usd/jpy

Haal hi mein USD/JPY pair ka 150.838 par tezi se barhna bazar mein amadni ka aik dilkash moqa pesh karta hai. Magar, is tezi ke darmiyan, aik mukhtalif tareeqa apnane ka daawa hota hai, jis mein qeemati samaratiyun ki dher sair ko dekha jata hai jab ye ahem sahara darja 149.505 tak pohanchti hai. Is afsanay mein, mein aik tajwezati manzil ko tasawar karta hoon jahan qeemat is darja ke neeche jamah hoti hai, jo ke iska downtrend jari rehne ka ishara deta hai.
Aise halat mein, mein ehtiyaat se kaam leta hoon, pehli bunyadi sahara rukawat jo 148.617 par mojood hai ya iske mutabiq doosra sahara 146.494 par mojood hai, ke neeche aik waziha tasdiq ka intezaar karna pasand karta hoon. Ye daraje eham mawaqay hain, jahan bazar ka rukh taein ho sakta hai.

Is tajziye ke doran, mera asal hukum mukhtalif bullish indicator ki tajwezat mein buniyadi rehti hai, khaaskar jab qeemat in ahem sahara darjat tak pohanchti hai. Sabar aur chaukasi se, mein mawaqe ko faida uthane ka irada rakhta hoon jabke risk ko behtareen tareeqe se manage karna hai.

Sahara darjat ke neeche tasdiq ka intezar karne ka faisla tijarat ke liye aik tajwezati tareeqa se mutasir hota hai. Ye bazar ke rukh ki ziada wazahat aur itminan mein izafa deta hai, jald baazi ya ghair maqsood faislay ki imkanat ko kam karta hai. Mazeed, ye disiplinari risk management ke asool ke mutabiq hai, jabke mein peson ki hifazat karna aur maqami munafa ko ziyada karne ki koshish karta hoon


150.838 par foran amal ka khayal shaayad dilchaspi paida karta hai, magar zaroori hai ke khatra aur faida ko dhyaan se wazeh kiya jaye. Qeemat ke dynamics ka sabar se mutalia aur tasdiq ka intezar karke, mein bazar mein apne aap ko tajwezati tor par achaar dal sakta hoon, munafa barhane aur nuqsaan ko kam karne ki imkanat ko barhane ke liye

USD/JPY Takniki Tahlil:

USDJPY joda, abhi 149.35 par, peechle keemat ke barhne ke baad upar ki taraf manind hai. Ye mohtasar tor par aik musalsal girawat ka manzar saamne aane ki koshish karta hai jo saath saath aik imtehaan ke doran 148.72 ke qareeb support zone ki taraf utarte hue dikhata hai. Agar yeh haqeeqat ban jaye, aur 148.72 ke darjay se aik bullish signal saamne aaye, to joda 149.73 ilaqa ki taraf bullish rally ka aghaz kar sakta hai, jahan ahem volumes ikhatti hain. Is juncture se, aik rukawat ho sakti hai, jo keemat ko phir se 149.35 ke ikhattay ilaqa ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Mojudah dynamics ka tajziya karte hue, ye wazeh hai ke 149.35 par rukawat barqarar hai, jo mazeed upar ki taraf manind hone ke liye sakhti ka izhar karta hai. Ye tajwez manzoori ke doran aik temporary rukawat ka manzar hai phir ek mumkin bullish farogh ki taraf. Karobar karnewale qareebi levels ke aas paas keemat ka tawaju diya karen, khaaskar un aham darajat par, taake market ke khulne ke doran mumkin moqaat ka faida uthayein.

In levels ka ahmiyat unki tareekhi ahmiyat mein hai aur yeh keemat ke rukh mein pivot points ke tor par kaam karne ki mumkinat hai. Iske ilawa, ikhattay ilaqon ka mojoodgi market ki jazbat aur potential keemat ke harkaton ko samajhne mein volume analysis ki ahmiyat ko nazar andaz nahi kar sakti. Asal mein, tasneef shuda manzar halat ko samajhne ke liye aik framework faraham karta hai jo USDJPY jode ke mojooda keemat ke dynamics ko tahayyur karne ke liye hai. Ye mazeed neeche ki taraf manind raftar ko rasta faraham kar sakta hai. Aise manzar mein, traders bearish continuation pattern ki tasdeeq ke liye behtar tawajjo diya karenge, jaise aik bearish engulfing candlestick ya barhne waale volume par support level ke neeche girne ki. Market ke signals ke liye hoshiyar aur jawabdeh rehne se, traders apne aap ko jeopartayej ke tajweezon par bandh sakte hain taake woh mojooda keemat ke harkaton se faida uthayein.

