sakta hai. Magar, agar keemat 1.3644 ke aas paas rehti hai, to behtar keemat ki intezar karne se pehle saaf harkat dekhne ka intezar karna munasib ho sakta hai.
Aakhri mein, yeh meri H4 timeframe par USD/CAD jodi ke liye observations aur ghoor o fikar hain. Kamiyaabi ki tijarati safar mein, yaad rakhen ke bazaar ke dynamics mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko dekhne ke liye tehzeeb aur mustaqil rehna zaroori hai.

USD/CAD ka outlook analysis:
Keemat rekha ke ooper hai. Doosra MACD indicator kharidaiyon ko tasdeeq karta hai. Chart dikha raha hai ke oscillator histogram 0 ke ooper hai, is liye mujhe kharidaiyon par munafa umeed hai. Is instrument ki kharidaiyan $1.3519 par wajib hain. Is level se dakhil hone par munafa hasil karne ke chances stop-loss ke zariye deal band karne se zyada hain. Hum har transaction par nuqsan had tak mehdood karenge. Main apna stop 1.3499 par set karunga. Agar yeh kaam kare, to hum turant palatne ka waqt talash sakte hain. Magar wahi dakhil hone ki logic ko dekhte hain. Hum take profit ko 1.3579 level par set karenge. Ab hum market ko dekhte hain jab tak keemat stop ya munafa ko haasil na kare. Tenkan-sen rekha 1.35560 ko paar ki gayi, jo ke ek palatne ki rekha samjhi jati hai, aur Kijun-sen standard rekha 1.35265 ke liye USDCAD instrument ke neeche se upar ek kharidai ka signal mila. Fir market Senkou Span B 1.35489 aur Senkou Span A 1.35372 rekhaon se mil kar bana hua badal ke boundary ke bahar gaya. USDCAD ab 1.35728 par badal raha hai badal ke bahar. Ye kharidai karne walon ki taqat ka saboot hai, jo unhe unki kharidai iradon par mazeed itmenan deta hai. Main tab tak kharidai karta rahunga jab tak mujhe palatne ka signal na mile ya main samjhoon ke hasil kiya gaya munafa aaj ke liye kaafi hai.


Kyunki mera trading din mein munafa hasil karne ka hai, main Ichimoku indicator ka istemal karta hoon. Barhne mein, badal ki boundary mazboot support ke taur par kaam karegi, jiska guzar shak ki taraf bharak uthana izhar karega. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi kai baar kaha hai, qareeb resistance level 1.36139 ke paas, halat ke development ke do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla manzar is level ke ooper ke mojoodgi ko lekar aur agle shumali harkat ko lekar hota hai. Agar yeh mansoobah kaam karta hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke keemat resistance level ki taraf harkat karegi, jo 1.37655 par waqaya hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb main ek trading setup ki formation ka intezar karunga, jo trading ka mazeed rukh tay karna mein madad karega. Beshak, main tasleem karta hoon ke keemat ko mazeed shumali taraf push kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke 1.38548 par waqaya hai ya resistance level ke qareeb, jo 1.38989 par waqaya hai, magar yahan par halat par nazar rakhni hogi aur sab kuch tajziyat ke bawajood ho ga ke keemat kaisa react karti hai mukarrar door ke shumali maqamat ke muqablay mein kis qisam ke news background shamil hota hai. Resistance level 1.36139 ke qareeb keemat ke qareeb jaate waqt keemat ke harkat ka doosra manzar ek plan ke saath hai, jo ke ek palatne wale candle ki formation aur aik sudharnay wale junoo ki shuruaat ke saath hai. Agar yeh mansoobah kaam karta hai, to main keemat ki wapas support level ki taraf wapas jana ka intezar karunga, jo 1.35148 par waqaya hai ya support level ke qareeb, jo 1.34557 par waqaya hai. Main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals ka intezar karunga, keemat apni shumali harkat ko dobara shuru karne ka intezar karegi. Aam tor par, chand alfaazon mein kahoon to, aaj, muqami tor par, main puri tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke keemat mazeed shumali taraf harkat kar sakti hai aur nazdeek ka resistance level kaam kar ke, aur phir main market ke halat se agay barhne ka faisla karunga.