aaj ki meri technical analysis USD/JPY par mabni hai. Is article ka maqsad yeh hai ke USD/JPY ke dauran keemat kis tarah se waqt ke saath badalti hai. Yeh pair USD index analysis se taluq rakhta hai, jo ke main agle article mein wazeh karunga. Waqt ke lehaaz se USD/JPY 147.96 par trade ho raha hai. Is chart ka jaaiza lene se yeh pata chalta hai ke 150.89 level tak ke uptrend mumkin hai. Waise to market abhi bhi bullish sentiment ko favor karti hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ka value 59.8094 hai, isliye is waqt frame se USD/JPY ki keemat mein izaafa hona tay hai. Saath hi, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator ka reading 0.042 hai, iska matlab hai ke USD/JPY ki keemat is waqt frame se barhne wali hai. 50 dinon ka moving average 147.65 par hai, aur is waqt hum ye nahi keh sakte ke woh mazboot bullish trends hain, kyunke maloom hota hai ke kharidarun ka josh kam ho sakta hai.
Upar ki taraf, USD/JPY ki keemat 148.52 ke qareeb qabz hai. Main ne agla maqam 149.60 ke sath darust kiya hai jo ke doosra resistance level hai. Iske baad, yeh 150.89 level ki taraf barh sakti hai jo teesra resistance level hai. Dusri taraf, USD/JPY ke liye asli support level 147.59 hai. Yeh 147.59 level ko chhute hue 146.55 level ki taraf neechay jayegi jo ke doosra support level hai. Phir prices mazeed girne se pehle, bechne walon ko pehle 147.59 aur phir 146.55 support levels ko toorna hoga. Mujhe umeed hai ke aaj ki analysis sab ke liye faidemand hogi.

Rozana waqt frame hamesha meri pehli pasand hoti hai taake mein charts ka tajziya kar sakoon aur mojooda market ke halat ka saaf pata chal sake. Rozana trend ab bhi kaafi bullish hai, kyunke aaj subah bhi, mein ne aik ahem keemat ka izafa dekha, takreeban 110 pips, zyada se zyada, taqreeban 95 pips ke qareeb. Somwar ko aam tor par markets khamosh rehti hain, Asian session ne subah ke early hours mein side mein aane ki adat hoti hai, jo aksar trading week ka aaram se shuru hone ka bais banti hai. Mojudah sharaet ke mutabiq, keemat mazi ke mahine ka buland darja dobara test kar sakti hai, ya'ani 151.85.

Pichle haftay se, is pair mein keemat ka andaza karne ke liye buyers ne H4 time frame se dawat di hai. Kharidari ki taqat ke maqool hone ke bawajood, keemat ko kai resistance levels se guzarne ki quwwat hai, halankeh harkat jhokti hai. Is pair ki market harkat subah kaafi mutaharik thi, jab ye dikh raha tha ke pair ki keemat ka gap band hone wala hai. Keemat subah mazboot hogi, kyunke ye mazboot resistance level ko test kar rahi hai jo pichle haftay ka buland tareen keemat ka darja tha, 151.50, jo subah ka sab se mazboot hai. Maujooda waqt mein lambi position lena bekar hai kyunke keemat ne lagbhag aik resistance level tak pohanch chuka hai.

Dakhil plan.

USD/JPY M30

USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ki tajziyaat mein dilchaspi waziha hoti hai. Jumme ko kuch selling pressure nazar aayi lekin hafte bhar ke dauran daily chart par mukhtalif trend ne bullish rehna jari rakha. Is tajziya mein, hum pair ke technical pehluon mein ghuste hain taake agle peer ke liye iski harkat ko pehchane aur uske mutabiq mawad dete hain. Mukhtalif technical indicators jaise moving averages aur market sentiment ka jaaiza lene se yeh zahir hota hai ke market mein kafi kharidari kaafi nazar aaraha hai. Iska matlab hai ke kharidaron ke liye ek munasib scenario hai, jo ke pair ke qeemat mein upward movement ki mumkinah tawajjuh ko zahir karta hai. Agla trading session kaafi maqsadwar dikh raha hai, economic calendar ke mutabiq US mein naye ghar ki farokht ke mutalliq musbat data releases ki mumkinah sambhavna hai. Umeeed hai ke is doraan Japan se koi ahem khabar nahi aayegi. Is economic data ke farq mein dono mumalik mein USD/JPY pair ke liye bullish sentiment ko aur bhi mazboot kar sakta hai. Is tajziya ke mutabiq, kharidari ki activity mein ek bazdaar farogh ki ummeed hai, jo ke pair ki qeemat ko 151.355 ya isse aage ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Is upward momentum ka faida uthane wale traders ko lambi positions ka aghaz karne ka tawajjuh dena chahiye, market ki naye development ko nazdeek se dekhte hue apni strategies ko mawafiq tawajjuh deni chahiye.

Mukhtasir tor par, haal hi ke trading sessions mein kuch selling pressure nazar aayi hone ke bawajood, technical analysis aur prevailing market sentiment USD/JPY currency pair ke liye bullish outlook ko zahir karte hain. US se musbat data releases ki ummeed aur Japan se koi ahem khabar nahi hone ke baawajood, pair mein kharidari ki dilchaspi kaafi mazboot rehne ka intezar hai, jo ke iski qeemat ko agle trading sessions mein buland karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai.





USD/JPY M15

Pichle haftay mein, is currency pair ki price action dynamics ne mukhtalif buyers ko M15 time frame ke andar fawaid hasil karne mein nakaam rakha hai. Buyers ka mazboot mojoodgi ne price mein upward movements ko mukhtalif resistance barriers ko paar karne mein madad di, halanki dheere-dheere taraqqi hui. Aj subah, market mein kafi volatility ke doraan, ek mufeed price gap ka intezar tha. Lekin prevailing sentiment ke mutabiq, qeemat ko mazboot banane ki mumkinah mumkinah hai, khaaskar jab wo zimmedar resistance threshold ko test kar rahe hain jo pichle haftay mein 151.50 par tay kiya gaya tha, jo ke abhi tak current morning session mein ek ahem level hai. In shorat mein, long position lena ek fiyazi strategy ho sakti hai.

Mukhtalif viewpoints ke farq ne agle development ke baare mein market ki uncertainty ko zahir kiya hai. Ek faction hai jo ke ek umeed afza nazar rakh raha hai, jo ke samjha hai ke mukhtalif central banks policy stringency ka stance apna sakte hain jo ke yen par neeche wale dabaav ko exert kar sakta hai. Ye samjha is baat se uth raha hai ke global economic landscape mein behtariyon ka amelioration yen par neeche wale dabaav ko exert kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, Bank of Japan ka stance jo ke yen ki mazbooti ko zahir karta hai, woh bhi ek opposing viewpoint hai. Is faction ka ye khyal hai ke yen global economic milieu mein behtariyon ke bawajood apna mazbooti banaye rakh sakta hai. Ye sentiment Bank of Japan ke apne policy decisions aur geopolitical tensions ke currency dynamics par asar karne ke various factors par mabni hai.

Japan ke statistics bureau ne riport kiya ke Japan ka annual national consumer price index tezi se barh raha tha - 2.8% pichli release ke 2.2% ke mukablay. Bank of Japan ki pasandida inflation indicator, jo taza products ko shamil nahi karta, 2.8% tak barh gaya, jaise ki umeed thi, pichli reading ke 2.2% ke mukablay. 2% ke had tak barhti hui muzoun ke dabao se Bank of Japan ko mawafiq darjah par interest rates ko musbat level par rakhne ki ijaazat hai, haalaanki woh ek taqreebi manzil ke sath mubahat ki halat ko barqarar rakhe ga. Mazeed, Japanese yen ko madadgar sabit hone ke liye Japanese sarkar ke currency market mein dakhal ki barhti hue shanakhten hain. Japan ke wazir-e-khazana ne kaha ke currency rates mustaqil taur par chalne chahiye aur woh exchange rates ke tabdeelion ko tawajo ke sath nigrani kar rahe hain. Daily chart par, pair moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai aur haftawar level 151.909 ke aas paas hai, aur agar daily candle is level ke upar band hoti hai toh ek upar ki taraf ki chal ka ishara hota hai 152.500 ke taraf. Agar bears taqat dikhate hain aur 150.860 ke mirror level ke neeche qayam kar lete hain, toh hum 150.0 ke psychological level ki taraf keemat ka giravat dekh sakte hain.

USD/JPY pair Jumeraat ke akhir mein late European session mein 151.00 tak gir gaya. JPY ne USD ke khilaf mazbooti dikhate hue, jab Japan mein garm February ki inflation data ne investors ki Bank of Japan ki policy normalization ki taraf barhne wali faislon mein itmenan barha diya. Asset pressure ke neeche hai haalaanki USA ki maeeshati ummeedon mein numaya behtar hone ke bawajood zindah USD ke daire mein hai. Agar pair aur girne ki surat mein 150.674-150.561 ke 1/4 zone ki taraf jaata hai, toh main agle control zone 153.5-153.736 ki taraf khareedne ka shour karta hoon.

USD/JPY ke liye Jumma ko, ek aur local resistance level ki ulta chaal dekhte hue, jo ke mere signals ke mutabiq 151.818 par waqe hai, ke baad, keemat ne rebound kiya aur din ko ek ghair yaqeeni mumani candle ke saath khatam kiya, jisme thori si bearish faida tha. Aanay wale haftay mein, main mukarrar resistance level ki nigaah jari rakhunga, jis ke qareeb do manazir halat ka ijra mumkin hai. Tareefi manazir mein keemat is level ke oopar istiqamat aur mazeed shumali harkat. Agar ye mansooba kaam karta hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke keemat resistance level ki taraf barhegi, jo 156.000 par waqe hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trade setup ka intezar karta hoon, jo trade ki mazeed simt ka tay karega. Beshak, keemat ko mazeed shumal ki taraf dhaakel sakta hai, jo 160.400 par waqe hai, lekin yahan aap ko situation par nazar rakhni hogi aur sab kuch uss type par munhasar hoga. Khabron ke peechay ki bunyadi asar aur keemat ke ishtiqam par kaise react karegi. Tarazu ka amal aur keemat ke tasaliqat shumali targets ko tay karna. Aglay resistance level 151.818 ke agle imtehaan ke doran keemat ki mukhtalif harkat ka ek mansooba ek candle ka shakal banana aur aik corrective southern harkat ka aghaz. Agar ye mansooba kaam karta hai, to main keemat ka intezar karta hoon ke support level ki taraf laut aaye, jo 149.205 par waqe hai ya phir support level, jo 147.614 par waqe hai. Main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals ka intezar karta rahunga, ummeed hai ke keemat ki mazeed izafa ho. Aik jumla mein, aanay wale haftay mein main tasleem karta hoon ke keemat apni shumali harkat jari rakhsakti hai, lekin ek ziada confident trade ke liye main chahta hoon ke ye nazdeek tarin resistance level ke oopar mustaqil ho.

Dollar/yen currency pair ne Asia ke session mein halki izafa ke saath trade kiya. Jodi ke qeemat kaafi had tak gir gayi thi trading ke ibtida mein, lekin yen bhi jaldi se major currencies ke khilaf apni girawat ko dobara shuru kar diya; mujhe lagta hai ke jodi pichle haftay ke uchayion tak laut aayegi. Jodi ke izafa ka mukhya karak yakeenan Japanese currency ki kamzori hai. Is instrument ke liye doosra neeche ki taraf correction pehli half mein mukammal ho sakta hai, lekin mujhe kul mila ke uttar rukh jaari rahega. Jodi baailon ke control mein trade ho rahi hai. Aik mumkin palat tawana 149.75 par hai, main is se oopar kharidonga jahan target 150.75 aur 151.25 honge. Beshak, ek doosra option bhi hai: jodi apna neeche ki taraf rukh jaari karegi, 149.75 ke darja ko tor ke mazbooti se milaye, phir rasta khulega 149.45 aur 149.25 ke darjoo tak.

Pichle kaam karne wale haftay ne hamein ek neeche ki taraf janib ki trend aur lamba ek taraf ki trend dikhaya, jo ke Bollinger indicator ki moving average line ko toorna ke natije mein aaya, jo ke currency pair ki aam qeemat ke range ko darust karta hai sath hi currency pair ki aam rukh ki miqdaar ko bhi darust karta hai, yeh rozana ka pattern moving average ko tor diya aur uttar mein barhne wale range mein wapas laut gaya, jo ke uttar ki taraf chalti hui trend ko jari rakhta hai. Jumeraat ko rozana ka candle humein aik bara pattern diya aur is ke neeche aik fractal indicator aaya, jo ke kehta hai ke 148.90 ke darje par support hai jo currency pair ko zyada neeche nahi jane diya, jo global hadaf ka kaam karna hai 151.90 ke darja, jo ke pichle saal tak pohancha tha. Is haal mein, hamare paas aik double top trading pattern hai jo lambi muddat ke neeche ki taraf correction de sakta hai.

Asalam-o-Alaikum dosto, sab ko shaam mubarak ho. Mein dua karta hoon ke aap sab ko naya saal khushiyon aur sukoon se bhara mubarak ho. Mein umeed karta hoon ke sab khairiyat se hain, aur admins bhi wahi hain. Usi tarah, mein bhi yahi kehna chahunga. Mein dua karta hoon ke Allah humein aaj USDJPY ke bare mein baat karne ki taufeeq de aur humein is kaam ko karne ki taufeeq ata farmaye. Pichle kuch saalon mein humne is tarah ki trend mein izafa dekha hai, aur hum isse khush hain.

Market Jumeraat ko 150.20 par band hui, aur jaise humne dekha, hum agle din jab market kholta hai us waqt ka tajziya karenge, jo ke sab se zyada maamoolan Jumeraat ko hota hai, jaise humne Jumeraat ko kiya tha.
Pichle haftay ke candle ke aadhar par market ek acche uptrend mein tha. Iske ilawa, pichle haftay kareeban 300 pips barh gaya, jo ke market mein ek mushaba movement ka bais bana. Ab tak, USDJPY ne is trend ko qaim rakha hai.

Markets 151.35 par band hui, aur marketing ne ab tak acha perform kiya hai. Baharwale is par omeed rakhte hain ke yeh mazeed barhega, lekin sab log ab bhi yeh confident hain ke yeh doosra top level tak pohanchega. Is surat mein, market lambi dair mein fori tor par behtar ya giraawat darj kar sakta hai. Market mein ab bhi USDJPY mein bohot mazboot buy position hai. Haal hi mein, yeh ek uncha level tak pohanch gaya tha jo kuch waqt tak haasil nahin hua tha. 150.50 USDJPY ka rate tha jis par trade kiya gaya tha.

USDJPY Day Candle Analysis

Hum din ke candle se dekh sakte hain ke market ne ek bahut acha qadam uthaya tha maqsad din ke candle ke mutabiq. Is ke ilawa, yeh 151.85 ke qareeb ek resistance level aur 150.10 ke qareeb aik support level banaya, aur market 150.65 par band hui. Agay dekhte hain, hum umeed karte hain ke market aur buland umeedon tak pohanchega. Hum jo bhi market mein umeed karte hain ya jo bhi market image par dekhte hain, us par humein ummeed ki candle dekhne ko milti hai. Lekin, yaad rahe ke market kisi bhi waqt aur kisi bhi surat mein badal sakta hai, aur hum us waqt trade karne ke liye apna behtreen karenge. Traders ke tor par, agar hum umeed karte hain ke market kis raaste mein ja sakta hai aur kahan invest karna behtar hoga, to humari trading kaafi kamyaab hogi.

USD/JPY H1






Currency pair USD/JPY ke future direction ke maamle mein chal rahe mubahisa ka silsila jaari hai, jahan traders aur analysts dono hi soch rahe hain ke agar abhi ke upward trend jaari rahega ya phir koi ulta sidha ho sakta hai. Is mozu mein mojooda uncertainty, agle trading sessions mein price movements aur market dynamics ka vigilant observation karne ka critical importance ko dikhata hai. Potential outcomes ko comprehensive taur pe assess karne ke liye, zaroori hai ke bullish aur bearish scenarios ka jayza lena.At present, kuch market participants mein cautious optimism ka level mojood hai, jo ke pair ke upward trajectory ko jaari rehne ka prospect ke saath jor raha hai. Yeh optimism exchange rate ko 151.60 ke key level ke upar rehne pe depend hai. Agar yeh threshold maintain kiya gaya, toh pair ke climb ko extend karne ki prevailing sentiment hai, shayad new peaks ko chhoo sakte hue.Is bullish outlook mein kuch factors shamil hain. Pehle toh, positive economic indicators ne US economy mein confidence ko boost kiya hai, jo pair ke liye upward momentum provide kar sakta hai. Uske alawa, Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke monetary policy ke darmiyan growing divergence ko supportive factor mana ja raha hai. Jaise hi Federal Reserve interest rate hikes aur asset purchases ke tapering ke raaste pe chal raha hai, yeh Bank of Japan ke more accommodative stance ke saath ek contrast create karta hai. Yeh policy divergence generally US dollar ko favor karta hai, is tarah pair ko bolster karta hai.Magar, yeh crucial hai ke bearish considerations ke existence ko acknowledge kiya jaye, jo pair ke upward trajectory ko derail kar sakte hain. Market participants ko kisi bhi adverse developments ka vigilant rehna zaroori hai jo sentiment mein reversal laa sakte hain. Geopolitical tensions, monetary policy stances mein unexpected shifts, ya global risk aversion ka sudden resurgence jaise factors, prevailing bullish outlook ke liye threats pose kar sakte hain.Akhri mein, pair ke outlook mein ongoing debate aur uncertainty jaari hai. Jabki bullish sentiment persist karta hai, jo positive economic indicators aur monetary policy divergence se support mil raha hai, market participants ko potential risks ka vigilant rehna zaroori hai jo fortunes mein reversal laa sakte hain. Price action ko closely monitor karte hue aur evolving market dynamics pe attuned rehkar, traders prevailing uncertainties ko navigate kar sakte hain aur effectively currency markets mein apni position create kar sakte hain.

Zahir hai, agle haftay hum is mansoobe ko amal mein laayenge, jo H4 ka ooncha hissa dikhata hai. Toott phoot ho chuki hai, aur bohot ziada ehtimal ke saath, hum 138.2 aur 152.50 tak jaayenge, jahan se aik tanseekh hoga, aur phir hum 161.8–153.53 ka maqsood haasil karenge. Moujooda ke muqaable mein, kaafi achi doori hai; agar aap nap len, to ye kam az kam 210 points se kam nahi hai. Ye Instagram spread ka size shumar nahi karta. Technology, jaise hamesha, process ko nigrani karti hai, aur phir bhi, American session ke baad 17:00 Moscow waqt par statistics khaas tor par US dollar par mutarif ki jaayegi: "naye makaano ki farokht". Kam az kam mahalli shiddat, jo scalping ke shauqeen ko zaroorat hogi, hasil karne ki mumkinah hai. Hum bhi sonay par tawajjo dete hain, jahan talluq aahista aahista wapas aa raha hai aur qeemti dhaat bohot ziada giravat kar rahi hai. Baqi sab kuch maheenay ko theek karna aur March ko mukammal karna par mabni hai; doosri baaton mein, main ye samajhta hoon ke hum kam az kam uchcha ko taza karenge. March ki mombatti band hone ke baad, hum nihayat tafseel se tajziya karenge; ek bahar ki tehreek kaafi mumkin hai. Din ke andar chhotay arse ke liye, mera matlb hai, kaam ki tactics sirf upar jayengi kyunke uchcha abhi tak taza nahi hua hai. Agar taza hota, to neechay dakhil hone ki dafaqat mumkinat hoti, lekin abhi nahi. Abhi tak, hum phir se is darjeel ke 151.90 ke darjeel mein lagte hain aur samjhte hain ke ye toot nahi sakta, halankeh ye, be shak, mamla nahi hai. Doosri badi currency pairs ko mazeed kamzor hone ki tawakal hai US dollar ke muqable mein. Qareeb mustaqbil mein dollar system ka koi tor phor mutawaqqa nahi hai; sab kuch ke sab har khushi se hain. Achha, main matalib wale logon ko keh raha hoon, aam logon ko nahi. Har cheez kyun badlein jab sab kuch un ke liye pehle se hi behtareen kaam kar raha hai? Sar ke uchayi ka update hone ke baad, main kharidari ko mazeed nahi samajhta kyunke aik barqarar hone aur aik gehri neechay ki tanseekh ka bohot zyada ehtimal hai, lekin abhi tak koi update nahi hai; humein intezaar karna hoga. Jab keemat maheenay ke shuru mein kaafi tezi se gir gayi, to bohot se logon ko laga ke sab kuch gir gaya hai aur hum uchayi se bahar nahi jaayenge. Achha, yahan hum phir se hain, aur keemat yahan se baghair naye tareekhi uchayi ke nahi chhodenge

USD/JPY Takneeki Nazar: Agar USDJPY pair mazeed shumal ki taraf jaata hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke resistance khud ko mehsoos karega, halankeh hum pehle se he resistance area mein hain, jo ke is trading instrument ke purane time periods ke charts par wazehi nazar ata hai, aur is liye mein yahan in ilaqon mein is pair ko khareedne ka khatra nahi uthaonga, kyunke yahan in ilaqon mein market manipulation ho sakti hai, aur sachai yeh hai ke mujhe extra faida nahi uthana hai, aur is liye mera faisla is waqt ke liye is pair ke sath market ke bahar hone ka hai aur bas dekhna hai ke USDJPY chart agla kya banaata hai. Agar hum dekhte hain ke sharp price movement ke roop mein market manipulation hoti hai aur phir tezi se price nichay ki taraf girti hai, kisi bhi jama khaane mein 149.97 ke area mein, to humein 150.88 ke level ko hoshiyaar se dekhna parega, jahan se price 149.97 ke level se ooncha ho sakta hai taake usay test kiya ja sake. Agar, is qisam ke mahol mein, 150.88 ke level par price ooncha na jaane dena chahta hai, to is manzar ke mutabiq, 150.88 ke level se humein neeche bhari jaa sakti hai.

Ek mazeed ishaara ke liye, main tawajjo vertical tick volume ke values par bhi deta hoon. Haalanki, pair ki quote 151.133 hai, aur trading Bollinger average ke upar 150.778 ke qareeb hai, jo ke oonchi trend ki jari ravaani ka ishaara karta hai. Bollinger indicator do ahem levels ko highlight karta hai: ooncha level - 151.343 aur neecha level - 150.214. 151.343 ke level ko take profit set karne ke liye munasib hai, jabke 150.214 ke level ko farokht ke liye maqsad bana sakta hai. Abhi farokht ke bare mein baat karna bohot jaldi hai; short position kholne ke sharaait poore nahi hue hain, aur yeh sirf tab hi laazmi honge agar price 150.778 ke neeche fix hota hai. Yeh ahem hai ke is qisam ke price distribution ke sath Bollinger levels ke muqable mein, tamam lambi muddat ke positions nuqsaan mein band ho sakte hain. Is liye, ab meri strategy oonchi trend ko jari rakhne par mabni hai, lekin mein khud ko market ke tabdeel hone ki surat mein adjust karne ki ijaazat deta hoon.

GBP briefly rose against the dollar and euro after PMIs pointed to rising inflationary pressures and Bank of England policy imminent. Bank ki ilan se pehle, GBP/USD ke daam dollar ke khilaaf barhe, jab Fed ne 2024 mein darojat kum karne ki ishaarat di, lekin GBP ke faide jald hi USD ke zor se gayab ho gaye. Usi din, Bank of England ne ye bhi kaha ke giraavat 1.2655 ke saath simat gayi, jo ke press ke waqt is level ke qareeb qaim tha.
UK ki mazid taqatwar behtar hone aur March mein mehengai ki dabao ka pata lagnay se rupiya ko sahara milega. Sterling ne euro ke khilaaf pichle din ke faide ko qaim rakha ek S&P report ke baad jo ke dikhaya ke niji sector March mein taizee se phaila, mukhtasir se manufakturing ka behtar hona.

Mehangai ki dabao ke mutabiq, February mein khidmat guzari PMI 53.4 tha, jo ke behtar tha 53.8 se aur umeedon se kam tha 53.8 se, jo ke rupiya ke faide ko mehdood karega. S&P Global Report ne kaha ke report ka markazi nukaat UK ke industrial manufacturing mein behtar hone ka tha, "jo March mein behtar hua, ek 12 mahine ki giravat ko khatam karte hue, jabke naye order May 2022 se sab se tez raftar se barhe." Manufakturing PMI March mein 49.9 tak barh gaya, 20 mahine ka uchhatar, pehle se zyada February ke 47.5 aur muttafiq tajwez 47.8 se. Is dauran, manufakturing production index 50.2 tak barh gaya, 13 mahine ka uchhatar aur inteshar mein.

Aaj ka GBP/USD taqreebati tasveer:

GBP/USD ke pichle din ki farokht ne naye haftay mein aik kam bandish ki umeedain barhadi. Ye wohi palat ho gayi hai jo trading ke haftay ke shuru mein nazar andaz hui thi. Jaisa ke maine pehle kaha, 1.2600 ke nafsiyati sahara dar haalat mein saibon ke qaboo mein mazid barh jaye ga. Daily chart ki performance ke mutabiq, agar farokht gehray bearish darjaton mein jari rahti hai, khas tor par 1.2560 aur 1.2470, to technical indicators serious oversold darjaton ki taraf ja rahe hain. Doosri taraf, 1.2775 ke rukawat darja sab se ahem rukawat darja rahe ga jise dobara faqon ke doran bullz hain. Agar yeh 1.3000 nafsiyati rukawat darja ko tareeqi ki taraf le jata hai, to overall nazar achi tarah se bullish ho jaye gi.

Maine pehle bhi kai baar kaha hai ke US central bank ki policy ke mazeed mazboot hone aur Japani central bank ki, jo lambi intezaar ke baad hatmi tor par negative interest rates ko ehtiyaat se chhod diya, ke darmiyan farq USD/JPY ke daam aur is hafte ke faide ke liye bullz ke mustaqil qaboo ka ek chhota factor nahi hai. Yeh 151.86 ke rukawat darja tak pohanch gaya, jo ke tahqeeqat likhne ke waqt us ke aas paas stable tha, yad rakhte hue ke ye chhatein aksar markets mein mazeed giravat roknay ke liye baat ki jati hain, khas tor par US dollar ke khilaaf. Is ke ilawa, tamam technical indicators khareedari ke liye mazboot saturation darjaton ki taraf le gaye thay.
Forex currency market trading ke mutabiq, jab FOMC ka izhar hua ke baare mein koi zyada hawkish stance ka shift nahi hai, to US dollar ke daam ne haal ke faide mein se kuch chhod diya. Yeh beshak US non-farm payrolls reports aur consumer price index mein bullish herkaton ke baad bhi. Dot chart ab bhi is saal ke bad mein teen darojat ke darojat karta hai.

Dusri taraf, Japani yen ke daam dabao ke neeche hai, halan ke Bank of Japan ne pehle hi negative deposit rates ka khatma kar diya hai. Afsaroon ne ishara diya hai ke wo qareebi muddat mein mazeed mazbooti nahi jari rakhne ke imkanat hain, is liye traders shayad kam qist aitekafa ke daam shayad saal ke aakhri hisse tak daam ghatane ka qeemat lagaa rahe hain.

Iqtisadi lehaz se, iqtisadi calendar data ke natijon ke mutabiq, Japan mein core consumer price index, jo taza ghizaeyat shamil nahi karta magar fuel ke daamon ko shamil karta hai, February 2024 mein saalana buniyad par 2.8% tak barh gaya, jo ke January mein 2% ke barhne ke baad barh gaya aur October se sab se ooncha reading darj kiya gaya. Taza raqam bhi analysts ki tawaqo ke mutabiq thi. Ye barhne asal tor par base effects ki wajah se hai, jaise ke government ne February 2023 mein shuroo kiye gaye energy subsidies ka asar kam hone laga hai.

Overall, Japan ki core inflation rates ab Bank of Japan ke 2% maqsood ke neeche ya is par 23 maah se ooncha rahe hain. Central bank ne March mein monetary policy ko tabdeel kiya, pehli baar 2007 se interest rates ko barhaya aur 8 saal ke negative interest rates ko khatm kiya taqreeban badhte huye muaashi mehengai ke darmiyan. Bank of Japan ne apni yield curve control koshish ko bhi rok diya, ETFs aur J-REITs ke khareed ko khatm kiya aur tahafuzat ko dhaire dhaire kam karne ke iraade ka elaana kiya. Magar Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda ne kaha ke central bank apni taawuni stance ko kuch waqt tak barqarar rakhe ga, interest rates ko 0% par rakhte hue.

USD/JPY taqreebati tasveer:

USD/JPY pair ke daam haal hi mein aham rukawat darja ke through tor diya major resistance level 151.00 ke qareeb aur phir 152.00 ke qareeb barh gaya phir wapas aa gaya. Daam shayad neeche ki taraf is Fibonacci retracement levels ko theek kar raha hai jo neeche dikhaya gaya hai. 38.2% level 149.83 par hai, phir 50% level 149.20 par hai, moving averages ke paas dynamic support ke qareeb. Magar 100 SMA abhi abhi 200 SMA ke neeche guzar gaya hai jo ke yeh ishara deta hai ke neeche bounce karne ka koshish kiya jaa raha hai ya phir ye support areas phir tor sakte hain.

Is sudhar ki line shayad 61.8% Fibonacci level ke qareeb ho jo minor psychological mark 148.50 ke qareeb hai, kyunke is se neeche jaana ek neeche ki taraf jaane ka ishaara de sakta hai. Isi dauraan, Stochastic indicator overbought area se neeche ja raha hai, jo ke bechne ke dabao ka wapas aanay ka ishaara hai. Oscillator ke paas oversold zone tak pohanchne se pehle kafi jagah hai, jis se selleron mein thakawat ka ishaara milta hai, is liye daam wahi tarz par jari reh sakta hai. Isi tarah, RSI ke paas bhi kafi jagah hai jab wo oversold territory mein neeche ja raha hai, is liye neeche ki momentum thori dair tak jari reh sakti hai.

Assalam-o-Alaikum dosto, traders, readers, aur moderators. Aaj mai khushi se aaj USD/JPY ki technical analysis pesh karne ka moqa hasil karna chahta hoon. Chalo aaj ka USD/JPY daam ka amal qareeb se dekhte hain. Taqreeban likhne ke waqt USD/JPY ka daam 151.53 hai. Is chart par, hum USD/JPY mein ek wazeh khareedari trend note kar sakte hain. MACD aur RSI indicators USD/JPY ke buyers ko encourage karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 63.3883 par hai jo bullish territory mein hai aur khareedari ki taraf ishara karta hai. Isi waqt, The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator ka signal line ya slow line zero line ya midline ke upar hai aur khareedari ki taraf ishara karta hai. Moving average line khareedari ki taraf jhuki hui hai. Isliye moving averages bhi ek bullish signal dikhate hain. 50 exponential moving average khareedari ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Isi waqt, 20 exponential moving average bhi khareedari ki taraf ishara kar raha hai.
USD/JPY ke liye pehla resistance level 151.88 hai. Agar daam 151.88 level ko tor deta hai, to mai tasalsul se USD/JPY ke daamon ka izafah 160.77 level tak aur shayad 166.88 level tak ka imkan hai. Doosri taraf, USD/JPY ke liye pehla support level 150.34 hai. Agar daam 150.34 level ko tor deta hai, to mai umeed karta hoon ke USD/JPY 148.21 level tak aur shayad 146.50 level tak gir sakta hai. Isliye behtareen trading nateejo ke liye ehtiyaat ke saath trade karen.

Chart mein istemal kiye gaye indicators:
MACD indicator:
RSI indicator period 14:
50-day exponential moving average rang Naranji:
20-day exponential moving average rang Jambu: